以可靠性为中心的船舶维修辅助决策系统研究
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摘要
目前,我国船舶设备主要采用是以时间为基础的定期维修制度,这种基于固定维修周期的维修方式为设备正常运行做出了很大贡献。但是伴随着船舶设备结构复杂化程度的上升,定期维修已不能适应新形势的要求,其原因在于许多零部件的故障率曲线并不符合“浴盆曲线”,零部件越多,故障发生的概率就越高。事实上,定期修理还可能将初期的高故障率引入到系统中,从而增加系统的总故障率;定期维修同样也可能会导致部分运行状态较好的设备周期性停运,同时导致某一时间段维修工作量集中,不利于提高维修质量。
     随着社会的发展和市场的变化,这样的维修方式已很难满足现在船舶设备的维修要求。鉴于我国船舶企业目前技术与经济条件,以可靠性为中心的维修(Reliability-Centered Maintenance——RCM)足一种较好的选择。这种方法是以设备故障模式和影响效果的系统分析为基础,应用逻辑决断确定设备预防性维修内容。
     本文基于以上原因,提出了以可靠性为中心的船舶设备维修的应用研究。其主要研究内容如下:
     (1)论证RCM在船舶设备中应用的可行性及有效性,根据RCM实施过程最终得出以可靠性为中心的船舶设备维修大纲,指导今后船舶维修工作。
     (2)利用层次分析法对RCM的逻辑决断结果进行反馈验证,使得预防性维修大纲的制定更加科学有效。
     (3)开发以可靠性为中心的船舶辅助维修决策系统,系统中包含设备的基本信息管理,RCM分析流程及备件统计管理。
     通过对船舶设备RCM分析,相对于现行的维修制度,以可靠性为中心的维修制度能够以最少的资源消耗来保证设备固有可靠性和安全性。基于船舶维修的现有技术水平和条件,全面推行以可靠性为中心的维修理论可能存在一定困难,但目前已有部分船舶的重要设备实现了状态监控,这为RCM在船舶设备维修领域中的运用铺垫了道路。随着科学技术的进步,监控手段的不断成熟,这种以可靠性为中心的维修理论在船舶领域中必将得到全面推广和运用。
At present, time-based maintenance is used in China's Marine equipment maintenance, and which based on the fixed period of maintenance mode have made considerable contribution for the normal operation of equipment. However, with the increasing of marine equipment structure complication, regular maintenance can't meet the requirement of the new situation. The reason is the failure rate in many parts of the curve does not comply with "bathtub curve", parts more failures occur, The higher the probability of failure occurred. In fact, regular repair may introduce the initial high failure rate into the system, thereby increasing the total failure rate of the system; time-based maintenance is bound to lead to some good running equipment cyclical outage, a result of maintenance work focuses on one phase, not conducive to raising the quality of maintenance.
     With the development of society and the market changes, such a maintenance mode has been very difficult to meet the requirements of Marine equipment maintenance. In view of our current technical and economic business conditions, RCM (reliability-centered maintenance) is a good choice. This method is based on equipment failure modes and effects of effects of systematic analysis which application of the logical decisions to determine the content of preventive maintenance equipment.
     (1) Demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the application of RCM in the marine's equipment, According to RCM implementation process culminated in the reliability-centered maintenance program for marine equipment, which guide future maintenance of the ship.
     (2) Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process to feedback and validate the results of RCM logical decision, so as to make the formulation of preventative maintenance outline more scientific and effective.
     (3) Development of Reliability Centered Maintenance in Maintenance Decision Support System of Marine Eequipment, This system includes the basic information management of equipment, RCM analysis processes and spare parts statistical management.
     Through RCM analysis of ship equipment, compared with existing maintenance system, the reliability-centered maintenance system can ensure the inherent reliability and security of equipment with minimal resource consumption. Based on existing level and condition of ship repair, it may be difficult to fully implement reliability-centered maintenance theory, but some important ship equipments have been in state monitoring, This pave the way for the use of the area. With the development of technology and maturation of monitoring means, the reliability- centered maintenance theory will be fully promoted and used in the field of ship.
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