火电厂烟气脱硫工程项目后评价
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摘要
在烟气脱硫项目建成投产后,进行完整的项目后评价工作,有助于查明该项目的最终经济效益和社会效益,验证项目开工前可行性研究报告的可靠性,为今后烟气脱硫的立项、建设及运行提供科学依据。
在介绍建设项目后评价理论的基础上,构建了火电厂烟气脱硫项目后评价指标体系。运用主成分分析法对指标进行筛选,将多指标转化为少数几个指标进行项目后评价,避免了信息的重叠,使综合指标不仅保留了原始变量的主要信息,彼此之间又不相关。最后采用模糊评价法对机组烟气脱硫项目后评价的相关数据进行综合评价,并针对其中的问题,提出了相关建议。
After the completion of the flue gas desulphurization project,the integrated post-project evaluation helps to identify the ultimate economic and social benefits, to verify the reliability of the project pre-construction feasibility study report, and to offer a scientific basis for the establish, construction and operation of the future projects.
Based on the post-project evaluation theory, this paper establishes the post-project evaluation index system. Then the principal components analysis(PCA)is used to filtrate the indexes in order to avoid the overlap among the information. Many indexes are turned to a few comprehensive indexes which influence the project implementation effect. The comprehensive indexes are irrelevant with each other but hold the main information of the original variable. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is used to do synthesis evaluation finally. This paper provides some advices according to the problems.
在介绍建设项目后评价理论的基础上,构建了火电厂烟气脱硫项目后评价指标体系。运用主成分分析法对指标进行筛选,将多指标转化为少数几个指标进行项目后评价,避免了信息的重叠,使综合指标不仅保留了原始变量的主要信息,彼此之间又不相关。最后采用模糊评价法对机组烟气脱硫项目后评价的相关数据进行综合评价,并针对其中的问题,提出了相关建议。
After the completion of the flue gas desulphurization project,the integrated post-project evaluation helps to identify the ultimate economic and social benefits, to verify the reliability of the project pre-construction feasibility study report, and to offer a scientific basis for the establish, construction and operation of the future projects.
Based on the post-project evaluation theory, this paper establishes the post-project evaluation index system. Then the principal components analysis(PCA)is used to filtrate the indexes in order to avoid the overlap among the information. Many indexes are turned to a few comprehensive indexes which influence the project implementation effect. The comprehensive indexes are irrelevant with each other but hold the main information of the original variable. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is used to do synthesis evaluation finally. This paper provides some advices according to the problems.
引文
[1]仁淮秀,汪昌云.建设项目后评价理论与方法.北京:中国人民大学出版社,1992
[2]黄琦,庞吴勇.火电厂建设项目项目后评价指标体系及其内容构建.太原理工大学学报,1998,29(5):492～495,554
[3]陈守煜.工程模糊理论与应用.北京:国防工业出版社,1998
[4]魏学好,周浩.中国火力发电行业减排污染物的环境价值标准估算.环境科学研究,2003,16(1):53～56
[6]杨柳,王世和,王小明等.火电厂烟气脱硫项目后评价方法研究.中国电力,2006,39(2):70～73
[7]金丽丽.火力发电厂建设项目后评价模型的研究:[硕士学位论文],四川:西华大学,2008
[8]王秀菊.工程项目后评价关键技术的研究:[硕士学位论文],山东:山东科技大学,2006
[9]胡杰.项目后评价案例研究:[硕士学位论文],湖南:中南大学,2003
[10]陈晶晶,叶萍.电力工程项目经济效益评价,电力学报,2007,4:503～504,508
[11]秦寿康.综合评价原理及应用,电子工业出版社2003.1～100
[12]和金生,郑春东.电力建设项目后评价理论与方法研究,华北电力技术,1998,7:1～5
[13]王瑞,陈军,姚佐文.基于项目成功度评价方法的世行贷款农业科技项目绩效评价研究.中国农学通报,2008,24(9):517～521
[14]江高.模糊层次综合评价法及其应用:[硕士学位论文].天津:天津大学电气与自动化工程学院,2005
[15]Chen A M.Aggregation fuzzy opinions in the group desion-making environment.Cybernetics and Systems,1998,29:363～376
[16]Emilio Marengo, Elisa Robottia , Pier Giorgio Righettib,Francesca Antonuccub .New approach based on fuzzy logic and principal component analysis for the classification of two-dimensional maps in health and disease .Application to lymphomas Journal of Chromatography A,2003,(1004):13～28
[17]C Sarbu ,H F Pop.Principal component analysis versus fuzzy principal component analysis A cased study :the quality of Danube water (1995-1996).Talanta 65,2005:1215～1220
[18]贾明辉,华志强.主成分分析数据处理方法探讨.内蒙古民族大学学报(自然科学版),2008,23(4):379～381
[19]黄建军.主成分分析法及模糊综合评判法用于医院科室效益评价的对比.中国医院统计,2007,14(3):233～235
[20]王学民.对主成分分析中综合得分方法的质疑.统计与决策,2007,23(8):31～32
[21] NGUYEN D,DAS A,MEMIK G,etal.A Reconfigurable Architecture for Network Intrusion Detection Using Principal Component Analysis[C]//Proceeding of the 2006 ACM/SIGDA 14th international symposium on Field programmable gate arrays.Monterey:CA,2006
[22]孙红卫,徐天和,王玖.主成分分析用于综合评价合理性的探讨.中国卫生统计,2008,25(4):425～427
[23]Gordon Maller, Jerry Hollinden. Status of Flue Gas Desulfuritation (FCD) Technology. Radian International,1999
[24]叶宗裕.主成分综合评价方法存在的问题及改进.统计与信息论坛,2004,10(2):29～34
[25]刘淡宁.基于模糊综合法的创业投资项目评价研究:[硕士学位论文].北京:北京交通大学,2008
[26]P.Billaudel, A.Devillez, G.Villermain Lecolier. Performance evaluation of fuzzy classification methods designed for real time application. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning,1999,(20):1～20
[27]Robert C, James J B.Fuzzy hierarchical analysis: the Lambda-Max method. Fuzzy Set System, 2001, 120:181～195
[28]HORIA F.POP.Principal components analysis based on a fuzzy sets approach.STUDIA UNIV.BABES-BOLYAI,INFORMATICA,Volume XLVI,Number 2,2001:45～52
[29]孟生旺.用主成分分析法进行多指标综合评价注意的问题.统计研究,1992,(4):36
[30]童英伟,刘志斌,初玲玲.基于模糊综合评价的大气质量评价.辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版),2008,27:311～313
[31]黄琦.庞昊勇.火电厂建设项目后评价指标体系及其内容构建,太原理工大学学报1998,29(5):492～554
[32]白思俊.关于项目中评价的模型和方法研究,管理工程学报2002(增刊)016:1~4
[33]M.T. Brown, S. Ulgiati. Emergy evaluations and environmental loadingof electricity production systems. Journal of Cleaner Production.2002(10):321～334.
[34]Dr.Heinz-Georg Beiers. Environmental Protection in Gemany,Seminar of Flue Gas DesulpHurisation,2001
[35]EIACentre. A pilot study on post-project analysis in Flanders[A].EIANewsletter 12.Manchester:School of Planning and Landscape,University of Manchester,1996
[36]云力,韬娅.电力建设项目的后评价管理,内蒙古科技与经济,2008,21:157,161
[37]匡平,郭壮志.浅谈电力建设项目的后评价,湖南电力,2004,24(3):39～41
[38]曹淦.工程后评价在火电建设项目中的应用[硕士学位论文],北京:华北电力大学,2008
[39]Researching the investment of information technology in construction:An examination of evaluation practices Love,P.E.D. Automation in Construction,v14,n4,Aug.2005
[40]郭洪亮.华能曲阜电厂烟气脱硫项目后评价:[工程硕士学位论文],北京:华北电力大学,2008
[2]黄琦,庞吴勇.火电厂建设项目项目后评价指标体系及其内容构建.太原理工大学学报,1998,29(5):492～495,554
[3]陈守煜.工程模糊理论与应用.北京:国防工业出版社,1998
[4]魏学好,周浩.中国火力发电行业减排污染物的环境价值标准估算.环境科学研究,2003,16(1):53～56
[6]杨柳,王世和,王小明等.火电厂烟气脱硫项目后评价方法研究.中国电力,2006,39(2):70～73
[7]金丽丽.火力发电厂建设项目后评价模型的研究:[硕士学位论文],四川:西华大学,2008
[8]王秀菊.工程项目后评价关键技术的研究:[硕士学位论文],山东:山东科技大学,2006
[9]胡杰.项目后评价案例研究:[硕士学位论文],湖南:中南大学,2003
[10]陈晶晶,叶萍.电力工程项目经济效益评价,电力学报,2007,4:503～504,508
[11]秦寿康.综合评价原理及应用,电子工业出版社2003.1～100
[12]和金生,郑春东.电力建设项目后评价理论与方法研究,华北电力技术,1998,7:1～5
[13]王瑞,陈军,姚佐文.基于项目成功度评价方法的世行贷款农业科技项目绩效评价研究.中国农学通报,2008,24(9):517～521
[14]江高.模糊层次综合评价法及其应用:[硕士学位论文].天津:天津大学电气与自动化工程学院,2005
[15]Chen A M.Aggregation fuzzy opinions in the group desion-making environment.Cybernetics and Systems,1998,29:363～376
[16]Emilio Marengo, Elisa Robottia , Pier Giorgio Righettib,Francesca Antonuccub .New approach based on fuzzy logic and principal component analysis for the classification of two-dimensional maps in health and disease .Application to lymphomas Journal of Chromatography A,2003,(1004):13～28
[17]C Sarbu ,H F Pop.Principal component analysis versus fuzzy principal component analysis A cased study :the quality of Danube water (1995-1996).Talanta 65,2005:1215～1220
[18]贾明辉,华志强.主成分分析数据处理方法探讨.内蒙古民族大学学报(自然科学版),2008,23(4):379～381
[19]黄建军.主成分分析法及模糊综合评判法用于医院科室效益评价的对比.中国医院统计,2007,14(3):233～235
[20]王学民.对主成分分析中综合得分方法的质疑.统计与决策,2007,23(8):31～32
[21] NGUYEN D,DAS A,MEMIK G,etal.A Reconfigurable Architecture for Network Intrusion Detection Using Principal Component Analysis[C]//Proceeding of the 2006 ACM/SIGDA 14th international symposium on Field programmable gate arrays.Monterey:CA,2006
[22]孙红卫,徐天和,王玖.主成分分析用于综合评价合理性的探讨.中国卫生统计,2008,25(4):425～427
[23]Gordon Maller, Jerry Hollinden. Status of Flue Gas Desulfuritation (FCD) Technology. Radian International,1999
[24]叶宗裕.主成分综合评价方法存在的问题及改进.统计与信息论坛,2004,10(2):29～34
[25]刘淡宁.基于模糊综合法的创业投资项目评价研究:[硕士学位论文].北京:北京交通大学,2008
[26]P.Billaudel, A.Devillez, G.Villermain Lecolier. Performance evaluation of fuzzy classification methods designed for real time application. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning,1999,(20):1～20
[27]Robert C, James J B.Fuzzy hierarchical analysis: the Lambda-Max method. Fuzzy Set System, 2001, 120:181～195
[28]HORIA F.POP.Principal components analysis based on a fuzzy sets approach.STUDIA UNIV.BABES-BOLYAI,INFORMATICA,Volume XLVI,Number 2,2001:45～52
[29]孟生旺.用主成分分析法进行多指标综合评价注意的问题.统计研究,1992,(4):36
[30]童英伟,刘志斌,初玲玲.基于模糊综合评价的大气质量评价.辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版),2008,27:311～313
[31]黄琦.庞昊勇.火电厂建设项目后评价指标体系及其内容构建,太原理工大学学报1998,29(5):492～554
[32]白思俊.关于项目中评价的模型和方法研究,管理工程学报2002(增刊)016:1~4
[33]M.T. Brown, S. Ulgiati. Emergy evaluations and environmental loadingof electricity production systems. Journal of Cleaner Production.2002(10):321～334.
[34]Dr.Heinz-Georg Beiers. Environmental Protection in Gemany,Seminar of Flue Gas DesulpHurisation,2001
[35]EIACentre. A pilot study on post-project analysis in Flanders[A].EIANewsletter 12.Manchester:School of Planning and Landscape,University of Manchester,1996
[36]云力,韬娅.电力建设项目的后评价管理,内蒙古科技与经济,2008,21:157,161
[37]匡平,郭壮志.浅谈电力建设项目的后评价,湖南电力,2004,24(3):39～41
[38]曹淦.工程后评价在火电建设项目中的应用[硕士学位论文],北京:华北电力大学,2008
[39]Researching the investment of information technology in construction:An examination of evaluation practices Love,P.E.D. Automation in Construction,v14,n4,Aug.2005
[40]郭洪亮.华能曲阜电厂烟气脱硫项目后评价:[工程硕士学位论文],北京:华北电力大学,2008