保定农村电网电力需求侧管理项目实施方案研究
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摘要
电力需求侧管理是解决我国电力紧缺问题的有效手段。本文在对国内外电力需求侧管理实施经验总结的基础上,结合保定地区电源结构、用电现状分析、行业用电分析、用电特点及对保定市负荷灰色预测模型进行负荷预测的结果,论述了保定农网实施电力需求侧管理的必要性、紧迫性和可行性,同时确定了实施需求侧管理的重点。进而以一定统计数据为依据,对保定农网电力需求侧管理项目实施方案和措施进行了针对性研究及其效果分析。该项方案研究对保定农网电力需求侧管理有重要的现实借鉴意义。
Power demand side management can solve our country electric power scarce question. This article in the foundation which summarizes to the domestic and foreign power demand side management implementation experience unifies the Baoding area power source structure, the present situation analysis, the profession electricity analysis and the electricity characteristic. And the load forecast. This paper addresses that the necessity, the urgency and the feasibility of Baoding power demand side management, and simultaneously determine key point of demand side management. Then based on the certain statistical data, this paper conducts the pointed research the project alternative and measures for the Baoding power demand side management. This scheme has important reality model significance to the Baoding power demand side management.
Power demand side management can solve our country electric power scarce question. This article in the foundation which summarizes to the domestic and foreign power demand side management implementation experience unifies the Baoding area power source structure, the present situation analysis, the profession electricity analysis and the electricity characteristic. And the load forecast. This paper addresses that the necessity, the urgency and the feasibility of Baoding power demand side management, and simultaneously determine key point of demand side management. Then based on the certain statistical data, this paper conducts the pointed research the project alternative and measures for the Baoding power demand side management. This scheme has important reality model significance to the Baoding power demand side management.
引文
[1]陆启洲.全面推进电力需求侧管理--努力实现电力可持续发展[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(1):1～4
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[3]杨志荣.能源/电力要与经济和环境协调发展[J].电力需求侧管理,2001,(4)
[4]曹礼华.深圳地区推行电力需求侧管理(PDSM)的探讨[D].上海:上海交通大学工商管理,2001
[5]S.Rahman,Rinaldy.An Efficient Load Model for Analyzing Demand Side Management Impacts.IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1993, 8(3),1219～1226
[6]HuZhaoguang‘EnsureExcellentServicebyEnhancingPowerDemandSideManagement’PowerDemandSideManagementvol..3,,pp7-8,June2001
[7]YangZhirong‘PromotingDSMworksinthenewcentury’PowerDemandSideManagementvol.6,pp10-13,Dec.2000
[8]朱成章.中国电力系统的节能[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(2):2～5
[9]刘军,张步涵.胜利油田对IRP和DSM的在认识[J].电力需求侧管理,2001,(1)
[10]曾鸣著.电力需求侧管理[M].北京:中国电力出版社,2001:1～10
[11]柴松岳.总结推广先进经验--加强电力需求侧管理[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(3):4～6
[12]国家电力公司.电力需求侧管理指导中心编.电力需求侧管理资料编,2003
[13]郭大建.开发电力需求侧资源,努力实践科学发展观[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(3):10～12
[14]劳德容.发电侧如何促进需求侧管理[J].电力需求侧管理,2000,(6)
[15]陈肖红,张彩庆,齐正平.DSM激励机制及其在我国的可行性[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(5):7～9
[16]S. Rahman,Rinaldy. An Efficient Load Model for Analyzing Demand Side Management Impacts. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems,1993,8 (3):1219～1226
[17]Daniel S. Kirschen,Goran Strbac,Pariya Cumperayot,Dilemar de Paiva Mendes Factoring the Elasticity of Demand in Electricity Prices. IEEE Transa- -ctionson Power Systems,2000, 15(2):612～617
[18]美国加州能效委员会著,徐建军编译.美国加州的能效工作[J].电力需求侧管理,2000,(2)
[19]中国电力企业联合会,国家电网公司--国民经济行业用电分类指标解释.2004
[20]赵翠宇.负荷管理的效益评估[D].南京:东南大学电力系统及其自动化,2003
[21]陶莉.峰谷电价政策对负荷特性的影响[D].南京:东南大学电力系统及其自动化,2004
[22]牛东晓,曹树华,赵磊,等.电力负荷预测技术及其应用[M].北京:中国电力出版社,1998:97～188
[23]李媛媛,牛东晓.基于最优可信度的月度负荷综合最优灰色神经网络预测模型[J].电网技术,2005,29(5):16～19
[24]郭戈.电力需求侧管理(DSM)在邯郸地区调荷节电中的应用研究[D].保定:华北电力大学技术经济及管理,2002
[25]PaulMeagher著,徐建军编译.DSM发展趋势[J].电力需求侧管理,2000,(3)
[26]Roger Bjorgan, Chen-Ching Liu, Jacques Lawarree. Financial Risk Management in a Competitive Electricity Market. IEEE Transactions on power systems,1999,14(4): 1285～1291
[27]Marcelino Madrigal, Victor H. Quintana. Existence and Determination of Competitive Equilibrium in Unit Commitment Power Pool Auctions: Price Setting and Scheduling Alternatives. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2001, 3 (16):280～388
[28]J. G. Roos, I. E. Lane. Industrial Power Demand Response Analysis for One-Part Real-Time Pricing. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1998,13(1):159～164
[29]XuJianjun‘DevelopmentinDemandSideManagement’PowerDemandSideManagementvol.3,pp41～43,June2000
[30]LiWeidong‘PracticeofusingDSMtechnologytosaveelectricityincoalmine’PowerDemandSideManagement, June2001,vol.3pp44～46
[31]吕兆敏.我国电力需求侧管理激励机制及政策建议[D].北京:华北电力大学技术经济及管理,2004
[2]张国宝.加强电力需求侧管理--促进国民经济全面协调可持续发展[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(3):2～3
[3]杨志荣.能源/电力要与经济和环境协调发展[J].电力需求侧管理,2001,(4)
[4]曹礼华.深圳地区推行电力需求侧管理(PDSM)的探讨[D].上海:上海交通大学工商管理,2001
[5]S.Rahman,Rinaldy.An Efficient Load Model for Analyzing Demand Side Management Impacts.IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1993, 8(3),1219～1226
[6]HuZhaoguang‘EnsureExcellentServicebyEnhancingPowerDemandSideManagement’PowerDemandSideManagementvol..3,,pp7-8,June2001
[7]YangZhirong‘PromotingDSMworksinthenewcentury’PowerDemandSideManagementvol.6,pp10-13,Dec.2000
[8]朱成章.中国电力系统的节能[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(2):2～5
[9]刘军,张步涵.胜利油田对IRP和DSM的在认识[J].电力需求侧管理,2001,(1)
[10]曾鸣著.电力需求侧管理[M].北京:中国电力出版社,2001:1～10
[11]柴松岳.总结推广先进经验--加强电力需求侧管理[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(3):4～6
[12]国家电力公司.电力需求侧管理指导中心编.电力需求侧管理资料编,2003
[13]郭大建.开发电力需求侧资源,努力实践科学发展观[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(3):10～12
[14]劳德容.发电侧如何促进需求侧管理[J].电力需求侧管理,2000,(6)
[15]陈肖红,张彩庆,齐正平.DSM激励机制及其在我国的可行性[J].电力需求侧管理,2004,6(5):7～9
[16]S. Rahman,Rinaldy. An Efficient Load Model for Analyzing Demand Side Management Impacts. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems,1993,8 (3):1219～1226
[17]Daniel S. Kirschen,Goran Strbac,Pariya Cumperayot,Dilemar de Paiva Mendes Factoring the Elasticity of Demand in Electricity Prices. IEEE Transa- -ctionson Power Systems,2000, 15(2):612～617
[18]美国加州能效委员会著,徐建军编译.美国加州的能效工作[J].电力需求侧管理,2000,(2)
[19]中国电力企业联合会,国家电网公司--国民经济行业用电分类指标解释.2004
[20]赵翠宇.负荷管理的效益评估[D].南京:东南大学电力系统及其自动化,2003
[21]陶莉.峰谷电价政策对负荷特性的影响[D].南京:东南大学电力系统及其自动化,2004
[22]牛东晓,曹树华,赵磊,等.电力负荷预测技术及其应用[M].北京:中国电力出版社,1998:97～188
[23]李媛媛,牛东晓.基于最优可信度的月度负荷综合最优灰色神经网络预测模型[J].电网技术,2005,29(5):16～19
[24]郭戈.电力需求侧管理(DSM)在邯郸地区调荷节电中的应用研究[D].保定:华北电力大学技术经济及管理,2002
[25]PaulMeagher著,徐建军编译.DSM发展趋势[J].电力需求侧管理,2000,(3)
[26]Roger Bjorgan, Chen-Ching Liu, Jacques Lawarree. Financial Risk Management in a Competitive Electricity Market. IEEE Transactions on power systems,1999,14(4): 1285～1291
[27]Marcelino Madrigal, Victor H. Quintana. Existence and Determination of Competitive Equilibrium in Unit Commitment Power Pool Auctions: Price Setting and Scheduling Alternatives. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2001, 3 (16):280～388
[28]J. G. Roos, I. E. Lane. Industrial Power Demand Response Analysis for One-Part Real-Time Pricing. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1998,13(1):159～164
[29]XuJianjun‘DevelopmentinDemandSideManagement’PowerDemandSideManagementvol.3,pp41～43,June2000
[30]LiWeidong‘PracticeofusingDSMtechnologytosaveelectricityincoalmine’PowerDemandSideManagement, June2001,vol.3pp44～46
[31]吕兆敏.我国电力需求侧管理激励机制及政策建议[D].北京:华北电力大学技术经济及管理,2004