基于可持续发展理论的我国公路交通发展模式研究
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摘要
公路交通是国民经济发展的基础性产业和服务性行业。改革开放30年我国公路交通取得了举世瞩目的发展,为经济腾飞和社会进步提供了坚实的物质基础。但从可持续发展角度看,我国公路交通无论是在能源、土地和建筑材料的利用上,还是对生态环境和社会环境的保护方面,还有很多提升的空间。目前,我国正处于转变经济发展方式的关键时期,节约资源和保护环境是基本国策,可持续发展已经成为经济社会发展的现实选择。作为资源利用和影响环境的大户,公路交通如何在可持续发展理念的指导下,选择科学的发展模式,实现自身的可持续发展并能满足我国经济社会高速发展的交通需求,已然成为学术关注和研究的重点。
     本研究从可持续发展的视角出发,选择公路交通基础设施和营业性道路运输作为研究对象,借鉴已有的理论成果,以概念模型和量化分析为基础,提出了我国公路交通可持续发展的模式选择。全文共分7章。第1章概述了研究背景、主要研究内容和研究方法。第2章通过文献综述阐述了可持续的公路交通发展模式的内涵与特征和国外典型国家公路交通发展模式的特点。第3章对我国公路交通发展模式的现状进行了可持续性分析,构建了我国公路交通可持续发展模式的概念模型,提出了可持续发展模式选择的三个关键维度,即必须以满足能源、环境、经济的持续性为前提。第4、5、6章分别从能源利用、环境适应和资金供给三个维度对我国公路交通进行了量化分析,提出了发展模式选择的方向和实施的战略对策。第7章提出了下一步研究的建议,对未来的研究方向进行了展望。
     本研究提出了公路交通可持续发展模式的概念模型、可持续的双平衡发展特征、公路能源利用分类方法和公路资金二元统筹发展模式等概念和方法,系统完善了公路交通节能潜力的情景分析法和外部成本的测算方法,设计了收费公路债务风险识别和预警标准。这些学术上的创新将丰富交通可持续发展理论和方法体系,并将对交通发展战略和公共政策制定提供理论支撑。
Road transport plays the role of fundamental industry and national service and contributes to social and economic development enormously as its progression during last thirty years. Nonetheless, the development model of China road transport has been situated in the extensive pattern which could be improved either in the view of resource utilization such as energy, earth and construction material or environmental protection. For the critical point of China economic transformation, resource utilization and environmental protection have been settled as national policy. In the background of sustainable development as social and economic developing strategy, selection of scientific model under the guideline of sustainable development to upgrade industrial status and meet speedy growth of transportation demand simultaneously has become focus in both industrial and academic field.
     This research propose the model selection of sustainable development of China road transport with emphasis on infrastructure and commercial vehicles based on quantitative analysis, conceptual model and earlier research findings. Seven chapters are included in this research. First chapter introduces research background, research objects and methodology. Chapter Two defines the concept of sustainable development model of road transport in China. In the Chapter Three the conceptual model for the sustainable development of China road transport serving as theoretical frame for the whole research was established. This chapter clarifies three key dimensions for sustainable development of road transport referring to the demand of resource, environment and sustainability economy as the provision of developing model selection. The following three chapters make quantitative analysis from three dimensions of resource utilization, environmental adaptability and financial support to suggest direction for selection and practical strategy. The research findings, shortcoming and outlook were concluded in the final chapter.
     The innovation of this research is laid on the construction of conceptual model of sustainable road transport and dualistic model of highway financing, improvement of scenario analysis of energy saving and external cost measurement, and prewarning and monitoring of toll expressway debt risk. This research will enrich theory and methodology of sustainable road transport in China.
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