辽宁省公共支出对经济增长影响的实证研究
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摘要
公共支出对经济增长影响是当前宏观经济研究领域的一个重要问题,也是今后一个时期财政政策发展和改革的重要课题。自1978年改革开放以来,我国的经济体制逐步从计划经济向市场经济过渡,社会主义市场经济经历了发展到不断完善的过程,但是由于市场经济自身存在着垄断、公共物品、外部性、信息不对称等缺陷,政府作为宏观调控政策的制定者其作用是极其重要的,目前我们的政府宏观调控的能力在不断成熟,这一点上是值得肯定的。但是,在某些发展领域影响社会和谐的矛盾仍然存在,城乡发展、区域发展的差距仍在加大;就业、医疗、教育、住房这些人民群众最关心的民生问题亟待解决;人口、资源环境压力加大……这些问题的存在,要求我们在向市场经济转型的过程中,不能过分依靠市场,必须充分发挥政府的宏观调控作用,合理调整公共支出,全面统筹经济社会发展,提高经济发展绩效。
在政府的宏观调控过程中,财政政策是其最重要的调控手段之一,而公共支出作为财政政策的主要杠杆,其支出的规模和结构对于经济增长都有着重要的影响。在我国实行了财政分权的改革后,地方政府有了更高的支配权,因此对于地方的公共支出的研究就更加重要。因此,这篇文章从公共支出与经济增长的理论入手,从公共支出的规模和结构两个角度对辽宁省的公共支出进行了实证分析,探究了辽宁省公共支出的最佳规模,得出目前公共支出各部分在经济增长中所发挥的作用,并针对目前公共支出方面所暴露的问题提出调整对策,以促进经济稳步增长。
It is an important issue that public expenditure affects economy growth in the field of macroeconomic research, the fiscal policy development and reform in the future as well. China’s economic system has changed from planned economy to market economy gradually since reform and opening up in 1978. The socialist market economy has experienced the process from development to constantly improve. But since there are defaults such as monopoly, public goods, external as well as asymmetric information in the market economy itself, government play an important role of the makers of macroeconomic policy. At present, the point is worth for sure that the ability of our government in macro-control has constantly matured, but there still exist inconsistencies impacting social harmony in some areas of developments, such as the gaps between urban and rural, and region are still increasing, employment, medical treatment, education and housing. There are so many problems that people most concerned urgently to be solved, the pressures of population, resource and environmental get more and more severe. These problems require us not to rely too much on market in the process of changing to a market economy, we must fully play the role of government’s macro-control, meanwhile adjust the public expenditure reasonably, manage the economic and social development, improve economic performance comprehensively.
In the process of government's macroeconomic control, fiscal policy is one of the most important measures, and public expenditure as the main lever of fiscal policy, its scale and structure have important effects on economic growth. After the reform of fiscal decentralization in our country, the local government has higher vies, so the research on local public expenditure is more important. In this article we introduce related theory of public expenditure and economic growth, then do empirical research on Liaoning Province from the scale and structure of public expenditure, and get the best public expenditure size of Liaoning Province, also achieve the role of every part of public expenditure on economic growth. Finally according to the exposed problems, we propose strategies to promote economic growth steadily.
在政府的宏观调控过程中,财政政策是其最重要的调控手段之一,而公共支出作为财政政策的主要杠杆,其支出的规模和结构对于经济增长都有着重要的影响。在我国实行了财政分权的改革后,地方政府有了更高的支配权,因此对于地方的公共支出的研究就更加重要。因此,这篇文章从公共支出与经济增长的理论入手,从公共支出的规模和结构两个角度对辽宁省的公共支出进行了实证分析,探究了辽宁省公共支出的最佳规模,得出目前公共支出各部分在经济增长中所发挥的作用,并针对目前公共支出方面所暴露的问题提出调整对策,以促进经济稳步增长。
It is an important issue that public expenditure affects economy growth in the field of macroeconomic research, the fiscal policy development and reform in the future as well. China’s economic system has changed from planned economy to market economy gradually since reform and opening up in 1978. The socialist market economy has experienced the process from development to constantly improve. But since there are defaults such as monopoly, public goods, external as well as asymmetric information in the market economy itself, government play an important role of the makers of macroeconomic policy. At present, the point is worth for sure that the ability of our government in macro-control has constantly matured, but there still exist inconsistencies impacting social harmony in some areas of developments, such as the gaps between urban and rural, and region are still increasing, employment, medical treatment, education and housing. There are so many problems that people most concerned urgently to be solved, the pressures of population, resource and environmental get more and more severe. These problems require us not to rely too much on market in the process of changing to a market economy, we must fully play the role of government’s macro-control, meanwhile adjust the public expenditure reasonably, manage the economic and social development, improve economic performance comprehensively.
In the process of government's macroeconomic control, fiscal policy is one of the most important measures, and public expenditure as the main lever of fiscal policy, its scale and structure have important effects on economic growth. After the reform of fiscal decentralization in our country, the local government has higher vies, so the research on local public expenditure is more important. In this article we introduce related theory of public expenditure and economic growth, then do empirical research on Liaoning Province from the scale and structure of public expenditure, and get the best public expenditure size of Liaoning Province, also achieve the role of every part of public expenditure on economic growth. Finally according to the exposed problems, we propose strategies to promote economic growth steadily.
引文
①沈坤荣,付文林.中国经济增长的动力机制与发展方式转变[J].江苏行政学院学报,2011(01):25
①王小利.我国GDP长期增长中公共支出效应的实证分析[J].财经研究,2005(4):45
①易丹辉.数据分析与Eviews应用[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2008:161-171
[1] Bruno Ventelou,Xavier Bry. The role of public spending in economic growth: Envelopment methods[J]. Journal of Policy Modeling,2006,28: 403-413
[2] Luis A. Rivas. Income taxes. spending composition and long-run growth[J]. European Economic Review ,2003,47: 477-503
[3] Shantayanan Devarajan,Vinaya Swaroop,Heng-fu Zou. The composition of expenditure and economic growth[J]. Journal of Monetary Economics, 1996,37: 313-344
[4] Sanjeev Gupta,Benedict Clement,Emanuele Baldacci,Carlos Mulas-Granados. Fiscal policy,expenditure composition and growth in low-income countries[J]. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2005,24: 441-463
[5] Stefan Folster. Magnus Henrekson. Growth effects of gocernment expenditure and taxation in rich countries:A reply[J]. European Economic Review,2006,50: 219-221
[6]陈文.地方公共支出框架的界定:经济增长效应分析[D].硕士学位论文,厦门大学,2007
[7]邓东林,张伟丽和刘海英.引入政府支出的最优经济增长模型研究[J].西南交通大学学报(社会科学版),2008(6):120-123
[8]顾剑华,磨玉峰.政府公共支出及其最优规模实证分析[J].商业时代,2008(29):57-58
[9]郭进伟.公共支出结构与经济发展绩效[D].博士学位论文,吉林大学,2007
[10]韩占府.西部地方政府公共财政支出与经济增长研究[D].博士学位论文,西北大学,2008
[11]金戈.公共支出与经济增长关系的实证研究:一个文献综述[J].浙江社会科学,2009(6):106-114
[12]李超.转型时期我国公共支出演变研究[D].硕士学位论文,山东大学,2009
[13]刘俊英.公共支出转型及其经济发展效应研究[D].博士学位论文,河南大学,2009
[14]吕炜.公平增长与公共支出的政策安排[J].经济社会体制比较,2004(5):12-29
[15] N.格里高利.曼昆.张帆,梁晓钟译.宏观经济学(第五版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2005
[16]舒成.中国地方财政分权体制下的地方公共品供给—理论与实证[D].博士学位论文,江西财经大学,2010
[17]汤志强.湖南省公共支出对经济增长影响的实证研究[D].硕士学位论文,湖南大学,2008
[18]汪博兴.公共支出的规模和结构会经济发展的影响分析(1978-2006)[J].襄樊职业技术学院学报,2008(5):28-30
[19]王莉.财政支出对西部农业经济增长的效应分析[J].云南财经大学学报,2007(4):17-20
[20]王玉华.我国财政支出结构研究[D].博士学位论文,东北财经大学,2007
[21]夏一丹.公共支出规模与结构对经济增长效应的动态研究[D].硕士学位论文,湖南大学,2007
[22]易丹辉.数据分析与Eviews应用[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2008
[23]张娟.我国各省公共支出对经济增长的影响—基于面板数据模型的分析[J].金融教学与研究,2008(6):47-49
[24]郑晓玲.我国财政支出结构与经济增长的实证分析[J].西安财经学院学报,2004(12):50-54
①王小利.我国GDP长期增长中公共支出效应的实证分析[J].财经研究,2005(4):45
①易丹辉.数据分析与Eviews应用[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2008:161-171
[1] Bruno Ventelou,Xavier Bry. The role of public spending in economic growth: Envelopment methods[J]. Journal of Policy Modeling,2006,28: 403-413
[2] Luis A. Rivas. Income taxes. spending composition and long-run growth[J]. European Economic Review ,2003,47: 477-503
[3] Shantayanan Devarajan,Vinaya Swaroop,Heng-fu Zou. The composition of expenditure and economic growth[J]. Journal of Monetary Economics, 1996,37: 313-344
[4] Sanjeev Gupta,Benedict Clement,Emanuele Baldacci,Carlos Mulas-Granados. Fiscal policy,expenditure composition and growth in low-income countries[J]. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2005,24: 441-463
[5] Stefan Folster. Magnus Henrekson. Growth effects of gocernment expenditure and taxation in rich countries:A reply[J]. European Economic Review,2006,50: 219-221
[6]陈文.地方公共支出框架的界定:经济增长效应分析[D].硕士学位论文,厦门大学,2007
[7]邓东林,张伟丽和刘海英.引入政府支出的最优经济增长模型研究[J].西南交通大学学报(社会科学版),2008(6):120-123
[8]顾剑华,磨玉峰.政府公共支出及其最优规模实证分析[J].商业时代,2008(29):57-58
[9]郭进伟.公共支出结构与经济发展绩效[D].博士学位论文,吉林大学,2007
[10]韩占府.西部地方政府公共财政支出与经济增长研究[D].博士学位论文,西北大学,2008
[11]金戈.公共支出与经济增长关系的实证研究:一个文献综述[J].浙江社会科学,2009(6):106-114
[12]李超.转型时期我国公共支出演变研究[D].硕士学位论文,山东大学,2009
[13]刘俊英.公共支出转型及其经济发展效应研究[D].博士学位论文,河南大学,2009
[14]吕炜.公平增长与公共支出的政策安排[J].经济社会体制比较,2004(5):12-29
[15] N.格里高利.曼昆.张帆,梁晓钟译.宏观经济学(第五版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2005
[16]舒成.中国地方财政分权体制下的地方公共品供给—理论与实证[D].博士学位论文,江西财经大学,2010
[17]汤志强.湖南省公共支出对经济增长影响的实证研究[D].硕士学位论文,湖南大学,2008
[18]汪博兴.公共支出的规模和结构会经济发展的影响分析(1978-2006)[J].襄樊职业技术学院学报,2008(5):28-30
[19]王莉.财政支出对西部农业经济增长的效应分析[J].云南财经大学学报,2007(4):17-20
[20]王玉华.我国财政支出结构研究[D].博士学位论文,东北财经大学,2007
[21]夏一丹.公共支出规模与结构对经济增长效应的动态研究[D].硕士学位论文,湖南大学,2007
[22]易丹辉.数据分析与Eviews应用[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2008
[23]张娟.我国各省公共支出对经济增长的影响—基于面板数据模型的分析[J].金融教学与研究,2008(6):47-49
[24]郑晓玲.我国财政支出结构与经济增长的实证分析[J].西安财经学院学报,2004(12):50-54