基于可持续发展理念的浙江省水资源优化配置研究
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摘要
随着世界各国经济的快速发展和人口的急剧增加,全球性水资源危机对人类社会的威胁日益凸显。在我国,近十几年来,工农业生产、居民生活用水量不断增长,而水污染、节水效率低与水资源短缺等问题却没有得到妥善的解决,全国部分地区水资源供需矛盾十分突出,严重的制约了社会经济的可持续发展。因此,结合区域自身情况,统筹代际间的协调发展,加强水资源的优化配置成了解决当前水资源问题的必然趋势。
本文总结分析了水资源优化配置的国内外研究进展,指出了目前水资源优化配置的不足,在分析水资源系统构成及其特点的基础上,建立了基于可持续发展理念的区域水资源优化配置模型,并探讨了模型的求解方法。同时运用多参数区域水资源利用潜力评价模型对浙江省水资源做了可持续发展度的评估。并基于浙江省水资源的供需现状,进行了水资源优化配置的实例研究。
文章前两章从可持续发展的角度出发分析了现状水资源配置存在的问题,具体阐述了可持续发展理论,以及水资源体系、经济系统和生态系统的相互作用关系,并尝试运用数学手段对多参数区域水资源利用潜力评价问题进行描述,选取了浙江省作为实例研究,得出了相关评价结果。
文章三、四两章系统论述了水资源优化配置的主要研究内容、基本原则、配置方式、目标度量、价值规律等基本理论,详细探讨了水资源优化配置的实现机制。在此基础上,以可持续发展理论为依据,建立了区域水资源可持续利用优化配置模型。
论文的最后部分将研究模型应用到区域实际情况中去,选取浙江省为研究对象,建立了该地区基于可持续发展理念的水资源优化配置模型,并进行计算机编程求解。随后对浙江省水资源优化配置模型的求解结果进行了供需平衡分析、优化配置目标与生态、经济协调发展的分析,以期为区域水资源可持续利用规划提供决策依据。
With the rapid development of economy and the increase of population, the threat of global water crisis arose and is becoming more and more serious. As far as China is concerned, the amount of water needed for production and living have gone up steadily for decades while problems such as water pollution,low-efficiency of water usage and shortage of water resources still exist. In some regions of the country, the conflict between supply and demand of water turns out to be very serious, and hampers the sustainable development of the society. Therefore, considering the condition of region itself, to approach development over generations in harmony and to strengthen rational allocation of water resources is becoming the only solution to deal with a series of water problem.This paper summarizes the current theories of water allocation and builds optimal water allocation model which is sustainable development oriented, based on comprehensive analysis of the character and constitution of water resources system. It also comes out with the solution of computing model.Furthermore, study takes Zhejiang province as an example, firstly tries to evaluate its regional sustainable development extent of water resources grounded on multi-parameter potential evaluation model, and secondly carries out the optimal allocation of regional water resources.In the first two chapters, study points out the shortcomings of optimal allocation of water resources at present and expatiates on the theory of sustainable development and the interrelationship coexisted among water, economic and ecological system. Mathematical means is used to approach the resolution of multi-parameter potential evaluation of water resources. The model built is applied to Zhejiang province, results and related analyses are stated.In the following two chapters, the paper dissertate the main study contents, the basic principles, the allocation methods, and the objects of water optimal allocation. Furthermore, discuss in detail the realizing system of the optimal allocation, and discuss the allocation system and some balance relation.Then, summarize the main theories of water optimal allocation and the developing direction of the theory. In the end, the optimal model of water allocation grounded on sustainable development
theory is built on.In the last part of the paper, study takes Zhejiang province as an example and builds its allocation model considering regional specific condition. Providing water demand and supply data, eight schemes of water distribution are computed. Study works on these results and analyses regional water supply-demand equilibrium together with coordinate development of ecology-economy system.Through these efforts, study tries to offer help for decision making of regional water planning.
本文总结分析了水资源优化配置的国内外研究进展,指出了目前水资源优化配置的不足,在分析水资源系统构成及其特点的基础上,建立了基于可持续发展理念的区域水资源优化配置模型,并探讨了模型的求解方法。同时运用多参数区域水资源利用潜力评价模型对浙江省水资源做了可持续发展度的评估。并基于浙江省水资源的供需现状,进行了水资源优化配置的实例研究。
文章前两章从可持续发展的角度出发分析了现状水资源配置存在的问题,具体阐述了可持续发展理论,以及水资源体系、经济系统和生态系统的相互作用关系,并尝试运用数学手段对多参数区域水资源利用潜力评价问题进行描述,选取了浙江省作为实例研究,得出了相关评价结果。
文章三、四两章系统论述了水资源优化配置的主要研究内容、基本原则、配置方式、目标度量、价值规律等基本理论,详细探讨了水资源优化配置的实现机制。在此基础上,以可持续发展理论为依据,建立了区域水资源可持续利用优化配置模型。
论文的最后部分将研究模型应用到区域实际情况中去,选取浙江省为研究对象,建立了该地区基于可持续发展理念的水资源优化配置模型,并进行计算机编程求解。随后对浙江省水资源优化配置模型的求解结果进行了供需平衡分析、优化配置目标与生态、经济协调发展的分析,以期为区域水资源可持续利用规划提供决策依据。
With the rapid development of economy and the increase of population, the threat of global water crisis arose and is becoming more and more serious. As far as China is concerned, the amount of water needed for production and living have gone up steadily for decades while problems such as water pollution,low-efficiency of water usage and shortage of water resources still exist. In some regions of the country, the conflict between supply and demand of water turns out to be very serious, and hampers the sustainable development of the society. Therefore, considering the condition of region itself, to approach development over generations in harmony and to strengthen rational allocation of water resources is becoming the only solution to deal with a series of water problem.This paper summarizes the current theories of water allocation and builds optimal water allocation model which is sustainable development oriented, based on comprehensive analysis of the character and constitution of water resources system. It also comes out with the solution of computing model.Furthermore, study takes Zhejiang province as an example, firstly tries to evaluate its regional sustainable development extent of water resources grounded on multi-parameter potential evaluation model, and secondly carries out the optimal allocation of regional water resources.In the first two chapters, study points out the shortcomings of optimal allocation of water resources at present and expatiates on the theory of sustainable development and the interrelationship coexisted among water, economic and ecological system. Mathematical means is used to approach the resolution of multi-parameter potential evaluation of water resources. The model built is applied to Zhejiang province, results and related analyses are stated.In the following two chapters, the paper dissertate the main study contents, the basic principles, the allocation methods, and the objects of water optimal allocation. Furthermore, discuss in detail the realizing system of the optimal allocation, and discuss the allocation system and some balance relation.Then, summarize the main theories of water optimal allocation and the developing direction of the theory. In the end, the optimal model of water allocation grounded on sustainable development
theory is built on.In the last part of the paper, study takes Zhejiang province as an example and builds its allocation model considering regional specific condition. Providing water demand and supply data, eight schemes of water distribution are computed. Study works on these results and analyses regional water supply-demand equilibrium together with coordinate development of ecology-economy system.Through these efforts, study tries to offer help for decision making of regional water planning.
引文
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