中国东北地区资源承载力研究
|
摘要
自然资源是人类社会发展的基础,随着人口和经济发展水平的快速增长,经济发展与自然资源基础的协调已成为地区可持续发展的基本目标。作为我国21世纪资源开发的重要地区,东北地区的资源开发利用将对我国社会经济发展起举足轻重的作用。作为一个完整的区域系统,其资源承载力的研究在我国具有典型的意义。
本文在可持续发展、生态经济和系统科学等理论的指导下,运用多因素模糊综合评价方法,确定东北地区资源承载能力的负荷状态,指出东北地区经济发展与资源利用中面临的主要障碍因子,并利用系统动态仿真模型,模拟在不同发展方案下东北地区资源承载与人口、经济发展的关系及变化趋势,提出提升东北地区资源承载力的对策。
Natural resources are indispensable foundation and indemnification in socio-economic development. Without the sustainable utilization of natural resources, neither the sustainable development of the national economy, nor that of the society is possible. With the rapid development of our national economy since the Reform and Opening-up, the demands for natural resources have been increasing. In China there are two interactive causes that make the shortage of natural resources severer and severer: the limited supply of natural resources and unlimited demands for natural resources in economic growth. Our government meets this problem by taking saving resources as the basic national policy, bringing the establishment of resource-saving society into the“Eleventh Five-Year Plan”. The government also requires the environment-friendly use of natural resources to actualize the ecological changes of economic activity. This undoubtedly increases the total amount of resources and promotes the resources carrying.
Northeast China is rich in resources. It has a long history of resources development. In recent years, our government carries out the policies to revitalize the northeastern region, which stimulates the economic development in Northeast China effectively. At the same time, there is still a large gap between the northeastern region and the eastern part of our country at the level of economic development and the pace of development. Whether the resources of the northeastern region will guarantee the future economic growth has become a focus in the government and scholars’mind. This is exactly the issue studied in this paper.
Under the guidance of sustainable development theory, ecological economics theory and systematic science theory, etc., this thesis focuses on the laws between the demands of northeast China’s economic development for natural resources and the limited supply of natural resources. This paper investigates the resources carrying quantifying method and models by using multi-subject intersection approaches. It considers resources, population and regional development as a whole, fully reflects the basic characteristics of its comprehensiveness, macro scope, and integration. It recognizes the resources environment-- socio-economy compound ecosystem as the object of study, takes sustainable development as the target, and employs the method of fuzzy mathematical model and systematic analysis to calculate and analyze the carrying capacity of resources in Northeast China.
Firstly, the thesis defines the indicator system of this study. The assessment of resources carrying is a multi-level and multi-objective compound system. The size of resources carrying reflects the balance among the economic system, resource system and social system. In order to show the multidimensional vector, it is imperative to use a set of multilevel indicator system. The evaluation system of resources carrying capacity directly reflects the land carrying capacity, water resources carrying capacity, forest resources carrying capacity, energy resources carrying capacity and mineral resources carrying capacity, etc. It is an important manifestation of carrying capacity of resources. It is a collection formed on certain principles with different attribute characters. These indicator sets possess the function to describe current situation of the resources carrying capacity. On the one hand, the evaluation system of resources carrying capacity should reflect the comprehensive resources carrying. On the other hand, it should indicate the differences among carrying capacities of different resources. Therefore, this thesis designs a general framework for the evaluation system of resources carrying capacity, including three layers: the goal layer, the criteria layer, and the indicator layer. The evaluation index mainly reflects the natural resources carrying, socio-economic carrying, and ecological carrying.
Secondly, combined with socio-economic development goals in northeast region, this thesis employs fuzzy discriminating models to assess these multiple factors generally, so as to evaluate the regional carrying capacity of resources comprehensively. Considering the factors which influence resources carrying capacity are massive and multi-leveled, in order to avoid the difficulty of weight distribution, this paper adopts the following approaches to acquire the comprehensive evaluation of resources carrying capacity in Northeast China. First of all, this thesis divides the evaluation factors set into 3 subsets according to its resources attributes: land carrying capacity, water resources carrying capacity and other resources carrying capacity. Then, the paper adopts fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to assess each subset. Finally, the author employs multi-level fuzzy judgment to reassess the evaluation results of these three subsets. After careful calculation and analysis, the thesis obtains the comprehensive evaluation result of the resources carrying capacity in northeast China.
As those research results indicate, the comprehensive evaluation result of water carrying capacity in northeast China is 0.333, the comprehensive evaluation results of land carrying capacity is 0.725. Therefore, water carrying capacity in northeast China is relatively weak, which is the limiting factors affect the socio-economic development in this region. Land carrying capacity in Northeast China is relatively strong, which can better support the socio-economic development in Northeast China. After assigning weight on land, water, and other resources in the light of layer balanced method, the author finds the comprehensive resources carrying capacity is 0.502. This result indicates that the comprehensive resources carrying capacity is relatively good.
Thirdly, in order to analyze the relationship among resources carrying capacity, population, and socio-economic development in Northeast China, in subsequent chapters this paper manages to conduct dynamic analog simulation in the light of system dynamics. According to decomposition-coordination principle in system theory, the resources system in Northeast China consists of 3 subsystems: population, water, land resources subsystems. Each subsystem is formed by many elements, for instance, water resources subsystem includes agricultural water consumption, industrial water consumption, ecological water consumption, etc. All the components in this system interact and influence each other, so do subsystems. Through analyzing the causality among components, the article constructs a flow chart of dynamic feedback, also conducts analog simulation. The model boundary set in this paper in three Northeast Provinces. The time boundary is from 2006 to 2030. It takes the year of 2006 as the base period of simulation. It predicts the relationship among population, socio-economic development and resources carrying capacity in Northeast China from the year of 2010 to 2030, and predicts the future changes.
The coordinative development of resources carrying capacity and economic growth is largely influenced by population growth rate, water ration, water duty of industry, industrial economic development level, etc. These parameters affect the system behavior and evolution trend. On the basis of the economic development in Northeast China, resource condition, planning target, etc., the author adjusts these important parameters of the above mentioned models. This article starts with four strategic points: population explosion, resource consumption, economic development and resources development. Different parameter combinations make different developing plans. Through a variety of adjustment and control experiment on developing plans, the article investigates the relationship among natural resources carrying capacity, population and economic development, as well as its evolution features. In this thesis Plan One is a conventional development model whose original parameters develop through inertia. Plan Two is a high-speed development model which takes economic development as the major issue. Plan Three is an economic development model which takes effective utilization of resources into consideration. Plan Four is a coordinative development model.
These 4 different developing plans are based on different parameter combinations. After the adjustment and control experiment on each developing plan, Plan Four is the only one whose load factor of cultivated land resources is increasing year by year. In that plan, during the fixed time period, there isn’t any problem of water resource shortage. Therefore, the result shows that Plan Four is more rational than the other three plans. In these four plans, land resource is always able to bear the population growth and socio-economic development in Northeast China. However, water resource shows different carrying in different schemes. Hence, in Northeast China, the“bottleneck”for sustainable development is how to achieve the optimal management, development and utilization of water resources effectively.
Fourthly, this paper adopts the methods of relative synthetic carrying capacity of resources to make comparisons among carrying dynamic changes, among carrying differences of different regions in Northeast China. The thesis also compares the northeastern region with the eastern, central and western parts of China to conduct analyses. Compared with the whole nation, the southeastern region’s relative carrying capacity of resources is in surplus status. The contribution ratio of natural resources to synthetic carrying capacity is above 50%, which indicates that it is mainly natural resources that support the relative synthetic carrying capacity of resources. The advantage of natural resource in Northeast China is significant. However, the carrying capacity of economic resources should be strengthened.
There are regional differences within the northeastern area. As for relative carrying capacity of economic resources, the state in Liaoning Province is in surplus, while that of Jilin and Heilongjiang are in overloading status. These results indicate that economic development level in Liaoning is superior to the average level in Northeast China. As for relative carrying capacity of natural resources, the state in Heilongjiang is in surplus, the state of Jilin is in critical, while that of Liaoning is in overloading status. These results show that the possession quantity of natural resources is higher than the average level in Northeast China.
After we compare the conditions in East, Central, West and Northeast China, we may get the following results. The relative carrying capacity of economic resources in West China is the strongest one. The overloading of economic resources is the most serious in the western part. These results indicate that the economic development level in the eastern part is the highest, while that of the western part is relatively weak. The overload of the natural resources in East China is serious, which shows that the natural resource base is weak there. At the meantime, in the central and western regions, the deficiency of natural resources is not enough to offset the integrated resource overload caused by economical underdevelopment.
Finally, the author brings out some countermeasures to promote the resources carrying capacity, improve the ecological environment, and push forward the socio-economic sustainable development. The economic developmental strategies are formulated to guide the direction of socio-economic development, to adjust people’s traditional mode of using natural resources. The strategies are also established to implement the concepts of the sustainable use of natural resources and the sustainability of management. The paper suggests to get rid of the one-sided blind pursuit of regional economic growth, ensure the setting of the goal of economic growth does not exceed the scope of the carrying capacity of natural resources. Northeast China should promote its carrying capacity of natural resources through developing circular economy, improving the efficiency of resource use, ameliorating the ecological environment, pushing forward industrial restructuring, and integrating regional resources, so as to achieve regional socio-economic sustainable development.
本文在可持续发展、生态经济和系统科学等理论的指导下,运用多因素模糊综合评价方法,确定东北地区资源承载能力的负荷状态,指出东北地区经济发展与资源利用中面临的主要障碍因子,并利用系统动态仿真模型,模拟在不同发展方案下东北地区资源承载与人口、经济发展的关系及变化趋势,提出提升东北地区资源承载力的对策。
Natural resources are indispensable foundation and indemnification in socio-economic development. Without the sustainable utilization of natural resources, neither the sustainable development of the national economy, nor that of the society is possible. With the rapid development of our national economy since the Reform and Opening-up, the demands for natural resources have been increasing. In China there are two interactive causes that make the shortage of natural resources severer and severer: the limited supply of natural resources and unlimited demands for natural resources in economic growth. Our government meets this problem by taking saving resources as the basic national policy, bringing the establishment of resource-saving society into the“Eleventh Five-Year Plan”. The government also requires the environment-friendly use of natural resources to actualize the ecological changes of economic activity. This undoubtedly increases the total amount of resources and promotes the resources carrying.
Northeast China is rich in resources. It has a long history of resources development. In recent years, our government carries out the policies to revitalize the northeastern region, which stimulates the economic development in Northeast China effectively. At the same time, there is still a large gap between the northeastern region and the eastern part of our country at the level of economic development and the pace of development. Whether the resources of the northeastern region will guarantee the future economic growth has become a focus in the government and scholars’mind. This is exactly the issue studied in this paper.
Under the guidance of sustainable development theory, ecological economics theory and systematic science theory, etc., this thesis focuses on the laws between the demands of northeast China’s economic development for natural resources and the limited supply of natural resources. This paper investigates the resources carrying quantifying method and models by using multi-subject intersection approaches. It considers resources, population and regional development as a whole, fully reflects the basic characteristics of its comprehensiveness, macro scope, and integration. It recognizes the resources environment-- socio-economy compound ecosystem as the object of study, takes sustainable development as the target, and employs the method of fuzzy mathematical model and systematic analysis to calculate and analyze the carrying capacity of resources in Northeast China.
Firstly, the thesis defines the indicator system of this study. The assessment of resources carrying is a multi-level and multi-objective compound system. The size of resources carrying reflects the balance among the economic system, resource system and social system. In order to show the multidimensional vector, it is imperative to use a set of multilevel indicator system. The evaluation system of resources carrying capacity directly reflects the land carrying capacity, water resources carrying capacity, forest resources carrying capacity, energy resources carrying capacity and mineral resources carrying capacity, etc. It is an important manifestation of carrying capacity of resources. It is a collection formed on certain principles with different attribute characters. These indicator sets possess the function to describe current situation of the resources carrying capacity. On the one hand, the evaluation system of resources carrying capacity should reflect the comprehensive resources carrying. On the other hand, it should indicate the differences among carrying capacities of different resources. Therefore, this thesis designs a general framework for the evaluation system of resources carrying capacity, including three layers: the goal layer, the criteria layer, and the indicator layer. The evaluation index mainly reflects the natural resources carrying, socio-economic carrying, and ecological carrying.
Secondly, combined with socio-economic development goals in northeast region, this thesis employs fuzzy discriminating models to assess these multiple factors generally, so as to evaluate the regional carrying capacity of resources comprehensively. Considering the factors which influence resources carrying capacity are massive and multi-leveled, in order to avoid the difficulty of weight distribution, this paper adopts the following approaches to acquire the comprehensive evaluation of resources carrying capacity in Northeast China. First of all, this thesis divides the evaluation factors set into 3 subsets according to its resources attributes: land carrying capacity, water resources carrying capacity and other resources carrying capacity. Then, the paper adopts fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to assess each subset. Finally, the author employs multi-level fuzzy judgment to reassess the evaluation results of these three subsets. After careful calculation and analysis, the thesis obtains the comprehensive evaluation result of the resources carrying capacity in northeast China.
As those research results indicate, the comprehensive evaluation result of water carrying capacity in northeast China is 0.333, the comprehensive evaluation results of land carrying capacity is 0.725. Therefore, water carrying capacity in northeast China is relatively weak, which is the limiting factors affect the socio-economic development in this region. Land carrying capacity in Northeast China is relatively strong, which can better support the socio-economic development in Northeast China. After assigning weight on land, water, and other resources in the light of layer balanced method, the author finds the comprehensive resources carrying capacity is 0.502. This result indicates that the comprehensive resources carrying capacity is relatively good.
Thirdly, in order to analyze the relationship among resources carrying capacity, population, and socio-economic development in Northeast China, in subsequent chapters this paper manages to conduct dynamic analog simulation in the light of system dynamics. According to decomposition-coordination principle in system theory, the resources system in Northeast China consists of 3 subsystems: population, water, land resources subsystems. Each subsystem is formed by many elements, for instance, water resources subsystem includes agricultural water consumption, industrial water consumption, ecological water consumption, etc. All the components in this system interact and influence each other, so do subsystems. Through analyzing the causality among components, the article constructs a flow chart of dynamic feedback, also conducts analog simulation. The model boundary set in this paper in three Northeast Provinces. The time boundary is from 2006 to 2030. It takes the year of 2006 as the base period of simulation. It predicts the relationship among population, socio-economic development and resources carrying capacity in Northeast China from the year of 2010 to 2030, and predicts the future changes.
The coordinative development of resources carrying capacity and economic growth is largely influenced by population growth rate, water ration, water duty of industry, industrial economic development level, etc. These parameters affect the system behavior and evolution trend. On the basis of the economic development in Northeast China, resource condition, planning target, etc., the author adjusts these important parameters of the above mentioned models. This article starts with four strategic points: population explosion, resource consumption, economic development and resources development. Different parameter combinations make different developing plans. Through a variety of adjustment and control experiment on developing plans, the article investigates the relationship among natural resources carrying capacity, population and economic development, as well as its evolution features. In this thesis Plan One is a conventional development model whose original parameters develop through inertia. Plan Two is a high-speed development model which takes economic development as the major issue. Plan Three is an economic development model which takes effective utilization of resources into consideration. Plan Four is a coordinative development model.
These 4 different developing plans are based on different parameter combinations. After the adjustment and control experiment on each developing plan, Plan Four is the only one whose load factor of cultivated land resources is increasing year by year. In that plan, during the fixed time period, there isn’t any problem of water resource shortage. Therefore, the result shows that Plan Four is more rational than the other three plans. In these four plans, land resource is always able to bear the population growth and socio-economic development in Northeast China. However, water resource shows different carrying in different schemes. Hence, in Northeast China, the“bottleneck”for sustainable development is how to achieve the optimal management, development and utilization of water resources effectively.
Fourthly, this paper adopts the methods of relative synthetic carrying capacity of resources to make comparisons among carrying dynamic changes, among carrying differences of different regions in Northeast China. The thesis also compares the northeastern region with the eastern, central and western parts of China to conduct analyses. Compared with the whole nation, the southeastern region’s relative carrying capacity of resources is in surplus status. The contribution ratio of natural resources to synthetic carrying capacity is above 50%, which indicates that it is mainly natural resources that support the relative synthetic carrying capacity of resources. The advantage of natural resource in Northeast China is significant. However, the carrying capacity of economic resources should be strengthened.
There are regional differences within the northeastern area. As for relative carrying capacity of economic resources, the state in Liaoning Province is in surplus, while that of Jilin and Heilongjiang are in overloading status. These results indicate that economic development level in Liaoning is superior to the average level in Northeast China. As for relative carrying capacity of natural resources, the state in Heilongjiang is in surplus, the state of Jilin is in critical, while that of Liaoning is in overloading status. These results show that the possession quantity of natural resources is higher than the average level in Northeast China.
After we compare the conditions in East, Central, West and Northeast China, we may get the following results. The relative carrying capacity of economic resources in West China is the strongest one. The overloading of economic resources is the most serious in the western part. These results indicate that the economic development level in the eastern part is the highest, while that of the western part is relatively weak. The overload of the natural resources in East China is serious, which shows that the natural resource base is weak there. At the meantime, in the central and western regions, the deficiency of natural resources is not enough to offset the integrated resource overload caused by economical underdevelopment.
Finally, the author brings out some countermeasures to promote the resources carrying capacity, improve the ecological environment, and push forward the socio-economic sustainable development. The economic developmental strategies are formulated to guide the direction of socio-economic development, to adjust people’s traditional mode of using natural resources. The strategies are also established to implement the concepts of the sustainable use of natural resources and the sustainability of management. The paper suggests to get rid of the one-sided blind pursuit of regional economic growth, ensure the setting of the goal of economic growth does not exceed the scope of the carrying capacity of natural resources. Northeast China should promote its carrying capacity of natural resources through developing circular economy, improving the efficiency of resource use, ameliorating the ecological environment, pushing forward industrial restructuring, and integrating regional resources, so as to achieve regional socio-economic sustainable development.
引文
1刘书楷.刘书楷文选第一集[M].北京:学苑出版社,1999:16.
2中华人民共和国环境保护法,北京:法律出版社,2003.
3 UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A Resources Accounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
4 IUCN/UNEP/WWF.Caring for the Earth:A Strategy for Sustainable Living[M].IUCN. Switzerland,1991.
5姚治君,刘宝勤等.基于区域发展目标下的水资源承载能力研究[J].水科学进展,2005,16(1):109-113.
6牛文元.持续发展导论[M].北京:科学出版社,1994:1-6.
7马爱锄.西北开发资源环境承载力研究[D].陕西:西北农林科技大学,2003:74.
8焦胜,曾光明,曹麻茹等.城市生态规划概论[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2006:93.
9左其亭等.城市水资源承载能力—理论·方法·应用[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:47-61.
10陈英姿,景跃军.吉林省相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].人口学刊,2006,(1):46-48.
11 UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A Resources Accounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
12毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
13 Allan W A.Studies in African Land Usage in Northern Rhodesia,Rhodes Livingstone Papers and No.15[M].Cape Town:Oxford University Press , 1949.
14毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
15中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究课题组.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1991,10.
16陈百明.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究方法论概述[J].自然资源学报,1991,6(3):197-205.
17黄宁生.广东资源承载力探讨[J].中山大学学报论丛,1997,(5):193-197.
18郭秀锐,毛显强.中国土地承载力计算方法研究综述[J].地球科学进展,2000,15(6):705-711.
19中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究课题组.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1991,10.
20胡恒觉,高旺盛,黄高宝.甘肃省土地生产力与承载力[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,1993.
21周锁铨,戴进,姚小强.土地生产潜力和人口承载力方法的研究[J].自然资源,1992,(6):56-62.
22余卫东,闵庆文等.水资源承载力研究的进展与展望[J].干旱区研究,2003,20(3):60-66.
23 Harris Jonathan M, et al. Carrying capacity in Agriculture: Globe and regional issue. Ecological Economics[J].1999,129(3):443-461.
24新疆水资源软科学课题研究组.新疆水资源及其承载力的开发战略决策[J].水利水电技术,1989(6):2-9.
25施雅风,曲耀光.乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用[M].北京:科学出版社,1992:94-111.
26尤祥瑜,赵剑,唐辉.沈阳市水资源承载力研究[J].沈阳农业大学学报,2004,35(1):48-51.
27刘强,杨永德,姜兆雄.从可持续发展角度探讨水资源承载力[J].中国水利,2004,(3):11-14.
28谢高地.流域水资源承载能力研究方法的思考[J].资源科学,2005,24(1):158.
29王书华,毛汉英等.略论土地综合承载力评价指标体系的设计思路——我国沿海地区案例分析[J].人文地理,2001,16(4):57-61.
30徐强.区域矿产资源承载能力分析-几个问题的探讨[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(2):135-140.
31王玉平,卜善祥.中国矿产资源经济承载力研究[J].煤炭经济研究,1998,(12):15-18.
32谷振宾,王立群等.森林资源承载力研究现状与展望[J].中国林业企业,2004,(9):14-15.
33齐亚彬.国土资源承载力定量综合评价研究——以天津为例.中国国土资源经济,2004,17(6):4-7.
34毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
35王书华,毛汉英等.略论土地综合承载力评价指标体系的设计思路——我国沿海地区案例分析[J].人文地理,2001,16(4):57-61.
36衣保中.近代以来东北平原黑土开发的生态环境代价[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2003,(5):62-68.
37刘强,杨永德,姜兆雄.从可持续发展角度探讨水资源承载力[J].中国水利,2004,(3):11-14.
38赵士洞,王礼茂.可持续发展的概念和内涵[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(3):288-292.
39李文华.持续发展与资源对策[J].自然资源学报,1994,9(2):97-106.
40 The World Bank.World development report 1992[R].Washing,D.C,1992.
41 John.The Meaning of sustainability[J].The Biogeophysical Foundations.1996.
42钟达孔.21世纪的挑战与机遇[M].北京:世界知识出版社,1992.
43赵士洞,王礼茂.可持续发展的概念和内涵[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(3):288-292.
44北京大学可持续发展研究中心.可持续发展之路[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1994.
45张雷.可持续发展与我国能源战略调整[J].中国人口、资源与环境,1998,8(2):.
46王宏伟,程声通.战略环境影响评价与可持续发展的关系研究[J].重庆环境科学,2000,(1):20-22.
47李文华.持续发展与资源对策[J].自然资源学报,1994,9(2):97-106.
48《中国21世纪议程》编制小组.中国21世纪议程.中国21世纪人口、环境与发展白皮书[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1994:20-38.
49曲格平,李金昌.中国人口与环境[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1992.
50王军.可持续发展[M].北京:中国发展出版社,1997.
51钱易,唐孝炎.环境保护与可持续发展[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2000.
52王军.可持续发展[M].北京:中国发展出版社,1997.
53陈英姿.我国相对资源承载力区域差异分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,46(4):111-117.
54张妍,于相毅.长春市产业结构环境影响的系统动力学优化模拟研究[J].经济地理,2003,(5):681-685.
55唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:1.
56 Tian Shi.Ecological economics in China:origins,dilemmas and prospects[J].Ecological Economics,2002,(41):5-20.
57孙曰瑶,宋宪华.区域生态经济系统研究[M].山东大学出版社,1995:1-2.
58 Roldan Muradian.Ecological thresholds:a survey[J].Ecological Economics,2001,(38):7-24.
59 N.Myers.Population,Environment and Development[J].Enviro.-Consv.,1993,20(3):205-216.
60 J.Rajeswar.Population Perspectives and Sustainable Development[J].Sustainable Development,2000,8(3):135-141.
61 Roy F.Weston,Matthias Ruth.A dynamic,hierarchical approach to understanding and managing natural economic systems[J].Ecological Economics,1997,(21):1-17.
62姜学民.生态经济通论[M].北京:中国林业出版社,1993:81-83.
63唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:17.
64唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:22.
65 Costanza R,Wainger L,Folke C et al.Modeling complex Ecological economic systems:toward an evolutionary[J].dynamic understanding of people and nature.Bioscience,1993,43(8):545-555.
66 G.R.Conway.Agro ecosystem Analysis[J].Agricultural Administration,1985,20:31-55.
67 L.Moffatt.Ecological Footprints and Sustainable Development[J].Ecological Economics,2000,32(3):359-362.
68唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:23.
69 G.Buenstorf.Self-organization and Sustainability:Energetics of Evolution and Implications for Ecological Economics[J].Ecological Economics,2000,33(1):119-134.
70 G.Munda.Environmental Economics,Ecological Economics,and the Concept of Sustainable Development[J].Environmental Values,1997(2):213-233.
71张钹.近10年人工智能的进展[J].模式识别与人工智能,1995,(8):34-38.
72清华大学等编.运筹学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1982:25-50.
73刘肇伟,郭元裕.灌排工程系统分析[M].北京:水利电力出版社,1988.
74王慧敏,徐立中.流域系统可持续发展分析[J].水科学进展,1999,(3):165-169.
75胡宝清,严志强,廖赤眉.区域生态经济学理论、方法与实践[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2006.
76简明物理学词典[M].上海:上海辞书出版社,1987:763.
77任继周,万长贵.系统耦合与荒漠-绿洲草地农业系统[J].草业学报,1994,3(3):1-8.
78常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:69-70.
79常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:69-70.
80谢高地,周海林等.中国水资源对发展的承载能力研究[J].资源科学,2005,27(4):2-7.
81邢永强,冯进城,窦明.区域生态环境承载能力理论与实践[M].北京:地质出版社,2007:31.
82肖满意,董翊立.山西省水资源承载能力评估[J].山西水利科技,1998,(4):5-11.
83许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究[J].自然学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
84夏军,王中根,左其亭.生态环境承载力的一种量化方法研究-以海河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):786-794.
85周伟,钟祥浩,刘淑珍.西藏高原生态承载力研究-以西南地区为例[M].北京:科学出版社,2008:14.
86张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社,2005:13.
87 Millington R,Gifford R,et al.Energy and How We Live[M].Australian UNESCO Seminar, Committee for Man and Bio-sphere,1973.
88 Steuer R E.Multiple Criteria Optimization:Theory,Computation and Application[M].New York:Wiley Press,1986:456-477.
89 Lucien Duckstein.Multiobjective Optimization in River Basin Development[J].Water Resources Research,1980,16(1):14-20.
90姚治君,王建华等.区域水资源承载力的研究进展及其理论探析[J].水科学进展,2002,13(1):111-115.
91程国栋.承载力概念的演变及西北水资源承载力的应用框架[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):361-367.
92陈百明.国外土地资源承载能力研究评述[J].自然资源译丛,1987,(2):12-19.
93张志良.人口承载力与人口迁移[M].兰州:甘肃科学技术出版社,1992.69-76.
94方创琳,余丹林.区域可持续发展SD规划模型的实验优控-以干旱区柴达木盆地为例[J].生态学报,1999,19(6):764-774.
95惠泱河,蒋晓辉等.二元模式下水资源承载力系统动态仿真模型研究[J].地理研究,2001,20(2):191-198.
96邢永强,冯进城,窦明.区域生态环境承载能力理论与实践[M].北京:地质出版社,2007:140.
97张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社,2005:12.
98郭旋,冯利华.义乌市水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].安徽农业科学,2008,36(8):3348-3349.
99赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
100徐良芳,冯国章,刘俊民.区域水资源可持续利用及其评价指标体系研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报,2002,20(6):119-122.
101刘恒,耿雷华,陈晓燕.区域水资源可持续利用评价指标体系的建立[J].水科学进展,2003,14(3):265-270.
102姜登岭.区域水资源可持续利用的评价指标体系研究[J].水科学与工程技术,2006,(2):14-16.
103赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
104彭静,李广义.水环境承载理论与评价方法[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2006:111-118.
105张占江,李吉玫,石书兵.阿克苏河流域水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(7):138-143.
106郭靖,李峰,陈亚军.承德市水资源短缺类型模糊模式识别分析[J].黑龙江水利科技,2008,36(5):87-88.
107傅湘等.区域水资源承载能力综合评价-主成分分析法的应用[J].长江流域资源与研究,1999,8(2):168-172.
108曲耀光等.黑河流域水资源承载力分析计算与对策[J].中国沙漠,2000,20(1):1-8.
109朱一中等.关于水资源承载力理论与方法的研究[J].地理科学进展,2003,21(2):180-188.
110陈守煜.区域水资源可持续利用评价理论模型与方法[J].中国工程科学,2001,3(2):33-38.
111水利电力部水利水电规划设计院.中国水资源利用[M].北京:水利水电出版社,1989.
112赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
113 Robert.Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
114刘灵辉,陈银蓉,石伟伟.基于模糊综合评价法的柳州市土地集约利用评价[J].国土资源科技管理,2007,24(6):1-6.
115姜仁荣,李满春.区域土地资源集约利用及其评价指标体系构建研究[J].地域研究与开发,2006,25(4): 117-124.
116于连生.环境模糊系统及其应用[M].长春:吉林大学出版社,1992:75-79.
117刘瑜.基于模糊综合评价法的城市土地集约利用评价研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2008:17.
118许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究[J].自然学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
119胡永宏,贺思辉.综合评价方法[M].北京:科学出版社,2000:40-56.
120周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:2.
121王其藩.系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1995.
122张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社,2005:12.
123张志良.人口承载力与人口迁移[M].兰州:甘肃科学技术出版社,1992.69-76.
124方创琳,余丹林.区域可持续发展SD规划模型的实验优控-以干旱区柴达木盆地为例[J].生态学报,1999,19(6):764-774.
125惠泱河,蒋晓辉等.二元模式下水资源承载力系统动态仿真模型研究[J].地理研究,2001,20(2):191-198.
126程国栋.承载力概念的演变及西北水资源承载力的应用框架[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):361-367.
127周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:10-11.
128常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:71.
129苏懋康.系统动力学原理[M].上海:上海交通大学出版社,1988:24.
130严广乐.系统动力学:政策实验室[M],上海:科学技术出版社,1997:11-13.
131贾仁安,丁荣华.系统动力学-反馈动态性复杂条件[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2002:10.
132俞金康.系统动态学原理及其应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1993:8.
133常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:71.DYNAMO[M].Productivity Press,Cambridge,Massachusetts,1981:38-103.
135 Jaques Savoy.Statistics inference in retrieval effectiveness evaluation[J].Information Processing and Management.1997,33(4):495-512.
136 Chen S J,Hwang C L.Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making[M].Berlins:Springer Press,1992:163-287.
137 Charnes A,Cooper W W,Rhodes E.Measuring the efficiency of decision making units[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1978(2):429-444.
138 Cooper W W,Tone K.Measuring of efficiency in data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier estimation[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1997(2):72-78.
139 Booker L,Goldberg D E,Holland J H.Classifier system and genetic algorithms[J].Artificial Intellifence.1989, 40(9):1-3.
140郭绍禧.计算机模拟[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,1989:56-58.
141张新颖.东北地区老工业基地经济发展比较[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004:10-39.
142中国社会科学院工业经济研究所.中国工业发展报告2008[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2008:630.
143张新颖.东北地区老工业基地经济发展比较[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004:10-39.
144赵传君.东北经济振兴与东北亚经贸合作[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2006:23.
145赵传君.东北经济振兴与东北亚经贸合作[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2006:23.
146齐殿伟,尹豪.东北地区人口、资源、环境与可持续发展[J].工业技术经济,2005,(5):12-13.
147国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005:15-183.
148景跃军.东北地区相对资源承载力动态分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,(4):104-110.
150潘家铮.东北地区有关水土资源配置、生态与环境保护和可持续发展的若干战略问题研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2007:143.
151国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005:8-250.
152国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005:70-295.
153 Rafik Hirji.Inter-Basin Water Transfers-Emerging Trends[J].Skyways Magazale,1998:5.
154 Nyaya Marg,Chanakyapuri.Experiences With Interbasin Water Transfers For Irrigation.Drainage And Flood Management[R].International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage,India:1-2.
155景跃军,陈英姿.关于资源承载力研究的综述[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2006,16(5):11-14.
156常庆瑞.土地资源学[M].杨凌:西北农林科技大学出版社,2002.
157王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.
158闵庆文,余卫东.区域水资源承载力的模糊综合评价分析方法及应用[J].水土保持研究,2004(3):126-129.
159孙弘颜.长春市水资源系统的优化配置及策略研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2007:46.
160王浩.区域缺水状态的识别及其多维调控[J].资源科学,2003,25(3):66-74.
161 Robert Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
162黄永基,马滇珍.区域水资源供需分析方法[M].南京:河海大学出版社,1990:65-70.
163李亚伟,陈守煜,傅铁.基于模糊识别的水资源承载能力综合评价[J].水科学进展,2005,16(5):726-729.
164夏军,王中根,左其亭.生态环境承载力的一种量化方法研究-以海河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):786-794.
165孙弘颜,汤洁,刘亚修.基于模糊评价方法的中国水资源承载力研究[J].东北师大学报(自然科学版),2007,39(1):131-135.
166南水仙,王锐铭.水资源开发利用程度的模糊综合评判[J].山西水土保持科技,2007,(1):15-17.
167张占江,李吉玫,石书兵.阿克苏河流域水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(7):138-143.
168王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.
169赫特纳A.王玉生译.地理学:它的历史、性质和方法[M].北京:商务印书馆,1983.
170谷国丰.区域经济系统研究中的动力学方法与模型[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2003,35(4):65-69.
171杨建强,罗先香.水资源可持续利用的系统动力学仿真研究[J].城市环境与城市生态,1999,12(4):26-29.
172尚金武,张妍,刘仁志.战略环境评价的系统动力学方法研究[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2001, 33(1):84-89.
173施国洪,朱敏.系统动力学的方法在环境经济学的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,(12):104-110.
174林年丰,王娟,汤洁等.农业生态环境系统的优化研究[J].吉林大学学报,2004,34(1):111-118.
175陈兴鹏,戴琴.系统动力学在甘肃省河西地区水土资源承载力中应用[J].干旱区地理,2002,25(4):377-382.
176 Littlechild S.C.Common Costs, Fixed Charges,Clubs and Games[J].Review of Economic Studies.1975(43):117-124.
177景跃军,陈英姿等.振兴东北老工业基地的人口发展战略研究[R].国家社会科学基金结项报告,2007.
178李月辉,赵弈,胡远满等.科尔沁沙地东部农牧交错带土地承载力研究[J].生态学杂志,2003,22(3):23-28.
179刘坤.耕地总量动态平衡的评价和监测预警研究[D].济南:山东师范大学,2004:24.
180 G.P.Richardson and A.L.PughⅢ.Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling with DYNAMO[M].Productivity Press,Cambridge,Massachusetts,1981:38-103.
181周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:35.
182 UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A Resources Accounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
183刘兆德,虞孝感.长江流域相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究.长江流域资源与环境,2002,11(1):10-15.
184马世骏,王如松.复合生态系统与可持续发展[A].中国科学院复杂性研究编委会编.复杂性研究[C].北京:科学出版社,1993:230.
185陈英姿,景跃军.吉林省相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].人口学刊,2006,(1):41-45.
186孙鸿烈.中国资源科学百科全书[M].北京:中国百科全书出版社,2000:321-322.
187谢高地,周海林等.中国水资源对发展的承载能力研究.资源科学,2005,27(4):2-7.
188王新华,戴维周.人口流动与产业结构升级的相关性分析[J].南京人口管理干部学院学报,2006(4):57-61.
189丁任重.西部经济发展与资源承载力研究[M].北京:人民出版社,2005.336.
190赵跃龙.中国脆弱生态环境类型分布及其综合整治[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1999.10.
191成升魁,谷树忠等.2002中国资源报告[M].北京:商务印书馆,2003:7.
192宋玉祥.东北地区生态环境保育与绿色社区建设[J].地理科学,2002,22(6):655-659.
193刘巍,吕亚泉.中国黑土地退化成因及生态修复学研究[J].东北水利水电,2006(1):59-61.
194陈英姿.发展循环经济提升自然资源承载力[J].人口学刊,2007,(6):46-48.
195陈英姿,沈诗杰.东北地区资源利用效率及对策研究[J].东北亚论坛,2008,17(2):59-63.
196诸大建.C模式:自然资本约束条件下的中国发展[A].循环经济在实践—中国循环经济高端论坛[C].北京:人民出版社,2006:234-243.
197何伟等.中国节能降耗研究报告[M].北京:企业管理出版社,2006:186.
198陈英姿,王宪恩.东北地区生态环境建设研究[J].环境科学动态,2005,(3):16-17.
199吴敬链.注重经济增长方式转变,谨防结构调整中出现片面追求重型化的倾向[J].经济管理文摘,2004,(21).
200王一鸣.新的发展阶段:阶段性特征及其战略选择[J].经济理论与经济管理,2004,(10):5-11.
[1]北京大学可持续发展研究中心.可持续发展之路[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1994.
[2]常庆瑞.土地资源学[M].杨凌:西北农林科技大学出版社,2002.
[3]丁任重.西部经济发展与资源承载力研究[M].北京:人民出版社,2005.
[4]郭绍禧.计算机模拟[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社.1989.
[5]国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005.
[6]国土资源部地籍管理司.全国土地利用变更调查报告[M].北京:中国大地出版,2007.
[7]胡恒觉,高旺盛,黄高宝.甘肃省土地生产力与承载力[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,1993.
[8]胡宝清,严志强,廖赤眉.区域生态经济学理论、方法与实践[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2006.
[9]胡永宏,贺思辉.综合评价方法[M].北京:科学出版社,2000.
[10]黄永基,马滇珍.区域水资源供需分析方法[M].南京:河海大学出版社,1990.
[11]赫特纳A.王玉生译.地理学:它的历史、性质和方法[M].北京:商务印书馆,1983.
[12]何伟等.中国节能降耗研究报告[M].北京:企业管理出版社,2006.
[13]焦胜,曾光明,曹麻茹等.城市生态规划概论[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2006.
[14]姜学民.生态经济通论[M].北京:中国林业出版社,1993.
[15]简明物理学词典[M].上海:上海辞书出版社,1987.
[16]贾仁安,丁荣华.系统动力学-反馈动态性复杂条件[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2002.
[17]刘书楷.刘书楷文选第一集[M].北京:学苑出版社,1999.
[18]刘肇伟,郭元裕.灌排工程系统分析[M].北京:水利电力出版社,1988.
[19]牛文元.持续发展导论[M].北京:科学出版社.1994.
[20]彭静,李广义.水环境承载理论与评价方法[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社.2006.
[21]潘家铮.东北地区有关水土资源配置、生态与环境保护和可持续发展的若干战略问题研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2007.
[22]曲格平,李金昌.中国人口与环境[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1992.
[23]钱易,唐孝炎.环境保护与可持续发展[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2000.
[24]清华大学等编.运筹学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1982.
[25]施雅风,曲耀光.乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用[M].北京:科学出版社.1992.
[26]水利电力部水利水电规划设计院.中国水资源利用[M].北京:水利水电出版社,1989.
[27]孙曰瑶,宋宪华.区域生态经济系统研究[M].山东大学出版社,1995.
[28]孙鸿烈.中国资源科学百科全书[M].北京:中国百科全书出版社,2000.
[29]苏懋康.系统动力学原理[M].上海:上海交通大学出版社,1988.
[30]唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005.
[31]王军.可持续发展[M].北京:中国发展出版社,1997.
[32]王其藩.系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1988.
[33]王其藩.系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1995.
[34]邢永强,冯进城,窦明.区域生态环境承载能力理论与实践[M].北京:地质出版社,2007.
[35]于连生.环境模糊系统及其应用[M].长春:吉林大学出版社,1992.
[36]严广乐.系统动力学:政策实验室[M].上海:科学技术出版社,1997.
[37]俞金康.系统动态学原理及其应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1993.
[38]左其亭等.城市水资源承载能力—理论·方法·应用[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005.
[39]周伟,钟祥浩,刘淑珍.西藏高原生态承载力研究-以西南地区为例[M].北京:科学出版社,2008.
[40]钟达孔.21世纪的挑战与机遇[M].北京:世界知识出版社,1992.
[41]赵传君.东北经济振兴与东北亚经贸合作[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2006.
[42]赵跃龙.中国脆弱生态环境类型分布及其综合整治[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1999.
[43]中华人民共和国环境保护法[M].北京:法律出版社,2003.
[44]中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究课题组.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社.1991.
[45]《中国21世纪议程》编制小组.中国21世纪议程.中国21世纪人口、环境与发展白皮书[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1994.
[46]中国社会科学院工业经济研究所.中国工业发展报告2008[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2008.
[47]张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社.2005.
[48]张志良.人口承载力与人口迁移[M].兰州:甘肃科学技术出版社,1992.
[49]张新颖.东北地区老工业基地经济发展比较[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004.
[50]张雷,刘毅.中国区域发展的资源环境基础[M].北京:科学出版社,2006.
[51] Allan W A.Studies in African Land Usage in Northern Rhodesia,Rhodes Livingstone Papers and No.15[M].Cape Town:Oxford University Press , 1949.
[52] Chen S J,Hwang C L.Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making[M].Berlins:Springer Press,1992.
[53] G.P.Richardson and A.L.PughⅢ.Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling with DYNAMO[M].Productivity Press,Cambridge,Massachusetts,1981.
[54] Millington R,Gifford R,et al.Energy and How We Live[M].Australian UNESCO Seminar, Committee for Man and Bio-sphere,1973.
[55] Park,R. F&Burgess.E. W. An introduction to the Science of Sociology[M].Chicogo,1921.
[56] Steuer R E.Multiple Criteria Optimization:Theory,Computation and Application[M].New York:Wiley Press,1986.
[57] IUCN/UNEP/WWF.Caring for the Earth:A Strategy for Sustainable Living[M].IUCN. Switzerland,1991.
[1]诸大建.C模式:自然版社,2006:234-243.
[2]马世骏,王如松.复合生态系统与可持续发展[A].中国科学院复杂性研究编委会编.复杂性研究[C].北京:科学出版社,1993:230.
[1]景跃军,陈英姿等.振兴东北老工业基地的人口发展战略研究[R].国家社会科学基金结项报告,2007.
[2] The World Bank.World development report 1992[R].Washing,D.C,1992.
[3] Nyaya Marg,Chanakyapuri.Experiences With Interbasin Water Transfers For Irrigation.Drainage And Flood Management[R].International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage,India:1-2.
[4] UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A ResourcesAccounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
[1]常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:69-71.
[2]侯力.中国城市化过程中的耕地资源保护研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2008:1.
[3]刘瑜.基于模糊综合评价法的城市土地集约利用评价研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2008:17.
[4]刘坤.耕地总量动态平衡的评价和监测预警研究[D].济南:山东师范大学,2004:24.
[5]李亚伟.水资源系统模糊决策、评价与预测方法及应用[D].大连:大连理工大学,2005.
[6]马爱锄.西北开发资源环境承载力研究[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2003:74.
[7]孙弘颜.长春市水资源系统的优化配置及策略研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2007:46.
[8]周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:2-11,35.
[1]陈守煜.区域水资源可持续利用评价理论模型与方法[J].中国工程科学,2001,3(2):33-38.
[2]陈英姿,王宪恩.东北地区生态环境建设研究[J].环境科学动态,2005,(3):16-17.
[3]陈英姿,景跃军.吉林省相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].人口学刊,2006,(1):41-45.
[4]陈英姿.我国相对资源承载力区域差异分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,46(4):111-117.
[5]陈英姿.发展循环经济提升自然资源承载力[J].人口学刊,2007,(6):46-48.
[6]陈英姿,沈诗杰.东北地区资源利用效率及对策研究[J].东北亚论坛,2008,17(2):59-63.
[7]陈百明.国外土地资源承载能力研究评述[J].自然资源译丛,1987,(2):12-19.
[8]陈百明.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究方法论概述[J].自然资源学报,1991,6(3):197-205.
[9]陈兴鹏,戴琴.系统动力学在甘肃省河西地区水土资源承载力中应用[J].干旱区地理,2002,25(4):377-382.
[10]程国栋.承载力概念的演变及西北水资源承载力的应用框架[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):361-367.
[11]成升魁,谷树忠等.2002中国资源报告[M].北京:商务印书馆,2003:7.
[12]方创琳,余丹林.区域可持续发展SD规划模型的实验优控-以干旱区柴达木盆地为例[J].生态学报,1999,19(6):764-774.
[13]傅湘等.区域水资源承载能力综合评价-主成分分析法的应用[J].长江流域资源与研究,1999,8(2):168-172.
[14]郭秀锐,毛显强.中国土地承载力计算方法研究综述[J].地球科学进展,2000,15(6):705-711.
[15]郭秀锐,毛显强等.国内环境承载力研究进展[J].中国人口.资源与环境,2000,10,(3):28-30.
[16]郭旋,冯利华.义乌市水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].安徽农业科学,2008,36(8):3348-3349.
[17]郭靖,李峰,陈亚军.承德市水资源短缺类型模糊模式识别分析[J].黑龙江水利科技,2008,36(5):87-88.
[18]谷振宾,王立群等.森林资源承载力研究现状与展望[J].中国林业企业,2004,(9):14-15.
[19]谷国丰.区域经济系统研究中的动力学方法与模型[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2003,35(4):65-69.
[20]惠泱河,蒋晓辉等.二元模式下水资源承载力系统动态仿真模型研究[J].地理研究,2001,20(2):191-198.
[21]黄宁生.广东资源承载力探讨[J].中山大学学报论丛,1997,(5):193-197.
[22]姜登岭.区域水资源可持续利用的评价指标体系研究[J].水科学与工程技术,2006,(2):14-16.
[23]姜仁荣,李满春.区域土地资源集约利用及其评价指标体系构建研究[J].地域研究与开发,2006,25(4):117-124.
[24]景跃军.东北地区相对资源承载力动态分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,(4):104-110.
[25]景跃军,陈英姿.关于资源承载力研究的综述[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2006,16(5):11-14.
[26]刘强,杨永德,姜兆雄.从可持续发展角度探讨水资源承载力[J].中国水利,2004,(3):11-14.
[27]刘恒,耿雷华,陈晓燕.区域水资源可持续利用评价指标体系的建立[J].水科学进展,2003,14(3):265-270.
[28]刘灵辉,陈银蓉,石伟伟.基于模糊综合评价法的柳州市土地集约利用评价[J].国土资源科技管理,2007,24(6):1-6.
[29]刘兆德,虞孝感.长江流域相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2002,11(1):10-15.
[30]刘乃全,郑秀君,贾彦利.中国区域发展战略政策演变及整体效应研究[J].财经研究,2005,(1):25-37.
[31]刘巍,吕亚泉.中国黑土地退化成因及生态修复学研究[J].东北水利水电,2006(1):59-61.
[32]林治华.产业集聚与东北振兴协同效应分析[J].东北财经大学学报,2006,(6):8-11.
[33]李文华.持续发展与资源对策[J].自然资源学报,1994,9(2):97-106.
[34]李亚伟,陈守煜,傅铁.基于模糊识别的水资源承载能力综合评价[J].水科学进展,2005,16(5):726-729.
[35]李月辉,赵弈,胡远满等.科尔沁沙地东部农牧交错带土地承载力研究[J].生态学杂志,2003,22(3):23-28.
[36]李娟.区域政策转型研究[J].周口师范学院学报,2004,(3):54-57.
[37]林年丰,王娟,汤洁等.农业生态环境系统的优化研究[J].吉林大学学报,2004,34(1):111-118.
[38]毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
[39]闵庆文,余卫东.区域水资源承载力的模糊综合评价分析方法及应用[J].水土保持研究,2004(3):126-129.
[40]南水仙,王锐铭.水资源开发利用程度的模糊综合评判[J].山西水土保持科技,2007,(1):15-17.
[41]齐亚彬.国土资源承载力定量综合评价研究——以天津为例[J].中国国土资源经济,2004,17(6):4-7.
[42]齐殿伟,尹豪.东北地区人口、资源、环境与可持续发展[J].工业技术经济,2005,(5):12-13.
[43]曲耀光等.黑河流域水资源承载力分析计算与对策[J].中国沙漠,2000,20(1):1-8.
[44]任继周,万长贵.系统耦合与荒漠-绿洲草地农业系统[J].草业学报,1994,3(3):1-8.
[45]施国洪,朱敏.系统动力学的方法在环境经济学的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,(12):104-110.
[46]尚金武,张妍,刘仁志.战略环境评价的系统动力学方法研究[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2001,33(1):84-89.
[47]孙弘颜,汤洁,刘亚修.基于模糊评价方法的中国水资源承载力研究[J].东北师大学报(自然科学版),2007,39(1):131-135.
[48]宋玉祥.东北地区生态环境保育与绿色社区建设[J].地理科学,2002,22(6):655-659.
[49]王书华,毛汉英等.略论土地综合承载力评价指标体系的设计思路——我国沿海地区案例分析[J].人文地理,2001,16(4):57-61.
[50]王玉平,卜善祥.中国矿产资源经济承载力研究[J].煤炭经济研究,1998,(12):15-18.
[51]王宏伟,程声通.战略环境影响评价与可持续发展的关系研究[J].重庆环境科学,2000,(1):20-22.
[52]王慧敏,徐立中.流域系统可持续发展分析[J].水科学进展,1999,(3):165-169.
[53]王志敏,李立军.2030年中国粮食作物结构调整与安全布局研究[J].中国农业科技导刊,2002,(6):16-22.
[54]王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.
[55]王浩.区域缺水状态的识别及其多维调控[J].资源科学,2003,25(3):66-74.
[56]王新华,戴维周.人口流动与产业结构升级的相关性分析[J].南京人口管理干部学院学报,2006(4):57-61.
[57]王一鸣.新的发展阶段:阶段性特征及其战略选择[J].经济理论与经济管理,2004,(10):5-11.
[58]吴敬链.注重经济增长方式转变,谨防结构调整中出现片面追求重型化的倾向[J].经济管理文摘,2004,(21).
[59]余卫东,闵庆文等.水资源承载力研究的进展与展望[J].干旱区研究,2003,20,(3):60-66.
[60]徐强.区域矿产资源承载能力分析-几个问题的探讨[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(2):135-140.
[61]徐良芳,冯国章,刘俊民.区域水资源可持续利用及其评价指标体系研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报,2002,20(6):119-122.
[62]新疆水资源软科学课题研究组.新疆水资源及其承载力的开发战略决策[J].水利水电技术,1989(6):2-9.
[63]谢高地.流域水资源承载能力研究方法的思考[J].资源科学,2005,24(1):158.
[64]谢高地,周海林等.中国水资源对发展的承载能力研究.资源科学,2005,27(4):2-7.
[65]肖满意,董翊立.山西省水资源承载能力评估[J].山西水利科技,1998,(4):5-11.
[66]许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究[J].自然学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
[67]夏军,王中根,左其亭.生态环境承载力的一种量化方法研究-以海河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):786-794.
[68]尤祥瑜,赵剑,唐辉.沈阳市水资源承载力研究[J].沈阳农业大学学报,2004,35(1):48-51.
[69]姚治君,刘宝勤等.基于区域发展目标下的水资源承载能力研究[J].水科学进展,2005,16(1):109-113.
[70]姚治君,王建华等.区域水资源承载力的研究进展及其理论探析[J].水科学进展,2002,13(1):111-115.
[71]衣保中.近代以来东北平原黑土开发的生态环境代价[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2003,(5):62-68.
[72]杨建强,罗先香.水资源可持续利用的系统动力学仿真研究[J].城市环境与城市生态,1999,12(4):26-29.
[73]赵士洞,王礼茂.可持续发展的概念和内涵[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(3):288-292.
[74]赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
[75]周锁铨,戴进,姚小强.土地生产潜力和人口承载力方法的研究[J].自然资源,1992,(6):56-62.
[76]朱一中等.关于水资源承载力理论与方法的研究[J].地理科学进展,2003,21(2):180-188.
[77]张雷.可持续发展与我国能源战略调整[J].中国人口、资源与环境,1998,8(2):.
[78]张妍,于相毅.长春市产业结构环境影响的系统动力学优化模拟研究[J].经济地理,2003,(5):681-685.
[79]张钹.近10年人工智能的进展[J].模式识别与人工智能,1995,(8):34-38.
[80]张占江,李吉玫,石书兵.阿克苏河流域水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(7):138-143.
[81]张传国,方创琳.干旱区绿洲系统生态-生产-生活承载力相互作用的驱动机制分析[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(2):181-187.
[82]张传国,方创琳,全华.干旱区绿洲承载力研究的全新审视与展望[J].资源科学,2002,24(2):42-48.
[83] Booker L,Goldberg D E,Holland J H.Classifier system and genetic algorithms[J].Artificial Intellifence.1989,40(9):1-3.
[84] Costanza R,Wainger L,Folke C et al.Modeling complex Ecological economic systems:toward an evolutionary[J].dynamic understanding of people and nature.Bioscience,1993,43(8):545-555.
[85] Charnes A,Cooper W W,Rhodes E.Measuring the efficiency of decision making units[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1978(2):429-444.
[86] Cooper W W,Tone K.Measuring of efficiency in data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier estimation[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1997(2):72-78.
[87] G.R.Conway.Agro ecosystem Analysis[J].Agricultural Administration,1985,20:31-55.
[88] Harris Jonathan M, et al. Carrying capacity in Agriculture: Globe and regional issue. Ecological Economics[J].1999,129(3):443-461.
[89] G.Buenstorf.Self-organization and Sustainability:Energetics of Evolution and Implications for Ecological Economics[J].Ecological Economics,2000,33(1):119-134.
[90] G.Munda.Environmental Economics,Ecological Economics,and the Concept of Sustainable Development[J].Environmental Values,1997(2):213-233.
[91] John.The Meaning of sustainability[J].The Biogeophysical Foundations.1996.
[92] J.Rajeswar . Population Perspectives and Sustainable Development[J] . Sustainable Development,2000,8(3):135-141.
[93] Jaques Savoy.Statistics inference in retrieval effectiveness evaluation[J].Information Processing and Management.1997,33(4):495-512.
[94] L.Moffatt.Ecological Footprints and Sustainable Development[J].Ecological Economics,2000,32(3):359-362.
[95] Lucien Duckstein.Multiobjective Optimization in River Basin Development[J].Water Resources Research,1980,16(1):14-20.
[96] Littlechild S.C.Common Costs, Fixed Charges,Clubs and Games[J].Review of Economic Studies.1975(43):117-124.
[97] N.Myers.Population,Environment and Development[J].Enviro.-Consv.,1993,20(3):205-216.
[98] Roldan Muradian.Ecological thresholds:a survey[J].Ecological Economics,2001,(38):7-24.
[99] Roy F.Weston,Matthias Ruth.A dynamic,hierarchical approach to understanding and managing natural economic systems[J].Ecological Economics,1997,(21):1-17.
[100] Robert.Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
[101] Rafik Hirji.Inter-Basin Water Transfers-Emerging Trends[J].Skyways Magazale,1998:5.
[102] Robert Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
[103] Tian Shi.Ecological economics in China:origins,dilemmas and prospects[J].Ecological Economics,2002,(41):5-20.
2中华人民共和国环境保护法,北京:法律出版社,2003.
3 UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A Resources Accounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
4 IUCN/UNEP/WWF.Caring for the Earth:A Strategy for Sustainable Living[M].IUCN. Switzerland,1991.
5姚治君,刘宝勤等.基于区域发展目标下的水资源承载能力研究[J].水科学进展,2005,16(1):109-113.
6牛文元.持续发展导论[M].北京:科学出版社,1994:1-6.
7马爱锄.西北开发资源环境承载力研究[D].陕西:西北农林科技大学,2003:74.
8焦胜,曾光明,曹麻茹等.城市生态规划概论[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2006:93.
9左其亭等.城市水资源承载能力—理论·方法·应用[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:47-61.
10陈英姿,景跃军.吉林省相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].人口学刊,2006,(1):46-48.
11 UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A Resources Accounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
12毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
13 Allan W A.Studies in African Land Usage in Northern Rhodesia,Rhodes Livingstone Papers and No.15[M].Cape Town:Oxford University Press , 1949.
14毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
15中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究课题组.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1991,10.
16陈百明.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究方法论概述[J].自然资源学报,1991,6(3):197-205.
17黄宁生.广东资源承载力探讨[J].中山大学学报论丛,1997,(5):193-197.
18郭秀锐,毛显强.中国土地承载力计算方法研究综述[J].地球科学进展,2000,15(6):705-711.
19中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究课题组.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1991,10.
20胡恒觉,高旺盛,黄高宝.甘肃省土地生产力与承载力[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,1993.
21周锁铨,戴进,姚小强.土地生产潜力和人口承载力方法的研究[J].自然资源,1992,(6):56-62.
22余卫东,闵庆文等.水资源承载力研究的进展与展望[J].干旱区研究,2003,20(3):60-66.
23 Harris Jonathan M, et al. Carrying capacity in Agriculture: Globe and regional issue. Ecological Economics[J].1999,129(3):443-461.
24新疆水资源软科学课题研究组.新疆水资源及其承载力的开发战略决策[J].水利水电技术,1989(6):2-9.
25施雅风,曲耀光.乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用[M].北京:科学出版社,1992:94-111.
26尤祥瑜,赵剑,唐辉.沈阳市水资源承载力研究[J].沈阳农业大学学报,2004,35(1):48-51.
27刘强,杨永德,姜兆雄.从可持续发展角度探讨水资源承载力[J].中国水利,2004,(3):11-14.
28谢高地.流域水资源承载能力研究方法的思考[J].资源科学,2005,24(1):158.
29王书华,毛汉英等.略论土地综合承载力评价指标体系的设计思路——我国沿海地区案例分析[J].人文地理,2001,16(4):57-61.
30徐强.区域矿产资源承载能力分析-几个问题的探讨[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(2):135-140.
31王玉平,卜善祥.中国矿产资源经济承载力研究[J].煤炭经济研究,1998,(12):15-18.
32谷振宾,王立群等.森林资源承载力研究现状与展望[J].中国林业企业,2004,(9):14-15.
33齐亚彬.国土资源承载力定量综合评价研究——以天津为例.中国国土资源经济,2004,17(6):4-7.
34毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
35王书华,毛汉英等.略论土地综合承载力评价指标体系的设计思路——我国沿海地区案例分析[J].人文地理,2001,16(4):57-61.
36衣保中.近代以来东北平原黑土开发的生态环境代价[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2003,(5):62-68.
37刘强,杨永德,姜兆雄.从可持续发展角度探讨水资源承载力[J].中国水利,2004,(3):11-14.
38赵士洞,王礼茂.可持续发展的概念和内涵[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(3):288-292.
39李文华.持续发展与资源对策[J].自然资源学报,1994,9(2):97-106.
40 The World Bank.World development report 1992[R].Washing,D.C,1992.
41 John.The Meaning of sustainability[J].The Biogeophysical Foundations.1996.
42钟达孔.21世纪的挑战与机遇[M].北京:世界知识出版社,1992.
43赵士洞,王礼茂.可持续发展的概念和内涵[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(3):288-292.
44北京大学可持续发展研究中心.可持续发展之路[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1994.
45张雷.可持续发展与我国能源战略调整[J].中国人口、资源与环境,1998,8(2):.
46王宏伟,程声通.战略环境影响评价与可持续发展的关系研究[J].重庆环境科学,2000,(1):20-22.
47李文华.持续发展与资源对策[J].自然资源学报,1994,9(2):97-106.
48《中国21世纪议程》编制小组.中国21世纪议程.中国21世纪人口、环境与发展白皮书[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1994:20-38.
49曲格平,李金昌.中国人口与环境[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1992.
50王军.可持续发展[M].北京:中国发展出版社,1997.
51钱易,唐孝炎.环境保护与可持续发展[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2000.
52王军.可持续发展[M].北京:中国发展出版社,1997.
53陈英姿.我国相对资源承载力区域差异分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,46(4):111-117.
54张妍,于相毅.长春市产业结构环境影响的系统动力学优化模拟研究[J].经济地理,2003,(5):681-685.
55唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:1.
56 Tian Shi.Ecological economics in China:origins,dilemmas and prospects[J].Ecological Economics,2002,(41):5-20.
57孙曰瑶,宋宪华.区域生态经济系统研究[M].山东大学出版社,1995:1-2.
58 Roldan Muradian.Ecological thresholds:a survey[J].Ecological Economics,2001,(38):7-24.
59 N.Myers.Population,Environment and Development[J].Enviro.-Consv.,1993,20(3):205-216.
60 J.Rajeswar.Population Perspectives and Sustainable Development[J].Sustainable Development,2000,8(3):135-141.
61 Roy F.Weston,Matthias Ruth.A dynamic,hierarchical approach to understanding and managing natural economic systems[J].Ecological Economics,1997,(21):1-17.
62姜学民.生态经济通论[M].北京:中国林业出版社,1993:81-83.
63唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:17.
64唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:22.
65 Costanza R,Wainger L,Folke C et al.Modeling complex Ecological economic systems:toward an evolutionary[J].dynamic understanding of people and nature.Bioscience,1993,43(8):545-555.
66 G.R.Conway.Agro ecosystem Analysis[J].Agricultural Administration,1985,20:31-55.
67 L.Moffatt.Ecological Footprints and Sustainable Development[J].Ecological Economics,2000,32(3):359-362.
68唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005:23.
69 G.Buenstorf.Self-organization and Sustainability:Energetics of Evolution and Implications for Ecological Economics[J].Ecological Economics,2000,33(1):119-134.
70 G.Munda.Environmental Economics,Ecological Economics,and the Concept of Sustainable Development[J].Environmental Values,1997(2):213-233.
71张钹.近10年人工智能的进展[J].模式识别与人工智能,1995,(8):34-38.
72清华大学等编.运筹学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1982:25-50.
73刘肇伟,郭元裕.灌排工程系统分析[M].北京:水利电力出版社,1988.
74王慧敏,徐立中.流域系统可持续发展分析[J].水科学进展,1999,(3):165-169.
75胡宝清,严志强,廖赤眉.区域生态经济学理论、方法与实践[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2006.
76简明物理学词典[M].上海:上海辞书出版社,1987:763.
77任继周,万长贵.系统耦合与荒漠-绿洲草地农业系统[J].草业学报,1994,3(3):1-8.
78常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:69-70.
79常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:69-70.
80谢高地,周海林等.中国水资源对发展的承载能力研究[J].资源科学,2005,27(4):2-7.
81邢永强,冯进城,窦明.区域生态环境承载能力理论与实践[M].北京:地质出版社,2007:31.
82肖满意,董翊立.山西省水资源承载能力评估[J].山西水利科技,1998,(4):5-11.
83许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究[J].自然学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
84夏军,王中根,左其亭.生态环境承载力的一种量化方法研究-以海河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):786-794.
85周伟,钟祥浩,刘淑珍.西藏高原生态承载力研究-以西南地区为例[M].北京:科学出版社,2008:14.
86张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社,2005:13.
87 Millington R,Gifford R,et al.Energy and How We Live[M].Australian UNESCO Seminar, Committee for Man and Bio-sphere,1973.
88 Steuer R E.Multiple Criteria Optimization:Theory,Computation and Application[M].New York:Wiley Press,1986:456-477.
89 Lucien Duckstein.Multiobjective Optimization in River Basin Development[J].Water Resources Research,1980,16(1):14-20.
90姚治君,王建华等.区域水资源承载力的研究进展及其理论探析[J].水科学进展,2002,13(1):111-115.
91程国栋.承载力概念的演变及西北水资源承载力的应用框架[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):361-367.
92陈百明.国外土地资源承载能力研究评述[J].自然资源译丛,1987,(2):12-19.
93张志良.人口承载力与人口迁移[M].兰州:甘肃科学技术出版社,1992.69-76.
94方创琳,余丹林.区域可持续发展SD规划模型的实验优控-以干旱区柴达木盆地为例[J].生态学报,1999,19(6):764-774.
95惠泱河,蒋晓辉等.二元模式下水资源承载力系统动态仿真模型研究[J].地理研究,2001,20(2):191-198.
96邢永强,冯进城,窦明.区域生态环境承载能力理论与实践[M].北京:地质出版社,2007:140.
97张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社,2005:12.
98郭旋,冯利华.义乌市水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].安徽农业科学,2008,36(8):3348-3349.
99赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
100徐良芳,冯国章,刘俊民.区域水资源可持续利用及其评价指标体系研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报,2002,20(6):119-122.
101刘恒,耿雷华,陈晓燕.区域水资源可持续利用评价指标体系的建立[J].水科学进展,2003,14(3):265-270.
102姜登岭.区域水资源可持续利用的评价指标体系研究[J].水科学与工程技术,2006,(2):14-16.
103赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
104彭静,李广义.水环境承载理论与评价方法[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2006:111-118.
105张占江,李吉玫,石书兵.阿克苏河流域水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(7):138-143.
106郭靖,李峰,陈亚军.承德市水资源短缺类型模糊模式识别分析[J].黑龙江水利科技,2008,36(5):87-88.
107傅湘等.区域水资源承载能力综合评价-主成分分析法的应用[J].长江流域资源与研究,1999,8(2):168-172.
108曲耀光等.黑河流域水资源承载力分析计算与对策[J].中国沙漠,2000,20(1):1-8.
109朱一中等.关于水资源承载力理论与方法的研究[J].地理科学进展,2003,21(2):180-188.
110陈守煜.区域水资源可持续利用评价理论模型与方法[J].中国工程科学,2001,3(2):33-38.
111水利电力部水利水电规划设计院.中国水资源利用[M].北京:水利水电出版社,1989.
112赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
113 Robert.Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
114刘灵辉,陈银蓉,石伟伟.基于模糊综合评价法的柳州市土地集约利用评价[J].国土资源科技管理,2007,24(6):1-6.
115姜仁荣,李满春.区域土地资源集约利用及其评价指标体系构建研究[J].地域研究与开发,2006,25(4): 117-124.
116于连生.环境模糊系统及其应用[M].长春:吉林大学出版社,1992:75-79.
117刘瑜.基于模糊综合评价法的城市土地集约利用评价研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2008:17.
118许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究[J].自然学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
119胡永宏,贺思辉.综合评价方法[M].北京:科学出版社,2000:40-56.
120周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:2.
121王其藩.系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1995.
122张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社,2005:12.
123张志良.人口承载力与人口迁移[M].兰州:甘肃科学技术出版社,1992.69-76.
124方创琳,余丹林.区域可持续发展SD规划模型的实验优控-以干旱区柴达木盆地为例[J].生态学报,1999,19(6):764-774.
125惠泱河,蒋晓辉等.二元模式下水资源承载力系统动态仿真模型研究[J].地理研究,2001,20(2):191-198.
126程国栋.承载力概念的演变及西北水资源承载力的应用框架[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):361-367.
127周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:10-11.
128常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:71.
129苏懋康.系统动力学原理[M].上海:上海交通大学出版社,1988:24.
130严广乐.系统动力学:政策实验室[M],上海:科学技术出版社,1997:11-13.
131贾仁安,丁荣华.系统动力学-反馈动态性复杂条件[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2002:10.
132俞金康.系统动态学原理及其应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1993:8.
133常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:71.DYNAMO[M].Productivity Press,Cambridge,Massachusetts,1981:38-103.
135 Jaques Savoy.Statistics inference in retrieval effectiveness evaluation[J].Information Processing and Management.1997,33(4):495-512.
136 Chen S J,Hwang C L.Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making[M].Berlins:Springer Press,1992:163-287.
137 Charnes A,Cooper W W,Rhodes E.Measuring the efficiency of decision making units[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1978(2):429-444.
138 Cooper W W,Tone K.Measuring of efficiency in data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier estimation[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1997(2):72-78.
139 Booker L,Goldberg D E,Holland J H.Classifier system and genetic algorithms[J].Artificial Intellifence.1989, 40(9):1-3.
140郭绍禧.计算机模拟[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,1989:56-58.
141张新颖.东北地区老工业基地经济发展比较[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004:10-39.
142中国社会科学院工业经济研究所.中国工业发展报告2008[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2008:630.
143张新颖.东北地区老工业基地经济发展比较[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004:10-39.
144赵传君.东北经济振兴与东北亚经贸合作[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2006:23.
145赵传君.东北经济振兴与东北亚经贸合作[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2006:23.
146齐殿伟,尹豪.东北地区人口、资源、环境与可持续发展[J].工业技术经济,2005,(5):12-13.
147国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005:15-183.
148景跃军.东北地区相对资源承载力动态分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,(4):104-110.
150潘家铮.东北地区有关水土资源配置、生态与环境保护和可持续发展的若干战略问题研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2007:143.
151国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005:8-250.
152国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005:70-295.
153 Rafik Hirji.Inter-Basin Water Transfers-Emerging Trends[J].Skyways Magazale,1998:5.
154 Nyaya Marg,Chanakyapuri.Experiences With Interbasin Water Transfers For Irrigation.Drainage And Flood Management[R].International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage,India:1-2.
155景跃军,陈英姿.关于资源承载力研究的综述[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2006,16(5):11-14.
156常庆瑞.土地资源学[M].杨凌:西北农林科技大学出版社,2002.
157王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.
158闵庆文,余卫东.区域水资源承载力的模糊综合评价分析方法及应用[J].水土保持研究,2004(3):126-129.
159孙弘颜.长春市水资源系统的优化配置及策略研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2007:46.
160王浩.区域缺水状态的识别及其多维调控[J].资源科学,2003,25(3):66-74.
161 Robert Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
162黄永基,马滇珍.区域水资源供需分析方法[M].南京:河海大学出版社,1990:65-70.
163李亚伟,陈守煜,傅铁.基于模糊识别的水资源承载能力综合评价[J].水科学进展,2005,16(5):726-729.
164夏军,王中根,左其亭.生态环境承载力的一种量化方法研究-以海河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):786-794.
165孙弘颜,汤洁,刘亚修.基于模糊评价方法的中国水资源承载力研究[J].东北师大学报(自然科学版),2007,39(1):131-135.
166南水仙,王锐铭.水资源开发利用程度的模糊综合评判[J].山西水土保持科技,2007,(1):15-17.
167张占江,李吉玫,石书兵.阿克苏河流域水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(7):138-143.
168王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.
169赫特纳A.王玉生译.地理学:它的历史、性质和方法[M].北京:商务印书馆,1983.
170谷国丰.区域经济系统研究中的动力学方法与模型[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2003,35(4):65-69.
171杨建强,罗先香.水资源可持续利用的系统动力学仿真研究[J].城市环境与城市生态,1999,12(4):26-29.
172尚金武,张妍,刘仁志.战略环境评价的系统动力学方法研究[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2001, 33(1):84-89.
173施国洪,朱敏.系统动力学的方法在环境经济学的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,(12):104-110.
174林年丰,王娟,汤洁等.农业生态环境系统的优化研究[J].吉林大学学报,2004,34(1):111-118.
175陈兴鹏,戴琴.系统动力学在甘肃省河西地区水土资源承载力中应用[J].干旱区地理,2002,25(4):377-382.
176 Littlechild S.C.Common Costs, Fixed Charges,Clubs and Games[J].Review of Economic Studies.1975(43):117-124.
177景跃军,陈英姿等.振兴东北老工业基地的人口发展战略研究[R].国家社会科学基金结项报告,2007.
178李月辉,赵弈,胡远满等.科尔沁沙地东部农牧交错带土地承载力研究[J].生态学杂志,2003,22(3):23-28.
179刘坤.耕地总量动态平衡的评价和监测预警研究[D].济南:山东师范大学,2004:24.
180 G.P.Richardson and A.L.PughⅢ.Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling with DYNAMO[M].Productivity Press,Cambridge,Massachusetts,1981:38-103.
181周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:35.
182 UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A Resources Accounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
183刘兆德,虞孝感.长江流域相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究.长江流域资源与环境,2002,11(1):10-15.
184马世骏,王如松.复合生态系统与可持续发展[A].中国科学院复杂性研究编委会编.复杂性研究[C].北京:科学出版社,1993:230.
185陈英姿,景跃军.吉林省相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].人口学刊,2006,(1):41-45.
186孙鸿烈.中国资源科学百科全书[M].北京:中国百科全书出版社,2000:321-322.
187谢高地,周海林等.中国水资源对发展的承载能力研究.资源科学,2005,27(4):2-7.
188王新华,戴维周.人口流动与产业结构升级的相关性分析[J].南京人口管理干部学院学报,2006(4):57-61.
189丁任重.西部经济发展与资源承载力研究[M].北京:人民出版社,2005.336.
190赵跃龙.中国脆弱生态环境类型分布及其综合整治[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1999.10.
191成升魁,谷树忠等.2002中国资源报告[M].北京:商务印书馆,2003:7.
192宋玉祥.东北地区生态环境保育与绿色社区建设[J].地理科学,2002,22(6):655-659.
193刘巍,吕亚泉.中国黑土地退化成因及生态修复学研究[J].东北水利水电,2006(1):59-61.
194陈英姿.发展循环经济提升自然资源承载力[J].人口学刊,2007,(6):46-48.
195陈英姿,沈诗杰.东北地区资源利用效率及对策研究[J].东北亚论坛,2008,17(2):59-63.
196诸大建.C模式:自然资本约束条件下的中国发展[A].循环经济在实践—中国循环经济高端论坛[C].北京:人民出版社,2006:234-243.
197何伟等.中国节能降耗研究报告[M].北京:企业管理出版社,2006:186.
198陈英姿,王宪恩.东北地区生态环境建设研究[J].环境科学动态,2005,(3):16-17.
199吴敬链.注重经济增长方式转变,谨防结构调整中出现片面追求重型化的倾向[J].经济管理文摘,2004,(21).
200王一鸣.新的发展阶段:阶段性特征及其战略选择[J].经济理论与经济管理,2004,(10):5-11.
[1]北京大学可持续发展研究中心.可持续发展之路[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1994.
[2]常庆瑞.土地资源学[M].杨凌:西北农林科技大学出版社,2002.
[3]丁任重.西部经济发展与资源承载力研究[M].北京:人民出版社,2005.
[4]郭绍禧.计算机模拟[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社.1989.
[5]国家环境保护总局.全国生态现状调查与评估(东北卷)[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005.
[6]国土资源部地籍管理司.全国土地利用变更调查报告[M].北京:中国大地出版,2007.
[7]胡恒觉,高旺盛,黄高宝.甘肃省土地生产力与承载力[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,1993.
[8]胡宝清,严志强,廖赤眉.区域生态经济学理论、方法与实践[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2006.
[9]胡永宏,贺思辉.综合评价方法[M].北京:科学出版社,2000.
[10]黄永基,马滇珍.区域水资源供需分析方法[M].南京:河海大学出版社,1990.
[11]赫特纳A.王玉生译.地理学:它的历史、性质和方法[M].北京:商务印书馆,1983.
[12]何伟等.中国节能降耗研究报告[M].北京:企业管理出版社,2006.
[13]焦胜,曾光明,曹麻茹等.城市生态规划概论[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2006.
[14]姜学民.生态经济通论[M].北京:中国林业出版社,1993.
[15]简明物理学词典[M].上海:上海辞书出版社,1987.
[16]贾仁安,丁荣华.系统动力学-反馈动态性复杂条件[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2002.
[17]刘书楷.刘书楷文选第一集[M].北京:学苑出版社,1999.
[18]刘肇伟,郭元裕.灌排工程系统分析[M].北京:水利电力出版社,1988.
[19]牛文元.持续发展导论[M].北京:科学出版社.1994.
[20]彭静,李广义.水环境承载理论与评价方法[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社.2006.
[21]潘家铮.东北地区有关水土资源配置、生态与环境保护和可持续发展的若干战略问题研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2007.
[22]曲格平,李金昌.中国人口与环境[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1992.
[23]钱易,唐孝炎.环境保护与可持续发展[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2000.
[24]清华大学等编.运筹学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1982.
[25]施雅风,曲耀光.乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用[M].北京:科学出版社.1992.
[26]水利电力部水利水电规划设计院.中国水资源利用[M].北京:水利水电出版社,1989.
[27]孙曰瑶,宋宪华.区域生态经济系统研究[M].山东大学出版社,1995.
[28]孙鸿烈.中国资源科学百科全书[M].北京:中国百科全书出版社,2000.
[29]苏懋康.系统动力学原理[M].上海:上海交通大学出版社,1988.
[30]唐建荣.生态经济学[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005.
[31]王军.可持续发展[M].北京:中国发展出版社,1997.
[32]王其藩.系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1988.
[33]王其藩.系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1995.
[34]邢永强,冯进城,窦明.区域生态环境承载能力理论与实践[M].北京:地质出版社,2007.
[35]于连生.环境模糊系统及其应用[M].长春:吉林大学出版社,1992.
[36]严广乐.系统动力学:政策实验室[M].上海:科学技术出版社,1997.
[37]俞金康.系统动态学原理及其应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1993.
[38]左其亭等.城市水资源承载能力—理论·方法·应用[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005.
[39]周伟,钟祥浩,刘淑珍.西藏高原生态承载力研究-以西南地区为例[M].北京:科学出版社,2008.
[40]钟达孔.21世纪的挑战与机遇[M].北京:世界知识出版社,1992.
[41]赵传君.东北经济振兴与东北亚经贸合作[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2006.
[42]赵跃龙.中国脆弱生态环境类型分布及其综合整治[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1999.
[43]中华人民共和国环境保护法[M].北京:法律出版社,2003.
[44]中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究课题组.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社.1991.
[45]《中国21世纪议程》编制小组.中国21世纪议程.中国21世纪人口、环境与发展白皮书[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1994.
[46]中国社会科学院工业经济研究所.中国工业发展报告2008[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2008.
[47]张丽.水资源承载能力与生态需水量理念及应用[M].河南:黄河水利出版社.2005.
[48]张志良.人口承载力与人口迁移[M].兰州:甘肃科学技术出版社,1992.
[49]张新颖.东北地区老工业基地经济发展比较[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004.
[50]张雷,刘毅.中国区域发展的资源环境基础[M].北京:科学出版社,2006.
[51] Allan W A.Studies in African Land Usage in Northern Rhodesia,Rhodes Livingstone Papers and No.15[M].Cape Town:Oxford University Press , 1949.
[52] Chen S J,Hwang C L.Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making[M].Berlins:Springer Press,1992.
[53] G.P.Richardson and A.L.PughⅢ.Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling with DYNAMO[M].Productivity Press,Cambridge,Massachusetts,1981.
[54] Millington R,Gifford R,et al.Energy and How We Live[M].Australian UNESCO Seminar, Committee for Man and Bio-sphere,1973.
[55] Park,R. F&Burgess.E. W. An introduction to the Science of Sociology[M].Chicogo,1921.
[56] Steuer R E.Multiple Criteria Optimization:Theory,Computation and Application[M].New York:Wiley Press,1986.
[57] IUCN/UNEP/WWF.Caring for the Earth:A Strategy for Sustainable Living[M].IUCN. Switzerland,1991.
[1]诸大建.C模式:自然版社,2006:234-243.
[2]马世骏,王如松.复合生态系统与可持续发展[A].中国科学院复杂性研究编委会编.复杂性研究[C].北京:科学出版社,1993:230.
[1]景跃军,陈英姿等.振兴东北老工业基地的人口发展战略研究[R].国家社会科学基金结项报告,2007.
[2] The World Bank.World development report 1992[R].Washing,D.C,1992.
[3] Nyaya Marg,Chanakyapuri.Experiences With Interbasin Water Transfers For Irrigation.Drainage And Flood Management[R].International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage,India:1-2.
[4] UNESCO & FAO.Carrying Capacity Assessment with a Pilot Study of Ken Ya:A ResourcesAccounting Methodology for Exploring National Options for Sustainable Development[R].Paris and Rome,1985.
[1]常玉苗.跨流域调水对区域生态经济影响综合评价研究[D].南京:河海大学,2007:69-71.
[2]侯力.中国城市化过程中的耕地资源保护研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2008:1.
[3]刘瑜.基于模糊综合评价法的城市土地集约利用评价研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2008:17.
[4]刘坤.耕地总量动态平衡的评价和监测预警研究[D].济南:山东师范大学,2004:24.
[5]李亚伟.水资源系统模糊决策、评价与预测方法及应用[D].大连:大连理工大学,2005.
[6]马爱锄.西北开发资源环境承载力研究[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2003:74.
[7]孙弘颜.长春市水资源系统的优化配置及策略研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2007:46.
[8]周世星.系统动力学在区域规划环境影响评价中的应用[D].成都:四川大学,2005:2-11,35.
[1]陈守煜.区域水资源可持续利用评价理论模型与方法[J].中国工程科学,2001,3(2):33-38.
[2]陈英姿,王宪恩.东北地区生态环境建设研究[J].环境科学动态,2005,(3):16-17.
[3]陈英姿,景跃军.吉林省相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].人口学刊,2006,(1):41-45.
[4]陈英姿.我国相对资源承载力区域差异分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,46(4):111-117.
[5]陈英姿.发展循环经济提升自然资源承载力[J].人口学刊,2007,(6):46-48.
[6]陈英姿,沈诗杰.东北地区资源利用效率及对策研究[J].东北亚论坛,2008,17(2):59-63.
[7]陈百明.国外土地资源承载能力研究评述[J].自然资源译丛,1987,(2):12-19.
[8]陈百明.中国土地资源生产能力及人口承载量研究方法论概述[J].自然资源学报,1991,6(3):197-205.
[9]陈兴鹏,戴琴.系统动力学在甘肃省河西地区水土资源承载力中应用[J].干旱区地理,2002,25(4):377-382.
[10]程国栋.承载力概念的演变及西北水资源承载力的应用框架[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):361-367.
[11]成升魁,谷树忠等.2002中国资源报告[M].北京:商务印书馆,2003:7.
[12]方创琳,余丹林.区域可持续发展SD规划模型的实验优控-以干旱区柴达木盆地为例[J].生态学报,1999,19(6):764-774.
[13]傅湘等.区域水资源承载能力综合评价-主成分分析法的应用[J].长江流域资源与研究,1999,8(2):168-172.
[14]郭秀锐,毛显强.中国土地承载力计算方法研究综述[J].地球科学进展,2000,15(6):705-711.
[15]郭秀锐,毛显强等.国内环境承载力研究进展[J].中国人口.资源与环境,2000,10,(3):28-30.
[16]郭旋,冯利华.义乌市水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].安徽农业科学,2008,36(8):3348-3349.
[17]郭靖,李峰,陈亚军.承德市水资源短缺类型模糊模式识别分析[J].黑龙江水利科技,2008,36(5):87-88.
[18]谷振宾,王立群等.森林资源承载力研究现状与展望[J].中国林业企业,2004,(9):14-15.
[19]谷国丰.区域经济系统研究中的动力学方法与模型[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2003,35(4):65-69.
[20]惠泱河,蒋晓辉等.二元模式下水资源承载力系统动态仿真模型研究[J].地理研究,2001,20(2):191-198.
[21]黄宁生.广东资源承载力探讨[J].中山大学学报论丛,1997,(5):193-197.
[22]姜登岭.区域水资源可持续利用的评价指标体系研究[J].水科学与工程技术,2006,(2):14-16.
[23]姜仁荣,李满春.区域土地资源集约利用及其评价指标体系构建研究[J].地域研究与开发,2006,25(4):117-124.
[24]景跃军.东北地区相对资源承载力动态分析[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2006,(4):104-110.
[25]景跃军,陈英姿.关于资源承载力研究的综述[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2006,16(5):11-14.
[26]刘强,杨永德,姜兆雄.从可持续发展角度探讨水资源承载力[J].中国水利,2004,(3):11-14.
[27]刘恒,耿雷华,陈晓燕.区域水资源可持续利用评价指标体系的建立[J].水科学进展,2003,14(3):265-270.
[28]刘灵辉,陈银蓉,石伟伟.基于模糊综合评价法的柳州市土地集约利用评价[J].国土资源科技管理,2007,24(6):1-6.
[29]刘兆德,虞孝感.长江流域相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2002,11(1):10-15.
[30]刘乃全,郑秀君,贾彦利.中国区域发展战略政策演变及整体效应研究[J].财经研究,2005,(1):25-37.
[31]刘巍,吕亚泉.中国黑土地退化成因及生态修复学研究[J].东北水利水电,2006(1):59-61.
[32]林治华.产业集聚与东北振兴协同效应分析[J].东北财经大学学报,2006,(6):8-11.
[33]李文华.持续发展与资源对策[J].自然资源学报,1994,9(2):97-106.
[34]李亚伟,陈守煜,傅铁.基于模糊识别的水资源承载能力综合评价[J].水科学进展,2005,16(5):726-729.
[35]李月辉,赵弈,胡远满等.科尔沁沙地东部农牧交错带土地承载力研究[J].生态学杂志,2003,22(3):23-28.
[36]李娟.区域政策转型研究[J].周口师范学院学报,2004,(3):54-57.
[37]林年丰,王娟,汤洁等.农业生态环境系统的优化研究[J].吉林大学学报,2004,34(1):111-118.
[38]毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J].地球科学进展,2001,16(4):549-555.
[39]闵庆文,余卫东.区域水资源承载力的模糊综合评价分析方法及应用[J].水土保持研究,2004(3):126-129.
[40]南水仙,王锐铭.水资源开发利用程度的模糊综合评判[J].山西水土保持科技,2007,(1):15-17.
[41]齐亚彬.国土资源承载力定量综合评价研究——以天津为例[J].中国国土资源经济,2004,17(6):4-7.
[42]齐殿伟,尹豪.东北地区人口、资源、环境与可持续发展[J].工业技术经济,2005,(5):12-13.
[43]曲耀光等.黑河流域水资源承载力分析计算与对策[J].中国沙漠,2000,20(1):1-8.
[44]任继周,万长贵.系统耦合与荒漠-绿洲草地农业系统[J].草业学报,1994,3(3):1-8.
[45]施国洪,朱敏.系统动力学的方法在环境经济学的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,(12):104-110.
[46]尚金武,张妍,刘仁志.战略环境评价的系统动力学方法研究[J].东北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2001,33(1):84-89.
[47]孙弘颜,汤洁,刘亚修.基于模糊评价方法的中国水资源承载力研究[J].东北师大学报(自然科学版),2007,39(1):131-135.
[48]宋玉祥.东北地区生态环境保育与绿色社区建设[J].地理科学,2002,22(6):655-659.
[49]王书华,毛汉英等.略论土地综合承载力评价指标体系的设计思路——我国沿海地区案例分析[J].人文地理,2001,16(4):57-61.
[50]王玉平,卜善祥.中国矿产资源经济承载力研究[J].煤炭经济研究,1998,(12):15-18.
[51]王宏伟,程声通.战略环境影响评价与可持续发展的关系研究[J].重庆环境科学,2000,(1):20-22.
[52]王慧敏,徐立中.流域系统可持续发展分析[J].水科学进展,1999,(3):165-169.
[53]王志敏,李立军.2030年中国粮食作物结构调整与安全布局研究[J].中国农业科技导刊,2002,(6):16-22.
[54]王学全,卢琦,李保国.应用模糊综合评判方法对青海省水资源承载力评价研究[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):944-949.
[55]王浩.区域缺水状态的识别及其多维调控[J].资源科学,2003,25(3):66-74.
[56]王新华,戴维周.人口流动与产业结构升级的相关性分析[J].南京人口管理干部学院学报,2006(4):57-61.
[57]王一鸣.新的发展阶段:阶段性特征及其战略选择[J].经济理论与经济管理,2004,(10):5-11.
[58]吴敬链.注重经济增长方式转变,谨防结构调整中出现片面追求重型化的倾向[J].经济管理文摘,2004,(21).
[59]余卫东,闵庆文等.水资源承载力研究的进展与展望[J].干旱区研究,2003,20,(3):60-66.
[60]徐强.区域矿产资源承载能力分析-几个问题的探讨[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(2):135-140.
[61]徐良芳,冯国章,刘俊民.区域水资源可持续利用及其评价指标体系研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报,2002,20(6):119-122.
[62]新疆水资源软科学课题研究组.新疆水资源及其承载力的开发战略决策[J].水利水电技术,1989(6):2-9.
[63]谢高地.流域水资源承载能力研究方法的思考[J].资源科学,2005,24(1):158.
[64]谢高地,周海林等.中国水资源对发展的承载能力研究.资源科学,2005,27(4):2-7.
[65]肖满意,董翊立.山西省水资源承载能力评估[J].山西水利科技,1998,(4):5-11.
[66]许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究[J].自然学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
[67]夏军,王中根,左其亭.生态环境承载力的一种量化方法研究-以海河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):786-794.
[68]尤祥瑜,赵剑,唐辉.沈阳市水资源承载力研究[J].沈阳农业大学学报,2004,35(1):48-51.
[69]姚治君,刘宝勤等.基于区域发展目标下的水资源承载能力研究[J].水科学进展,2005,16(1):109-113.
[70]姚治君,王建华等.区域水资源承载力的研究进展及其理论探析[J].水科学进展,2002,13(1):111-115.
[71]衣保中.近代以来东北平原黑土开发的生态环境代价[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2003,(5):62-68.
[72]杨建强,罗先香.水资源可持续利用的系统动力学仿真研究[J].城市环境与城市生态,1999,12(4):26-29.
[73]赵士洞,王礼茂.可持续发展的概念和内涵[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(3):288-292.
[74]赵淑芹、王殿茹.我国主要城市辖区土地综合承载指数及评价[J].中国国土资源经济,2006,(12):24-27.
[75]周锁铨,戴进,姚小强.土地生产潜力和人口承载力方法的研究[J].自然资源,1992,(6):56-62.
[76]朱一中等.关于水资源承载力理论与方法的研究[J].地理科学进展,2003,21(2):180-188.
[77]张雷.可持续发展与我国能源战略调整[J].中国人口、资源与环境,1998,8(2):.
[78]张妍,于相毅.长春市产业结构环境影响的系统动力学优化模拟研究[J].经济地理,2003,(5):681-685.
[79]张钹.近10年人工智能的进展[J].模式识别与人工智能,1995,(8):34-38.
[80]张占江,李吉玫,石书兵.阿克苏河流域水资源承载力模糊综合评价[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(7):138-143.
[81]张传国,方创琳.干旱区绿洲系统生态-生产-生活承载力相互作用的驱动机制分析[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(2):181-187.
[82]张传国,方创琳,全华.干旱区绿洲承载力研究的全新审视与展望[J].资源科学,2002,24(2):42-48.
[83] Booker L,Goldberg D E,Holland J H.Classifier system and genetic algorithms[J].Artificial Intellifence.1989,40(9):1-3.
[84] Costanza R,Wainger L,Folke C et al.Modeling complex Ecological economic systems:toward an evolutionary[J].dynamic understanding of people and nature.Bioscience,1993,43(8):545-555.
[85] Charnes A,Cooper W W,Rhodes E.Measuring the efficiency of decision making units[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1978(2):429-444.
[86] Cooper W W,Tone K.Measuring of efficiency in data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier estimation[J].European Journal of Operational Research.1997(2):72-78.
[87] G.R.Conway.Agro ecosystem Analysis[J].Agricultural Administration,1985,20:31-55.
[88] Harris Jonathan M, et al. Carrying capacity in Agriculture: Globe and regional issue. Ecological Economics[J].1999,129(3):443-461.
[89] G.Buenstorf.Self-organization and Sustainability:Energetics of Evolution and Implications for Ecological Economics[J].Ecological Economics,2000,33(1):119-134.
[90] G.Munda.Environmental Economics,Ecological Economics,and the Concept of Sustainable Development[J].Environmental Values,1997(2):213-233.
[91] John.The Meaning of sustainability[J].The Biogeophysical Foundations.1996.
[92] J.Rajeswar . Population Perspectives and Sustainable Development[J] . Sustainable Development,2000,8(3):135-141.
[93] Jaques Savoy.Statistics inference in retrieval effectiveness evaluation[J].Information Processing and Management.1997,33(4):495-512.
[94] L.Moffatt.Ecological Footprints and Sustainable Development[J].Ecological Economics,2000,32(3):359-362.
[95] Lucien Duckstein.Multiobjective Optimization in River Basin Development[J].Water Resources Research,1980,16(1):14-20.
[96] Littlechild S.C.Common Costs, Fixed Charges,Clubs and Games[J].Review of Economic Studies.1975(43):117-124.
[97] N.Myers.Population,Environment and Development[J].Enviro.-Consv.,1993,20(3):205-216.
[98] Roldan Muradian.Ecological thresholds:a survey[J].Ecological Economics,2001,(38):7-24.
[99] Roy F.Weston,Matthias Ruth.A dynamic,hierarchical approach to understanding and managing natural economic systems[J].Ecological Economics,1997,(21):1-17.
[100] Robert.Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
[101] Rafik Hirji.Inter-Basin Water Transfers-Emerging Trends[J].Skyways Magazale,1998:5.
[102] Robert Engelmann and Pamela Leroy.Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Penewable Water Supplies[J].Washington Population Action International,1993.
[103] Tian Shi.Ecological economics in China:origins,dilemmas and prospects[J].Ecological Economics,2002,(41):5-20.