基于定性模拟的初级指挥生长干部领导能力评估的研究
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摘要
初级指挥生长干部是实现军队现代化建设和打赢未来高技术战争的人才基础,是将来执行军事任务的直接领导者,其领导能力的高低直接关系到未来履职尽责的程度。本文首先阐述培养初级指挥生长干部领导能力的重要性和评估手段对初级指挥生长干部领导能力的促进作用,其次通过我军初级指挥生长干部领导能力的培养与西点军校对学员领导力培养的比较分析,找出其中的相似性和差异性,为建立我军初级指挥生长干部领导能力评估指标体系提供参考依据,再次运用德尔菲法确定适用于我军的初级指挥生长干部领导能力评估指标体系,并应用层次分析法求其权重,最后把定性模拟技术引入到初级指挥生长干部领导能力评估中,初步设计初级指挥生长干部领导能力的评估模型,以定性的描述得到定量的评估结果。本课题是针对初级指挥生长干部领导能力评估进行的基础性研究,对促进我军院校初级指挥生长干部领导能力的提高具有非常重要的现实意义。
Primary command cadres are the foundational elements for military modernization and wining future high-tech wars, and they are future direct leaders in a military mission, whose capabilities of leading has a direct bearing on the performance of their duties. In this thesis, the author first discusses the importance of training the leadership of primary command cadres as well as the evaluation in promoting the leadership of them. And then, a comparative study on the leadership training between Chinese Army and West Point is conducted. Both differences and similarities are found in order to provide references for establishing an evaluation system of leadership assessment of our primary command cadres. The author employs the Delphi method to set up an index system for evaluating the leadership. The weights are ameliorated by applying the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Finally, the author introduces the qualitative simulation technology into evaluating the leadership of our primary command cadres, and designs the preliminary assessment model for evaluating the leadership of primary command cadres. The quantitative description is employed to obtain the qualitative assessment. This study is a basic research on the leading capacity assessment for our primary command cadres, which is of great practical significance in improving the leading ability of our primary command cadres in military academies.
Primary command cadres are the foundational elements for military modernization and wining future high-tech wars, and they are future direct leaders in a military mission, whose capabilities of leading has a direct bearing on the performance of their duties. In this thesis, the author first discusses the importance of training the leadership of primary command cadres as well as the evaluation in promoting the leadership of them. And then, a comparative study on the leadership training between Chinese Army and West Point is conducted. Both differences and similarities are found in order to provide references for establishing an evaluation system of leadership assessment of our primary command cadres. The author employs the Delphi method to set up an index system for evaluating the leadership. The weights are ameliorated by applying the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Finally, the author introduces the qualitative simulation technology into evaluating the leadership of our primary command cadres, and designs the preliminary assessment model for evaluating the leadership of primary command cadres. The quantitative description is employed to obtain the qualitative assessment. This study is a basic research on the leading capacity assessment for our primary command cadres, which is of great practical significance in improving the leading ability of our primary command cadres in military academies.
引文
[1]徐黎平,张郴平,黄文伟.构建信息化条件下院校军事训练新体系推进院校军事训练工作全面建设[J].高等教育研究学报,2007,8:19-21.
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[3]任嵘嵘,杨锡怀,张建波.基于灰色关联的CEO战略领导能力评价模型研究[J].科技进步与对策,2009,26(13)：154.
[4]贾建峰,赵希男,张惠燕.基于个性化考核与民主评价的领导力评估方法研究[J].管理评论,2006,18(5)：29.
[5]丁栋虹,朱菲.领导力评估理论研究述评[J].河南社会科学,2006,(3)：123.
[6]周同喜,刘续武.初级指挥生长干部军事素质评估方法研究[J].军事教育研究,2009(5):116.
[7]田建全,苗丹民,贡京京.军校学员领导力胜任特征模型的建立[J].中国健康心理学杂志,2007,15(7)：618.
[8]Warren Bennis and Burt Nanus,Leaders:The Strategies for Taking Change[M]. New York: Harper & Row,1985
[9]Jeffrey Horey.Competency based future leadership requirements[J]. United States army research institute for the behavioral and Social sciences 2004.7.
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[14]蔡国春.美国高校学生事务管理的观点、实务及其启示[J].黑龙江高教研究,2002,1：103-106.
[15]柯常青.对美国高等教育鉴认制度的探析与思考[J].中国高等教育,2004,1:46-47.
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[18]陶西平.教育评价辞典(第二卷)[M].北京师范大学出版社,1998:55.
[19]P T, Bartone SA, Snook TR, et al, Cognitive and Personality Predictors of Leader performance in West Point Cadet[J]. Military Psychology,2002,14(4):321-338
[20]陈思.外军院校的人才培养及启示[J].当代经理人,2006,21:1105.
[21]徐海孚,孙云祥,郭震宇.西点军校学员领导能力的培养及其启示[J].高等教育研究学报,2002,4:27.
[22]赵惠君,范玉芳.西点“学员军官基本素质”评价体系及其启示[J].高等工程教育研究,2006,6:115.
[23]孔毅,要振生.西点军校的办学特色及启示[J].中国大学教学,2004,3:52.
[24]Scollon,R. Conversations with a One year Old Child[M]. Honolulu:University of Hawail Press,1976.
[25]赵荣,查亚兵.西点军校的军事教育[J].高等教育研究学报,2004,2:37.
[26]王志光,陆浪如.我军综合大学军事基础课程设置的初步分析研究[J].军事教育研究,2009,5：320.
[27]田少文,关增林,高善民.外军院校课程设置比较研究[J].海军大连舰艇学院学报,2000,12:59.
[28]Martha Klinel. Mastering-Based Learning and Case-Based Instruction Techniques in a Faculty Learning Community [J].35th ASSEE/IEEEm Fronties in Education Conference, October 19,2005, Indianapolis.
[29]高津滔.江泽民军校教育思想浅探[J].高等教育研究学报,2004,3:3.
[30]李明.我军任务与我国军事体育发展战略的思考[J].解放军体育学院学报,2003,4:2.
[31]边一民,徐力,喻燕刚,周建新.组织行为学[M].浙江大学出版社,2006,12:309.
[32]罗安民.“学历教育合训”学员领导能力培养的管理方法研究[D].国防科学技术大学研究生院,2004,11：20-24.
[33]王朝阳,杨克巍,覃炳庆,黄魏.军校学员领导力及其构成要素的研究[J].高等教育研究学报,2008,9:14.
[34]陈桂芳,谢八斤,张广.加强人文素质培养,促进“4+1”学员全面发展,必须具备“五种能力[J].军事教育研究,2009:61.
[35]王鹏飞.军队核化医学救援队保障能力评估[D].中国人民解放军军事医学科学院,2007,5：6.
[36]姜启源,谢金星,叶俊.数学模型(第三版)[M].北京：高等数学出版社,2003:224-239.
[37]de Kleer J,Brow S.A qualitative physics base on confluence[J]. Artificial Intelligence,1983,59(24):7-15.
[38]Benjamin J. Kuipers. Reasoning with qualitative models[J]. Artificial Intelligence,1993, 59:125-132.
[39]胡斌,董升平.企业管理者自我效能感的定性模拟[J].系统工程,2005,8:12-19.
[40]Benjamin J. Kuipers. Qualitative Simulation [[J]. Artificial Intelligence,1986,29:289-338.
[41]Q. Shen, R. Leitch. Fuzzy Qualitative Simulation [J]. IEEE Transactions on System, M an and Cybernetics,1991,23:1037-1061.
[42]Cellier F E. Qualitative Simulation of technical systems using the general system problem solving framework. [J]. Int J Gen sys,1987,13(4):333-344.
[43]胡斌.群体行为的定性模拟原理与应用[M].武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2006:10.
[44]杨永建.外军人才发展战略趋势与我军人才发展战略思路[J].西安政治学院学2008,8：37
[45]Lunze J. Qualitative Modeling o f Dvnamical Svstems:Motivation. Methods, and Prospective Applications [J].Mathematics And Computers Simulation,1998,46:465-483.
[46]Iwasaki Y, Simon H A. Causality in device behavior [J]. Artificial Intelligence,1986, 29(1):3-32.
[47]Benjamin J K. Qualitative simulation:then and now [J]. Artificial Intelligence,1993,59: 133-140.第54页
[2]王长森.迎接军事变革挑战实施人才战略工程[N].解放军报.2003,06(17):1.
[3]任嵘嵘,杨锡怀,张建波.基于灰色关联的CEO战略领导能力评价模型研究[J].科技进步与对策,2009,26(13)：154.
[4]贾建峰,赵希男,张惠燕.基于个性化考核与民主评价的领导力评估方法研究[J].管理评论,2006,18(5)：29.
[5]丁栋虹,朱菲.领导力评估理论研究述评[J].河南社会科学,2006,(3)：123.
[6]周同喜,刘续武.初级指挥生长干部军事素质评估方法研究[J].军事教育研究,2009(5):116.
[7]田建全,苗丹民,贡京京.军校学员领导力胜任特征模型的建立[J].中国健康心理学杂志,2007,15(7)：618.
[8]Warren Bennis and Burt Nanus,Leaders:The Strategies for Taking Change[M]. New York: Harper & Row,1985
[9]Jeffrey Horey.Competency based future leadership requirements[J]. United States army research institute for the behavioral and Social sciences 2004.7.
[10]James Mac Gregor Burns, Leadership[M]. New York:Harper&Row.1978:18.
[11]梁卓欣.学生领导能力培养浅探[J].沧桑,2007,1：12-19.
[12]辞海(缩印本)[M].上海辞书出版社,1980:479.
[13]熊汉涛.指挥军官能力建设论[M].北京：国防大学出版社2005,8:6.
[14]蔡国春.美国高校学生事务管理的观点、实务及其启示[J].黑龙江高教研究,2002,1：103-106.
[15]柯常青.对美国高等教育鉴认制度的探析与思考[J].中国高等教育,2004,1:46-47.
[16]顾明远.教育大辞典增订合编本(下)[M].上海教育出版社,1998:1187.
[17]大卫.G.阿姆斯特朗,肯奈斯.T.汉森,汤姆.V赛威治.教育学导论[M].北京：中国人民大学出版社,2007,1：224-226.
[18]陶西平.教育评价辞典(第二卷)[M].北京师范大学出版社,1998:55.
[19]P T, Bartone SA, Snook TR, et al, Cognitive and Personality Predictors of Leader performance in West Point Cadet[J]. Military Psychology,2002,14(4):321-338
[20]陈思.外军院校的人才培养及启示[J].当代经理人,2006,21:1105.
[21]徐海孚,孙云祥,郭震宇.西点军校学员领导能力的培养及其启示[J].高等教育研究学报,2002,4:27.
[22]赵惠君,范玉芳.西点“学员军官基本素质”评价体系及其启示[J].高等工程教育研究,2006,6:115.
[23]孔毅,要振生.西点军校的办学特色及启示[J].中国大学教学,2004,3:52.
[24]Scollon,R. Conversations with a One year Old Child[M]. Honolulu:University of Hawail Press,1976.
[25]赵荣,查亚兵.西点军校的军事教育[J].高等教育研究学报,2004,2:37.
[26]王志光,陆浪如.我军综合大学军事基础课程设置的初步分析研究[J].军事教育研究,2009,5：320.
[27]田少文,关增林,高善民.外军院校课程设置比较研究[J].海军大连舰艇学院学报,2000,12:59.
[28]Martha Klinel. Mastering-Based Learning and Case-Based Instruction Techniques in a Faculty Learning Community [J].35th ASSEE/IEEEm Fronties in Education Conference, October 19,2005, Indianapolis.
[29]高津滔.江泽民军校教育思想浅探[J].高等教育研究学报,2004,3:3.
[30]李明.我军任务与我国军事体育发展战略的思考[J].解放军体育学院学报,2003,4:2.
[31]边一民,徐力,喻燕刚,周建新.组织行为学[M].浙江大学出版社,2006,12:309.
[32]罗安民.“学历教育合训”学员领导能力培养的管理方法研究[D].国防科学技术大学研究生院,2004,11：20-24.
[33]王朝阳,杨克巍,覃炳庆,黄魏.军校学员领导力及其构成要素的研究[J].高等教育研究学报,2008,9:14.
[34]陈桂芳,谢八斤,张广.加强人文素质培养,促进“4+1”学员全面发展,必须具备“五种能力[J].军事教育研究,2009:61.
[35]王鹏飞.军队核化医学救援队保障能力评估[D].中国人民解放军军事医学科学院,2007,5：6.
[36]姜启源,谢金星,叶俊.数学模型(第三版)[M].北京：高等数学出版社,2003:224-239.
[37]de Kleer J,Brow S.A qualitative physics base on confluence[J]. Artificial Intelligence,1983,59(24):7-15.
[38]Benjamin J. Kuipers. Reasoning with qualitative models[J]. Artificial Intelligence,1993, 59:125-132.
[39]胡斌,董升平.企业管理者自我效能感的定性模拟[J].系统工程,2005,8:12-19.
[40]Benjamin J. Kuipers. Qualitative Simulation [[J]. Artificial Intelligence,1986,29:289-338.
[41]Q. Shen, R. Leitch. Fuzzy Qualitative Simulation [J]. IEEE Transactions on System, M an and Cybernetics,1991,23:1037-1061.
[42]Cellier F E. Qualitative Simulation of technical systems using the general system problem solving framework. [J]. Int J Gen sys,1987,13(4):333-344.
[43]胡斌.群体行为的定性模拟原理与应用[M].武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2006:10.
[44]杨永建.外军人才发展战略趋势与我军人才发展战略思路[J].西安政治学院学2008,8：37
[45]Lunze J. Qualitative Modeling o f Dvnamical Svstems:Motivation. Methods, and Prospective Applications [J].Mathematics And Computers Simulation,1998,46:465-483.
[46]Iwasaki Y, Simon H A. Causality in device behavior [J]. Artificial Intelligence,1986, 29(1):3-32.
[47]Benjamin J K. Qualitative simulation:then and now [J]. Artificial Intelligence,1993,59: 133-140.第54页