农户参与城乡建设用地增减挂钩意愿的实证分析
|
摘要
随着我国城市化、工业化进程的加快,城市人口不断增长,促使城市建设用地规模不断扩大。然而,由于城乡二元结构(户籍、土地产权等)的客观限制,一些农村人口(或称为“两栖人口”)虽已定居在城市,但仍在农村留有宅基地,导致农村宅基地闲置,土地浪费严重。农村宅基地整理具有很大潜力。加之,我国城乡建设用地结构不合理,更凸显了人地矛盾和土地资源稀缺问题。2004年,中央政府提出城乡建设用地增减挂钩政策,积极盘活农村存量建设用地,缓解建设用地扩张对农用地的压力。农户是参与城乡建设用地增减挂钩工作最广泛的群体。只有在充分尊重农户意愿、保障农户合法权益的基础上,才能顺利开展农村居民点整理,推动城乡建设用地增减挂钩政策的实施。目前,我国城乡建设用地增减挂钩正处于试点阶段,探讨如何有效推进城乡建设用地增减挂钩政策,推动农村建设用地整理,对于促进我国城市化发展和新农村建设,实现“耕地总量动态平衡”的政策目标具有重大的现实意义。因此,本研究以农户意愿为出发点,通过农户调查,对农户参与城乡建设用地增减挂钩意愿进行实证分析,探索城乡建设用地增减挂钩的实施机制,从而推动城乡统筹发展,实现土地资源的节约集约利用。
首先,本文通过设计农户调查问卷,选取浙江省嘉善县和缙云县两地作为经济发达和经济欠发达地区的代表进行农户调查,了解农户参与城乡建设用地增减挂钩的意愿。在问卷设计过程中,本文设定农户的参与意愿主要包括搬迁意愿和补偿意愿两方面,其中农户搬迁意愿是在设定的以下两种政策情景下的搬迁意愿:①给予一定的拆迁补贴;②解决部分建房资金和生活保障问题;农户补偿意愿则主要包括住房补偿意愿和货币补偿意愿两方面,其中住房补偿意愿在问卷中体现为农户期望的住房面积大小,货币补偿意愿在问卷中体现为农户期望的拆迁补贴金额。
其次,本文在分析调查数据的基础上,采用计量模型对影响农户意愿的因素进行分析,揭示其内在影响机理。模型分析主要有三部分:
第一是采用多项Logit模型对农户在设定的两种政策下的搬迁意愿的影响因素分析,分析结果显示:影响农户搬迁的动力因素有农户建房计划、家庭年收入、职业和土地经营方式;阻力因素有农户现有住房面积和住房建造成本;并且,以缙云为代表的经济欠发达地区农户比以嘉善为代表的经济发达地区农户更愿意搬迁。
第二是采用多元回归分析对农户期望的住房面积的影响因素的分析,分析发现,对嘉善农户期望住房面积产生显著影响的因素有农户现有住房建造年份、建造成本、住房总面积;对缙云农户期望住房面积产生显著影响的因素有被调查者性别、家庭年收入和农户的建房计划。
第三是采用有序Logit模型对农户期望的拆迁补贴金额的影响因素的分析,分析结果为:嘉善农户期望政府补贴金额受变量影响很小,只有农户住房建造成本在1%的显著性水平下对补贴金额产生影响;缙云地区农户期望政府补贴金额高低受家庭人口数、家庭年收入和家庭承包田面积影响较显著。结合模型影响因素分析结果,本文就安置补偿方面如何制定激励农户参与的政策措施进行了一些思考。
最后,得出本文最终研究结论:经济发达地区农户城市化意愿更高;货币补偿政策比其他政策激励作用要大;影响农户搬迁的动力因素主要是农户家庭收入水平和未来建房计划,阻力因素主要是现有住房条件;不同地区农户的住房补偿意愿和货币补偿意愿的影响因素是不同的。
With urbanization and industrialization speeding up, the city population increased resulting in urban construction land expanding. However, as a result of the restriction of rurban-rural dual structure (household registration, land ownership, etc.), some rural population (or known as the "amphibious population") have settled in the city, but they still keep rural residencies, which led idle rural residencies and seriously waste land resource. The potential of rural residencies consolidation is great. What's more, the unreasonable structure of urban and rural construction land aggravated the human land conflict and land resource scarcity. So the country puts forward the policy of plus and minus hook between urban and rural construction land in 2004. The policy means to activate the stock rural construction land, mitigate the pressure of construction land expanding to agricultural land and expand the urban construction land. Farmers are the critical stakeholders in the program of plus and minus hook between urban and rural construction land. The policy can be implemented only when the rural construction land reclamation is carried out smoothly based on the respecting farmers' willingness and guaranteeing the legal rights.At present, the policy is still in pilot stage, so it's very significant to research how to promote the policy and advance the rural construction land reclamation for pushing forward the urbanization and new countryside construction and realizing the object of total farmland dynamic balance in practice. So the paper took farmer survey to analyze the farmers' willingness to participate in the program of plus and minus hook between urban and rural construction land, explored the implementation mechanism of the policy to promote the urban and rural balancing development and realize the intensive and economic use of land resource.
At first, the paper designed the fanner survey, taking the Jiashan and Jinyun County as the representative of developed and undeveloped economy regions to investigate the farmers' willingness. The paper assumes the farmers' willingness include relocation and compensation. And the relocation willingness is analyzed under two policy scenarios:①some relocation subsidy;②some reconstruction capital and life assurance. The compensation willingness is analyzed under housing compensation and monetary compensation, which are denoted as expectation of housing area and relocation subsidy amount.
Then the paper used the econometric model to analyze the relative factors of the farmers' willingness in order to reveal the internal mechanism based on the survey results. The analysis includes three parts. First, the relocation willingness is analyzed under two scenarios with Multinomial Logit Model. As the results showed, the motive factors include house construction plan. family annual income, occupation and land management modes. The resistance factors are present housing area and house construction cost. What' more, the fanners in economy undeveloped areas represented by Jinyun are more active in relocation than those in developed areas represented by Jiashan. Second, the influencing factors of the housing area expectation are analyzed with Multiple Regression Model. The results show that the significant factors include the time of the present housing, the housing cost and housing area amount in Jiashan, while the factors are the gender of the respondents, the family annual income and house construction plan. Third, the influencing factors of the relocation subsidy amount expectation are analyzed with Ordinal Logit Model. The results are that the expectation varies little, only the housing construction cost is influencing under 1% significance level in Jiashan. While the expectation is influenced by family size, annual income and contracted field area significantly in Jinyun.
At last, the conclusions are that the urbanization willingness is higher in economy developed region, and monetary subsidy is more effective than other policies. The motive factors of relocation are family annual income and house construction plan, and the resistance factors are present housing condition. Most importantly, the willingness of housing subsidy and monetary compensation is different in different regions. And the measures to activate the farmers' participation willingness are put forward accordingly.
首先,本文通过设计农户调查问卷,选取浙江省嘉善县和缙云县两地作为经济发达和经济欠发达地区的代表进行农户调查,了解农户参与城乡建设用地增减挂钩的意愿。在问卷设计过程中,本文设定农户的参与意愿主要包括搬迁意愿和补偿意愿两方面,其中农户搬迁意愿是在设定的以下两种政策情景下的搬迁意愿:①给予一定的拆迁补贴;②解决部分建房资金和生活保障问题;农户补偿意愿则主要包括住房补偿意愿和货币补偿意愿两方面,其中住房补偿意愿在问卷中体现为农户期望的住房面积大小,货币补偿意愿在问卷中体现为农户期望的拆迁补贴金额。
其次,本文在分析调查数据的基础上,采用计量模型对影响农户意愿的因素进行分析,揭示其内在影响机理。模型分析主要有三部分:
第一是采用多项Logit模型对农户在设定的两种政策下的搬迁意愿的影响因素分析,分析结果显示:影响农户搬迁的动力因素有农户建房计划、家庭年收入、职业和土地经营方式;阻力因素有农户现有住房面积和住房建造成本;并且,以缙云为代表的经济欠发达地区农户比以嘉善为代表的经济发达地区农户更愿意搬迁。
第二是采用多元回归分析对农户期望的住房面积的影响因素的分析,分析发现,对嘉善农户期望住房面积产生显著影响的因素有农户现有住房建造年份、建造成本、住房总面积;对缙云农户期望住房面积产生显著影响的因素有被调查者性别、家庭年收入和农户的建房计划。
第三是采用有序Logit模型对农户期望的拆迁补贴金额的影响因素的分析,分析结果为:嘉善农户期望政府补贴金额受变量影响很小,只有农户住房建造成本在1%的显著性水平下对补贴金额产生影响;缙云地区农户期望政府补贴金额高低受家庭人口数、家庭年收入和家庭承包田面积影响较显著。结合模型影响因素分析结果,本文就安置补偿方面如何制定激励农户参与的政策措施进行了一些思考。
最后,得出本文最终研究结论:经济发达地区农户城市化意愿更高;货币补偿政策比其他政策激励作用要大;影响农户搬迁的动力因素主要是农户家庭收入水平和未来建房计划,阻力因素主要是现有住房条件;不同地区农户的住房补偿意愿和货币补偿意愿的影响因素是不同的。
With urbanization and industrialization speeding up, the city population increased resulting in urban construction land expanding. However, as a result of the restriction of rurban-rural dual structure (household registration, land ownership, etc.), some rural population (or known as the "amphibious population") have settled in the city, but they still keep rural residencies, which led idle rural residencies and seriously waste land resource. The potential of rural residencies consolidation is great. What's more, the unreasonable structure of urban and rural construction land aggravated the human land conflict and land resource scarcity. So the country puts forward the policy of plus and minus hook between urban and rural construction land in 2004. The policy means to activate the stock rural construction land, mitigate the pressure of construction land expanding to agricultural land and expand the urban construction land. Farmers are the critical stakeholders in the program of plus and minus hook between urban and rural construction land. The policy can be implemented only when the rural construction land reclamation is carried out smoothly based on the respecting farmers' willingness and guaranteeing the legal rights.At present, the policy is still in pilot stage, so it's very significant to research how to promote the policy and advance the rural construction land reclamation for pushing forward the urbanization and new countryside construction and realizing the object of total farmland dynamic balance in practice. So the paper took farmer survey to analyze the farmers' willingness to participate in the program of plus and minus hook between urban and rural construction land, explored the implementation mechanism of the policy to promote the urban and rural balancing development and realize the intensive and economic use of land resource.
At first, the paper designed the fanner survey, taking the Jiashan and Jinyun County as the representative of developed and undeveloped economy regions to investigate the farmers' willingness. The paper assumes the farmers' willingness include relocation and compensation. And the relocation willingness is analyzed under two policy scenarios:①some relocation subsidy;②some reconstruction capital and life assurance. The compensation willingness is analyzed under housing compensation and monetary compensation, which are denoted as expectation of housing area and relocation subsidy amount.
Then the paper used the econometric model to analyze the relative factors of the farmers' willingness in order to reveal the internal mechanism based on the survey results. The analysis includes three parts. First, the relocation willingness is analyzed under two scenarios with Multinomial Logit Model. As the results showed, the motive factors include house construction plan. family annual income, occupation and land management modes. The resistance factors are present housing area and house construction cost. What' more, the fanners in economy undeveloped areas represented by Jinyun are more active in relocation than those in developed areas represented by Jiashan. Second, the influencing factors of the housing area expectation are analyzed with Multiple Regression Model. The results show that the significant factors include the time of the present housing, the housing cost and housing area amount in Jiashan, while the factors are the gender of the respondents, the family annual income and house construction plan. Third, the influencing factors of the relocation subsidy amount expectation are analyzed with Ordinal Logit Model. The results are that the expectation varies little, only the housing construction cost is influencing under 1% significance level in Jiashan. While the expectation is influenced by family size, annual income and contracted field area significantly in Jinyun.
At last, the conclusions are that the urbanization willingness is higher in economy developed region, and monetary subsidy is more effective than other policies. The motive factors of relocation are family annual income and house construction plan, and the resistance factors are present housing condition. Most importantly, the willingness of housing subsidy and monetary compensation is different in different regions. And the measures to activate the farmers' participation willingness are put forward accordingly.
引文
1 国家统计局编.中国统计摘要:2008[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2008:32-34.
2 数据来源:全国土地利用总体规划纲要(2006-2020年)。
1 张治飞,江峰.对农村建设用地规划的思考[EB/OL].http://www.crei.cn 2008-12-13.
2 数据来源:全国土地利用总体规划纲要(2006-2020年)。
3 数据来源:浙江省土地利用总体规划文本(2006-2020年)。
1 《昆山市土地集约利用与可持续发展研究》课题组.区域发展与土地利用研究.中国国土资源报,2005,8:22.
2 节约与集约利用土地研究思路和要求[J/OL].2007-4-9.http://www.tdzl.org.
1 引自浙江省国土资源厅《关于进一步加强土地开发整理工作的意见》(浙政办发[2000]77号)。
1 数据来源:浙江省土地利用总体规划文本(2006-2020年)。
[1]Ackerman W.V.Growth Control versus the Growth Machine in Redlands California:Conflict in Urban Land Use[J].Urban Geography,1999,20(2):146-167.
[2]Bailey A.J.Migration History,Migration Behavior and Selectivity[J].The Annals of Regional Science,1993,27(4):315-326.
[3]Cieslewicz D.J.The Environmental Impacts of Sprawl:Urban Sprawl[M].Washington D.C.,The Urban Institute Press,2003:23-38.
[4]Garasky S.Where Are They Going? A Comparison of Urban and Rural Youths' Locational Choices after Leaving the Parental Home[J].Social Science Research,2002,31:409-431.
[5]Hauser P.M.Demographic Factors in the Integration of the Negro[J].The Negro American(Fall),1965:847-877.
[6]Helsey R.W.,Strange W.C.Strategic Growth Control[J],Regional Science and Urban Economics,1995(25):435-460.
[7]Jan K.Brueckner,Fu-Chuan Lai.Urban growth controls with resident land owners,Regional Science and Urban Economics,1996(26):125-143.
[8]John R.H.,Miehael P.T.Migration,Unemployment and Development Analysis[J],American Economic Review,1970,60:126.
[9]Litman.T.Evaluating Criticism of Smart Growth[J].Victoria Transport Policy Institute,2004:10-15.
[10]Nelson A.J.,Duncan,Mullen C.,etal.Growth Management:Principles and Practices[M].Chicago:Planners Press,APA.1995:39-46.
[11]Hauser P.M.,Schore L.F.The Study of Urbanization[M].Wiley New York,Lowry,I.1966:30-42.
[12]R.Capello,R.Camagni.Beyond Optimal City Size:An Evaluation of Alternative Urban Growth Patterns[J].Urban Studies,2000,9:34-56.
[13]R.Vogel,B.Swanson.The Growth Machine versus the Antigrowth Coalition:The Battle for our Communities[J].Urban Affair Quarterly,1989,25:63-85.
[14]Schwartz 1.S.,Zorn M.P.,Hansen D.E.H.Research Design Issues and Pitfalls in Growth Control Studies[J].Land Economics,1986,62:223-233.
[15]Seto K.C.Modeling the Drivers of Urban Land Use Change in the Pearl River Delta in China: Integrating Remote Sensing with Socioeconomic Data[J].Land Economics,2003,79(1):106-121.
[16]Stark O.The migration of Labor[M],Cambridge,Maj Basil Blackwell.1991:35-52.
[17]Stark O.A Note on Modeling Labour Migration in LDCs[J].Journal of development studies,1983,19(4):318-322.
[18]Zhao Y.H.Leaving the Coutryside:Rural to Urban Migration Decisions in China[J].China's Rural Migration,1999,89(2):281-286.
[19]J.M.伍德里奇.计量经济学导论[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1996:23-67.
[20]K.J.巴顿.城市经济学(中译本)[M].上海:上海译文出版社,1984:14.
[21]陈百明.土地资源学概论[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1999:294-297.
[22]陈光庭.城市综合管理[M].北京:北京科学技术出版社,1987:7.
[23]陈欣欣,黄祖辉.经济发达地区就地转移劳动力向城市迁移的影响因素分析--基于浙江省农户意愿的调查分析[J].中国农村经济,2003(5):33-39.
[24]陈莹,刘康,郑伟元,等.城市土地集约利用潜力评价的应用研究[J].中国土地科学,2002,16(4):26-29.
[25]甘立彩,周宝同.基于“挂钩”下的农村建设用地整理效益分析[J].土地经济,2008(10):42-45.
[26]高建华,李会勤.农村居民点整理模式的调查与研究--以河南汝州市温庄村为例[J].农村经济,2003(10):26-27.
[27]高佩义.中外城市化比较研究[M].天津:南开大学出版社,2004:6-15.
[28]高燕.农村居民点用地整理的适宜性评价、模式及政策选择[D].浙江大学硕士学位论文,2004:20-40.
[29]宫攀.农村居民点土地整理初步研究[D].河北农业大学硕士学位论文,2003:30-35.
[30]龚义,吴小平,欧阳安蛟.城市土地集约利用内涵界定及评价指标体系设计[J].浙江国土资源,2002(1):46-49.
[31]谷晓坤,陈百明,代兵.经济发达区农村居民点整理驱动力与模式--以浙江省嵊州市为例[J].自然资源学报,2007,22(5):701-708.
[32]郭文华,郝晋珉,覃丽,等.中国城镇化过程中的建设用地评价指数探讨[J].资源科学,2005,27(3):66-72.
[33]蒋乃华,封进.农村城市化过程中的农民意愿考察--对江苏的实证分析[J].管理世界,2002(2):24-28.
[34]揭新华.日本农村劳动力的转移方式[J].世界农业,2002(10):29-30.
[35]柯水发.农户参与退耕还林行为理论与实证研究[D].北京林业大学博士学位论文,2007:13-14.
[36]李宪文,张军连,郑伟元,等.中国城镇化过程中村庄土地整理潜力估算[J].农业工程学报,2004,20(4):276-279.
[37]林爱文,庞艳.农村居民点用地整理适宜性的递阶模糊评价模型[J].武汉大学学报,2006,31(7):624-627.
[38]林坚,李尧.北京市农村居民点用地整理潜力研究[J].中国土地科学,2007,21(1):58-65.
[39]刘长歧,甘国辉,李晓江.北京市人口郊区化与居住用地空间扩展研究[J].经济地理,2003,23(5):666-670.
[40]刘红萍.城市用地扩张规律多控制绩效研究[D].华中农业大学博士学位论文,2006:10-12.
[41]刘盛和.城市土地利用扩展的空间模式与动力机制[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(1):43-49.
[42]刘筱非,杨庆媛,廖和平,等.西南丘陵山区农村居民点整理潜力测算方法探讨--以重庆市渝北区为例[J].西南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2004,2(4):11-14.
[43]刘易斯.二元经济论[M].北京:北京经济学院出版社,1989:15-32.
[44]马锐,韩武波,吕春娟,等.城乡交错带居民点整理潜力研究--以山西省太原市晋源区为例[J].农业工程学报,2005,21(1):192-194.
[45]买晓森.城乡建设用地增减挂钩的经济分析--以重庆市沙坪坝区为例[D].西南大学硕士学位论文,2008:45-50.
[46]毛蒋兴,闫小培,王爱民,等.20世纪90年代以来我国城市土地集约利用研究述评[J].地理与地理信息科学,2005,21(2):48-57.
[47]彭建,蒋一军,张清春,等.城市近郊农村居民点土地整理研究--以北京市大兴区黄村镇狼堡村为例[J].资源产业,2004,6(5):17-20.
[48]邱道持.统筹城乡发展推进土地流转--关于重庆市农村土地流转和规模经营的调研报告[J].重庆国十资源,2007(5):18-26.
[49]曲福田,陈江龙,陈雯.农地非农化经济驱动机制的理论分析与实证研究[J].自然科学学报,2005,20(2):231-241.
[50]史清华,林坚,顾海英.农民工进镇意愿、动因及期望的调查分析[J].中州学刊,2005(1):45-50.
[51]史中华,柴彦威,刘志林.深圳市民迁居特征的时空分析[J].人文地理,2000,15(3):37-42.
[52]托达罗,华淑华译.第三世界的经济发展[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社.1988:30-35.
[53]王静,邵晓梅.土地节约集约利用技术方法研究:现状、问题与趋势[J].地理科学进展,2008,27(3):68-70.
[54]王君,朱玉碧,郑财贵.对城乡建设用地增减挂钩运作模式的探讨[J].农村经济,2007(8):29-31.
[55]王如渊.土地整理与耕地总量动态平衡[J].中国土地,1999(2):25-26.
[56]王小鲁.优化城市规模,推动经济增长[J].经济研究,1999(9):30-34
[57]王雅莉,黄祖辉,陈欣欣.城市化进程中的劳动力再配置[M],北京:中国社会科学出版社,2002:193
[58]卫龙宝,胡慧洪,钱文荣,等.镇化过程中相关行为主体迁移意愿的分析--对浙江省海宁市农村居民的调查[J].中国社会科学,2003(5):39-48.
[59]吴良镛,吴唯佳,武廷海.论世界与中国城市化的大趋势和江苏省城市化[J].道路科技导,2003(2):36.
[60]武进.城市形态结构、特征及增长[M].江苏:江苏科技出版社,1990:21-25.
[61]谢晖.农村建设中的农户搬迁意愿影响因素分析--以江苏省东台市安丰镇为例[J].小城镇建设,2008(3):52-54.
[62]许学强,周一星,等.城市地理学[M].北京:高等教育出版社,1997.
[63]宣迅.城乡统筹论[D].西南财经大学博士学位论文.2004:46.
[64]颜华.我国统筹城乡发展问题研究[D].东北农业大学博士学位论文.2005:30.
[65]杨庆媛,田永中,王朝科,等.西南丘陵山地区农村居民点土地整理模式--以重庆渝北区为例[J].地理研究,2004,23(4):469-478.
[66]杨庆媛,张占录.大城市郊区农村居民点整理的目标和模式研究--以北京市顺义区为例[J].中国软科学,2003(6):115-119.
[67]姚士谋,侯晓红.上海国际化大都市的地域空间扩展城市规划[J].城市规划,1994(4):1-4.
[68]叶敬忠,刘金龙,林志斌.参与·组织·发展:参与式林业的理论、研究与实践[M].北京:中国林业出版社,2001.
[69]叶艳妹,吴次芳.我国农村居民点用地整理的潜力、运作模式与政策选择[J].农业经济问题,1998,19(10):54-57.
[70]于法展.农户参与土地整理规划项目的探索--以江苏省丰县大沙河为例[D].中国农业大学硕士学位论文,2005:17-25.
[71]喻燕山.我国城镇的合理规模及其效率研究[J].经济地理,2000,20(2):84-89.
[72]张安录.可转移发权与农地城市流转控制[J].中国农村观察,2000(2):20-25.
[73]张大华.社区参与天然林保护工程理论与实践研究[D].南京林业大学博士学位论文,2003.
[74]章牧,骆培聪,颜志森,等.城市土地集约利用评价-以福建省福州市为例[J].福建师范大学学 报(自然科学版),2001,17(4):105-109.
[75]郑弘毅.农村城市化研究[M].南京:南京大学出版社,1998:121-122.
[76]郑新奇.城市土地优化配置与集约利用评价[M].北京:科学出版社,2004:30-36.
[77]周春芳,苏群.非农化进程中农村女性人力资本投资与非农就业--基于性别差异的视角[J].农业技术经济,2008(5):10-17.
[78]周春山.城市人口迁居理论研究[J].城市规划汇刊,1996(3):34-39.
[79]周皓.中国人口迁移的家庭化趋势及影响因素分析[J].人口研究,2004(11):60-69.
[80]周琳琅.统筹城乡发展理论与实践[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2004:181-185.
[81]周一星,孟廷春.沈阳的郊区化--兼论中西方郊区化的比较[J].地理学报,1997,52(4):289-299.
[82]周一星.北京的郊区化及引发的思考[J].地理科学,1996,16(3):198-206.
[83]庄社明.加强农村建设用地整理拓展城镇建设用地空间--关于落实“城镇建设用地增加与农村建设用地减少相挂钩”政策的思考[J].国土资源通讯,2005(19):37-38.
[84]宗跃光,周尚意,张振世,等.北京城郊化空间特征与发展对策[J].地理学报,2002,57(2):135-142.
2 数据来源:全国土地利用总体规划纲要(2006-2020年)。
1 张治飞,江峰.对农村建设用地规划的思考[EB/OL].http://www.crei.cn 2008-12-13.
2 数据来源:全国土地利用总体规划纲要(2006-2020年)。
3 数据来源:浙江省土地利用总体规划文本(2006-2020年)。
1 《昆山市土地集约利用与可持续发展研究》课题组.区域发展与土地利用研究.中国国土资源报,2005,8:22.
2 节约与集约利用土地研究思路和要求[J/OL].2007-4-9.http://www.tdzl.org.
1 引自浙江省国土资源厅《关于进一步加强土地开发整理工作的意见》(浙政办发[2000]77号)。
1 数据来源:浙江省土地利用总体规划文本(2006-2020年)。
[1]Ackerman W.V.Growth Control versus the Growth Machine in Redlands California:Conflict in Urban Land Use[J].Urban Geography,1999,20(2):146-167.
[2]Bailey A.J.Migration History,Migration Behavior and Selectivity[J].The Annals of Regional Science,1993,27(4):315-326.
[3]Cieslewicz D.J.The Environmental Impacts of Sprawl:Urban Sprawl[M].Washington D.C.,The Urban Institute Press,2003:23-38.
[4]Garasky S.Where Are They Going? A Comparison of Urban and Rural Youths' Locational Choices after Leaving the Parental Home[J].Social Science Research,2002,31:409-431.
[5]Hauser P.M.Demographic Factors in the Integration of the Negro[J].The Negro American(Fall),1965:847-877.
[6]Helsey R.W.,Strange W.C.Strategic Growth Control[J],Regional Science and Urban Economics,1995(25):435-460.
[7]Jan K.Brueckner,Fu-Chuan Lai.Urban growth controls with resident land owners,Regional Science and Urban Economics,1996(26):125-143.
[8]John R.H.,Miehael P.T.Migration,Unemployment and Development Analysis[J],American Economic Review,1970,60:126.
[9]Litman.T.Evaluating Criticism of Smart Growth[J].Victoria Transport Policy Institute,2004:10-15.
[10]Nelson A.J.,Duncan,Mullen C.,etal.Growth Management:Principles and Practices[M].Chicago:Planners Press,APA.1995:39-46.
[11]Hauser P.M.,Schore L.F.The Study of Urbanization[M].Wiley New York,Lowry,I.1966:30-42.
[12]R.Capello,R.Camagni.Beyond Optimal City Size:An Evaluation of Alternative Urban Growth Patterns[J].Urban Studies,2000,9:34-56.
[13]R.Vogel,B.Swanson.The Growth Machine versus the Antigrowth Coalition:The Battle for our Communities[J].Urban Affair Quarterly,1989,25:63-85.
[14]Schwartz 1.S.,Zorn M.P.,Hansen D.E.H.Research Design Issues and Pitfalls in Growth Control Studies[J].Land Economics,1986,62:223-233.
[15]Seto K.C.Modeling the Drivers of Urban Land Use Change in the Pearl River Delta in China: Integrating Remote Sensing with Socioeconomic Data[J].Land Economics,2003,79(1):106-121.
[16]Stark O.The migration of Labor[M],Cambridge,Maj Basil Blackwell.1991:35-52.
[17]Stark O.A Note on Modeling Labour Migration in LDCs[J].Journal of development studies,1983,19(4):318-322.
[18]Zhao Y.H.Leaving the Coutryside:Rural to Urban Migration Decisions in China[J].China's Rural Migration,1999,89(2):281-286.
[19]J.M.伍德里奇.计量经济学导论[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1996:23-67.
[20]K.J.巴顿.城市经济学(中译本)[M].上海:上海译文出版社,1984:14.
[21]陈百明.土地资源学概论[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,1999:294-297.
[22]陈光庭.城市综合管理[M].北京:北京科学技术出版社,1987:7.
[23]陈欣欣,黄祖辉.经济发达地区就地转移劳动力向城市迁移的影响因素分析--基于浙江省农户意愿的调查分析[J].中国农村经济,2003(5):33-39.
[24]陈莹,刘康,郑伟元,等.城市土地集约利用潜力评价的应用研究[J].中国土地科学,2002,16(4):26-29.
[25]甘立彩,周宝同.基于“挂钩”下的农村建设用地整理效益分析[J].土地经济,2008(10):42-45.
[26]高建华,李会勤.农村居民点整理模式的调查与研究--以河南汝州市温庄村为例[J].农村经济,2003(10):26-27.
[27]高佩义.中外城市化比较研究[M].天津:南开大学出版社,2004:6-15.
[28]高燕.农村居民点用地整理的适宜性评价、模式及政策选择[D].浙江大学硕士学位论文,2004:20-40.
[29]宫攀.农村居民点土地整理初步研究[D].河北农业大学硕士学位论文,2003:30-35.
[30]龚义,吴小平,欧阳安蛟.城市土地集约利用内涵界定及评价指标体系设计[J].浙江国土资源,2002(1):46-49.
[31]谷晓坤,陈百明,代兵.经济发达区农村居民点整理驱动力与模式--以浙江省嵊州市为例[J].自然资源学报,2007,22(5):701-708.
[32]郭文华,郝晋珉,覃丽,等.中国城镇化过程中的建设用地评价指数探讨[J].资源科学,2005,27(3):66-72.
[33]蒋乃华,封进.农村城市化过程中的农民意愿考察--对江苏的实证分析[J].管理世界,2002(2):24-28.
[34]揭新华.日本农村劳动力的转移方式[J].世界农业,2002(10):29-30.
[35]柯水发.农户参与退耕还林行为理论与实证研究[D].北京林业大学博士学位论文,2007:13-14.
[36]李宪文,张军连,郑伟元,等.中国城镇化过程中村庄土地整理潜力估算[J].农业工程学报,2004,20(4):276-279.
[37]林爱文,庞艳.农村居民点用地整理适宜性的递阶模糊评价模型[J].武汉大学学报,2006,31(7):624-627.
[38]林坚,李尧.北京市农村居民点用地整理潜力研究[J].中国土地科学,2007,21(1):58-65.
[39]刘长歧,甘国辉,李晓江.北京市人口郊区化与居住用地空间扩展研究[J].经济地理,2003,23(5):666-670.
[40]刘红萍.城市用地扩张规律多控制绩效研究[D].华中农业大学博士学位论文,2006:10-12.
[41]刘盛和.城市土地利用扩展的空间模式与动力机制[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(1):43-49.
[42]刘筱非,杨庆媛,廖和平,等.西南丘陵山区农村居民点整理潜力测算方法探讨--以重庆市渝北区为例[J].西南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2004,2(4):11-14.
[43]刘易斯.二元经济论[M].北京:北京经济学院出版社,1989:15-32.
[44]马锐,韩武波,吕春娟,等.城乡交错带居民点整理潜力研究--以山西省太原市晋源区为例[J].农业工程学报,2005,21(1):192-194.
[45]买晓森.城乡建设用地增减挂钩的经济分析--以重庆市沙坪坝区为例[D].西南大学硕士学位论文,2008:45-50.
[46]毛蒋兴,闫小培,王爱民,等.20世纪90年代以来我国城市土地集约利用研究述评[J].地理与地理信息科学,2005,21(2):48-57.
[47]彭建,蒋一军,张清春,等.城市近郊农村居民点土地整理研究--以北京市大兴区黄村镇狼堡村为例[J].资源产业,2004,6(5):17-20.
[48]邱道持.统筹城乡发展推进土地流转--关于重庆市农村土地流转和规模经营的调研报告[J].重庆国十资源,2007(5):18-26.
[49]曲福田,陈江龙,陈雯.农地非农化经济驱动机制的理论分析与实证研究[J].自然科学学报,2005,20(2):231-241.
[50]史清华,林坚,顾海英.农民工进镇意愿、动因及期望的调查分析[J].中州学刊,2005(1):45-50.
[51]史中华,柴彦威,刘志林.深圳市民迁居特征的时空分析[J].人文地理,2000,15(3):37-42.
[52]托达罗,华淑华译.第三世界的经济发展[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社.1988:30-35.
[53]王静,邵晓梅.土地节约集约利用技术方法研究:现状、问题与趋势[J].地理科学进展,2008,27(3):68-70.
[54]王君,朱玉碧,郑财贵.对城乡建设用地增减挂钩运作模式的探讨[J].农村经济,2007(8):29-31.
[55]王如渊.土地整理与耕地总量动态平衡[J].中国土地,1999(2):25-26.
[56]王小鲁.优化城市规模,推动经济增长[J].经济研究,1999(9):30-34
[57]王雅莉,黄祖辉,陈欣欣.城市化进程中的劳动力再配置[M],北京:中国社会科学出版社,2002:193
[58]卫龙宝,胡慧洪,钱文荣,等.镇化过程中相关行为主体迁移意愿的分析--对浙江省海宁市农村居民的调查[J].中国社会科学,2003(5):39-48.
[59]吴良镛,吴唯佳,武廷海.论世界与中国城市化的大趋势和江苏省城市化[J].道路科技导,2003(2):36.
[60]武进.城市形态结构、特征及增长[M].江苏:江苏科技出版社,1990:21-25.
[61]谢晖.农村建设中的农户搬迁意愿影响因素分析--以江苏省东台市安丰镇为例[J].小城镇建设,2008(3):52-54.
[62]许学强,周一星,等.城市地理学[M].北京:高等教育出版社,1997.
[63]宣迅.城乡统筹论[D].西南财经大学博士学位论文.2004:46.
[64]颜华.我国统筹城乡发展问题研究[D].东北农业大学博士学位论文.2005:30.
[65]杨庆媛,田永中,王朝科,等.西南丘陵山地区农村居民点土地整理模式--以重庆渝北区为例[J].地理研究,2004,23(4):469-478.
[66]杨庆媛,张占录.大城市郊区农村居民点整理的目标和模式研究--以北京市顺义区为例[J].中国软科学,2003(6):115-119.
[67]姚士谋,侯晓红.上海国际化大都市的地域空间扩展城市规划[J].城市规划,1994(4):1-4.
[68]叶敬忠,刘金龙,林志斌.参与·组织·发展:参与式林业的理论、研究与实践[M].北京:中国林业出版社,2001.
[69]叶艳妹,吴次芳.我国农村居民点用地整理的潜力、运作模式与政策选择[J].农业经济问题,1998,19(10):54-57.
[70]于法展.农户参与土地整理规划项目的探索--以江苏省丰县大沙河为例[D].中国农业大学硕士学位论文,2005:17-25.
[71]喻燕山.我国城镇的合理规模及其效率研究[J].经济地理,2000,20(2):84-89.
[72]张安录.可转移发权与农地城市流转控制[J].中国农村观察,2000(2):20-25.
[73]张大华.社区参与天然林保护工程理论与实践研究[D].南京林业大学博士学位论文,2003.
[74]章牧,骆培聪,颜志森,等.城市土地集约利用评价-以福建省福州市为例[J].福建师范大学学 报(自然科学版),2001,17(4):105-109.
[75]郑弘毅.农村城市化研究[M].南京:南京大学出版社,1998:121-122.
[76]郑新奇.城市土地优化配置与集约利用评价[M].北京:科学出版社,2004:30-36.
[77]周春芳,苏群.非农化进程中农村女性人力资本投资与非农就业--基于性别差异的视角[J].农业技术经济,2008(5):10-17.
[78]周春山.城市人口迁居理论研究[J].城市规划汇刊,1996(3):34-39.
[79]周皓.中国人口迁移的家庭化趋势及影响因素分析[J].人口研究,2004(11):60-69.
[80]周琳琅.统筹城乡发展理论与实践[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2004:181-185.
[81]周一星,孟廷春.沈阳的郊区化--兼论中西方郊区化的比较[J].地理学报,1997,52(4):289-299.
[82]周一星.北京的郊区化及引发的思考[J].地理科学,1996,16(3):198-206.
[83]庄社明.加强农村建设用地整理拓展城镇建设用地空间--关于落实“城镇建设用地增加与农村建设用地减少相挂钩”政策的思考[J].国土资源通讯,2005(19):37-38.
[84]宗跃光,周尚意,张振世,等.北京城郊化空间特征与发展对策[J].地理学报,2002,57(2):135-142.