基于科学发展观的我国县域经济发展评价研究
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摘要
本文研究的主要目的是说明在县域经济发展中,建立科学的县域经济发展评价体系是必要的,设立并论证了基于科学发展观的县域经济发展评价指标体系的科学可行性。针对本课题的特点,采用了实证分析法、定性分析与定量分析相结合的研究方法。
首先,在综述县域经济发展评价体系国内外研究现状的基础上,从概念上对科学发展观和县域经经济进行了界定,论述了县域经济发展的相关理论以及对多指标综合评价方法进行了概述,重点论述了主成分分析法的相关理论,为本课题的研究奠定了理论基础。
其次,论述了我国县域经济发展的基本历程、取得的成就及存在的问题。用定量分析方法描述我国县域经济发展现状。
再次,本文重点论述了以科学发展观为指导,以县域经济发展水平、县域经济发展活力、县域经济发展潜力三个方面33个指标为评判标准构建县域经济发展评价指标体系。进而用定量分析方法以秦皇岛市四县为例运用主成分分析法进行实证分析,通过横向对比分析、纵向对比分析以及与先进县域经济对比分析,得出秦皇岛四县经济发展状况。对县域经济发展的实证分析进一步论证了本文所构建的县域经济发展评价体系是比较成功的,可以广泛运用到对全国其他县域经济发展的评价中去。
最后,得出应从加大政府改革力度、调整农业农村经济结构、加强县域工业发展、实施科教兴农战略、加快县域城镇化建设、加大环保力度等方面促进我国县域经济的全面、协调、可持续发展。
The main purpose of this study is to establish a scientific evaluation system which is necessary for the county economic development,and to establish and demonstrate the evaluation index system of county economic development based on the Scientific Outlook on Development is scientific and feasible. For the characteristics of this issue, this paper was discussed using the research methods of empirical analysis, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.
First, on the basis of overviewing the research at home and abroad about the evaluation index system of county economic development, this paper defined the concept of the Scientific Outlook on Development and the county economy, discussed the theories of the county economic development as well as multi-index comprehensive evaluation, focused on the relevant theories of the principal component analysis, having laid a theoretical foundation for this subject.
Second, this paper discussed history of the county economic development, achievements and problems.The situation of the county economic development was described using quantitative analysis method.
Thirdly, the evaluation index system of county economic development was constructed using 33 indicators reflecting the economic development level, the economic development activity, and the economic development potential, guided by Scientific Outlook on development. The county economy of Qinhuangdao is analyzed by the horizontal and vertical comparison and comparing with advanced county using principal component analysis and the county economic development of Qinhuangdao can be described.The empirical analysis demonstrated the evaluation index system of county economic development based on the Scientific Outlook on Development is successful, and can be widely applied to the economic development evaluation of other counties.
Finally, the comprehensive, coordinated and sustainable development of the county economy can be achieved by increasing government reform, adjusting the agricultural and rural economic structure, strengthening the county industrial development, implying the strategy of developing agriculture by relying on science, technology and education, accelerating the pace of urbanization of the county, and strengthening the efforts of environmental protection.
首先,在综述县域经济发展评价体系国内外研究现状的基础上,从概念上对科学发展观和县域经经济进行了界定,论述了县域经济发展的相关理论以及对多指标综合评价方法进行了概述,重点论述了主成分分析法的相关理论,为本课题的研究奠定了理论基础。
其次,论述了我国县域经济发展的基本历程、取得的成就及存在的问题。用定量分析方法描述我国县域经济发展现状。
再次,本文重点论述了以科学发展观为指导,以县域经济发展水平、县域经济发展活力、县域经济发展潜力三个方面33个指标为评判标准构建县域经济发展评价指标体系。进而用定量分析方法以秦皇岛市四县为例运用主成分分析法进行实证分析,通过横向对比分析、纵向对比分析以及与先进县域经济对比分析,得出秦皇岛四县经济发展状况。对县域经济发展的实证分析进一步论证了本文所构建的县域经济发展评价体系是比较成功的,可以广泛运用到对全国其他县域经济发展的评价中去。
最后,得出应从加大政府改革力度、调整农业农村经济结构、加强县域工业发展、实施科教兴农战略、加快县域城镇化建设、加大环保力度等方面促进我国县域经济的全面、协调、可持续发展。
The main purpose of this study is to establish a scientific evaluation system which is necessary for the county economic development,and to establish and demonstrate the evaluation index system of county economic development based on the Scientific Outlook on Development is scientific and feasible. For the characteristics of this issue, this paper was discussed using the research methods of empirical analysis, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.
First, on the basis of overviewing the research at home and abroad about the evaluation index system of county economic development, this paper defined the concept of the Scientific Outlook on Development and the county economy, discussed the theories of the county economic development as well as multi-index comprehensive evaluation, focused on the relevant theories of the principal component analysis, having laid a theoretical foundation for this subject.
Second, this paper discussed history of the county economic development, achievements and problems.The situation of the county economic development was described using quantitative analysis method.
Thirdly, the evaluation index system of county economic development was constructed using 33 indicators reflecting the economic development level, the economic development activity, and the economic development potential, guided by Scientific Outlook on development. The county economy of Qinhuangdao is analyzed by the horizontal and vertical comparison and comparing with advanced county using principal component analysis and the county economic development of Qinhuangdao can be described.The empirical analysis demonstrated the evaluation index system of county economic development based on the Scientific Outlook on Development is successful, and can be widely applied to the economic development evaluation of other counties.
Finally, the comprehensive, coordinated and sustainable development of the county economy can be achieved by increasing government reform, adjusting the agricultural and rural economic structure, strengthening the county industrial development, implying the strategy of developing agriculture by relying on science, technology and education, accelerating the pace of urbanization of the county, and strengthening the efforts of environmental protection.
引文
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4 Baden Wurttemburg.Metropolitan Governance and Strategic Planning.Progress in Planning,2002,(1):76-78
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7王国枫.纵览发展观沿革阐释当代科学发展观.杭州电子科技大学学报(社会科学版),2007,(3):77-81
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10林文.我国小城镇发展评价指标研究.上海大学学报(自然科学版),2001,(7):88-90
11 Ravetz J.Integrated Assessment for Sustainability Appraisal in Cities and Regions.Environment Impact Assess Review,2000:102
12 Theory and Practice of Indicators Systems for Sustainable Development.社会科学出版社,2004:45-51
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32 Doymaz,Fuat,PHD.Statistical Monitoring and Modeling of Multivariable Systems.University of California,Davis,2002:254
33虞晓芬,傅玳.多指标综合评价方法综述.知识丛林,2004,(11):119-121
34 Hu Weiqing .The Application of Mathemantics in Fuzzy Mathematics in Fuzzy Statistics.Journal of Fuzhou Teachers College,2000,20(6):24-25
35 Bu Dongsheng.Interactive Self-modeling Mixture Analysis Using Principal Component Approach.University of Rhode Island,2000,(2):33
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46 2008年以来广东民营经济发展情况分析.中财网,http://www1.cfi.net.cn/p20090609 001180.html
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2尹雪峰.邢台市县域经济综合实力检测评价系统应用研究.[燕山大学硕士学位论文].2002:4-5
3赵保山.县域经济竞争力分析.[燕山大学硕士学位论文].2007:1-2
4 Baden Wurttemburg.Metropolitan Governance and Strategic Planning.Progress in Planning,2002,(1):76-78
5 Peter Hardi and Stephan Barg. Mearsuring Sustainable Development:Review of Current Practice Industry Canada November.1997:51-59
6田克勤.科学发展观的提出及其基本特征.北京交通大学学报(社会科学版),2008,(3):20-25
7王国枫.纵览发展观沿革阐释当代科学发展观.杭州电子科技大学学报(社会科学版),2007,(3):77-81
8陈瑜,左停,苟天来.县域经济研究概况综述.经济论坛,2006,(23):28-31
9 UN Commission on Sustainable Development Indicators of Sustainable Development Framework & Methodologies New York:UN,1996:33-36
10林文.我国小城镇发展评价指标研究.上海大学学报(自然科学版),2001,(7):88-90
11 Ravetz J.Integrated Assessment for Sustainability Appraisal in Cities and Regions.Environment Impact Assess Review,2000:102
12 Theory and Practice of Indicators Systems for Sustainable Development.社会科学出版社,2004:45-51
13 Huang Xiaoping. On Optimizing Development Environment of Regional Economy.Gui Hai Tribune,2002,18(1):82-84
14李固新,焦克莹.河南省2005年县域经济发展水平综合评价.河南科学,2008,(3):366-370
15温如春.湖北省县域经济发展评价指标体系研究.武汉工业学院学报,2007,(4):109-112
16贺立军,高波.县级区域可持续发展综合评价指标体系的建立.河北工业大学学报,2006,(4):20-23
17胡斌祥,柳敏煌,高建平.县域经济发展后劲及其评估指标体系研究.科技进步与对策,2000,(5):27-29
18皇甫荣.县域经济发展绩效评价.统计与决策,2007,(22):63-64
19李首涵,马庆栋,郝庆禄.县域特色经济的评价指标探析.邢台学院学报,2007,(2):13-15
20徐明,陈曦.经济体贯彻落实科学发展观指标体系框架探讨.经济研究,2008,(3):82-84
21李小晖,吴春生.国内学术界关于科学发展观的研究综述.前进,2005,(6):38-41
22郝潞霞.科学发展观研究综述.天府新论,2005,(2):9-13
23孙向军.科学发展观研究综述.前线,2005,(1):25-27
24金伟.科学发展观研究综述.思想理论教育导刊,2005,(9):69-74
25乔翔.近年来科学发展观研究综述.长江论坛,2007,(1):14-23
26 Edgar M.Hoover,Frank.Giarratani.An Introduction to Regional Economics.Third Edition:Regional Research Institute.WUV,2002,(3):22-25
27 Paul C.Cheshire, Urban Governance,Economic Competitiveness:London School of Economics,2002,(12):15-25
28 Gordon.Internationalisation and Urban Competition.Urban Studies, 1999,(8):23-24
29 M. E. Porter. Cluster and New Economics of Competition. Harvard Business Review,1998,(11):212-215
30 James Ciampi.Competitive Cities in the Global.Worceste college,2002,(5):1004 M. E. Porter. Cluster and New Economics of Competition. Harvard Business Review,1998,(11):212-215
31范祚军,宋清华.县域经济发展的理论综述.武汉金融,2006,(7):16-18
32 Doymaz,Fuat,PHD.Statistical Monitoring and Modeling of Multivariable Systems.University of California,Davis,2002:254
33虞晓芬,傅玳.多指标综合评价方法综述.知识丛林,2004,(11):119-121
34 Hu Weiqing .The Application of Mathemantics in Fuzzy Mathematics in Fuzzy Statistics.Journal of Fuzhou Teachers College,2000,20(6):24-25
35 Bu Dongsheng.Interactive Self-modeling Mixture Analysis Using Principal Component Approach.University of Rhode Island,2000,(2):33
36候景新,尹卫红.区域经济分析方法.北京:商务印书馆,2004:79-81
37杨荫凯.中国县域经济发展论——县域经济发展的思路与出路.北京:中国财政经济出版社,2005:9-43
38 Fujita M. and Hu D. ,2001 ,Regional Disparity in China 1985 - 1994 : the Effects of Globalization and Economic Liberalization ,Annals of Reg. Science ,35,(1):3-38
39新中国60年:农业基础稳固发展林木渔业全面繁荣.中华人民共和国中央人民政府网,http://www.gov.cn/test/2009-09/22/content_1423362.htm
40我国农业结构调整30年成效显著.第一食品网,http://www.foods1.com/content/600723/
41 2007——2008中国农村经济形势分析与预测.无线成都互动社区,http://bbs.139ml ife.com/announce/announce.aspx?BoardID=179&ID=45007
42中国特色农村工业化的成功实践——乡镇企业改革发展30年成就综述.中国农业信息网,http://www.agri.gov.cn/jjps/t20081218_1192350.htm
43梁宝忠.农业部:我国乡镇企业迎来新一轮的快速发展期.中国政府网,http://www.gov.cn/gzdt/2007-12/27/content_844836.htm
44 Démurger,Sylvie,Sachs J.D.,WingThye Woo,Shuming Bao,Gene Chang,and Andrew Mellinger, Geography,Economic Policy ,and Regional Development in China,Asian Economic Papers,2002:146—205
45县域GDP约占全国60%.浙江省经济贸易委员会网,http://www.zjjmw.gov.cn/qgjm xx/2008/03/27/2008032700011.shtml
46 2008年以来广东民营经济发展情况分析.中财网,http://www1.cfi.net.cn/p20090609 001180.html
47高焕喜,吴炜峰.山东省:山东县域经济发展模式与对策.广西县域经济网,http://www.gxcounty.com/special/2008yth/ziliao/200807/36623.html
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