进口替代引资战略背景的中国汽车内资企业发展与出路研究
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摘要
改革开放以来,中国汽车选择了一条“以市场换资金,以市场换技术”的发展道路。1983年第一家汽车合资企业—北京吉普成立,开启了中国汽车产业的合资历程。在过去三十年的合资历程中,外资的引入极大的影响了中国汽车产业的整体演变,对提升中国汽车制造能力、改善产业结构、提高技术水平以及增强产业国际竞争力起到了重要的作用,同时一定程度上也“刺激”了中国汽车内资企业的发展。在进口替代引资战略背景下,一批土生土长的中国汽车内资企业在日益开放的市场中,正在以其独特的制度成本优势,间接通过中外合资企业引进技术的扩散和溢出,以极强的生命力、低成本、短周期地在中国市场上发展起来。然而,作为“以市场换技术”的主体—中外合资(合作)企业却被处于绝对强势地位的跨国公司牢牢的控制核心技术,在国际汽车生产垂直分工体系下,合资企业难以摆脱汽车加工厂和跨国公司制造基地的角色,面临着核心技术空心化的困境。
     随着第一轮汽车合资期限的到期,中外双方开始了新一轮的续约,中国汽车合资格局也出现了一些非常鲜明的时代特征:在产业政策方面,政策重点由合资合作转向自主品牌、自主创新以及新能源汽车;在市场竞争方面,内资企业与合资企业已由“错位经营”转向正面竞争;在企业战略方面,由国内市场转向国内和国外两个市场;在企业创新路径上,也正在由“以市场换技术”转向融入全球创新体系。在新的历史时期,面对日益开放市场环境、日趋激烈的市场竞争,中国内资企业究竟应该沿着一条什么样的道路发展才能成为中国汽车市场的主导者和中国汽车强国的领路人,这是关乎中国汽车产业安全和每个内资汽车企业持续发展的重要现实问题。
     本文对进口替代引资战略下中国汽车内资企业的发展历程进行了梳理归纳,通过运用统计分析的方法印证了邹昭唏教授提出的进口替代型引资战略中一个被忽略的变量,同时在此基础上运用多种实证分析手段得出“中国汽车内资企业是中国汽车产业发展的主力军,是‘以市场换技术’真正主体”的结论。通过运用Porter钻石模型,本文对中国汽车内资企业在进口替代引资战略中得以生存发展的基础条件以及进一步发展创新的机遇和挑战进行了分析阐述。在上述基础上,本文将钻石模型中的六大要素进一步细分为17个要素指标,逐一进行了对比分析,提出内资汽车企业的发展出路:统筹“引进来”与“走出去”,提高两个市场、两种资源的能力;从整合“大产业链”的视角,构筑新的竞争优势;在与国际品牌的竞争与博弈中,提升企业竞争力。
Since reform and opening-up, China automobile industry has went along with the road of "Exchanging market with technology"and "Exchanging market with funds". Inl983, Beijing Jeep, the first joint automobile venture estabilished. From that time, foreign direct investment(FDI) has started to enter China automobile industry. In the past thirty years, the access of foreign capital of China automobile industry has a great positive impact on the whole China automobile industry,in promoting manufacture ability,in strengthening the international competitiveness,and improving the industrial structure and the technological level. At the same time,FDI has also "stimulated" the development of china domestic automobile enterprises.Under the import substitution industrialization, a group of native Chinese domestic automobile enterprises has developed rapidly at lower cost and short cycle,by taking the advantages of the policy and the technological diffusion and spillover of the joint automobile ventures.However, as "the leading role" of the "Exchanging market with technology",the joint automobile ventures can not learn the core technology,because the multi-national corporations is firmly controlling the advanced technology.In the vertical international specialization system,those joint automobile ventures has became the factories of the multi-national corporations.Though an empirical analysis,the native domestic automobile enterprises has become the role of the "Exchanging market with technology".
     With the first round of the joint venture term expires, the Chinese and foreign parties begin a new round of the joint venture contract, the environment of the China automobile industry also appears some very distinctive characteristics of the times:the policy turns to self-dependent innovation, the competion between the native domestic companies and the joint ventures becomes more intense,the strategic view of the companies not only focuses the the domestic market but also the foreign markets,and the path of the innovation is changing from"market for technology" to integrate into the global innovation.
     In the Post joint venture stage, how to become a leader of the China's automatic industry leader is the vital question for every Chinese domestic enterprise. This paper will use Porter Diamond model to answer why the Chinese native domestic enterprises developed rapidly the the past thirty years, and also answer the challenges and opportunities the native domestic enterprises faced in the Post joint venture stage. As for the strategy of the native domestic enterprises,this paper make the following suggestions: to make a good balance of the"Bringing in" and "Going out", to build the integration of industry Chain, and to become bigger and stronger in competition with the joint ventures.
引文
1中国汽车工业协会网站,http://www.caam.org.cn/zongheshuju/20130716/1105095996.html21993-2010年中国汽车工业年鉴
    http://auto.cnfol.com
    1唐杰、杨沿平、周文杰,中国汽车产业自主创新战略,科学出版社,2009,55
    5中国汽车产业发展报告,2012,29
    6中国汽车工业协会网站,http://www.caam.org.cn/hangye/20130529/1405091922.html
    7黎冲森,汽车业竞争变局_后合资时代的博弈,中国外资,2010,10,68-69
    8邹昭唏,“进口替代型”战略引资战略背景下的土木品牌出路:剖析汽车制造业和制药业,改革,2012,5,101-109
    9中国汽车工业统计年鉴,2012年,第455页
    10赵颖娜,中国汽车工业企业合资历程及中外内部冲突研究,2006,24-25
    15赵颖娜,中国汽车工业企业合资历程及中外内部冲突研究,2006,36-37
    13中国汽车产业发展报告(2012),社会科学文献出版社,2012,22-23
    14中国汽车产业发展报告(2012),社会科学文献出版社,2012,24-25
    15资料来源:中国汽车工业年鉴(1995-2012)。
    20资料来源:国务院发展研究中心产业经济研究部、中国汽车工程学会、大众汽车集团(中国):《中国汽车产业发展报告(2011),礼会科学文献出版社2011年版。
    21资料来源:国务院发展研究中,心产业经济研究部、中国汽车工程学会、大众汽车集团(中国):《中国汽车产业发展报告(2011),社会科学文献出版社2011年版。
    22资料来源:国务院发展研究中心产业经济研究部、中国汽车工程学会、大众汽车集团(中国):《中国汽车产业发展报告(2011),礼会科学文献出版社2011年版。
    23黄永和,如何看待政府鼓励合资企业搞自主品牌,2009-05-18盖世汽车网(上海)。
    24《德国的优势产业和促进中小企业科技创新与国际研发合作的措施》. http://www.sina.com.cn,2009年4月9日,商务部网站。
    25《最高比重仅为2.9%国内车企更需要研发排名》,新京报(北京),2011年8月1日。
    26美日欧汽车产业技术研发的实证分析,http://www.chinairn.com,2005-6-6.
    27在这里,我们认为,《中国汽车工业年鉴》中2010年汽车工业的“工程技术人员”数量包括研发人员
    28资料来源:国家发展与改革委员会产业协调司下达课题报告《中国汽车整车企业产品开发能力》,2009年3月。
    29资料来源:国务院发展研究中心产业经济研究部、中国汽车工程学会、大众汽车集团(中国):《中国汽市产业发展报告(2011),礼会科学文献出版社2011年版。
    30资料来源:根据国家统计局网站《国际数据》整理。
    31美日欧汽车产业技术研发的实证分析,http://www.chinairn.com,2005-6-6。
    32以下资料引自《中国汽车工业年鉴》(2011)。
    33以下阐述的资料来源:周勇江:汽车服务贸易已发展到高回报阶段,搜狐汽车,2011年08月5日。
    34戴安成.中国汽车业物流成本高.中国困际汽车物流会议发言.2012/4/20http://www.lnzx.gov.cn/lnszx/Newspapers/cjsd/2012-04-20/Article_28750.shtml
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