伊春区域产业结构优化研究
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摘要
伊春地区位于黑龙江省东北部,区内自然资源优势明显,但由于该区是偏远地区又是欠发达地区,远离经济发达地区,投资环境差,属典型的资源依托型山区经济。近年来,该地区产业结构经过多次调整,有了一定改善,但就其现状来看,传统的产业格局并没有得到根本改观,产业经营效益还很低,还不适应新时期对产业发展的要求,迫切需要加大产业结构改革力度,充分合理的利用资源,提高林区人民的收入。产业结构的调整优化战略研究,对该地区乃至黑龙江省经济发展具有现实指导意义。
本文分析概括了伊春地区产业结构的总体情况,并找出其存在的主要问题及产业结构发展的制约因素,同时通过产业结构优化模式的建立,探索今后一个时期三次产业结构优化方向。针对伊春地区主导产业衰退现象,根据主导产业选择基准,结合该地区的实际情况,建立了选择主导产业的指标体系,运用层次分析法,通过建立层次分析图、确定指标的权重、指标的标准化处理、综合评分等步骤,对该地区现有规模以上工业产业进行了定量分析,最后确立了木材精深加工业、黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业为该地区的主导产业,生态旅游业、森林培育业作为该地区潜在的主导产业。并依据产业结构政策理论,提出了伊春地区产业结构的政策建议,为实现该地区产业结构优化总体目标献计献策,实现该地区经济可持续发展。
Yichun area lies in the northeast of Heilongjiang Province,its natural resource advantage is obvious in the district,however,because this area is the remote and less developed region, far away from economical developed areas,poor investment environment,it is the typical mountain-based economy relying on resources.Recent years,with many adjustments,the industrial structure has been improved.However,the traditional industrial frame has not changed ultimately,the benefit of industry is low,which can't fit with the development of industry and need to induce the degree of innovation of industry structure to utilize fully resources and enhance the forest region people's income.The strategic research on the adjustment for the industrial structure optimization has realistic directive significance for the economy development of this region and Heilongjiang Province.
This paper analyzed the overall situation of the industrial structure in Yichun,identified the main problems and the restrictive factors,and explored the direction of optimizing the Three-industrial structure in the future through the establishment of optimization model.At the same time,in view of the decline of leading industry and weak economic development without vitality,based on the selection criterions of leading industry,and combied with the actual situation of Yichun,the paper built up an index system for the choice of leading industry and made a quantitative analysis on the industries with a certain scale in Yichun now by applying AHP,also with the help of four steps:construct the analytical hierarchy chart,determine the weight of index,the standardization of original data and a comprehensive evaluation. According to the analysis results,the leading industry was focus on the deep processing and utilization of woodworking,the smelting and calendering of ferrous metal,the coo-tourism industry will be taken as the potential leading industry.Finally,the paper proposed the countermeasures on promoting the optimization of industrial structure in Yichun area with the help the theory of industrial structure optimization,the policy theoty of the industrial structure, hoping that it can be useful for Yichun about its overall goal of industrial structure optimization and the sustainable economic development.
本文分析概括了伊春地区产业结构的总体情况,并找出其存在的主要问题及产业结构发展的制约因素,同时通过产业结构优化模式的建立,探索今后一个时期三次产业结构优化方向。针对伊春地区主导产业衰退现象,根据主导产业选择基准,结合该地区的实际情况,建立了选择主导产业的指标体系,运用层次分析法,通过建立层次分析图、确定指标的权重、指标的标准化处理、综合评分等步骤,对该地区现有规模以上工业产业进行了定量分析,最后确立了木材精深加工业、黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业为该地区的主导产业,生态旅游业、森林培育业作为该地区潜在的主导产业。并依据产业结构政策理论,提出了伊春地区产业结构的政策建议,为实现该地区产业结构优化总体目标献计献策,实现该地区经济可持续发展。
Yichun area lies in the northeast of Heilongjiang Province,its natural resource advantage is obvious in the district,however,because this area is the remote and less developed region, far away from economical developed areas,poor investment environment,it is the typical mountain-based economy relying on resources.Recent years,with many adjustments,the industrial structure has been improved.However,the traditional industrial frame has not changed ultimately,the benefit of industry is low,which can't fit with the development of industry and need to induce the degree of innovation of industry structure to utilize fully resources and enhance the forest region people's income.The strategic research on the adjustment for the industrial structure optimization has realistic directive significance for the economy development of this region and Heilongjiang Province.
This paper analyzed the overall situation of the industrial structure in Yichun,identified the main problems and the restrictive factors,and explored the direction of optimizing the Three-industrial structure in the future through the establishment of optimization model.At the same time,in view of the decline of leading industry and weak economic development without vitality,based on the selection criterions of leading industry,and combied with the actual situation of Yichun,the paper built up an index system for the choice of leading industry and made a quantitative analysis on the industries with a certain scale in Yichun now by applying AHP,also with the help of four steps:construct the analytical hierarchy chart,determine the weight of index,the standardization of original data and a comprehensive evaluation. According to the analysis results,the leading industry was focus on the deep processing and utilization of woodworking,the smelting and calendering of ferrous metal,the coo-tourism industry will be taken as the potential leading industry.Finally,the paper proposed the countermeasures on promoting the optimization of industrial structure in Yichun area with the help the theory of industrial structure optimization,the policy theoty of the industrial structure, hoping that it can be useful for Yichun about its overall goal of industrial structure optimization and the sustainable economic development.
引文
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[7]杨波等.基于建设哈大齐工业走廊的大庆产业结构调整的研究.哈尔滨工业大学学报(社会科学版),2007.9(1):89-92
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[10]龚仰军著.产业结构研究.上海:上海财经大学出版社,2002:151
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[12]方创琳.区域发展战略论.北京:科学出版社,2002:88
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[14]王志山著.中国林区绿色经济概论.北京:林业经济出版社,2006:91--95
[15]邵士官.枣庄市产业结构调整优化问题研究.华东师范大学硕士论文,2006:43,54
[16]王永清等著.黑龙江省国有林区经济社会发展研究.哈尔滨:东北林业大学出版社,2005:42-43,67
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[18]华景伟.伊春市国有林业资源型城市经济转型的探讨.林业经济,2007(4):27--30
[19]刘丹丹.资源型城市产业结构优化中循环经济的应用.经济研究导刊,2006(5):158--160
[20]苏东水著.产业经济学.北京:高等教育出版社,2005:185--191
[21]姜泽华.产业结构升级的内涵与影响因素分析.当代经济研究,2006(10):53--56
[22]藏淑英.资源型城市转型与循环经济发展-以黑龙江省伊春市为例.经济理地,2006(1):78--82
[23]贾强等.对伊春市经济转型过程中的就业情况调查.黑龙江金融,2006(3):31--32
[24]苏东水著.产业经济学.北京:高等教育出版社,2005:185--191
[25]江松霖等.论四川产业结构调整的影响因素.四川行政学院学报,2007(4):88--91
[26]程国彬等.浅析伊春资源型城市转型的思路.林业勘查设计,2006(4):8--9
[27]赵天石.我国资源型城市产业结构转型的制约因素及对策分析.理论探讨,2004 (6):61-62
[28]刘昌杰.我国农业产业结构调整的制约因素与对策.经济与社会发展,2006.1(9):30--32
[29]白雪.辽宁产业结构调整中的需求因素分析.合作经济与科技,2004(20):4--5
[30]田玉来.论扩大消费需求中的产业结构调整.齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2006(5):41--44
[31]蒋敏元著.基于林业新定位的国有林区经济重构研究.哈尔滨:东北林业大学出版社,2004:50--52,78--80
[32]谢秦军等.基于AHP的中部地区主导产业选择的方法.工作视点,2006(9):68--69
[33]罗淮军.选择和发展主导产业经济学分析.经济论坛,2006(4):40--43
[34]侯景新等著.区域经济分析方法.北京:商务印书馆,2004:98
[35]牛冲槐等.层次分析法在选择山西主导产业中的应用.太原理工大学学报,2002(6):606--609
[36]王雪梅等.伊春市主导产业选择问题浅析.北京林业大学学报(社会科学版),2006.5(4):54--59
[37]丁郁.开发伊春森林生态旅游的战略构想.林业勘查设计,2001(1):1--9
[38]钱力.西北民族地区产业结构优化的实证分析.西北民族大学硕士论文,2007:77,79
[39]王志山.关于发展伊春林区绿色经济的战略思考.森林工程,2006.22(4):58--61
[40]王微.伊春:发展接续和替代产业是林区经济转型的必由之路.统计与咨询,2005(5):30
[41]郑家顺.农业产业结构调整的问题及对策.现代农业科技,2007(17):208--210
[42]Hung,shih-chang.Social construction of industrial advantage,Technovation 2000,20(4)
[43]刘欣喜等.伊春市发展旅游经济研究.林业经济,2001(9):58--60
[44]于香云.对伊春市进出口形势的调查.金融调研,2003(10):38--39
[45]吴文华.关于湖南省产业结构调整与优化的思考.湖南大学学报(社会科学版),1999.13(1):20--24
[46]杨泽柱.中等城市产业结构与政策研究.北京:中国农业出版社,2004:142--144
[47]耿玉德,万志芳.黑龙江省国有林区林业产业结构调整与优化研究.林业科学,2006.42.(6):86--93
[48]刘玉杰等.对林业资源型城市伊春市实现经济转型的思考.金融调查,2005(7):20--21
[49]姜琳琳.基于芬兰经验的我国森林资源型城市的发展研究--以伊春市为例.世界地理研究,2006,15(2):48--53
[50]张玉明等.山东省产业结构演变与调整优化研究.山东农业大学学报(社会科学版),2006(2):1--6
[51]Chakravarty.Sukhamoy.The Balance Between Industry and Agriculture in Economic Development.The Macmillan Press.1989
[52]Bortis,Heinrich.Some considerations on structure and change.Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,200.11(1)
[53]Randall W.Jackson,Alan T.Murray.Alternate Formulations for Updating Input-Output Matrices.The Fourteenth International Conference on Input-Output Techniques,2002
[54]Henrik K.Jacobsen,Energy demand,structural change and trade:a decomposition analysis of the Danish manufacturing industry, Economic Systems research,2000:319-343
[55] Porter.M.E.Towards a Dynamic Theory of Strategy.Strtegic Management Journal 1998
[56] Prahalad.C.K, Hamel.GThe Core Competence of the Corporation.Harvard Business Review. 1998
[2]Bradbury J H.Towards an alternative theory of resource-based town development,Eco-nomic Geography,1999,55(2):147-166
[3]高斯.资源型城市产业转型与可持续发展研究--以东北煤炭资源枯竭型城市为例.吉林大学硕士论文,2006:18-26
[4]Lucas R A.Minetown,Milltown,Railtown Life in France Communities of Single Industry.Toronto:University of Toronto Press,1971
[5]陈红.资源型城市经济转型研究--以阜新市为例.吉林大学硕士论文,2004:15--18
[6]马延吉.资源型重工业基地抚顺发展特征与产业结构调整.矿业研究与开发,2003.23(6):7--10
[7]杨波等.基于建设哈大齐工业走廊的大庆产业结构调整的研究.哈尔滨工业大学学报(社会科学版),2007.9(1):89-92
[8]简新华著.产业经济学.武汉:武汉大学出版社,2001:60--62
[9]汪世银著.区域产业结构调整与主导产业选择研究.上海:上海人民出版社,2004:4
[10]龚仰军著.产业结构研究.上海:上海财经大学出版社,2002:151
[11]杨治著.产业政策与结构优化.北京:新华出版社,1999:213--314
[12]方创琳.区域发展战略论.北京:科学出版社,2002:88
[13]http://www.yc.gov.cn/public/AA/index.jsp
[14]王志山著.中国林区绿色经济概论.北京:林业经济出版社,2006:91--95
[15]邵士官.枣庄市产业结构调整优化问题研究.华东师范大学硕士论文,2006:43,54
[16]王永清等著.黑龙江省国有林区经济社会发展研究.哈尔滨:东北林业大学出版社,2005:42-43,67
[17]宋立.当前我国产业结构存在的问题及对策.内蒙古林业,2004(11):44--45
[18]华景伟.伊春市国有林业资源型城市经济转型的探讨.林业经济,2007(4):27--30
[19]刘丹丹.资源型城市产业结构优化中循环经济的应用.经济研究导刊,2006(5):158--160
[20]苏东水著.产业经济学.北京:高等教育出版社,2005:185--191
[21]姜泽华.产业结构升级的内涵与影响因素分析.当代经济研究,2006(10):53--56
[22]藏淑英.资源型城市转型与循环经济发展-以黑龙江省伊春市为例.经济理地,2006(1):78--82
[23]贾强等.对伊春市经济转型过程中的就业情况调查.黑龙江金融,2006(3):31--32
[24]苏东水著.产业经济学.北京:高等教育出版社,2005:185--191
[25]江松霖等.论四川产业结构调整的影响因素.四川行政学院学报,2007(4):88--91
[26]程国彬等.浅析伊春资源型城市转型的思路.林业勘查设计,2006(4):8--9
[27]赵天石.我国资源型城市产业结构转型的制约因素及对策分析.理论探讨,2004 (6):61-62
[28]刘昌杰.我国农业产业结构调整的制约因素与对策.经济与社会发展,2006.1(9):30--32
[29]白雪.辽宁产业结构调整中的需求因素分析.合作经济与科技,2004(20):4--5
[30]田玉来.论扩大消费需求中的产业结构调整.齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2006(5):41--44
[31]蒋敏元著.基于林业新定位的国有林区经济重构研究.哈尔滨:东北林业大学出版社,2004:50--52,78--80
[32]谢秦军等.基于AHP的中部地区主导产业选择的方法.工作视点,2006(9):68--69
[33]罗淮军.选择和发展主导产业经济学分析.经济论坛,2006(4):40--43
[34]侯景新等著.区域经济分析方法.北京:商务印书馆,2004:98
[35]牛冲槐等.层次分析法在选择山西主导产业中的应用.太原理工大学学报,2002(6):606--609
[36]王雪梅等.伊春市主导产业选择问题浅析.北京林业大学学报(社会科学版),2006.5(4):54--59
[37]丁郁.开发伊春森林生态旅游的战略构想.林业勘查设计,2001(1):1--9
[38]钱力.西北民族地区产业结构优化的实证分析.西北民族大学硕士论文,2007:77,79
[39]王志山.关于发展伊春林区绿色经济的战略思考.森林工程,2006.22(4):58--61
[40]王微.伊春:发展接续和替代产业是林区经济转型的必由之路.统计与咨询,2005(5):30
[41]郑家顺.农业产业结构调整的问题及对策.现代农业科技,2007(17):208--210
[42]Hung,shih-chang.Social construction of industrial advantage,Technovation 2000,20(4)
[43]刘欣喜等.伊春市发展旅游经济研究.林业经济,2001(9):58--60
[44]于香云.对伊春市进出口形势的调查.金融调研,2003(10):38--39
[45]吴文华.关于湖南省产业结构调整与优化的思考.湖南大学学报(社会科学版),1999.13(1):20--24
[46]杨泽柱.中等城市产业结构与政策研究.北京:中国农业出版社,2004:142--144
[47]耿玉德,万志芳.黑龙江省国有林区林业产业结构调整与优化研究.林业科学,2006.42.(6):86--93
[48]刘玉杰等.对林业资源型城市伊春市实现经济转型的思考.金融调查,2005(7):20--21
[49]姜琳琳.基于芬兰经验的我国森林资源型城市的发展研究--以伊春市为例.世界地理研究,2006,15(2):48--53
[50]张玉明等.山东省产业结构演变与调整优化研究.山东农业大学学报(社会科学版),2006(2):1--6
[51]Chakravarty.Sukhamoy.The Balance Between Industry and Agriculture in Economic Development.The Macmillan Press.1989
[52]Bortis,Heinrich.Some considerations on structure and change.Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,200.11(1)
[53]Randall W.Jackson,Alan T.Murray.Alternate Formulations for Updating Input-Output Matrices.The Fourteenth International Conference on Input-Output Techniques,2002
[54]Henrik K.Jacobsen,Energy demand,structural change and trade:a decomposition analysis of the Danish manufacturing industry, Economic Systems research,2000:319-343
[55] Porter.M.E.Towards a Dynamic Theory of Strategy.Strtegic Management Journal 1998
[56] Prahalad.C.K, Hamel.GThe Core Competence of the Corporation.Harvard Business Review. 1998