基于绿色贸易壁垒视域的中国林产品出口贸易研究
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摘要
随着关税壁垒和传统非关税壁垒作用的弱化,绿色贸易壁垒在国际贸易领域日益盛行,其作用和影响不断强化,对世界经济和国际贸易产生深远影响。作为世界林产品生产和贸易大国,我国林产品出口贸易发展受到绿色贸易壁垒的严重制约,绿色贸易壁垒已经成为我国林产品出口的重要障碍。因此,对林产品绿色贸易壁垒从理论到实证的研究,掌握绿色贸易壁垒的发展趋势,对于促进我国林产品出口贸易健康发展,占有国际市场,分享世界资源,推动林业产业结构升级和资源优化配置,提高林业企业国际竞争力具有重要的理论和现实意义。
     本文在对国内外研究成果进行系统梳理的基础上,首先,对绿色贸易壁垒的内涵和本质进行界定,指出绿色贸易壁垒具有双重作用,一方面是修正市场失灵,通过政府制度安排,消除国际贸易的负外部性;另一方面是发达国家以实现社会公共目的为由,设置绿色贸易壁垒限制国外竞争性产品进入,对国内市场和产业提供经济意义上的保护。对绿色贸易壁垒的表现形式进行分析,从而归纳出绿色贸易壁垒的特点,指出由于绿色贸易壁垒具有灵活性、隐蔽性的特点,成为发达国家实施贸易保护的重要工具。
     其次,运用制度经济学和博弈理论深入剖析绿色贸易壁垒形成的内在机理,揭示绿色贸易壁垒产生和逐步强化的原因。研究指出,绿色贸易壁垒的形成主要是基于修正市场失灵及各国之间经济和科技发展的不平衡。同时,一国是否设置绿色贸易壁垒,以及以何种程度设置绿色贸易壁垒,实质是各国政府间博弈的必然结果。在不完全信息条件下,发达国家对发展中国家具有主动设置绿色贸易壁垒的倾向性。在此基础上,分析了绿色贸易壁垒的数量控制机制、价格控制机制及动态抑制机制。系统研究了绿色贸易壁垒的经济效应。在理论假设的基础上,运用局部均衡分析方法,分析绿色贸易壁垒对进口国产生的经济效应。研究指出,绿色贸易壁垒的设置对进口国的生产和消费产生重要影响,通过社会福利的变化,可以判定设置绿色贸易壁垒对进口国而言,是否是一种帕累托改进。从贸易效应、贸易条件效应和社会福利效应三个方面,分析了绿色贸易壁垒对出口国产生的经济效应。
     再次,分析了我国林产品出口遭遇绿色贸易壁垒的现状,剖析我国受绿色贸易壁垒限制的重点林产品和对我国实施绿色贸易壁垒的重点国家,指出影响我国林产品出口的绿色贸易壁垒主要形式,即严格的绿色技术标准、苛刻的卫生检验检疫措施和各种认证制度。阐释了绿色贸易壁垒的发展趋势,指出绿色贸易壁垒成为技术性贸易壁垒的主要发展方向。运用博弈分析方法,从国际方面和国内方面剖析我国林产品出口遭遇绿色贸易壁垒的深层原因。研究指出,国际贸易保护主义抬头,绿色贸易壁垒实施过程中的多米诺效应,以及绿色贸易壁垒制衡机制的缺失等因素导致我国林产品出口受阻。从理论上分析了绿色贸易壁垒对我国林产品出口贸易的影响。在此基础上,建立扩展的引力模型,定量研究欧盟实施的绿色贸易壁垒对我国木质家具出口的影响。研究显示,欧盟实施的绿色贸易壁垒对我国木质家具出口产生显著的负面影响,绿色技术标准越严格,对我国木质家具出口的阻碍作用越大。我国家具出口企业执行家具行业的国家标准,有利于提高企业的国际竞争力,促进木质家具的出口。我国经济发展水平的提高,对木质家具出口具有明显的推动作用。随着欧盟主要木质家具进口国人均收入的增长,消费者对符合绿色技术标准的木质家具需求增加。欧盟主要家具进口国的人口增长是影响我国木质家具需求的重要因素。
     最后,本文分别从宏观、中观和微观三个不同层面,提出我国政府、行业协会和企业应对绿色贸易壁垒的策略,以期为政府和行业主管部门制定政策提供理论依据。
Since the tariff barriers and traditional non-tariff barriers have become weaker, the green trade barriers are becoming increasingly popular in the field of international trade. With the growing role and influence, it exerts a far-reaching impact on the world economy and international trade. As one of the production and trade powers in forest products, China's forest product exports is severely constrained from development by the green trade barriers which have become the major impediment to china's exports of forest products. Therefore, the research on forest products green trade barriers from theory to demonstration aiming to grasp its development trend, has important theoretical and practical significance for stimulating healthy development of china's exports of forest product, capturing international market share, sharing the global resources, and promoting forestry industrial structure upgrade and optimum distribution of resources, in order to improve the international competitiveness of China's forestry enterprises.
     Based on a thorough review of relevant research results of green trade barriers at home and abroad, first, the paper defines the connotation and essence of green trade barriers, and indicates that green trade barriers serves the double purpose, playing a role in correction of market failures and elimination of the negative externality of international trade on the one hand, and providing economic protection for their domestic market and the industry for some developed countries who set up green trade barriers to restrict the entry of competitive products abroad on the grounds for achieving social public purpose on the other hand. Based on the analysis of the manifestation of the green trade barriers, the paper summarizes the characteristics of flexibility and hidden nature which makes it become an important tool for developed countries to provide trade protection.
     Second, the paper makes a thorough analysis on the inherent mechanism of green trade barriers with institutional economics and game theory, and reveals the gradually strenghen the reasons for the formation of green trade barriers. The results indicate that the formation of green trade barriers is based on the correction of market failure and unbalanced economic and technological development in various countries. At the same time, the essence of setting up green trade barriers by a country and to what extent it is established is the objective results of playing games between governments in various countries, so that developed countries have the initiative of setting up green trade barriers to developing countries. Meanwhile, the paper reveals the quantity control mechanism of green trade barriers, price control mechanism and dynamic inhibition mechanism, and explores systematically the economic effect of green trade barriers. On the basis of theoretical assumptions, the paper analyzes the economic impact of green trade barriers on importing country with a partial equilibrium analytical method. The research points out that green trade barriers have a major impact on production and consumption of the importing country, and determines whether implementation of the green trade barriers is a kind of Pareto improvement for the importing countries based on the changes in social welfare. Under the conditions of exporting country, the paper analyzes the trade effects of green trade barriers, the effect of terms of trade and social welfare effects.
     Third, the paper investigates the status of China's forest product exports encountering green trade barriers, analyzes main constrained forest products and major countries on the implementation of green trade barriers in china. It points out that the main forms of green trade barriers affecting forest product trade in China are strict green technology standards, stringent sanitary and phytosanitary measures, various forms of certification system. It states the development trend of green trade barriers and points out which has become the main direction of the development of technical barriers to trade. Through the game analysis, it makes an analysis on the underlying causes of green trade barriers constraint for China's forest product exports from an international and domestic side. It reveals that international trade protectionism, domino effect of green trade barriers in the implementation process, checks and balances of green trade barriers in deficit are the the main reasons for forest products exports obstructed. It reveals theoretically the impact of the green trade barriers on forest product exports in China. With the extended gravitational model, it quantitatively analyzes the impact of European Union's green trade barriers on China's wooden furniture exports. The research results demonstrates the green trade barrier implemented by the EU exerts a significant negative impact on wooden furniture exports of our country. The more stringent standards of green technology, the greater impediment of China's wooden furniture exports, so the implementation of the national standards contributes to enhancing the international competitiveness of furniture industry in China. Raising the level of China's economic development, the exports of wooden furniture are increased.With the growth of per capita income of the importing countries of the EU's main wooden furniture, consumers increased demand for wooden furniture line with the EU's green technology standards. The population growth of the EU main furniture importing countries is an important factor for China's wooden furniture exports.
     Finally, the paper respectively proposes the strategies to green trade barriers for the government, industry associations and enterprises from the macro, middle and micro perspectives, in order to provide theoretical support for the government and competent industrial authorities when creating policies.
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