基于多式联运的货运枢纽选址研究
摘要
近年来,多式联运的发展对货运枢纽选址的要求越来越高。货运枢纽选址的合理性与否不仅决定了货运网络整体效益的好坏,而且会给区域经济、社会环境、物流企业的发展等带来很大的影响。
本文在分析了多式联运发展现状及发展趋势的情况下,指出了多式联运发展存在的问题,可以看出多式联运发展的重要因素之一是枢纽点的选址规划,阐述了多式联运货运枢纽功能,提出了多式联运货运枢纽选址影响因素分析,包括货运需求和供给、区位因素、环境因素和基础设施因素等对多式联运下货运枢纽选址的影响。
在对货运枢纽选址过程分析中,先对选址的问题进行了分类,确定本次选址问题的类型,选址遵循运输方便性、经济性、合理规划性等三个方面的原则,进行选址约束条件分析,确定枢纽数量,进行场址筛选,确定备选站点,最后建立了简单选址模型,对其进行计算分析。在选址方案评价中,比较了模糊综合评价法和多层次灰色评价法,确定选用多层次灰色评价法,并建立了评价指标体系。
以实例分析中,选用钦州市为例,基于多式联运的情况下,分析背景、现状,通过货运需求预测分析,经计算得到枢纽数量,对备选站点进行筛选,定性分析,确定备选站点,经过计算得出合适的场址选择,并用多层次灰色评价法评价方案。
In recent years, the demanding of freight hubs is increasing with the development of intermodal transport. The reasonableness of freight hub location demand not only determines whether or not the overall efficiency of freight transport network is good or bad, and will have great impact about regional economic and social environment and the development of logistics enterprises.
This paper analyzes development status and trends of multimodal transport, and to point out the problems in multimodal transport development. One of the important factors for multimodal transport development is the pivotal point of the site plan, and elaborates the function of multimodal transport cargo hub, and proposes the factors of intermodal freight hub location, and the factors are freight demand and supply, and location factor, and environmental factor and infrastructure factor what influence location of intermodal freight hub.
In the process of location of intermodal freight hub, the problems on the site are classified, and determine the type of this location's problem, and follow the principle of site selection, and analyzes constraint conditions, and obtain the number of the hub, and ascertain the alternative site and location model to calculate. In the process of program evaluation, the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is compare with the method of grey evaluation, then selects the grey evaluation method, and establish the evaluation index system.
In the example analysis of the city of QinZhou.Based on the case of multimodal transport, to analyze the background and current situation. By the freight transport demand' forecast and consideration, obtain the number of the hub. According to Site selection and qualitative analysis, to decide the alternative site. By calculating to get the appropriate choice, and evaluate them.
本文在分析了多式联运发展现状及发展趋势的情况下,指出了多式联运发展存在的问题,可以看出多式联运发展的重要因素之一是枢纽点的选址规划,阐述了多式联运货运枢纽功能,提出了多式联运货运枢纽选址影响因素分析,包括货运需求和供给、区位因素、环境因素和基础设施因素等对多式联运下货运枢纽选址的影响。
在对货运枢纽选址过程分析中,先对选址的问题进行了分类,确定本次选址问题的类型,选址遵循运输方便性、经济性、合理规划性等三个方面的原则,进行选址约束条件分析,确定枢纽数量,进行场址筛选,确定备选站点,最后建立了简单选址模型,对其进行计算分析。在选址方案评价中,比较了模糊综合评价法和多层次灰色评价法,确定选用多层次灰色评价法,并建立了评价指标体系。
以实例分析中,选用钦州市为例,基于多式联运的情况下,分析背景、现状,通过货运需求预测分析,经计算得到枢纽数量,对备选站点进行筛选,定性分析,确定备选站点,经过计算得出合适的场址选择,并用多层次灰色评价法评价方案。
In recent years, the demanding of freight hubs is increasing with the development of intermodal transport. The reasonableness of freight hub location demand not only determines whether or not the overall efficiency of freight transport network is good or bad, and will have great impact about regional economic and social environment and the development of logistics enterprises.
This paper analyzes development status and trends of multimodal transport, and to point out the problems in multimodal transport development. One of the important factors for multimodal transport development is the pivotal point of the site plan, and elaborates the function of multimodal transport cargo hub, and proposes the factors of intermodal freight hub location, and the factors are freight demand and supply, and location factor, and environmental factor and infrastructure factor what influence location of intermodal freight hub.
In the process of location of intermodal freight hub, the problems on the site are classified, and determine the type of this location's problem, and follow the principle of site selection, and analyzes constraint conditions, and obtain the number of the hub, and ascertain the alternative site and location model to calculate. In the process of program evaluation, the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is compare with the method of grey evaluation, then selects the grey evaluation method, and establish the evaluation index system.
In the example analysis of the city of QinZhou.Based on the case of multimodal transport, to analyze the background and current situation. By the freight transport demand' forecast and consideration, obtain the number of the hub. According to Site selection and qualitative analysis, to decide the alternative site. By calculating to get the appropriate choice, and evaluate them.
引文
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[2]Hokey Min,Vaidyanathan Jayaraman,Rajesh Srivastava. Combined Location-Routing Problems:A Synthesis and Future Research Directions.European Journal of Operational Research.1998(108):1-15
[3]Balram Avittathur,Janat Shah,Omprakash k.Gupta.Distribution centre location medelling for differerntial sales tax structure.European Journal of Operational Research.2005(162): 191-205
[4]Lulseged Ayalew,Hiromitsu Yamagishi.The Application of GIS-Based Logistics Regression for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Kakuda-Yahiko Mountains Central Japan. Geomorphology.2005(65):15-31
[5]G.Schares,A.Barwald etc.Regional Distribution of Bovine Neospora Caninum Infection in the German State of Rhineland-Palatinate Modelled by Logistics Regression.International Journal for Parasitology.2003(33):1631-1640
[6]Tae Hoon Oum,Jong-Hun Park.Multinational Firms, Location Preference for Regional Distribution Centers:Focus on the Northeast Asian Region.Transportation Research Part E. 2004(40):101-121
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[8]冯亦项.物流园区选址综合评价方法及相关研究[D].中南大学,2008
[9]戴东生.物流园区综合选址方法研究[D].长安大学,2004
[10]何方珍.物流园区选址决策研究及应用[D].重庆大学,2006
[11]周立.城市公路客运枢纽布局规划方法研究[D].北京交通大学,2008
[12]赵国锋.浅议物流园区规划选址[J].科技之友,2008(01)：139-140
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[14]刘军,何世伟.综合运输体系下快捷货运网络枢纽选址影响因素分析[J].交通标准化.2010,220(05)：27-30
[15]武丽.中等城市客运站场布局规划研究[D].长安大学,2006
[16]]王建波.西部公路客运枢纽布局研究[D].北京交通大学,2009
[17]宋景若,包凡彪,蔡云.全程物流枢纽城市物流中心选址评价问题研究[J].武汉理工大学学报,2004(04)：165-168
[18]孙家庆.多式联运的形式及其特征分析[J].集装箱化,2002(03)：28-30
[19]王沛.多式联运中应注意的问题[J].商务,2010(04)：60-61
[20]樊润洁.浅谈多式联运在我国的发展现状及改善措施[J].科学管理,2010(8)：9-10
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[22]王宇.铁路货运战略装车点选址优化研究[D].西南交通大学,2010
[23]郭宝春.集装箱多式联运内陆环节优化研究[D].上海海事大学,2007
[24]张兵,邓卫.经济圈交通枢纽选址模型与算法研究[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2010(4)：155—160
[25]李勤真,许宏涛,赵世宜.军用集装运输场站微观选址模型[J].集装箱化,2007(12)：29-32
[26]游庆根.枢纽型物流中心选址模型研究[J].技术与方法,2009(28)：56-58
[27]李玉民,李旭宏,毛海军.物流园区规划建设规模确定方法[J].交通运输工程学报,2004(4)：7679
[28]戴禾,刘兴景,扬东援.物流园区选址问题研究[J].综合运输,2001(02)：30-33
[29]云俊.物流园区预测方法及应用研究[D].武汉理工大学,2003
[30]王琪.物流中心及其选址研究[D].武汉理工大学,2003
[31]杨双林.物中心的选址问题研究[D].江苏大学,2005
[32]徐杰,田园,汝宜红.物流中心选址的影响因素分析及案例[J].研究与探讨,2002(02)：27—29
[33]李艳松.公路客运站场的选址研究[D].大连海事大学,2007
[34]武娜.对发展我国多式联运的建议[J].环渤海经济瞭望,2003：22-24
[35]郭保春.集装箱多式联运内陆环节优化研究[D].上海海事大学,2007
[36]张渊,陆玉梅,梅强.多层次灰色评价法在科技计划项目绩效评估中的应用[J].科技进步与对策,2006(06)：120-123
[37]徐剑华,姜颖珲.影响宁波港运输需求的因素分析[J].运输市场,2004(05)：53-55
[38]张春民,杨涛.公路货运枢纽选址方法研究[J].交通科技,2006(06)：100-103
[39]冯芬玲,李夏苗,谭仲平.铁路货运集中化的经济性分析[J].交通运输工程学报.2003(1)
[40]陈大为.兰州铁路局战略装车点布局规划研究[D].北京交通大学,2006
[41]张宇峰.铁路货运集中化若干问题的研究[D].北京交通大学,2006
[42]邓煌阳,雷定酞等.基于战略装车点的铁路货运业务流程再造研究[J].中国铁路,2007(8)
[43]李旭宏,胡文友.区域物流中心规划方法[J].交通运输工程学报[J].2002(2)：85—87
[2]Hokey Min,Vaidyanathan Jayaraman,Rajesh Srivastava. Combined Location-Routing Problems:A Synthesis and Future Research Directions.European Journal of Operational Research.1998(108):1-15
[3]Balram Avittathur,Janat Shah,Omprakash k.Gupta.Distribution centre location medelling for differerntial sales tax structure.European Journal of Operational Research.2005(162): 191-205
[4]Lulseged Ayalew,Hiromitsu Yamagishi.The Application of GIS-Based Logistics Regression for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Kakuda-Yahiko Mountains Central Japan. Geomorphology.2005(65):15-31
[5]G.Schares,A.Barwald etc.Regional Distribution of Bovine Neospora Caninum Infection in the German State of Rhineland-Palatinate Modelled by Logistics Regression.International Journal for Parasitology.2003(33):1631-1640
[6]Tae Hoon Oum,Jong-Hun Park.Multinational Firms, Location Preference for Regional Distribution Centers:Focus on the Northeast Asian Region.Transportation Research Part E. 2004(40):101-121
[7]陈大伟.大城市对外客运枢纽规划与设计理论研究[D].东南大学,2006
[8]冯亦项.物流园区选址综合评价方法及相关研究[D].中南大学,2008
[9]戴东生.物流园区综合选址方法研究[D].长安大学,2004
[10]何方珍.物流园区选址决策研究及应用[D].重庆大学,2006
[11]周立.城市公路客运枢纽布局规划方法研究[D].北京交通大学,2008
[12]赵国锋.浅议物流园区规划选址[J].科技之友,2008(01)：139-140
[13]夏纯欢.城市物流园区合理规模与布局选址研究[D].西南交通大学,2008
[14]刘军,何世伟.综合运输体系下快捷货运网络枢纽选址影响因素分析[J].交通标准化.2010,220(05)：27-30
[15]武丽.中等城市客运站场布局规划研究[D].长安大学,2006
[16]]王建波.西部公路客运枢纽布局研究[D].北京交通大学,2009
[17]宋景若,包凡彪,蔡云.全程物流枢纽城市物流中心选址评价问题研究[J].武汉理工大学学报,2004(04)：165-168
[18]孙家庆.多式联运的形式及其特征分析[J].集装箱化,2002(03)：28-30
[19]王沛.多式联运中应注意的问题[J].商务,2010(04)：60-61
[20]樊润洁.浅谈多式联运在我国的发展现状及改善措施[J].科学管理,2010(8)：9-10
[21]杨晓梅.我国多式联运系统的发展战略研究[J].世界海运,1999(05)：24-25
[22]王宇.铁路货运战略装车点选址优化研究[D].西南交通大学,2010
[23]郭宝春.集装箱多式联运内陆环节优化研究[D].上海海事大学,2007
[24]张兵,邓卫.经济圈交通枢纽选址模型与算法研究[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2010(4)：155—160
[25]李勤真,许宏涛,赵世宜.军用集装运输场站微观选址模型[J].集装箱化,2007(12)：29-32
[26]游庆根.枢纽型物流中心选址模型研究[J].技术与方法,2009(28)：56-58
[27]李玉民,李旭宏,毛海军.物流园区规划建设规模确定方法[J].交通运输工程学报,2004(4)：7679
[28]戴禾,刘兴景,扬东援.物流园区选址问题研究[J].综合运输,2001(02)：30-33
[29]云俊.物流园区预测方法及应用研究[D].武汉理工大学,2003
[30]王琪.物流中心及其选址研究[D].武汉理工大学,2003
[31]杨双林.物中心的选址问题研究[D].江苏大学,2005
[32]徐杰,田园,汝宜红.物流中心选址的影响因素分析及案例[J].研究与探讨,2002(02)：27—29
[33]李艳松.公路客运站场的选址研究[D].大连海事大学,2007
[34]武娜.对发展我国多式联运的建议[J].环渤海经济瞭望,2003：22-24
[35]郭保春.集装箱多式联运内陆环节优化研究[D].上海海事大学,2007
[36]张渊,陆玉梅,梅强.多层次灰色评价法在科技计划项目绩效评估中的应用[J].科技进步与对策,2006(06)：120-123
[37]徐剑华,姜颖珲.影响宁波港运输需求的因素分析[J].运输市场,2004(05)：53-55
[38]张春民,杨涛.公路货运枢纽选址方法研究[J].交通科技,2006(06)：100-103
[39]冯芬玲,李夏苗,谭仲平.铁路货运集中化的经济性分析[J].交通运输工程学报.2003(1)
[40]陈大为.兰州铁路局战略装车点布局规划研究[D].北京交通大学,2006
[41]张宇峰.铁路货运集中化若干问题的研究[D].北京交通大学,2006
[42]邓煌阳,雷定酞等.基于战略装车点的铁路货运业务流程再造研究[J].中国铁路,2007(8)
[43]李旭宏,胡文友.区域物流中心规划方法[J].交通运输工程学报[J].2002(2)：85—87