装甲装备维修保障系统评价与优化研究
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摘要
在国民经济和科学技术日益发展的今天,装备维修在社会发展(国民经济、科学技术、文化教育等)和国防建设中的地位和作用变得越来越重要。对于军用装备,更是随着现代科学技术的不断进步,武器装备的复杂性及技术含量不断提高,使得装备维修保障已成为部队战斗力的重要组成部分,与装备的作战性能居于同等重要的地位。
本文从装甲装备维修保障系统的现状及发展趋势出发,结合工作实践,对维修保障工作和综合评价内容做了比较深入的分析研究,建立了全面的、合理有效的评价指标体系和评价模型,采用层次分析法和专家调查法相结合的方式,对装甲装备维修保障系统进行综合评价。该模型易于操作,扩展性强,可根据实际情况调整指标体系和权重,评价结果对装甲装备维修保障系统的建设具有一定的参考价值。
在综合评价分析的基础上,运用网络计划优化技术,研究并建立了装甲装备维修保障网络计划综合优化系统,对系统同时进行时间—费用和时间—资源的优化,得到一系列优化后的备选方案,再进一步确定以时间、费用和资源为序参量指标,并分别计算各备选方案中各指标对系统有序度的功效,最终建立综合优化模型来集成以上各指标对系统有序程度的“总贡献”,最后用协调度来评选所有方案,得到最满意方案。
With the increasing development of national economy,science and technology,the status and role of Equipment maintenance are becoming increasingly important.Specially,the maintenance and guarantee of the military equipment equipments have become a very important part of the troops fighting power and their roles are as important as the combat capability of the equipments themselves with the increase in complexity and technique of the weapons.
From the armored equipment maintenance support system status quo and development trend, combined with practical work, maintenance and support work on the comprehensive evaluation content and makes relatively profound analysis and research using AHP and Expert survey wears on the armored equipment combination to carry out maintenance support system comprehensive evaluation. Established a relatively comprehensive, reasonable and effective evaluation index system and evaluation model. The model is simple and easy to use, expandability, can make adjustments to the index system and the weight of the evaluation results of the armored equipment construction maintenance support system has some reference value.
For equipment maintenance during the time, cost, resources, this profound grasp of network planning technique in real terms based on systems analysis and coordination from the point of view, to explore and establish a comprehensive equipment maintenance and support network planning optimization system, the system also for the time - cost and time - and optimize resource, get a series optimized than the alternatives, in order to further determine the time, cost and resources for the order parameter indicators, and programs were calculated in the comparison of various indicators on the system ordered Duo effectiveness, the eventual establishment of an integrated optimization model to integrate the above index system order degree of "total contribution" to the final selection with the coordination of all degree programs, the most satisfactory plan.
本文从装甲装备维修保障系统的现状及发展趋势出发,结合工作实践,对维修保障工作和综合评价内容做了比较深入的分析研究,建立了全面的、合理有效的评价指标体系和评价模型,采用层次分析法和专家调查法相结合的方式,对装甲装备维修保障系统进行综合评价。该模型易于操作,扩展性强,可根据实际情况调整指标体系和权重,评价结果对装甲装备维修保障系统的建设具有一定的参考价值。
在综合评价分析的基础上,运用网络计划优化技术,研究并建立了装甲装备维修保障网络计划综合优化系统,对系统同时进行时间—费用和时间—资源的优化,得到一系列优化后的备选方案,再进一步确定以时间、费用和资源为序参量指标,并分别计算各备选方案中各指标对系统有序度的功效,最终建立综合优化模型来集成以上各指标对系统有序程度的“总贡献”,最后用协调度来评选所有方案,得到最满意方案。
With the increasing development of national economy,science and technology,the status and role of Equipment maintenance are becoming increasingly important.Specially,the maintenance and guarantee of the military equipment equipments have become a very important part of the troops fighting power and their roles are as important as the combat capability of the equipments themselves with the increase in complexity and technique of the weapons.
From the armored equipment maintenance support system status quo and development trend, combined with practical work, maintenance and support work on the comprehensive evaluation content and makes relatively profound analysis and research using AHP and Expert survey wears on the armored equipment combination to carry out maintenance support system comprehensive evaluation. Established a relatively comprehensive, reasonable and effective evaluation index system and evaluation model. The model is simple and easy to use, expandability, can make adjustments to the index system and the weight of the evaluation results of the armored equipment construction maintenance support system has some reference value.
For equipment maintenance during the time, cost, resources, this profound grasp of network planning technique in real terms based on systems analysis and coordination from the point of view, to explore and establish a comprehensive equipment maintenance and support network planning optimization system, the system also for the time - cost and time - and optimize resource, get a series optimized than the alternatives, in order to further determine the time, cost and resources for the order parameter indicators, and programs were calculated in the comparison of various indicators on the system ordered Duo effectiveness, the eventual establishment of an integrated optimization model to integrate the above index system order degree of "total contribution" to the final selection with the coordination of all degree programs, the most satisfactory plan.
引文
[1]张耀辉等.装备维修工程[M].北京:装甲兵工程学院,2003.
[2]余高达.高技术战争后勤[M].北京:国防大学出版社,1994.
[3]甘茂治,康建设,高崎.军用装备维修工程学[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1999.
[4]陈晓剑等.系统评价方法及应用[M].合肥:中国科学技术大学出版社,1993.
[5]孔繁柯等.《保障性分析》实施指南[J].北京:装备可靠性标准化技术委员会,1993.
[6]刘博强等.野战维修保障能力综合评估研究[M].北京:军事科学出版社,1996.
[7]甘茂治.战场损伤评估与修复分析与应用[J].石家庄:军械工程学院学报,1993.
[8]袁洪涛等.装甲装备维修保障能力评估初探[J].北京:兵工学报,2000.
[9]刘颖等.基于AHP的装甲装备维修保障系统效能评估研究[J].北京:车辆与动力技术,2005.
[10]王猛等.基于DEA的装备维修保障系统效能评估研究[J].北京:装备指挥学院学报,2008.
[11]何明,李彬.基于Elman神经网络的装甲装备维修保障系统效能评估[J].蚌埠:控制与仿真,2008.
[12]齐胜利等.维修保障系统效能的分形评估算法研究[J].西安:系统仿真学报,2006.
[13]张建宇等.维修保障系统效能评估的灰靶模型[J].石家庄:武器装备自动化,2007.
[14]李洲,郑怀洲.战时装备维修保障系统Petri网建模[J].北京:装备指挥学院学报,2008.
[15]张智慧.基于IDEFO的装备维修保障系统功能模型的建立[J].石家庄:军械工程学院学报,2004.
[16]金家善,罗云.用于维修级别分析的效用模型开发[J].北京:中国机械工程,1998.
[17]张剑.军事装备系统的效能分析、优化与仿真[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2000.
[18]陈国良.遗传算法及应用[M].北京:人民邮电出版社,1996.
[19] Goldberg D E.Genetic Algorithms in Search,Optimization and Machine learning[M].Addison Wesley:publishing Compa-ny,INC 1989.
[20] Dorigo M, Vittorio Maniezzo , Alberto Colorni. The Ant System :opti-mization by a colony of cooperating agents[J].IEEE Transactions onsystems,Man,and Cybernetics_Part B,1996.
[21]徐航等.基于遗传算法的战时维修保障系统优化研究[J].北京:装甲兵工程学院学报,2006.
[22]刘伟军,袁建波.基于遗传算法的工程项目资源优化[J].北京:计算机工程与应用,2006.
[23]杨永青.网络计划多资源平衡优化工序排序方法研究[J].长沙:湖南轻工业高等专科学院学报,2003.
[24]牛东晓.工程网络资源平衡的改进型遗传算法研究[J].北京:华北电力大学学报,2000.
[25]张连营等.遗传算法在工程项目资源优化中的应用[J].天津:天津大学学报,2001.
[26]周国华.遗传算法及其在生产调度中的应用[J].成都:西南交通大学学报,2000.
[27]陈学楚.装备系统工程[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1995.
[28]徐宗昌.保障性工程[M].北京:兵器工业出版社,2002.
[29]张子丘,王建平.装备技术保障概论[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2001.
[30]张福强,郭金茂.维修工程基础理论[M].北京:装甲兵工程学院,1994.
[31]花兴来,刘庆华.装备管理工程[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2002.
[32]杨为民.可靠性、维修性、保障性总论[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1995.
[33]郭琦胜等.军事装备效能及其评估方法研究[J].北京:装甲兵工程学院学报,2004.
[34]谭跃进,陈英武,易进先.系统工程原理[M].长沙:国防科技大学出版社,1999.
[35] T.L. Saaty The Analytic Network Process[M] .RWS Publications,1996.
[36] Qin Shoukang et aLValuation Function Models of Principal Components and a Method for Selecting Optimum from Evaluation Schemes[C] . The 15th Triennial Conference of IFORS’99.Beijing,China,1999.
[37]李明等.武器装备发展系统论证方法与应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2000.
[38]马世宁等.应用高新技术提高维修保障能力会议论文集[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2005.
[39] Zadeh L.A,Fuzzy Sets[J].Information and Control,1965.
[40] Dubois D&Prade H.. Fuzzy Sets and Systems Theory and Applications[M] .New York,1980.
[41] Sage ,A.P.(ed),Systems Engineering: Methodology and Application[M].John Wiley,1977.
[42]谭跃进.定量分析方法[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2006.
[43] James M,Antill Ronal W,Woodhead.Citical Path Methods in Construction Practice[M],NewYork:A Wiley Inter-science Publication,1982.
[44]王诺.网络计划技术及其拓广研究[M].北京:人民交通出版社,1999.
[45]乞建勋.网络计划优化新理论与技术经济决策[M].北京:科学出版社,1997.
[46]熊伟.运筹学[M].北京:机械工业出版社,2005.
[47]成虎.工程项目管理[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2005.
[48]毛以华.工程网络计划的理论与实践[M].杭州:浙江大学出版社,2005.
[49]刘荔娟.项目管理概论[M].上海:上海人民出版社,1990.
[50]顾培亮.系统分析与协调[M].天津:天津大学出版社,1998.
[51]哈肯著,汪仁寿译.协同学导论[M].西安:西北大学科研处,1981.
[52]王海文等.一种网络计划的综合优化模型[J].武汉:华中科技大学学报,2001.
[2]余高达.高技术战争后勤[M].北京:国防大学出版社,1994.
[3]甘茂治,康建设,高崎.军用装备维修工程学[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1999.
[4]陈晓剑等.系统评价方法及应用[M].合肥:中国科学技术大学出版社,1993.
[5]孔繁柯等.《保障性分析》实施指南[J].北京:装备可靠性标准化技术委员会,1993.
[6]刘博强等.野战维修保障能力综合评估研究[M].北京:军事科学出版社,1996.
[7]甘茂治.战场损伤评估与修复分析与应用[J].石家庄:军械工程学院学报,1993.
[8]袁洪涛等.装甲装备维修保障能力评估初探[J].北京:兵工学报,2000.
[9]刘颖等.基于AHP的装甲装备维修保障系统效能评估研究[J].北京:车辆与动力技术,2005.
[10]王猛等.基于DEA的装备维修保障系统效能评估研究[J].北京:装备指挥学院学报,2008.
[11]何明,李彬.基于Elman神经网络的装甲装备维修保障系统效能评估[J].蚌埠:控制与仿真,2008.
[12]齐胜利等.维修保障系统效能的分形评估算法研究[J].西安:系统仿真学报,2006.
[13]张建宇等.维修保障系统效能评估的灰靶模型[J].石家庄:武器装备自动化,2007.
[14]李洲,郑怀洲.战时装备维修保障系统Petri网建模[J].北京:装备指挥学院学报,2008.
[15]张智慧.基于IDEFO的装备维修保障系统功能模型的建立[J].石家庄:军械工程学院学报,2004.
[16]金家善,罗云.用于维修级别分析的效用模型开发[J].北京:中国机械工程,1998.
[17]张剑.军事装备系统的效能分析、优化与仿真[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2000.
[18]陈国良.遗传算法及应用[M].北京:人民邮电出版社,1996.
[19] Goldberg D E.Genetic Algorithms in Search,Optimization and Machine learning[M].Addison Wesley:publishing Compa-ny,INC 1989.
[20] Dorigo M, Vittorio Maniezzo , Alberto Colorni. The Ant System :opti-mization by a colony of cooperating agents[J].IEEE Transactions onsystems,Man,and Cybernetics_Part B,1996.
[21]徐航等.基于遗传算法的战时维修保障系统优化研究[J].北京:装甲兵工程学院学报,2006.
[22]刘伟军,袁建波.基于遗传算法的工程项目资源优化[J].北京:计算机工程与应用,2006.
[23]杨永青.网络计划多资源平衡优化工序排序方法研究[J].长沙:湖南轻工业高等专科学院学报,2003.
[24]牛东晓.工程网络资源平衡的改进型遗传算法研究[J].北京:华北电力大学学报,2000.
[25]张连营等.遗传算法在工程项目资源优化中的应用[J].天津:天津大学学报,2001.
[26]周国华.遗传算法及其在生产调度中的应用[J].成都:西南交通大学学报,2000.
[27]陈学楚.装备系统工程[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1995.
[28]徐宗昌.保障性工程[M].北京:兵器工业出版社,2002.
[29]张子丘,王建平.装备技术保障概论[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2001.
[30]张福强,郭金茂.维修工程基础理论[M].北京:装甲兵工程学院,1994.
[31]花兴来,刘庆华.装备管理工程[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2002.
[32]杨为民.可靠性、维修性、保障性总论[M].北京:国防工业出版社,1995.
[33]郭琦胜等.军事装备效能及其评估方法研究[J].北京:装甲兵工程学院学报,2004.
[34]谭跃进,陈英武,易进先.系统工程原理[M].长沙:国防科技大学出版社,1999.
[35] T.L. Saaty The Analytic Network Process[M] .RWS Publications,1996.
[36] Qin Shoukang et aLValuation Function Models of Principal Components and a Method for Selecting Optimum from Evaluation Schemes[C] . The 15th Triennial Conference of IFORS’99.Beijing,China,1999.
[37]李明等.武器装备发展系统论证方法与应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2000.
[38]马世宁等.应用高新技术提高维修保障能力会议论文集[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2005.
[39] Zadeh L.A,Fuzzy Sets[J].Information and Control,1965.
[40] Dubois D&Prade H.. Fuzzy Sets and Systems Theory and Applications[M] .New York,1980.
[41] Sage ,A.P.(ed),Systems Engineering: Methodology and Application[M].John Wiley,1977.
[42]谭跃进.定量分析方法[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2006.
[43] James M,Antill Ronal W,Woodhead.Citical Path Methods in Construction Practice[M],NewYork:A Wiley Inter-science Publication,1982.
[44]王诺.网络计划技术及其拓广研究[M].北京:人民交通出版社,1999.
[45]乞建勋.网络计划优化新理论与技术经济决策[M].北京:科学出版社,1997.
[46]熊伟.运筹学[M].北京:机械工业出版社,2005.
[47]成虎.工程项目管理[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2005.
[48]毛以华.工程网络计划的理论与实践[M].杭州:浙江大学出版社,2005.
[49]刘荔娟.项目管理概论[M].上海:上海人民出版社,1990.
[50]顾培亮.系统分析与协调[M].天津:天津大学出版社,1998.
[51]哈肯著,汪仁寿译.协同学导论[M].西安:西北大学科研处,1981.
[52]王海文等.一种网络计划的综合优化模型[J].武汉:华中科技大学学报,2001.