企业集团内部资本市场有效性研究
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摘要
资本配置是资源配置的核心。对于资本配置,人们首先联想到的一般是股票、债券市场或银行信贷市场等外部资本市场,而忽视了另一类市场——内部资本市场的存在。近年来,伴随着大量兼并、收购行为发生,企业集团涌现以及多元化浪潮,关于内部资本市场的研究也越来越多。
     我国对内部资本市场的研究起步较晚。从20世纪80年代中期开始,我国开始推动企业集团组建,上市公司中企业集团大量涌现。同时,我国证券市场建设初期,上市公司多以分拆上市的形式进入资本市场,形成复杂的母子公司结构,子公司与母公司进行大量的关联交易行为,形成了相关的内部资本市场。此外,近十多年来,我国出现大量系族企业,使得内部资本市场运作更加普遍。
     我国对于内部资本市场的研究结论也是各不一致,理论界存在着“有效论”和“无效论”之争,实践界也处在摸索求证的阶段。那么,内部资本市场究竟有没有效率?在什么情况下内部资本市场有效,什么情况下无效?如果内部资本市场的有效性弱,我们应该采取什么措施对其改进?这些问题都亟待我们研究解决,这也正是本文研究的出发点。
     本文引入内部化理论、委托代理、融资优序等理论的核心思想,立足中国内部资本市场环境,采用规范研究、实证研究和案例研究相结合的方法,系统深入地研究了中国内部资本市场的有效性及其影响因素,并针对研究结论,提出了相关政策建议。具体的说,本文总体上分为三大部分:第一部分为理论与制度背景分析,在对内部资本市场概念、特征、功能等基础理论、运行机制等方面进行探讨的基础上,基于我国特殊的制度背景分析了内部资本市场在我国产生的条件、发展历程和现状,包括第二章和第三章。第二部分为实证研究,采用Jeffrey Wurgler分析方法、Q敏感性分析方法和现金流敏感性分析方法研究2008年我国民营系族企业内部资本市场的有效性,并进一步通过实证方法研究内部资本市场效率受哪些因素影响,最后通过案例分析,得出关于内部资本市场有效性的充分证据,包括第四章、第五章和第六章。第三部分为政策建议。各章内容如下:
     第一章,导论。主要阐述了本文的研究背景、研究目的及意义,同时说明本文的研究内容和逻辑思路,指出了本文的创新点及可能存在的不足。
     第二章,内部资本市场的理论基础及其运行机制。主要分析内部资本市场的特征及功能、内外部资本市场的关系、内部资本市场的运行机制,以及内部资本市场的理论基础以期对内部资本市场的基本理论进行系统研究。
     第三章,我国内部资本市场的制度背景分析。结合我国实际情况,分析我国内部资本市场产生和发展的特殊制度背景,同时进一步描述我国内部资本市场发展的现状,如集团公司、财务公司数量的变化,关联交易的普遍性等。
     第四章,我国内部资本市场效率的实证研究——基于民营上市公司。首先,对样本选取的原因、数据来源与处理以及样本选择的情况进行说明。接着,分别采用Jeffrey Wurgler分析方法、Q敏感性分析方法和现金流敏感性分析方法,对我国民营系族企业内部资本市场效率进行了研究。
     第五章,我国内部资本市场效率影响因素分析。分析我国特殊制度背景下内部资本市场的影响因素,主要是从公司治理、股权结构以及多元化等方面进行分析,并通过Logistic模型进行回归分析,找出我国系族企业内部资本市场有效性的影响因素。
     第六章,内部资本市场的案例研究——以“万向系”为例。该部分将选取“万向系”为案例对内部资本市场的实证研究结果进行检验。首先,对案例的选取来源及该集团公司进行介绍;其次,分析内部资本市场的运作方式;最后,分析内部资本市场对企业价值的影响以及其内部资本市场的有效性。
     第七章,研究结论及建议。首先,基于全文的研究,概括总结研究结论。接着,分析我国内部资本市场发展的制约因素。最后,根据我国内部资本市场发展存在的问题和实际情况,提出若干建议。
     本文的研究得出以下结论:
     第一,我国内部资本市场存在和发展有其特殊的背景。巨大的融资需求、银行信贷配给和信贷歧视问题的存在,加之股票市场不够完善,使得内部资本市场是一种比较理想的选择。我国内部资本市场近年来发展迅速,主要表现在企业集团和财务公司大量涌现、系族企业出现并快速发展以及关联交易越来越频繁。
     第二,我国民营系族企业内部资本市场的总体效率较低。采用Jeffrey Wurgler分析方法、Q敏感性分析方法以及现金流敏感性分析方法的研究结果均表明,选取的31个民营系族66家上市公司内部资本市场的效率总体低下。
     第三,我国部分民营系族上市公司的内部资本市场是有效的。从单个公司的Q敏感性和现金流敏感性来看,部分企业的内部资本市场运作是有效的。但这部分企业内部资本市场的有效性被另一部分企业内部资本市场的无效性所中和,使得我国系族企业内部资本市场从样本总体来看效率低下。同时,案例企业的研究也发现其内部资本市场运作存在效率。
     第四,内部资本市场效率受到多种因素的影响。内部资本市场有效性与引进外资的程度、年度内董事会的会议次数、董事会持股比例、高管人员持股比例显著地正向相关,而与独立董事比例、是否多元化以及控制权与现金流权的分离程度显著负相关。
Capital allocation is the core of the allocation of resources. As regard to the allocation of capital, people generally think of the stock, the bond or the bank credit market and other external capital markets at first, but ignore the existence of another market-the internal capital market. In recent years, with a large number of Mergers&Acquisitions occuring and the wave of emergence for enterprise groups and the diversity, the research on Internal Capital Market is also increasing.
     The research for Internal Capital Market started relatively late in China.From the mid of1980's, China promoted to the formation of the Groups,and a large number of enterprise groups emergenced between listed companies.Meanwhile,at the early construction of China's securities market, listed companies and more to split the form into the capital markets, the formation of a large number of parent-subsidiary structure.There were a large number of related transactions between subsidiaries and parent company,which formed the related internal capital market.Otherwise, in the last ten years, a large number of departments of family businesses appeared in China, making the operation of the internal capital market more generally.
     The research findings of internal capital market in China is inconsistent.In theory, the struggle of "effective" and "void" exists.While,while in practice there is still in exploration and confirmation. So, whether the Internal Capital Market is efficient or not? The Internal Capital Market is effective under what circumstances, and what circumstances is invalid? If the Internal Capital Market were inefficient, what measures should we take for its improvement? These problems should be solved, which is the starting point of this paper.
     This paper provides further systematic research on Internal Capital Market issues, with theoretical analysis, logical reasoning, empirical research and case study method. Based on the disscussion of the basic theory on the concept, features, functions of Internal Capital Markets and mechanisms,the paper analysis the condition, history and present situation of the Internal Capital Market in China,with the background of China's special system.
     Chapter I, Introduction. Elaborate the background, purpose and meaning of this paper.Meanwhile, explain the contents of this study and the article structure.Then, present innovation of the article based on preceding research and possible shortcomings.
     Chapter Ⅱ, the basic theory and the mechanism of internal capital markets.Mainly analyze the concepts,characteristics,theoretical basis and functions of internal capital market.Then idendifine the relationship and the difference between Internal Capital Market and Exernal Capital Market,in order to systemically study the basic theory of internal capital markets. Then, make clear what are the elements and vectors of the Internal Capital Market System and analyze the the process and the way in which Internal Capital Market operates.
     Chapter III, the development process and the current situation of the internal capital market in China. Analyze the special systematical background in which the internal capital market emerged and develops, combing with the actual situation in China.Meanwhile, further describe the current situation of the internal capital market in China,such as Groups, changes in the number of financial companies, the universality of related party transactions.
     Chapter IV, the empirical research on Internal Capital Marke efficiency-based on Listed Private Companies in China.explain the reason for the sample choosen, discribe the data sources and processing. Then, empirically research on the ICM efficiency of the private companies with J-W method, Q sensitivity analytical method and cash flow sensitivity analytical method respectively.
     Chapter V,the analysis on factors affecting China's internal capital market efficiency. Make comprehensive analysis on factors related to China's internal capital market efficiency from corporate governance, ownership structure and diversification perspectives, based on the special system background.Find out factors that affect internal capital market efficiency of private companies in china through Logistic Regression.
     Chapter VI, case studies-based on the Wang Xiang System.The case of "Wang Xiang system" will be selected to test empirical results in this part. First,give the reason why Wang Xiang System is chose and introduce it briefly. Second, analyze the operation mode of the internal capital market in the system. Finally,analyze the effectiveness of internal capital market and influencing factors.
     Chapter VIII, the conclusions and recommendations. First, summarize the research findings based on the full text studies,.Then, Analyze the constraints of the internal capital market in China.Finally, raise several suggestions according to the problems and the actual situation of China's internal capital market development.
     The paper comes to the conclusion as following:
     First, the existence and development of the Internal Capital Market in China had its special background. Huge financing needs and the existence of bank credit allocation and credit discrimination, with the imperfect of the stock market,made the internal capital market a comparative good choice. Internal Capital Market has developed rapidly in recent years in China, mainly showed by the emergency of large number of Groups and finance companies, the appearance of family business which are developping rapidly,and the frequency of the related party transactions.
     Second, the Internal Capital Market of family enterprises in China was inefficient overall. With J-W method, Q sensitivity analytical method and cash flow sensitivity analytical method,the results show that the efficiency of Internal Capital Market of China's family enterprises in generally low.
     Third, the Internal Capital Marke in private listed companies is partly efficient.From Q and cash flow sensitivity analysis of single company, some of their Internal Capital Markets is efficient.These companies could effectively make use of internal capital market to alleviate the financial pressure and optimize resource allocation.
     Fourth, the internal capital market efficiency is affected by many factors.The efficiency of the internal capital market was significantly positively correlated with the extent of foreign investment, ownership of board and senior executives stake, while negatively correlated with the number of board meetings during the year, the proportion of independent directors, whether diversified and the separation degree of the control rights and cash flow separation.
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