中国农业基础设施供给效率研究
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摘要
农业基础设施是农业赖以发展的“先行资本”,是农村生产稳定发展、农业经济良性运行、农民持续创收增收的基础性条件。其供给效率的高低直接制约着农业生产力的综合水平、农业现代化的进程以及新农村建设的整体状况。目前,我国农业基础设施供给依然滞后于农业发展的需要,供给数量不足,建设水平落后,质量参差不齐,直接影响了传统农业向现代农业的转变。对农业基础设施供给效率进行科学评价和客观测度,分析其影响因素和影响机理,探究其供给机制和实践模式,不仅有利于增强政府对农业基础设施供给的投资优化决策能力,实现资源优化配置的长远目标,而且有利于实现农业现代化,促进“三农”问题的解决,加速推进“三化”协调发展的进程。
     本文从农业基础设施供给效率的理论基础入手,基于宏观、中观、微观的视角,分别用公共产品理论、先行资本理论、多中心治理理论和项目融资理论对农业基础设施供给效率的理论基础进行全面梳理,构架农业基础设施供给效率的理论基础。
     其次,从农业基础设施供给制度变迁的视角,回顾了自新中国成立以来合作化时期、人民公社时期、家庭承包制实施至农业税取消前和后农业税时期四个彼此独立又相互联系的阶段我国农业基础设施供给制度变迁的基本轨迹,分析农业基础设施供给制度变迁的主要特点,并对其效率进行比较。
     再次,基于现实的考察,对我国农业基础设施供给取得的成效、实践模式和面临的挑战进行了分析。认为,近年来,我国农业基础设施供给内容日渐丰富,供给水平日益提高,促进了农业综合生产能力持续提高和现代农业快速推进。农业基础设施供给成效的取得与多样化供给模式的成功实践密切相关。随着社会经济的发展和市场化程度的加快,农业基础设施供给模式日益多样化,如政府供给模式、市场供给模式、第三部门供给模式以及联合供给模式,不同模式各具特色,多种模式的有机结合有利于我国农业基础设施供给效率的全面提高。但是,我国农业基础设施还面临供给总体薄弱,结构和区域不均衡,增量建设压力大和供给管理亟待加强等一系列挑战。在此基础上,分析了农业基础设施供给相关主体利益诉求与行为逻辑,探讨了供给主体之间博弈行为对农业基础设施供给效率的影响。
     然后,基于非径向模型(SBM)和Malmquist指数从静态和动态的角度分别从DEA单元有效性、规模报酬、投入要素的冗余量、Malmquist指数的绩效评价等四个方面对我国各地区2000-2010年农业基础设施供给效率进行测评。结果表明,总体上,全国及各地区农业基础设施供给效率均有较大提高;从静态看,供给效率值东部大于中部,中部大于西部,规模报酬东部、中部、西部总体上分别呈现不变、递减、递增状态,投入要素冗余百分比较高的地区为农业发展滞后区;从动态看,各地区农业基础设施供给呈现好的发展势头,纯效率值东部大于中部,中部大于西部,但技术效率表现不稳定。在此基础上,采用Tobit模型对我国农业基础设施供给效率影响因素进行实证分析。整体而言,除城镇化率外,其他变量都呈现显著性影响。且系统外因素对农业基础设施投资效率的影响程度大于系统内因素。显著性从大到小依次为:地方财政占总财政支出的比重>农村公共财政框架的基本建立>积累工和义务工制度>农业基础设施投资额>第一产业劳动力占总劳动力人数的比率。鉴于投资额在农业基础设施供给中的重要性和显著性影响,对其资金来源进一步解构,在进行ADF单位根检验、变量协整分析以及格兰杰因果关系检验的基础上,采用多元线性回归模型估计,结果表明,不同的资金来源对其影响度不同。财政支农资金对农业基础设施投资产生显著性影响,农民自筹资金和农业贷款对农业基础设施投资的影响不显著,而农业税和农业基础设施投资两者之间不存在格兰杰因果关系。
     此外,基于国际视野,选择典型发达国家和发展中国家,总结其农业基础设施有效供给的国际经验,如政府高度重视农业基础设施供给,适合本国国情的供给内容,科学实用的供给制度,完善的制度安排和政策法规体系等,这些为改善我国农业基础设施供给效率提供了宝贵的经验与启示。
     最后,探讨了农业基础设施供给效率提升的实现机制,提出了农业基础设施有效供给的政策建议。农业基础供给效率的实现是一个系统工程,建立健全科学合理的供给机制是关键,保障机制是基础,管理机制是保证,监督和激励机制是重要内容。在此基础上,提出了我国农业基础设施供给效率提高的相应政策建议,如以“三化”协调发展为宗旨,统筹城乡公共基础设施供给;强化公共财政职能,加大农业基础设施公共投入力度;创新投资方式,拓宽资金来源渠道;完善供求连结机制,提升决策效率;优化供给结构,提高资源配置效率;创建高效的投资运营管理体系,提升资金使用效益;加强配套改革,创造良好的供给环境等等。
Agricultural infrastructure is the "social overhead capital" of agriculture development, the basic condition of stable rural production development, benign agricultural economy running, fanners' continuous income generation.The level of its supply efficiency restricts directly the level of agricultural productivity, the overall condition of agricultural modernization and new rural construction.Currently, the supply of Chinese agricultural infrastructure still lags behind the needs of agricultural development, supply number is insufficient, construction level lags behind, quality is uneven, which impact directly on the transformation of traditional agriculture to modern agriculture. To evaluate scientific ally and measure objectively the supply efficiency of agricultural infrastructure, to analyze influencing factors and impact mechanism, to explore supply mechanism and practice mode,which will not only enhance government's decision-making ability to achieve the long-term goal of optimal allocation of resources, but also will benefit to realization of agricultural modernization, settlement of "sannong" issues, coordination of "sanhua" process.
     From the theoretical basis of agricultural infrastructure supply efficiency, such as the macro, meso and micro point of view, public goods theory,"social overhead capital" theory, multicenter governance theory and project financing theory, the paper tried to find the theoretical framework of agricultural infrastructure supply efficiency.
     Secondly, from perspective of agricultural infrastructure supply system change, the paper reviewed the basic track of four independently and mutual contact stage from agricultural cooperation period, the people's commune period, the period from household contract responsibility system to agricultural tax was abolited, after the abolition of period,and Agricultural tax period after. Then analyzed main characteristics of supply system change, and compared their efficiency too.
     Again, based on reality investigation, the paper analyzed agricultural infrastructure supply effects, practice mode and challenge faced with. In recent years, supply content of agriculture infrastructure is richer, supply level is increasing day by day, and promote the continuous improvement of comprehensive agricultural production capacity and rapid development of modern agriculture. The effects'acquisition is closely related to successful practice of diversified supply mode. With development of social economy and acceleration of marketization degree, agricultural infrastructure supply mode increasingly diversified, such as government supply mode, market supply mode, the third department supply mode and joint supply mode, The different modes with different features, the organic integration of a variety of modes improves agricultural infrastructure supplies efficiency. However, agricultural infrastructure supply is still faced with a series of challenges, such as overall weakness, structure and regional disequilibrium, incremental construction pressure and management to be strengthened and so on..On these basis, the paper analysed interest demands and behavior logic of related entities of agricultural infrastructure supply,discussed the influence of game behavior between the main entities imposed on agricultural infrastructure supply efficiency.
     Then, based on SBM and Malmquist index, from static and dynamic perspective, the paper evaluated regional agricultural infrastructure supplies efficiency of2000-2010year respectively from DEA unit effectiveness, returns to scale, redundancy of input elements and performance appraisal of Malmquist index, and so on. The results showed that, on the whole, the national and regional agricultural infrastructure supplies efficiency was improved greatly; From the static perspective, supply efficiency value was:the eastern was bigger than the central, the central was bigger than western. Returns to scale was:the eastern, the central and the western present respectively unchanged, decreasing, increasing state, higher areas of input factor redundancy percentage were agricultural development backward area; From dynamic perspective, regional agricultural infrastructure supplies presented good momentum, pure efficiency value was:the eastern was bigger than the central,and the central was bigger than the western, but technical efficiency development was not stable. On the basis of this, the paper used Tobit model to analyse influence factors. On the whole, excepted for urbanization rate, other variables presented significant influence. And factors outside system had much more influence than factors inside factors.Significance from big to small in order was:gravity of local fiscal expenditure to total fiscal expenditure, basical establishment of rural public finance framework, accumulative labor and voluntary labour system, agricultural infrastructure investment quantity, ratio of the first industry labor to total labor force. In view of the importance and significant influence of investment, deconstructed funds source furtherly. On the basis of ADF unit root test, variable co-integration analysis and granger causality test, the paper used multiple linear regression model to estimate. Results showed that different fund source contributed differently. Financial support for agriculture funds produced significant influence, fanners self-raised funds and agricultural loans is not significant, agricultural tax and agricultural infrastructure investment does not exist granger causality.
     In addition, based on the international perspective, the paper choosed typical developed and developing countries, sumed up international experience which provided valuable enlightenment to improve agricultural infrastructure supply efficiency, such as government attached great importance to agricultural infrastructure supply, suitable supply content for their own national conditions, scientific and practical supply system, perfect system arrangement,laws and regulations system, etc..
     Finally, the paper analyzed interest demand, behavior logic and game behavior of related agriculture infrastructure supply subject, discussed realization mechanism and put forward policy suggestion for effective supply of agricultural infrastructure. The realization of agricultural infrastructure supply efficiency is a system engineering, scientific and reasonable supply mechanism is the key, the protection mechanism is foundation, the management mechanism is guarantee, and the supervision and incentive mechanism is important content.
     Based on these, the paper proposed corresponding policy suggestion to improve agricultural infrastructure supply efficiency, such as with "sanhua" coordinated development for the purpose to construct public infrastructure supply pattern with integration of urban and rural areas,strengthening public finance function to increase agricultural infrastructure public investment, innovating investment pattern to broaden funds source, perfecting links mechanism of supply and demand to improve decision-making efficiency, optimizing supply structure to improve allocation of resources efficiency, creating efficient investment operation management system to improve funds efficiency, strengthening coordinated reforms to create a good supply environment and so on.
引文
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