资本流动对区域经济差距的影响研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
经济的发展不开资本、劳动力、技术等生产要素,同样,区域经济发展受制于要素禀赋和要素聚集整合能力,而这些要素的供给可以在区域内部实现,也可以通过要素流动而获得。因而,这些要素的流动对于区域经济差距都将产生重大影响。不论是从短期,还是从长期来看,资本流动都是影响区域经济差距变化的重要因素之一。囿于传统经济理论,对资本流动理解的简单化,认为只是存在于国家之间,因而资本流动即国际资本流动,致使对资本在国内不同区域之间的流动关注研究不够,必然对区域经济发展水平能力差异的分析难以深入,从而在实践上造成了对资本流动发挥重要作用的金融体制改革严重滞后于其他经济体制改革的状况。在传统的中国计划经济体制下,资本(资金)的配置调拨只能是依靠中央计划当局的安排,民间自发的资金和外资的流动受到限制,难以产生大的影响,因而被忽略。但改革开放以后,中国实行了市场导向型的经济体制改革,资本流动的这种状况很快得到了改变。而中国区域经济差距不断扩大和资本流动导致的资本分布不均一直是经济学家们致力研究的问题。因此,本文选择资本流动对区域经济差距进行详尽的研究,无论是对促进中国区域经济发展构建和谐社会还是对缩小区域经济差距都会有重要的现实意义和理论意义。
     本文主要针对中国区域经济差距影响因素出现的新变化,系统研究和探讨了资本流动与区域经济差距之间的关系。其研究的思路是,运用主因子分析得出资本流动因素是影响区域经济差距的主因子结论。在市场经济体制中,一方面,资本流动会引起资本的区域配置,从而导致其他的资源再配置,另一方面,适应市场经济工业化的要求,资本流动也会使产业在不同区域聚集,而产业聚集将提高资本要素的再配置效率。基于此,本文从资源再配置和产业聚集的两个视角构建了资本流动对区域经济差距影响的动力机制,应用数理模型从理论上对这两个动力机制展开了系统的研究,并揭示资本流动影响区域经济差距的机理和规律。同时,本文在理论研究的基础上,利用1979-2006年中国三大区域的相关数据,实证分析了资源再配置效应与区域经济差距的关系、产业聚集对区域经济差距的影响,并对资本流动与区域经济差距的关系作了详细的检验。最后,从有利于缩小区域经济差距,实现区域经济协调发展,本文从资本流动的角度,提出了有针对性的政策建议。
     具体而言,本文的研究主要涉及了以下几个方面的内容:
     (一)导论。本部分首先交代了本文研究的意义,并界定了相关基本概念,然后介绍了本文研究的基本思路与方法,以及论文的创新点和结构安排。
     (二)资本流动与区域经济差距的研究综述。本部分主要对国内外资本理论、资本流动理论以及区域经济差距的相关理论与实证研究作了较为系统地归纳、整理和评述,从而疏理了相关理论的发展历程以及有关实证研究的方法与结论;在上述分析基础上,进一步对国内外有关资本流动对区域经济差距影响的相关文献研究做了总结。从而为全文的研究奠定了理论基础。
     (三)区域经济差距的资本流动因素分析。本部分通过研究表明,自改革开放以来,中国东中西部三大区域间经济差距呈逐年扩大的趋势。同时,运用主因子分析方法,在资本流动、产业结构、劳动力、政策区位四个影响区域经济差距的因素中,得到了资本流动因素是影响区域经济差距的主因子结论。并利用中国1979-2006年的省级面板数据,从储蓄和投资的关系出发,探讨了资本的区域流动趋势。
     (四)资本流动对区域经济差距影响的动力机制:基于资源再配置视角。由于资本报酬率的高低引起资本在不同区域的流动,从而导致区域其它资源要素包括劳动力、技术生产要素流动,进而影响资本流出地区与流入地区的区域经济发展速度。实证表明东部地区资本再配置效应要高于中西部地区,并且东部地区资本再配置效应与区域经济差距之间存在双向的格兰杰因果关系,中西部地区资本流动再配置效应与区域经济差距之间存在单向的格兰杰因果关系。
     (五)资本流动对区域经济差距影响的动力机制:基于产业聚集视角。沿着资本流动——产业聚集——区域经济差距的传导,本文用核心——外围模型分析了这三者的传导影响机制。(1)资本报酬差异的产业聚集核心——外围模型。当贸易成本很低时,资本流动有利于企业在工资成本低的区域形成产业聚集。当贸易成本居中时,资本(进而产业)的移动存在多点短期均衡,但长期来看,这种均衡是不稳定的。当贸易成本很高时,资本流动有利于企业在市场规模较大的区域形成产业聚集。(2)上下游联系的产业聚集核心——外围模型。当贸易成本充分低时,垄断竞争的下游产业生产部门在工资率低的区域形成资本驱动型的产业聚集。当贸易成本很高时,垄断竞争的下游生产产业在市场规模较大区域形成资本驱动型的产业聚集,完全竞争的上游部门则聚集在另一区域。(3)产业集聚条件下区域经济增长的核心——外围模型。本文认为产业聚集越集中于一个区域,那么这个区域与另一个区域的经济差距也就越大。并且选取1979-2006年全国第二产业增加值指标、第三产业增加值指标和区域泰尔熵指标共同构建VAR模型,实证分析了产业聚集对区域经济差距的影响。
     (六)资本流动对三大区域间经济差距影响的实证研究。利用1979—2006年以及分年段的区际面板数据,对资本流动与区域经济差距的关系进行检验,实证结果显示:(1)资本流动是区域经济差距的格兰杰原因,而区域经济差距不是资本流动的格兰杰原因。并且,资本流动与区域经济差距之间存在着长期的关系。
     (2)不同渠道的资本流动对区域经济差距的影响不同。全社会固定资产投资、资本形成总额与区域经济差距成正相关关系,而中央财政转移支付、实际利用外资金额、国家银行存贷款差与区域经济差距成负相关关系。在产业聚集条件下,第二产业增加值与区域经济差距成正相关关系,第三产业增加值与区域经济差距成负相关关系。
     (七)结论与政策建议。作为全文的结束部分,本部分对前面的研究结果作了简要概括,并给出了相应的政策建议。
Economical development depends on elements of production such as capital, labor force, technology, etc. At the same time, richness or scarce of element and agglomeration conformity ability of element restrained regional economic development. The supplies of elements already may obtain in the regional interior, may also gain through the flowing of elements, but the flowing of elements will have the major influence on the regional economic gap. No matter, from short-term, in the long run, capital flow is one of important influences of regional economic gap. Constrained by the traditional economic theory, we understand capital flow simply that capital flow only exists between the country and become pronoun of international capital movement. we has insufficient research to capital flow between the domestic different regions, as a result, it is difficulty to analysis the development level of regional economy in ability difference. so that the monetary system which capital flow has influential role seriously lags in other reform of economic system in practice. In traditional planned economy system in China, the central authority only arrange the distribution of capital (fund), folk spontaneous fund and foreign capital is restricted, it is not bring tremendous influence, thus it is neglected. Since reform and openness, China implemented economic system reform in market direction, this situation of capital flow quickly change. Economists devote to study the question, which involved the expansion of regional economic gap and the inequality of capital distribution which caused capital flow in China.Therefore, this article has research on the influence of capital flow on regional economic gap,the research will have the important practical and the theoretic significance, regardless of to promote the regional economic development which construct harmonious society, to reduce the regional economic gap in China.
     To the new change of the factors which influence regional economic gap in China, this article makes a systematic study on the relationship between capital flow and the regional economic gap. Through the main factorial analysis on affecting the regional economic gap, the article obtain the factor of capital flow is the main factor. In market economy system, on the one hand, capital flow can cause region allocation of capital, thus causes other resources reallocation, on the other hand, in order to adapt market economy industrialization, capital flow will also cause industrial agglomeration in different regions, and industrial agglomeration will enhance allocative effects of capital.Based on this, this article has constructed the dynamical mechanism on influence capital flow on regional economic gap, the dynamical mechanism is disposed from two angles of resources reallocation and industrial agglomeration,and made a systematic study on the influence dynamical mechanism of capital flow on regional economic gap in the mathematical model, and reveals the function mechanism and the influence rule of capital flow on the regional economic gap. At the same time, in fundamental research's foundation, using the 1979-2006' correlation data Chinese three economic region in China, this article makes empirical studies on the relationship between the effect of resources reallocation and the regional economic gap, Moreover it analyzes the influences of the industrial agglomeration on the regional economic gap, and makes an careful examination on the relation between capital flow and the regional economic gap. Finally, in order to reducing the regional economic gap and realizing coordinated development of regional economies, this article has put forward some relative suggestions from the angle of capital flow.
     Specifically speaking, this article has mainly depicted the following aspects:
     1 Introduction. Firstly, This part has made out the significance of this article, and has explained the related basic concept, then introduced basic soul and method of this article, as well as paper innovation and structure arrangement.
     2 Researchful summary on capital flow and regional economic gap. This part systematically summed up the correlation theories and empirical studies mainly what be the capital theory of domestic and foreign, capital flow theory as well as the regional economic gap, thus coordinated development process of the correlative as well as the related empirical study method and conclusion.Based on the above analysis, the part further has made the summary of related literature in domestic and foreign to the influence capital flow on regional economic gap . Thus this part has formed the foundation of the full text research.
     3 The analysis of capital flow factor of regional economic gap. This part indicated through the research, three economic region gap has expansile tendency year by year since the reform and open policy in China. At the same time, this article chooses the factors which are capital flow, the industrial structure, the labor force, policy position, utilizes the main factorial analysis, draws the conclusion that the circulation of capital flow factor is the main factor which affects the regional economic gap. Moreover, using the 1979-2006' provincial panel data in China, we has research the regional tendency of capital flow from the angle of deposit and the investment relations.
     4 The dynamical mechanism of influence of capital flow on regional economic gap: from the angle of resources reallocation. Because capital return rate causes capital flow in different regions, other resources including the labor force, the technology will flow, then the resources' flow also will economic development of regions which capital flows out and flows in. The empirical studies indicated that the eastern region is higher than the mid region and western region in the effect of capital reallocation. More, between the effect of capital reallocation and the regional economic gap, there is the bidirectional Grainger causal relation in the eastern region, but there is the unidirectional Grainger causal relation in the mid region and western region.
     5 The dynamical mechanism of influence of capital flow on regional economic gap: from the angle of industrial agglomeration. Along the conduction way what is capital flow-industry agglomeration -regional economic gap, this article used the core -periphery model to analysis the conduction mechanism.(1)The industrial agglomeration' core—periphery model of capital return difference. When trade cost is very low, capital flow is advantageous to the enterprise forms industrial agglomeration in the low cost region. When trade cost is mediacy, capital (then industry) flow has the multi-spot balance in short-term, but in long-term, this balanced is unstable. When trade cost is very high, capital flow is advantageous to the enterprise forms industrial agglomeration in the big market scale region. (2) The industrial agglomeration' core—periphery model of upstream and downstream relation. When trade cost is fully low, the downstream industry production department of monopoly-competition form industrial agglomeration of capital driving in the low wage rate region. When trade cost is very high, the downstream production industry of monopoly-competition form industrial agglomeration of capital driving in the big market scale region, the upstream department of competition completely gather at another region.(3) The regional economies grow' core—periphery model of industry agglomeration. This article thought that the industrial agglomeration is more centralized in a region, then this region and another region's economic gap is also bigger. Selecting 1979-2006' data such as the second industrial increment, third industry increment, regional Theil, the article constructed the VAR model in order to analysis empirically the influence of industry agglomeration on regional economic gap,
     6 The empirical research on the influence of capital flow on three regional economic gap. Using 1979-2006' regional panel data, this article has examined the relations between capital flow and regional economic gap, the result indicted that: (1)Capital flow is the Grainger reason of regional economic gap, but the regional economic gap is not the Grainger reason of capital flow. And, there is the long-term relations between capital flow and regional economic gap.(2) Capital flow of different channel has different influence on regional economic gap. There is positive influence between the entire social fixed assets investment, the capital formation total amount and the regional economic gap, but There is negative influence between regional economic gap and the center level funds transfer payment, the actual using foreign capital amount, the difference between save and loan in State bank . Under the industrial agglomeration' condition, the second industrial increment in value and the regional economic gap become correlational dependence, the third industry increment and regional economic gap become inverse correlation.
     7 Conclusion and policy suggestion. As the end of full text, this part has made the brief summary to the front findings, and has given the corresponding policy suggestion.
引文
[1]详见马克思.资本论(第3卷)[M].北京:人民出版社,2004,P171.
    [2]详见马克思.资本论(第3卷)[M].北京:人民出版社,2004,P320.
    [3]详见马克思.资本论(第3卷)[M].北京:人民出版社,2004,P314.
    [4]详见马克思.资本论(第3卷)[M].北京:人民出版社,2004,P314.
    [5]详见李嘉图.政治经济学及赋税原理[M].北京:商务印书馆,1962.
    [6]详见唐旭(1995).
    [7]详见张军洲(1995).
    [8]详见殷德生、肖顺喜(2000).
    [9]详见胡鞍钢(2000).
    [10]详见张汉林(1999).
    11详见魏后凯(2000).
    [1]详见王绍光,胡鞍钢(1999).
    [2]TE表示东部区域内部泰尔熵值,TM表示中部区域内部泰尔熵值,TW表示西部区域内部泰尔熵值,TI表示东中西部三大区域内部泰尔熵值,TB表示东中西部三大区域之间泰尔熵值,TI表示全国整体的泰尔熵值,
    [3]关于因子分析详细内容可参考张文彤主编的《SPSS11统计分析教程》。
    [4]详见魁奈.谷物论[M].北京:商务印书馆,1979.
    [5]详见哈罗德.动态经济学[M].北京:商务印书馆,1981.
    [6]详见索洛.经济增长论文集[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1989.
    [7]详见丹尼森.增长因素的分析[M].北京:商务印书馆,1991.
    [1]详见马克思.《资本论》第Ⅰ卷,人民出版社,1975年,P649.
    [2]详见马克思.《资本论》第Ⅰ卷,人民出版社,1975年,P649.
    [3]详见马克思.《资本论》第Ⅰ卷,人民出版社,1975年,P649.
    [4]详见马克思.《马克思恩格斯选集》第Ⅰ卷,人民出版社,1975年,P256.
    [5]详见马克思.《资本论》第Ⅲ卷,人民出版社,1975年,P296.
    [6]详见马克思.《资本论》第Ⅰ卷,人民出版社,1975年,P 649-650.
    [7]马塞尔是较早发表这类推导的学者,他把全要素生产率增长的部门加权平均数称为“部门内部技术变化”。把资源在部门间转移引起的总体全要素生产率增长称为“部门之间的技术变化”。详见Massell B F.A Disaggregated Views of Technical Change[J].Journal of Political Economy,1961,59:547-557.
    [8]资本流动的空间配置效应均衡包括两个方面:一是同种资本资洲在不同区域之间的分配;二是不同资本资源在同一区域中的配置;二者之间相互联系相互作用。
    [9]根据相关年份《中国统计年鉴》整理而得。
    [1]埃德加·M·胡佛.区域经济学导论[M].北京:商务印书馆,1990.
    [2]艾洪德,徐明圣,郭凯.我国区域金融发展与区域经济增长关系的实证分析[J].财经问题研究,2004,(4):26-32.
    [3]安虎森.区域经济学通论[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2004.
    [4]安虎森.空间经济学原理[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2005.
    [5]保建云.区域经济运行中资源地域空间配置研究:一个数理经济学的理论分析框架[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报(社会科学版),2002,4(1):62-66.
    [6]巴曙松.转轨经济中的非均衡区域金融格局与中国金融运行[J].改革与战略,1998,(4):21-27.
    [7]陈良文,杨开忠.我国区域经济差异变动的原因:一个要素流动和集聚经济的视角[J].当代经济科学,2007,29(3):35-42.
    [8]陈威.资本流动的政策效应研究[M].上海:立信会计出版社,2005.
    [9]陈先勇.中国区域金融发展与经济增长[M].武汉:武汉大学出版社,2005.
    [10]陈雨露.国际资本流动的经济分析[M].北京:中国金融出版社,1997.
    [11]戴振韬.区域经济研究:兼论温州崛起的奥秘[M].北京:中国经济计划出版社,1998.
    [12]丹尼森.增长因素的分析[M].北京:商务印书馆,1991.
    [13]道格拉斯·C·诺思.经济史中的结构与变迁[M].上海:上海三联书店,1999.
    [14]樊杰,陆大道.中国地区经济协调发展与区域经济合作研究[M].北京:中国友谊出版社,2001.
    [15]冯海锋.区域经济差距的分析方法研究[M].北京交通大学硕士论文,2006.
    [16]高闯.资本市场与资本流动[M].北京:法律出版社,1998.
    [17]龚六堂,胡鞍钢.我国省份之间的要素流动和边际生产率的差异分析[J].经济研究,2004,(1):45-63.
    [18]管卫华,林振山,顾朝林.中国区域经济发展差异及其原因的多尺度分析[J].经济研究,2006,(7):17-125.
    [19]郭金龙,王宏伟.中国区域间资本流动与区域经济差距研究[J].管理世界,2003,(7):45-58.
    [20]哈罗德.动态经济学[M].北京:商务印书馆,1981.
    [21]贺瑞,杜跃平.地区间资本流动的分析与我国区域经济协调发展[J].商场现代化,2005,(35):205-206.
    [22]洪远朋.资本论教程简编[M].上海:复旦大学出版社,2002.
    [23]胡鞍钢.社会与发展—中国社会发展地区差距研究[M].杭州:浙江人民出版社,2000.
    [24]胡晓鹏.中国经济要素的空间配置[J].财经科学,2006,(2):91-98.
    [25]胡晓鹏.中国资本流动与区域差距关联性的实证研究[J].开发研究,2003,(4):45-46.
    [26]胡永平,张宗益,祝接金.基于储蓄-投资关系的中国区域间资本流动分析[J].中国软科学,2004,(5):130-135.
    [27]姜凌..部门间资本流动与中国经济增长:1978-2002[D].华南农业大学博士论文,2005.
    [28]江世银.论区域金融调控[J].中央财经大学学报,2003,(9):28-31.
    [29]蒋学模,张晖明.高级政治经济学—社会主义总论[M].上海:复旦大学出版社,2002.
    [30]金雪军,田霖.我国区域金融成长差异的态势:1978-2003年[J].经济理论与经济管理,2004,(8):24-30.
    [31]魁奈.谷物论[M].北京:商务印书馆,1979.
    [32]靳铭,赵嵩正.区域经济制约机理研究与实证分析[M].西安:陕西师范大学出版社,2005.
    [33]梁琦.产业集聚论[M].北京:商务印书馆,2004.
    [34]梁宇峰,资本流动与东西部差距[J].上海经济研究,1997,(11):28-31.
    [35]李江,冯涛.转轨时期金融组织成长与经济绩效的关联性——区域差异的考察与分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2004,(10):95-103.
    [36]林毅夫,刘培林-中国的经济发展战略与地区收入差距[J].经济研究,2003,(3):19-25.
    [37]李嘉图.政治经济学及赋税原理[M].北京:商务印书馆,1962.
    [38]李群,赵嵩正.资源流动机制与区域经济发展探析[J].财贸经济,2005,(6):61-65.
    [39]李翀.短期资本流动的成因、效应与风险[M].北京:人民出版社,2004.
    [40]李映照,龙志和.要素流动与企业聚集形成[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2007.
    [41]厉以宁.中国资本市场发展的理论与实践[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1998.
    [42]陆大道.中国区域发展的理论与实践[M].北京:科学出版社,2003.
    [43]卢文忠,邓菲.区域经济差距研究的理论综述[J].理论月刊,2005,(11):137-142.
    [44]罗勇.产业聚集、经济增长与区域差距:基于中国的实证[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2007.
    [45]马克思.资本论(第一卷、第三卷)[M].北京:人民出版社,1975.
    [46]马克思.资本论(第3卷)[M].北京:人民出版社,2004.
    [47]马克思.马克思恩格斯选集(第1卷)[M].北京:人民出版社,1975年.
    [48]马海涛.财政转移支付制度[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,2004.
    [49]麦勇,李勇.1982-2005年中国省域资本流动差异解析[J].中国软科学,2006,(12):79-86.
    [50]马拴友,于红霞.转移支付与地区经济收敛[J].经济研究,2003,(3):26-33.
    [51]门洪亮,李舒.资本流动对区域经济发展差距的影响分析[J].南开经济研究, 2004,(2):71-74.
    [52]缪尔达尔.经济理论和不发达地区[M].北京:华夏出版社,1991.
    [53]庞巴维克.资本实证论[M].北京:商务印书馆,1964.
    [54]彭国华.中国地区收入差距、全要素生产率及其收敛分析[J].经济研究,2005,(9):19-29.
    [55]彭文斌.外商直接投资区位选择的产业聚集效应分析[J].产业经济研究,2007,(5):39-44.
    [56]彭文斌.我国商业银行不良资产证券化分析[J].统计与决策,2007,(3):152-153.
    [57]彭文斌.资本流动对我国区域经济差距的实证分析[J].生产力研究,2007,(21):82-83.
    [58]普雷维什.外围资本主义,危机与改造[M].北京:商务印书馆,1990.
    [59]覃成林.中国区域经济差异研究[M].北京:中国经济出版社,1997.
    [60]孙翠兰.区域经济与新时期空间经济发展战略[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2006.
    [61]索洛.经济增长论文集[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1989.
    [62]唐旭.资金流动与区域经济发展[J].金融研究,1995,(8):7-14.
    [63]田霖.区域金融成长差异:金融地理学视角[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2006.
    [64]王剑,徐康宁.集聚经济、FDI区位选择与引资新战略[J].东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2005,(05):23-27.
    [65]王缉慈.地方产业群战略[J].中国工业经济,2002,(3):47-54.
    [66]王绍光,胡鞍钢.中国:不平衡发展的政治经济学[M].北京:中国计划出版社,1999.
    [67]王维平.经济政策创新与区域经济协调发展[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2006.
    [68]王小鲁,樊纲.中国地区差距的变动趋势和影响因素[J].经济研究,2004,(1):33-44.
    [69]汪兴隆.货币资金区域配置失衡的考察及其调整—金融支持西部大开发的思考[J].财经研究,2000,26(6):60-64.
    [70]魏后凯.欧美日韩在华制造业投资的区位决定[J].中国工业经济,2000,(11):65-73.
    [71]魏后凯.我国区域经济发展的趋势及总体战略[J].吉首大学学报(社会科学版),2000,(4):5-10.
    [72]魏后凯.中国地区发展——经济增长、制度变迁与地区差异[M].北京:经济管理出版社,1997.
    [73]伍海华.金融区域二元结构及发展对策[J].经济理论与经济管理,2002,(8):22-27.
    [74]徐建华,鲁凤,苏方林,卢艳.中国区域经济差异的时空尺度分析[J].地理研究,2005,24(1):57-68.
    [75]徐康宁.中国制造业地区性集中程度的实证研究[J].东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2003,5(1):37-42.
    [76]许召元,李善同.近年来中国地区差距的变化趋势[R].北京大学光华管理学院 工作论文,2006.
    [77]杨国中,李木祥.我国信贷资金的非均衡流动与差异性金融政策实施的研究[J].金融研究,2004,(9):119-133.
    [78]亚当·斯密.国民财富的性质和原因的研究(上卷)[M].北京:商务印书馆,1972.
    [79]杨满沧.中国农村资本流动研究[M].郑州:河南人民出版社,2006.
    [80]殷德生,肖顺喜.体制转轨中的区域金融研究[M].北京:学林出版社,2000.
    [81]约翰·斯图亚特·穆勒.政治经济学原理(上卷)[M].北京:商务印书馆,1997.
    [82]余杰.国际资本流动与发展中国家证券市场[M].成都:西南财经大学出版社,2000.
    [83]于谨凯.资本流动与民间投资发展[M].上海:上海三联书店,2004.
    [84]张敦富.中国区域经济差异与协调发展[M].北京:中国轻工业出版社,2001.
    [85]张杰.经济的区域差异与金融成长[J].金融与经济,1994,(6):16-19.
    [86]张金杰.经济全球化中的国际资本流动[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2000.
    [87]张倩肖.外资流入与国内储蓄、投资关系的实证分析[J].经济科学,2004,(5):107-115.
    [88]张军,章元.对中国资本存量K的再估计[J].2003,(7):35-43.
    [89]张明龙.中国区域经济前沿研究[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2006.
    [90]章奇.中国地区经济发展差距分析[J].管理世界,2000,(1):105-110.
    [91]张汉林.论国际贸易与国际直接投资[J].对外经济贸易大学学报,1999,(3):16-20.
    [92]张军洲.中国区域金融分析[M].北京:中国经济出版社,1995.
    [93]张文彤.SPSS11统计分析教程[M].北京:北京希望电子出版社,2002.
    [94]张文忠.新经济地理学的研究视角探析[J].地理科学进展,2003,22(1):94-102.
    [95]张晏,龚六堂.地区差距、要素流动与财政分权[J].经济研究,2004,(7):59-69.
    [96]张志勇.广义资本与经济增长:理论研究与中国实证分析[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2007.
    [97]张忠任.资金流向与区域经济梯度整合[M].北京:人民出版社,1995.
    [98]赵志君.资本流动与中国经济增长[M].北京:中国物价出版社,2002.
    [99]中国统计年鉴[M],北京:中国统计出版社,各相关年份.
    [100]周国富.中国经济发展中的地区差距问题研究[M].大连:东北财经大学出版社,2001.
    [101]周好文,钟永红.中国金融中介发展与地区经济增长:多变量VAR系统分析[J].金融研究,2004,(6):130-137.
    [102]周立,胡鞍钢.中国金融发展的地区差距状况分析:1978-1999[J].清华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2002,17(2):61-74.
    [103]周立,王子明.中国各地区金融发展与经济增长实证分析:1978-2000[J].金融研究,2002,(10):1-13.
    [104]朱智文.产业集群与区域经济发展问题研究[D].兰州:兰州大学博士论文,2007.
    [105]Aghion, P., P. Howitt.A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction [J]. Econometrica,1992,60:323-51.
    
    [106] Albuquerque, R.. The composition of capital flows: risk sharing through foreign direct investment [J].Journal of International Economics,2003,61(2):353-383.
    
    [107] Andrew Abbott,Glauco Dd Vita.Another Piece in the Fsldsten-Horioka Puzzle[J]. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2003,50:69-89.
    
    [108]Aschauer,D.A.. Is Public Expenditure Productive? [J] Journal of Monetary Economics, 1989,23:177-200.
    
    [109]Bachetta, P., Van Wincoop, E. Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Liberalization, Overshooting, and Volatility [J]. NBER Working paper no. 6530,1998.
    
    [110]Balasu bramanyam, V. N. Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in EP and IS Countries[J].The Economic Journal ,1996,106:92-105.
    
    [111]Balino,T., L.Zorralloa. Instruments of Monetary Management: Issues and Country Experiences[R]. IMF Working paper, 1997.
    
    [112]Barro,R.J. Economic Growth in a Cross-Section of Countries [J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics ,1991,106: 407-443.
    
    [113]Bat Batjargal. Internet entrepreneurship: Social capital, human capital, and performance of Internet ventures in China[J]. Research Policy, 2007(36):605-618.
    
    [114]Bautista, A.D. Agglomeration Economies, Economic Growth and the New Economic Geography in Mexico[R]. Working Paper, 2006.
    
    [115]Bayoumi T. Saving-investment Correlations:Immobile Capital Government Policy, or Endogenous Behavior? [J].IMF Staff Papers, 1990,37:360-387.
    
    [116]Bekaert, G., Harvey, C., Lundbland, C. Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth? [R].NBER working paper no. 8245,2004.
    
    [117]Best,Michael H. Cluster Dynamics.Ch.3 in:The New Competitive Advantage:The Renewal of American Industry [M]. Oxford : Oxford University Press,2001.
    
    [118]Blomstrom, M. What Explains Growth in Developing Countries? [R].NBER Working Paper No. 4132,1994.
    
    [119]Blomstrom, M. ,Kokko, A. Human Capital and Inward FDI [R].CEPR Discussion Paper 3762, 2003.
    
    [120]Bosworth,B.,Collins,S. Capital Flows to Developing Economies: Implications for Saving and Investment[R]. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1.1999.
    
    [121]Branson,W. Financial Capital Flows in the U.S. Balance of Payments,[M].Amsterdam: North Holland, 1968.
    [122]Braunerhjelm, P. and B. Borgman. Agglomeration, Diversity and Regional Growth [R]. CESIS Electronic Working Paper Series, 2006.
    
    [123]Calvo,Guillermo.Capital Inflows to Latin America: The Role of External Factors[R].IMF Staff Papers 40,1993.
    
    [124]Calvo, G., Leiderman, L., Reinhart, C. Inflows of Capital to Developing Countries in the 1990s[J].The Journal of Economic Perspectives,1996,10(2):123-139.
    [125]Christaller W.Central Places of Southern Germany[M].New Jersey:Prentice Hall,Engle wood Cliffs,1966.
    
    [126]Ciccone, A. Agglomeration Effects in Europe[J]. European Economic Review, 2002(46): 213-227.
    
    [127]Coakley J,Fuertes A M, Spagnolo F. The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle is not as Bad as You Think. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm.2001.
    [128]Coakley J, Fuertes A M, Smith Ron. Small Sample Properties of Panel Times Series Estimators with 1(1) Errors.http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers. cfm. 2001.
    [129]Collen, Tim, P.Reynolds. Capital Market Development and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Malaysia and Thailand [C]. Macroeconomic Issues Facing ASEAN Countries, Washington D.C International Monetary Fund, 1997.
    [130]Corden, M. The Geometric Representation of Policies to Attain Internal and External Balance[R].Review of Economic Studies 1960,28:1-22.
    [131]Cooke, P. Knowledge Economies. Clusters, Learning and Cooperative Advantage [M]. London: Routledge, 2002.
    
    [132]Czamanski, S. Some Empirical Evidence of the Strengths of Linkages Between Groups of Industries and Urban Regional Complexes[J] .Regional Science Association, 971,27:137-150.
    
    [133]Dani Rodrik.Symposium on Globalization in Perspective: An Introduction [J] .The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1998,12(4): 3-8.
    
    [134]De Gegorio, J. Economic Growth in Latin America [R].Journal of Development Ecnomics ,1992,39:59-84.
    
    [135]Delorme, CD. Public Infrastructure and Private Productivity: A Stochastic Frontier Approach[R]Journal of Macroeconomics, summer,1999, 21:563-576.
    [136]Demetriades, P.O. ,T. P. Mamuneas.Intertemporal Output and Employment Effects of Public Infrastructure Capital: Evidence from 12 DECD Economies[R].The Economic Journal,2000,110:687-712.
    [137]Demurger,S. Geography Economic Policy and Regional Development in China [R].CID Working Paper,2002.
    
    [138]Dennis P. Quinn, Carla Inclan.The Origins of Financial Openness:A Study of Current and Capital Account Liberalization [J] .American Journal of Political Science,1997, 41(3 ):771-813.
    
    [139]Desai, M., Foley, F., Hines, J. Capital Controls, Liberalizations and Foreign Direct Investment [R].NBER working paper no, 10337,2004.
    
    [140]Dickey,David ,R.J.Rossana.Cointegrated Time Series:A Guide Estimation and Hypothesis Testing[R].Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,1994,56:325-351.
    
    [141]Dixit,A,Stilts,T. E. Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity. American Economic Review,1997,3:217-224.
    
    [142]Dmurger S. Infrastructrure Development and Economic Growth:An Explanation for Regional Disparitiesin China [J] Journal of Comparative Economics,2001,1:14-32.
    
    [143]Dinopoulos,E.,P.Thompson.Endogenous growth in a cross-section of countries [R] Journal of International Economics ,2000,51:335-362.
    
    [144]Dodd, R. Managing the Impact from Foreign Capital Flows[C]. Informal hearings of civil society on financing for development,United Nations,1990.
    
    [145]Easterly, W. Distortions and Growth in Developing Countries[R].Working Paper,the World Bank, 1991.
    
    [146]Easterly,W.,Islam,R.,Stiglitz,J. Explaining Growth Volatility[R].Working Paper, The World Bank,2000.
    
    [147]Edwards,S.,M. Khan.Interest Rate Determination in Developing Countries:A Conceptual Framework[R].IMF Staff Papers 32,1985.
    
    [148]Edwards, S. Capital Controls, Exchange Rates, and Monetary Policy in the World Economy[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 1995.
    
    [149]Edwards.S.Capital Mobility and Economic Performance Are Emerging Economics Different[R].NBER Working paper NO.8087,2001.
    
    [150]Egbert Wever,Erik Stam.Clusters of high technology SMEs:the Dutch case[J]. Regional Studies,1999,33(4):391-400.
    
    [151]Enders, Walter .Applied Econometric Time Series[M].Toronto:John Wiley and Sons,2004.
    
    [152]Feldman. M.P. The New Economics of Innovation, Spillovers and Agglomeration: A Review of Empirical Studies[J]. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 1999,(8):5-25.
    
    [153] Fernandez-Arias, Eduardo,PJ. Montiel.The Surge in Capital Inflows to Developing Countries: An Analytical Overview[R] .World Bank Economic Review,1996,10:51-77.
    
    [154]Frankel, Jeffrey A.,Okongwu C. Liberalized Portfolio Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets.Sterilization, Expectations,and Incompleteness of Interest Rate Convergence [R]. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 1996,1:1-23.
    
    [155]Fruqee, Hamid .Dynamic Capital Mobility in Pacific Basin Developing Countries: Estimation and Policy Implications[R].IMF Staff Papers 39,1992.
    
    [156]Fujita M, Krugman P. and Vernable AJ. The Spatial Economiy: Cities, Regions and International Trade[M]. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1999.
    
    [157]Genevieve Boyreau-Debray .Financial intermediation and growth:Chinese style [R].Worldbank working paper,2003.
    
    [158]G Myrdal.Economic theory and underdeveloped region.[M].London:Duckworth Press, 1957.
    
    [159] Greenwood Jeremy,Jovanovic.Financial development,growth,and distribution of income[J]Journal of Political Economy, 1998,(28):1076-1107.
    
    [160]Hall, Robert,Charles Jones. Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker than Others [J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1999,2:116-127.
    
    [161]Hirschman,A .O .Strategy of Economic Development[M]. New Haven:Yale University Press.19-58.
    
    [162]Hewings G J D.Regional Industrial Analysis and Development[M].New York:St. Martin' Press,1977.
    
    [163]Hollis B.Chenery, Alan M.Strout.Foreign Assistance and Economic Development Foreign Assistance and Economic Development[J].The American Economic Review, 1966,56(4):679-733.
    
    [164]Hongkee Kim.The Measurement of International Capital Mobility Using Panel Cointegration Estimators[J].Seoul Journal of Economics,2004,17(2):255.
    
    [165]Hoover,Edgar Malone. An introduction to regional economics(3rd ed.) [M]. Alfred A Knopf, Inc,1984.
    
    [166]Hoover,Edgar Malone.Frank Giarratani.An Introduction to Regional Economics [M].West Virginia University:Regional Research Institute,2002.
    
    [167]H.Theil.Economics and Information Theory [M].Amsterdam: North-Holland 1967.
    
    [168]Iran RGordon,PhiIip McCann.Industrial Clusters:Complexes,Agglomeration and or Social Netwosks? [J].Urban Studies, 2000, l(37):513-532.
    
    [169]Ito, T. Capital Flows in Asia[R]. NBER, Working Paper 7134,1999.
    
    [170] Jacob A. Frenkel, Assaf Razin. Variable Factor Supplies and the Production Possibility Frontier [J].Southern Economic Journal, 1975,41(3): 410-419.
    
    [171]J. Alesander. L.J. Gibon. Economic Geography [M], LONDON:Prentice-Hill international,1979.
    
    [172]Jian, Sachs , Warner. Trends In Regional Inequality in China [J].China Economic Review, 1996,7 (1):1-21.
    
    [173]JianT L,Sachs J D,Warner A M.Trends in regional inequality in China[J].China Economy Review,1996,7(1):l-21.
    
    [174]Kuznets.Economic Growth and Income Inequality[J].American Economic Review, 1955,45(1): 1.
    
    [175]Krugman, Paul. Development, Geography, and Economic Theory[M]. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1995.
    
    [176]Krugman P.Increasing returns and economic geography [J]. Journal of Political Economy,1991,99(3):483-499.
    
    [177]Krugman P, Variables AJ.Integration and the competitiveness of peripheral Industry [M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,1990.
    
    [178]Lardy N R.Economic growth and distribution in the People's Republic of China [M].New York:Cambridge University Press,1978.
    
    [179]Levine Ross.Financial development and economic growth:views and agenda[J]. Journal of Economic Literature, 1997, (11):688-726.
    
    [180]Lionard K.cheng, Yum k. Kwan. What are the Determinants of Location of Foreign Direct Investment-The Chinese Experience,Journal of International Economies 2000,(51):379-400.
    
    [181]Littler,Dale Anthony.Clusters, connections and competitiveness [J]. International Journal of Enterpreneurship&Innovation Management,2004,4(4):l.
    
    [182]L6pez-Mejia,A. Large Capital Flows: A Survey of the Causes,Consequences,and Policy Responses[R].IMF working paper NO 17,1999.
    
    [183]Losch AThe nature of economic regions[J].Southern Economic Journal,1938,5(1):71-78.
    
    [184] Lucas Robert E. Jr. Why Doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries? [J]. The American Economic Review, 1990, 80(2):92-96.
    
    [185]MacDougal, GThe Benefits and Costs of Private Investment from Abroad: A Theoretical Approach [J].Economic Record,1960,36(1), 13-35.
    
    [186]Machinnon, Ronald. Money and Capital in Economic Development[M]. Washington DC:Brooking Instituion,1973.
    
    [187]Marshall A. Principles of economics[M]. London:Macmillan,1890.
    [188]Martin Feldstein,Charles Horioka.Domestic Saving and 1nternational Capital Flows [J].The Economic Journal,1980 90(358):314-329.
    
    [189]Martin P. G Ottaviano.Growth and Agglomeration[J].International Economic Review, 2001,42:947-950.
    
    [190]Mathieson.Financial Reform and Stabilization Policy in a Developing Economy [J].Journal of Development Economics,1980,7:363.
    
    [191]McKee D L ,R D Dean, W H Leahy.Regional Economics[M].New York:The Free Press,1970.
    
    [192]Miller.B. Collective action and rational choice: ecmmunity and the limits to Individual self-interest [J].Economic Geography,1992,68:22-23.
    
    [193]Mill, J. S. Principles of Political Economy[M]. London: Macmillan, 1961.
    
    [194]Obstfeld,Maurice.Sterilization and Offsetting Capital Movements: Evidence from West Germany, 1960-1970 [R].Working Paper no.494, National Bureau of Economic Research,1980.
    
    [195]Ocampo, J. Domestic Responses to International Financial Stability Mimeo[R]. ECLA,2001.
    
    [196] Osei, R., Morrissey, O., Lensink, R. The Volatility of Capital Inflows: Measures and Trends for Developing Countries[C].CREDIT, Research Paper 02/20,University of Nottingham,2002.
    
    [197]Penalver, M. Globalization, FDI and Growth: a Regional and Country Perspective [C].Paper prepared for the Capacity Development Workshop on the State, the Private Sector and Civil Society: Partnerships for Development and Democracy. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Marrakesh, Morocco,10-13 December, 2002.
    
    [198]Pirttila, J. Fiscal Policy and Structural Reform in Transition Economies:An Empirical Analysis[R].Bank of Finland,2000.
    
    [199]Porter, M.G Capital Flows as an Offset to Monetary Policy:The German Experience [R].IMF Staff Papers 19, 1972.
    
    [200]Panzar, John C, Robert D. WiHig,Economicsof Scope[J],American Economic Review, 1981,1 (2):268-272.
    
    [201]Paolo Surico.The agglomeration dilemma:Should I stay or should I go? [J].Growth and Change,2003,34(4):261-264.
    
    [202]Pascal Mossay. Increasing returns and heterogeneity in a spatial economy[J]. Regional Sciencs and Urban Economics,2003,33(4):419.
    
    [203]Philip McCann,Tomokazu Arita, Ian R.Gordon. Industrial clusters, transctions costs and the institutional determinants of MNE location behaviour[J].International Business Review,2002,(H):647-663.
    
    [204]Pinch S,Henry N,Krugman P.Geographical economics,industrial clustering and the British motor sport industry[J].Regional Study, 1999,33(9):815-827.
    [205]Pomer P M. Increasing Returns and Long Run Growth[J]. Journal of Political Economy ,1986,94:1002-1037.
    
    [206]Porter, M.E. Clusters and the new economics of competition[J].Harvard Business Review,1998, 76(6):77-90.
    
    [207]Ramey, G., Ramey, V. Cross-Country Evidence on the Link Between Volatility and Growth[J].American Economic Review, 1995,85(5):1138-1151.
    [208]Ramos, C. Capital Flows and Currency Crises: Evidence from Latin America. [D].Ph.D. dissertation,Claremont Graduate University,2002.
    [209]Ranciere, R., Tornell, A.,Westermann, F. Systemic Crises and Growth [R].CESIFO Working paper no.1451,2005.
    
    [210]Raiser, Martin. Subsidising Inequality: Economic Reforms, Fiscal Transfers and Convergence Across Chinese Provinces [J]. The Journal of Developments Studies, 1998, 24(3): 1-26.
    
    [211]Riskin C.China's Political Economy:The Questfor Development sincel949 [M].Oxford: Oxford University Press,1978.
    
    [212]R·M·Sundrum.Economic Growth in Theory and Practice[M]. London:Macmillan Press Ltd., 1990.
    
    [213]Romer, Paul .Capital Accumulation in the Theory of Long-Run Growth [M].Cambridge, MA:Harvard University Press, 1989.
    
    [214] Rozelle S.Rural industrialization and increasing inequality:emerging patterns in China's reforming economy[J].Journal of Comparative Economcs 1994,19(3):363-391.
    [215]Schumpeter,J. Theory of economic development[M].Cambridge:Harvard University Press, 1936.
    
    [216]Sargan, J. The Estimation of Economic Relationships using Instrumental Variables [J].Econometrica,1958, 26(3):393-415.
    
    [217] Speigel, M. Sterilization of Capital Inflows through Banking Sector:Evidence from Asia[R].FRBSF Economic Review, no.3,1995.
    
    [218] Stefan Sinn. Saving-Investment Correlations and Capital Mobility:On the Evidence From Annual Data[J].The Economic Journal,1992,102(414):1162-1170.
    [219] Steinle C,H Schicle.When do industries cluster? Aproposal on how to assess an industry's propensity to concentrate at a single region or nation[J].Research Policy, 2002,(31):849-858.
    
    [220] Stephen P.Jenkins.Accounting for inequality trends: decomposition ananlyses for the UK, 1971-86[J].Economica,1995,62:29-63.
    
    [221]Steve Dowrick,Duc-Tho Nguyen.OECD comparative economic growth 1950-85:catch-up and convergence[J].The American economic review,1989,79(5): 1010-1030.
    [222] Stockman, A.,L.Svensson.Capital Flows, Investment and Exchange Rates[J] Journal of Monetary Economics, 1987,19:171-201.
    
    [223] Swann. The Dynamics of Industrial Clustering[M].London:Oxford University Press. 1998.
    [224]Tadasse,S.Financial architecture and economic performance: international evidence[R].Working paper,University of South Carolina, 2001.
    [225]TAkita, R. A. Lukman. Interregional Inequalities in Indonesia: A Sectoral Decomposition Analysis for 1975-92.Bulletin of Indonesia Economic Studies, 1995,31( 2):61-81.
    [226]Tichy G. Clusters: Less Dispensable and More Risky than Ever[A]. M. Steiner. Clusters and Regional Specialisation[C]. London: Pion Limited, 207 Brondesbury Park, NW25JM, 1998: 226-236.
    
    [227]Turner, P. Capital Flows in the 1980s: A Survey of Major Trends [R].Bank of International Settlement Economic Papers, 1992.
    
    [228] Wei, Shang Jin, Yi Wu. Globalization and Inequality: Evidence from with in China [R].NBER Working Paper,2001.
    
    [229]Willing,D.R. Muitiproduct technology and market structure[J].American Economic Review, 1979,69:346.
    
    [230]Wilson A.G. A statistical theory of spatial distribution models[J].Transportation Research,1967,(1):253-267.
    
    [231]Wooldridge, J Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data[M].Cambridge, MA:The MIT Press,2002.
    
    [232]World Bank. Private Capital Flows to Developing Countries: The Road to Financial Integration[R].Washington, D.C, 1997.
    
    [233] Young, A.The Razor's Edge :Distortions and incremental reform in the People's Repuhilc of China [J]. Quarterly journal of Economics,2000,115(4):1091-1136.
    [234] Zhang, S. YAO, Z. and L. Hanmer. Growing Inequality and Poverty in China[J]. China Economic Review, 2004,15(2): 132-145.
    
    [235] Zhang Wei. Rethinking Regional Disparity in China[J]. Economics of Planning, 2001, 34(2): 113-138.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700