长白山自然保护区景观格局演化与模拟
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摘要
地理信息系统（GIS）技术已经为越来越多的学科领域所采纳，作为一种研究技术手段，同时，遥感也成为地理数据获取的重要方式，本文以景观生态学为理论基础，以GIS和遥感技术为支撑，利用1977年MSS影像数据、1988年TM影像数据、1999年ETM影像数据以及2010年TM影像数据四个时期的卫星影像数据，运用景观格局指数对研究区——长白山自然保护区的景观格局分布状况以及景观格局的演化进行分析，对四个时期内研究区的景观格局特征状况进行定性和定量的分析，总结四个时期内长白山自然保护区的景观空间格局分布特点，在此基础上进行1977年至2010年的格局演化动态分析，分析各个时期景观格局的各方面的变化，并总结33年间研究区景观格局的总体变化，同时，采用转移概率矩阵的统计分析方法分析保护区内各种景观类型的面积转移情况，从而定量地掌握保护区内景观格局所发生变化的最直接原因；此外，对景观格局的变化进行驱动力分析，找出导致景观格局发生变化的自然和人为影响因素。
同时，本文还利用CA-Markov模型对长白山自然保护区的景观空间格局变化的未来趋势进行尝试性地预测研究，并首先通过模型预测2010年景观格局状况，对预测模型进行精度检验，模型精度的验证采用修正的Lee-Sallee形状指数，最后通过模型预测2021年研究区的景观空间格局分布，并对预测的结果采用定量的方式进行分析，详细剖析长白山自然保护区未来景观格局的发展趋势。
本文以景观生态学为理论指导，对研究区景观格局特征、动态演化过程及驱动力以及景观格局的变化趋势进行了系列研究，从而进一步推动了景观生态学与地理信息系统技术手段的综合以及景观生态学领域中对自然保护区方面的景观格局研究方向的发展，因此，本文的探索和研究具有重要的应用意义与现实价值。
This paper is guided by theories of landscape ecology and supported by GeographicalInformation Systems (GIS) and Remote Sensing Technology. It uses landscape indexes toanalyze the landscape pattern of Changbai Montain Reserve and its evolvement based on thesatellite imagery data of Landsat (MSS, TM, ETM+) in four periods of1977,1988,1999,2010seperately. Through quantitative and qualitative analysises of the study area’s landscapepattern in four periods, we summarized landscape pattern characteristics, and thenimplemented the dynamic analysis of the landscape pattern evolvement from1977to2010.According to the analysis results of landscape pattern changes, we summarized the generalvarieties of the33-year landscape pattern. Meanwhile, according to the transfer matrices weseized the rules of the spatial-termpral change of landscape pattern, aiming to find out thedirect causes for landscape pattern changes. Furthermore we analyzed the key drivers thataffected the landscape pattern changes and found the physical and social factors which leadedthe landscape pattern changes.
In this paper using CA-Markov model we analysis, simulate and predict the variativetrends of Changbai Montain Reserve. We first predicted the landscape pattern of2010, thenused the modified Lee-Sallee shape index to validate the precision of the model, and thenpredicted the landscape pattern of2021by this model. According to the predict result, westudied it quantificationally and analyzed the development trends of Changbai MontainReserve.
Supporting with the landscape ecology theory, we studied the landscape patterncharacteristics, dynamic evolvement process and the key driver. This combined the landscapeecology theory and the technique of Geographical Information Systems (GIS) and RemoteSensing, and then applied it on the research of the nature reserve. Therefore, this paper hasimportant theoretical meaning and practical value.
同时，本文还利用CA-Markov模型对长白山自然保护区的景观空间格局变化的未来趋势进行尝试性地预测研究，并首先通过模型预测2010年景观格局状况，对预测模型进行精度检验，模型精度的验证采用修正的Lee-Sallee形状指数，最后通过模型预测2021年研究区的景观空间格局分布，并对预测的结果采用定量的方式进行分析，详细剖析长白山自然保护区未来景观格局的发展趋势。
本文以景观生态学为理论指导，对研究区景观格局特征、动态演化过程及驱动力以及景观格局的变化趋势进行了系列研究，从而进一步推动了景观生态学与地理信息系统技术手段的综合以及景观生态学领域中对自然保护区方面的景观格局研究方向的发展，因此，本文的探索和研究具有重要的应用意义与现实价值。
This paper is guided by theories of landscape ecology and supported by GeographicalInformation Systems (GIS) and Remote Sensing Technology. It uses landscape indexes toanalyze the landscape pattern of Changbai Montain Reserve and its evolvement based on thesatellite imagery data of Landsat (MSS, TM, ETM+) in four periods of1977,1988,1999,2010seperately. Through quantitative and qualitative analysises of the study area’s landscapepattern in four periods, we summarized landscape pattern characteristics, and thenimplemented the dynamic analysis of the landscape pattern evolvement from1977to2010.According to the analysis results of landscape pattern changes, we summarized the generalvarieties of the33-year landscape pattern. Meanwhile, according to the transfer matrices weseized the rules of the spatial-termpral change of landscape pattern, aiming to find out thedirect causes for landscape pattern changes. Furthermore we analyzed the key drivers thataffected the landscape pattern changes and found the physical and social factors which leadedthe landscape pattern changes.
In this paper using CA-Markov model we analysis, simulate and predict the variativetrends of Changbai Montain Reserve. We first predicted the landscape pattern of2010, thenused the modified Lee-Sallee shape index to validate the precision of the model, and thenpredicted the landscape pattern of2021by this model. According to the predict result, westudied it quantificationally and analyzed the development trends of Changbai MontainReserve.
Supporting with the landscape ecology theory, we studied the landscape patterncharacteristics, dynamic evolvement process and the key driver. This combined the landscapeecology theory and the technique of Geographical Information Systems (GIS) and RemoteSensing, and then applied it on the research of the nature reserve. Therefore, this paper hasimportant theoretical meaning and practical value.
引文
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