唐山市钢铁行业可持续发展研究
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摘要
面对今天迅速变化的世界,面对有限的自然资源正在迅速的耗竭的严峻形势,资源城市应当怎样寻求经济可持续发展的道路?影响和制约资源城市存在和发展的内在和外在因素到底有哪些?带着这些疑问,笔者对唐山地区以铁矿资源为主的钢铁行业的可持续发展问题进行了研究。
本文首先介绍了可持续发展问题,包括可持续发展的内涵和必要性,国内外的研究动态和趋势,以及国内外及唐山市钢铁行业发展现状。随后详细介绍了我国钢铁行业可持续发展的思路,并从发展方向和发展途径两个方面进行了分析。紧接着,运用动态模型对耗竭资源最佳开采速度进行了研究,并利用唐山市的具体资料进行了实证分析,给出了每年最优开采量。然后根据多元线性回归模型建立了钢铁需求量的公式,利用模糊评价对唐山市钢铁行业发展现状进行了评价,并运用DEA模型对唐山钢铁企业的规模效益进行了分析。最后引入循环经济的概念,对唐山市钢铁行业的循环可持续发展规划提出了一些建议,并对唐山市曹妃甸工业区钢铁行业的发展进行了规划研究。
In nowadays changeful society, what should the resources cities, which is under the rigorous situation that natural resources is using up quickly, do to make sustainable development of economics come true? And what are the basilic interior and exterior factors which influence and restrict the development of resources cities? With these questions, I did some researches on the development process of Tangshan area which based on the iron mine.
This paper introduced the present studies of the sustainable development at the beginning, including content and necessities of the sustainable development, trend of domestic and international researches, and the mode of many industries’sustainable development. Later on, this paper introduced the sustainable development of China steel industry in details, and analyzed the direction and paths of it. Closely behind, I studied on the optimal depletion rate of mineral resources with the dynamic state model, and did demonstration analysis according to the data of Tang Shan city. Then this paper analyzed the situation of Tang Shan steel industry using the Statistic model, the illegibility estimate model and the DEA model. Final, this paper introduced the concept of cycle economy and made some suggestions about the sustainable development of Tangshan steel industry, especially the Caofeidian industrial park.
本文首先介绍了可持续发展问题,包括可持续发展的内涵和必要性,国内外的研究动态和趋势,以及国内外及唐山市钢铁行业发展现状。随后详细介绍了我国钢铁行业可持续发展的思路,并从发展方向和发展途径两个方面进行了分析。紧接着,运用动态模型对耗竭资源最佳开采速度进行了研究,并利用唐山市的具体资料进行了实证分析,给出了每年最优开采量。然后根据多元线性回归模型建立了钢铁需求量的公式,利用模糊评价对唐山市钢铁行业发展现状进行了评价,并运用DEA模型对唐山钢铁企业的规模效益进行了分析。最后引入循环经济的概念,对唐山市钢铁行业的循环可持续发展规划提出了一些建议,并对唐山市曹妃甸工业区钢铁行业的发展进行了规划研究。
In nowadays changeful society, what should the resources cities, which is under the rigorous situation that natural resources is using up quickly, do to make sustainable development of economics come true? And what are the basilic interior and exterior factors which influence and restrict the development of resources cities? With these questions, I did some researches on the development process of Tangshan area which based on the iron mine.
This paper introduced the present studies of the sustainable development at the beginning, including content and necessities of the sustainable development, trend of domestic and international researches, and the mode of many industries’sustainable development. Later on, this paper introduced the sustainable development of China steel industry in details, and analyzed the direction and paths of it. Closely behind, I studied on the optimal depletion rate of mineral resources with the dynamic state model, and did demonstration analysis according to the data of Tang Shan city. Then this paper analyzed the situation of Tang Shan steel industry using the Statistic model, the illegibility estimate model and the DEA model. Final, this paper introduced the concept of cycle economy and made some suggestions about the sustainable development of Tangshan steel industry, especially the Caofeidian industrial park.
引文
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[5] 张志强,可持续发展下的生态经济学理论透视[J],中国人口、资源与环境,2003,13(6):1—7
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[15] 范金,生态经济投入占用产出的优化模型及求解[J],系统工程理论与实践,21(5)
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[19] 王永生:发展循环经济实现我国矿产资源可持续利用[J],中国矿业,2004(6):32—34
[20] 吴博文:冶金矿山[J],1994,(8):8—9
[21] 张建忠,中国钢铁产业组织研究(博士后出站报告)[M],2001 年 1 月
[22] 杨晋,唐山地方中小钢铁企业发展速度惊人[J],《冶金管理》2001 年第 10期
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[30] 中国钢铁协会:2004 年中国钢铁行业发展研究报告[M],2005
[31] 国家统计局,中国统计年鉴(2004)[M].中国统计出版社,2004
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[35] 金涌,李有润,冯久田,生态工业:原理与应用[M],清华大学出版社,2003
[36] 中国钢铁协会:2001年中国钢铁行业发展研究报告[M],2002
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[38] Shrivastava, P, The role of corporations in achieving ecological sustainability, Academy of Management Review, 1995, 20: 936–960
[39] Spicer, B. H, Investors, corporate social performance and information disclosure: an empirical study,The Accounting Review, 1978,53: 94–111
[40] Starik,M., Marcus, A, Special research forum on the management of organizations in the natural environment: a field emerging from multiple paths with many challenges ahead, Academy of Management Journal, 2000, 43: 539–547.
[41] Starik, M., Rands, G. P, Weaving an integrated web: multilevel and multisystem perspective of ecologically sustainable corporations, Academy of Management Review, 1994, 20: 908–935.
[42] Steger, U, Managerial issues in closing the loop, Business Strategy and the Environment, 1996, 5: 252–268.
[43] Stranneg ard, L, Flexible couplings: combining business goals and environmental concern. Business Strategy and the Environment, 2000, 9: 163–174.
[44] Sutton, R. I., Callahan, A. L, The stigma of bankruptcy: spoiled organizational image and its management, Academy of Management Journal, 1987, 30: 405–436.
[45] Turner, R.K., Salmons, R., Powell, J., Craighill, A, Green taxes, waste management and political economy, Journal of Environmental Management, 1998, 53: 121–136.
[46] Welford, R. J, Corporate environmental management, technology and sustainable development: postmodern perspectives and the need for a critical research agenda, Business Strategy and the Environment, 1998, 7: 1–12
[47] Wolff, R., Beyond environmental management: perspectives on environmental and management research, Business Strategy and the Environment, 1998, 7: 297–308
[48] Wolozin, H, Environmental control at the crossroads, Journal of Economic Issues, 1971, 5: 26–41.
[49] Yao, S, Efficiency impacts of government policy on agricultural production in the presence of externalities, Journal of Environmental Management, 1999, 55: 57–67
[50] Aldo Femia, Friedrich Hinterberger, Ecological Economic Policy for Sustainable Development: Potentials and Domains of Intervention for Delinking Approaches, Population & Environment, 2001, 2: 157–174
[51] Michael H, The limits of technological solutions to sustainable development, Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, 2003, 5: 21–34
[52] F.-W. Wellmer and J. Becker-Platen, Sustainable development and the exploitation of mineral and energy resources: a review, International Journal of Earth Sciences, 2002, 91: 723 - 745
[53] Matthew A. Cole, Air Pollution and Dirty Industries: How and Why Does the Composition of Manufacturing Output Change with Economic Development?, Environmental and Resource Economics, 2000, 17: 109–123
[54] Jyri Seppa¨la, The Finnish metals industry and the environment, Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2002, 35: 61–76
[55] Gerald Chan, China's compliance in global environmental affairs, Asia Pacific Viewpoint, 2004, 45: 69
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