重庆产业转型研究
|
摘要
城市产业转型是区域经济中的一个独特现象,其成功与否将直接影响区域经济的发展。重庆作为我国中西部唯一的直辖市,经济发展相对滞后,产业结构也存在诸多问题,亟需进行经济结构调整和产业转型。面对经济全球化进程的日益加速和扩展,国际国内产业转移趋势不可逆转,国内经济结构又进入大规模调整期,所以,转变经济发展方式,探求重庆产业转型模式,科学选定主导产业,成功进行重庆产业转型,是引领重庆新一轮经济增长的“引擎”。
鉴于上述情况,本文在前人诸多相关研究成果基础上,初步构建了重庆产业转型理论体系。首先,对已有研究成果以及产业转型的相关理论进行梳理;通过国外典型城市产业转型的比较研究使重庆产业转型获得可借鉴的经验与教训;对产业转型的模式进行了研究,界定了产业转型的概念与内涵。其次,梳理了重庆产业转型的历史变迁,对产业结构的现状以及存在的问题进行了实证分析,运用偏离—份额分析法定量研究了产业转型与经济增长的内在联系。在此基础上,进一步论述了重庆产业转型的动力机制,提出了重庆产业转型的路径在于主导产业的选择以及产业转型模式的创新。在主导产业选择中,采用主成分分析法构造了主导产业的选择模型,并结合自身环境确定了7大主导产业;提出了以产业转移、集聚、融合及生态化促进重庆产业转型的创新模式。最后,提出了重庆产业转型顺利实施的保障措施。
City industry transformation is one of the unique phenomenons of regional economy, whether it is successful or not will directly influence the development of regional economy. Chongqing, as the only municipality directly under the central government in middle and western of China, economic development is relatively slow, and the industrial structure also has many problems, it is urgent for the readjustment of the economic structure and industrial transformation. Facing the increasingly accelerated economic globalization, international and domestic industry expand irreversible, and domestic economic structure is entering into large-scale adaptation period, therefore, transform the mode of economic development, seek the industry transition mode of Chongqing and scientifically select dominant industries, successfully transform the industry of Chongqing, which is the "engine”of enabling a new round of economic growth of Chongqing.
In view of the above situation, based on many related research results of industry transformation of predecessors, initially construct the Chongqing industry transformation theory system. Firstly, combed the existing research results and the related theory of industry transformation; comparatively studied the industry transformation of foreign typical city to enable Chongqing to get the experiences and lessons; studied the mode of industrial transformation and defined the concept and connotation of industry transformation. Secondly, combed the changes of Chongqing industry transformation, empirically analyzed the industrial structure and existing problems of the current situation, and quantitatively studied the inner link between industry transformation and economic growth by the method shift-share analysis. Then, further discussed the dynamic mechanism of industry transformation, putting forward the path of industry transformation is the selection of leading industry and the innovation of industrial transformation patterns. In the selection of dominant industry, constructed a dominant industry selection model though principal component analysis, and along with Chongqing own environment, determined seven leading industries; Put forward innovational model to promote Chongqing industry transformation by the transfer, concentration, fusion and ecological the industries. Finally, Security measures have suggested putting the industry transformation of Chongqing into practice smoothly.
鉴于上述情况,本文在前人诸多相关研究成果基础上,初步构建了重庆产业转型理论体系。首先,对已有研究成果以及产业转型的相关理论进行梳理;通过国外典型城市产业转型的比较研究使重庆产业转型获得可借鉴的经验与教训;对产业转型的模式进行了研究,界定了产业转型的概念与内涵。其次,梳理了重庆产业转型的历史变迁,对产业结构的现状以及存在的问题进行了实证分析,运用偏离—份额分析法定量研究了产业转型与经济增长的内在联系。在此基础上,进一步论述了重庆产业转型的动力机制,提出了重庆产业转型的路径在于主导产业的选择以及产业转型模式的创新。在主导产业选择中,采用主成分分析法构造了主导产业的选择模型,并结合自身环境确定了7大主导产业;提出了以产业转移、集聚、融合及生态化促进重庆产业转型的创新模式。最后,提出了重庆产业转型顺利实施的保障措施。
City industry transformation is one of the unique phenomenons of regional economy, whether it is successful or not will directly influence the development of regional economy. Chongqing, as the only municipality directly under the central government in middle and western of China, economic development is relatively slow, and the industrial structure also has many problems, it is urgent for the readjustment of the economic structure and industrial transformation. Facing the increasingly accelerated economic globalization, international and domestic industry expand irreversible, and domestic economic structure is entering into large-scale adaptation period, therefore, transform the mode of economic development, seek the industry transition mode of Chongqing and scientifically select dominant industries, successfully transform the industry of Chongqing, which is the "engine”of enabling a new round of economic growth of Chongqing.
In view of the above situation, based on many related research results of industry transformation of predecessors, initially construct the Chongqing industry transformation theory system. Firstly, combed the existing research results and the related theory of industry transformation; comparatively studied the industry transformation of foreign typical city to enable Chongqing to get the experiences and lessons; studied the mode of industrial transformation and defined the concept and connotation of industry transformation. Secondly, combed the changes of Chongqing industry transformation, empirically analyzed the industrial structure and existing problems of the current situation, and quantitatively studied the inner link between industry transformation and economic growth by the method shift-share analysis. Then, further discussed the dynamic mechanism of industry transformation, putting forward the path of industry transformation is the selection of leading industry and the innovation of industrial transformation patterns. In the selection of dominant industry, constructed a dominant industry selection model though principal component analysis, and along with Chongqing own environment, determined seven leading industries; Put forward innovational model to promote Chongqing industry transformation by the transfer, concentration, fusion and ecological the industries. Finally, Security measures have suggested putting the industry transformation of Chongqing into practice smoothly.
引文
[1]景维民.转型经济学[M].天津:南开大学出版社,2003,9
[2]Adams J.D. Transforming Work[M]. Miles Press, Alexandria, VA.1984,1-3
[3]Rotmans J.Transitions & Transition Management for sustainable development[R].International Centre for Integrative Studies (ICIS B.V), Maastricht,December 2000
[4]Kohler L R.全球环境变化国际人力因素计划推出的工业转变研究举措[J].产业与环境,1999,(1):57-59
[5]IndustrialTransformation[EB/OL].http://130.37.129.100/English/institute/IVM/research/ihdp-it/about_it/index.htm
[6]邓伟根.产业转型经验、问题与策略[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2006
[7]黄溶冰,胡运权,吴冲.我国矿业城市产业转型模式的协同学思考[J].中国矿业,2005,(10):69-72
[8]丁湘城,张颖.基于生命周期理论的资源型城市经济转型研究[J].世界地理研究,2008,(3):70-76
[9]史俊宏,赵立娟.资源型区域产业转型与可持续发展研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,(3):47-50.
[10]李学良.白银市产业转型研究[D].甘肃:兰州大学,2008,1-55
[11]周博.铜川市结构调整与产业转型所究[D].陕西:西北大学,2009.6,1-47
[12]陈继良.鹤岗城市转型模式与主导产业选择的思考[J].世纪桥,2009,(8):53-55
[13]李烨,张毅.基于可持续发展的资源型企业产业转型模式选择[J].资源与产业,2009,(2):1-4
[14]李矿,屈志鹏,朱正坤.基于可持续发展观的淮北市产业转型模式研究[J].中国集体经济,2010,01(上):49-50
[15]王素军,敖天平.资源型城市转型模式比较研究—以甘肃省金昌市、白银市和玉门市为例[J].中国流通经济,2011,(1):58-62
[16]毛蕴诗,李田,吴斯丹.从广东实践看我国产业的转型升级[J].经济与管理研究,2008,(7):17-22
[17]韩宇,李素英.波士顿产业转型研究[J].城市问题,2008,(10):81-85
[18]沈开艳.在比较中探寻城市产业转型的新思路[J].上海经济研究,2011,(3):117-120
[19]W.W.罗斯托.从起飞进入持续增长的经济学[M].成都:四川人民出版社,1988
[20]苏东水.产业经济学[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2005.8
[21]David J. Brunckhorst, 2002. Institutions to sustain ecological and social systems. Ecological Management&Restoration Vol.3 no.2 august:108-117
[22]Anna J, Wieczorek, Pier Vellinga.The need for Industrial Transformation[J].IT report,2004
[23]邱江平.“后危机时代”深圳产业结构与经济增长[J].深圳大学学报,2010,(6):15-19
[24]颜鹏飞,汤正仁.新熊彼特理论述评[J].当代财经,2009,(7):116-122
[25]Fagerberg Jan.The Oxford Handbook of Innovation[M],Oxford:Oxford University Press,2004
[26]RotmansJ.Transitions&Transition Management for sustainable development[R].International Centre for Integrative Studies(ICIS B.V.),Maastricht,2000
[27]董丽晶.全球环境变化背景下的产业转型研究问题[J].国土与自然资源研究,2008,(3):14-15
[28]车维汉.发展经济学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2006.2
[29]谭崇台.发展经济学[M].太原:山西经济出版社,2006.8
[30]江世银.四川承接产业转移,推动产业结构优化升级[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2010.1
[31]王云平.产业转移和区域产业结构调整[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2010.4
[32]李军,孙彦彬.产业结构优化模型及其评价机制研究[M].广州:华南理工大学出版社,2009.3
[33]马健.产业融合论[M].南京:南京大学出版社,2006.8
[34]张文龙,邓伟根.产业生态化:经济发展模式转型的必然选择[J].社会科学家2010,(7):44-48
[35]Heinz Peter Wallner, 1999.towards sustainable development of industry: networking, complexity and eco-clusters. journal of cleaner production 7:49-58
[36]万贵明.产业生态与产业经济:构建循环经济之基石[M].南京:南京大学出版社,2009.2
[37]周敏,王萍.城市衰退产业转型的国际经验与中国的选择[J].改革与战略,2007,(10):112-115
[38]汤进.创新型城市的建设途径—日本川崎市的经验和启示[J].上海经济研究,2009,(7):88-96
[39]赵世通.日本川崎市建设循环型社会的经验[J].求是,2009,(14):58-60
[40]刘刚.中国经济发展中的“涌现”现象及其发展模式的形成和演化[J].经济学家,2011,(1):23-30
[41]曾庆均.重庆市都市区产业发展:厉史、现状与趋势[J].上海经济研究,2005,(6):61-66
[42]李东芝.近代重庆城市经济近代化研究(1876-1949)[D].重庆:西南大学,2007
[43]韩渝辉.抗战时期重庆的经济[M].重庆:重庆出版社,1995.
[44]冯蒙.重庆经济发展与产业结构演进研究[J].重庆大学学报,2002,(1):1-5
[45]张彦涛.重庆市工业布局变迁及区位优化研究[D].重庆:西南大学,2009
[46]陈德敏,池尔敏,李世龙.重庆市工业化进程与新型工业化道路探析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2006.(2):147-151
[47]吴双.重庆产业结构现状分析及优化思路[J].农村经济与科技,2010,(1):77-78
[48]杨守鸿.重庆市主导产业选择与产业结构调整研究[D].重庆:重庆大学,2005
[49]秦耀辰,张丽君.区域主导产业选择方法研究进展[J].地理科学进展,2009,(1):132-138
[50]马国庆.管理统计:数据获取、统计原理、SPSS工具与应用研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2002
[51] http://baike.baidu.com/view/2833.htm
[52]刘伟,温菲.基于全球价值链理论的我国西部产业升级策略研究—以重庆制造业为例[J].管理现代化,2010,(1):24-26
[53]黄钟仪.产业转移:东部的趋势及西部的选择—以重庆为例[J].经济问题,2010,(7):117-120
[54]卞彬.产业集群与构建重庆经济“增长极”的路径探析[J].探索,2007,(4):148-151
[55]马凌,张亚男.重庆产业集群发展现状及对策研究[J].改革与战略,2010,(3):87-89
[56]崔如波.构建内陆开放经济产业结构新格局—重庆产业结构调整新思路[J].探索,2008,(6):99-103
[57]张华.产业融合:制造业转型升级的重要途径[J].求是,2010,(15):32-33
[2]Adams J.D. Transforming Work[M]. Miles Press, Alexandria, VA.1984,1-3
[3]Rotmans J.Transitions & Transition Management for sustainable development[R].International Centre for Integrative Studies (ICIS B.V), Maastricht,December 2000
[4]Kohler L R.全球环境变化国际人力因素计划推出的工业转变研究举措[J].产业与环境,1999,(1):57-59
[5]IndustrialTransformation[EB/OL].http://130.37.129.100/English/institute/IVM/research/ihdp-it/about_it/index.htm
[6]邓伟根.产业转型经验、问题与策略[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2006
[7]黄溶冰,胡运权,吴冲.我国矿业城市产业转型模式的协同学思考[J].中国矿业,2005,(10):69-72
[8]丁湘城,张颖.基于生命周期理论的资源型城市经济转型研究[J].世界地理研究,2008,(3):70-76
[9]史俊宏,赵立娟.资源型区域产业转型与可持续发展研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,(3):47-50.
[10]李学良.白银市产业转型研究[D].甘肃:兰州大学,2008,1-55
[11]周博.铜川市结构调整与产业转型所究[D].陕西:西北大学,2009.6,1-47
[12]陈继良.鹤岗城市转型模式与主导产业选择的思考[J].世纪桥,2009,(8):53-55
[13]李烨,张毅.基于可持续发展的资源型企业产业转型模式选择[J].资源与产业,2009,(2):1-4
[14]李矿,屈志鹏,朱正坤.基于可持续发展观的淮北市产业转型模式研究[J].中国集体经济,2010,01(上):49-50
[15]王素军,敖天平.资源型城市转型模式比较研究—以甘肃省金昌市、白银市和玉门市为例[J].中国流通经济,2011,(1):58-62
[16]毛蕴诗,李田,吴斯丹.从广东实践看我国产业的转型升级[J].经济与管理研究,2008,(7):17-22
[17]韩宇,李素英.波士顿产业转型研究[J].城市问题,2008,(10):81-85
[18]沈开艳.在比较中探寻城市产业转型的新思路[J].上海经济研究,2011,(3):117-120
[19]W.W.罗斯托.从起飞进入持续增长的经济学[M].成都:四川人民出版社,1988
[20]苏东水.产业经济学[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2005.8
[21]David J. Brunckhorst, 2002. Institutions to sustain ecological and social systems. Ecological Management&Restoration Vol.3 no.2 august:108-117
[22]Anna J, Wieczorek, Pier Vellinga.The need for Industrial Transformation[J].IT report,2004
[23]邱江平.“后危机时代”深圳产业结构与经济增长[J].深圳大学学报,2010,(6):15-19
[24]颜鹏飞,汤正仁.新熊彼特理论述评[J].当代财经,2009,(7):116-122
[25]Fagerberg Jan.The Oxford Handbook of Innovation[M],Oxford:Oxford University Press,2004
[26]RotmansJ.Transitions&Transition Management for sustainable development[R].International Centre for Integrative Studies(ICIS B.V.),Maastricht,2000
[27]董丽晶.全球环境变化背景下的产业转型研究问题[J].国土与自然资源研究,2008,(3):14-15
[28]车维汉.发展经济学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2006.2
[29]谭崇台.发展经济学[M].太原:山西经济出版社,2006.8
[30]江世银.四川承接产业转移,推动产业结构优化升级[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2010.1
[31]王云平.产业转移和区域产业结构调整[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2010.4
[32]李军,孙彦彬.产业结构优化模型及其评价机制研究[M].广州:华南理工大学出版社,2009.3
[33]马健.产业融合论[M].南京:南京大学出版社,2006.8
[34]张文龙,邓伟根.产业生态化:经济发展模式转型的必然选择[J].社会科学家2010,(7):44-48
[35]Heinz Peter Wallner, 1999.towards sustainable development of industry: networking, complexity and eco-clusters. journal of cleaner production 7:49-58
[36]万贵明.产业生态与产业经济:构建循环经济之基石[M].南京:南京大学出版社,2009.2
[37]周敏,王萍.城市衰退产业转型的国际经验与中国的选择[J].改革与战略,2007,(10):112-115
[38]汤进.创新型城市的建设途径—日本川崎市的经验和启示[J].上海经济研究,2009,(7):88-96
[39]赵世通.日本川崎市建设循环型社会的经验[J].求是,2009,(14):58-60
[40]刘刚.中国经济发展中的“涌现”现象及其发展模式的形成和演化[J].经济学家,2011,(1):23-30
[41]曾庆均.重庆市都市区产业发展:厉史、现状与趋势[J].上海经济研究,2005,(6):61-66
[42]李东芝.近代重庆城市经济近代化研究(1876-1949)[D].重庆:西南大学,2007
[43]韩渝辉.抗战时期重庆的经济[M].重庆:重庆出版社,1995.
[44]冯蒙.重庆经济发展与产业结构演进研究[J].重庆大学学报,2002,(1):1-5
[45]张彦涛.重庆市工业布局变迁及区位优化研究[D].重庆:西南大学,2009
[46]陈德敏,池尔敏,李世龙.重庆市工业化进程与新型工业化道路探析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2006.(2):147-151
[47]吴双.重庆产业结构现状分析及优化思路[J].农村经济与科技,2010,(1):77-78
[48]杨守鸿.重庆市主导产业选择与产业结构调整研究[D].重庆:重庆大学,2005
[49]秦耀辰,张丽君.区域主导产业选择方法研究进展[J].地理科学进展,2009,(1):132-138
[50]马国庆.管理统计:数据获取、统计原理、SPSS工具与应用研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2002
[51] http://baike.baidu.com/view/2833.htm
[52]刘伟,温菲.基于全球价值链理论的我国西部产业升级策略研究—以重庆制造业为例[J].管理现代化,2010,(1):24-26
[53]黄钟仪.产业转移:东部的趋势及西部的选择—以重庆为例[J].经济问题,2010,(7):117-120
[54]卞彬.产业集群与构建重庆经济“增长极”的路径探析[J].探索,2007,(4):148-151
[55]马凌,张亚男.重庆产业集群发展现状及对策研究[J].改革与战略,2010,(3):87-89
[56]崔如波.构建内陆开放经济产业结构新格局—重庆产业结构调整新思路[J].探索,2008,(6):99-103
[57]张华.产业融合:制造业转型升级的重要途径[J].求是,2010,(15):32-33