信息产业对经济增长质量的影响研究及实证分析
|
摘要
信息产业已被公认为是21世纪的朝阳产业,市场前景十分广阔,成为各国政府和学术界关注的焦点。信息产业的发展,引发了各国的经济增长质量的巨大变化,使经济增长从资源消耗型向知识型、技术型和创新型转化。因此,信息产业的发展状况已经成为衡量一国或地区经济、社会发展水平的重要标志之一。发展信息产业,推进信息化进程的新经济发展战略也被当今世界推崇备至。面对信息经济的全球化,研究信息产业与经济增长质量的关系,以及如何在保持经济增长数量较快增加的基础上,实现经济增长质量的显著提高,已成为我国现阶段经济发展的关键问题和学术界关注的焦点之一。
本文首先介绍了论文的研究背景,并对研究文献进行了回顾和评述；然后在比较分析的基础上,以经验实证分析为主,逻辑演绎推理为辅,运用计量经济学、产业经济学、信息经济学、国民经济学和微观经济学等基本理论,通过分析经济增长的最终目的,提出了经济增长质量研究框架,即经济增长的效率、经济增长的产业结构和经济增长的就业结构三个维度,从而为本论文的研究提供了论述的立足点和出发点；最后对信息产业与我国经济增长质量各维度之间的关系进行了深入地剖析。
1、介绍了论文的研究背景,并对研究文献进行了梳理,使我们对本文研究概况有了较全面的认识,为本文的研究主线提供了理论支持。
2、介绍了信息产业的发展历程和经济特性,定性分析了信息产业对经济增长质量的作用,在对历史数据进行OLS分析和格兰杰因果关系检验的基础上,提出了信息产业对经济增长的作用重在影响经济增长质量,并对经济增长质量的维度进行了分析,从而为本论文后续章节的研究提供了论述的立足点和出发点。
3、在多变量的分析框架下,选用向量自回归模型(VAR)、脉冲响应模型(IRF)、方差分解(VD)和向量误差修正模型(VEC)等非传统计量经济学分析方法分析我国信息产业与经济增长之间的关系,同时从TFP这一新的视角,通过估算资本存量进而建立了一个包括信息要素投入的修正C-D生产函数,在对各变量进行ADF检验和协整检验的基础上,通过经验数据实证分析揭示了经济增长与各生产要素投入之间存在着一种稳定的正相关关系。实证分析显示信息要素投入增加可以解释我国经济增长的0.5%(R2=97.3%)左右,这说明信息要素对我国经济增长的促进作用还是很显著的。
4、利用灰色系统理论中的GM(1,N)动态模型建模,得出信息产业与传统产业关联密切,对第三产业影响最大(r3=0.800)；接着分析了信息产业的感应度和带动度,认为信息产业是一个感应度和带动度都很高的产业,因而可以成为我国产业结构调整和升级的主导产业。
5、就信息产业对我国就业结构的影响进行研究,信息产业对就业结构的优化起到一定的作用。首先,通过对结构性失业理论的研究,构建及分析了结构性失业模型,结合实际就信息产业对就业结构的影响进行了实证分析。
Information industry has been recognized as an innovative industry in the 21st century, with a huge market prospect. It has turn out to be the research focus among all countries. The development of Information industry has triggered a tremendous change of economic growth quality, which has transformed from resource consumption-based to knowledge & technology-based. Therefore, the development of Information industry has become an important symbol to measure the level of a country or regional economic and social development. Due to the globalization of Information economy, the research of the relationship between the Information industry and the quality of economic growth, and how to achieve a significant improvement for the quality of economic growth on the basis of sustaining this quantity of economic growth, has become China's key issues and academic focuses at current stage.
This thesis introduces the research background, reviews and comments the research literature. Then, based on comparative analysis, mainly through empirical analysis based on the experience and supplemented by logic and deductive reasoning, using the basic theories of econometrics, industrial economics, Information economics, economic science and Western economics, by analyzing the ultimate goal of economic growth, this research work puts forward the research framework for the quality of the economic growth with three main dimensions; including economic growth, effectiveness, industrial structure of economic growth and employment rate of economic growth. Finally, this thises analyzes the relationship between the Information industry and the various dimensions of the quality of China's economic growth.
This thesis introduces the development process and the economic characteristics of the Information industry and qualitatively analyzes the impact of Information industry on the economic growth. Based on the Ordinary Least Squares analysis of historical data and the Granger causality test, this research work puts forward the impact of the Information industry on the quality focused on economic growth, analyzes the dimensions of quality of economic growth and then provides a foothold and starting point for discussion in the follow-up sections.
The empirical data analysis reveals the stable positive correlations between the economic growth and the inputs of the various production factors. Empirical analysis shows that an input increase of the Information factor can explain 0.5 percent of China's economic growth or so, which shows that the promotion impact of the Information elements on the China's economic growth is still significant.
The thesis constructs GM (1, N) dynamic model under the gray system theory, get that Information industry closely associates with traditional industries. Then it analyzes sensitivity & lead degree of Information industry. So Information industry will turn to the leading industries.
The Dissertation analyses the impact of employment structure from Information industry through theoretical and empirical analysis. Through the theoretical research of structural unemployment, constructs and analyses the structural unemployment model. According to the analysis with the PDLs (Polynomial Distributed Lags) model, it reveals that the employment structure and the current and its following four stages of Information industry development are positively related.
本文首先介绍了论文的研究背景,并对研究文献进行了回顾和评述；然后在比较分析的基础上,以经验实证分析为主,逻辑演绎推理为辅,运用计量经济学、产业经济学、信息经济学、国民经济学和微观经济学等基本理论,通过分析经济增长的最终目的,提出了经济增长质量研究框架,即经济增长的效率、经济增长的产业结构和经济增长的就业结构三个维度,从而为本论文的研究提供了论述的立足点和出发点；最后对信息产业与我国经济增长质量各维度之间的关系进行了深入地剖析。
1、介绍了论文的研究背景,并对研究文献进行了梳理,使我们对本文研究概况有了较全面的认识,为本文的研究主线提供了理论支持。
2、介绍了信息产业的发展历程和经济特性,定性分析了信息产业对经济增长质量的作用,在对历史数据进行OLS分析和格兰杰因果关系检验的基础上,提出了信息产业对经济增长的作用重在影响经济增长质量,并对经济增长质量的维度进行了分析,从而为本论文后续章节的研究提供了论述的立足点和出发点。
3、在多变量的分析框架下,选用向量自回归模型(VAR)、脉冲响应模型(IRF)、方差分解(VD)和向量误差修正模型(VEC)等非传统计量经济学分析方法分析我国信息产业与经济增长之间的关系,同时从TFP这一新的视角,通过估算资本存量进而建立了一个包括信息要素投入的修正C-D生产函数,在对各变量进行ADF检验和协整检验的基础上,通过经验数据实证分析揭示了经济增长与各生产要素投入之间存在着一种稳定的正相关关系。实证分析显示信息要素投入增加可以解释我国经济增长的0.5%(R2=97.3%)左右,这说明信息要素对我国经济增长的促进作用还是很显著的。
4、利用灰色系统理论中的GM(1,N)动态模型建模,得出信息产业与传统产业关联密切,对第三产业影响最大(r3=0.800)；接着分析了信息产业的感应度和带动度,认为信息产业是一个感应度和带动度都很高的产业,因而可以成为我国产业结构调整和升级的主导产业。
5、就信息产业对我国就业结构的影响进行研究,信息产业对就业结构的优化起到一定的作用。首先,通过对结构性失业理论的研究,构建及分析了结构性失业模型,结合实际就信息产业对就业结构的影响进行了实证分析。
Information industry has been recognized as an innovative industry in the 21st century, with a huge market prospect. It has turn out to be the research focus among all countries. The development of Information industry has triggered a tremendous change of economic growth quality, which has transformed from resource consumption-based to knowledge & technology-based. Therefore, the development of Information industry has become an important symbol to measure the level of a country or regional economic and social development. Due to the globalization of Information economy, the research of the relationship between the Information industry and the quality of economic growth, and how to achieve a significant improvement for the quality of economic growth on the basis of sustaining this quantity of economic growth, has become China's key issues and academic focuses at current stage.
This thesis introduces the research background, reviews and comments the research literature. Then, based on comparative analysis, mainly through empirical analysis based on the experience and supplemented by logic and deductive reasoning, using the basic theories of econometrics, industrial economics, Information economics, economic science and Western economics, by analyzing the ultimate goal of economic growth, this research work puts forward the research framework for the quality of the economic growth with three main dimensions; including economic growth, effectiveness, industrial structure of economic growth and employment rate of economic growth. Finally, this thises analyzes the relationship between the Information industry and the various dimensions of the quality of China's economic growth.
This thesis introduces the development process and the economic characteristics of the Information industry and qualitatively analyzes the impact of Information industry on the economic growth. Based on the Ordinary Least Squares analysis of historical data and the Granger causality test, this research work puts forward the impact of the Information industry on the quality focused on economic growth, analyzes the dimensions of quality of economic growth and then provides a foothold and starting point for discussion in the follow-up sections.
The empirical data analysis reveals the stable positive correlations between the economic growth and the inputs of the various production factors. Empirical analysis shows that an input increase of the Information factor can explain 0.5 percent of China's economic growth or so, which shows that the promotion impact of the Information elements on the China's economic growth is still significant.
The thesis constructs GM (1, N) dynamic model under the gray system theory, get that Information industry closely associates with traditional industries. Then it analyzes sensitivity & lead degree of Information industry. So Information industry will turn to the leading industries.
The Dissertation analyses the impact of employment structure from Information industry through theoretical and empirical analysis. Through the theoretical research of structural unemployment, constructs and analyses the structural unemployment model. According to the analysis with the PDLs (Polynomial Distributed Lags) model, it reveals that the employment structure and the current and its following four stages of Information industry development are positively related.
引文
[1]王悦.我国信息产业对经济增长促进作用的计量分析[J].统计与决策,2007(6)：77-79
[2]Bernard Clements. The impact of convergence on regulatory policy in Europe[J]. Telecommunications Policy,1998,22(3):15-36
[3]Zhang Bing. Understanding the impact of convergence on broadband industry regulation:a case strdy of the United States[J]. Telemetric and Informatics,2002:48-51
[4]郑英隆.信息产业加速发展与产业结构升级的交互关系研究[J].经济评论,2001(1)：48-53
[5]陈玉佳.中国信息产业发展及其对就业影响的研究[D].重庆大学,2009
[6]司有和.信息产业学[M].重庆：重庆出版社,2001
[7]曲维枝.信息产业与中国经济发展[M].北京：人民出版社,2002
[8]李怡.中国信息产业集群发展研究[D].上海：复旦大学,2005
[9]Schumpeter Joseph A. The Theory of Economic Development: An Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest and Bussiness Cycle[M]. Harved University Press,1934
[10]唐文波.我国结构性失业问题研究[D].广东社会科学院,2007.6
[11]丁媛.技术进步对我国就业总量和就业结构的影响研究[D].西南交通大学,2004
[12]何伟,夏莘栋.信息化对经济增长贡献研究述评[J].情报杂志,2006.1：47-48
[13]Machlup, F.. The Production and Distribution of Knowledge in the United States[M]. New Jersey:Princeton University Press,1962
[14]时文生.世界信息服务业的发展现状与前景[J].情报学进展,1995.1
[15]Crowston K, Myers M D. Information Technology and the Transformation of Industries: three Research Perspectives [J]. Journal of Strategic Information Systems,2004,(13):5-28
[16]倪波.信息传播原理[M].北京：书目文献出版社,1996
[17]刘昭东.关于中国信息产业发展问题的思考[J].信息世界,1994.1
[18]乌家培.正确处理信息化与工业化的关系[J].经济研究,1993.12
[19]乌家培.信息经济学[M].清华大学出版社,1993
[20]李富强,关忠良等.知识经济与信息化[M].社会科学文献出版社,1998
[21]汪向东.信息化：中国21世纪的选择[M].社会科学文献出版社,1998
[22]周叔莲.论信息化与工业化的关系[J].中国社会科学院研究生院学报,2001.2
[23]宋玲.信息化水平测度的理论与方法[M].经济科学出版社,2001
[24]邵扬.物流业对中国经济增长的影响研究[D].吉林大学,2009.6
[25]朱勇,徐广军.现代增长理论与政策选择[M].中国经济出版社,2000.1
[26]梁中堂,翟耀明.经济增长理论史[J].经济问题,2004.4
[27]理查德.R.纳尔森.经济增长的源泉[M].中国经济出版社,2001.3
[28]Romer,P.. Increasing Return and Long-run Growth[J]. Journal of Political Economy,1986.10
[29]Lucas, R.E.Jr.. On the Mechanics of Economic Development[J]. Journal of Monetary Economic, Vol.22,1988:3-42
[30]Magherio, Lynn et.al.. The Emerging Digital Economy. U.S. Department of Commerce[J]. Washington, D.C.1998
[31]波拉特,李必祥译.信息经济论[M].长沙：湖南人民出版社,1987
[32]鬼木甫.日本的信息化及其对经济增长的影响.载李京文等主编.信息化与经济发展[M].北京：社会科学文献出版社,1994
[33]Cooper, Michael D. The Structure and Future of the Information Economy[J]. Information Processing and Management, Volume 19, Issuel,1983:9-26
[34]Charles, J.. Information Resources and Economic Productivity[J]. Information Economics and Policy,1983.1
[35]P. Weill. The Relationship between Investment in Information Technology and Firm Performance: a Study of the Valve Manufacturing Sector[J]. Information Systems Research, 1992.4
[36]A. Yosri. The Relationship between Information Technology Expenditures and Revenue Contrebuting Factors in Large Corporations[D]. Walden University,1992
[37]Ruby Roy Dholakia and Bari Harlam. Telecommunications and Economic development[J]. Telecommunications Ploicy,1994.6
[38]Gerald R. Moody. Information Technology and the Economic Performance of the Grocery [J]. Store Industry,1997.11
[39]Gurmukh Gill, Kan Young. Dennis Pastore, Jesus C. Dumagan and Issac Turk[J]. Economy-Wide and Industry-Level Impact of Information Technology,1997.4
[40]M.G. Mahmood, I. Mann, M. Dubrow, J.. Skidmore. Information Technology Investment and Organization Performance: a Lagged Data Analysis, in proceedings of the 1998 Resources Management Association International Conference Edited by M. Khosrowpour[M]. Idea Group Publishing, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania,1998
[41]Dewan and Kraemer. Information Technology and Productivity:Evidence from Country level Data[J]. Management Science,2000.4
[42]Theophanis Stratopoulos, Bruce Dehning. Does Successful Investment in Information Technology Solve the Productivity Paradox[J]. Information & Management,2000 (38)
[43]Christopher Gust, Jaime Marquez. International Comparisons of Productivity Growth:the Role of Information Technology and Regylatory Practics[J]. Labour Economics,2003.11
[44]Perter E. D. Love, Zahir Irani. An Exploratory Study of Information Technology Evaluationand Benefits Management Practices of SMEs in the Construction Industry[J]. Information & Management,2004 (42)
[45]Charles Jonscher. Information Resources And Economic Productivity[J]. Information Economics and Policy,1983 (1):13-35
[46]Francis J Cronin, Patricia M McGovern, Michael R Miller and Edwin B Parker. The Rural Economic Development Implications of Telecommunications [J]. Telecommunications Policy, 1995(19):545-559
[47]Mingfang Li, L. Richard Ye. Information technology and firm performance:Linking with environmental, strategic and managerial contents [J]. Information & Management,1999 (35):43-51
[48]Thompson S. H. Teo, Poh Kam Wong, Ee Hui Chia. Information Technology (IT) Investment and the Role of a Firm:an Exploratory Study [J]. International Journal of Information Management,2000 (20):269-286
[49]P. Weill. The Relationship between Investment in Information Technology and Finn Performance:a Study of the Valve Manufacturing Sector [J]. Information Systems Research, 1992.04
[50]Scott M. Shafer, Terry A. Byrd. A framework for measuring the efficiency of organizational investments in information technology using data envelopment analysis [J]. the International Journal of Management Science,2000 (28):125-141
[51]Christopher Gust, Jaime Marquez. International comparisons of productivity growth:The role of information technology and regulatory practices [J]. Labour Economics,2004.11: 33-58
[52]Namchul Shin. The impact of information technology on the financial performance of diversified firms[J]. Decision Support Systems,2006(41):698-707
[53]朱幼平.论信息化对经济增长的影响[J].情报理论与实践,1996.5
[54]贾怀京,谢奇志.我国各地区1994年信息化水平的测度与分析[J].情报理论与实践,1997.6
[55]郑伟平.区域经济信息化程度比较分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2001.1
[56]李辉,王融,汪锦岭.论信息化对我国经济增长的影响[J].中央财经人学学报,2001.3
[57]倪庆萍.信息化对经济增长促进作用的理论分析[J].经济问题,2001.2
[58]戴芸,徐强.江苏信息化与区域经济发展相关关系分析[J].情报杂志,2003.1
[59]刘荣添,叶民强.信息化与经济增长的计量分析[J].经济问题探索,2006.9
[60]胡晓鹏.中国区域信息化差异的实证研究[J].财经问题研究,2003.5
[6l]袁正.关于我国信息化水平的实证研究[J].南方经济,2003.10
[62]常永华.信息化对西部地区经济发展的实证研究[J].情报学报,2003.1
[63]马生全,张忠辅,曹颖轶.西北少数民族地区信息化建设投入对经济增长的作用研究方法初探[J].经济数学,2003.1
[64]王梅英,王玮.信息化对趋于经济影响的数理分析[J].数理统计与管理,2004.3
[65]苗建军.社会信息化的经济结构解析[J].工业技术经济,1999.4
[66]陶长琪.我国信息产业发展的实证分析[J].华东交通大学学报.2001.9
[67]尹海洁.信息化的发展与中国产业结构及劳动力结构的变迁[J].中国软科学,2002.6
[68]汪斌,余冬筠.中国信息化的经济结构效应分析：基于计量模型的实证研究[J].中国工业经济,2004.7
[69]王君磊,王兆凯.经济增长质量的模糊综合评价模型研究[J].价值工程,2007年06期
[70]S. Kuznets. Growth and Structural Shifts [M]. In W. Galenson (ed.), Economic Growth and Structural Change in Taiwan. The Postwar Experience of the Republic of China, London: Cornell University Press,1979:15-131.
[71]B.D.卡马耶夫.经济增长的速度和质量[M].武汉：湖北人民出版社,1983
[72]托马斯.增长的质量[M].北京：中国财政经济出版社,1999
[73]武义青.经济增长质量的度量方法及其应用[J].管理现代化,1995.5
[74]钟学义.增长方式转变与增长质量提高[M].北京：经济管理出版社,2001
[75]彭德芬.经济增长质量研究[M].武汉：华中师范大学出版社,2002
[76]Holli B. Chenery. Patterns of Industrial Growth[J]. American Economic Review,1960 (50):624-654
[77]Ramey G, V A Ramey. Cross-country evidence on the link between volatility growth [J]. American Economic and Review,1995 (5):1138-1151
[78]Barro, R. J.. Inflation and Growth [J]. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,1996,78
[79]Turnovsky, S. J. and P. Chattopadhyay. Volatility and Growth in Developing Economies: Some Numerical Results and Empirical Evidence[J]. Journal of International Economics, 2003,59(2):267-295
[80]Murphy K., A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny. Income Distribution, Market Size and Industrialization[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1989,104,537-564
[81]Persson, Torsten, and Guido Tabellini. Is Inequality Harmful for Growth:Theory and Evidence[J]. American Economic Review,1994,84:600-621
[82]Alesina, A. and Perotti, R.. Income Distribution, Political Instability and Economic Growth[J]. European Economic Review,1996 (40):1203-1228
[83]Barro,R.J.. Inequality and Growth in a Panel of Countries[J]. Journal of Economic Growth, 2000,5(1):5-32
[84]Barro, R.J., M.. McCleary. Religion and Economic Growth[J]. Harvard University,2003
[85]多恩布什,费希尔.宏观经济学[M].中国人民大学出版社,1997：239
[86]Robert J.B.. Quantity and Quality of Economic Growth [J]. Working Papers Firm Central Bank of Chile,2002
[87]李京文,D.乔根森等.生产率与中美日经济增长研究[M].北京：中国社会科学出版社,1993
[88]周振华.现代经济增长中的结构效应[M].上海三联书店,1995
[89]郭克莎.中国：改革中的经济增长与结构变动[M].上海人民出版社,1996
[90]贺铿.中国投资、消费比例与经济发展政策[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2006.5：3-10
[91]邵宜航,刘雅南.二元经济的结构转变与增长分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007.10：3-13
[92]Solow, R.M.. A contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics.1956,70(1)
[93]Solow, R.M.. Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function[J]. Review of Economics and Statistics,1957,39(8)
[94]Schultz, T.W.. Investment in Human Capital [J]. American Economic Review,1961(51):1-17
[95]D.Jorgenson and Z.Criliches. The Explanation of Productivity Change[J]. Review of Economic Studies,1967(3):34
[96]张国初.前沿生产函数、要素使用效率的全要素生产率[J].数量经济技术经济研究,1996.9
[97]刘小玄,郑京海.国有企业效率的决定因素：1985-1994[J].经济研究,1998.1
[98]涂正革,肖耿.中国的工业生产力革命——用随机前沿生产模型对中国大中型上业企业全要素生产率增长的分解及分析[[J].经济研究,2005.3
[99]张军,施少华.中国经济全要素生产率变动：1952-1998[J].世界经济文汇,2003.2
[100]郭庆旺,贾俊雪.中国全要素生产率的估算：1979-2004[J].经济研究,2005.6
[101]Gera S, Johnson P. Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behavior [J]. Applied Economics,1995,32:384-407
[102]Hansen D.W.. Information Technology and the U.S. Economy[J]. American Economic Review,2001,91:1-32
[103]Jalava J., Pohjola M.. Economic Growth in the New Economy: Evidence from Advanced Economies [J]. Information Economics and Policy,2002,14:189-210
[104]Colecchia A. Is the United States a Unique Case:A Comparative Study of Nine OECD Countries[J]. Review of Economic Dynamics,2002,5:408-442
[105]莫卫平.信息产业对经济增长的影响与我国信息产业的发展[J].生产力研究,2002(5)：219-211
[106]鞠成晓,李慧丽.发展信息产业、促进产业结构升级[J].内蒙古科技与经济,2003(5)：35-37
[107]邓常春.印度信息产业的发展对经济增长和社会变革的影响[J].南亚研究季刊,2003(4)：26-31
[108]李荣,崔执树.信息产业的可持续发展对安徽经济增长的效益分析[J].特区经济,2006(7)：198-202
[109]巩雪.我国信息产业对经济增长的影响[D].吉林大学硕士论文,2009
[110]沈利生,王恒.增加值率下降意味着什么[J].经济研究,2006(3)：59-66
[111]易纲,樊纲,李岩.关于中国经济增长与全要素生产率的理论思考[J].经济研究,2003(2)：17-20
[112]张军,施少华.中国经济全要素生产率变动[J].世界经济文汇,2003(2)：17-24
[113]李平.加快信息产业发展,促进经济增长[J].现代经济,2009.8
[114]屈超.信息经济对产业划分的影响[J].山东财政学院学报,2004.6
[115]郭东强,王志江.论企业信息化建设投入对企业产出增长的贡献.管理信息系统,2000.10
[116]张新立,田野.中国信息产业与经济增长关系实证分析[J].大连海事大学学报(社科版),2009.5
[117]马费成,靖继鹏.信息经济分析[M].北京：科学技术文献出版社,2005.3
[118]费里兹.马克卢普.美国知识的生产与分配[M].北京：商务印书馆,1985.7
[119]Porat, M.V. The Information Economy[M]. Washington, DC, Government Printing Office, 1965.
[120]骆正山.信息经济学[M].机械工业出版社,2007.3
[121]刘昭东.关于中国信息产业的发展问题的思考[J].信息世界,1994(1)：85-87
[122]赵伟.信息产业研究的由来和现状[J].津图学刊,1999(2)：39-48
[123]蒲艳萍.第三产业带动我国就业增长的实证分析[J].南京师范大学学报,2005.2
[124]魏博.我国信息产业政策研究[D].复旦大学,2009.4
[125]马费成.信息经济学[M].武汉大学出版社,1997.8：212
[126]阎小培.信息产业的概念与分类[J].地域研究与开发,1998.12:16-18
[127]靖继鹏.应用信息经济学[M].北京：科学出版社,2007,9：165-167
[128]王忻.信息产业发展机理及测度理论与方法研究[D].吉林大学,2008.10
[129]郭熙保,刘莹.工业化、信息化与信息产业[J].经济理论与经济管理,2002.3：26-30
[130]黎苑楚.信息产业演进规律与发展模式研究[D].武汉大学,2005.5
[131]陈小磊,郑建明.基于菲德模型的信息产业细分要素对经济增长的贡献分析[J].情报研究,2009.7：36-39
[132]刘春梅,唐守廉.我国互联网数字鸿沟研究——基于网民内部结构特征的分析[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2008.12
[133]司有和.信息产业学[M].重庆：重庆出版社,2001
[134]吕新奎.中国信息化[M].北京：电子工业出版社,2002
[135]Rogers E M.. Diffusion of Innovations 4thed[M]. New York. The Free Press,1995
[136]谢琦.论数量型经济增长向质量型经济增长的转型[J].新疆大学学报(哲学,人文社会科学版),2007.9第五期第35卷
[137]Koning J., Mosley H.. Labor Market Policy and Unemployment: Impact and Process Evaluations in Selected European Countries Cheltenham [M]. Edward Elgar Press,2001
[138]吴成福,王艳萍.论信息科技对创新型经济的能动作用[J].郑州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2006.7
[139]苏惠香.网络经济技术创新与扩散效应研究[D].东北财经大学,2007.6
[140]马克思,恩格斯.马克思恩格斯全集[M].人民出版社,1980
[141]王鹏飞.美国信息产业发展现状浅析[J].现代企业教育,2005.8
[142]程瑾,蔡筱英.信息产业与可持续发展战略[J].情报科学,2000(3)：210-213
[143]张海峰.对当今世界信息产业发展特点分析[J].情报资料工作,1995(6)：3-6
[144]杨列勋.国外信息产业发展模式比较研究[J].情报资料工作,1994(1)：39-40
[145]杨谷.信息产业拉动就业新需求[N].光明日报,2002.10.9
[146]张安珍.论中国特色信息产业发展道路[J].中国图书馆学报,1998(2)：24-30
[147]谢圣赞.美国信息产业发展的经验与启示[J].软科学,2001,(6)：60-65
[148]人民日报编辑部.信息产业发展令世界瞩日：移动电话固定电话用户居世界首位,消费类电子产品位于世界前列[N].人民日报,2002-10-14(1)
[149]中国信息导报编辑部.“十五”期间信息产业发展目标与任务[J].中国信息导报,2001(3)：11-12
[150]朗诵真.企业可持续发展的知识竞争战略思考[J].情报理论与实践,2000,(2)108-110
[151]张安珍.论信息产业与经济可持续发展[J].图书与情报,2005.4
[152]戴雯.信息产业促进城市竞争力提升的机理和路径研究[J].沈阳建筑大学学报(社科版),2009.10 Vol.11,No.4：456-59
[153]徐姗,韩民春.信息要素对经济增长的贡献研究——基于中国2001-2006年Panel Data的经验分析.情报杂志,2009.6(6)：80-85
[154]李津津.我国结构性失业的实证分析[J].消息导刊,2009.3：123-124
[155]Engle, Robert F. and C.W.J.Granger. Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econimetrica,1987,55:251-276
[156]Granger C.. Investing Casual Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Method[J]. Econometric,1969(37):424-438
[157]Granger C.. Modeling Economic Series[M]. Oxford Clarendon Press,1990
[158]李俊霖.中国经济增长质量[D].华中科技大学,2007.10
[159]李变花.中国经济增长质量研究[D].吉林大学,2005.5
[160]吴基传.信息产业实现历史性跨越[J].光明日报,1999.9
[161]葛新元,王大辉,袁强等.中国经济结构变化对经济增长的贡献计量分析.北京师范大学学报,2000.2
[162]曲维枝.信息产业与我国经济社会发展[M].北京：人民出版社,2002
[163]胡永远.人力资本与经济增长：一个协整分析[J].科技管理研究,2005.4
[164]唐.泰普斯科特著,米克斯译.范式的转变——信息技术的前景[M].大连：东北财经大学出版社.McGraw-Hill出版公司,1999
[165]Gordon Robert. Does the 'New Economy'Measure Up to the Great Inventions of the Past[J]. Northestern,2000.7
[166]Jorgenson,D., Stiroh,K.. Rasing the Speed Limit: U.S. Economic Growth in the Information Age[J]. Brooking Papers on Economic Activity,2000:129-160
[167]Jorgenson, D., Stiroh, K.. Information Technology and Growth[J]. American Economic Review,1999.2. pp:161-167
[168]R. J. Barro and X. Sala-i-Martin. Economic Growth,2nd Ed [M]. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass.,2004
[169]Oliner, Stephen D., Daniel E. Sichel. The Resurgence of Growth in the Late 1990s:Is Information Technology the Story[J]. Federal Reserve Board,2000.2
[170]郑玉歆.全要素生产率的再认识——用FTP分析经济增长质量存在的若干局限[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007.9
[171]吴家培.要重视信息技术与信息资源对经济增长集约化的作用[J].经济与信息,1997(5)：43-45
[172]陶磊.能源要素与经济增长模型及实证研究[D].西南交通大学.2008.6
[173]徐姗,韩民春.信息要素对经济增长的贡献研究——基于中国2001-2006年Panel Data的经验分析[J].情报杂志,2009.6第6期28卷pp：80-85
[174]李子奈,鲁传一.管理创新在经济增长中贡献的定量分析[J].清华大学学报,2002,(2)：25-31
[175]岳书敬,刘朝阳.人力资本与区域全要素生产率分析[J].经济研究,2006,4：90-96
[176]欧阳煌,张宇蕊.财政政策促进中国内生经济增长的经验分析[J].系统工程,2006,10： 72-76
[177]Gianni Amisano, Carlo Giannini. Topics in Structural VAR Econometrecs,2nd edition [M]. Springer Verlag Berlin Heidelberg Press,1997
[178]Dickey D. A., Fuller W. A.. Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root[J]. Journal of the American Statistical Association,1979(74):427-431
[179]JohansenS.. Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors[J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,1988,12:231-254
[180]Johansen S.. Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models[J]. Econometreca,1991,59(6):1551-1580
[181]赵鑫,高斌.全要素生产率与中国邮政经济增长[J].南京邮电学院学报(自然科学版),2001.1：72-75
[182]张世英,樊智.协整理论与波动模型：金融时间序列分析及应用[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2009.5
[183]龚玉泉,袁志刚.中国经济增长与就业增长的非一致性及其形成机理[J].经济学动态,2002.10
[184]高斌.通信经济学[M].北京：人民邮电出版社,2004.3
[185]徐冬林.中国产业结构变迁与经济增长的实证分析[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2004.2：49-54
[186]屈超.信息经济对产业划分的影响[J].山东财政学院学报,2004.6
[187]游星源,熊肃利.论信息产业在产业结构升级中的作用[J].湖北经济学院学报(人文社会科学版),2008.2
[188]邬义均.产业经济学[M].北京：中国统计出版社,1997
[189]汪同三.产业政策与经济增长[M].北京：社会科学文献出版社,1996
[190]何伟,夏莘栋.信息化与中国产业结构优化[J].重庆邮电学院学报(社会科学版),2006.5
[191]Abraham H. Maslow.. A Theory of Human Motivation[J]. Humanistic and Transcendent Experience, Vol 2,9,1965
[192]芮鸿程.信息化对促进经济增长的多维透析[J].山西财经大学学报,2004.1
[193]杨学钰.中国产业结构升级与信息化发展[D].中国科学院,2000.4
[194]世界银行.世界发展报告(中译本)[M].中国财政经济出版社,1996：28
[195]王永治.我国经济结构的战略性调整[M].中国计划出版社,1999：46
[196]谢兰云,王维国.我国信息化水平与经济增长关系的灰色系统分析[J].情报杂志,2008.3
[197]吴先华,郭际.信息产业与经济增长：基于协整和灰色关联理论的研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2006(2)
[198]邓聚龙.灰色系统与农业[J].山西农业科学,1985(6)：34-37
[199]易德生,郭萍.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京：科学管理技术文献出版社,1992
[200](美)科林.卡梅隆,普拉温.特里维迪.微观计量经济学方法与应用[M].机械工业出版社,2008.3
[201]鞠成晓,李慧丽.发展信息产业,促进产业结构升级[J]. 内蒙古科技与经济,2003.5
[202]陈春明.信息产业与可持续发展[J].黑龙江社会科学,2005.4
[203]丁媛.技术进步对我国就业总量和就业结构的影响研究[D].西南交通大学,2004.11
[204]乔晓华.我国信息产业发展对经济增长和就业结构的影响[J].经济纵横,2005.8
[205]何景熙.探索充分就业之路：成都平原农村人力资源开发研究[M].四川大学出版社,2000
[206]郑丽琳,马成文.信息产业：缓解就业压力的突破口[J].中国国情国力,2007.6
[207]唐敏.信息产业与经济增长：基于产业关联理论的研究[J].华商,2008(18)
[208]怀铁铮.信息化：中国的出路与对策[M].北京：机械工业出版社,2006.1
[209]乌家培等.信息经济学[M].北京：高等教育出版社,2002.6
[210]叶飞文.要素投入与中国经济增长[M].北京：北京大学出版社,2004
[211]张海军.实现我国充分就业的路径探索与政策选择[D].厦门大学,2009.4
[212]刘海英.中国经济增长质量研究[D].吉林大学,2005.6
[213]崔永涛.信息产业对我国经济发展的贡献研究[D].湖南大学,2008.9
[214]储节旺,谢阳群.美国信息产业对创新型经济发展的作用研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2005.7
[215]F.M.谢勒著.技术创新-经济增长的原动力[M].北京：新华出版社,2001
[216]Carl Shapiro, Harl R. Varian. The art of standards wars [J]. California Management Review, 1999, (18):8-32
[217]Bohi, D.R.. On the Macroeconomic Effects of Energy Price Shocks[J]. Resources and Energy,1991 (2)
[218]李岳平.经济增长质量评估体系及实证分析[J].江苏统计,2001.5
[219]李京文.快速发展中的中国经济[M].社会科学文献出版社,1996
[220]钞小静.经济增长质量：一种理论解释及中国的实证分析[D].西北大学,2009.6
[221]李建伟.中国三次产业结构与经济增长相互关系研究[D].中国人民大学,2008.5
[222]陈静.现代经济条件下信息产业结构研究[D].中国人民大学,2008.5
[223]罗润东.中国劳动力就业：从转轨经济到知识经济[M].北京：经济科学出版社,2002
[224]Romer, P. E.. Endogenous Technological Changes[J]. Journal of Political Economy, Vol.98, No5,1990:71-102
[225]Grossman, Gene and E. Helpman. Quality Ladder and Product Cycle[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1991:557-586
[226]郭瑜.中国产业结构变迁及对经济增长的影响[D].中国人民大学,2009.4
[227]Hollis B.Chenery. Structural Change and Development Policy[M]. Oxford University Press,1979:108
[228]H.B.钱纳里,吴奇等译.工业化和经济增长的比较研究[M].上海：三联书店、上海人民出版社,1995
[229]郭金龙,张许颖.结构变动对经济增长方式转变的作用分析.数量经济技术经济研究,1998.9
[230]熊斌.关于我国的结构性失业分析与治理[J].人口与经济,2001.3
[231]董志强.结构性失业理论及其对中国失业状况的解释[J].重庆工学院学报,2001.1
[232]Samuelson, Paul. And William Nordhaus. Economics.14th Edition[M]. McGraw-Hill Inc., 1992
[233]杨小凯,张永生.新兴古典经济学与超边际分析[M].北京：中国人民出版社,2000
[234]Schumpeter, J. A. The Theory of Economic Development [M]. Cambridge Mass:Harvard University Press,1934
[235]Katz.M., Sharpio.C System Competition and Network Effects [J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives,1994(2):93-115
[236]Rubart J. The Employment Effects of Technological Change Heterogenous Labor, Wage Inequality and Unemployment[M]. New York:Springer,2007
[237]Nickell S. Unemployment and Labor Market Rigidities:Europe versus North America [J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives,1997,11 (3):55-74
[238]Aghion P, Howitt P. Centre for Economic Policy R. Growth and Unemployment[M]. Economic Policy Research,1991
[239]Blanchard O, Fischer S. Lectures on Macroeconomics[M]. MIT Press,1989
[240]McCulloch J.R., Locke J. The Principles of Political Economy:With a Sketch of the Rise and Progress of the Science [M]. London: William Tait,1830
[241]Aghion P, Caroli E, Garcia-Penalosa C. Inequality and Economic Growth:The Perspective of the New Growth Theories [J]. Journal of Economic Literature,1999,37 (4):1615-1660
[242]Howitt P. Adjusting to technological change[J]. Canadian Journal of Economics,1994, 27:763-775
[243]Pissarides C.. Equilibrium Unemployment Theory[M]. Cambridge:MIT Press,2000
[244]Okun A.. Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance, American Statistical Association in Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section 1962[M]. Minneapolis, Minnesota,1962:98-104
[245]Beveridge W.H.. Full Employment in a Free Society[M]. London:Geoprge Allen & Unwin, 1944
[246]Blanchard O.J., Diamond P.. The Beveridge Curve, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity[J].1989,1:1-76
[247]Pissarides C.A.. Short-run Equilibrium Dynamics of Unemployment, Vacancies, and Real Wages[J]. American Economic Review,1985,75:676-690
[248]Phelps E.S.. Structural Slumps:The Modern Equilibrium Theory of Unemployment, Interest, and Assets[M]. Cambridge, Mass:Harvard University Press,1994
[249]Nazi H. M.. Structural Unemplyment, Cyclical Unemployment, and Income Inequality[J]. The Review of Economics and Statistics,1999,2:81-82
[2]Bernard Clements. The impact of convergence on regulatory policy in Europe[J]. Telecommunications Policy,1998,22(3):15-36
[3]Zhang Bing. Understanding the impact of convergence on broadband industry regulation:a case strdy of the United States[J]. Telemetric and Informatics,2002:48-51
[4]郑英隆.信息产业加速发展与产业结构升级的交互关系研究[J].经济评论,2001(1)：48-53
[5]陈玉佳.中国信息产业发展及其对就业影响的研究[D].重庆大学,2009
[6]司有和.信息产业学[M].重庆：重庆出版社,2001
[7]曲维枝.信息产业与中国经济发展[M].北京：人民出版社,2002
[8]李怡.中国信息产业集群发展研究[D].上海：复旦大学,2005
[9]Schumpeter Joseph A. The Theory of Economic Development: An Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest and Bussiness Cycle[M]. Harved University Press,1934
[10]唐文波.我国结构性失业问题研究[D].广东社会科学院,2007.6
[11]丁媛.技术进步对我国就业总量和就业结构的影响研究[D].西南交通大学,2004
[12]何伟,夏莘栋.信息化对经济增长贡献研究述评[J].情报杂志,2006.1：47-48
[13]Machlup, F.. The Production and Distribution of Knowledge in the United States[M]. New Jersey:Princeton University Press,1962
[14]时文生.世界信息服务业的发展现状与前景[J].情报学进展,1995.1
[15]Crowston K, Myers M D. Information Technology and the Transformation of Industries: three Research Perspectives [J]. Journal of Strategic Information Systems,2004,(13):5-28
[16]倪波.信息传播原理[M].北京：书目文献出版社,1996
[17]刘昭东.关于中国信息产业发展问题的思考[J].信息世界,1994.1
[18]乌家培.正确处理信息化与工业化的关系[J].经济研究,1993.12
[19]乌家培.信息经济学[M].清华大学出版社,1993
[20]李富强,关忠良等.知识经济与信息化[M].社会科学文献出版社,1998
[21]汪向东.信息化：中国21世纪的选择[M].社会科学文献出版社,1998
[22]周叔莲.论信息化与工业化的关系[J].中国社会科学院研究生院学报,2001.2
[23]宋玲.信息化水平测度的理论与方法[M].经济科学出版社,2001
[24]邵扬.物流业对中国经济增长的影响研究[D].吉林大学,2009.6
[25]朱勇,徐广军.现代增长理论与政策选择[M].中国经济出版社,2000.1
[26]梁中堂,翟耀明.经济增长理论史[J].经济问题,2004.4
[27]理查德.R.纳尔森.经济增长的源泉[M].中国经济出版社,2001.3
[28]Romer,P.. Increasing Return and Long-run Growth[J]. Journal of Political Economy,1986.10
[29]Lucas, R.E.Jr.. On the Mechanics of Economic Development[J]. Journal of Monetary Economic, Vol.22,1988:3-42
[30]Magherio, Lynn et.al.. The Emerging Digital Economy. U.S. Department of Commerce[J]. Washington, D.C.1998
[31]波拉特,李必祥译.信息经济论[M].长沙：湖南人民出版社,1987
[32]鬼木甫.日本的信息化及其对经济增长的影响.载李京文等主编.信息化与经济发展[M].北京：社会科学文献出版社,1994
[33]Cooper, Michael D. The Structure and Future of the Information Economy[J]. Information Processing and Management, Volume 19, Issuel,1983:9-26
[34]Charles, J.. Information Resources and Economic Productivity[J]. Information Economics and Policy,1983.1
[35]P. Weill. The Relationship between Investment in Information Technology and Firm Performance: a Study of the Valve Manufacturing Sector[J]. Information Systems Research, 1992.4
[36]A. Yosri. The Relationship between Information Technology Expenditures and Revenue Contrebuting Factors in Large Corporations[D]. Walden University,1992
[37]Ruby Roy Dholakia and Bari Harlam. Telecommunications and Economic development[J]. Telecommunications Ploicy,1994.6
[38]Gerald R. Moody. Information Technology and the Economic Performance of the Grocery [J]. Store Industry,1997.11
[39]Gurmukh Gill, Kan Young. Dennis Pastore, Jesus C. Dumagan and Issac Turk[J]. Economy-Wide and Industry-Level Impact of Information Technology,1997.4
[40]M.G. Mahmood, I. Mann, M. Dubrow, J.. Skidmore. Information Technology Investment and Organization Performance: a Lagged Data Analysis, in proceedings of the 1998 Resources Management Association International Conference Edited by M. Khosrowpour[M]. Idea Group Publishing, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania,1998
[41]Dewan and Kraemer. Information Technology and Productivity:Evidence from Country level Data[J]. Management Science,2000.4
[42]Theophanis Stratopoulos, Bruce Dehning. Does Successful Investment in Information Technology Solve the Productivity Paradox[J]. Information & Management,2000 (38)
[43]Christopher Gust, Jaime Marquez. International Comparisons of Productivity Growth:the Role of Information Technology and Regylatory Practics[J]. Labour Economics,2003.11
[44]Perter E. D. Love, Zahir Irani. An Exploratory Study of Information Technology Evaluationand Benefits Management Practices of SMEs in the Construction Industry[J]. Information & Management,2004 (42)
[45]Charles Jonscher. Information Resources And Economic Productivity[J]. Information Economics and Policy,1983 (1):13-35
[46]Francis J Cronin, Patricia M McGovern, Michael R Miller and Edwin B Parker. The Rural Economic Development Implications of Telecommunications [J]. Telecommunications Policy, 1995(19):545-559
[47]Mingfang Li, L. Richard Ye. Information technology and firm performance:Linking with environmental, strategic and managerial contents [J]. Information & Management,1999 (35):43-51
[48]Thompson S. H. Teo, Poh Kam Wong, Ee Hui Chia. Information Technology (IT) Investment and the Role of a Firm:an Exploratory Study [J]. International Journal of Information Management,2000 (20):269-286
[49]P. Weill. The Relationship between Investment in Information Technology and Finn Performance:a Study of the Valve Manufacturing Sector [J]. Information Systems Research, 1992.04
[50]Scott M. Shafer, Terry A. Byrd. A framework for measuring the efficiency of organizational investments in information technology using data envelopment analysis [J]. the International Journal of Management Science,2000 (28):125-141
[51]Christopher Gust, Jaime Marquez. International comparisons of productivity growth:The role of information technology and regulatory practices [J]. Labour Economics,2004.11: 33-58
[52]Namchul Shin. The impact of information technology on the financial performance of diversified firms[J]. Decision Support Systems,2006(41):698-707
[53]朱幼平.论信息化对经济增长的影响[J].情报理论与实践,1996.5
[54]贾怀京,谢奇志.我国各地区1994年信息化水平的测度与分析[J].情报理论与实践,1997.6
[55]郑伟平.区域经济信息化程度比较分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2001.1
[56]李辉,王融,汪锦岭.论信息化对我国经济增长的影响[J].中央财经人学学报,2001.3
[57]倪庆萍.信息化对经济增长促进作用的理论分析[J].经济问题,2001.2
[58]戴芸,徐强.江苏信息化与区域经济发展相关关系分析[J].情报杂志,2003.1
[59]刘荣添,叶民强.信息化与经济增长的计量分析[J].经济问题探索,2006.9
[60]胡晓鹏.中国区域信息化差异的实证研究[J].财经问题研究,2003.5
[6l]袁正.关于我国信息化水平的实证研究[J].南方经济,2003.10
[62]常永华.信息化对西部地区经济发展的实证研究[J].情报学报,2003.1
[63]马生全,张忠辅,曹颖轶.西北少数民族地区信息化建设投入对经济增长的作用研究方法初探[J].经济数学,2003.1
[64]王梅英,王玮.信息化对趋于经济影响的数理分析[J].数理统计与管理,2004.3
[65]苗建军.社会信息化的经济结构解析[J].工业技术经济,1999.4
[66]陶长琪.我国信息产业发展的实证分析[J].华东交通大学学报.2001.9
[67]尹海洁.信息化的发展与中国产业结构及劳动力结构的变迁[J].中国软科学,2002.6
[68]汪斌,余冬筠.中国信息化的经济结构效应分析：基于计量模型的实证研究[J].中国工业经济,2004.7
[69]王君磊,王兆凯.经济增长质量的模糊综合评价模型研究[J].价值工程,2007年06期
[70]S. Kuznets. Growth and Structural Shifts [M]. In W. Galenson (ed.), Economic Growth and Structural Change in Taiwan. The Postwar Experience of the Republic of China, London: Cornell University Press,1979:15-131.
[71]B.D.卡马耶夫.经济增长的速度和质量[M].武汉：湖北人民出版社,1983
[72]托马斯.增长的质量[M].北京：中国财政经济出版社,1999
[73]武义青.经济增长质量的度量方法及其应用[J].管理现代化,1995.5
[74]钟学义.增长方式转变与增长质量提高[M].北京：经济管理出版社,2001
[75]彭德芬.经济增长质量研究[M].武汉：华中师范大学出版社,2002
[76]Holli B. Chenery. Patterns of Industrial Growth[J]. American Economic Review,1960 (50):624-654
[77]Ramey G, V A Ramey. Cross-country evidence on the link between volatility growth [J]. American Economic and Review,1995 (5):1138-1151
[78]Barro, R. J.. Inflation and Growth [J]. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review,1996,78
[79]Turnovsky, S. J. and P. Chattopadhyay. Volatility and Growth in Developing Economies: Some Numerical Results and Empirical Evidence[J]. Journal of International Economics, 2003,59(2):267-295
[80]Murphy K., A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny. Income Distribution, Market Size and Industrialization[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1989,104,537-564
[81]Persson, Torsten, and Guido Tabellini. Is Inequality Harmful for Growth:Theory and Evidence[J]. American Economic Review,1994,84:600-621
[82]Alesina, A. and Perotti, R.. Income Distribution, Political Instability and Economic Growth[J]. European Economic Review,1996 (40):1203-1228
[83]Barro,R.J.. Inequality and Growth in a Panel of Countries[J]. Journal of Economic Growth, 2000,5(1):5-32
[84]Barro, R.J., M.. McCleary. Religion and Economic Growth[J]. Harvard University,2003
[85]多恩布什,费希尔.宏观经济学[M].中国人民大学出版社,1997：239
[86]Robert J.B.. Quantity and Quality of Economic Growth [J]. Working Papers Firm Central Bank of Chile,2002
[87]李京文,D.乔根森等.生产率与中美日经济增长研究[M].北京：中国社会科学出版社,1993
[88]周振华.现代经济增长中的结构效应[M].上海三联书店,1995
[89]郭克莎.中国：改革中的经济增长与结构变动[M].上海人民出版社,1996
[90]贺铿.中国投资、消费比例与经济发展政策[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2006.5：3-10
[91]邵宜航,刘雅南.二元经济的结构转变与增长分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007.10：3-13
[92]Solow, R.M.. A contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics.1956,70(1)
[93]Solow, R.M.. Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function[J]. Review of Economics and Statistics,1957,39(8)
[94]Schultz, T.W.. Investment in Human Capital [J]. American Economic Review,1961(51):1-17
[95]D.Jorgenson and Z.Criliches. The Explanation of Productivity Change[J]. Review of Economic Studies,1967(3):34
[96]张国初.前沿生产函数、要素使用效率的全要素生产率[J].数量经济技术经济研究,1996.9
[97]刘小玄,郑京海.国有企业效率的决定因素：1985-1994[J].经济研究,1998.1
[98]涂正革,肖耿.中国的工业生产力革命——用随机前沿生产模型对中国大中型上业企业全要素生产率增长的分解及分析[[J].经济研究,2005.3
[99]张军,施少华.中国经济全要素生产率变动：1952-1998[J].世界经济文汇,2003.2
[100]郭庆旺,贾俊雪.中国全要素生产率的估算：1979-2004[J].经济研究,2005.6
[101]Gera S, Johnson P. Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behavior [J]. Applied Economics,1995,32:384-407
[102]Hansen D.W.. Information Technology and the U.S. Economy[J]. American Economic Review,2001,91:1-32
[103]Jalava J., Pohjola M.. Economic Growth in the New Economy: Evidence from Advanced Economies [J]. Information Economics and Policy,2002,14:189-210
[104]Colecchia A. Is the United States a Unique Case:A Comparative Study of Nine OECD Countries[J]. Review of Economic Dynamics,2002,5:408-442
[105]莫卫平.信息产业对经济增长的影响与我国信息产业的发展[J].生产力研究,2002(5)：219-211
[106]鞠成晓,李慧丽.发展信息产业、促进产业结构升级[J].内蒙古科技与经济,2003(5)：35-37
[107]邓常春.印度信息产业的发展对经济增长和社会变革的影响[J].南亚研究季刊,2003(4)：26-31
[108]李荣,崔执树.信息产业的可持续发展对安徽经济增长的效益分析[J].特区经济,2006(7)：198-202
[109]巩雪.我国信息产业对经济增长的影响[D].吉林大学硕士论文,2009
[110]沈利生,王恒.增加值率下降意味着什么[J].经济研究,2006(3)：59-66
[111]易纲,樊纲,李岩.关于中国经济增长与全要素生产率的理论思考[J].经济研究,2003(2)：17-20
[112]张军,施少华.中国经济全要素生产率变动[J].世界经济文汇,2003(2)：17-24
[113]李平.加快信息产业发展,促进经济增长[J].现代经济,2009.8
[114]屈超.信息经济对产业划分的影响[J].山东财政学院学报,2004.6
[115]郭东强,王志江.论企业信息化建设投入对企业产出增长的贡献.管理信息系统,2000.10
[116]张新立,田野.中国信息产业与经济增长关系实证分析[J].大连海事大学学报(社科版),2009.5
[117]马费成,靖继鹏.信息经济分析[M].北京：科学技术文献出版社,2005.3
[118]费里兹.马克卢普.美国知识的生产与分配[M].北京：商务印书馆,1985.7
[119]Porat, M.V. The Information Economy[M]. Washington, DC, Government Printing Office, 1965.
[120]骆正山.信息经济学[M].机械工业出版社,2007.3
[121]刘昭东.关于中国信息产业的发展问题的思考[J].信息世界,1994(1)：85-87
[122]赵伟.信息产业研究的由来和现状[J].津图学刊,1999(2)：39-48
[123]蒲艳萍.第三产业带动我国就业增长的实证分析[J].南京师范大学学报,2005.2
[124]魏博.我国信息产业政策研究[D].复旦大学,2009.4
[125]马费成.信息经济学[M].武汉大学出版社,1997.8：212
[126]阎小培.信息产业的概念与分类[J].地域研究与开发,1998.12:16-18
[127]靖继鹏.应用信息经济学[M].北京：科学出版社,2007,9：165-167
[128]王忻.信息产业发展机理及测度理论与方法研究[D].吉林大学,2008.10
[129]郭熙保,刘莹.工业化、信息化与信息产业[J].经济理论与经济管理,2002.3：26-30
[130]黎苑楚.信息产业演进规律与发展模式研究[D].武汉大学,2005.5
[131]陈小磊,郑建明.基于菲德模型的信息产业细分要素对经济增长的贡献分析[J].情报研究,2009.7：36-39
[132]刘春梅,唐守廉.我国互联网数字鸿沟研究——基于网民内部结构特征的分析[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2008.12
[133]司有和.信息产业学[M].重庆：重庆出版社,2001
[134]吕新奎.中国信息化[M].北京：电子工业出版社,2002
[135]Rogers E M.. Diffusion of Innovations 4thed[M]. New York. The Free Press,1995
[136]谢琦.论数量型经济增长向质量型经济增长的转型[J].新疆大学学报(哲学,人文社会科学版),2007.9第五期第35卷
[137]Koning J., Mosley H.. Labor Market Policy and Unemployment: Impact and Process Evaluations in Selected European Countries Cheltenham [M]. Edward Elgar Press,2001
[138]吴成福,王艳萍.论信息科技对创新型经济的能动作用[J].郑州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2006.7
[139]苏惠香.网络经济技术创新与扩散效应研究[D].东北财经大学,2007.6
[140]马克思,恩格斯.马克思恩格斯全集[M].人民出版社,1980
[141]王鹏飞.美国信息产业发展现状浅析[J].现代企业教育,2005.8
[142]程瑾,蔡筱英.信息产业与可持续发展战略[J].情报科学,2000(3)：210-213
[143]张海峰.对当今世界信息产业发展特点分析[J].情报资料工作,1995(6)：3-6
[144]杨列勋.国外信息产业发展模式比较研究[J].情报资料工作,1994(1)：39-40
[145]杨谷.信息产业拉动就业新需求[N].光明日报,2002.10.9
[146]张安珍.论中国特色信息产业发展道路[J].中国图书馆学报,1998(2)：24-30
[147]谢圣赞.美国信息产业发展的经验与启示[J].软科学,2001,(6)：60-65
[148]人民日报编辑部.信息产业发展令世界瞩日：移动电话固定电话用户居世界首位,消费类电子产品位于世界前列[N].人民日报,2002-10-14(1)
[149]中国信息导报编辑部.“十五”期间信息产业发展目标与任务[J].中国信息导报,2001(3)：11-12
[150]朗诵真.企业可持续发展的知识竞争战略思考[J].情报理论与实践,2000,(2)108-110
[151]张安珍.论信息产业与经济可持续发展[J].图书与情报,2005.4
[152]戴雯.信息产业促进城市竞争力提升的机理和路径研究[J].沈阳建筑大学学报(社科版),2009.10 Vol.11,No.4：456-59
[153]徐姗,韩民春.信息要素对经济增长的贡献研究——基于中国2001-2006年Panel Data的经验分析.情报杂志,2009.6(6)：80-85
[154]李津津.我国结构性失业的实证分析[J].消息导刊,2009.3：123-124
[155]Engle, Robert F. and C.W.J.Granger. Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econimetrica,1987,55:251-276
[156]Granger C.. Investing Casual Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Method[J]. Econometric,1969(37):424-438
[157]Granger C.. Modeling Economic Series[M]. Oxford Clarendon Press,1990
[158]李俊霖.中国经济增长质量[D].华中科技大学,2007.10
[159]李变花.中国经济增长质量研究[D].吉林大学,2005.5
[160]吴基传.信息产业实现历史性跨越[J].光明日报,1999.9
[161]葛新元,王大辉,袁强等.中国经济结构变化对经济增长的贡献计量分析.北京师范大学学报,2000.2
[162]曲维枝.信息产业与我国经济社会发展[M].北京：人民出版社,2002
[163]胡永远.人力资本与经济增长：一个协整分析[J].科技管理研究,2005.4
[164]唐.泰普斯科特著,米克斯译.范式的转变——信息技术的前景[M].大连：东北财经大学出版社.McGraw-Hill出版公司,1999
[165]Gordon Robert. Does the 'New Economy'Measure Up to the Great Inventions of the Past[J]. Northestern,2000.7
[166]Jorgenson,D., Stiroh,K.. Rasing the Speed Limit: U.S. Economic Growth in the Information Age[J]. Brooking Papers on Economic Activity,2000:129-160
[167]Jorgenson, D., Stiroh, K.. Information Technology and Growth[J]. American Economic Review,1999.2. pp:161-167
[168]R. J. Barro and X. Sala-i-Martin. Economic Growth,2nd Ed [M]. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass.,2004
[169]Oliner, Stephen D., Daniel E. Sichel. The Resurgence of Growth in the Late 1990s:Is Information Technology the Story[J]. Federal Reserve Board,2000.2
[170]郑玉歆.全要素生产率的再认识——用FTP分析经济增长质量存在的若干局限[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007.9
[171]吴家培.要重视信息技术与信息资源对经济增长集约化的作用[J].经济与信息,1997(5)：43-45
[172]陶磊.能源要素与经济增长模型及实证研究[D].西南交通大学.2008.6
[173]徐姗,韩民春.信息要素对经济增长的贡献研究——基于中国2001-2006年Panel Data的经验分析[J].情报杂志,2009.6第6期28卷pp：80-85
[174]李子奈,鲁传一.管理创新在经济增长中贡献的定量分析[J].清华大学学报,2002,(2)：25-31
[175]岳书敬,刘朝阳.人力资本与区域全要素生产率分析[J].经济研究,2006,4：90-96
[176]欧阳煌,张宇蕊.财政政策促进中国内生经济增长的经验分析[J].系统工程,2006,10： 72-76
[177]Gianni Amisano, Carlo Giannini. Topics in Structural VAR Econometrecs,2nd edition [M]. Springer Verlag Berlin Heidelberg Press,1997
[178]Dickey D. A., Fuller W. A.. Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root[J]. Journal of the American Statistical Association,1979(74):427-431
[179]JohansenS.. Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors[J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,1988,12:231-254
[180]Johansen S.. Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models[J]. Econometreca,1991,59(6):1551-1580
[181]赵鑫,高斌.全要素生产率与中国邮政经济增长[J].南京邮电学院学报(自然科学版),2001.1：72-75
[182]张世英,樊智.协整理论与波动模型：金融时间序列分析及应用[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2009.5
[183]龚玉泉,袁志刚.中国经济增长与就业增长的非一致性及其形成机理[J].经济学动态,2002.10
[184]高斌.通信经济学[M].北京：人民邮电出版社,2004.3
[185]徐冬林.中国产业结构变迁与经济增长的实证分析[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2004.2：49-54
[186]屈超.信息经济对产业划分的影响[J].山东财政学院学报,2004.6
[187]游星源,熊肃利.论信息产业在产业结构升级中的作用[J].湖北经济学院学报(人文社会科学版),2008.2
[188]邬义均.产业经济学[M].北京：中国统计出版社,1997
[189]汪同三.产业政策与经济增长[M].北京：社会科学文献出版社,1996
[190]何伟,夏莘栋.信息化与中国产业结构优化[J].重庆邮电学院学报(社会科学版),2006.5
[191]Abraham H. Maslow.. A Theory of Human Motivation[J]. Humanistic and Transcendent Experience, Vol 2,9,1965
[192]芮鸿程.信息化对促进经济增长的多维透析[J].山西财经大学学报,2004.1
[193]杨学钰.中国产业结构升级与信息化发展[D].中国科学院,2000.4
[194]世界银行.世界发展报告(中译本)[M].中国财政经济出版社,1996：28
[195]王永治.我国经济结构的战略性调整[M].中国计划出版社,1999：46
[196]谢兰云,王维国.我国信息化水平与经济增长关系的灰色系统分析[J].情报杂志,2008.3
[197]吴先华,郭际.信息产业与经济增长：基于协整和灰色关联理论的研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2006(2)
[198]邓聚龙.灰色系统与农业[J].山西农业科学,1985(6)：34-37
[199]易德生,郭萍.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京：科学管理技术文献出版社,1992
[200](美)科林.卡梅隆,普拉温.特里维迪.微观计量经济学方法与应用[M].机械工业出版社,2008.3
[201]鞠成晓,李慧丽.发展信息产业,促进产业结构升级[J]. 内蒙古科技与经济,2003.5
[202]陈春明.信息产业与可持续发展[J].黑龙江社会科学,2005.4
[203]丁媛.技术进步对我国就业总量和就业结构的影响研究[D].西南交通大学,2004.11
[204]乔晓华.我国信息产业发展对经济增长和就业结构的影响[J].经济纵横,2005.8
[205]何景熙.探索充分就业之路：成都平原农村人力资源开发研究[M].四川大学出版社,2000
[206]郑丽琳,马成文.信息产业：缓解就业压力的突破口[J].中国国情国力,2007.6
[207]唐敏.信息产业与经济增长：基于产业关联理论的研究[J].华商,2008(18)
[208]怀铁铮.信息化：中国的出路与对策[M].北京：机械工业出版社,2006.1
[209]乌家培等.信息经济学[M].北京：高等教育出版社,2002.6
[210]叶飞文.要素投入与中国经济增长[M].北京：北京大学出版社,2004
[211]张海军.实现我国充分就业的路径探索与政策选择[D].厦门大学,2009.4
[212]刘海英.中国经济增长质量研究[D].吉林大学,2005.6
[213]崔永涛.信息产业对我国经济发展的贡献研究[D].湖南大学,2008.9
[214]储节旺,谢阳群.美国信息产业对创新型经济发展的作用研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2005.7
[215]F.M.谢勒著.技术创新-经济增长的原动力[M].北京：新华出版社,2001
[216]Carl Shapiro, Harl R. Varian. The art of standards wars [J]. California Management Review, 1999, (18):8-32
[217]Bohi, D.R.. On the Macroeconomic Effects of Energy Price Shocks[J]. Resources and Energy,1991 (2)
[218]李岳平.经济增长质量评估体系及实证分析[J].江苏统计,2001.5
[219]李京文.快速发展中的中国经济[M].社会科学文献出版社,1996
[220]钞小静.经济增长质量：一种理论解释及中国的实证分析[D].西北大学,2009.6
[221]李建伟.中国三次产业结构与经济增长相互关系研究[D].中国人民大学,2008.5
[222]陈静.现代经济条件下信息产业结构研究[D].中国人民大学,2008.5
[223]罗润东.中国劳动力就业：从转轨经济到知识经济[M].北京：经济科学出版社,2002
[224]Romer, P. E.. Endogenous Technological Changes[J]. Journal of Political Economy, Vol.98, No5,1990:71-102
[225]Grossman, Gene and E. Helpman. Quality Ladder and Product Cycle[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1991:557-586
[226]郭瑜.中国产业结构变迁及对经济增长的影响[D].中国人民大学,2009.4
[227]Hollis B.Chenery. Structural Change and Development Policy[M]. Oxford University Press,1979:108
[228]H.B.钱纳里,吴奇等译.工业化和经济增长的比较研究[M].上海：三联书店、上海人民出版社,1995
[229]郭金龙,张许颖.结构变动对经济增长方式转变的作用分析.数量经济技术经济研究,1998.9
[230]熊斌.关于我国的结构性失业分析与治理[J].人口与经济,2001.3
[231]董志强.结构性失业理论及其对中国失业状况的解释[J].重庆工学院学报,2001.1
[232]Samuelson, Paul. And William Nordhaus. Economics.14th Edition[M]. McGraw-Hill Inc., 1992
[233]杨小凯,张永生.新兴古典经济学与超边际分析[M].北京：中国人民出版社,2000
[234]Schumpeter, J. A. The Theory of Economic Development [M]. Cambridge Mass:Harvard University Press,1934
[235]Katz.M., Sharpio.C System Competition and Network Effects [J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives,1994(2):93-115
[236]Rubart J. The Employment Effects of Technological Change Heterogenous Labor, Wage Inequality and Unemployment[M]. New York:Springer,2007
[237]Nickell S. Unemployment and Labor Market Rigidities:Europe versus North America [J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives,1997,11 (3):55-74
[238]Aghion P, Howitt P. Centre for Economic Policy R. Growth and Unemployment[M]. Economic Policy Research,1991
[239]Blanchard O, Fischer S. Lectures on Macroeconomics[M]. MIT Press,1989
[240]McCulloch J.R., Locke J. The Principles of Political Economy:With a Sketch of the Rise and Progress of the Science [M]. London: William Tait,1830
[241]Aghion P, Caroli E, Garcia-Penalosa C. Inequality and Economic Growth:The Perspective of the New Growth Theories [J]. Journal of Economic Literature,1999,37 (4):1615-1660
[242]Howitt P. Adjusting to technological change[J]. Canadian Journal of Economics,1994, 27:763-775
[243]Pissarides C.. Equilibrium Unemployment Theory[M]. Cambridge:MIT Press,2000
[244]Okun A.. Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance, American Statistical Association in Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section 1962[M]. Minneapolis, Minnesota,1962:98-104
[245]Beveridge W.H.. Full Employment in a Free Society[M]. London:Geoprge Allen & Unwin, 1944
[246]Blanchard O.J., Diamond P.. The Beveridge Curve, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity[J].1989,1:1-76
[247]Pissarides C.A.. Short-run Equilibrium Dynamics of Unemployment, Vacancies, and Real Wages[J]. American Economic Review,1985,75:676-690
[248]Phelps E.S.. Structural Slumps:The Modern Equilibrium Theory of Unemployment, Interest, and Assets[M]. Cambridge, Mass:Harvard University Press,1994
[249]Nazi H. M.. Structural Unemplyment, Cyclical Unemployment, and Income Inequality[J]. The Review of Economics and Statistics,1999,2:81-82