我国西部干线飞机颠簸分布规律分析
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摘要
飞机颠簸是影响飞行安全的重要因素,飞机颠簸的分布规律和预报方法一直是航空气象研究的重点。由于飞机颠簸资料很难获取,目前对飞机颠簸分布规律研究的很少,然而管制人员和签派员迫切希望了解飞机颠簸分布规律。鉴于此,本文阐述了与飞机颠簸有关的气象条件和物理量场,以及我国西南地区航空气候特点。通过统计我国西部干线飞机过载数据,得出我国西部干线航线飞机颠簸出现的高度和概率,总结西部干线颠簸的分布规律。最后通过个例分析,说明物理量场与飞机颠簸的关系。
本文研究的主要内容包括:
(1)分析飞机颠簸与物理量场的关系;
(2)收集飞机颠簸实际观测资料及QAR数据;
(3)分析我国西部干线飞机颠簸的出现及分布规律,内容包括不同航线的颠簸发生次数、出现高度、出现时间及不同强度的颠簸出现概率;
(4)总结我国西部干线飞机颠簸出现和分布规律;
(5)对有代表性的颠簸个例进行气象原因分析。
研究表明,通过对我国西部干线飞机颠簸出现和分布规律的研究,总结现有航线的颠簸分布情况,研究成果对估计西部干线颠簸出现区域,出现高度和强度提供理论基础,对做好飞机颠簸预报、搞好航班安排和签派放行有重要意义。
Airplane turbulence is an important factor affecting flight safety, airplane turbulence distribution law and prediction methods are always the focus of aviation meterological study. As the airplane turbulence data is difficult to obtain, there have been few studies into the distribution law of airplane turbulence, which air traffic controllers and flight dispatchers are eager to know though. In view of this, weather condition, physical quantity field and climate characteristics of China related to airplane turbulence were discussed in this paper, and then, the height and the probability of airplane turbulance were obtained through overload statistics of China’s western trunk air routes. Western trunk routes turbulence was summarized. At last, the relationship of airplane turbulence and physical quantity field was analyzed.
The main research contents of this paper include:
(1) Meteorological analysis was made for representative case.
(2) Actual observation data of airplane turbulence and QAR data were collected.
(3) The appearance and distribution of airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes were analyzed, including turbulence occurrence times of different airlines, appearance height, appearance time and turbulence probability of different intensity.
(4) The appearance and distribution law of airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes were summarized.
(5) The relationship of airplane turbulence and quantum field theory was analyzed in combination with airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes.
This paper explored the appearance and distribution law of airplane turbulence of Chian’s western trunk air routes, and summarized turbulence distribution of current airlines. The research result provided theoretical basis for forecasting appearance zone, height and intensity of airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes, also is significance for improving airplane turbulence forecast accuracy, flight arrangement and dispatch.
本文研究的主要内容包括:
(1)分析飞机颠簸与物理量场的关系;
(2)收集飞机颠簸实际观测资料及QAR数据;
(3)分析我国西部干线飞机颠簸的出现及分布规律,内容包括不同航线的颠簸发生次数、出现高度、出现时间及不同强度的颠簸出现概率;
(4)总结我国西部干线飞机颠簸出现和分布规律;
(5)对有代表性的颠簸个例进行气象原因分析。
研究表明,通过对我国西部干线飞机颠簸出现和分布规律的研究,总结现有航线的颠簸分布情况,研究成果对估计西部干线颠簸出现区域,出现高度和强度提供理论基础,对做好飞机颠簸预报、搞好航班安排和签派放行有重要意义。
Airplane turbulence is an important factor affecting flight safety, airplane turbulence distribution law and prediction methods are always the focus of aviation meterological study. As the airplane turbulence data is difficult to obtain, there have been few studies into the distribution law of airplane turbulence, which air traffic controllers and flight dispatchers are eager to know though. In view of this, weather condition, physical quantity field and climate characteristics of China related to airplane turbulence were discussed in this paper, and then, the height and the probability of airplane turbulance were obtained through overload statistics of China’s western trunk air routes. Western trunk routes turbulence was summarized. At last, the relationship of airplane turbulence and physical quantity field was analyzed.
The main research contents of this paper include:
(1) Meteorological analysis was made for representative case.
(2) Actual observation data of airplane turbulence and QAR data were collected.
(3) The appearance and distribution of airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes were analyzed, including turbulence occurrence times of different airlines, appearance height, appearance time and turbulence probability of different intensity.
(4) The appearance and distribution law of airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes were summarized.
(5) The relationship of airplane turbulence and quantum field theory was analyzed in combination with airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes.
This paper explored the appearance and distribution law of airplane turbulence of Chian’s western trunk air routes, and summarized turbulence distribution of current airlines. The research result provided theoretical basis for forecasting appearance zone, height and intensity of airplane turbulence of western trunk air routes, also is significance for improving airplane turbulence forecast accuracy, flight arrangement and dispatch.
引文
[1] Baughman,E.E.Jr. Turbulence with a stable lapse rate[J]. Bull Amer Meteor Soc. 1946 27: 459-462
[2] Dutton,J.A., and H.A.Panofsky, Clear air turbulence[J]. Science, 1970, 167: 937-944
[3] Gary P Ellord al.An Objective Clear—Air Turbulence Forecasting Technigue:Verification and Operational Use[J]. Weather and Forecasting, 1992, 3
[4] Gultepe,I., and D.O’C.Starr, Dynamic structure and turbulence in cirrus clouds: Aircraft observations during FIRE[J]. J.Atmos.Sci., 1995, 52: 4159-4182
[5] Guest F. M., M. J. Reeder, C. j. Marks, and D. J. Karoly, Inertial gravity waves observed in the lower stratosphere over Macquarie Island[J]. J. Atmos. Sci., 2000, 57: 737-752
[6] Nappo, C., Gravity wave in the atmosphere[J]. Academic Press, 2004, 6: 160
[7] Griffiths, M., and M.J.Reeder, Stratospheric inertial-gravity waves generated in a numerical model of frontogenesis[J].Ⅰ:Model solutions,Quart.J.Roy.Meteor.Soc., 1996, 122: 1153-1174
[8] Guest F.M., M.J.Reeder, C.j.Marks,and D.J.Karoly, Inertial-gravity waves observed in the lower stratosphere over Macquarie Island[J]. J.Atmos.Sci,2000, 57: 737-752
[9] Snyder, C., W.C.Skamarock, and R.Rotunno, Frontal dynamics near and following frontal collapse[J]. J.Atmos.Sci., 1993, 50: 3194-3211
[10]王洪芳,金维明.飞机颠簸及预报方法研究[J].气象科技,1997, 1: 29-34
[11]朱志愚.高空急流区飞机颠簸的一种形成机制的探讨[J].成都气象学院学报, 1997,12(4):298-302
[12]陈华利.飞机颠簸的预报[J].四川气象, 1999, 19(3):32-33
[13]邹波.地面加热对飞机颠簸影响的动力学初步分析[J].南京气象学院学报, 2004, 27(4):527-531
[14]李子良,黄仪方.重力惯性波及其不稳定—急流附近飞机颠簸产生的可能机制[J].高原气象,2008, 27(4): 859-865
[15]李子良,黄仪方.地形影响的飞机颠簸及其数值仿真实验[J].气象,2006, 32(11): 32-35
[16]李子良,黄仪方.大气湍流引起飞机颠簸动力学理论和数值实验研究[EB/OL].中国科技论文在线http://www.paper.edu.cn, 2008-01-11
[17]黄仪方,马丽梅,隋进等.我国高原航线飞机颠簸分布规律及卫星云图特征分析[J].飞行技术与航空安全研究, 2006, 8:474-480
[18]民用航空飞行事故汇编(1980—1989)[G].中国民用航空局汇编,1991
[19]钟中,张金善.理查逊数和晴空颠簸的关系[J].气象科学, 1996,16(1):56-61
[20]俞飞等.华北地区晴空颠簸的分类特征及分析[J].气象, 2008, 34(8):16-19
[21]黄仪方.卫星云图上的卷云云型与晴空颠簸[J].四川气象, 2002, 22(1): 42-45
[22]黄仪方,张云瑾.卫星云图上产生飞机颠簸的云状模式[J].云南大学学报(自然科学版)2005, 2: 298-301
[23]陈玉春,钱正安.夏季青藏高原地形对其东侧低空急流动力影响的数值模拟[J].高原气象,1993, 12(03):312-321
[24]卓嘎,徐祥德,陈联寿.青藏高原边界层高度特征对大气环流动力学效应的数值试验[J].应用气象学报, 2002, 13(2): 163-169
[25]刘新,吴国雄,李伟平.夏季青藏高原加热和环流场的日变化[J].地球科学进展, 2006, 21(12): 1273-1282
[26]徐海,黄仪方.成都—拉萨航线一次产重颠簸过程分析[J].中国民航飞行学院学报,2007, 6: 3-7
[27]沈新勇,倪允琪,丁一汇等.中尺度斜交不稳定的波动性质及其数值模拟[J].气象学报,2007, 65(6): 825-835
[28]牟艳彬.高原航空天气特征和航空气象服务保障[J].四川气象,2007,2:26-31
[29]郁淑华.高原低涡东移过程的水汽图像[J].高原气象, 2002, 21(2): 199-204
[30]高文良,郁淑华.高原低涡东移出高原的平均环流场分析[J].高原气象, 2007,26(1): 206-212
[31]张弘,孙伟,陈卫东.中尺度对流系统(MCSs)散度场的特殊结构[J].陕西气象, 2003, 2: 1-5
[32]黄仪方.朱志愚.航空气象[M].成都:西南交通大学出版社,2002年:131-167
[33]伍荣生.大气动力学[M].北京:气象出版社,1990年:45-78
[2] Dutton,J.A., and H.A.Panofsky, Clear air turbulence[J]. Science, 1970, 167: 937-944
[3] Gary P Ellord al.An Objective Clear—Air Turbulence Forecasting Technigue:Verification and Operational Use[J]. Weather and Forecasting, 1992, 3
[4] Gultepe,I., and D.O’C.Starr, Dynamic structure and turbulence in cirrus clouds: Aircraft observations during FIRE[J]. J.Atmos.Sci., 1995, 52: 4159-4182
[5] Guest F. M., M. J. Reeder, C. j. Marks, and D. J. Karoly, Inertial gravity waves observed in the lower stratosphere over Macquarie Island[J]. J. Atmos. Sci., 2000, 57: 737-752
[6] Nappo, C., Gravity wave in the atmosphere[J]. Academic Press, 2004, 6: 160
[7] Griffiths, M., and M.J.Reeder, Stratospheric inertial-gravity waves generated in a numerical model of frontogenesis[J].Ⅰ:Model solutions,Quart.J.Roy.Meteor.Soc., 1996, 122: 1153-1174
[8] Guest F.M., M.J.Reeder, C.j.Marks,and D.J.Karoly, Inertial-gravity waves observed in the lower stratosphere over Macquarie Island[J]. J.Atmos.Sci,2000, 57: 737-752
[9] Snyder, C., W.C.Skamarock, and R.Rotunno, Frontal dynamics near and following frontal collapse[J]. J.Atmos.Sci., 1993, 50: 3194-3211
[10]王洪芳,金维明.飞机颠簸及预报方法研究[J].气象科技,1997, 1: 29-34
[11]朱志愚.高空急流区飞机颠簸的一种形成机制的探讨[J].成都气象学院学报, 1997,12(4):298-302
[12]陈华利.飞机颠簸的预报[J].四川气象, 1999, 19(3):32-33
[13]邹波.地面加热对飞机颠簸影响的动力学初步分析[J].南京气象学院学报, 2004, 27(4):527-531
[14]李子良,黄仪方.重力惯性波及其不稳定—急流附近飞机颠簸产生的可能机制[J].高原气象,2008, 27(4): 859-865
[15]李子良,黄仪方.地形影响的飞机颠簸及其数值仿真实验[J].气象,2006, 32(11): 32-35
[16]李子良,黄仪方.大气湍流引起飞机颠簸动力学理论和数值实验研究[EB/OL].中国科技论文在线http://www.paper.edu.cn, 2008-01-11
[17]黄仪方,马丽梅,隋进等.我国高原航线飞机颠簸分布规律及卫星云图特征分析[J].飞行技术与航空安全研究, 2006, 8:474-480
[18]民用航空飞行事故汇编(1980—1989)[G].中国民用航空局汇编,1991
[19]钟中,张金善.理查逊数和晴空颠簸的关系[J].气象科学, 1996,16(1):56-61
[20]俞飞等.华北地区晴空颠簸的分类特征及分析[J].气象, 2008, 34(8):16-19
[21]黄仪方.卫星云图上的卷云云型与晴空颠簸[J].四川气象, 2002, 22(1): 42-45
[22]黄仪方,张云瑾.卫星云图上产生飞机颠簸的云状模式[J].云南大学学报(自然科学版)2005, 2: 298-301
[23]陈玉春,钱正安.夏季青藏高原地形对其东侧低空急流动力影响的数值模拟[J].高原气象,1993, 12(03):312-321
[24]卓嘎,徐祥德,陈联寿.青藏高原边界层高度特征对大气环流动力学效应的数值试验[J].应用气象学报, 2002, 13(2): 163-169
[25]刘新,吴国雄,李伟平.夏季青藏高原加热和环流场的日变化[J].地球科学进展, 2006, 21(12): 1273-1282
[26]徐海,黄仪方.成都—拉萨航线一次产重颠簸过程分析[J].中国民航飞行学院学报,2007, 6: 3-7
[27]沈新勇,倪允琪,丁一汇等.中尺度斜交不稳定的波动性质及其数值模拟[J].气象学报,2007, 65(6): 825-835
[28]牟艳彬.高原航空天气特征和航空气象服务保障[J].四川气象,2007,2:26-31
[29]郁淑华.高原低涡东移过程的水汽图像[J].高原气象, 2002, 21(2): 199-204
[30]高文良,郁淑华.高原低涡东移出高原的平均环流场分析[J].高原气象, 2007,26(1): 206-212
[31]张弘,孙伟,陈卫东.中尺度对流系统(MCSs)散度场的特殊结构[J].陕西气象, 2003, 2: 1-5
[32]黄仪方.朱志愚.航空气象[M].成都:西南交通大学出版社,2002年:131-167
[33]伍荣生.大气动力学[M].北京:气象出版社,1990年:45-78