基于风险沟通的重大动物疫情应急管理完善研究
|
摘要
近年来,禽流感、口蹄疫、甲型H1N1、猪链球菌等重大公共卫生突发事件的频繁发生,引起了社会各界的高度关注。作为这些突发公共事件罪魁祸首的重大动物疫病,具有致病性强、易感性烈、传播迅速、人畜共患等特点；并随着经济发展及公众消费结构的转变,正通过食物链将更多的人暴露在动物疫情风险之下,引起了更广泛人群的关注和反应。其所造成的社会经济影响已远远超过其对人类健康或环境造成的直接危害,极易引发大规模公共卫生危机,形成社会恐慌和政府的信任危机。对于“稳定压倒一切”为发展前提的中国,重大动物疫情的频发对我国政府突发事件应急管理能力提出了严峻考验。
由于重大动物疫情应急管理是一个社会性突发事件管理问题,公众的有效参与和协同应对必不可少。综观前人研究成果,大量理论分析和经验研究证明,有效的风险沟通,能够激发公众理性、降低公众恐慌程度、促使公众对突发事件风险形成准确的认知,并进行理性行为决策,平缓疫情的社会影响。因此,突发事件应急管理的顺利实施及其有效性,取决于利益相关群体理性风险认知及风险应对行为的形成,而风险沟通为此提供了有效的途径。那么在重大动物疫情应急管理领域,风险沟通的作用机理如何?如何通过风险沟通合理调整利益相关群体的风险认知和决策行为,协同理性应对重大动物疫情风险?如何从风险沟通的角度,提升重大动物疫情应急管理效能,完善我国重大动物疫情的应急管理?是极具实际研究意义的问题。
本论文以风险认知理论、风险的社会放大框架、利益相关者理论以及前景理论等为基础,从理论和经验角度分析了风险沟通在重大动物疫情应急管理中的作用机理和完善途径。并以养殖农户及消费者的问卷调研数据为依据,运用案例分析、因子分析、结构方程模型以及多元有序选择模型等方法,以养殖农户和消费者为重点研究对象,基于重大动物疫情突发情景中疫情相关信息对养殖农户及消费者风险认知与决策行为的影响机理及路径的实证分析,对我国重大动物疫情应急管理过程中政府-养殖农户和政府-消费者风险沟通策略进行了深入探讨。在此基础上,从风险沟通角度对我国重大动物疫情应急管理的完善提出意见和政策建议,期望借助贯穿应急管理始终的风险沟通机制来解决政府在重大动物疫情应急管理方面存在的诸多问题。论文分为七章,主要的研究结论如下：
(1)基于前景理论分别构建了重大动物疫情下个体行为决策模型和群体行为空间模型,从理论上论证了风险沟通在动物疫情应急管理中的作用机理。结果表明,风险沟通可调节个体决策者对风险内容和风险发生概率的感知以及对政府的信任程度,来优化其决策价值函数,降低个体对动物疫情突发事件的过度敏感性,促使公众采取积极的风险应对行为。风险沟通过程中,增加疫病风险内容信息、疫病发生概率信息和政府控制措施信息三类信息的密度,可有效缩小重大动物疫病突发事件下的公众群体行为空间,降低政府应急管理难度。
(2)通过我国禽流感事件、四川猪链球菌事件以及英国疯牛病事件的案例分析,从实践角度论证了风险沟通在重大动物疫情应急管理中的作用,重点分析了养殖农户和消费者两个群体在重大动物疫情突发事件中的角色以及政府对其采取的沟通措施及应急效果。分析表明,风险沟通是动物疫情应急管理的有效手段,合理的风险沟通可以起到有效疫情控制作用,反之,将扩大动物疫情的负面影响。养殖农户对动物疫情风险的认知及其应对行为直接影响政府疫情控制措施的实施及有效性,而消费者对突发动物疫情下的安全风险感知及应对行为又决定了动物疫情突发事件影响的深度和广度。因此,养殖农户和消费者是重大动物疫情应急管理风险沟通的重点对象,在应急管理中要注重把握养殖农户及消费者的风险认知状况,采取合适的风险沟通策略。
(3)通过疫病风险信息对养殖农户风险认知及行为决策的影响机理及路径的实证研究,分析了重大动物疫情应急管理中政府-养殖农户的风险沟通策略。结果表明,疫病内容信息、疫病概率信息和政府控制措施信息以风险认知为中介变量,对农户决策行为具有显著影响,是动物疫情风险沟通重点传递的信息内容。政府在与养殖农户进行风险信息交流时,应偏重使用视频、音频、图示,以及人际之间的信息交流与培训。同时,区分信息的实时性差异并选择合适的信息沟通渠道,对于大部分疫病内容信息可以主要通过书籍、报刊、资料等形式发放给养殖农户,多用图示讲解的形式宣传疫情信息风险内容。对于疫病发生概率信息和政府控制措施信息,更多要求实时性传达给养殖农户,这类信息的沟通渠道以电视为主,沟通过程中要综合运用电视、广播、报刊、网络等渠道。
(4)通过疫病风险信息对消费者风险认知及行为决策的影响机理及路径的实证研究,分析了重大动物疫情应急管理中政府-消费者的风险沟通策略。结果表明,重大动物疫情发生时,消费者的风险认知主要有健康损失、社会损失、心理损失和金钱损失四个维度,其中身体健康损失是最重要的维度。降低消费者动物疫情下食品质量安全风险认知的信息渠道按显著性降序排序依次为：政府、报纸、电视、专家,其中政府渠道的影响最为显著；消费者的文化程度、疫情时期食品安全风险的认知、以及非疫情时期市场上食品质量安全水平的评价对其自身积极消费行为存在显著影响。在重大动物疫情应急管理过程中,政府和消费者的风险沟通重点应放在降低消费者健康损失不确定性上。政府应主动、及时公开疫情相关信息,满足消费者的疫病信息需求,同时加强日常食品安全的监测和保障水平,维护政府权威及消费者对政府机构的信任。
本论文有别于一般的重大动物疫情应急管理研究,以风险沟通为研究视角,综合运用定性分析和定量分析法,理论和实证研究了风险沟通在重大动物疫情应急管理中的作用机理,探讨了重大动物疫情下政府-养殖农户以及政府-消费者之间风险沟通策略。提出了基于风险沟通的重大动物疫情应急管理的完善意见及政策建议。研究过程理论联系实践,研究结论更具现实参考意义。
In recent years, major public health emergencies such as avian influenza, foot and mouth disease, Influenza A H1N1and Streptococcus suits occur frequently, which has caused the high attention of all circles in society.As the chief culprit of those public emergencies, major animal epidemic diseases has a strong pathogenic susceptibility, spread rapidly, zoon tic and other characteristics; and with the changes in the structure of economic development and public consumption, through the food chain, more people are exposed to the risks of animal epidemics, caused by a broader audience's attention and reaction. The resulting socio-economic impact has been far more than the direct harm to human health or the environment, can easily lead to large-scale public health crisis, the formation of social panic and the government's crisis of confidence. In China, the "stability overrides everything" is a prerequisite for development. So the major animal epidemic-prone poses a severe test of our government emergency management capabilities.
As major animal epidemics emergency management is one of the social emergency management problems, public efficient participation and collaborative confronting are inevitable. Comprehensively reviewing previous research results, a great deal of theoretical and empirical analysis showed that efficient risk communication could inspire public rationality, reduce public panic and urge the public to form accurate risk cognition of emergency to carry out rational decision making and relieve epidemic' social influence. Therefore, the smooth implementation and efficiency of sudden events' emergency management depends on the rational risk cognition of interest-related groups and the formation of risk coping behavior, while risk communication provides effective path to it. Then what the mechanism of risk communication is in the field of major animal epidemic diseases emergency management, how to employ risk communication to appropriately adjust risk cognition of interest-related groups and coordinate to deal with major animal epidemic diseases, how to increase the efficiency of major animal epidemic diseases emergency management form the perspective of risk communication and perfect it are of great analyzing implications.
On the basis of risk perception theory, social amplification framework, stakeholder theory and prospect theory of the risk, this thesis analyzed action mechanism and perfect ways of risk communication in the emergency management of major animal epidemic from a theoretical and empirical point of view, and put forward the theoretical foundation and analytical framework. According to breeding farmers and consumers' questionnaire data, the thesis conducted in-depth discussion on government-breeding farmers and the government-consumer' risk communication strategy in the progress of major animal epidemic emergency management by using case analysis, factor analysis, structural equation modeling and multivariate ordinal Logistic model, taking aquaculture farmers and consumers as a research subject, and being based on the influence mechanism of the risk perception and decision-making behavior, and the empirical analysis of the path on the aquaculture farmers and consumer that epidemic information has influenced in major animal epidemic emergency situations.
(1) Based on the prospect theory, the thesis structured respectively the model of individual decision makers and the group behavior space and demonstrated theoretically the function mechanism of the risk communication on the Animal epidemic emergency management. The result shows that the risk communication can regulate the individual decision makers' perception on the content and the probability of occurrence of the risk and regulate their trust level on the government, in this way the risk communication can optimize the individual decision makers' value function, lessen their sensitiveness on the animal epidemic emergency and promote the public to adopt constructive behavioral pattern. During the process of risk communication, by increasing the information density of epidemic risk content, the epidemic probability and the government controlling measures, we can narrow the public space of group behavior under the circumstance of major animal epidemic emergency and reduce the difficulty of government emergency management.
(2) through case study of our country's bird flu, Streptococcus infection event in Sichuan Province and British mad cow disease, the paper demonstrates from the practical perspective the role of risk communication in managing major animal disease emergencies, focusing on analyzing the roles of the two major groups of farmers and consumers in major animal epidemic emergencies as well as the communication measures government takes and their effects. Analysis shows that, risk communication is one of the important means in dealing with animal epidemic emergency management and reasonable risk communication means could play an effective role in emergency management, conversely, would expand negative effect of animal epidemic situation. Livestock breeding farmers' cognition toward animal epidemic risk and their coping behavior directly affect the enforcement and effectiveness of government epidemic controlling measures, and consumers' perception of pork food safety risk in the context of sudden animal epidemic situation and their coping behavior decision determine the depth and breadth of animal epidemic emergencies influence. Therefore, livestock breeding farmers and consumers are the key objects of risk communication on major animal epidemic emergency management, and we should track farmers' and consumers' perceptions of risk in emergency management and take appropriate risk communication strategies.
(3) Through the empirical study on the epidemic disease information' influence mechanism and path toward risk perception and decision making behavior of livestock breeding farmers, the paper analyzes the risk communication strategies of government and livestock breeding farmers in the emergency managing of major animal epidemic disease. It shows that specific information of disease, probability information, and government' information of controlling measures take risk perception as an intermediary variable, have a significant impact on Farmers' decision-making behavior, are the messages that animal epidemic risk communication primarily conveys. When communicating with farmers on risk information, government should rely more on the use of video, audio, graphics and interpersonal information exchange and training. Meanwhile, government should distinguish real time difference of information and select appropriate channels of information communicating, for most diseases content information they can mainly employ books, newspapers, materials and the like to deliver to livestock breeding farmers, and rely more on graphic lecturing to announce epidemic information risk. As for epidemic disease shocking probability information and government controlling information, they are more required to substantially deliver to farmers, more by the means of television, comprehensively using television, radio, newspapers, networks and other channels.
(4)Through the empirical study on the epidemic disease information' influence mechanism and path toward risk perception and decision making behavior of consumers, the paper analyzes the risk communication strategies of government and consumers in the emergency managing of major animal epidemic disease. It shows that when major animal disease occurs, consumer perceptions of risk include the four dimensions, health loss, social loss, mental loss and money loss, of which physical health loss is the most important dimension. The information channels to reducing consumers' risk perception of food quality and safety in animal epidemic are followed in significant descending order as, government, newspapers, television, experts, of which the government channel has the most significant effect. Consumers' education degree, food safety risk perception during epidemic disease and food quality safety evaluation during non-epidemic period have a significant influence on their own positive consumption behavior. The priority of government and consumers' risk communication should be focused on reducing the uncertainty of consumers' health loss when dealing with major animal epidemic emergency management. And. government should voluntarily and punctually unveil epidemic disease related information to meet consumers' demand on epidemic information and meanwhile reinforce daily food safety monitoring and security level to safeguard the authority of government and consumers' trust on government.
Different from general major animal epidemic emergency management research, the paper stands from the perspective of risk communication, comprehensively use qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis methods, theoretically and empirically studies risk communication's mechanism in the major animal disease emergency management, discusses risk communication strategies of government and livestock breeding farmers and of government and consumers during major animal epidemic situation, and puts up suggestions and proposals on how to perfect major animal epidemic emergency management based on risk communication. The research process combines theory and practice, and the conclusions are far of practical reference implication.
由于重大动物疫情应急管理是一个社会性突发事件管理问题,公众的有效参与和协同应对必不可少。综观前人研究成果,大量理论分析和经验研究证明,有效的风险沟通,能够激发公众理性、降低公众恐慌程度、促使公众对突发事件风险形成准确的认知,并进行理性行为决策,平缓疫情的社会影响。因此,突发事件应急管理的顺利实施及其有效性,取决于利益相关群体理性风险认知及风险应对行为的形成,而风险沟通为此提供了有效的途径。那么在重大动物疫情应急管理领域,风险沟通的作用机理如何?如何通过风险沟通合理调整利益相关群体的风险认知和决策行为,协同理性应对重大动物疫情风险?如何从风险沟通的角度,提升重大动物疫情应急管理效能,完善我国重大动物疫情的应急管理?是极具实际研究意义的问题。
本论文以风险认知理论、风险的社会放大框架、利益相关者理论以及前景理论等为基础,从理论和经验角度分析了风险沟通在重大动物疫情应急管理中的作用机理和完善途径。并以养殖农户及消费者的问卷调研数据为依据,运用案例分析、因子分析、结构方程模型以及多元有序选择模型等方法,以养殖农户和消费者为重点研究对象,基于重大动物疫情突发情景中疫情相关信息对养殖农户及消费者风险认知与决策行为的影响机理及路径的实证分析,对我国重大动物疫情应急管理过程中政府-养殖农户和政府-消费者风险沟通策略进行了深入探讨。在此基础上,从风险沟通角度对我国重大动物疫情应急管理的完善提出意见和政策建议,期望借助贯穿应急管理始终的风险沟通机制来解决政府在重大动物疫情应急管理方面存在的诸多问题。论文分为七章,主要的研究结论如下：
(1)基于前景理论分别构建了重大动物疫情下个体行为决策模型和群体行为空间模型,从理论上论证了风险沟通在动物疫情应急管理中的作用机理。结果表明,风险沟通可调节个体决策者对风险内容和风险发生概率的感知以及对政府的信任程度,来优化其决策价值函数,降低个体对动物疫情突发事件的过度敏感性,促使公众采取积极的风险应对行为。风险沟通过程中,增加疫病风险内容信息、疫病发生概率信息和政府控制措施信息三类信息的密度,可有效缩小重大动物疫病突发事件下的公众群体行为空间,降低政府应急管理难度。
(2)通过我国禽流感事件、四川猪链球菌事件以及英国疯牛病事件的案例分析,从实践角度论证了风险沟通在重大动物疫情应急管理中的作用,重点分析了养殖农户和消费者两个群体在重大动物疫情突发事件中的角色以及政府对其采取的沟通措施及应急效果。分析表明,风险沟通是动物疫情应急管理的有效手段,合理的风险沟通可以起到有效疫情控制作用,反之,将扩大动物疫情的负面影响。养殖农户对动物疫情风险的认知及其应对行为直接影响政府疫情控制措施的实施及有效性,而消费者对突发动物疫情下的安全风险感知及应对行为又决定了动物疫情突发事件影响的深度和广度。因此,养殖农户和消费者是重大动物疫情应急管理风险沟通的重点对象,在应急管理中要注重把握养殖农户及消费者的风险认知状况,采取合适的风险沟通策略。
(3)通过疫病风险信息对养殖农户风险认知及行为决策的影响机理及路径的实证研究,分析了重大动物疫情应急管理中政府-养殖农户的风险沟通策略。结果表明,疫病内容信息、疫病概率信息和政府控制措施信息以风险认知为中介变量,对农户决策行为具有显著影响,是动物疫情风险沟通重点传递的信息内容。政府在与养殖农户进行风险信息交流时,应偏重使用视频、音频、图示,以及人际之间的信息交流与培训。同时,区分信息的实时性差异并选择合适的信息沟通渠道,对于大部分疫病内容信息可以主要通过书籍、报刊、资料等形式发放给养殖农户,多用图示讲解的形式宣传疫情信息风险内容。对于疫病发生概率信息和政府控制措施信息,更多要求实时性传达给养殖农户,这类信息的沟通渠道以电视为主,沟通过程中要综合运用电视、广播、报刊、网络等渠道。
(4)通过疫病风险信息对消费者风险认知及行为决策的影响机理及路径的实证研究,分析了重大动物疫情应急管理中政府-消费者的风险沟通策略。结果表明,重大动物疫情发生时,消费者的风险认知主要有健康损失、社会损失、心理损失和金钱损失四个维度,其中身体健康损失是最重要的维度。降低消费者动物疫情下食品质量安全风险认知的信息渠道按显著性降序排序依次为：政府、报纸、电视、专家,其中政府渠道的影响最为显著；消费者的文化程度、疫情时期食品安全风险的认知、以及非疫情时期市场上食品质量安全水平的评价对其自身积极消费行为存在显著影响。在重大动物疫情应急管理过程中,政府和消费者的风险沟通重点应放在降低消费者健康损失不确定性上。政府应主动、及时公开疫情相关信息,满足消费者的疫病信息需求,同时加强日常食品安全的监测和保障水平,维护政府权威及消费者对政府机构的信任。
本论文有别于一般的重大动物疫情应急管理研究,以风险沟通为研究视角,综合运用定性分析和定量分析法,理论和实证研究了风险沟通在重大动物疫情应急管理中的作用机理,探讨了重大动物疫情下政府-养殖农户以及政府-消费者之间风险沟通策略。提出了基于风险沟通的重大动物疫情应急管理的完善意见及政策建议。研究过程理论联系实践,研究结论更具现实参考意义。
In recent years, major public health emergencies such as avian influenza, foot and mouth disease, Influenza A H1N1and Streptococcus suits occur frequently, which has caused the high attention of all circles in society.As the chief culprit of those public emergencies, major animal epidemic diseases has a strong pathogenic susceptibility, spread rapidly, zoon tic and other characteristics; and with the changes in the structure of economic development and public consumption, through the food chain, more people are exposed to the risks of animal epidemics, caused by a broader audience's attention and reaction. The resulting socio-economic impact has been far more than the direct harm to human health or the environment, can easily lead to large-scale public health crisis, the formation of social panic and the government's crisis of confidence. In China, the "stability overrides everything" is a prerequisite for development. So the major animal epidemic-prone poses a severe test of our government emergency management capabilities.
As major animal epidemics emergency management is one of the social emergency management problems, public efficient participation and collaborative confronting are inevitable. Comprehensively reviewing previous research results, a great deal of theoretical and empirical analysis showed that efficient risk communication could inspire public rationality, reduce public panic and urge the public to form accurate risk cognition of emergency to carry out rational decision making and relieve epidemic' social influence. Therefore, the smooth implementation and efficiency of sudden events' emergency management depends on the rational risk cognition of interest-related groups and the formation of risk coping behavior, while risk communication provides effective path to it. Then what the mechanism of risk communication is in the field of major animal epidemic diseases emergency management, how to employ risk communication to appropriately adjust risk cognition of interest-related groups and coordinate to deal with major animal epidemic diseases, how to increase the efficiency of major animal epidemic diseases emergency management form the perspective of risk communication and perfect it are of great analyzing implications.
On the basis of risk perception theory, social amplification framework, stakeholder theory and prospect theory of the risk, this thesis analyzed action mechanism and perfect ways of risk communication in the emergency management of major animal epidemic from a theoretical and empirical point of view, and put forward the theoretical foundation and analytical framework. According to breeding farmers and consumers' questionnaire data, the thesis conducted in-depth discussion on government-breeding farmers and the government-consumer' risk communication strategy in the progress of major animal epidemic emergency management by using case analysis, factor analysis, structural equation modeling and multivariate ordinal Logistic model, taking aquaculture farmers and consumers as a research subject, and being based on the influence mechanism of the risk perception and decision-making behavior, and the empirical analysis of the path on the aquaculture farmers and consumer that epidemic information has influenced in major animal epidemic emergency situations.
(1) Based on the prospect theory, the thesis structured respectively the model of individual decision makers and the group behavior space and demonstrated theoretically the function mechanism of the risk communication on the Animal epidemic emergency management. The result shows that the risk communication can regulate the individual decision makers' perception on the content and the probability of occurrence of the risk and regulate their trust level on the government, in this way the risk communication can optimize the individual decision makers' value function, lessen their sensitiveness on the animal epidemic emergency and promote the public to adopt constructive behavioral pattern. During the process of risk communication, by increasing the information density of epidemic risk content, the epidemic probability and the government controlling measures, we can narrow the public space of group behavior under the circumstance of major animal epidemic emergency and reduce the difficulty of government emergency management.
(2) through case study of our country's bird flu, Streptococcus infection event in Sichuan Province and British mad cow disease, the paper demonstrates from the practical perspective the role of risk communication in managing major animal disease emergencies, focusing on analyzing the roles of the two major groups of farmers and consumers in major animal epidemic emergencies as well as the communication measures government takes and their effects. Analysis shows that, risk communication is one of the important means in dealing with animal epidemic emergency management and reasonable risk communication means could play an effective role in emergency management, conversely, would expand negative effect of animal epidemic situation. Livestock breeding farmers' cognition toward animal epidemic risk and their coping behavior directly affect the enforcement and effectiveness of government epidemic controlling measures, and consumers' perception of pork food safety risk in the context of sudden animal epidemic situation and their coping behavior decision determine the depth and breadth of animal epidemic emergencies influence. Therefore, livestock breeding farmers and consumers are the key objects of risk communication on major animal epidemic emergency management, and we should track farmers' and consumers' perceptions of risk in emergency management and take appropriate risk communication strategies.
(3) Through the empirical study on the epidemic disease information' influence mechanism and path toward risk perception and decision making behavior of livestock breeding farmers, the paper analyzes the risk communication strategies of government and livestock breeding farmers in the emergency managing of major animal epidemic disease. It shows that specific information of disease, probability information, and government' information of controlling measures take risk perception as an intermediary variable, have a significant impact on Farmers' decision-making behavior, are the messages that animal epidemic risk communication primarily conveys. When communicating with farmers on risk information, government should rely more on the use of video, audio, graphics and interpersonal information exchange and training. Meanwhile, government should distinguish real time difference of information and select appropriate channels of information communicating, for most diseases content information they can mainly employ books, newspapers, materials and the like to deliver to livestock breeding farmers, and rely more on graphic lecturing to announce epidemic information risk. As for epidemic disease shocking probability information and government controlling information, they are more required to substantially deliver to farmers, more by the means of television, comprehensively using television, radio, newspapers, networks and other channels.
(4)Through the empirical study on the epidemic disease information' influence mechanism and path toward risk perception and decision making behavior of consumers, the paper analyzes the risk communication strategies of government and consumers in the emergency managing of major animal epidemic disease. It shows that when major animal disease occurs, consumer perceptions of risk include the four dimensions, health loss, social loss, mental loss and money loss, of which physical health loss is the most important dimension. The information channels to reducing consumers' risk perception of food quality and safety in animal epidemic are followed in significant descending order as, government, newspapers, television, experts, of which the government channel has the most significant effect. Consumers' education degree, food safety risk perception during epidemic disease and food quality safety evaluation during non-epidemic period have a significant influence on their own positive consumption behavior. The priority of government and consumers' risk communication should be focused on reducing the uncertainty of consumers' health loss when dealing with major animal epidemic emergency management. And. government should voluntarily and punctually unveil epidemic disease related information to meet consumers' demand on epidemic information and meanwhile reinforce daily food safety monitoring and security level to safeguard the authority of government and consumers' trust on government.
Different from general major animal epidemic emergency management research, the paper stands from the perspective of risk communication, comprehensively use qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis methods, theoretically and empirically studies risk communication's mechanism in the major animal disease emergency management, discusses risk communication strategies of government and livestock breeding farmers and of government and consumers during major animal epidemic situation, and puts up suggestions and proposals on how to perfect major animal epidemic emergency management based on risk communication. The research process combines theory and practice, and the conclusions are far of practical reference implication.
引文
10资料来源：刘杰.动物卫生应急管理体系研究[D].呼和浩特：内蒙古农业大学,2010.
11资料来源：李海峰,孙颖杰,张伯强等.澳大利亚外来动物疫病防控体系简述[J].中国动物检疫.2010,(003)：67-70.
12资料来源：农业部兽医局.2008年中国动物卫生状况报告[M].北京：中国农业出版社
1. 百度百科.利益相关者理论[EB/OL]http://baike.baidu.com/view/970800.htm.
2. 百度百科.应急响应机制[EB/OL]http://baike.baidu.com/view/2466703.htm.
3. 北京市哲学社会科学规划办公室等.应急管理研究报告[M].北京：同心出版社,2006
4. 卜玉梅.风险的社会放大：框架与经验研究及启示[J].学习与实践.2009,(002)：120-125.
5. 蔡宝祥.家畜传染病学[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2001.
6. 曹黎明.公共风险的经济分析：起因,分类及对策[D].南昌：江西财经大学,2006
7. 陈成文,蒋勇,黄娟.应急管理：国外模式及其启示[J].甘肃社会科学.2010,(005)：201-206.
8. 陈传波,丁士军.中国小农户的风险及风险管理研究[M].北京：中国财政经济出版社,2004.
9. 陈晓明.德国的重大动物疫病监测预警体系[J].中国牧业通讯,2010,(023)：47-48.
10.陈远章.转型期中国突发事件社会风险管理研究[D].长沙：中南大学,2009.
11.陈志国.寿险公司整合性风险管理研究[M].成都,西南财经大学出版社,2008.
12.程开明.结构方程模型的特点及应用[J].统计与决策.2006,(010)：22-25.
13.崔尚金.我国禽流感的流行病学调查[J].材料.2005,68-69.
14.崔一梅.北京市生态公益林补偿机制的理论与实践研究[D].北京：北京林业大学,2008.
15.邓汉慧.企业核心利益相关者利益要求与利益取向研究[M].武汉,武汉出版社,2008.
16.丁进,李俊,张勇等.重大动物疫情应急机制亟待完善[J].中国兽医杂志,2011,47(4)：90-92.
17.丁进.重大动物疫情应急机制的探讨[J].湖北畜牧兽医.2010,(005)：11-13.
18.董原.应急管理实务全书(上)[M].北京,中国建材工业出版社,2008.
19.鄂州政府网.强制免疫的重大动物疫病免费防疫[EB/OL]http://www.ezhou.gov.cn/200903/ c3025146.htm,(2009-03-30).
20.风笑天.现代社会调查方法[M].武汉,华中科技大学出版社,2001.
21.冯冠胜.农业风险管理中政府介入问题研究[D].杭州：浙江大学,2004.
22.冯俊华,张龙.利益相关者理论的发展与评述[J].科学咨询.2009,(015)：13-14.
23.冯永辉.禽流感疫情对家禽、生猪市场的影响评估报告[EB/OL]http://www.soozhu.com/art icle/2009/05/24/8083.shtml,(2009-05-24).
24.冯永辉.禽流感疫情对家禽市场的影响评估报告[J].家禽科学.2006,(12)：12-17.
25.甘孟侯.科学防治禽流感[M].北京：科学普及出版,2004：53-56
26.高璐,李正风.从“统治”到“治理”——疯牛病危机与英国生物技术政策范式的演变[J]. 科学学研究.2010,28(005)：655-661.
27.高小平,刘一弘.我国应急管理研究述评(上)[J].中国行政管理.2009,(08)：29-33.
28.高小平.中国特色应急管理体系建设的成就和发展[J].中国行政管理.2008,(1])：18-24.
29.高旭,张圣柱,杨国梁等.风险沟通研究进展综述[J].中国安全生产科学技术.2011,7(5)：148-152.
30.耿大立.美国和加拿大高致病性禽流感防控经验及启示[J].中国动物检疫.2008,25(004)：38-39.
31.郭翔,佘廉,唐林霞.国外应急管理政策研究述评[J].软科学.2008,(10)：34-36+48.
32.郭小平,秦志希.风险传播的悖论——论“风险社会”视域下的新闻报道[J].江淮论坛.2006,(02)：129-133.
33.郭晓亭,蒲勇健,林略.风险概念及其数量刻画[J].数量经济技术经济研究.2004,(002)：111-115.
34.郭跃.澳大利亚灾害管理的特征及其启示[J].重庆师范大学学报(自然科学版).2005,22(4)：54-57.
35.韩蕃璠.政府食品安全风险交流策略的研究[D].北京：中国疾病预防控制中心,2010.
36.韩庆安,路广计,郑丽丽.解读猪链球菌病[N].河北科技报,2005-07-30(006)
37.韩智勇,翁文国,张维等.重大研究计划“非常规突发事件应急管理研究”的科学背景、目标与组织管理[J].中国科学基金.2009,(04)：215-220.
38.胡卫中,龚弈予,赵凌霄等.城市消费者猪肉风险认知及对策研究[J].中国畜牧杂志.2008,44(004)：46-49.
39.胡卫中,华淑芳.杭州消费者食品安全风险认知研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报：社会科学版.2008,8(004)：43-47.
40.胡卫中,齐羽,华淑芳.浙江消费者食品安全信息需求实证研究[J].湖南农业大学学报：社会科学版.2007,8(4)：8-11.
41.胡卫中.消费者食品安全风险认知的实证研究[D].杭州：浙江大学,2010.
42.淮安疾控.全国防治禽流感疫情情况[EB/OL]http://www.wsyj.net/show.asp?id=16184, (20 07-11-29).
43.黄德林.中国畜牧业区域化,规模化及动物疫病损失特征和补贴的实证研究[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2004.
44.黄蓉.从灾难报道到风险传播[J].中国广播电视学刊,2010,(08)：49-50.
45.黄显斌.撕开猪链球菌病的神秘面[N].中国中医药报,2005-08-03(008)
46.黄小茹,樊春良,张新庆.疯牛病事件与英国科技伦理环境的变化[J].科学文化评论.2009,(002)：48-60.
47.贾生华,陈宏辉.利益相关者的界定方法述评[J].外国经济与管理.2002,24(005)：13-18.
48.贾学琼,高恩新.应急管理多元参与的动力与协调机制[J].中国行政管理.2011,(001)：70-73.
49.姜科,程励,李仕明,杨再惠.非常规突发事件对旅游城市的文化影响及其重建[J].管理世界.2009,(12)：7-10.
50.姜伟.基于知识发现的林火灾害应急管理研究[D].北京：北京林业大学,2008.
51.解瑞谦,阚坚力,唐雪峰.在人禽流感疫情不同阶段社区居民的信息需求特征分析[J].中国健康教育.2011,27(5)：343-345.
52.李海峰,孙颖杰,张伯强,刘杰,姚光国.澳大利亚外来动物疫病防控体系简述[J].中国动物检疫.2010,(003)：67-70.
53.李红锋.风险认知研究方法述评[J].安庆师范学院学报：社会科学版.2008,27(001)：18-22.
54.李湖生.应急管理阶段理论新模型研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术.2010,(05)：18-22.
55.李华强,范春梅,贾建民,王顺洪,郝辽钢.突发性灾害中的公众风险感知与应急管理——以5·12汶川地震为例[J].管理世界.2009,(06)：52-60+187-188.
56.李杰,钱玲,马昱等.我国政府甲型H1N1流感风险沟通策略研究[J].中国健康教育.2010,(1)：7-12.
57.李杰,钱玲,马煜等.我国政府风险沟通理念及实践—以卫生部应对甲型H1N1流感疫情为例[EB/OL]http://www.stdaily.com/jiankangchuanbo/2009-11/09/content_132244.htm, (2009-1 1-09).
58.李荣.上海加强与养殖户沟通全面防控禽流感[N].中国食品质量报：2005-11-17(002).
59.李治横.突发事件情境下心理现象对消费行为影响研究[D].重庆：重庆大学,2010.
60.李滋睿.我国重大动物疫病区划研究[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2010.
61.梁哲,许洁虹,李纾等.突发公共安全事件的风险沟通难题——从心理学角度的观察[J].自然灾害学报.2008,(02)：25-30
62.瞭望东方周刊.四川猪链球菌感染事件调查[EB/OL]http://www.39.net/HotSpecial/bmby/xw bb/122392_1.html, (2005-08-02).
63.林爱珺,吴转转.风险沟通研究述评[J].现代传播.2011,(3)：36-41.
64.林朝朋.生鲜猪肉供应链安全风险及控制研究[D].长沙：中南大学,2009.
65.林荣泉.关于英国疯牛病风波的来龙去脉[J].肉类工业,2001,(09)：35-38.
66.凌文辁,方俐洛.中、日、美三国科技风险认知的调查研究[J].科技进步与对策.2002,19(007)： 147-149.
67.刘杰.动物卫生应急管理体系研究[D].呼和浩特：内蒙古农业大学,2010.
68.刘金平,周广亚,黄宏强.风险认知的结构,因素及其研究方法[J].心理科学.2006,29(002)：370-372.
69.刘金平,周广亚,黄宏强.风险认知的结构,因素及其研究方法[J].心理科学,2006,(02)：370-372.
70.刘靖.风险管理的人文导向[M].北京：北京出版社,2010.
71.刘尚希,陈少强.构建公共财政应急反应机制[J].财政研究.2003,(008)：15-20.
72.刘尚希.公共风险与财政抉择[J].财贸经济.1999,(010)：18-21.
73.刘尚希.以“公共风险”为导向调整公共支出的配置范围[J].中国财政,2002,(10)：27-29.
74.刘谊,刘星.公共风险的经济学意义及防范[J].财经科学.2003,(006)：48-51.
75.刘颖.突发事件中消费心理的分析与扩大消费需求——以“非典”流行期间消费现象为例[J].贵州财经学院学报.2004,(001)：20-22.
76.刘在涛,李洋.通过玉树地震解析中国地震应急响应机制[J].中国应急救援,2010,(05)：18-21.
77.卢开圣.地方政府危机沟通模式研究[D].上海：复旦大学,2009.
78.卢有杰,卢家仪.项目风险管理[M].北京：清华大学出版社,1998.
79.马瑜娜.重大动物疫情应急管理研究[J].中国动物检疫,2010,(10)：32-34.
80.梅付春.政府应对禽流感突发事件的扑杀补偿政策研究[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2009.
81.欧阳薇.欧洲风险沟通研究述评[D].兰州：兰州大学,2009.
82.潘捷军.美国公共危机应急机制及对我们的启示[J].公安学刊：浙江公安高等专科学校学报.2005,(003)：14-17.
83.浦华,王济民.发达国家防控重大动物疫病启示[N].中国畜牧兽医报,2009-05-31(004)
84.浦华.动物疫病防控的经济学分析[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2007.
85.企业法律风险管理的创新与实践编委会.企业法律风险管理的创新与实践 用管理的方法解决法律问题[M].北京：法律出版社,2009.
86.强月新,余建清.风险沟通：研究谱系与模型重构[J].武汉大学学报(人文科学版),2008,(04)：501-505.
87.秦志希,郭小平.论“风险社会”危机的跨文化传播[J].国际新闻界,2006,(03)：16-19+65.
88.邱均平,苏金燕,牛培源.网络信息传播特点及其对和谐社会建设的积极影响[J].山东社会科学,2008,(05)：38-40.
89.人民网.禽流感一年之后看黑山-辽宁黑山规范化养殖见闻[EB/OL]http://finance.people.c om.cn/nc/GB/61156/61906/4978275.html,(2006-10-31).
90.邵晓峰,张存禄,李美燕.供应链管理[M].北京：机械工业出版社,2006.
91.沈朝建.紧急动物疫病应急管理在发达国家的运行机制及我国的工作重点[D].南京：南京农业大学,2002.
92.施远翔,盛卓君,李爱巧等.德国动物疫病监测体系考察报告[J].中国兽医杂志.2011,(11)：89-91.
93.时勘,范红霞,贾建民等.我国民众对SARS信息的风险认知及心理行为[J].心理学报.2003,35(4)：546-554.
94.时勘,陆佳芳,范红霞等SARS危机中17城市民众的理性特征及心理行为预测模型[J].科学通报,2003,(13)：1378-1383.
95.时勘.灾难心理学[M].北京：科学出版社,2010.
96.宋明哲.现代风险管理[M].北京：中国纺织出版社,2002.
97.孙斌.公共安全应急管理[M].北京：气象出版社,2007.
98.孙多勇突发事件与行为决策[M]北京：社会科学文献出版社2007
99.孙祁祥.保险学[M].北京：北京大学出版社(北京大学经济学教材系列),2009.
100.孙晓.利益相关者理论综述[J].经济研究导刊,2009,(02)：10-11.
101.唐雪峰,祝小平,杨勇.四川省2005年人感染猪链球菌病事件处置风险沟通评析[J].预防医学情报杂志.2008,(06)：467-469.
102.田依林.基于网格化管理的突发事件应急资源管理研究[J].科技管理研究,2010,(08)：135-137.
103.童书元.西北民族地区群体性突发事件应急管理研究[D].兰州：西北师范大学,2011.
104.王超,谭枫.12320在甲型H1N流感中风险沟通与舆情监测作用[J].中国公共卫生,2010,(11)：1471-1472.
105.王成敏,孔昭君,杨晓珂.基于需求分析的应急资源结构框架研究[J].中国人口.资源与环境,2010,(01)：44-49.
106.王功民.美国重大动物疫情应急策略简介[J].中国牧业通讯.2007,(21)：78-85.
107.王宏伟.突发事件应急管理基础[M].北京：中国石化出版社,2010.
108.王宏伟.应急管理理论与实践[C].北京：社会科学文献出版社,2010.
109.王俊平.德国兽医管理体系考察报告[J].中国牧业通讯,2002,(03)：8-15.
110.王昆欣,周国忠,郎富平.乡村旅游与社区可持续发展研究--以浙江省为例[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2008.
111.王雅林.中国社会转型研究的理论维度[J].社会科学研究.2003,(01)：87-93.
112.韦波,卓家同,唐振柱等.公共卫生突发事件预防与控制[J].广西预防医学.2002,(02)：106-110.
113.卫莉,李光.论信任与公众对风险技术的认知与接纳[J].科学技术与辩证法.2007,23(6)：105-108.
114.沃雷·威迪亚(Roy Wadia)公共卫生与风险沟通概述[EB/OL]http://211.167.248.16/n272442/ n272530/n273736/n342415/n3290050/appendix/Risk%20Commns%20Wadia.pdf, (2006-5-18).
115.乌尔里希·贝克(UlrichBeck)何博闻(译).风险社会[M].南京：译林出版社,2004.
116.吴俊英.公共风险支出与制度成本负担[J].经济问题.2005,(009)：2-3.
117.吴明隆.万卷方法结构方程模型AMOS的操作与应用第2版[M].重庆：重庆大学出版社,2010.
118.吴友富.中国公共关系20年发展报告(中英文版)[M].上海：上海外语教育出版社,2008
119.武占银.禽流感防控[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2006.
120.肖肖.全球化疫病控制中的预警原则与策略[D].南京：南京农业大学,2006.
121.谢晓非,谢冬梅,张利沙,郑蕊SARS危机中公众理性特征初探[J].管理评论.2003,15(004)：6-12.
122.谢晓非,徐联仓.风险认知研究概况及理论框架[J].心理学动态.1995,3(2)：17-22.
123.谢晓非,徐联仓.公众在风险认知中的偏差[J].心理学动态.1996,(02)：23-26.
124.谢晓非,李洁,于清源.怎样会让我们感觉更危险——风险沟通渠道分析[J].心理学报,2008,(04)：456-465.
125.谢晓非,王惠,任静,于清源SARS危机中以受众为中心的风险沟通分析[J].应用心理学,2005,(02)：104-109.
126.谢晓非,郑蕊.风险沟通与公众理性[J].心理科学进展,2003,(04)：375-381.
127.谢仲伦.动物卫生经济学[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2006.
128.新华社.中华人民共和国突发事件应对法[EB/OL]. http://www.gov.cn/ziliao/flfg/2007-08/30 /content_732593.htm,(2007-08-30).
129.许文,徐明圣.商业银行风险管理理论与实践[M].经济管理学术文库.北京：经济管理出版社,2009.
130.薛克勋.中国大中城市政府紧急事件响应机制研究[M].北京：中国社会科学出版社,2005.
131.薛澜,张强,钟开斌.危机管理转型期中国面临的挑战[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2003.
132.薛澜,周玲,朱琴.风险治理：完善与提升国家公共安全管理的基石[J].江苏社会科学,2008,(06)：7-11.
133.薛澜,钟开斌.突发公共事件分类、分级与分期：应急体制的管理基础[J].中国行政管理.2005,(02)：102-107.
134.薛晓源,刘国良.全球风险世界：现在与未来——德国著名社会学家、风险社会理论创始人乌尔里希·贝克教授访谈录[J].马克思主义与现实,2005,(01)：44-55.
135.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.2000-2011年猪肉价格波动特征、原因与调控对策[J].统计与决策,2012,(14)
136.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.农户对养殖保险认知及购买的影响因素研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011,(06)
137.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.我国生猪规模化养殖发展现状和省际差异及发展对策[J].农业现代化研究,2012,(01)：13-18.
138.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.养殖农户报告动物疫情行为意愿及影响因素分析[J].中国农业大学学报,2012,(03)
139.闫振宇,杨园园,陶建平.不同渠道防疫信息及其他因素对农户防疫行为影响分析[J].湖北农业科学.2011,50(20)：4242-4247.
140.闫振宇,陶建平.养殖户养殖风险态度,防疫信念与政府动物疫病控制目标实现——基于湖北省228个养殖户的调查[J].中国动物检疫.2008,25(12)：13-15.
141.闫振宇,徐家鹏.生猪规模生产就有效率吗?——兼论我国不同地区生猪养殖适度规模选择[J].财经论丛,2012,(02)：3-7.
142.闫振宇.基于农户视角的我国农业动物疫病防控管理研究[D].武汉：华中农业大学,2009.
143.杨凤立.2004健康大事件[EB/OL]http://www.people.com.cn/GB/paper1787/13775/1231045.html, (2 005-01-12).
144.杨海燕.动物疫病管控措施对肉类产品国际贸易的影响研究[D].武汉：华中农业大学,2009.
145.杨珏.基于食品安全风险感知的消费者行为研究[D].成都：西南财经大学,2010.
146.杨永苗.我国重大动物疫病防控的应急机制研究[D].导师：刘霞.：上海交通大学,2007.
147.杨照东,周怡君.突发公共事件中政府预警能力的维度研究[J].湖北行政学院学报,2010,(06)：52-55.
148.叶尔江.美国突发动物疫情应急管理体系综述[J].新疆畜牧业.2011,(3)：13-15.
149.叶学敏,吴卫平.疯牛病的来龙去脉[J].中华神经科杂志.1998,31(3)：178-178.
150.袁明旭.论公共危机沟通的特点和功能[J].内蒙古民族大学学报.2007,(006)：1-3.
151.张贵生.近年来中国人兽共患病的流行趋势及防控态势[J].疾病监测.2009,(010)：733-736.
152.张江华.突发公共事件应急管理研究[D].上海：复旦大学,2008.
153.张美华,苏筠,钟景鼐.区域减灾能力信任与公众水灾风险认知——基于社会调查及分析[J].灾害学.2008,23(4)：70-75.
154.张维平.政府应急管理预警机制建设创新研究[J].中国行政管理,2009,(08)：34-38.
155.张岩,魏玖长.风险态度,风险认知和政府信赖——基于前景理论的突发状态下政府信息供给机制分析框架[J].华中科技大学学报：社会科学版.2011,25(1)：53-59.
156.郑洪涛,张颖.企业内部控制学[M].大连：东北财经大学出版社2009.
157.郑辉,杨恒雨,赵延敏.地方政府突发公共事件应急管理[M].成都：四川人民出版社,2008.
158.郑力SARS与突发公共卫生事件应对策略[M].北京：科学出版社,2003
159.中国食品产业网.2004年中国内地防控禽流感回顾[EB/OL]. http://www.foodqs.cn/news/gn spzs01/200511483335.htm, (2005-11-04).
160.中国网.宰杀母猪及蓝耳病、高热病等因素影响肉价上涨[EB/OL]. http://www.china.com,c n/txt/2007-06/12/content_8378030.htm, (2007-06-12).
161.中国新闻周刊网.辽宁禽流感扩散之谜[EB/OL]. http://newsweek.inewsweek.cn/magazine.p hp?id=3300andpage=3, (2005-11-21).
162.钟开斌.国家应急管理体系建设战略转变：以制度建设为中心[J].经济体制改革,2006,(05)：5-11.
163.钟开斌.应急管理“机制”辨析[J].中国减灾.2008,(04)：30-31.
164.钟开斌.回顾与前瞻：中国应急管理体系建设[J].政治学研究,2009,(01)：78-88.
165.重庆动物卫生监督网.四川就资阳猪链球菌病启动突发公卫事件应急预案[EB/OL]. http://w ww.cqvs.cn/detail.asp?pubID=117583, (2005-07-29).
166.周应恒,卓佳.消费者食品安全风险认知研究——基于三聚氰胺事件下南京消费者的调查[J].农业技术经济.2010,(002)：89-96.
167.朱华桂,洪巍.论突发事件灾后恢复重建能力建设[J].南京社会科学,2008,(09)：75-80.
168.朱正威,张莹.发达国家公共安全管理机制比较及对我国的启示[J].西安交通大学学报(社会科学版),2006,(02)：46-49.
169.邹逸江.国外应急管理体系的发展现状及经验启示[J].灾害学.2008,23(001,)：96-101.
170. Aakko, E. Risk communication, risk perception, and public health [J]. Wisconsin Medical Journal.2004,103(1):25-28.
171. Arrow, K. J. The theory of risk aversion [J]. Essays in the theory of risk-bearing.1971: 90-120.
172. Carter, W. N. Disaster management:A disaster manager's handbook [M]. Manila:Asian D evelopment Bank (ADB),1991.
173. Charles E. Beck,康青,王啬,冯天泽.管理沟通：理论与实践的交融[M].北京：中国人民大学出版社,2003
174. Chaudhuri, A. Product class effects on perceived risk:The role of emotion [J]. Internation al Journal of Research in Marketing.1998,15(2):157-168.
175. Chris M. R. Smerecnik, Ilse Mesters, Math J. J. M. Candel, et al. Risk Perception and In formation Processing:The Development and Validation of a Questionnaire to Assess Self-Reported Information Processing [J]. Risk Analysis,2012,32(01):54-66.
176. Covello, V. Risk perception, risk communication, and EMF exposure:Tools and techniques for communicating risk information [R]. Proceedings of the World Health Organization, ICNRP I nternational Conference,1998, Vienna:International Commission on Non-Ionizing Radiation Pr otection,1998:179-214.
177. Covello, V. T. Risk communication:An emerging area of health communication research [J]. Communication yearbook.1992,15(1):359-373.
178. Covello, V. T., R. G. Peters, J. G. Wojtecki,R. C. Hyde. Risk communication, the West Nile virus epidemic, and bioterrorism:responding to the commnication challenges posed by the intentional or unintentional release of a pathogen in an urban setting [J]. Journal of Urban Health.2001,78(2):382-391.
179. E. Roger Williamson王健和方世建等(译).Eds.治理机制[M].北京,中国社会科学出版社,2001
180. Farazmand, A. Learning from the Katrina crisis:A global and international perspective wi th implications for future crisis management [J]. Public Administration Review.2007,67: 149-159.
181. Glynis.M.Breakwell, DrJulie Barnett. The impact of social amplification of risk on risk co mmunication [R]. Health & safety executive report,2001.
182.Hanoch, Y. "Neither an angel nor an ant":Emotion as an aid to bounded rationality [J]. Journal of Economic Psychology.2002,23(1):1-25.
183. Hornibrook, S. A., M. McCarthy,A. Fearne. Consumers' perception of risk:the case of be ef purchases in Irish supermarkets [J]. International Journal of Retail and Distribution Ma nagement.2005,33(10):701-715.
184. Jeanne X. Kasperson, R. E. K童蕴芝(译).Ed.风险的社会视野(上)[C].社会风险治理经典译丛.北京,中国劳动社会保障出版社,2010.
185. Kahneman, D., A. Tversky. The simulation heuristic [R]. DTIC Document,1981.
186. Kaufman, B. E. Emotional arousal as a source of bounded rationality [J]. Journal of Econ omic Behavior and Organization.1999,38(2):135-144.
187. Lazarus, R. S., S. Folkman.Stress, appraisal, and coping [M], Springer Publishing Company,19 84.
188. Leiss, W. Three phases in the evolution of risk communication practice [J]. The Annals o f the American Academy of Political and Social Science.1996,545:85-94.
189. Lopes, L. L. Between hope and fear:The psychology of risk [J]. Advances in experiment al social psychology.1987,20(3):255-295.
190. Mulders, C澳大利亚全国牲畜鉴定体系[J].中国食品工业.2006,(008)：55-56.
191. Pennings, J. M. E., B. Wansink,M. T. G. Meulenberg. A note on modeling consumer react ions to a crisis:The case of the mad cow disease [J]. International Journal of Research i n Marketing.2002,19(1):91-100.
192. Pidgeon, N., R. E. Kasperson, P. Slovic谭宏凯(译)Ed. The Social Ampilfication of Risk[C].社会风险治理经典译丛.北京,中国劳动社会保障出版社,2010.
193. Powell, D. An introduction to risk communication and the perception of risk [EB/OL]. htt p://www. foodsafetynetwork.ca/risk/risk-review/riskreview.htm,1996.
194. Pratt, J. W. Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large [J]. Econometric Society.1964: 122-136.
195.Renn, D.Levine. Trust and Credibility in Risk Communication [EB/OL]. http://elib.uni-stutt gart.de/opus/volltexte/2010/5482/pdf/ren96.pdf,2010.
196. Renn. Concepts and guidelines for risk communication [EB/OL]. http://elib.uni-stuttgart.de/ opus/volltexte/2010/5871/pdf/ren94.pdf,2010.
197. Reynolds, B. Crisis and Emergency Risk Communication [EB/OL]. http://www.absa.org/abj/ abj/051001reynolds.pdf, (2005).
198. Rosenthal, U. B. A. C. Managing crises:Threats, dilemmas, opportunities [J]. No.:ISBN 0-398-07223-X.2001:365.
199. Sandman, P. M. Risk communication:Facing public outrage [J].1987.
200. Sandman, P. M.Responding to community outrage:Strategies for effective risk communicat ion [M]. Amer Industrial Hygiene Assn,1993.
201. Schaafstal, A. M., J. H. Johnston,R. L. Oser. Training teams for emergency management [J]. Computers in Human Behavior.2001,17(5-6):615-626.
202. Scholtens, A. Controlled Collaboration in Disaster and Crisis Management in the Netherla nds, History and Practice of an Overestimated and Underestimated Concept [J]. Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management.2008,16(4):195-207.
203. Setbon, M., J. Raude, C. Fischler,A. Flahault. Risk perception of the "mad cow disease" i n France:Determinants and consequences [J]. Risk Analysis.2005,25(4):813-826.
204. Slovic, P. Perception of risk [J]. Science.1987,236(4799):280.
205. Slovic, P., E. Peters. Risk perception and affect [J]. Current Directions in Psychological S cience.2006,15(6):322.
206. Stolk, D., D. Alexandrian, B. Gros,R. Paggio. Gaming and multimedia applications for en vironmental crisis management training [J]. Computers in Human Behavior.2001,17(5-6): 627-642.
207. Waugh, W. L.Living with hazards, dealing with disasters:An introduction to emergency m anagement [M]. ME Sharpe Inc,2000.
208. Wilson, J., A. Oyola-Yemaiel. The evolution of emergency management and the advancem ent towards a profession in the United States and Florida [J]. Safety Science.2001,39(1-2):117-131.
209. Yeung, R. M. W., W. M. S. Yee. Risk reduction:an insight from the UK poultry industry [J]. Nutrition and Food Science.2003,33(5):219-229.
11资料来源：李海峰,孙颖杰,张伯强等.澳大利亚外来动物疫病防控体系简述[J].中国动物检疫.2010,(003)：67-70.
12资料来源：农业部兽医局.2008年中国动物卫生状况报告[M].北京：中国农业出版社
1. 百度百科.利益相关者理论[EB/OL]http://baike.baidu.com/view/970800.htm.
2. 百度百科.应急响应机制[EB/OL]http://baike.baidu.com/view/2466703.htm.
3. 北京市哲学社会科学规划办公室等.应急管理研究报告[M].北京：同心出版社,2006
4. 卜玉梅.风险的社会放大：框架与经验研究及启示[J].学习与实践.2009,(002)：120-125.
5. 蔡宝祥.家畜传染病学[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2001.
6. 曹黎明.公共风险的经济分析：起因,分类及对策[D].南昌：江西财经大学,2006
7. 陈成文,蒋勇,黄娟.应急管理：国外模式及其启示[J].甘肃社会科学.2010,(005)：201-206.
8. 陈传波,丁士军.中国小农户的风险及风险管理研究[M].北京：中国财政经济出版社,2004.
9. 陈晓明.德国的重大动物疫病监测预警体系[J].中国牧业通讯,2010,(023)：47-48.
10.陈远章.转型期中国突发事件社会风险管理研究[D].长沙：中南大学,2009.
11.陈志国.寿险公司整合性风险管理研究[M].成都,西南财经大学出版社,2008.
12.程开明.结构方程模型的特点及应用[J].统计与决策.2006,(010)：22-25.
13.崔尚金.我国禽流感的流行病学调查[J].材料.2005,68-69.
14.崔一梅.北京市生态公益林补偿机制的理论与实践研究[D].北京：北京林业大学,2008.
15.邓汉慧.企业核心利益相关者利益要求与利益取向研究[M].武汉,武汉出版社,2008.
16.丁进,李俊,张勇等.重大动物疫情应急机制亟待完善[J].中国兽医杂志,2011,47(4)：90-92.
17.丁进.重大动物疫情应急机制的探讨[J].湖北畜牧兽医.2010,(005)：11-13.
18.董原.应急管理实务全书(上)[M].北京,中国建材工业出版社,2008.
19.鄂州政府网.强制免疫的重大动物疫病免费防疫[EB/OL]http://www.ezhou.gov.cn/200903/ c3025146.htm,(2009-03-30).
20.风笑天.现代社会调查方法[M].武汉,华中科技大学出版社,2001.
21.冯冠胜.农业风险管理中政府介入问题研究[D].杭州：浙江大学,2004.
22.冯俊华,张龙.利益相关者理论的发展与评述[J].科学咨询.2009,(015)：13-14.
23.冯永辉.禽流感疫情对家禽、生猪市场的影响评估报告[EB/OL]http://www.soozhu.com/art icle/2009/05/24/8083.shtml,(2009-05-24).
24.冯永辉.禽流感疫情对家禽市场的影响评估报告[J].家禽科学.2006,(12)：12-17.
25.甘孟侯.科学防治禽流感[M].北京：科学普及出版,2004：53-56
26.高璐,李正风.从“统治”到“治理”——疯牛病危机与英国生物技术政策范式的演变[J]. 科学学研究.2010,28(005)：655-661.
27.高小平,刘一弘.我国应急管理研究述评(上)[J].中国行政管理.2009,(08)：29-33.
28.高小平.中国特色应急管理体系建设的成就和发展[J].中国行政管理.2008,(1])：18-24.
29.高旭,张圣柱,杨国梁等.风险沟通研究进展综述[J].中国安全生产科学技术.2011,7(5)：148-152.
30.耿大立.美国和加拿大高致病性禽流感防控经验及启示[J].中国动物检疫.2008,25(004)：38-39.
31.郭翔,佘廉,唐林霞.国外应急管理政策研究述评[J].软科学.2008,(10)：34-36+48.
32.郭小平,秦志希.风险传播的悖论——论“风险社会”视域下的新闻报道[J].江淮论坛.2006,(02)：129-133.
33.郭晓亭,蒲勇健,林略.风险概念及其数量刻画[J].数量经济技术经济研究.2004,(002)：111-115.
34.郭跃.澳大利亚灾害管理的特征及其启示[J].重庆师范大学学报(自然科学版).2005,22(4)：54-57.
35.韩蕃璠.政府食品安全风险交流策略的研究[D].北京：中国疾病预防控制中心,2010.
36.韩庆安,路广计,郑丽丽.解读猪链球菌病[N].河北科技报,2005-07-30(006)
37.韩智勇,翁文国,张维等.重大研究计划“非常规突发事件应急管理研究”的科学背景、目标与组织管理[J].中国科学基金.2009,(04)：215-220.
38.胡卫中,龚弈予,赵凌霄等.城市消费者猪肉风险认知及对策研究[J].中国畜牧杂志.2008,44(004)：46-49.
39.胡卫中,华淑芳.杭州消费者食品安全风险认知研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报：社会科学版.2008,8(004)：43-47.
40.胡卫中,齐羽,华淑芳.浙江消费者食品安全信息需求实证研究[J].湖南农业大学学报：社会科学版.2007,8(4)：8-11.
41.胡卫中.消费者食品安全风险认知的实证研究[D].杭州：浙江大学,2010.
42.淮安疾控.全国防治禽流感疫情情况[EB/OL]http://www.wsyj.net/show.asp?id=16184, (20 07-11-29).
43.黄德林.中国畜牧业区域化,规模化及动物疫病损失特征和补贴的实证研究[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2004.
44.黄蓉.从灾难报道到风险传播[J].中国广播电视学刊,2010,(08)：49-50.
45.黄显斌.撕开猪链球菌病的神秘面[N].中国中医药报,2005-08-03(008)
46.黄小茹,樊春良,张新庆.疯牛病事件与英国科技伦理环境的变化[J].科学文化评论.2009,(002)：48-60.
47.贾生华,陈宏辉.利益相关者的界定方法述评[J].外国经济与管理.2002,24(005)：13-18.
48.贾学琼,高恩新.应急管理多元参与的动力与协调机制[J].中国行政管理.2011,(001)：70-73.
49.姜科,程励,李仕明,杨再惠.非常规突发事件对旅游城市的文化影响及其重建[J].管理世界.2009,(12)：7-10.
50.姜伟.基于知识发现的林火灾害应急管理研究[D].北京：北京林业大学,2008.
51.解瑞谦,阚坚力,唐雪峰.在人禽流感疫情不同阶段社区居民的信息需求特征分析[J].中国健康教育.2011,27(5)：343-345.
52.李海峰,孙颖杰,张伯强,刘杰,姚光国.澳大利亚外来动物疫病防控体系简述[J].中国动物检疫.2010,(003)：67-70.
53.李红锋.风险认知研究方法述评[J].安庆师范学院学报：社会科学版.2008,27(001)：18-22.
54.李湖生.应急管理阶段理论新模型研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术.2010,(05)：18-22.
55.李华强,范春梅,贾建民,王顺洪,郝辽钢.突发性灾害中的公众风险感知与应急管理——以5·12汶川地震为例[J].管理世界.2009,(06)：52-60+187-188.
56.李杰,钱玲,马昱等.我国政府甲型H1N1流感风险沟通策略研究[J].中国健康教育.2010,(1)：7-12.
57.李杰,钱玲,马煜等.我国政府风险沟通理念及实践—以卫生部应对甲型H1N1流感疫情为例[EB/OL]http://www.stdaily.com/jiankangchuanbo/2009-11/09/content_132244.htm, (2009-1 1-09).
58.李荣.上海加强与养殖户沟通全面防控禽流感[N].中国食品质量报：2005-11-17(002).
59.李治横.突发事件情境下心理现象对消费行为影响研究[D].重庆：重庆大学,2010.
60.李滋睿.我国重大动物疫病区划研究[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2010.
61.梁哲,许洁虹,李纾等.突发公共安全事件的风险沟通难题——从心理学角度的观察[J].自然灾害学报.2008,(02)：25-30
62.瞭望东方周刊.四川猪链球菌感染事件调查[EB/OL]http://www.39.net/HotSpecial/bmby/xw bb/122392_1.html, (2005-08-02).
63.林爱珺,吴转转.风险沟通研究述评[J].现代传播.2011,(3)：36-41.
64.林朝朋.生鲜猪肉供应链安全风险及控制研究[D].长沙：中南大学,2009.
65.林荣泉.关于英国疯牛病风波的来龙去脉[J].肉类工业,2001,(09)：35-38.
66.凌文辁,方俐洛.中、日、美三国科技风险认知的调查研究[J].科技进步与对策.2002,19(007)： 147-149.
67.刘杰.动物卫生应急管理体系研究[D].呼和浩特：内蒙古农业大学,2010.
68.刘金平,周广亚,黄宏强.风险认知的结构,因素及其研究方法[J].心理科学.2006,29(002)：370-372.
69.刘金平,周广亚,黄宏强.风险认知的结构,因素及其研究方法[J].心理科学,2006,(02)：370-372.
70.刘靖.风险管理的人文导向[M].北京：北京出版社,2010.
71.刘尚希,陈少强.构建公共财政应急反应机制[J].财政研究.2003,(008)：15-20.
72.刘尚希.公共风险与财政抉择[J].财贸经济.1999,(010)：18-21.
73.刘尚希.以“公共风险”为导向调整公共支出的配置范围[J].中国财政,2002,(10)：27-29.
74.刘谊,刘星.公共风险的经济学意义及防范[J].财经科学.2003,(006)：48-51.
75.刘颖.突发事件中消费心理的分析与扩大消费需求——以“非典”流行期间消费现象为例[J].贵州财经学院学报.2004,(001)：20-22.
76.刘在涛,李洋.通过玉树地震解析中国地震应急响应机制[J].中国应急救援,2010,(05)：18-21.
77.卢开圣.地方政府危机沟通模式研究[D].上海：复旦大学,2009.
78.卢有杰,卢家仪.项目风险管理[M].北京：清华大学出版社,1998.
79.马瑜娜.重大动物疫情应急管理研究[J].中国动物检疫,2010,(10)：32-34.
80.梅付春.政府应对禽流感突发事件的扑杀补偿政策研究[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2009.
81.欧阳薇.欧洲风险沟通研究述评[D].兰州：兰州大学,2009.
82.潘捷军.美国公共危机应急机制及对我们的启示[J].公安学刊：浙江公安高等专科学校学报.2005,(003)：14-17.
83.浦华,王济民.发达国家防控重大动物疫病启示[N].中国畜牧兽医报,2009-05-31(004)
84.浦华.动物疫病防控的经济学分析[D].北京：中国农业科学院,2007.
85.企业法律风险管理的创新与实践编委会.企业法律风险管理的创新与实践 用管理的方法解决法律问题[M].北京：法律出版社,2009.
86.强月新,余建清.风险沟通：研究谱系与模型重构[J].武汉大学学报(人文科学版),2008,(04)：501-505.
87.秦志希,郭小平.论“风险社会”危机的跨文化传播[J].国际新闻界,2006,(03)：16-19+65.
88.邱均平,苏金燕,牛培源.网络信息传播特点及其对和谐社会建设的积极影响[J].山东社会科学,2008,(05)：38-40.
89.人民网.禽流感一年之后看黑山-辽宁黑山规范化养殖见闻[EB/OL]http://finance.people.c om.cn/nc/GB/61156/61906/4978275.html,(2006-10-31).
90.邵晓峰,张存禄,李美燕.供应链管理[M].北京：机械工业出版社,2006.
91.沈朝建.紧急动物疫病应急管理在发达国家的运行机制及我国的工作重点[D].南京：南京农业大学,2002.
92.施远翔,盛卓君,李爱巧等.德国动物疫病监测体系考察报告[J].中国兽医杂志.2011,(11)：89-91.
93.时勘,范红霞,贾建民等.我国民众对SARS信息的风险认知及心理行为[J].心理学报.2003,35(4)：546-554.
94.时勘,陆佳芳,范红霞等SARS危机中17城市民众的理性特征及心理行为预测模型[J].科学通报,2003,(13)：1378-1383.
95.时勘.灾难心理学[M].北京：科学出版社,2010.
96.宋明哲.现代风险管理[M].北京：中国纺织出版社,2002.
97.孙斌.公共安全应急管理[M].北京：气象出版社,2007.
98.孙多勇突发事件与行为决策[M]北京：社会科学文献出版社2007
99.孙祁祥.保险学[M].北京：北京大学出版社(北京大学经济学教材系列),2009.
100.孙晓.利益相关者理论综述[J].经济研究导刊,2009,(02)：10-11.
101.唐雪峰,祝小平,杨勇.四川省2005年人感染猪链球菌病事件处置风险沟通评析[J].预防医学情报杂志.2008,(06)：467-469.
102.田依林.基于网格化管理的突发事件应急资源管理研究[J].科技管理研究,2010,(08)：135-137.
103.童书元.西北民族地区群体性突发事件应急管理研究[D].兰州：西北师范大学,2011.
104.王超,谭枫.12320在甲型H1N流感中风险沟通与舆情监测作用[J].中国公共卫生,2010,(11)：1471-1472.
105.王成敏,孔昭君,杨晓珂.基于需求分析的应急资源结构框架研究[J].中国人口.资源与环境,2010,(01)：44-49.
106.王功民.美国重大动物疫情应急策略简介[J].中国牧业通讯.2007,(21)：78-85.
107.王宏伟.突发事件应急管理基础[M].北京：中国石化出版社,2010.
108.王宏伟.应急管理理论与实践[C].北京：社会科学文献出版社,2010.
109.王俊平.德国兽医管理体系考察报告[J].中国牧业通讯,2002,(03)：8-15.
110.王昆欣,周国忠,郎富平.乡村旅游与社区可持续发展研究--以浙江省为例[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2008.
111.王雅林.中国社会转型研究的理论维度[J].社会科学研究.2003,(01)：87-93.
112.韦波,卓家同,唐振柱等.公共卫生突发事件预防与控制[J].广西预防医学.2002,(02)：106-110.
113.卫莉,李光.论信任与公众对风险技术的认知与接纳[J].科学技术与辩证法.2007,23(6)：105-108.
114.沃雷·威迪亚(Roy Wadia)公共卫生与风险沟通概述[EB/OL]http://211.167.248.16/n272442/ n272530/n273736/n342415/n3290050/appendix/Risk%20Commns%20Wadia.pdf, (2006-5-18).
115.乌尔里希·贝克(UlrichBeck)何博闻(译).风险社会[M].南京：译林出版社,2004.
116.吴俊英.公共风险支出与制度成本负担[J].经济问题.2005,(009)：2-3.
117.吴明隆.万卷方法结构方程模型AMOS的操作与应用第2版[M].重庆：重庆大学出版社,2010.
118.吴友富.中国公共关系20年发展报告(中英文版)[M].上海：上海外语教育出版社,2008
119.武占银.禽流感防控[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2006.
120.肖肖.全球化疫病控制中的预警原则与策略[D].南京：南京农业大学,2006.
121.谢晓非,谢冬梅,张利沙,郑蕊SARS危机中公众理性特征初探[J].管理评论.2003,15(004)：6-12.
122.谢晓非,徐联仓.风险认知研究概况及理论框架[J].心理学动态.1995,3(2)：17-22.
123.谢晓非,徐联仓.公众在风险认知中的偏差[J].心理学动态.1996,(02)：23-26.
124.谢晓非,李洁,于清源.怎样会让我们感觉更危险——风险沟通渠道分析[J].心理学报,2008,(04)：456-465.
125.谢晓非,王惠,任静,于清源SARS危机中以受众为中心的风险沟通分析[J].应用心理学,2005,(02)：104-109.
126.谢晓非,郑蕊.风险沟通与公众理性[J].心理科学进展,2003,(04)：375-381.
127.谢仲伦.动物卫生经济学[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2006.
128.新华社.中华人民共和国突发事件应对法[EB/OL]. http://www.gov.cn/ziliao/flfg/2007-08/30 /content_732593.htm,(2007-08-30).
129.许文,徐明圣.商业银行风险管理理论与实践[M].经济管理学术文库.北京：经济管理出版社,2009.
130.薛克勋.中国大中城市政府紧急事件响应机制研究[M].北京：中国社会科学出版社,2005.
131.薛澜,张强,钟开斌.危机管理转型期中国面临的挑战[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2003.
132.薛澜,周玲,朱琴.风险治理：完善与提升国家公共安全管理的基石[J].江苏社会科学,2008,(06)：7-11.
133.薛澜,钟开斌.突发公共事件分类、分级与分期：应急体制的管理基础[J].中国行政管理.2005,(02)：102-107.
134.薛晓源,刘国良.全球风险世界：现在与未来——德国著名社会学家、风险社会理论创始人乌尔里希·贝克教授访谈录[J].马克思主义与现实,2005,(01)：44-55.
135.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.2000-2011年猪肉价格波动特征、原因与调控对策[J].统计与决策,2012,(14)
136.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.农户对养殖保险认知及购买的影响因素研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011,(06)
137.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.我国生猪规模化养殖发展现状和省际差异及发展对策[J].农业现代化研究,2012,(01)：13-18.
138.闫振宇,陶建平,徐家鹏.养殖农户报告动物疫情行为意愿及影响因素分析[J].中国农业大学学报,2012,(03)
139.闫振宇,杨园园,陶建平.不同渠道防疫信息及其他因素对农户防疫行为影响分析[J].湖北农业科学.2011,50(20)：4242-4247.
140.闫振宇,陶建平.养殖户养殖风险态度,防疫信念与政府动物疫病控制目标实现——基于湖北省228个养殖户的调查[J].中国动物检疫.2008,25(12)：13-15.
141.闫振宇,徐家鹏.生猪规模生产就有效率吗?——兼论我国不同地区生猪养殖适度规模选择[J].财经论丛,2012,(02)：3-7.
142.闫振宇.基于农户视角的我国农业动物疫病防控管理研究[D].武汉：华中农业大学,2009.
143.杨凤立.2004健康大事件[EB/OL]http://www.people.com.cn/GB/paper1787/13775/1231045.html, (2 005-01-12).
144.杨海燕.动物疫病管控措施对肉类产品国际贸易的影响研究[D].武汉：华中农业大学,2009.
145.杨珏.基于食品安全风险感知的消费者行为研究[D].成都：西南财经大学,2010.
146.杨永苗.我国重大动物疫病防控的应急机制研究[D].导师：刘霞.：上海交通大学,2007.
147.杨照东,周怡君.突发公共事件中政府预警能力的维度研究[J].湖北行政学院学报,2010,(06)：52-55.
148.叶尔江.美国突发动物疫情应急管理体系综述[J].新疆畜牧业.2011,(3)：13-15.
149.叶学敏,吴卫平.疯牛病的来龙去脉[J].中华神经科杂志.1998,31(3)：178-178.
150.袁明旭.论公共危机沟通的特点和功能[J].内蒙古民族大学学报.2007,(006)：1-3.
151.张贵生.近年来中国人兽共患病的流行趋势及防控态势[J].疾病监测.2009,(010)：733-736.
152.张江华.突发公共事件应急管理研究[D].上海：复旦大学,2008.
153.张美华,苏筠,钟景鼐.区域减灾能力信任与公众水灾风险认知——基于社会调查及分析[J].灾害学.2008,23(4)：70-75.
154.张维平.政府应急管理预警机制建设创新研究[J].中国行政管理,2009,(08)：34-38.
155.张岩,魏玖长.风险态度,风险认知和政府信赖——基于前景理论的突发状态下政府信息供给机制分析框架[J].华中科技大学学报：社会科学版.2011,25(1)：53-59.
156.郑洪涛,张颖.企业内部控制学[M].大连：东北财经大学出版社2009.
157.郑辉,杨恒雨,赵延敏.地方政府突发公共事件应急管理[M].成都：四川人民出版社,2008.
158.郑力SARS与突发公共卫生事件应对策略[M].北京：科学出版社,2003
159.中国食品产业网.2004年中国内地防控禽流感回顾[EB/OL]. http://www.foodqs.cn/news/gn spzs01/200511483335.htm, (2005-11-04).
160.中国网.宰杀母猪及蓝耳病、高热病等因素影响肉价上涨[EB/OL]. http://www.china.com,c n/txt/2007-06/12/content_8378030.htm, (2007-06-12).
161.中国新闻周刊网.辽宁禽流感扩散之谜[EB/OL]. http://newsweek.inewsweek.cn/magazine.p hp?id=3300andpage=3, (2005-11-21).
162.钟开斌.国家应急管理体系建设战略转变：以制度建设为中心[J].经济体制改革,2006,(05)：5-11.
163.钟开斌.应急管理“机制”辨析[J].中国减灾.2008,(04)：30-31.
164.钟开斌.回顾与前瞻：中国应急管理体系建设[J].政治学研究,2009,(01)：78-88.
165.重庆动物卫生监督网.四川就资阳猪链球菌病启动突发公卫事件应急预案[EB/OL]. http://w ww.cqvs.cn/detail.asp?pubID=117583, (2005-07-29).
166.周应恒,卓佳.消费者食品安全风险认知研究——基于三聚氰胺事件下南京消费者的调查[J].农业技术经济.2010,(002)：89-96.
167.朱华桂,洪巍.论突发事件灾后恢复重建能力建设[J].南京社会科学,2008,(09)：75-80.
168.朱正威,张莹.发达国家公共安全管理机制比较及对我国的启示[J].西安交通大学学报(社会科学版),2006,(02)：46-49.
169.邹逸江.国外应急管理体系的发展现状及经验启示[J].灾害学.2008,23(001,)：96-101.
170. Aakko, E. Risk communication, risk perception, and public health [J]. Wisconsin Medical Journal.2004,103(1):25-28.
171. Arrow, K. J. The theory of risk aversion [J]. Essays in the theory of risk-bearing.1971: 90-120.
172. Carter, W. N. Disaster management:A disaster manager's handbook [M]. Manila:Asian D evelopment Bank (ADB),1991.
173. Charles E. Beck,康青,王啬,冯天泽.管理沟通：理论与实践的交融[M].北京：中国人民大学出版社,2003
174. Chaudhuri, A. Product class effects on perceived risk:The role of emotion [J]. Internation al Journal of Research in Marketing.1998,15(2):157-168.
175. Chris M. R. Smerecnik, Ilse Mesters, Math J. J. M. Candel, et al. Risk Perception and In formation Processing:The Development and Validation of a Questionnaire to Assess Self-Reported Information Processing [J]. Risk Analysis,2012,32(01):54-66.
176. Covello, V. Risk perception, risk communication, and EMF exposure:Tools and techniques for communicating risk information [R]. Proceedings of the World Health Organization, ICNRP I nternational Conference,1998, Vienna:International Commission on Non-Ionizing Radiation Pr otection,1998:179-214.
177. Covello, V. T. Risk communication:An emerging area of health communication research [J]. Communication yearbook.1992,15(1):359-373.
178. Covello, V. T., R. G. Peters, J. G. Wojtecki,R. C. Hyde. Risk communication, the West Nile virus epidemic, and bioterrorism:responding to the commnication challenges posed by the intentional or unintentional release of a pathogen in an urban setting [J]. Journal of Urban Health.2001,78(2):382-391.
179. E. Roger Williamson王健和方世建等(译).Eds.治理机制[M].北京,中国社会科学出版社,2001
180. Farazmand, A. Learning from the Katrina crisis:A global and international perspective wi th implications for future crisis management [J]. Public Administration Review.2007,67: 149-159.
181. Glynis.M.Breakwell, DrJulie Barnett. The impact of social amplification of risk on risk co mmunication [R]. Health & safety executive report,2001.
182.Hanoch, Y. "Neither an angel nor an ant":Emotion as an aid to bounded rationality [J]. Journal of Economic Psychology.2002,23(1):1-25.
183. Hornibrook, S. A., M. McCarthy,A. Fearne. Consumers' perception of risk:the case of be ef purchases in Irish supermarkets [J]. International Journal of Retail and Distribution Ma nagement.2005,33(10):701-715.
184. Jeanne X. Kasperson, R. E. K童蕴芝(译).Ed.风险的社会视野(上)[C].社会风险治理经典译丛.北京,中国劳动社会保障出版社,2010.
185. Kahneman, D., A. Tversky. The simulation heuristic [R]. DTIC Document,1981.
186. Kaufman, B. E. Emotional arousal as a source of bounded rationality [J]. Journal of Econ omic Behavior and Organization.1999,38(2):135-144.
187. Lazarus, R. S., S. Folkman.Stress, appraisal, and coping [M], Springer Publishing Company,19 84.
188. Leiss, W. Three phases in the evolution of risk communication practice [J]. The Annals o f the American Academy of Political and Social Science.1996,545:85-94.
189. Lopes, L. L. Between hope and fear:The psychology of risk [J]. Advances in experiment al social psychology.1987,20(3):255-295.
190. Mulders, C澳大利亚全国牲畜鉴定体系[J].中国食品工业.2006,(008)：55-56.
191. Pennings, J. M. E., B. Wansink,M. T. G. Meulenberg. A note on modeling consumer react ions to a crisis:The case of the mad cow disease [J]. International Journal of Research i n Marketing.2002,19(1):91-100.
192. Pidgeon, N., R. E. Kasperson, P. Slovic谭宏凯(译)Ed. The Social Ampilfication of Risk[C].社会风险治理经典译丛.北京,中国劳动社会保障出版社,2010.
193. Powell, D. An introduction to risk communication and the perception of risk [EB/OL]. htt p://www. foodsafetynetwork.ca/risk/risk-review/riskreview.htm,1996.
194. Pratt, J. W. Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large [J]. Econometric Society.1964: 122-136.
195.Renn, D.Levine. Trust and Credibility in Risk Communication [EB/OL]. http://elib.uni-stutt gart.de/opus/volltexte/2010/5482/pdf/ren96.pdf,2010.
196. Renn. Concepts and guidelines for risk communication [EB/OL]. http://elib.uni-stuttgart.de/ opus/volltexte/2010/5871/pdf/ren94.pdf,2010.
197. Reynolds, B. Crisis and Emergency Risk Communication [EB/OL]. http://www.absa.org/abj/ abj/051001reynolds.pdf, (2005).
198. Rosenthal, U. B. A. C. Managing crises:Threats, dilemmas, opportunities [J]. No.:ISBN 0-398-07223-X.2001:365.
199. Sandman, P. M. Risk communication:Facing public outrage [J].1987.
200. Sandman, P. M.Responding to community outrage:Strategies for effective risk communicat ion [M]. Amer Industrial Hygiene Assn,1993.
201. Schaafstal, A. M., J. H. Johnston,R. L. Oser. Training teams for emergency management [J]. Computers in Human Behavior.2001,17(5-6):615-626.
202. Scholtens, A. Controlled Collaboration in Disaster and Crisis Management in the Netherla nds, History and Practice of an Overestimated and Underestimated Concept [J]. Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management.2008,16(4):195-207.
203. Setbon, M., J. Raude, C. Fischler,A. Flahault. Risk perception of the "mad cow disease" i n France:Determinants and consequences [J]. Risk Analysis.2005,25(4):813-826.
204. Slovic, P. Perception of risk [J]. Science.1987,236(4799):280.
205. Slovic, P., E. Peters. Risk perception and affect [J]. Current Directions in Psychological S cience.2006,15(6):322.
206. Stolk, D., D. Alexandrian, B. Gros,R. Paggio. Gaming and multimedia applications for en vironmental crisis management training [J]. Computers in Human Behavior.2001,17(5-6): 627-642.
207. Waugh, W. L.Living with hazards, dealing with disasters:An introduction to emergency m anagement [M]. ME Sharpe Inc,2000.
208. Wilson, J., A. Oyola-Yemaiel. The evolution of emergency management and the advancem ent towards a profession in the United States and Florida [J]. Safety Science.2001,39(1-2):117-131.
209. Yeung, R. M. W., W. M. S. Yee. Risk reduction:an insight from the UK poultry industry [J]. Nutrition and Food Science.2003,33(5):219-229.