黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治模式研究
|
摘要
针对我国黄河流域农业立体污染日益严峻问题,本论文首先从黄河流域农业立体污染现状及特征研究入手,采取文献调查、实地调查、系统分析、定量与定性相结合分析等方法,在此基础上按流域污染特征进行系统分区,通过应用环境价值、技术价值、生态学、循环经济等理论,从立体、系统的角度分析研究黄河流域农业立体污染问题,利用系统动力学方法,动态跟踪系统各个变量在不同的发展模式下的变化,构建黄河流域农业立体污染系统模型,并进行模型仿真;其次选择黄河流域宁夏银川平原引黄灌区作为分析案例,进行可靠性分析,并从循环经济角度选取指标对黄河流域农业立体污染综合治理模式进行系统评价,确立系统模型在研究区域的适用性;最后在模型验证的基础上,利用层次分析法对5种污染防治情景模式进行评价与预测分析,提出了黄河流域不同农业立体污染类型区相应最佳综合防治模式,,并对黄河流域各分区的农业立体污染防治技术模式、防治重点及关键措施提出建议。论文研究取得了一下主要结论:
1、首次利用系统动力学方法构建的防治农业立体污染系统仿真模型与系统评价方法可靠。仿真技术建立的黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治技术模式在银川平原引黄灌区案例区实地验证结果表明:2001-2004年农业立体污染防治系统模型分析结果与案例区实测结果基本符合,最大相对误差<9.5%,最小误差<1%,说明系统模式所选量化参数和评价指标合理,动力学模型可以在区域上应用,研究方法可为我国其他区域农业立体污染综合防治技术模式优化提供较准确的量化参考依据和选择最佳发展模式的方法提供参考。
2、黄河流域农业污染问题必须从系统、立体角度认识和防治。研究结果表明:黄河流域农业立体污染特征明显,若对黄河流域当前的发展模式不加干涉,2020年,地表水中总氮量、大气中氮氧化物含量及农产品中硝酸盐含量将分别比2006年的数值增加117.60%,16.52%和100.07%,说明单一方面研究已经远远不能有效解决农业污染问题,只有采取水体-土壤-生物-大气立体化的生态系统综合管理和污染防治对策,才能从根本上解决黄河流域农业立体污染问题。
3、黄河流域农业立体污染采取综合防治技术模式效果显著。研究表明:与当前发展模式不加干涉的无为模式相比,采取综合治理情景技术模式,到2020年,地表水中总氮量、大气中氮氧化物含量及农产品中硝酸盐含量将分别降低87.01%、27.70%、74.36%,而土壤中氮含量及粮食产量将分别增加53.27%、88.07%。从几种情景技术模式对比分析来看,综合治理技术模式的效果最为显著,是今后黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治的理想模式,值得在黄河流域大力推广。
4、推荐的黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治技术模式具有合理性。银川平原引黄灌区案例不同情景技术模式的循环经济水平对比分析结果表明:采取推荐的综合治理模式,到2020年银川平原引黄灌区农业立体污染循环经济水平将比2006年提高28.59%,综合治理技术模式对该区域循环经济水平的影响效果最为突出,说明黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治技术建议模式具有一定的实用性。
According to the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas becoming increasingly severe, firstly, the paper studies from the situation and feature of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas, and divides it into several regions according to basin’s pollution feature by adopting the method of searching documents , research, systems analysis, quantitative and qualitative analysis and so on, and analyzes the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas from the view of tri-dimension and system by use of the theory of Environmental value, Technology Value, Ecology, Circular economy , uses System Dynamics to track dynamically the change in the future of the various variables in different modes and constructs the system mode of agricultural tri-dimension pollution in Yellow River Basin, and simulates the system; Secondly, the paper takes Yinchuan Plain in Ningxia irrigated by Yellow River as example and analyzes the model whether it is reliable, evaluates the system of agricultural tri-dimension pollution under Integrated Management Mode from the perspective of circular economy, and establishes the applicability of system model in study area; Finally, on basis of model verification, evaluates and forecasts four scenario mode of prevention and cure of pollution by use of Analytic Hierarchy Process, builds the corresponding best integrated controlling mode according to different types of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas, and put forward to the technical mode and key measures respectively for different region in Yellow River Basin areas. The paper makes the following main conclusions:
(a) Simulation model of controlling agriculture tri-dimension pollution and the method of system evaluation constructed by the application of System Dynamics is reliable. The result verified by the case of technical mode constructed by simulation in Yinchuan Plain in Ningxia irrigated by Yellow River shows that: the analysis results get from system model of controlling agriculture tri-dimension are consistent to measured results in case area, Maximum relative error is less than 9.5%, Minimum error is less than 1%, which shows that system model parameters and quantitative evaluation of selected indicators is reasonable, the model can be used in areas, the research method provides accurate quantitative reference for optimization and choosing the best development mode of system for other areas in our country.
(b)We should understand and control agricultural pollution in Yellow River Basin areas from the perspective of system and tri-dimension. The study result shows that, the feature of agriculture tri-dimension pollution in Yellow River Basin Areas is clear, If we do nothing for the current mode of development in Yellow River Basin areas, the total nitrogen content in surface water, nitrogen oxide content in atmosphere and nitrate content in agricultural products will add 117.60,16.52 and 100.07 percent respectively in 2020. The unilateral study on water, soil and atmosphere in Yellow River Basin is far from solving agricultural pollution effectively, only adopting countermeasures of integrated ecosystem management, prevention and cure agricultural pollution, can we solve fundamentally the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin Areas.
(c) The effect of adopting integrated management mode to prevent and cure the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Area is distinguished. The study result shows that, compared with the mode of do nothing for the current mode of development, after adopting the mode of integrated management, the total nitrogen content in surface water, nitrogen oxide content in atmosphere and nitrate content in agricultural products will reduce 87.01, 27.70 and 74.36 percent respectively in 2020, while nitrogen content in soil and food production will add 53.27 and 88.07 percent respectively. Through the contrastive analysis between several technical mode, we can find that the effect of integrated management mode is prominent, which is the ideal mode for prevention and cure Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River in future and deserves to be vigorously promoted in Yellow River Basin Areas.
(d)The technical mode recommended by the paper for integrated prevention and cure of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin Areas is reasonable. the result of comparison with the level of circular economy of Yin Chuan plain irrigated by the Yellow River under several technical modes shows that, after adopting the mode of integrated management, the level of circular economy will be added 28.59 percent in 2020,compared with that in 2006, integrated management mode is most prominent for making influence on the level of circular economy of this area, which shows that the technical mode for prevention and cure of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin Area is practical to some extent.
1、首次利用系统动力学方法构建的防治农业立体污染系统仿真模型与系统评价方法可靠。仿真技术建立的黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治技术模式在银川平原引黄灌区案例区实地验证结果表明:2001-2004年农业立体污染防治系统模型分析结果与案例区实测结果基本符合,最大相对误差<9.5%,最小误差<1%,说明系统模式所选量化参数和评价指标合理,动力学模型可以在区域上应用,研究方法可为我国其他区域农业立体污染综合防治技术模式优化提供较准确的量化参考依据和选择最佳发展模式的方法提供参考。
2、黄河流域农业污染问题必须从系统、立体角度认识和防治。研究结果表明:黄河流域农业立体污染特征明显,若对黄河流域当前的发展模式不加干涉,2020年,地表水中总氮量、大气中氮氧化物含量及农产品中硝酸盐含量将分别比2006年的数值增加117.60%,16.52%和100.07%,说明单一方面研究已经远远不能有效解决农业污染问题,只有采取水体-土壤-生物-大气立体化的生态系统综合管理和污染防治对策,才能从根本上解决黄河流域农业立体污染问题。
3、黄河流域农业立体污染采取综合防治技术模式效果显著。研究表明:与当前发展模式不加干涉的无为模式相比,采取综合治理情景技术模式,到2020年,地表水中总氮量、大气中氮氧化物含量及农产品中硝酸盐含量将分别降低87.01%、27.70%、74.36%,而土壤中氮含量及粮食产量将分别增加53.27%、88.07%。从几种情景技术模式对比分析来看,综合治理技术模式的效果最为显著,是今后黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治的理想模式,值得在黄河流域大力推广。
4、推荐的黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治技术模式具有合理性。银川平原引黄灌区案例不同情景技术模式的循环经济水平对比分析结果表明:采取推荐的综合治理模式,到2020年银川平原引黄灌区农业立体污染循环经济水平将比2006年提高28.59%,综合治理技术模式对该区域循环经济水平的影响效果最为突出,说明黄河流域农业立体污染综合防治技术建议模式具有一定的实用性。
According to the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas becoming increasingly severe, firstly, the paper studies from the situation and feature of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas, and divides it into several regions according to basin’s pollution feature by adopting the method of searching documents , research, systems analysis, quantitative and qualitative analysis and so on, and analyzes the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas from the view of tri-dimension and system by use of the theory of Environmental value, Technology Value, Ecology, Circular economy , uses System Dynamics to track dynamically the change in the future of the various variables in different modes and constructs the system mode of agricultural tri-dimension pollution in Yellow River Basin, and simulates the system; Secondly, the paper takes Yinchuan Plain in Ningxia irrigated by Yellow River as example and analyzes the model whether it is reliable, evaluates the system of agricultural tri-dimension pollution under Integrated Management Mode from the perspective of circular economy, and establishes the applicability of system model in study area; Finally, on basis of model verification, evaluates and forecasts four scenario mode of prevention and cure of pollution by use of Analytic Hierarchy Process, builds the corresponding best integrated controlling mode according to different types of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin areas, and put forward to the technical mode and key measures respectively for different region in Yellow River Basin areas. The paper makes the following main conclusions:
(a) Simulation model of controlling agriculture tri-dimension pollution and the method of system evaluation constructed by the application of System Dynamics is reliable. The result verified by the case of technical mode constructed by simulation in Yinchuan Plain in Ningxia irrigated by Yellow River shows that: the analysis results get from system model of controlling agriculture tri-dimension are consistent to measured results in case area, Maximum relative error is less than 9.5%, Minimum error is less than 1%, which shows that system model parameters and quantitative evaluation of selected indicators is reasonable, the model can be used in areas, the research method provides accurate quantitative reference for optimization and choosing the best development mode of system for other areas in our country.
(b)We should understand and control agricultural pollution in Yellow River Basin areas from the perspective of system and tri-dimension. The study result shows that, the feature of agriculture tri-dimension pollution in Yellow River Basin Areas is clear, If we do nothing for the current mode of development in Yellow River Basin areas, the total nitrogen content in surface water, nitrogen oxide content in atmosphere and nitrate content in agricultural products will add 117.60,16.52 and 100.07 percent respectively in 2020. The unilateral study on water, soil and atmosphere in Yellow River Basin is far from solving agricultural pollution effectively, only adopting countermeasures of integrated ecosystem management, prevention and cure agricultural pollution, can we solve fundamentally the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin Areas.
(c) The effect of adopting integrated management mode to prevent and cure the problem of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Area is distinguished. The study result shows that, compared with the mode of do nothing for the current mode of development, after adopting the mode of integrated management, the total nitrogen content in surface water, nitrogen oxide content in atmosphere and nitrate content in agricultural products will reduce 87.01, 27.70 and 74.36 percent respectively in 2020, while nitrogen content in soil and food production will add 53.27 and 88.07 percent respectively. Through the contrastive analysis between several technical mode, we can find that the effect of integrated management mode is prominent, which is the ideal mode for prevention and cure Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River in future and deserves to be vigorously promoted in Yellow River Basin Areas.
(d)The technical mode recommended by the paper for integrated prevention and cure of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin Areas is reasonable. the result of comparison with the level of circular economy of Yin Chuan plain irrigated by the Yellow River under several technical modes shows that, after adopting the mode of integrated management, the level of circular economy will be added 28.59 percent in 2020,compared with that in 2006, integrated management mode is most prominent for making influence on the level of circular economy of this area, which shows that the technical mode for prevention and cure of Agriculture Tri-dimension Pollution in Yellow River Basin Area is practical to some extent.
引文
1 A.O.Babatunde, Y.Q. Zhao. Constructed wetlands for environmental pollution control: A review of developments, research and practice in Ireland. Environment International,2008,(34):116-126
2 Abler, D.G. and Shortle, J.S. Technology as an agricultural pollution control policy, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1995, (77): 20-32
3 Adler, R.W. Reauthorizing the Clean Water Act: looking to tangible values. Water Resources Bulletin, 1994, 30(5):799-807
4 Alfons Weersink, Scott Jeffrey and David Pannell. Farm-Level Modeling for Bigger Issues. Review of Agricultural Economics, 2002, 24(1): 123-140
5 Andersen, M.S. Governance by green taxes: implementing clean water policies in Europe 1970-1990. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 1999, 2:39-63
6 Anthony, S., donigian, Jr., Wayne C. Huber. Modeling of Nonpoint Source Water Quality in Urban and Non-urban Area. EPA-600-3-91-039, Environmental research laboratory office of research and development, US Environmental Protection Agency, 1991
7 Antle, J.M., S.M. Capalbo and C.C. Crissman.“Tradeoffs in Policy Analysis: Conceptual Foundations and Disciplinary Integration.”Economic, Environmental and Health Tradeoffs in Agriculture: Pesticides and the Sustainability of Andean Potato Production. Boston : Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1998
8 Arnold J G,Srinivasan R,Muttiah T S,et a 1.Large Area Hydrologic Modeling and Assessment Part: Model Development.Journal of the American Water Resources Association,1998,34(1):73-89.
9 Arnold J G,Srinivasan R,Muttiah T S,et a1 .Large Are a Hydrologic Modeling and Assessment Part:Model application.Journal of the American Water Resources Association,1998,34(1):91-101.
10 Arnold, J.G., Allen, P.M., Bernhardt, G.A. A comprehensive surface-ground water flow model. Hydrol, 1993, 142:47-69
11 Baldock, D. and Mitchell, K. Cross-compliance Within the Common Agricultural Policy. Lodon: Institute for European Environmental Policy, 1995
12 Batie, S. and Sappington, A. Cross-compliance as a soil conservation strategy: a case study. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1986, 68(4):880-885
13 Batie, S.S.,“Sustainable Development: Challenges to the Profession of Agricultural Economics.”American Journal of Agricultural Economics 71:5(1989): 1083-1101
14 Baumol, W. and Oates, W. The Theory of Environmental Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988
15 Bertels Meierm,Kleinhanssw,Offermannf.Structure and application of the FAL’S economicmodeling group for policy assessment.Agrarwirt schaft,2003,52(4):175-184.
16 Birolini.Reliability Engineering,Theory and Practice.Springer-Verlag,Heidelberg,1999.
17 Camagni P, Sandroni S.Optical remote sensing of air pollution.Amsterdam, The Netherlands :
18 Decision-Making for Watershed Management Symposium, Chevy Chase, Maryland, 2001
19 Dependability management.Application guide.Analysis techniques for dependability—Guide on methodology.Polish Standard PN-EN 60300-3-1.2004.
20 Edwin D. Ongley, Zhang Xiaolan,YuTao. Current status of agricultural and rural non-point source Pollution assessment in China. Environmental Pollution,2009,1-10
21 Edwin D.Ongley a,c,Zhang Xiaolan,Yu Tao. Current status of agricultural and rural non-point source Pollution assessment in China.Environmental Pollution,2009,1-10
22 Elsevier Science Publishers,1984
23 FAO.A culture trade and poverty:cad trade work the poor.FAO Agriculture Series,2005, 36: 21-22.
24 FAO.FAO database. www.fao.org, 2008
25 Fiona Harvey. Planet’s most polluted sites unveiled. In Financial Times, London, September 13, 2007
26 Flemming, R.A. and Adams, R.M. The importance of site-specific information in the design of policies to control pollution. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1996, (33):
347-358
27 Gardner, R.L. and Young, R.A. Assessing strategies for control of irrigation-induced salinity in the upper Colorado River basin. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1988, (70):37-49
28 GIS.Environmental Modelling & Software, 2003,18 (10) : 887– 898
29 Griffin, R. C. and Bromley, D. W. Agricultural Runoff as a Nonpoint Externality: A Theoretical Development. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 1982, (64): 547-552
30 Grommen R,Erstra ete W.Journal of Biotechnology,2002,98:l13-123.
31 Hanley, N., Kirkpatrick, H., Simpson, I. and Oglethorpe, D. Principals for the provision of public goods from agriculture: modeling moorland conservation in Scotland. Land Economics, 1998, 74(1):102-113
32 Hanley, N., Whitby, M. and Simpson, I. Assessing the success of agri-environmental policy in the UK. Land Use Policy, 1999, 16:67-80
33 HEDIGER W.Modeling GHG emissions and carbon sequestration in Swiss agriculture:an integrated economic approach .International Congress Series,2006,1293:86-95.
34 Horan, R.D., Abler, D.G., Shortle, J.S., Carmichael, J. and Wang, L. Probabilistic, cost-effective
35 Hrubovcak, J., LeBlanc, M. and Eakin, B.K. Accounting for the Environment in Agriculture. Washington D.C.: US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, TB-1847, 1995
36 http://news.qq.com/a/20070804/000139.htm
37 http://www.epa.gov
38 http://www.ha.xinhuanet.com/xhzt/2006-10/24/content_8336419.htm
39 http://www.wageningenuniversity.nl
40 Hutchis on K D.Applications of MOD IS satellite data and products for monitoring air quality in the state of Texas.Atmospheric Environment,2003,37(17): 2403 -2412
41 Innovative Barge Trains for Effective Transport on Shallow Waters. Elaboration of theoretical risk mode1.Under the 5th Framework Program.Wroclaw,2000.
42 J.Clarence Davies .Critically Evaluating America's Pollution Control System.RESOURCES. 1998 (130)
43 J.Clarence Davies and Jan Mazurek.Pollution Control in the United States: Evaluating the System.RFF PRESS.1998
44 J.Clarence Davies and Jan Mazurek.Regulating Pollution: Does the U.S. System Work?RFF PRESS.1997
45 J.Kulczyk,M.Mlynczak,T.Nowakowski,T.Tabaczek.Reliability Analysis of Propulsion System.INBAT:Task T47.
46 J.P.Bentley.Introduction to Reliability and Quality En-gineering.Addison-Wesley Longman Ltd.,Edinburgh Gate,Harlow,1999.
47 KATHLEEN SEGERSON and DAN WALKER . Nutrient Pollution:An Economic Perspective. Estuaries.2002(25) :797-808
48 Kihou N,Yuita K.Vertical distribution of nitrate nitrogen in soil water under tea gardens and adjacent forests.Japanese Journal of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition,1991,62:156-164.
49 LIU Jian chang, ZHANG Luo ping,, ZHANG Yuzhen, HONG Huasheng, DENG Hongbing. Validation of an agricultural non-point source (AGNPS)pollution model for a catchment in the Jiulong River watershed, China. Journal of Environmental Sciences 20(2008)599-606
50 M. Silgram, R. Waring, S. Anthony & J. Webb. Intercomparison of national & IPCC methods for estimating N loss from agricultural land. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems. 2001: 189-195
51 Margaret Walls and Virginia McConnell. Incentive-Based Land Use Policies and Water Quality in the Chesapeake Bay.Resources for the Future.Discussion Paper.2004:04-20
52 Mash yanov N R,Reshetov V V.Geochemical ecological monitoring using the remote sensing
53 Milon,J.W. Optimizing nonpoint source controls in water quality. Water resources Bulletin, 1987,(23): 387-396
54 Monika Schaffner, Hans-Peter Bader, Ruth Scheidegger. Modeling the contribution of point sources and non-point sources to Thachin River water pollution. Science of the Total Environment 407 (2009)4902-4915
55 Morandi, L.State Groundwater Protection Policies: a Legislator’s Guide. Washington D.C.: National Conference of State Legislatures, 1989
56 Moxey,E.and White,B.Efficient compliance with agricultural nitrate pollution standards. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1994, 45(1): 27-37
57 National Research Council. Soil and Water Quality: an Agenda for Agriculture. Washington DC: National Academy Press, 1993
58 Norton , G . W ., and Alwang , J ., Introduction to Economics of Agricultural Development. New York: McGraw Hill, Inc., 1993
59 P.A. Chambers, R. Meissner, F.J. Wrona, H. Rupp2, H. Guhr, J. Seeger J.M. Culp, R.B. Brua. Changes in nutrient loading in an agricultural watershed and its effects on water quality and stream biota. Hydrobiologia.2006(556):399-415
60 Pait, Al, Desouza, A. and Farrow, D. Agricultural Pesticide Use in Coastal Areas: a National Summary. US Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, DC. September
61 Palmquist, R.B. and Danielson, L.E. A hedonic study of erosion control and drainage on farmland values. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1989, 71(1): 55-62
62 Pannell, D.J. Sensitivity Analysis of Normative Economic Models: Theoretical Framework and Practical
63 point/nonpoint management in the Susquehanna River Basin. Paper presented at the Integrated relevant management in China.Environment International,2005,31(6): 813-821
64 RossoPH,Pushnik J C,LayM,et al.Reflectance properties and physiological responses of Salicornia virginica to heavy metal and petroleum contamination.Environmental Pollution,2005,137(2): 241-252
65 Sandra Hoffmann and James Boyd. Environmental Fees: Can Incentives Help Solve the Chesapeake’s Nutrient Pollution Problems? Resources for the Future.2006(38):1-21
66 Seckler D,Barker R,Amaresinghe U.Journal of Water Resources Development,1999,15:29-46
67 Toda H,Mochizuki Y,Kawanishi Kawashima H.Estimation of reduction in nitrogen load by tea and paddy field land system in Makinohara area of Shizuoka. Japanese Journal of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition,1997,68:369-375.
68 USGAO.Clean Water Act- Improved Resource Planning Would Help EPA Better Respond to Change Needs and Fiscal Constraints.Washington D.C.: US Government Accounting Office, 2005
69 Wang T,Lu Y,Zhang H,et al.Contamination of persistent organic pollutants( PODS) and
70 water quality and urban development in Shanghai, China.Computers.Environment and Urban
71 Wei Ou yang, Xue lei Wang, Fang hua Hao, R. Srinivasan. Temporal-spatial dynamics of vegetation variation on non-point source nutrient pollution. Ecological Modelling 220 (2009)2702-2713
72 Wischmeier, W.H., Smith, D.D.Predicting rainfall erosion losses.USDA,Agricultural Handbook,1978,537:10-34
73 XIANG Ping-an, ZHOU Yan, HUANG Huang and ZHE Hua. Discussion on the Green Tax Stimulation Measure of Nitrogen Fertilizer Non-Point Source Pollution Control - Taking the Dongting Lake Area in China as a Case. Agricultural Sciences in China ,2007,6(6): 732-741
74 Yin Z,Walcott S, Kaplan B, et al.An analysis of the relationship betweens patial patterns of
75 Yiridoe, E.K. and Weersink, A. Marginal abatement costs of reducing around water-N pollution with intensive and extensive farm management choices. Agricultural and ResourceEconomics Review, 1998, 27:169-185
76 Young, R.A.,Onstad,C.A., et al. AGNP: A nonpoint-source pollution model for evaluating agriculture watersheds.Journal of Soil and Water Conservation,1989,44(2): 168-173
77 ZHANG L J, CAI D X, WANG X B, ZHANG J J, JIN K.A Study of Agricultural Tridimension Pollution and Discussion on Its Control. Agricultural Sciences in China, 2005, 4(3): 214-223
78 Zhen yao Shen, Qian Hong, Hong Yu, Rui min Liu. Parameter uncertainty analysis of the non-point source pollution in the Daning River watershed of the Three Gorge Reservoir Region, China. Science of the total environment 405(2008):195- 205
79 2009中国环境统计年鉴.北京:中国统计出版社,2009
80蔡典雄,王小彬.寿阳旱农试区保护耕作体系研究.干旱地区农业研究,1998,16(3)
81蔡典雄,张燕卿.21世纪我国旱农区保持耕作发展对策.农业技术经济,1998(1)
82蔡典雄,赵兴宝.黄土半干埋地区果树施用保水剂技术及效果.山西果树,2000(2)
83蔡林.系统动力学在可持续发展研究中的应用.北京:中国环境科学出版社,2008
84曹志洪.施肥与水体环境质量-论施肥对环境的影响.土壤,2003,35(5):353-363
85陈百明等.中国近期耕地资源与粮食综合生产能力的变化态势.资源科学,2004,26(5)
86陈珏,何伦志.新农村建设中我国农业污染现状的深层经济分析及防治对策研究.生产力研究,2007(6)
87陈珏.农业可持续发展与生态经济系统构建研究.新疆大学博士学位论文,2008
88陈守煜.程模糊集理论与应用.北京:国防工业大学出版社,1998.
89陈印军,吴凯,卢布,袁璋,许越先.黄河流域农业生产现状及其结构调整.地理科学进展,2005(4)
90陈中云,闵航,吴伟祥.农药污染对黄松稻田土壤产甲烷菌数量和甲烷排放通量影响的研究.中国沼气,2003,21(1):18-21
91陈宗懋,韩华琼,万海滨,岳瑞芝,朱俊庆.茶叶中六六六、DDT污染源的研究.环境科学学报,1986,6:278-285.
92陈宗懋等,茶树生态系中的立体污染链与阻控.中国农业科学,2007,40(5):948-958
93崔凤山.控制农业污染运用加减乘除.环境导报,2003,1
94邓祥征,韩建智,战金艳,赵永宏.农田碳汇管理策略及其效果评价.安徽农业科学,2008,37(32)
95丁伟等.宁夏黄灌区畜禽粪便排放量估算及对环境影响判断.宁夏农林科技,2009(2)
96杜晓宏.内贸危险货物集装箱运输安全相关规定的模拟研究.北京交通大学硕士学位论文,2008
97樊东.地下水水质模糊综合评价模型.中国农村水利水电,1998,(9):29-32
98方中友,陈逸,陈志刚,孙建卫,黄贤金.南京市农业循环经济发展评价指标体系构建与对策.江苏农业学报,2007(5)
99冯乔寿.宁夏引黄灌区盐渍地水利改良的途径.内蒙古水利,1982(1)
100高洪磊.畜禽养殖业中存在的立体污染及其防治措施.现代农业科技,2008(21)
101古玉丽.我国粮食产量与化肥使用量之间的实证分析.农村经济与科技,2007
102郭凯.基于SD模型的陕北能源化工基地环境可持续发展研究.西安科技大学硕士学位论文,2009
103国家环境保护局.水和废水监测分析方法.北京:中国环境科学出版社
104国家环境保护总局,国家质量监督检验检疫总局.地表水环境质量标准GB3838—2002.北京:中国环境科学出版社,2002
105国外农业污染防控进展.农林工作通讯,2008.2
106韩广轩.川中丘陵区稻田甲烷排放及其影响因素.农村生态环境,2005,21(1):1-6
107何云.浙江省循环经济发展评价体系研究.浙江工业大学硕士学位论文,2006
108胡大伟.基于系统动力学和神经网络模型的区域可持续发展的仿真研究.南京农业大学博士学位论文,2006
109胡淑礼.模糊数学及其应用.四川:四川大学出版社,1994
110黄东风,王果,陈超.农业面源污染研究概况及发展趋势.中国农村小康科技,2006(11)
111黄鸿翔,陈福兴,徐明岗,秦道株,高菊生,朱永兴.红壤地区土壤镁素状况及镁肥施用技术的研究.土壤肥料,2000(5)
112黄鸿翔,李书田,李向林,姚杰,曹卫东,王敏,刘荣乐.我国有机肥的现状与发展前景分析.土壤肥料,2006(1)
113黄鸿翔.我国土壤资源现状、问题及对策.土壤肥料,2005(1)
114黄兴国,刘秀花.水环境质量评价中几种方法的对比.地下水,2005,27(2)
115黄自强.黄河流域的水土流失及其防治对策http://www.chinawater.net.cn/CWR_Journal/200005/14.html
116冀宪武,赵永胜,邵曰剑,张志力,程春生.山西省农业立体污染存在的问题及对策研究.科技情报开发与经济,2007(34)
117江长胜,王跃思,郑循华等.稻田甲烷排放影响因素及其研究进展.土壤通报,2004,35(5):663-668
118江峻任.技术对可持续发展的价值贡献.科技情报开发与经济,2005(2)
119巨乃岐.试论技术价值的实现.宝鸡文理学院学报(社会科学版),2009(1)
120李春杰,张强,韩宝文.农业非点源污染状况与防治(综述).河北农业科学.2006,10(2)
121李建华.畜禽养殖业的清洁生产与污染防治对策研究,浙江大学硕士论文,2004
122李梅.城市污水再生回用系统分析及模拟预测.西安建筑科技大学博士学位论文,2003
123李荣刚.苏南太湖地区水体中总氮何总磷的负荷量.博士论文:苏南高产农田氮磷肥料的利用率和管理.北京,中国农业大学,2000,26-36
124李森照,罗金发等编著.中国污水灌溉与环境质量控制.北京:气象出版社,1995,5
125李希灿,程汝光,李克志.空气环境质量模糊综合评价及趋势灰色预测.系统工程理论与实践,2004,23(4).
126李希灿.模糊识别理论在水源地水质评价中的应用.地下水,1999(3).
127李习清.我国房地产开发企业的可持续性融资问题研究.大连理工大学硕士学位论文,2007
128李雅忠.黄河流域(山西段)水污染和生态破坏现状及对策.山西建筑,2003,29(14)
129联合国环境规划署.世界环境数据手册.中国科学技术出版社.1990
130梁斌,王超,王沛芳.复杂河网地区人河污染物调查分析和估算方法研究.水资源保护,2003,(5):30-34
131梁德华,蒋火华.河流水质综合评价方法的统一与改进.中国环境监测,2002,18(2):63-66
132林年丰,王娟等.农业生态环境系统的优化研究.吉林大学学报,2004,34(1):111-118
133林维柏,赵杰.区域循环经济发展水平的综合评价方法.统计与决策,2009(8)
134刘冬梅,李雨.农业污染防治的立法思考.世界农业,2008,2
135刘志伟,徐志红,徐凯.长江中下游地区水稻田溶解态氮流失量的估算——以江苏省靖江市柏木乡为例.中国生态农业学报2004,(4):119-121
136陆新元.农村环境保护与“三农”问题[J].环境保护,2005,335(9):15-21
137马永亮.基于系统动力学的崇明岛水资源承载力研究.华东师范大学硕士学位论文,2008
138聂荣,章力建,蔡典雄.系统动力学在农业立体污染防治中的应用.农业科技通讯,2006,2:7-8
139宁夏统计年鉴.银川:中国统计出版社,2001~2005
140祁俊生.农业面源污染综合防治技术.成都,西南交通大学出版社,2009,13-19
141齐文启等.中国环境监测〔J〕.2007.5∶6-9
142秦寿康.综合评价原理与应用.北京:电子工业出版社,2003
143秦中,张捷,都金康.水体污染遥感监测的可行性分析.长江流域资源与环境,2004,13(4):384-388
144邱君.中国农业污染治理的政策分析.北京:中国农业科学院研究生院,2008
145任仲杰,顾孟迪.我国农作物秸秆综合利用与循环经济.安徽农业科学,2005,33(11):2105-2106.
146石利利,林王锁,徐亦钢等.苏南地区土壤和作物中农药残留监测.农业环境保护,2001.20(3):158-159,16
147四川省农业厅土肥生态处.稻田保护性耕作技术模式.四川农业科技,2003(6)
148孙宝利.我国“农业立体污染”防治对策研究.农业环境与发展,2007(6)
149孙娟,李强坤,胡亚伟.农业非点源污染的现状与控制措施——以宁夏引黄灌区为例.农业环境与发展,2009(4)
150孙素云.w值水质评价法在册田水中的应用.甘肃环境研究与监测,2002,15(4):297-299
151覃志豪,章力建,高懋芳,秦晓敏,邱建军.遥感技术在农业立体污染监测中的应用.国土资源遥感,2006,1
152唐华秀,邓祥征,战金艳,马劲松,姜群鸥.黄淮海平原作物灌溉需水与耕地生产潜力的耦合分析.安徽农业科学,2008,36(2)
153唐浩,陆贻通,张大弟.农药杀虫单的稻田流失规律研究.上海环境科学,2002,21(11):647-650
154唐龙飞等.稻田高效、低耗、低污染的持续农业模式研究.中国农业科学,2000,33(3):60-66
155王兵.论技术价值的实现.齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2006(4)
156王海芹.农业面源污染的立体防控.农业环境与发展,2006(3)
157王晗.青岛市水土保持发展模式仿真研究.山东师范大学硕士学位论文,2009
158王其藩.系统动力学.上海:上海财经大学出版社,2009
159王希波,孙翠玲.一种评价河流水质的数学模型.黑龙江环境通报,2003,27(4):76-78
160吴海.综采工作面人—机—环境系统可靠性研究.湖南科技大学硕士学位论文,2007
161吴继敏,刘玲.农业非点源污染及其防治措施.农业环境与发展,2007(3)73-75.
162吴晓青.我国大气氮氧化物污染控制对策.环境保护,2009(12)
163武雪萍,蔡典雄,梅旭荣,沈跃,谢晓红,张建君,赵全胜.黄河流域农业水资源与水环境问题及技术对策.生态环境,2007(1)
164肖宏儒,章力建,易中懿,傅锡敏,吴崇友.农业立体污染防治装备技术战略选择及对策.中国农机化,2005(6)
165肖玉等.稻田生态系统气体调节功能及其价值.自然资源学报,2004,19(5):619-623
166新中国农业60年统计资料.北京:中国农业出版社,2009
167徐芙蓉等.A值法研究大气总量控制的环境质量达标保证率.四川环境,2003,22(2)
168徐艳梅.河南省农业循环经济发展评价体系研究.重庆大学硕士学位论文,2009
169薛秋华.福建药用果树产业形成与发展路径研究.福建农林大学硕士学位论文,2006
170杨丽霞,苑韶峰.养殖业与非点源污染及其治理方法探讨.饲料工业,2002,23(7)
171杨双春,安洋等.腈纶废水中总氮测定方法的改进研究.辽宁化工,2008,37(10)
172杨文.宁夏农业循环经济发展模式研究.西北农林科技大学博士学位论文,2008
173杨修,章力建,李正,孙芳.农业立体污染防治的生态学思考.生态学报,2005,25(4)
174杨正礼,卫鸿.我国粮食安全的基础在于藏粮于田.科技导报,2004,(9):14-17.
175袁平.农业污染及其综合防控的环境经济学研究——理论探讨与实证分析.北京:中国农业科学院研究生院,2008
176于法稳,尚杰.黄土高原半干旱区集水型生态农业建设对策.科技导报,2002,(3):43-45
177于法稳,尚杰.西北半干旱区集水型生态农业与生态环境的恢复重建.中国软科学,2002,(2):86-88
178张魁忠,关远,鲁海涛,付迎春.大气环境质量的模糊综合评价芳法.卓新矿业学院学报(自然科学版),1995,14(3)
179张明成.河口岛屿型地区水资源承载力研究.华东师范大学硕士学位论文,2006
180张萍.港城互动的系统动力学模型研究.河海大学博士学位论文,2006
181张维理,武淑霞,冀宏杰等.中国农业面源污染形势估计及控制对策.中国农业科学,2004,37(7):1008-1017.
182张晓明.论科学发展指导下农村和谐社会的构建.西南交通大学硕士学位论文,2006
183张新.基于系统动力学的稻田回归水模拟.武汉大学硕士学位论文,2005
184张云芳.南靖农村户用沼气生态处理模式防治畜禽养殖污染的研究.厦门大学硕士学位论文,2009
185张志峰.城市再生水回用的相关因素分析和政策研究.北京交通大学硕士学位论文,2009
186章力建,蔡典雄,王小彬,等.农业立体污染及其防治研究的探讨.中国农业科学,2005,38(2):350~357.
187章力建,蔡典雄,王小彬等.农业立体污染中的碳氮链研究.中国农业科技导报,2005,7(1):7-12
188章力建,蔡典雄.治理农业污染必须抓“链条”.科技日报,2004-l2-10
189章力建,蔡典雄等.农业立体污染及其防治研究的探讨.中国农业科学,2005,38(2):350-357
190章力建,蔡辉益等.饲料工业中立体污染防治技术对策与技术研究.中国饲料,2005,(11):5-8
191章力建,刁其玉,王吉峰.畜禽养殖业中立体交叉污染及其防治对策.中国畜牧兽医,2005(9):3-6
192章力建,董红敏,蔡典雄,李玉娥.“农业立体污染”不容忽视.农民日报,2004-12-30
193章力建,董红敏,蔡典雄,李玉娥.“农业立体污染”及其防治.中国农科院报,2004-12-10
194章力建,侯向阳,杨正礼.当前我国农业立体污染防治研究的若干重要问题.中国农业科技导报,2005,7(1)
195章力建,侯向阳,杨正礼.当前我国农业立体污染防治研究的若干重要问题.中国农业科技导报,2005,7(1)
196章力建,侯向阳.我国农业立体污染防治研究进展.作物杂志,2005
197章力建,胡定寰,杨伟民.现代农产品供应链(超市)在农业污染防治中的作用.中国农业科技导报,2007,9(4):12-16
198章力建,张志芳.现代生物技术在农业立体污染防治中的作用.生物技术通报,2005,(1):7-12
199章力建,朱立志,蔡典雄,包菲.农业立体污染防治中循环经济的运作机制及模式.农业技术经济,2005(3)
200章力建,朱立志.农业立体污染综合防治研究的概况与进展.世界科技研究与发展,2006,28(6):9-16
201章力建,朱立志.我国“农业立体污染”防治对策研究.农业经济问题,2005,2:4-7
202章力建,朱立志.农业立体污染防治是当前环境保护工作的战略需求.环境保护,2007(5)
203章力建,朱立志.农业立体污染综合防治与循环经济.农业环境与发展,2006(6)
204赵春丽.系统动力学方法在区域水资源承载力中的应用研究.西安建筑科技大学硕士学位论文,2006
205赵杰.浅析区域循环经济发展水平综合评价指标权重确定的方法.商场现代化,2007(23)
206赵杰.区域循环经济发展水平综合评价体系及应用研究.中南大学硕士学位论文,2007
207郑利民,郭卫新,黄福贵,卞艳丽.黄河流域水环境污染现状及防治.西北水电,2007(1)
208郑时选,章力建.沼气技术在农业立体污染防治中的作用.中国沼气,2005,23(1)
209中国环境状况公报.2006
210周福顶,王晓丽.浅析“农业立体污染”防治.环境经济,2009(4)
211朱桂英.影响我国粮食产量的主要因素分析.内蒙古科技与经济,2005(22)
212朱林,吕宏兴.地面水水质的模糊综合评价.西北水资源与水工程,1994,5(2):27-33
213朱龙.中国粮食生产问题的实证研究.安徽广播电视大学学报.2008(3)
214邹国元,张福锁,陈新平,李新慧.农田土壤硝化-反硝化作用与NO的排放.土壤与环境,2001.10(4):273-276
2 Abler, D.G. and Shortle, J.S. Technology as an agricultural pollution control policy, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1995, (77): 20-32
3 Adler, R.W. Reauthorizing the Clean Water Act: looking to tangible values. Water Resources Bulletin, 1994, 30(5):799-807
4 Alfons Weersink, Scott Jeffrey and David Pannell. Farm-Level Modeling for Bigger Issues. Review of Agricultural Economics, 2002, 24(1): 123-140
5 Andersen, M.S. Governance by green taxes: implementing clean water policies in Europe 1970-1990. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 1999, 2:39-63
6 Anthony, S., donigian, Jr., Wayne C. Huber. Modeling of Nonpoint Source Water Quality in Urban and Non-urban Area. EPA-600-3-91-039, Environmental research laboratory office of research and development, US Environmental Protection Agency, 1991
7 Antle, J.M., S.M. Capalbo and C.C. Crissman.“Tradeoffs in Policy Analysis: Conceptual Foundations and Disciplinary Integration.”Economic, Environmental and Health Tradeoffs in Agriculture: Pesticides and the Sustainability of Andean Potato Production. Boston : Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1998
8 Arnold J G,Srinivasan R,Muttiah T S,et a 1.Large Area Hydrologic Modeling and Assessment Part: Model Development.Journal of the American Water Resources Association,1998,34(1):73-89.
9 Arnold J G,Srinivasan R,Muttiah T S,et a1 .Large Are a Hydrologic Modeling and Assessment Part:Model application.Journal of the American Water Resources Association,1998,34(1):91-101.
10 Arnold, J.G., Allen, P.M., Bernhardt, G.A. A comprehensive surface-ground water flow model. Hydrol, 1993, 142:47-69
11 Baldock, D. and Mitchell, K. Cross-compliance Within the Common Agricultural Policy. Lodon: Institute for European Environmental Policy, 1995
12 Batie, S. and Sappington, A. Cross-compliance as a soil conservation strategy: a case study. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1986, 68(4):880-885
13 Batie, S.S.,“Sustainable Development: Challenges to the Profession of Agricultural Economics.”American Journal of Agricultural Economics 71:5(1989): 1083-1101
14 Baumol, W. and Oates, W. The Theory of Environmental Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988
15 Bertels Meierm,Kleinhanssw,Offermannf.Structure and application of the FAL’S economicmodeling group for policy assessment.Agrarwirt schaft,2003,52(4):175-184.
16 Birolini.Reliability Engineering,Theory and Practice.Springer-Verlag,Heidelberg,1999.
17 Camagni P, Sandroni S.Optical remote sensing of air pollution.Amsterdam, The Netherlands :
18 Decision-Making for Watershed Management Symposium, Chevy Chase, Maryland, 2001
19 Dependability management.Application guide.Analysis techniques for dependability—Guide on methodology.Polish Standard PN-EN 60300-3-1.2004.
20 Edwin D. Ongley, Zhang Xiaolan,YuTao. Current status of agricultural and rural non-point source Pollution assessment in China. Environmental Pollution,2009,1-10
21 Edwin D.Ongley a,c,Zhang Xiaolan,Yu Tao. Current status of agricultural and rural non-point source Pollution assessment in China.Environmental Pollution,2009,1-10
22 Elsevier Science Publishers,1984
23 FAO.A culture trade and poverty:cad trade work the poor.FAO Agriculture Series,2005, 36: 21-22.
24 FAO.FAO database. www.fao.org, 2008
25 Fiona Harvey. Planet’s most polluted sites unveiled. In Financial Times, London, September 13, 2007
26 Flemming, R.A. and Adams, R.M. The importance of site-specific information in the design of policies to control pollution. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1996, (33):
347-358
27 Gardner, R.L. and Young, R.A. Assessing strategies for control of irrigation-induced salinity in the upper Colorado River basin. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1988, (70):37-49
28 GIS.Environmental Modelling & Software, 2003,18 (10) : 887– 898
29 Griffin, R. C. and Bromley, D. W. Agricultural Runoff as a Nonpoint Externality: A Theoretical Development. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 1982, (64): 547-552
30 Grommen R,Erstra ete W.Journal of Biotechnology,2002,98:l13-123.
31 Hanley, N., Kirkpatrick, H., Simpson, I. and Oglethorpe, D. Principals for the provision of public goods from agriculture: modeling moorland conservation in Scotland. Land Economics, 1998, 74(1):102-113
32 Hanley, N., Whitby, M. and Simpson, I. Assessing the success of agri-environmental policy in the UK. Land Use Policy, 1999, 16:67-80
33 HEDIGER W.Modeling GHG emissions and carbon sequestration in Swiss agriculture:an integrated economic approach .International Congress Series,2006,1293:86-95.
34 Horan, R.D., Abler, D.G., Shortle, J.S., Carmichael, J. and Wang, L. Probabilistic, cost-effective
35 Hrubovcak, J., LeBlanc, M. and Eakin, B.K. Accounting for the Environment in Agriculture. Washington D.C.: US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, TB-1847, 1995
36 http://news.qq.com/a/20070804/000139.htm
37 http://www.epa.gov
38 http://www.ha.xinhuanet.com/xhzt/2006-10/24/content_8336419.htm
39 http://www.wageningenuniversity.nl
40 Hutchis on K D.Applications of MOD IS satellite data and products for monitoring air quality in the state of Texas.Atmospheric Environment,2003,37(17): 2403 -2412
41 Innovative Barge Trains for Effective Transport on Shallow Waters. Elaboration of theoretical risk mode1.Under the 5th Framework Program.Wroclaw,2000.
42 J.Clarence Davies .Critically Evaluating America's Pollution Control System.RESOURCES. 1998 (130)
43 J.Clarence Davies and Jan Mazurek.Pollution Control in the United States: Evaluating the System.RFF PRESS.1998
44 J.Clarence Davies and Jan Mazurek.Regulating Pollution: Does the U.S. System Work?RFF PRESS.1997
45 J.Kulczyk,M.Mlynczak,T.Nowakowski,T.Tabaczek.Reliability Analysis of Propulsion System.INBAT:Task T47.
46 J.P.Bentley.Introduction to Reliability and Quality En-gineering.Addison-Wesley Longman Ltd.,Edinburgh Gate,Harlow,1999.
47 KATHLEEN SEGERSON and DAN WALKER . Nutrient Pollution:An Economic Perspective. Estuaries.2002(25) :797-808
48 Kihou N,Yuita K.Vertical distribution of nitrate nitrogen in soil water under tea gardens and adjacent forests.Japanese Journal of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition,1991,62:156-164.
49 LIU Jian chang, ZHANG Luo ping,, ZHANG Yuzhen, HONG Huasheng, DENG Hongbing. Validation of an agricultural non-point source (AGNPS)pollution model for a catchment in the Jiulong River watershed, China. Journal of Environmental Sciences 20(2008)599-606
50 M. Silgram, R. Waring, S. Anthony & J. Webb. Intercomparison of national & IPCC methods for estimating N loss from agricultural land. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems. 2001: 189-195
51 Margaret Walls and Virginia McConnell. Incentive-Based Land Use Policies and Water Quality in the Chesapeake Bay.Resources for the Future.Discussion Paper.2004:04-20
52 Mash yanov N R,Reshetov V V.Geochemical ecological monitoring using the remote sensing
53 Milon,J.W. Optimizing nonpoint source controls in water quality. Water resources Bulletin, 1987,(23): 387-396
54 Monika Schaffner, Hans-Peter Bader, Ruth Scheidegger. Modeling the contribution of point sources and non-point sources to Thachin River water pollution. Science of the Total Environment 407 (2009)4902-4915
55 Morandi, L.State Groundwater Protection Policies: a Legislator’s Guide. Washington D.C.: National Conference of State Legislatures, 1989
56 Moxey,E.and White,B.Efficient compliance with agricultural nitrate pollution standards. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1994, 45(1): 27-37
57 National Research Council. Soil and Water Quality: an Agenda for Agriculture. Washington DC: National Academy Press, 1993
58 Norton , G . W ., and Alwang , J ., Introduction to Economics of Agricultural Development. New York: McGraw Hill, Inc., 1993
59 P.A. Chambers, R. Meissner, F.J. Wrona, H. Rupp2, H. Guhr, J. Seeger J.M. Culp, R.B. Brua. Changes in nutrient loading in an agricultural watershed and its effects on water quality and stream biota. Hydrobiologia.2006(556):399-415
60 Pait, Al, Desouza, A. and Farrow, D. Agricultural Pesticide Use in Coastal Areas: a National Summary. US Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, DC. September
61 Palmquist, R.B. and Danielson, L.E. A hedonic study of erosion control and drainage on farmland values. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1989, 71(1): 55-62
62 Pannell, D.J. Sensitivity Analysis of Normative Economic Models: Theoretical Framework and Practical
63 point/nonpoint management in the Susquehanna River Basin. Paper presented at the Integrated relevant management in China.Environment International,2005,31(6): 813-821
64 RossoPH,Pushnik J C,LayM,et al.Reflectance properties and physiological responses of Salicornia virginica to heavy metal and petroleum contamination.Environmental Pollution,2005,137(2): 241-252
65 Sandra Hoffmann and James Boyd. Environmental Fees: Can Incentives Help Solve the Chesapeake’s Nutrient Pollution Problems? Resources for the Future.2006(38):1-21
66 Seckler D,Barker R,Amaresinghe U.Journal of Water Resources Development,1999,15:29-46
67 Toda H,Mochizuki Y,Kawanishi Kawashima H.Estimation of reduction in nitrogen load by tea and paddy field land system in Makinohara area of Shizuoka. Japanese Journal of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition,1997,68:369-375.
68 USGAO.Clean Water Act- Improved Resource Planning Would Help EPA Better Respond to Change Needs and Fiscal Constraints.Washington D.C.: US Government Accounting Office, 2005
69 Wang T,Lu Y,Zhang H,et al.Contamination of persistent organic pollutants( PODS) and
70 water quality and urban development in Shanghai, China.Computers.Environment and Urban
71 Wei Ou yang, Xue lei Wang, Fang hua Hao, R. Srinivasan. Temporal-spatial dynamics of vegetation variation on non-point source nutrient pollution. Ecological Modelling 220 (2009)2702-2713
72 Wischmeier, W.H., Smith, D.D.Predicting rainfall erosion losses.USDA,Agricultural Handbook,1978,537:10-34
73 XIANG Ping-an, ZHOU Yan, HUANG Huang and ZHE Hua. Discussion on the Green Tax Stimulation Measure of Nitrogen Fertilizer Non-Point Source Pollution Control - Taking the Dongting Lake Area in China as a Case. Agricultural Sciences in China ,2007,6(6): 732-741
74 Yin Z,Walcott S, Kaplan B, et al.An analysis of the relationship betweens patial patterns of
75 Yiridoe, E.K. and Weersink, A. Marginal abatement costs of reducing around water-N pollution with intensive and extensive farm management choices. Agricultural and ResourceEconomics Review, 1998, 27:169-185
76 Young, R.A.,Onstad,C.A., et al. AGNP: A nonpoint-source pollution model for evaluating agriculture watersheds.Journal of Soil and Water Conservation,1989,44(2): 168-173
77 ZHANG L J, CAI D X, WANG X B, ZHANG J J, JIN K.A Study of Agricultural Tridimension Pollution and Discussion on Its Control. Agricultural Sciences in China, 2005, 4(3): 214-223
78 Zhen yao Shen, Qian Hong, Hong Yu, Rui min Liu. Parameter uncertainty analysis of the non-point source pollution in the Daning River watershed of the Three Gorge Reservoir Region, China. Science of the total environment 405(2008):195- 205
79 2009中国环境统计年鉴.北京:中国统计出版社,2009
80蔡典雄,王小彬.寿阳旱农试区保护耕作体系研究.干旱地区农业研究,1998,16(3)
81蔡典雄,张燕卿.21世纪我国旱农区保持耕作发展对策.农业技术经济,1998(1)
82蔡典雄,赵兴宝.黄土半干埋地区果树施用保水剂技术及效果.山西果树,2000(2)
83蔡林.系统动力学在可持续发展研究中的应用.北京:中国环境科学出版社,2008
84曹志洪.施肥与水体环境质量-论施肥对环境的影响.土壤,2003,35(5):353-363
85陈百明等.中国近期耕地资源与粮食综合生产能力的变化态势.资源科学,2004,26(5)
86陈珏,何伦志.新农村建设中我国农业污染现状的深层经济分析及防治对策研究.生产力研究,2007(6)
87陈珏.农业可持续发展与生态经济系统构建研究.新疆大学博士学位论文,2008
88陈守煜.程模糊集理论与应用.北京:国防工业大学出版社,1998.
89陈印军,吴凯,卢布,袁璋,许越先.黄河流域农业生产现状及其结构调整.地理科学进展,2005(4)
90陈中云,闵航,吴伟祥.农药污染对黄松稻田土壤产甲烷菌数量和甲烷排放通量影响的研究.中国沼气,2003,21(1):18-21
91陈宗懋,韩华琼,万海滨,岳瑞芝,朱俊庆.茶叶中六六六、DDT污染源的研究.环境科学学报,1986,6:278-285.
92陈宗懋等,茶树生态系中的立体污染链与阻控.中国农业科学,2007,40(5):948-958
93崔凤山.控制农业污染运用加减乘除.环境导报,2003,1
94邓祥征,韩建智,战金艳,赵永宏.农田碳汇管理策略及其效果评价.安徽农业科学,2008,37(32)
95丁伟等.宁夏黄灌区畜禽粪便排放量估算及对环境影响判断.宁夏农林科技,2009(2)
96杜晓宏.内贸危险货物集装箱运输安全相关规定的模拟研究.北京交通大学硕士学位论文,2008
97樊东.地下水水质模糊综合评价模型.中国农村水利水电,1998,(9):29-32
98方中友,陈逸,陈志刚,孙建卫,黄贤金.南京市农业循环经济发展评价指标体系构建与对策.江苏农业学报,2007(5)
99冯乔寿.宁夏引黄灌区盐渍地水利改良的途径.内蒙古水利,1982(1)
100高洪磊.畜禽养殖业中存在的立体污染及其防治措施.现代农业科技,2008(21)
101古玉丽.我国粮食产量与化肥使用量之间的实证分析.农村经济与科技,2007
102郭凯.基于SD模型的陕北能源化工基地环境可持续发展研究.西安科技大学硕士学位论文,2009
103国家环境保护局.水和废水监测分析方法.北京:中国环境科学出版社
104国家环境保护总局,国家质量监督检验检疫总局.地表水环境质量标准GB3838—2002.北京:中国环境科学出版社,2002
105国外农业污染防控进展.农林工作通讯,2008.2
106韩广轩.川中丘陵区稻田甲烷排放及其影响因素.农村生态环境,2005,21(1):1-6
107何云.浙江省循环经济发展评价体系研究.浙江工业大学硕士学位论文,2006
108胡大伟.基于系统动力学和神经网络模型的区域可持续发展的仿真研究.南京农业大学博士学位论文,2006
109胡淑礼.模糊数学及其应用.四川:四川大学出版社,1994
110黄东风,王果,陈超.农业面源污染研究概况及发展趋势.中国农村小康科技,2006(11)
111黄鸿翔,陈福兴,徐明岗,秦道株,高菊生,朱永兴.红壤地区土壤镁素状况及镁肥施用技术的研究.土壤肥料,2000(5)
112黄鸿翔,李书田,李向林,姚杰,曹卫东,王敏,刘荣乐.我国有机肥的现状与发展前景分析.土壤肥料,2006(1)
113黄鸿翔.我国土壤资源现状、问题及对策.土壤肥料,2005(1)
114黄兴国,刘秀花.水环境质量评价中几种方法的对比.地下水,2005,27(2)
115黄自强.黄河流域的水土流失及其防治对策http://www.chinawater.net.cn/CWR_Journal/200005/14.html
116冀宪武,赵永胜,邵曰剑,张志力,程春生.山西省农业立体污染存在的问题及对策研究.科技情报开发与经济,2007(34)
117江长胜,王跃思,郑循华等.稻田甲烷排放影响因素及其研究进展.土壤通报,2004,35(5):663-668
118江峻任.技术对可持续发展的价值贡献.科技情报开发与经济,2005(2)
119巨乃岐.试论技术价值的实现.宝鸡文理学院学报(社会科学版),2009(1)
120李春杰,张强,韩宝文.农业非点源污染状况与防治(综述).河北农业科学.2006,10(2)
121李建华.畜禽养殖业的清洁生产与污染防治对策研究,浙江大学硕士论文,2004
122李梅.城市污水再生回用系统分析及模拟预测.西安建筑科技大学博士学位论文,2003
123李荣刚.苏南太湖地区水体中总氮何总磷的负荷量.博士论文:苏南高产农田氮磷肥料的利用率和管理.北京,中国农业大学,2000,26-36
124李森照,罗金发等编著.中国污水灌溉与环境质量控制.北京:气象出版社,1995,5
125李希灿,程汝光,李克志.空气环境质量模糊综合评价及趋势灰色预测.系统工程理论与实践,2004,23(4).
126李希灿.模糊识别理论在水源地水质评价中的应用.地下水,1999(3).
127李习清.我国房地产开发企业的可持续性融资问题研究.大连理工大学硕士学位论文,2007
128李雅忠.黄河流域(山西段)水污染和生态破坏现状及对策.山西建筑,2003,29(14)
129联合国环境规划署.世界环境数据手册.中国科学技术出版社.1990
130梁斌,王超,王沛芳.复杂河网地区人河污染物调查分析和估算方法研究.水资源保护,2003,(5):30-34
131梁德华,蒋火华.河流水质综合评价方法的统一与改进.中国环境监测,2002,18(2):63-66
132林年丰,王娟等.农业生态环境系统的优化研究.吉林大学学报,2004,34(1):111-118
133林维柏,赵杰.区域循环经济发展水平的综合评价方法.统计与决策,2009(8)
134刘冬梅,李雨.农业污染防治的立法思考.世界农业,2008,2
135刘志伟,徐志红,徐凯.长江中下游地区水稻田溶解态氮流失量的估算——以江苏省靖江市柏木乡为例.中国生态农业学报2004,(4):119-121
136陆新元.农村环境保护与“三农”问题[J].环境保护,2005,335(9):15-21
137马永亮.基于系统动力学的崇明岛水资源承载力研究.华东师范大学硕士学位论文,2008
138聂荣,章力建,蔡典雄.系统动力学在农业立体污染防治中的应用.农业科技通讯,2006,2:7-8
139宁夏统计年鉴.银川:中国统计出版社,2001~2005
140祁俊生.农业面源污染综合防治技术.成都,西南交通大学出版社,2009,13-19
141齐文启等.中国环境监测〔J〕.2007.5∶6-9
142秦寿康.综合评价原理与应用.北京:电子工业出版社,2003
143秦中,张捷,都金康.水体污染遥感监测的可行性分析.长江流域资源与环境,2004,13(4):384-388
144邱君.中国农业污染治理的政策分析.北京:中国农业科学院研究生院,2008
145任仲杰,顾孟迪.我国农作物秸秆综合利用与循环经济.安徽农业科学,2005,33(11):2105-2106.
146石利利,林王锁,徐亦钢等.苏南地区土壤和作物中农药残留监测.农业环境保护,2001.20(3):158-159,16
147四川省农业厅土肥生态处.稻田保护性耕作技术模式.四川农业科技,2003(6)
148孙宝利.我国“农业立体污染”防治对策研究.农业环境与发展,2007(6)
149孙娟,李强坤,胡亚伟.农业非点源污染的现状与控制措施——以宁夏引黄灌区为例.农业环境与发展,2009(4)
150孙素云.w值水质评价法在册田水中的应用.甘肃环境研究与监测,2002,15(4):297-299
151覃志豪,章力建,高懋芳,秦晓敏,邱建军.遥感技术在农业立体污染监测中的应用.国土资源遥感,2006,1
152唐华秀,邓祥征,战金艳,马劲松,姜群鸥.黄淮海平原作物灌溉需水与耕地生产潜力的耦合分析.安徽农业科学,2008,36(2)
153唐浩,陆贻通,张大弟.农药杀虫单的稻田流失规律研究.上海环境科学,2002,21(11):647-650
154唐龙飞等.稻田高效、低耗、低污染的持续农业模式研究.中国农业科学,2000,33(3):60-66
155王兵.论技术价值的实现.齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2006(4)
156王海芹.农业面源污染的立体防控.农业环境与发展,2006(3)
157王晗.青岛市水土保持发展模式仿真研究.山东师范大学硕士学位论文,2009
158王其藩.系统动力学.上海:上海财经大学出版社,2009
159王希波,孙翠玲.一种评价河流水质的数学模型.黑龙江环境通报,2003,27(4):76-78
160吴海.综采工作面人—机—环境系统可靠性研究.湖南科技大学硕士学位论文,2007
161吴继敏,刘玲.农业非点源污染及其防治措施.农业环境与发展,2007(3)73-75.
162吴晓青.我国大气氮氧化物污染控制对策.环境保护,2009(12)
163武雪萍,蔡典雄,梅旭荣,沈跃,谢晓红,张建君,赵全胜.黄河流域农业水资源与水环境问题及技术对策.生态环境,2007(1)
164肖宏儒,章力建,易中懿,傅锡敏,吴崇友.农业立体污染防治装备技术战略选择及对策.中国农机化,2005(6)
165肖玉等.稻田生态系统气体调节功能及其价值.自然资源学报,2004,19(5):619-623
166新中国农业60年统计资料.北京:中国农业出版社,2009
167徐芙蓉等.A值法研究大气总量控制的环境质量达标保证率.四川环境,2003,22(2)
168徐艳梅.河南省农业循环经济发展评价体系研究.重庆大学硕士学位论文,2009
169薛秋华.福建药用果树产业形成与发展路径研究.福建农林大学硕士学位论文,2006
170杨丽霞,苑韶峰.养殖业与非点源污染及其治理方法探讨.饲料工业,2002,23(7)
171杨双春,安洋等.腈纶废水中总氮测定方法的改进研究.辽宁化工,2008,37(10)
172杨文.宁夏农业循环经济发展模式研究.西北农林科技大学博士学位论文,2008
173杨修,章力建,李正,孙芳.农业立体污染防治的生态学思考.生态学报,2005,25(4)
174杨正礼,卫鸿.我国粮食安全的基础在于藏粮于田.科技导报,2004,(9):14-17.
175袁平.农业污染及其综合防控的环境经济学研究——理论探讨与实证分析.北京:中国农业科学院研究生院,2008
176于法稳,尚杰.黄土高原半干旱区集水型生态农业建设对策.科技导报,2002,(3):43-45
177于法稳,尚杰.西北半干旱区集水型生态农业与生态环境的恢复重建.中国软科学,2002,(2):86-88
178张魁忠,关远,鲁海涛,付迎春.大气环境质量的模糊综合评价芳法.卓新矿业学院学报(自然科学版),1995,14(3)
179张明成.河口岛屿型地区水资源承载力研究.华东师范大学硕士学位论文,2006
180张萍.港城互动的系统动力学模型研究.河海大学博士学位论文,2006
181张维理,武淑霞,冀宏杰等.中国农业面源污染形势估计及控制对策.中国农业科学,2004,37(7):1008-1017.
182张晓明.论科学发展指导下农村和谐社会的构建.西南交通大学硕士学位论文,2006
183张新.基于系统动力学的稻田回归水模拟.武汉大学硕士学位论文,2005
184张云芳.南靖农村户用沼气生态处理模式防治畜禽养殖污染的研究.厦门大学硕士学位论文,2009
185张志峰.城市再生水回用的相关因素分析和政策研究.北京交通大学硕士学位论文,2009
186章力建,蔡典雄,王小彬,等.农业立体污染及其防治研究的探讨.中国农业科学,2005,38(2):350~357.
187章力建,蔡典雄,王小彬等.农业立体污染中的碳氮链研究.中国农业科技导报,2005,7(1):7-12
188章力建,蔡典雄.治理农业污染必须抓“链条”.科技日报,2004-l2-10
189章力建,蔡典雄等.农业立体污染及其防治研究的探讨.中国农业科学,2005,38(2):350-357
190章力建,蔡辉益等.饲料工业中立体污染防治技术对策与技术研究.中国饲料,2005,(11):5-8
191章力建,刁其玉,王吉峰.畜禽养殖业中立体交叉污染及其防治对策.中国畜牧兽医,2005(9):3-6
192章力建,董红敏,蔡典雄,李玉娥.“农业立体污染”不容忽视.农民日报,2004-12-30
193章力建,董红敏,蔡典雄,李玉娥.“农业立体污染”及其防治.中国农科院报,2004-12-10
194章力建,侯向阳,杨正礼.当前我国农业立体污染防治研究的若干重要问题.中国农业科技导报,2005,7(1)
195章力建,侯向阳,杨正礼.当前我国农业立体污染防治研究的若干重要问题.中国农业科技导报,2005,7(1)
196章力建,侯向阳.我国农业立体污染防治研究进展.作物杂志,2005
197章力建,胡定寰,杨伟民.现代农产品供应链(超市)在农业污染防治中的作用.中国农业科技导报,2007,9(4):12-16
198章力建,张志芳.现代生物技术在农业立体污染防治中的作用.生物技术通报,2005,(1):7-12
199章力建,朱立志,蔡典雄,包菲.农业立体污染防治中循环经济的运作机制及模式.农业技术经济,2005(3)
200章力建,朱立志.农业立体污染综合防治研究的概况与进展.世界科技研究与发展,2006,28(6):9-16
201章力建,朱立志.我国“农业立体污染”防治对策研究.农业经济问题,2005,2:4-7
202章力建,朱立志.农业立体污染防治是当前环境保护工作的战略需求.环境保护,2007(5)
203章力建,朱立志.农业立体污染综合防治与循环经济.农业环境与发展,2006(6)
204赵春丽.系统动力学方法在区域水资源承载力中的应用研究.西安建筑科技大学硕士学位论文,2006
205赵杰.浅析区域循环经济发展水平综合评价指标权重确定的方法.商场现代化,2007(23)
206赵杰.区域循环经济发展水平综合评价体系及应用研究.中南大学硕士学位论文,2007
207郑利民,郭卫新,黄福贵,卞艳丽.黄河流域水环境污染现状及防治.西北水电,2007(1)
208郑时选,章力建.沼气技术在农业立体污染防治中的作用.中国沼气,2005,23(1)
209中国环境状况公报.2006
210周福顶,王晓丽.浅析“农业立体污染”防治.环境经济,2009(4)
211朱桂英.影响我国粮食产量的主要因素分析.内蒙古科技与经济,2005(22)
212朱林,吕宏兴.地面水水质的模糊综合评价.西北水资源与水工程,1994,5(2):27-33
213朱龙.中国粮食生产问题的实证研究.安徽广播电视大学学报.2008(3)
214邹国元,张福锁,陈新平,李新慧.农田土壤硝化-反硝化作用与NO的排放.土壤与环境,2001.10(4):273-276