铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目风险管理研究
|
摘要
随着铜材市场需求的不断变化,铜材加工企业为了快速抢占市场,使生产的产品具有灵活性,大力进行设备改造,更新现有生产设备,冶金生产设备研发项目具有广阔的市场前景。如何使研发项目顺利进行,减少项目失败的机率,避免不必要的损失,是冶金设备生产企业的迫切需要解决的问题。
本文从冶金设备电气项目研发的一般过程出发,依据相关关风险理论,阐明了冶金设备电气项目研发的风险,本文以铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目为例,对项目本身的特点、所处环境以及市场前景作了说明,系统地分析了研发过程中铜带坯水平连铸生产线的各种风险,通过对各种风险进行度量,建立了一种有效的电气项目研发风险决策模型,对铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目研发进行了风险决策,提出了电气项目研发风险防范基本要求并制订了铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目风险防范措施。
同时指出了对铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目研发所进行的风险分析风险度量、风险决策以及风险防范等不仅适用冶金设备电气项目研发,而且其方法具有普遍适用性,可推广应用到一般的机械设备电气项目研发中去。
With the copper market demands are constantly changing, copper processing enterprises in order to quickly seize the market, develop products with the flexibility, Actively engaged in equipment modification, updating of existing production equipment, Metallurgical Equipments R&D projects has broad market prospects. How to make the smooth conduct of R & D projects to reduce the chance of project failure, to avoid unnecessary losses, is an urgent need to be addressed of the metallurgical equipment manufacturing enterprises.
Basing on Metallurgical Equipments Electrical Control System R&D and relying on some risk theories, this thesis has described Metallurgical Equipments Electrical Control System R&D risk. In this paper Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project as an example, made a description on the characteristics and surroundings, Systematic analysis of the Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project of various risks. It has set up a valid risk decision making mode for Electrical Control System Product development by measuring each risk. It has made a risk decision of Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project. it has also Proposed basic risk guarding against requirements of Electrical Control System R&D and detailed risk guarding against measures to Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project.
The thesis has Pointed out that method of risk analysis, risk measuring, risk guarding against and risk decision making to Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project not only fits for Metallurgical Equipments R&D, but also fits for general Machinery Electrical Control System R&D Project and could be widely applied
本文从冶金设备电气项目研发的一般过程出发,依据相关关风险理论,阐明了冶金设备电气项目研发的风险,本文以铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目为例,对项目本身的特点、所处环境以及市场前景作了说明,系统地分析了研发过程中铜带坯水平连铸生产线的各种风险,通过对各种风险进行度量,建立了一种有效的电气项目研发风险决策模型,对铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目研发进行了风险决策,提出了电气项目研发风险防范基本要求并制订了铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目风险防范措施。
同时指出了对铜带坯水平连铸生产线电气项目研发所进行的风险分析风险度量、风险决策以及风险防范等不仅适用冶金设备电气项目研发,而且其方法具有普遍适用性,可推广应用到一般的机械设备电气项目研发中去。
With the copper market demands are constantly changing, copper processing enterprises in order to quickly seize the market, develop products with the flexibility, Actively engaged in equipment modification, updating of existing production equipment, Metallurgical Equipments R&D projects has broad market prospects. How to make the smooth conduct of R & D projects to reduce the chance of project failure, to avoid unnecessary losses, is an urgent need to be addressed of the metallurgical equipment manufacturing enterprises.
Basing on Metallurgical Equipments Electrical Control System R&D and relying on some risk theories, this thesis has described Metallurgical Equipments Electrical Control System R&D risk. In this paper Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project as an example, made a description on the characteristics and surroundings, Systematic analysis of the Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project of various risks. It has set up a valid risk decision making mode for Electrical Control System Product development by measuring each risk. It has made a risk decision of Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project. it has also Proposed basic risk guarding against requirements of Electrical Control System R&D and detailed risk guarding against measures to Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project.
The thesis has Pointed out that method of risk analysis, risk measuring, risk guarding against and risk decision making to Electrical Control System of Copper Strip Horizontal Continuous Casting Line Project not only fits for Metallurgical Equipments R&D, but also fits for general Machinery Electrical Control System R&D Project and could be widely applied
引文
[1](美)美国项目管理协会著.项目管理知识体系指南(第三版)北京:电子工业出版社,2005
[2]中国(双法)项目管理研究委员会著.中国项目管理知识体系.北京:电子工业出版社,2006
[3](美)施瓦尔贝(Schwalbe,K.)著.IT项目管理(原书第2版).北京:机械工业出版社,2004
[4]沈建明主编.项目风险管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2003
[5]王长峰,李建平,纪建悦主编.现代项目管理概论.北京:机械工业出版社,2007
[6]王长峰编著.现代项目风险管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2008
[7]张家浩编著.软件项目管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2005
[8]周小桥著.项目管理工具与模板.北京:清华大学出版社,2005
[9]刘晓红,徐玖平编著.项目风险管理.北京:经济管理出版社,2007
[10](美)彼得森,刘易斯著.管理经济学.北京:北京航空航天大学出版社,2003
[11]陈劲著.研发项目管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2005
[12]董景新,赵长德编著.控制工程基础.北京:清华大学出版社,1992
[13]陈立定,吴玉香,苏开才编.电气控制与可编程控制器.广州:华南理工大学出版社,2001
[14]宋伯生编.PLC编程理论.算法及技巧.北京:机械工业出版社,2005
[15]杨世兴等编.现代电气自动控制技术.北京:人民邮电出版社,2006
[16]马宏声编著.有色金属锭坯生产技术.北京:化学工业出版社,2007
[17]洪伟编著.有色金属连铸设备.北京:冶金工业出版社,1987
[18]杨瑞刚编著.机械可靠性设计与应用。 北京:冶金工业出版社,2008
[19]西门子(中国)有限公司自动化与驱动集团编.深入浅出西门子S7-300PLC 北京:北京航空航天大学出版社,2003
[20]刘韬,蔡淑琴,王铬著.风险分析方法评述.《商场现代化》2007年第16期2007
[21]王悦,孙树栋著.科研项目管理的成功标准和风险分析.《中国科技论坛》2006年第3期 2006
[22]王凤鸣著.控制论与项目风险管理 《技术经济与管理研究》2008年第3期 2008
[23]Jeffrey K.Pinto.Project Management" Achieving Competitive Advantage.北京:机械工业出版社,2007
[24]WANG Mei yuan,LU Yao bin,ZHANG Jin long.Software outsourcing risk management:establishing outsourcee evaluation item systems.Journal of Zhejiang University(Science A:An International Applied Physics &Engineering Journal) 2006
[25]CHENGKAI ZHANG.RISK MANAGEMENT OF SOFTWARE ENGINEERING PROJECT.Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Quality and Reliability.2005
[26]YANG Lan tong,ZHANG Jin long.A Case-Based System for Construction Project Risk Management.Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering.2002
[27]Jack Gido,James p.Clements.Successful Project Management,3 e.北刻:电子工业出版社,2006
[28]Xian jin Du,Lixiong ou,Shu dong Su.R&D Portfolio Selection with project interactions and Risk.Proceeding of IRNOP Ⅶ Project Research Conference 2006
[29]Yali zhang.Knowledge Oriented ProjectRist management Process,model and system.Proceeding of IRNOP Ⅶ Project Research Conference 2006
[2]中国(双法)项目管理研究委员会著.中国项目管理知识体系.北京:电子工业出版社,2006
[3](美)施瓦尔贝(Schwalbe,K.)著.IT项目管理(原书第2版).北京:机械工业出版社,2004
[4]沈建明主编.项目风险管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2003
[5]王长峰,李建平,纪建悦主编.现代项目管理概论.北京:机械工业出版社,2007
[6]王长峰编著.现代项目风险管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2008
[7]张家浩编著.软件项目管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2005
[8]周小桥著.项目管理工具与模板.北京:清华大学出版社,2005
[9]刘晓红,徐玖平编著.项目风险管理.北京:经济管理出版社,2007
[10](美)彼得森,刘易斯著.管理经济学.北京:北京航空航天大学出版社,2003
[11]陈劲著.研发项目管理.北京:机械工业出版社,2005
[12]董景新,赵长德编著.控制工程基础.北京:清华大学出版社,1992
[13]陈立定,吴玉香,苏开才编.电气控制与可编程控制器.广州:华南理工大学出版社,2001
[14]宋伯生编.PLC编程理论.算法及技巧.北京:机械工业出版社,2005
[15]杨世兴等编.现代电气自动控制技术.北京:人民邮电出版社,2006
[16]马宏声编著.有色金属锭坯生产技术.北京:化学工业出版社,2007
[17]洪伟编著.有色金属连铸设备.北京:冶金工业出版社,1987
[18]杨瑞刚编著.机械可靠性设计与应用。 北京:冶金工业出版社,2008
[19]西门子(中国)有限公司自动化与驱动集团编.深入浅出西门子S7-300PLC 北京:北京航空航天大学出版社,2003
[20]刘韬,蔡淑琴,王铬著.风险分析方法评述.《商场现代化》2007年第16期2007
[21]王悦,孙树栋著.科研项目管理的成功标准和风险分析.《中国科技论坛》2006年第3期 2006
[22]王凤鸣著.控制论与项目风险管理 《技术经济与管理研究》2008年第3期 2008
[23]Jeffrey K.Pinto.Project Management" Achieving Competitive Advantage.北京:机械工业出版社,2007
[24]WANG Mei yuan,LU Yao bin,ZHANG Jin long.Software outsourcing risk management:establishing outsourcee evaluation item systems.Journal of Zhejiang University(Science A:An International Applied Physics &Engineering Journal) 2006
[25]CHENGKAI ZHANG.RISK MANAGEMENT OF SOFTWARE ENGINEERING PROJECT.Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Quality and Reliability.2005
[26]YANG Lan tong,ZHANG Jin long.A Case-Based System for Construction Project Risk Management.Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering.2002
[27]Jack Gido,James p.Clements.Successful Project Management,3 e.北刻:电子工业出版社,2006
[28]Xian jin Du,Lixiong ou,Shu dong Su.R&D Portfolio Selection with project interactions and Risk.Proceeding of IRNOP Ⅶ Project Research Conference 2006
[29]Yali zhang.Knowledge Oriented ProjectRist management Process,model and system.Proceeding of IRNOP Ⅶ Project Research Conference 2006