摘要
近年来,随着计算机技术的发展,经济仿真作为经济学研究的新方法,越来越受到经济学家们的重视。通过将经济系统抽象为程序模型在计算机中进行运算,经济仿真可模拟现实经济运行的多种情况,据此给出建议和参考信息,并可验证理论和辅助性地对理论进行推导。由圣菲实验室开发的SWARM平台是一个具有代表性的例子,利用它可在许多领域对复杂适应性系统进行仿真研究。
本文首先介绍了SWARM的原理、复杂适应性系统的思想和经济仿真的思想,接着通过博弈论方法与经济仿真的结合,利用SWARM平台编写了经济仿真程序。对微观经济学的价格模型:伯川德模型进行了模拟研究,并在空间竞争、生产能力约束两个方面对其进行了推广分析及动态模拟。最后本文就如何将博弈经济模型转化为仿真模型提出了作者的一些观点。
In recent years, along with the development of computer science, economic simulation receives the economist's attention more and more as the new method of the1 economics research. It may imitate and show various conditions of economical operation, give suggestion and reference information accordingly. SWARM is the example with representativness. It has been used to do economic simulation researches on many fields.
In this thesis, the author first introduces the principle of SWARM , the theory of complex adaptive system and the theory of economic simulation. Then the author combines the advanced economic analysis tool
-game theory and the economic simulation to build up economic models and write Object C programs that use class libraries of SWARM. The author imitate and study the price model of microeconomics, popularize and analyze it in the space competition and restrained production capacity, at last the author put forward some purposes about how turn the game economic model to the model of simulation
引文
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