深圳航空物流园区发展战略研究
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摘要
随着中国经济的快速增长，城市、地区乃至国际间的经济交往迅速扩展，促成了物流量的急剧增加，许多经济较发达城市纷纷将规划、建设区域性物流园区纳入“十五”经济发展规划或物流产业发展战略中来，以实现物流、信息流、资金流的整体最优化。预计到2003年，深圳将成为中国南部地区的航运和物流中心；珠江三角洲的配送中心；南中国地区高附加值、高新技术产品的空运中心；以及东南亚地区货物转运的分流中心。深圳机场航空物流园区作为深圳市政府统一规划的六大物流园区，其科学、专业、高效的建设及运营将对深圳未来三大支柱产业的发展及“两港起飞”发展战略的实现起到致关重要的作用。在国内航空物流业的发展还处于探索研究阶段的情况下，在中国还没有一个成熟的航空物流园区的情况下，通过深圳机场航空物流园区建设发展的有益探讨，将对国内物流园区的规划、建设及其发展提供一些思路和方法。
本论文对航空物流的理念进行了论述，通过对深圳机场航空物流园区建设必要性、紧迫性的分析，借鉴国外机场航空物流园区规划建设经验，对深圳机场航空物流园区的发展建设进行战略规划，并对航空物流园区建设发展应具备的条件，发展中面临的问题及亟待采取的措施等方面提出探讨，以期对国内航空物流业的发展提供一些可操作性的思路和方法。
本论文的特点在于：体现物流业界的新趋势，展现现代物流理念的最新运用情况，对航空物流的概念及特点进行阐述；整合理论分析与举例说明相结合，使论文具有一定的现实意义；共性描述与特性说明相结合；利用数值计算来表述，体现在论文的物流园区货运量预测部分，利用各种预测方法进行计算，并对预测结果进行分析，为物流园区的规划建设提供科学依据。
With the enhancing of Chinese economics, the business between cities, regions and countries expends rapidly. It causes that logistic flux is increasing, and many cities regard the establishment of logistic park as the important part of the developing stratagem of modern logistic industry. Shenzhen would be the center of marine and logistic in south China; the delivery center in the Zhujiang Delta; the airlift center of the high additional value and high-tech products and the distributary center of cargo transferred in southeast Asia in 2003s. Being regarded as one of the six logistic parks planned by the government, the establishment and management of Shenzhen airport logistic park is very important to improve the developing stratagem of Shenzhen city. Discussing the establishment and development of Shenzhen airport logistic park by approaching the subject from different angles, I hope it will afford some useful ways and means to the progress of the Chinese logistic park.
This article is about discussing the establishment and development of Shenzhen airport logistic park. It begins from the describing to the concept of aviation logistic . Than through the way of analysis the necessary and urgency of the plan , using the experience of other countries for reference, presenting the plan of logistic park, We wish that we can get some practical and operational ideas about the development for logistic park in China through the in-depth discussion and research on the topics such as the terms which have to be well-prepared for setting up the upcoming questions and relative resolutions we may be faced with when processing aviation logistic park.
The peculiarities of this article include four aspects;
1. Shows the new trend in the area of logistic industry;
2. Combines commonness describing and specialty depiction;
3. Integrates theoretical analysis with case explaining;
4. Inducting real data to numerical calculation.
本论文对航空物流的理念进行了论述，通过对深圳机场航空物流园区建设必要性、紧迫性的分析，借鉴国外机场航空物流园区规划建设经验，对深圳机场航空物流园区的发展建设进行战略规划，并对航空物流园区建设发展应具备的条件，发展中面临的问题及亟待采取的措施等方面提出探讨，以期对国内航空物流业的发展提供一些可操作性的思路和方法。
本论文的特点在于：体现物流业界的新趋势，展现现代物流理念的最新运用情况，对航空物流的概念及特点进行阐述；整合理论分析与举例说明相结合，使论文具有一定的现实意义；共性描述与特性说明相结合；利用数值计算来表述，体现在论文的物流园区货运量预测部分，利用各种预测方法进行计算，并对预测结果进行分析，为物流园区的规划建设提供科学依据。
With the enhancing of Chinese economics, the business between cities, regions and countries expends rapidly. It causes that logistic flux is increasing, and many cities regard the establishment of logistic park as the important part of the developing stratagem of modern logistic industry. Shenzhen would be the center of marine and logistic in south China; the delivery center in the Zhujiang Delta; the airlift center of the high additional value and high-tech products and the distributary center of cargo transferred in southeast Asia in 2003s. Being regarded as one of the six logistic parks planned by the government, the establishment and management of Shenzhen airport logistic park is very important to improve the developing stratagem of Shenzhen city. Discussing the establishment and development of Shenzhen airport logistic park by approaching the subject from different angles, I hope it will afford some useful ways and means to the progress of the Chinese logistic park.
This article is about discussing the establishment and development of Shenzhen airport logistic park. It begins from the describing to the concept of aviation logistic . Than through the way of analysis the necessary and urgency of the plan , using the experience of other countries for reference, presenting the plan of logistic park, We wish that we can get some practical and operational ideas about the development for logistic park in China through the in-depth discussion and research on the topics such as the terms which have to be well-prepared for setting up the upcoming questions and relative resolutions we may be faced with when processing aviation logistic park.
The peculiarities of this article include four aspects;
1. Shows the new trend in the area of logistic industry;
2. Combines commonness describing and specialty depiction;
3. Integrates theoretical analysis with case explaining;
4. Inducting real data to numerical calculation.
引文
[1] 郝晓渊主编．现代物流管理丛书—现代物流技术学／裴少峰等编著．中山大学出版社，2001．11
[2] 郝晓渊主编．现代物流管理丛书—现代物流配送学／马健平等编著．中山大学出版社，2001．11
[3] 郝晓渊主编．现代物流管理丛书—现代物流管理学／胡怀邦、郝晓渊、刘全洲、马源平等编著．中山大学出版社，2001．11
[4] 物流与仓储管理实践方略．栾庆生编著．黑龙江人民出版社发行．
[5] 宋华、胡左浩．现代物流与供应链管理．第1版，经济管理出版社．2000
[6] 中国深圳平湖物流基地编．现代物流丛书—理论篇．第1版．广东旅游出版社出版．2000
[7] 丁立言，张铎主编．物流基础．第1版．清华大学出版社．2000
[8] 刘福存．美国物流管理的现状与启示．现代物流，2000，42期
[9] 刘军．亚洲物流新时代新趋势．现代物流，2000，30期
[10] 翁磊．德国物流业的启示与我们的对策．集装箱化，2000，2-3期
[11] 叶张宏．欧洲物流平盘化及中国物流业．集装箱化，2000，3期
[12] 李辉民．现代物流形成趋势与对策．中国远洋航务公告，2000，1期
[13] 菊池康也[日]．物流管理．叮立言译．第1版．清华大学出版社．2000
[14] 包健民主编．物流现代化．第1版．上海交通大学出版社．1997
[15] 刘利兰编著．市场调查和预测．第1版．经济科学出版社．2000
[16] 黄合水编著．市场调查概论．第1版．东方出版社．2000
[17] 马士华，林勇，陈志详著．供应链管理．第1版．机械工业出版社．2000
[18] 日通综合研究所编著[日]．物流手册．吴润涛等译．第1版．中国物资出版社．1986
[19] 中田欣哉[日]．物流浅论．姚力鸣译．第1版．新华出版社．1988
[20] 约翰·盖特纳[英]．有效的物流管理．王惠等译．第1版．天津科技翻译出版公
司．1991
[21]王德荣等编．交通运输产业政策研究．第1版．科学技术文献出版社．1989
[22]汤浅和夫[日]．物流管理入门．靳伟等译．第1版．中国铁道出版社．1986
[23]冯丽云主编．现代市场调查与预测．第1版．经济管理出版社．2000
[24]彭代武，陈涛等主编．市场调查 商情预测 经营决策．第1版．经济管理出版社．1996
[25]孙明玺编著．现代管理丛书—预测和评价．第1版．浙江教育出版社．1986
[26]尼克·特·森姆波勒斯[美]．实用预测方法．刘勇康等译．第1版．上海科学技术文献出版社．1984
[27]陈玉祥，张汉亚编著．预测技术与应用．第1版．科学出版社．1985
[28]王福明，贺正辉，索瑾编著．应用数值计算方法．第1版．科学出版社．1992
[29]内田忠夫，迁村江太郎，宫泽健一，宫下藤太郎[日]．预测与决策．金泓凡译．第1版．中国社会出版社．1985
[30]王少梅主编．实用系统工程．武汉交通科技大学．1995
[31]Bernard M Sallot. Delphi Forecasting of Manufacturing Technology. 1st ed. Academic Press. 1978
[32]Badaracco, Jr., j.l., The Knowledge Link: How Firms Compete through Strategic lliance. Harvard Business Review Press. 1991
[33]Benjamin S. Blanchard. Logistics Engineering and Mangement. 3rd ed., Prentice-Hall. 1986
[34]Bernard Tilanus. Information systems in logistics and transportation. Pergamon Publish. 1997
[35]John E Magee, William C. Copacina, Donald B Rosenfield. Modern Logistics Management: Integrating Marketing, Manufacturing, and Physical Distribution. Wiley. University of Chicago Prentice-Hall. 1985
[36]John R. Meyer, & others. The Economics of Competition in the Transportation. 1st ed., Harvard University Press. 1983
[37]Naresh K. Malhotra Marketing Research: An Applied Orientation. 2nd ed.,
Tsinghua University Press. 1998
[38]Hiller and Liebernman. Introduction to Operations Research 3rd ed., Holden Day Inc. 1980
[39]Harry Jones, Brian C. Twiss. Forecasting Technology for Planning Decision. 1st ed., Heiuemanu Educational books Ltd. London. 1978
[40]Doug Wood, Robert Falldes. Forecasting for Business: Methods and Applications. 1st ed., Longman Publishing Co., UK., 1978
[2] 郝晓渊主编．现代物流管理丛书—现代物流配送学／马健平等编著．中山大学出版社，2001．11
[3] 郝晓渊主编．现代物流管理丛书—现代物流管理学／胡怀邦、郝晓渊、刘全洲、马源平等编著．中山大学出版社，2001．11
[4] 物流与仓储管理实践方略．栾庆生编著．黑龙江人民出版社发行．
[5] 宋华、胡左浩．现代物流与供应链管理．第1版，经济管理出版社．2000
[6] 中国深圳平湖物流基地编．现代物流丛书—理论篇．第1版．广东旅游出版社出版．2000
[7] 丁立言，张铎主编．物流基础．第1版．清华大学出版社．2000
[8] 刘福存．美国物流管理的现状与启示．现代物流，2000，42期
[9] 刘军．亚洲物流新时代新趋势．现代物流，2000，30期
[10] 翁磊．德国物流业的启示与我们的对策．集装箱化，2000，2-3期
[11] 叶张宏．欧洲物流平盘化及中国物流业．集装箱化，2000，3期
[12] 李辉民．现代物流形成趋势与对策．中国远洋航务公告，2000，1期
[13] 菊池康也[日]．物流管理．叮立言译．第1版．清华大学出版社．2000
[14] 包健民主编．物流现代化．第1版．上海交通大学出版社．1997
[15] 刘利兰编著．市场调查和预测．第1版．经济科学出版社．2000
[16] 黄合水编著．市场调查概论．第1版．东方出版社．2000
[17] 马士华，林勇，陈志详著．供应链管理．第1版．机械工业出版社．2000
[18] 日通综合研究所编著[日]．物流手册．吴润涛等译．第1版．中国物资出版社．1986
[19] 中田欣哉[日]．物流浅论．姚力鸣译．第1版．新华出版社．1988
[20] 约翰·盖特纳[英]．有效的物流管理．王惠等译．第1版．天津科技翻译出版公
司．1991
[21]王德荣等编．交通运输产业政策研究．第1版．科学技术文献出版社．1989
[22]汤浅和夫[日]．物流管理入门．靳伟等译．第1版．中国铁道出版社．1986
[23]冯丽云主编．现代市场调查与预测．第1版．经济管理出版社．2000
[24]彭代武，陈涛等主编．市场调查 商情预测 经营决策．第1版．经济管理出版社．1996
[25]孙明玺编著．现代管理丛书—预测和评价．第1版．浙江教育出版社．1986
[26]尼克·特·森姆波勒斯[美]．实用预测方法．刘勇康等译．第1版．上海科学技术文献出版社．1984
[27]陈玉祥，张汉亚编著．预测技术与应用．第1版．科学出版社．1985
[28]王福明，贺正辉，索瑾编著．应用数值计算方法．第1版．科学出版社．1992
[29]内田忠夫，迁村江太郎，宫泽健一，宫下藤太郎[日]．预测与决策．金泓凡译．第1版．中国社会出版社．1985
[30]王少梅主编．实用系统工程．武汉交通科技大学．1995
[31]Bernard M Sallot. Delphi Forecasting of Manufacturing Technology. 1st ed. Academic Press. 1978
[32]Badaracco, Jr., j.l., The Knowledge Link: How Firms Compete through Strategic lliance. Harvard Business Review Press. 1991
[33]Benjamin S. Blanchard. Logistics Engineering and Mangement. 3rd ed., Prentice-Hall. 1986
[34]Bernard Tilanus. Information systems in logistics and transportation. Pergamon Publish. 1997
[35]John E Magee, William C. Copacina, Donald B Rosenfield. Modern Logistics Management: Integrating Marketing, Manufacturing, and Physical Distribution. Wiley. University of Chicago Prentice-Hall. 1985
[36]John R. Meyer, & others. The Economics of Competition in the Transportation. 1st ed., Harvard University Press. 1983
[37]Naresh K. Malhotra Marketing Research: An Applied Orientation. 2nd ed.,
Tsinghua University Press. 1998
[38]Hiller and Liebernman. Introduction to Operations Research 3rd ed., Holden Day Inc. 1980
[39]Harry Jones, Brian C. Twiss. Forecasting Technology for Planning Decision. 1st ed., Heiuemanu Educational books Ltd. London. 1978
[40]Doug Wood, Robert Falldes. Forecasting for Business: Methods and Applications. 1st ed., Longman Publishing Co., UK., 1978