Partnering模式下项目的风险分配理论与方法的研究
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摘要
Partnering(伙伴关系)模式是20世纪90年代在欧美发达国家兴起的一种新型的项目管理模式,该模式的研究与应用不断深化,主要研究成果体现为Partnering模式的绩效、运作障碍、成功因素等方面,但对该模式下的风险管理的系统研究较少。本文在和谐风险管理方面完成了以下研究工作并取得了相应的成果。
     (1)探讨了工程项目风险管理理论及风险应对措施,针对项目参与各方单方面的风险管理存在的“内耗”问题,将和谐管理理论应用到项目风险管理中,提出了以“风险分担,收益共享”为原则的和谐风险管理。并基于我国工程项目风险分配管理机制,研究和谐风险管理的核心问题——风险分配,形成以风险效率为基础的和谐风险分配管理模式,构建了和谐风险管理的应用流程。
     (2)结合Partnering模式的理论及应用特点,依据和谐风险管理理论,提出了Partnering模式下风险分配原理,建立了相应的风险分配机制。并根据此方法具体分析和阐述该模式下项目参与各方应分配的风险。
     (3)研究了Partnering模式下项目风险与收益分配比例的计算方法,运用风险多维性评价、模糊数学方法建立了风险分配系数的计算模型。通过案例,对风险分配模型在Partnering模式中的应用了进行实证分析。
     Partnering模式下的项目风险分配理论及其方法为项目参与各方的风险管理提供了科学的依据,为Partnering模式的推行和运用在管理方法上提供了思路。
Partnering model which was developed in the 1990s of Europe and the United States is a new type of project management models. With the gradual and further researches and application of this model, the main achievements include the performance, the CSFs(critical success factors) ,the development obstacle and other aspects. This paper aims at the risk management of Partnering model. The research works and the results are as follows:
     (1) Discussion on the project risk management theory and risk response measures, the paper applies harmonious management theory to the project risk management in accordance of“internal friction”involved in the project risk management, and establishes harmonious risk management theory on the principle of“risk-allocation, interest-sharing”. Based on the management mechanism of risk allocation, the core issue of harmonious risk management is researched to building the harmonious management mode of risk allocation which base on risk efficiency and the application processes of harmonious risk management.
     (2) Accorded with the theory and application characteristics of Partnering model, based on harmonious risk management theory, the principle of risk allocation was put forward and a corresponding mechanism for risk allocation in Partnering mode was established. In the end, according to this method, the risk allocation was elaborated.
     (3) The calculating method of risks and benefits was researched under the Partnering model. The model of risk Allocation factor was established by using multi-dimensional risk assessment and fuzzy math theory. The risk allocation model in the Partnering mode through case was analyzed.
     The theory and methods of project risk-allocation which were researched in the paper will be deepening the theory of Partnering mode. It will involve better risk management for the parties in the project by scientific management methods and provide draw for implementing the Partnering model.
引文
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