城市轨道交通枢纽区域公交客流疏解组织优化与设计方法
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摘要
随着经济的快速发展和城市化进程的不断加速,交通需求迅速增加,导致城市交通压力极速增大。如今中国城市轨道交通建设进入了快速发展阶段,建设速度大大超过前30年;“十二五”期间,城市轨道交通线路将增加至3500km;预计未来10年,中国城市轨道交通建设投资有望超过3万亿元,至2020年规划线路将达6100km。然而,随着城市轨道交通的建设与发展,城市轨道交通周边区域尤其是枢纽区域的交通问题日渐突出。该区域具有极大的集散效应,而由于规划、设计及管理方法的不到位,导致该区域客流的疏解效率较为低下,因此该区域已经成为城市交通发展的瓶颈,严重制约着城市经济活动的效率与质量。本论文立足于我国城市轨道交通发展的实际需求,系统分析城市轨道交通枢纽区域范围内交通特性,阐述其交通拥堵的机理,研究完善枢纽区域客流组织优化设计方法的理论体系,深入探讨和研究提高客流疏解效率的优化模型和方法,并结合实际提出一套对城市轨道交通枢纽区域客流疏解进行优化的理论方法与改善措施,希望能够有效缓解城市轨道交通枢纽区域存在的交通问题,保障居民的出行效率,从而达到城市交通的可持续发展的目的。
     城市轨道交通枢纽客流组织优化与设计问题复杂,需要对其区域的范围进行界定,并在界定范围进行交通特性分析、城市轨道交通换乘、公交客流组织优化,以及衔接设计等方面进行深入研究。因此,本论文针对城市轨道交通枢纽区域的客流组织优化与设计,着重从以下四个方面进行了分析与研究:
     (1)基于交通影响的基本特性,提出城市轨道交通枢纽区域的概念,并运用经典的城市“断裂点”理论,构建城市轨道交通枢纽区域影响范围界定的模型与方法;随后以大连市三个典型的轨道交通枢纽为例,对轨道交通枢纽区域界定模型进行实证研究。
     (2)针对城市轨道交通枢纽区域的客流换乘特性、疏解特性以及换乘方式的选择等几方面进行交通调查与分析;随后结合城市轨道交通枢纽的客流调查数据进行统计分析,并总结相应规律,构建客流换乘方式选择模型;最后结合客流特性分析总结轨道交通枢纽区域交通拥堵机理及客流疏解机理,并结合机理的研究与分析,提出轨道交通枢纽区域客流疏解优化内容与方案。
     (3)基于乘客滞留时间最短的原则,构建枢纽区域的公共交通换乘优化模型,并将模型进行演化与推广,以大连轻轨三号线火车站枢纽区域为例进行实证研究。
     (4)基于公共交通优先发展的策略,研究城市轨道交通枢纽区域的公交站点优化设计及基于公交优先的信号配时设计理论与方法;结合城市轨道交通枢纽区域内常规公共交通与小汽车之间的竞争关系,分析了它们之间的相互转移关系,并计算出它们间的合理分担率。
With the rapid development of economic and urbanization process, urban traffic demand increasing dramatically at present, resulting in serious traffic problems. Currently the construction of urban rail transit is much faster than that of three decades ago, targeting3,500km during "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period. In the coming ten years, investments on urban rail transit are hopeful to exceed three thousand billion, and aiming at6,100km planning course at2020. Nevertheless, traffic problems which are aroused by the construction and development of urban rail transit are increasingly impacted at perimeter areas of urban rail transit, particularly surrounding transit terminals. The primary function of transit terminal is facilitating passengers transfer between differential modes; therefore, significant aggregative effect exists within the terminal area. However, the evacuation efficiency of the terminal area is usually let down by the inadequate planning, design and management, which makes it the bottleneck of urban traffic development, consequently restricting the efficiency and quality of urban economic activities. Based on the actual development demands of urban rail transit, in this dissertation the author described the traffic congestion mechanism, improved the theoretical structure for designing and optimizing passenger evacuation within the terminal area. Then, thorough studies and discussions were carried out to establish an optimization model for improving passenger evacuation efficiency, and accordingly a suite of optimization theory and improving procedure was proposed. The purposes of the proposed theory aim to relieve traffic congestion and transfer problems within urban rail transit areas, to improve the efficiency of passenger trips, and eventually facilitate the sustainable development of urban transport.
     However, the study of passenger evacuation of urban rail transit areas is a complex systematic engineering, which requires identifying the boundary of study area at the beginning of the study. Within the identified boundary, further researches on the following aspects are needed:traffic characteristics analysis; transfer from rail transit to buses/others; transit passenger flow organization etc. Therefore, aiming at optimization of passenger flow organization and design within urban rail transit terminal area, in this study, literatures pertaining to the above topics were reviewed and discussed at first, then conducted analysis and research on the following four aspects:
     (1) The concept of "Urban Rail Transit Terminal Area" was proposed based on the basic characteristics of traffic impact analysis. In accordance with classical urban "breaking point" theory, a model aims to identifying the impact boundary of urban rail transit Terminal was developed. After then, railway station terminal area of Dalian LRT line No.3was chosen as the case study to test and verify the accuracy of the model.
     (2) Traffic investigation and analysis aimed at passenger transfer, evacuation, and transfer mode split characteristics in Terminal areas. A passenger transfer mode choice model was proposed in accordance with the statistical analysis of investigated passenger data. Finally, traffic congestion mechanism and passenger evacuation mechanism within transit terminal area was summarized according to the analysis of passenger characteristics, and accordingly proposed the optimization scheme for passenger evacuation within terminal area.
     (3) A public transport transfer optimization model was developed based on the principle of minimum passenger demurrage time. This model was verified at railway station Terminal area of Dalian LRT line No.3.
     (4) On the basis of public transport priority policies, optimization of bus stations and bus signal priorities at intersections were studied. Besides, in accordance with the interaction between public and private transport, the modal shift relationship between car users and buses was analyzed, according to which determined a rational mode split proportion of public transport and cars within the Terminal areas.
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