后发视角下的东亚经济发展模式研究
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摘要
出于对东亚经济高速发展和经济明显起落原因的考察,本文对后发理论的历史与内容进行了系统的回顾与整合,构建了一套用于分析东亚经济发展模式的理论分析框架模型。然后运用这一框架模型详尽的分析了东亚经济发展的具体历史实践,从而得出结论,东亚经济能够实现高速增长主要是由于其进行了后发目标明确的多种短期制度安排,有效的发挥了后发优势,克服后发劣势,形成了后发态势的良性互动。同时,本文又指出,正是由于东亚经济体为了实现高速追赶而进行的各种短期制度选择,才导致了后发劣势在某些层面形成系统性积累与爆发,从而带来东亚经济的明显起落。
本文采用理论推演和历史研究相结合的方法,将后发理论应用于对东亚经济发展模式的研究。本文创造性的提出了“后发劣势系统性积累与爆发”的思路,而且对后发特性的非同步性和多层次性进行了首次具体阐述,在一定程度上深化和拓展了后发理论的研究。
The economy of main economies in East Asia declines rapidly under the influence of global economic crisis, which is reminiscent of several obviously fluctuations during fast developing period of the economies in East Asia in the last centaury. Therefore, the reasons of the fluctuation and high speed of economic development of the economies in East Asia become a hot issue to discuss. From the perspective of economic theory, for a long time to study the East Asian model of economic development-related work carried out on these issues a great deal of depth, but has not come to more or less the same conclusion. From the practice of economic development, East Asian economies act as a link between the developed economies and developing economies and play an important role in global economy, and together with developed economies constitute a major driving force in the world economy. Therefore, from an economic theory to choose an appropriate perspective, and to build a unified analytical framework for the East Asian economies, combined with the specific practice of East Asian economies to study the course of economic development in East Asia starting with the ups and downs, summed up the East Asian economies in the process of experiences and lessons, to clarify the various doubts which is studying the problems of world economic development in one of the core issues. At the same time, summed up the process of economic development of East Asia, the success or failure, to the least developed countries and regions from the backward state of the future, achieve economic take-off to provide important practical guidance.
The first chapter is introduction. In the beginning, the reasons for the fluctuation of East Asian economies are made clear, and then briefly discussed the issue of theoretical and practical significance, and later at home and abroad on issues related to research carried out a detailed collation and analysis. The last part of this chapter also described the research methodology of this dissertation, the innovation and the need to further research.
Chapter II is the review of the theory and relevant literature. After the beginning of this paragraph on the advantages and disadvantages of the related after the emergence of the theory, development, evolution carried out a detailed review, and recalled after a brief assessment is given. After that, further to this paragraph from a specific technology, structure, system, etc. were studied at different levels with the advantage of the role of inferior posterior means and mechanism of action. In the last part of this chapter, but also demonstrated the specific advantages, disadvantages after multiple abstract characteristics; of the advantage, disadvantage after all play a role in specific conditions. In general, this period followed by the theory of general and grooming for the next section of the main theoretical framework, as well as pave the way model.
Chapter III is the analysis structure and theoretical analysis of some model. First of all, this part of the institutional arrangements makes short-term and long-term institutional arrangements for the concept and connotation of these two concepts, as well as after the two with the relationship situation in detail. This chapter will be the course of economic development of East Asia, there have been a variety of levels, the various manifestations of the different systems to choose, in accordance with the institutional arrangements for short-term and long-term institutional arrangements for the classification of the logical framework, and noted that such a fundamental basis for classification is whether clear "the purpose of after." Then, this chapter further noted that speaking from the theoretical analysis, the course of economic development in East Asia's great achievements in the major East Asian economies as a result of in accordance with their specific history, current conditions, the development of a number of effective short-term institutional arrangements, which played a fast Advantages, Disadvantages overcome to realize the advantage and disadvantage after positive interaction. But at the same time in this chapter also pointed out that East Asian economies to catch up after the course of many problems arising from the nature point of view, almost all short-term institutional arrangements between institutional arrangements and long-term outcome of contradictions and conflicts is a result of short-term institutional arrangements Disadvantages long-term accumulation, the result of the outbreak.
Based on the above ideas, the theoretical analysis of this chapter model is introduced. This chapter discuss in the perspective of the evolution of Economy, Trade and Industry, and in accordance with the advantage and disadvantage after the detailed characteristics and features of the construction of a set of advantages, disadvantages, as well as after the advantage, disadvantage after curve model of interaction, through the model of Analysis shows into short-, medium-and long-term advantages, the role of a disadvantage after the law, so as to prepare the next chapter, a specific study sufficient conditions for a model-based analysis. This part of the discussion put forward the important concepts in this article: "followed by the systemic accumulation of inferior with the outbreak." This part of the study show that the study only a few East Asian economies to play the advantage, after overcoming the disadvantages and realize the advantage and disadvantage after positive interaction; while avoiding systemic disadvantage after accumulation in East Asia after economies can be made to achieve stable growth.
Chapter IV is the core of this dissertation. In general, this chapter in the East Asian economies, Economy, Trade and Industry in time for latitude on the evolution of the warp to the two institutional arrangements, as well as after the relationship between the internal logic of the situation for the latitude, weaving a network of crises-crossing analysis, and then use this a network of East Asian economies to catch up after high-speed process, carried out a detailed analysis, at the same time, economic development in East Asia occurred in the course of the major economic crisis and the economic ups and downs of detail.
Combination of this chapter after the East Asian economies to catch up after a specific course, and after the previous chapter to build the framework for theoretical analysis as well as the model, a detailed analysis of the representative of Japan in East Asia economies to catch up after at all stages of the industrial structure, industry the evolution of the characteristics associated with these processes, as well as conducted a variety of short-term institute ional arrangements. Demonstrated in detail the institutional arrangements of these short-term is how to achieve the specific advantage of the post after the play and to overcome the disadvantage, the situation after the formation of a positive interaction, how brought about a disadvantage after the outbreak of accumulation and the systemic. This chapter at the same time, institutional arrangements in the short term and long-term institutional arrangements made after the clashes against the background of theoretical analysis, a detailed study of the Japanese bubble economy in crisis, as well as the formation of the Asian financial crisis, the development of mechanisms, a detailed analysis of the posterior inferior economies after the outbreak of systemic accumulation of situation, which is given after the crisis in perspective to explain. The last part of this chapter, made from the perspective of the theory, combined with institutional arrangements for short-term and long-term institutional arrangements of the logical framework, a brief analysis of the American sub-loan crisis of the global economic crisis, the Asian economies were the main reason for the impact.
Chapter V discusses China’s late-developing advantage and late-developing disadvantage in the perspective of technology, institution, and structure in detail. Then suggestions based on China’s specialty are made.
本文采用理论推演和历史研究相结合的方法,将后发理论应用于对东亚经济发展模式的研究。本文创造性的提出了“后发劣势系统性积累与爆发”的思路,而且对后发特性的非同步性和多层次性进行了首次具体阐述,在一定程度上深化和拓展了后发理论的研究。
The economy of main economies in East Asia declines rapidly under the influence of global economic crisis, which is reminiscent of several obviously fluctuations during fast developing period of the economies in East Asia in the last centaury. Therefore, the reasons of the fluctuation and high speed of economic development of the economies in East Asia become a hot issue to discuss. From the perspective of economic theory, for a long time to study the East Asian model of economic development-related work carried out on these issues a great deal of depth, but has not come to more or less the same conclusion. From the practice of economic development, East Asian economies act as a link between the developed economies and developing economies and play an important role in global economy, and together with developed economies constitute a major driving force in the world economy. Therefore, from an economic theory to choose an appropriate perspective, and to build a unified analytical framework for the East Asian economies, combined with the specific practice of East Asian economies to study the course of economic development in East Asia starting with the ups and downs, summed up the East Asian economies in the process of experiences and lessons, to clarify the various doubts which is studying the problems of world economic development in one of the core issues. At the same time, summed up the process of economic development of East Asia, the success or failure, to the least developed countries and regions from the backward state of the future, achieve economic take-off to provide important practical guidance.
The first chapter is introduction. In the beginning, the reasons for the fluctuation of East Asian economies are made clear, and then briefly discussed the issue of theoretical and practical significance, and later at home and abroad on issues related to research carried out a detailed collation and analysis. The last part of this chapter also described the research methodology of this dissertation, the innovation and the need to further research.
Chapter II is the review of the theory and relevant literature. After the beginning of this paragraph on the advantages and disadvantages of the related after the emergence of the theory, development, evolution carried out a detailed review, and recalled after a brief assessment is given. After that, further to this paragraph from a specific technology, structure, system, etc. were studied at different levels with the advantage of the role of inferior posterior means and mechanism of action. In the last part of this chapter, but also demonstrated the specific advantages, disadvantages after multiple abstract characteristics; of the advantage, disadvantage after all play a role in specific conditions. In general, this period followed by the theory of general and grooming for the next section of the main theoretical framework, as well as pave the way model.
Chapter III is the analysis structure and theoretical analysis of some model. First of all, this part of the institutional arrangements makes short-term and long-term institutional arrangements for the concept and connotation of these two concepts, as well as after the two with the relationship situation in detail. This chapter will be the course of economic development of East Asia, there have been a variety of levels, the various manifestations of the different systems to choose, in accordance with the institutional arrangements for short-term and long-term institutional arrangements for the classification of the logical framework, and noted that such a fundamental basis for classification is whether clear "the purpose of after." Then, this chapter further noted that speaking from the theoretical analysis, the course of economic development in East Asia's great achievements in the major East Asian economies as a result of in accordance with their specific history, current conditions, the development of a number of effective short-term institutional arrangements, which played a fast Advantages, Disadvantages overcome to realize the advantage and disadvantage after positive interaction. But at the same time in this chapter also pointed out that East Asian economies to catch up after the course of many problems arising from the nature point of view, almost all short-term institutional arrangements between institutional arrangements and long-term outcome of contradictions and conflicts is a result of short-term institutional arrangements Disadvantages long-term accumulation, the result of the outbreak.
Based on the above ideas, the theoretical analysis of this chapter model is introduced. This chapter discuss in the perspective of the evolution of Economy, Trade and Industry, and in accordance with the advantage and disadvantage after the detailed characteristics and features of the construction of a set of advantages, disadvantages, as well as after the advantage, disadvantage after curve model of interaction, through the model of Analysis shows into short-, medium-and long-term advantages, the role of a disadvantage after the law, so as to prepare the next chapter, a specific study sufficient conditions for a model-based analysis. This part of the discussion put forward the important concepts in this article: "followed by the systemic accumulation of inferior with the outbreak." This part of the study show that the study only a few East Asian economies to play the advantage, after overcoming the disadvantages and realize the advantage and disadvantage after positive interaction; while avoiding systemic disadvantage after accumulation in East Asia after economies can be made to achieve stable growth.
Chapter IV is the core of this dissertation. In general, this chapter in the East Asian economies, Economy, Trade and Industry in time for latitude on the evolution of the warp to the two institutional arrangements, as well as after the relationship between the internal logic of the situation for the latitude, weaving a network of crises-crossing analysis, and then use this a network of East Asian economies to catch up after high-speed process, carried out a detailed analysis, at the same time, economic development in East Asia occurred in the course of the major economic crisis and the economic ups and downs of detail.
Combination of this chapter after the East Asian economies to catch up after a specific course, and after the previous chapter to build the framework for theoretical analysis as well as the model, a detailed analysis of the representative of Japan in East Asia economies to catch up after at all stages of the industrial structure, industry the evolution of the characteristics associated with these processes, as well as conducted a variety of short-term institute ional arrangements. Demonstrated in detail the institutional arrangements of these short-term is how to achieve the specific advantage of the post after the play and to overcome the disadvantage, the situation after the formation of a positive interaction, how brought about a disadvantage after the outbreak of accumulation and the systemic. This chapter at the same time, institutional arrangements in the short term and long-term institutional arrangements made after the clashes against the background of theoretical analysis, a detailed study of the Japanese bubble economy in crisis, as well as the formation of the Asian financial crisis, the development of mechanisms, a detailed analysis of the posterior inferior economies after the outbreak of systemic accumulation of situation, which is given after the crisis in perspective to explain. The last part of this chapter, made from the perspective of the theory, combined with institutional arrangements for short-term and long-term institutional arrangements of the logical framework, a brief analysis of the American sub-loan crisis of the global economic crisis, the Asian economies were the main reason for the impact.
Chapter V discusses China’s late-developing advantage and late-developing disadvantage in the perspective of technology, institution, and structure in detail. Then suggestions based on China’s specialty are made.
引文
①参见:李晓:《东亚奇迹与强政府──东亚模式的制度分析》,经济科学出版社,1996年版。
②Amsden A. H.,Asia's Next Uiant: South Korea and Late Industrialization,Oxford University Press,1989; Wade R.,Uoverning the Market: Economic Theory and the Role of Government in East Asian Industrialization , New Jersey: Princeton:Princeton University Press,1990.
①World Bank.The EastAsian Miracle (Economic Growth and Public Policy), Oxford:University Press,1993.
①Krugman,Paul(1994),The Myth of Asian Miracle,Foreign Affairs,Vol.73,winter.
①主要观点参见:杨先明:《东亚奇迹论析》,《南开学报》哲社版,1997年第1期。
②林毅夫、任若恩:《东亚经济增长模式相关争论的再探讨》,《经济研究》2007年第8期。
①对于亚洲金融危机成因的分类主要参考:李晓、丁一兵《亚洲的超越:构建东亚区域货币体系与“人民币亚洲化”》,当代中国出版社,2006年版,第85-94页。
①Mishkin,Frederic S(1998),International Capital Movements, Financial Volatility and Financial Instability, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper,No.6390.
②Tanzi,Vito(1998),Corruption Around the World– Canses,Consequences,Scope,and Cures,IMF Working Paper WP/98/63.
①见安岗:《东亚奇迹、危机与复苏——交易结构视角的制度经济学分析》,东北财经大学博士学位论文(2007),第165页。
①见安岗:《东亚奇迹、危机与复苏——交易结构视角的制度经济学分析》,东北财经大学博士学位论文(2007),第165页。
①本段的论述主要参考了王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003)。
①本段的叙述主要参考了郭熙保、胡汉昌:《后发优势研究述评》,《山东社会科学》,2002年第3期,第16-20页。
①南亮进:《日本的经济发展》,经济管理出版社,1992年版。
①本段总结主要参考郭熙保、胡汉昌:《后发优势研究述评》,《山东社会科学》,2002年第3期,第16-20页。
①详见陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》,山西经济出版社,1999年第1版。
②郭熙保、胡汉昌:《后发优势新论——兼论中国经济发展的动力》,武汉大学学报(社会科学版),2004年3期354页。
①劳尔·普雷维什:《外围资本主义》,商务印书馆,1990年版。
①劳尔·普雷维什:《外围资本主义》,商务印书馆,1990年版,第198页。
②尹保云:《现代化的通病》,天津人民出版社,1999版,第138-139页。
③吴忠民:《后发优势与后发劣势》,《科技导报》,2001年第6期,第3-8页。
①贡德?弗兰克:《白银资本》,中央编译出版社,2005年第2版。
②伊曼纽尔?沃勒斯坦:《沃勒斯坦精粹》,南京大学出版社,2003年第1版。
③杨绍江,谢作诗:《论后发劣势》,《绵阳师范高等专科学校学报》,2002年第4期,第48-52页。
④胡隐昌、胡汉昌:《后发劣势研究评述》,《湖北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2002年第29卷,第6期,第31-36页
①吴忠民:《后发优势和后发劣势》,《科技导报》,2001年第6期,第3-8页。
②马耀朋:《发展理论研究的一个客观视角:后发展效应》,《中共南京市委党校学报》,2003年第3期,第24-28页。
③陆德明、王必达:《我国西部地区发挥“后发优势”的困境与对策分析》,《经济地理》,2002年第9期,第550-553页。
①曾国安、胡振国:《论发展中国家工业化的后发劣势和后发优势》,《江汉论坛》,2003年第12期,第5-9页。
②杨永春、张从果:《论落后地区的发展和后发优势》,《兰州大学学报(社会科学版)》,2003年第5期,第112页-117页。
③卢文鹏:《对中国成为世界制造业中心的思考》,《经济学家》,2003年第2期,第88-94页。
④邓曦东:《论西部大开发的后发优势与劣势》,《湖北社会科学》,2001年第10期,第74-75页。
⑤本段对后发劣势理论的回顾和评析主要参考了魏功兵:《后发劣势研究》,安徽师范大学硕士学位论文(2006),第2-7页。
①见王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003),第69-78页。
①熊彼特:《经济发展理论》,商务印书馆1990年版。
②金麟洙:《从模仿到创新——韩国技术学习的动力》,新华出版社,1998年第1版。
③施培公:《后发优势——模仿创新的理论与实证研究》,清华大学出版社,1999年版。
①见王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003),第54页。
①本段的分析参考了王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003),第55-57页。
①主要参考了王述英:《现代产业经济理论与政策》,山西出版社,1999年版,第81页。薛敬孝、白雪洁:《当代日本产业结构研究》,天津人民出版社,2002年第1版,第28-29页。
①参见拉坦:《诱致性制度变迁理论》,参见科斯等著:《财产权利与制度变迁》,上海三联书店,1996年,第227-338页。
①李晓:《东亚奇迹与强政府——东亚模式的制度分析》,经济科学出版社,1996年8月第1版,第160页。
②李晓:《东亚奇迹与强政府——东亚模式的制度分析》,经济科学出版社,1996年8月第1版,第82页。
①参见李晓:《东亚奇迹与强政府——东亚模式的制度分析》,经济科学出版社,1996年第1版,第81-84页。
①哈耶克著、邓正来译:《自由秩序原理》,三联书店,1997年第1版,第36-37页。
①南亮进:《日本的经济发展》,经济管理出版社,1992年第1版。
②模型主要参考了陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》,山西经济出版社,第52页-55页。
①陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》,山西经济出版社,1999年版,第55页
①参见本论文第18页中关于阿伯拉莫维茨的“追赶假说”部分。
②参见杨绍江、谢作诗:《论后发劣势》,《绵阳师范高等专科学报》2002年第4期。
①模型和本段的理论观点主要参考了陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》山西经济出版社,1999年版,第48-57页。
①南亮进著,毕志恒、关权译:《日本的经济发展》,北京管理出版社,1992年版。部分转引自冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,第124页。
②同上。
①金明善、车维汉:《赶超经济理论》,中国人民大学出版社2001年版,第231页。
②南亮进:《日本的经济发展》,1989年版,第17页。
①金明善、宋绍英、孙执中:《战后日本经济发展史》,航空工业出版社,1998年版,第179页。
②万朝晖:《战后日本科技发展道路及其启示》,重庆师范学院学报(哲社版)1998年第2期,第106页。
①参考自冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年版,第44页。
②这一例证主要参考李晓:《七十年代以来日本产业政策的调整与变革》,《现代日本经济》,1994年第1期,第22-27页。
③李晓:《七十年代以来日本产业政策的调整与变革》,《现代日本经济》,1994年第1期,第24页。
①参照国际货币组织相关年份的数据,IMF:“International Financial Statistics”。
②冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,第361页。
①整体体制方面的分析主要参考了冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,
②具体过程参见冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,第94-111页。
③吉川元忠:《金融战败:发自经济大国受挫后的诤言》,中国青年出版社,2000年版。
④资料来源:林直道:《现代日本经济》,北京大学出版社,1993年版。
①本段分析思路主要参考了李晓、丁一兵:《亚洲的超越:构建东亚区域货币体系与“人民币亚洲化”》当代中国出版社,2006年版,第19-24页。
②速水佑次郎:《发展经济学——从贫困到富裕》,社会科学出版社2003年第1版,第30页。
①资料来源:戴晓芙、郭定平:《东亚发展模式与区域合作》,复旦大学出版社,2005年版,第54页。
①参见李晓:《论东亚区域产业循环机制》,《世界经济》,1998年第3期,第26-31页。
①本段的政策建议参考了魏功兵:《后发劣势研究》,安徽师范大学硕士学位论文(2006)。
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②Amsden A. H.,Asia's Next Uiant: South Korea and Late Industrialization,Oxford University Press,1989; Wade R.,Uoverning the Market: Economic Theory and the Role of Government in East Asian Industrialization , New Jersey: Princeton:Princeton University Press,1990.
①World Bank.The EastAsian Miracle (Economic Growth and Public Policy), Oxford:University Press,1993.
①Krugman,Paul(1994),The Myth of Asian Miracle,Foreign Affairs,Vol.73,winter.
①主要观点参见:杨先明:《东亚奇迹论析》,《南开学报》哲社版,1997年第1期。
②林毅夫、任若恩:《东亚经济增长模式相关争论的再探讨》,《经济研究》2007年第8期。
①对于亚洲金融危机成因的分类主要参考:李晓、丁一兵《亚洲的超越:构建东亚区域货币体系与“人民币亚洲化”》,当代中国出版社,2006年版,第85-94页。
①Mishkin,Frederic S(1998),International Capital Movements, Financial Volatility and Financial Instability, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper,No.6390.
②Tanzi,Vito(1998),Corruption Around the World– Canses,Consequences,Scope,and Cures,IMF Working Paper WP/98/63.
①见安岗:《东亚奇迹、危机与复苏——交易结构视角的制度经济学分析》,东北财经大学博士学位论文(2007),第165页。
①见安岗:《东亚奇迹、危机与复苏——交易结构视角的制度经济学分析》,东北财经大学博士学位论文(2007),第165页。
①本段的论述主要参考了王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003)。
①本段的叙述主要参考了郭熙保、胡汉昌:《后发优势研究述评》,《山东社会科学》,2002年第3期,第16-20页。
①南亮进:《日本的经济发展》,经济管理出版社,1992年版。
①本段总结主要参考郭熙保、胡汉昌:《后发优势研究述评》,《山东社会科学》,2002年第3期,第16-20页。
①详见陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》,山西经济出版社,1999年第1版。
②郭熙保、胡汉昌:《后发优势新论——兼论中国经济发展的动力》,武汉大学学报(社会科学版),2004年3期354页。
①劳尔·普雷维什:《外围资本主义》,商务印书馆,1990年版。
①劳尔·普雷维什:《外围资本主义》,商务印书馆,1990年版,第198页。
②尹保云:《现代化的通病》,天津人民出版社,1999版,第138-139页。
③吴忠民:《后发优势与后发劣势》,《科技导报》,2001年第6期,第3-8页。
①贡德?弗兰克:《白银资本》,中央编译出版社,2005年第2版。
②伊曼纽尔?沃勒斯坦:《沃勒斯坦精粹》,南京大学出版社,2003年第1版。
③杨绍江,谢作诗:《论后发劣势》,《绵阳师范高等专科学校学报》,2002年第4期,第48-52页。
④胡隐昌、胡汉昌:《后发劣势研究评述》,《湖北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2002年第29卷,第6期,第31-36页
①吴忠民:《后发优势和后发劣势》,《科技导报》,2001年第6期,第3-8页。
②马耀朋:《发展理论研究的一个客观视角:后发展效应》,《中共南京市委党校学报》,2003年第3期,第24-28页。
③陆德明、王必达:《我国西部地区发挥“后发优势”的困境与对策分析》,《经济地理》,2002年第9期,第550-553页。
①曾国安、胡振国:《论发展中国家工业化的后发劣势和后发优势》,《江汉论坛》,2003年第12期,第5-9页。
②杨永春、张从果:《论落后地区的发展和后发优势》,《兰州大学学报(社会科学版)》,2003年第5期,第112页-117页。
③卢文鹏:《对中国成为世界制造业中心的思考》,《经济学家》,2003年第2期,第88-94页。
④邓曦东:《论西部大开发的后发优势与劣势》,《湖北社会科学》,2001年第10期,第74-75页。
⑤本段对后发劣势理论的回顾和评析主要参考了魏功兵:《后发劣势研究》,安徽师范大学硕士学位论文(2006),第2-7页。
①见王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003),第69-78页。
①熊彼特:《经济发展理论》,商务印书馆1990年版。
②金麟洙:《从模仿到创新——韩国技术学习的动力》,新华出版社,1998年第1版。
③施培公:《后发优势——模仿创新的理论与实证研究》,清华大学出版社,1999年版。
①见王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003),第54页。
①本段的分析参考了王必达:《后发优势与区域发展》,复旦大学博士学位论文(2003),第55-57页。
①主要参考了王述英:《现代产业经济理论与政策》,山西出版社,1999年版,第81页。薛敬孝、白雪洁:《当代日本产业结构研究》,天津人民出版社,2002年第1版,第28-29页。
①参见拉坦:《诱致性制度变迁理论》,参见科斯等著:《财产权利与制度变迁》,上海三联书店,1996年,第227-338页。
①李晓:《东亚奇迹与强政府——东亚模式的制度分析》,经济科学出版社,1996年8月第1版,第160页。
②李晓:《东亚奇迹与强政府——东亚模式的制度分析》,经济科学出版社,1996年8月第1版,第82页。
①参见李晓:《东亚奇迹与强政府——东亚模式的制度分析》,经济科学出版社,1996年第1版,第81-84页。
①哈耶克著、邓正来译:《自由秩序原理》,三联书店,1997年第1版,第36-37页。
①南亮进:《日本的经济发展》,经济管理出版社,1992年第1版。
②模型主要参考了陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》,山西经济出版社,第52页-55页。
①陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》,山西经济出版社,1999年版,第55页
①参见本论文第18页中关于阿伯拉莫维茨的“追赶假说”部分。
②参见杨绍江、谢作诗:《论后发劣势》,《绵阳师范高等专科学报》2002年第4期。
①模型和本段的理论观点主要参考了陆德明:《中国经济发展动因分析》山西经济出版社,1999年版,第48-57页。
①南亮进著,毕志恒、关权译:《日本的经济发展》,北京管理出版社,1992年版。部分转引自冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,第124页。
②同上。
①金明善、车维汉:《赶超经济理论》,中国人民大学出版社2001年版,第231页。
②南亮进:《日本的经济发展》,1989年版,第17页。
①金明善、宋绍英、孙执中:《战后日本经济发展史》,航空工业出版社,1998年版,第179页。
②万朝晖:《战后日本科技发展道路及其启示》,重庆师范学院学报(哲社版)1998年第2期,第106页。
①参考自冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年版,第44页。
②这一例证主要参考李晓:《七十年代以来日本产业政策的调整与变革》,《现代日本经济》,1994年第1期,第22-27页。
③李晓:《七十年代以来日本产业政策的调整与变革》,《现代日本经济》,1994年第1期,第24页。
①参照国际货币组织相关年份的数据,IMF:“International Financial Statistics”。
②冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,第361页。
①整体体制方面的分析主要参考了冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,
②具体过程参见冯昭奎:《日本经济》,高等教育出版社,2005年第2版,第94-111页。
③吉川元忠:《金融战败:发自经济大国受挫后的诤言》,中国青年出版社,2000年版。
④资料来源:林直道:《现代日本经济》,北京大学出版社,1993年版。
①本段分析思路主要参考了李晓、丁一兵:《亚洲的超越:构建东亚区域货币体系与“人民币亚洲化”》当代中国出版社,2006年版,第19-24页。
②速水佑次郎:《发展经济学——从贫困到富裕》,社会科学出版社2003年第1版,第30页。
①资料来源:戴晓芙、郭定平:《东亚发展模式与区域合作》,复旦大学出版社,2005年版,第54页。
①参见李晓:《论东亚区域产业循环机制》,《世界经济》,1998年第3期,第26-31页。
①本段的政策建议参考了魏功兵:《后发劣势研究》,安徽师范大学硕士学位论文(2006)。
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