广西北部湾经济开发区工资水平研究
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摘要
2007年12月20日,广西向国家发展改革委员会提出了《广西北部湾经济区发展规划》,在通过了国家发展改革委员会的诀议后,上报国务院,并于2008年2月21日得到温家宝总理的批复,将广西北部湾经济区开发的正式纳入国家发展战略,这也标志着广西北部湾经济区上升为国家级开发战略,它的建立也力图实现中国经济区发展的第四极,对此,越来越多的研究者开始关注北部湾,开始注意到这个充满经济潜力的地区。
基于上述考虑,本文将从研究者角度来研究北部湾的工资水平问题,结合北部湾经济开发区前些年的工资水平数据,同时应用相应的理论模型,对开发区内的工资水平现状、相关影响因素进行分析,最后推测未来几年经济区内工资水平的发展趋势,希望所做的相关研究能够为有关部门政策措施的实施提供一个合适的理论范本,从而促进北部湾经济开发区又好又快发展。
文章的写作思路如下:首先,通过分析研究国外的相关工资理论,以及国内学者的研究现状,找出目前对于工资水平研究的理论进程;其次,在此理论基础之上,通过对北部湾经济开发区的走访调查,获得第一手的资料和数据,分析北部湾经济开发区的工资水平现状,并梳理出相关问题;然后,通过灰色关联度、主因子分析以及回归分析等方法的运用,找出影响该地区工资水平的经济影响因素,同时探寻相应的制度影响因素;之后,运用多变量灰色数列预测模型,对北部湾经济开发区的工资水平进行预测分析;最后,针对研究结论的应用提出相应的建议,并指出了本研究的不足和研究展望。
本文的创新之处是运用了灰色数列预测模型对北部湾经济开发区的工资水平进行预测,同时也是首次对某一经济开发区的工资水平进行研究分析。
On the December 20,2007,Guangxi province plans to develop the North Bay Economic Zone. On the February 21,2008, After the aggreement of the State Council of China, With the approval of Wen Premier Jiabao's approval, the North Bay Economic Zone in Guangxi formally incorporated into the national development strategy, which also marks the northern Bay Economic Zone in Guangxi rose to national development strategy. It is expected to become the fourth pole of the Chinese Economic Zone.Therefore so many researchers started to pay attention more and more to the North Bay, Where is full of economic potential.
Based on the above considerations, this article will study the problem of wage levels in North Bay from the angle of researchers. With the wage levels in previous years data, to apply the appropriate theoretical model, researching the relevant factors, and finally suggesting the next few years the wage level of economic development trend of the region. In order to supply some help to the government and then to improve the development of the North Bay. Firstly,reading a lots article of wage theory,and to find out the current wage level of theory for the process in our country. Secondly, by the way of investigations, to obtain first-hand information and data, analysis of the Economic Zone status of wage levels, and to tease out the relevant issues. Thirdly, by the way of the gray correlation, principal factor analysis and the use of regression analysis and other methods to identify the level of wages in the area of economic factors, At the same time to explore the appropriate institutional factors. Fourth, using the gray sequence prediction model, Northern Bay Economic Zone in the wage level of predictive analysis. Finally, get the reasult and the defect, to forecast the future.
The innovation of this article is to use gray prediction model to analysis Economic Development Zone, and also the first time to research an economic zone of wage level.
基于上述考虑,本文将从研究者角度来研究北部湾的工资水平问题,结合北部湾经济开发区前些年的工资水平数据,同时应用相应的理论模型,对开发区内的工资水平现状、相关影响因素进行分析,最后推测未来几年经济区内工资水平的发展趋势,希望所做的相关研究能够为有关部门政策措施的实施提供一个合适的理论范本,从而促进北部湾经济开发区又好又快发展。
文章的写作思路如下:首先,通过分析研究国外的相关工资理论,以及国内学者的研究现状,找出目前对于工资水平研究的理论进程;其次,在此理论基础之上,通过对北部湾经济开发区的走访调查,获得第一手的资料和数据,分析北部湾经济开发区的工资水平现状,并梳理出相关问题;然后,通过灰色关联度、主因子分析以及回归分析等方法的运用,找出影响该地区工资水平的经济影响因素,同时探寻相应的制度影响因素;之后,运用多变量灰色数列预测模型,对北部湾经济开发区的工资水平进行预测分析;最后,针对研究结论的应用提出相应的建议,并指出了本研究的不足和研究展望。
本文的创新之处是运用了灰色数列预测模型对北部湾经济开发区的工资水平进行预测,同时也是首次对某一经济开发区的工资水平进行研究分析。
On the December 20,2007,Guangxi province plans to develop the North Bay Economic Zone. On the February 21,2008, After the aggreement of the State Council of China, With the approval of Wen Premier Jiabao's approval, the North Bay Economic Zone in Guangxi formally incorporated into the national development strategy, which also marks the northern Bay Economic Zone in Guangxi rose to national development strategy. It is expected to become the fourth pole of the Chinese Economic Zone.Therefore so many researchers started to pay attention more and more to the North Bay, Where is full of economic potential.
Based on the above considerations, this article will study the problem of wage levels in North Bay from the angle of researchers. With the wage levels in previous years data, to apply the appropriate theoretical model, researching the relevant factors, and finally suggesting the next few years the wage level of economic development trend of the region. In order to supply some help to the government and then to improve the development of the North Bay. Firstly,reading a lots article of wage theory,and to find out the current wage level of theory for the process in our country. Secondly, by the way of investigations, to obtain first-hand information and data, analysis of the Economic Zone status of wage levels, and to tease out the relevant issues. Thirdly, by the way of the gray correlation, principal factor analysis and the use of regression analysis and other methods to identify the level of wages in the area of economic factors, At the same time to explore the appropriate institutional factors. Fourth, using the gray sequence prediction model, Northern Bay Economic Zone in the wage level of predictive analysis. Finally, get the reasult and the defect, to forecast the future.
The innovation of this article is to use gray prediction model to analysis Economic Development Zone, and also the first time to research an economic zone of wage level.
引文
[1]马克思.资本论(第1卷)[M].北京:人民出版社, 1975.
[2]威廉.配第.赋税论:献给英明人士[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1978.
[3]杜尔阁.关于财富的形成和分配的考察[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1961.
[4]斯密.国民财富的性质和原因的研究[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1972.
[5]解进强,史春祥.薪酬管理实务[M].机械工业出版社, 2008.
[6]孟德尔.《资本论》新英译本导言[M].北京:中共中央党校出版社, 1991.
[7]马尔萨斯.人口原理[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1992.
[8]袁志刚,陆铭.效率工资理论述评[J].经济科学, 1997.
[9]戴维.罗默.高级宏观经济学[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1999.
[10]刘听.薪酬管理[M].中国人民大学出版社, 2000. [11」朱柏禧.现代企业的薪酬激励[J].中国人力资源开发, 2001,(9): 10.
[12]郑煦平.浅议我国企业经营者的薪酬激励模式选择[J].经济师, 2001,(11): 16一17.
[13]大卫.桑普斯福特.劳动经济学前沿问题[M].中国税务出版社, 2002.
[14]彭剑锋.人力资源管理概论[M].复旦大学出版社, 2005.
[15] RobertL.Mathis, JohnH, Jackson. Human Resource Management[M].北京大学出版, 2006
[16]胡放之.工资水平及其影响因素分析[J].武汉科技学院学报, 2005,(11): 87一90.
[17]张德元.提高农民工工资的经济意义[J].新观察, 2006,(3): 37一38.
[18]丁守海.农民工工资与农村劳动力转移[J].中国农村经济, 2006,(4): 32一36.
[19]黄良军.江苏省职工工资水平增长机制研究[D]: [硕士学位论文].南京:南京理工大学, 2008.
[20]卿石松.广东制造业工资水平决定因素实证分析[J].经济科学, 2008,(4): 70-74.
[21]谢恵知.完善我国职工工资正常增长机制研究[D]: [硕士学位论文].北京:北京交通大学, 2009. [22」梁永强. FDI流入对中国内资企业就业和工资水平影响的计量分析[J].现代财经, 2010,(5): 80-85.
[23]边吉.如何看待企业职工与知识分子的工资差别[J].中国改革, 1986,(6): 25.
[24]蔡光.小议工资差别[J].就业与保障, 2005,(8): 28-30.
[25]张建红.中国地区工资水平差异的影响因素分析[J].经济研究, 2006,(10): 62-71.
[26]甘春华.行业工资差距研究述评[J].开放导报, 2008,(1): 44-46.
[27]栾俪云.中国分地区教师工资水平比较研究[J].现代教育管理, 2009,(3): 85-89
[28]潘胜文.我国行业间工资水平状况的实证分析—基于细行业工资数据[J].江汉论坛, 2010,(6): 10一14.
[29]王立宏.效率工资理论述评[J].经济科学, 2006.
[30]黄桂田,尹志锋.工资增长机制及相关影响因素分析—基于珠江三角洲和长江三角洲的面板数据实证[J].财贸经济, 2009,(9): 114-119.
[31]李鹏.对完善企业职工工资增长机制问题的几点建议[J].贵州财经学院学报,2009. [32」程黎.树立科学的企业工资分配观[J].山东劳动保障, 2009,(4): 12-15.
[33]罗瑾琏.政府部门对企业职工工资增长的影响因素分析—以上海市为例[J].经济论坛, 2009,(1): 29—32.
[34]袁明全.军人工资制度现状及改革建议[J].军事经济学院学报, 2006,(3):31.
[35]符涛,董志强.地区工资水平与失业率关系的实证研究[J].商业时代,2007,(7):51.
[36]周韵.教育信息不对称下农民工劳动力市场工资水平的研究[J].金卡工程-经济与法, 2009,(7): 213.
[37]李理,彭壁玉.迁移网络对劳动力工资水平的影响研究[J].现代经济信息,2009.
[38]张梅.全球生产网络、贸易结构与国内工资差距:影响机制和实证分析[D]: [博士学位论文].广州:暨南大学, 2008.
[39]李利民.中外工业化进程中的工资水平比较研究[D]: [博士学位论文].福州:福建师范大学, 2007.
[40]陈旸.技术水平和工资水平[D]: [硕士学位论文].合肥:安徽大学, 2007.
[41] Laikh, Ngaie.w.t, Chengt.c.e. Measures for evaluating supply ehain performane eintrans portlogisties[J]. Transportaionre search Part,2002,38: 439-456.
[42] Ballester, Elena, Alem. Development and valid ation of abrand trusts eale[J]. International Journal of Market Research. 2003, 5(1): 35-53.
[43] Martin J.Conyon, Sourafel Girma and Steve Thompson.The Productivity and Wages Effects of Foreign Acquisitions in United Kingdom [J] Nber Working paper2002, (3): 223-241.
[44] Gerald M.Meier, Janes E. Rauch. Leading Issues in Economic Development[M]. Oxford University Press, 2000.
[45] Hsico Cheng, Autoregressive Modeling and monetary Income Causality Detection[J].Journal of Monetary Economecs, 1981, 1 (7), 85-106.
[46] Krugranf. The role of geogranhy in development[J]. International Seience Review, 1999.
[47] Danthine and J.B.Donaldson, Effieiency wages and the business cycle Puzzle[J]. European Economic Review. 1990, (34): 1275-301.
[48] JanetL, Yellen. Effieiency Wage Models of Unemployment[J]. The American Eeonomie Review. 1984, (74):200—205.
[49] Hu Fangzhi. The Journal of Korean-Chinese Economics Management[C].The Determinants and Features of South Korean’s Wage Level During Its Industrialization Process.2004
[50] Park, Albert, Xiaoqing Song.The Growth of Wage Inequality in Urban China,1988 -1999[C]. Department of Economics,University of Michigan,Ann Arbor.2003, 3-17.
[51] Driffield, Taylor K, Wage Spillovers, Inter-regional Effects and the Impact of Inward Investment[J]. Papers in Spatial Economic Analysis,2004,11-23.
[52] Blinder, Alan S. Wage Discrimination: Reduced Form and Structural Estimates[J].Journal of Human Resources. 1973, 8(4): 436–55 .
[53] Li,H.,Economic Transition and Returns to Education in China[J]. Economics of Education Review, 2003, 22(3): 317-328.
[54] Muelle, R. Public and Private Sector Wage Differentials in Canada:Evidence from Quantile Regression[J]. Economics Letters, 1998, 60(2): 229-235.
[55] Lipsey R. Foreign-Owned Firms and U.S.Wages[C]. NBER Working Papers4927, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, 1994: 1-28.
[56] Gordon,R.E. The Effect of Wage Distortions on the Transition: Theory and Evidence from China[J]. European Economic Review, 1999, 4(2): 163-181
[2]威廉.配第.赋税论:献给英明人士[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1978.
[3]杜尔阁.关于财富的形成和分配的考察[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1961.
[4]斯密.国民财富的性质和原因的研究[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1972.
[5]解进强,史春祥.薪酬管理实务[M].机械工业出版社, 2008.
[6]孟德尔.《资本论》新英译本导言[M].北京:中共中央党校出版社, 1991.
[7]马尔萨斯.人口原理[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1992.
[8]袁志刚,陆铭.效率工资理论述评[J].经济科学, 1997.
[9]戴维.罗默.高级宏观经济学[M].北京:商务印书馆, 1999.
[10]刘听.薪酬管理[M].中国人民大学出版社, 2000. [11」朱柏禧.现代企业的薪酬激励[J].中国人力资源开发, 2001,(9): 10.
[12]郑煦平.浅议我国企业经营者的薪酬激励模式选择[J].经济师, 2001,(11): 16一17.
[13]大卫.桑普斯福特.劳动经济学前沿问题[M].中国税务出版社, 2002.
[14]彭剑锋.人力资源管理概论[M].复旦大学出版社, 2005.
[15] RobertL.Mathis, JohnH, Jackson. Human Resource Management[M].北京大学出版, 2006
[16]胡放之.工资水平及其影响因素分析[J].武汉科技学院学报, 2005,(11): 87一90.
[17]张德元.提高农民工工资的经济意义[J].新观察, 2006,(3): 37一38.
[18]丁守海.农民工工资与农村劳动力转移[J].中国农村经济, 2006,(4): 32一36.
[19]黄良军.江苏省职工工资水平增长机制研究[D]: [硕士学位论文].南京:南京理工大学, 2008.
[20]卿石松.广东制造业工资水平决定因素实证分析[J].经济科学, 2008,(4): 70-74.
[21]谢恵知.完善我国职工工资正常增长机制研究[D]: [硕士学位论文].北京:北京交通大学, 2009. [22」梁永强. FDI流入对中国内资企业就业和工资水平影响的计量分析[J].现代财经, 2010,(5): 80-85.
[23]边吉.如何看待企业职工与知识分子的工资差别[J].中国改革, 1986,(6): 25.
[24]蔡光.小议工资差别[J].就业与保障, 2005,(8): 28-30.
[25]张建红.中国地区工资水平差异的影响因素分析[J].经济研究, 2006,(10): 62-71.
[26]甘春华.行业工资差距研究述评[J].开放导报, 2008,(1): 44-46.
[27]栾俪云.中国分地区教师工资水平比较研究[J].现代教育管理, 2009,(3): 85-89
[28]潘胜文.我国行业间工资水平状况的实证分析—基于细行业工资数据[J].江汉论坛, 2010,(6): 10一14.
[29]王立宏.效率工资理论述评[J].经济科学, 2006.
[30]黄桂田,尹志锋.工资增长机制及相关影响因素分析—基于珠江三角洲和长江三角洲的面板数据实证[J].财贸经济, 2009,(9): 114-119.
[31]李鹏.对完善企业职工工资增长机制问题的几点建议[J].贵州财经学院学报,2009. [32」程黎.树立科学的企业工资分配观[J].山东劳动保障, 2009,(4): 12-15.
[33]罗瑾琏.政府部门对企业职工工资增长的影响因素分析—以上海市为例[J].经济论坛, 2009,(1): 29—32.
[34]袁明全.军人工资制度现状及改革建议[J].军事经济学院学报, 2006,(3):31.
[35]符涛,董志强.地区工资水平与失业率关系的实证研究[J].商业时代,2007,(7):51.
[36]周韵.教育信息不对称下农民工劳动力市场工资水平的研究[J].金卡工程-经济与法, 2009,(7): 213.
[37]李理,彭壁玉.迁移网络对劳动力工资水平的影响研究[J].现代经济信息,2009.
[38]张梅.全球生产网络、贸易结构与国内工资差距:影响机制和实证分析[D]: [博士学位论文].广州:暨南大学, 2008.
[39]李利民.中外工业化进程中的工资水平比较研究[D]: [博士学位论文].福州:福建师范大学, 2007.
[40]陈旸.技术水平和工资水平[D]: [硕士学位论文].合肥:安徽大学, 2007.
[41] Laikh, Ngaie.w.t, Chengt.c.e. Measures for evaluating supply ehain performane eintrans portlogisties[J]. Transportaionre search Part,2002,38: 439-456.
[42] Ballester, Elena, Alem. Development and valid ation of abrand trusts eale[J]. International Journal of Market Research. 2003, 5(1): 35-53.
[43] Martin J.Conyon, Sourafel Girma and Steve Thompson.The Productivity and Wages Effects of Foreign Acquisitions in United Kingdom [J] Nber Working paper2002, (3): 223-241.
[44] Gerald M.Meier, Janes E. Rauch. Leading Issues in Economic Development[M]. Oxford University Press, 2000.
[45] Hsico Cheng, Autoregressive Modeling and monetary Income Causality Detection[J].Journal of Monetary Economecs, 1981, 1 (7), 85-106.
[46] Krugranf. The role of geogranhy in development[J]. International Seience Review, 1999.
[47] Danthine and J.B.Donaldson, Effieiency wages and the business cycle Puzzle[J]. European Economic Review. 1990, (34): 1275-301.
[48] JanetL, Yellen. Effieiency Wage Models of Unemployment[J]. The American Eeonomie Review. 1984, (74):200—205.
[49] Hu Fangzhi. The Journal of Korean-Chinese Economics Management[C].The Determinants and Features of South Korean’s Wage Level During Its Industrialization Process.2004
[50] Park, Albert, Xiaoqing Song.The Growth of Wage Inequality in Urban China,1988 -1999[C]. Department of Economics,University of Michigan,Ann Arbor.2003, 3-17.
[51] Driffield, Taylor K, Wage Spillovers, Inter-regional Effects and the Impact of Inward Investment[J]. Papers in Spatial Economic Analysis,2004,11-23.
[52] Blinder, Alan S. Wage Discrimination: Reduced Form and Structural Estimates[J].Journal of Human Resources. 1973, 8(4): 436–55 .
[53] Li,H.,Economic Transition and Returns to Education in China[J]. Economics of Education Review, 2003, 22(3): 317-328.
[54] Muelle, R. Public and Private Sector Wage Differentials in Canada:Evidence from Quantile Regression[J]. Economics Letters, 1998, 60(2): 229-235.
[55] Lipsey R. Foreign-Owned Firms and U.S.Wages[C]. NBER Working Papers4927, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, 1994: 1-28.
[56] Gordon,R.E. The Effect of Wage Distortions on the Transition: Theory and Evidence from China[J]. European Economic Review, 1999, 4(2): 163-181