摘要
2001年1月布什入主白宫特别是“9·11”事件后,美国政府对日政策较克林顿时期发生了新的变化。在经历了克林顿时期的“敲打日本论”与“忽视日本论”之后,布什政府时期主要流行“日本期待论”。扩大日本作用,加强与提升美日关系成为布什执政以来对外政策的核心目标之一,正是在这个时期,现代美日关系迎来了150年以来前所未有的“黄金时代”。
本文的主要内容包括以下几部分:
第一部分是本文的重点。这部分在着重分析布什政府对日观及对日战略的基础上,总结概括布什政府对日政策变化的新内涵。一方面,布什政府着力提升日本的战略地位,以更好地利用日本支撑美国霸权;另一方面,为了延续与加强美日同盟存在的正当性与合法性,布什政府正在不断开拓美日合作新领域、达成美日同盟间的新共识,推动美日同盟向更加自由主义倾向的“认知联盟”方向转化。布什政府同时加强盟内“权威领导”,换取日本对联盟“自愿性”的认同与支持。与克林顿时期相比,美日双方更能以战略性眼光来审慎应对双方关系中不时出现的摩擦与分歧。
第二部分对影响布什政府对日政策变化的因素进行了综合分析。这些因素主要包括布什政府对外战略的变化,全球化进程加速发展中的亚太、中国与日本的变化以及布什个人与“知日派”因素的作用等。
第三部分分析了布什政府对日政策变化对美日关系以及中国与亚太的影响。“放松是为了更好地控制”,正是在推动美日之间权利与义务趋于“对等化”的过程中,日本被纳入了更深层次的美国全球战略轨道之中。美日同盟由传统的“威胁平衡”模式向“机制共同体”模式的转变对于中国与亚太来说机遇与挑战同在。文章最后对日美关系的未来发展进行了展望,对中美日三边关系的前景进行了探讨,并就中国如何应对美日同盟演化的新趋势提出了建设性的意见。
New changes of US Japan policy have occurred since Bush came into power, especially after“9·11”attack compared with the Clinton Government.“Japan Expectation”policy is becoming popular in Bush’s Administration after“Japan-Bashing&Passing”policy in the Clinton Government. Expanding Japan role and transforming US-Japan Alliance is one of the core objectives of the Bush Administration’s foreign policy, thus we see the unprecedented“Golden Age”of the modern US-Japan relation since it was established over 150 years ago.
This dissertation consists of three main parts:
The first part is principal part of the dissertation. Basing on the analyses of the Bush Administration mainstream strategic views on Japan, the author summarizes new changes of US Japan policy. For one thing,the Bush Administration is to make better use of Japan to support US hegemony by elevating Japan’s strategic status globally. For another thing, to continue and reinforce the“justness”and“legitimacy”ofUS-JapanAlliance exsistence, the Bush Administration is promoting US-Japan Alliance Transformation to a more liberal version:“Authoritative Alliance”;Besides,it is strengthening US“Authoritative”leadership in the Alliance in exchange of Japan’s more“willing”recognition as well as support for the Alliance.Both sides can face and tackle the divergence and frictions between them better than what the Clinton Government did with more strategic and global view.
A comprehensive analysis of reasons for new changes of US Japan policy is made in the second part. Dramatic Aisa and China in the rapid developing globalization, reemerging Japan, and Gorge W. Bush as well as“Japan Stressing”school roles are all included.
The third part analyses the impact of the new changes of US Japan policy on US-Japan relation as well as Asia-Pacific area and China.“To untie Japan is to control more,”Japan is more deeply integrated into America's globally strategic orbit in the 21st century during the process of promoting symmetrical rights and obligations between US-Japan. As for Asia-Pacific area and China, the transformation of US-Japan Alliance from traditional“threats- balance”model toward a more liberal version means challenges as well as opportunities.
In conclusion, this dissertation provides a perspective view of the US-Japan relation development; besides, a discussion about the future“China-US-Japan”triangle relations is given. Finally, some constructive suggestions for China’s rational response to the latest developing trend of US–Japan Alliance are made.
引文
①Curtis, Gerald L.“The Decline of ‘Japan-bashing’ and Assessments of Its Impact ” In New Perspectives on US-Japan Relations, ed. Gerald L. Curtis. Tokyo, Japan; New York:JCIE Press, 2000Chapter 7,p290.
②参阅:Condoleezza Rice, “Campaign 2000:Promoting the National Interest,”Foreign Affairs 79,no.1(January/February2000),45-62;Robert B.Zoellick, “A Republican Foreign Policy,”ibid,pp.63-78.
③Michael Green,Why Tokyo Will Play a Larger Role in Asia? Northeast Asia Peace And Security Network Special Report, July31, 2000. http://www.fpri.org/enotes.aisa.20000727.green.tokyolargeplayer.html.
④The United States and Japan:Advancing Toward a Mature Partnership.Richard L.Armitage Joseph S.Nye,INSS Special Report,October 11,2000.
⑤1996 年 4 月 17 日美国总统克林顿访日期间与当时日本首相桥本龙太郎发表的《日美安全保障联合宣言》,http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/n-america/us/security/security.html
⑥克林顿后期美日关系不协调的表现,详见: Michael Green “Japan: the Forgotten Player,” The National Interest, No. 60, Summer 2000
③王缉思等著:《美国在东亚的作用:观点?政策及影响》,时事出版社 2008 年版,第 76页。
④House of Representatives109th Session “Focus on a Chaning Japan ,”Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Asia And the Pacific of the Committee on International Relations,April 20, 2005,Serial No. 109–33.p.6
①[美]兹比格涅夫·布热斯津基著、王振西译:《大抉择:美国站在十字路口》,新华出版社 2005 年版,第 117 页。
②J. Przystup and Phillip C. Saunders ,“Visions of Order: Japan and China in U.S. Strategy,” Strategic Forum(INSS), No. 220,June 2006,p1.
③Ibid.
⑤The U.S.-Japan Alliance:Getting Asia Right through 2020,CSIS,Febrary2007,p14.
⑥Mike Mochizuki, “Paradigms Lost:Japans Nationalist Drift,”The American Interest September/October2006(Autumn,Vol.II.No.1),p88.
①Kenneth B. Pyle ,Japan Rising:The Resurgence of Japanese Power and Purpose NY: Public Affairs, 2007p44.
②Alan Dupont, “Unsheathing the Samurai Sword: Japan’s Changing Security Policy, ”Lowy Institute for International Policy ( November 23, 2004);相似观点见:布热斯津基《大抉择:美国站在十字路口》第 127 至 128 页。
③Joseph Nye, “The Third Coming, ” South ChinaMorning Post, June 14, 2007;类似观点:Christopher Preble, “Two Normal Countries:Rethinking the U.S.-Japan Strategic Relationship, ” Policy Analysis,No.566,(Cato Institute, April 18, 2006); .Mochizuki& Michael E. O'Hanlon ,“A Liberal Vision for the US-Japanese Alliance,”Summer1998, http://www.brookings.edu/articles/1998/summer_japan_ohanlon.aspx .
④The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Getting Asia Right through 2020. CSIS, February 2007, p15.
⑤ibid, p26
①Ikenberry, G. John and Anne-Marie Slaughter (2006), “ Forging A World of Liberty under Law, ” final report of the Princeton Project on National Security. p48. http://www.wws.princeton.edu/ppns/report/FinalReport.pdf
②“Japan’s New Nationalism:The International and Domestic Politics of an Assertive Foreign Policy,” http://research.yale.edu/eastasianstudies/japanworld/rosenbluth.pdf
③[美]罗伯特?罗斯著、朱锋译:《中国崛起:理论与政策的视角》, 上海人民出版社 2008年版,第 289 页。
④[美]马汉著、范祥涛译:《亚洲问题及其对国际政治的影响》,三联书店 2007 年版,第58 页。
①[美]阿特著、郭树勇译:《美国大战略》,北京大学出版社 2005 年版,第 185-186 页。
②Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review Report (Washington, DC: September 30, 2001).http:www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/qdr2001.pdf
③王缉思等著:《美国在东亚的作用:观点?政策及影响》,时事出版社 2008 年版,第 69页。
④参阅, “United States-Japan Roadmap for Realignment Implementation, ”May 1, 2006 http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/n-america/us/security/scc/doc0605.html
⑤Simon Tisdall, “Japan emerges as America's deputy sheriff in the Pacific,”The Guardian, April 19 2005
⑥Joint Statement of the Security Consultative CommitteeAlliance :Transformation: Advancing United States-Japan Security and Defense Cooperation May 1, 2007,http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/n-america/us/security/scc/joint0705.html
⑦“美日协议赋予日更多安全责任,日欲突破领土防御 ”:http://news.eastday.com/eastday/node81844/node81849/node96225/userobject1ai1592587.ht
①[美]扎勒米?哈利勒扎德等著、滕建群等译:《美国与亚洲—美国新战略和兵力态势》,新华出版社 2001 年版,第 43 页。
②Ikenberry, G. John and Anne-Marie Slaughter (2006) ,“ Forging A World of Liberty under Law, ” final report of the Princeton Project on National Security. P49. http://www.wws.princeton.edu/ppns/report/FinalReport.pdf
③Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Getting Asia Right through 2020. CSIS, February 2007, p18.
④U.S.-Japan Economic Relations:Significance, Prospects, and Policy Options July 9, 2007,CRS,Report for Congess,http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RL32649.pdf
⑤马来西亚《星洲日报》2005 年 11 月 16 日。
①钟严:“论钓鱼岛主权归属,”《人民日报》1996 年 10 月 18 日。
②Department of State Daily Press Briefing, March 24,2004 http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2004/30743.htm
③“美国操控中日关系走向,”香港《亚洲周刊》2005 年 9 月 18 日。
④Interview of the President by NHK Television, Japan The Map Room November 8, 2005 http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2005/11/20051108-5.html
⑤Robert Sutter, “China and Japan:Trouble Ahead? ” The Washington Quarterly, Autumn,2002 25:4 p 48.
⑦Robot Kagan&William Kristol, “The Present Danger” The National Interest, No59,Spring2000,p61.
①“利益相关者”论述参见:Robert Zoellick, “ Whither China: From Membership to Responsibility? ”, http://www.ncuscr.org/articlesandspeeches/Zoellick.htm; Xenia Dormandy, “Is India, or Will It Be, a Responsible International Stakeholder? ” The Washington Quarterly, Summer 2007 30:3 pp. 117–130.
②Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review Report (Washington, DC: February 6, 2006),http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/QDR20060203.pdf. p30.
③Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Getting Asia Right through 2020. CSIS, February 2007, p. 1
④[美]扎勒米?哈利勒扎德等著、滕建群等译:《美国与亚洲—美国新战略和兵力态势》新华出版社 2001 年版,第 41 页。
⑤J. Przystup and Phillip C. Saunders ,“Visions of Order: Japan and China in U.S. Strategy,” Strategic Forum(INSS), No. 220,June 2006,p2.
⑦J. Przystup and Phillip C. Saunders ,“Visions of Order: Japan and China in U.S. Strategy,” Strategic Forum(INSS), No. 220,June 2006,p2.
①汪伟民著:《联盟理论与美国的联盟战略》,世界知识出版社 2007 年版,第 55 页。
②陈效卫著:《美国联盟战略研究》,国防大学出版社 2002 年版,第 26 页。
③转引自:王帆著:《美国的亚太联盟》,世界知识出版社 2007 年版,第 182 页。
④Christopher Preble, “Two Normal Countries:Rethinking the U.S.-Japan Strategic Relationship,” Policy Analysis,No.566,(Cato Institute, April 18, 2006),p19.
⑤Brad Glosserman and Furukawa, “A New U.S.-Japan Agenda, ” Issues and Insights Vol.8, no.4 (March2008)p.v
①王缉思等著:《美国在东亚的作用:观点?政策及影响》,时事出版社 2008 年版,第 88页。
②James J. Przystup,“ U.S.-JapanRelations:Progress Toward a Mature Partnership,” http://www.ndu.edu/inss/Occassional_Papers/Przystup_OP_072005/Przystup_OP_072005
③Ikenberry ,and Anne-Marie Slaughter,“Forging a World of Liberty under Law, ”US Strategic Security inthe21st Century [M];Final Report ofthe Princeton Project on National Strategy, September 27, 200,pp.29-30
①陈效卫著:《美国联盟战略研究》,国防大学出版社 2002 年版,第 107 页。
②王帆著:《美国的亚太联盟》,世界知识出版社 2007 年版,第 186 页。
③“美国学者谈日本政治走向及日美关系”:world.people.com.cn/GB/14549/6263149.html
④Justin McCurry, “Rice says sorry for US troop behaviour on Okinawa as crimes shake alliance with Japan,”The Guardian, Thursday February 28, 2008
⑤1995 年 9 月驻冲绳美军士兵强暴日本小学生事件在日本引起近十万人的反美浪潮。
⑥注:驻日美军经费中日方所承担的部分被称为“温馨预算,”日本从 1978 年起开始承担美军基地工作人员的部分福利费,包括基本工资、水电煤气费等。
⑦“日美签驻日美军经费负担新协定”:http://www.takungpao.com/news/08/01/26/YM-856466.htm
①孙承著:《日本与东亚:一个变化的时代》,世界知识出版社 2005 年版,第 235 页。
②周丕启著:《合法性与大战略:北约体系内美国的霸权护持》,北京大学出版社 2005年版,第 88-91 页。
③ Michael J. Green and Robin Sakoda, “Agenda for the U.S.-Japan Alliance:Rethinking Roles and Missions,” in United States-Japan Strategic Dialogue: Beyond the Defense Guidelines Policy Recommendations for the New Millennium Chapter1,P4(Pacific Forum CSIS, May 2001).p4;另见 Michael Green,Nicholas Szechenyi,“Common Values:A New Agenda for U.S.-Japan Relations ,”Georgetown Journal of International Affairs,Summer 2006. Vol.7,Iss.2p2 ;Brad Glosserman and Katsu Furukawa, “A New U.S.-Japan Agenda , ,”Issues and Insights Vol.8, no.4 (March 2008)p.6
④Michael Green “Japan: the Forgotten Player,” The National Interest, No. 60, Summer 2000 http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m2751/is_2000_Summer/ai_63649344/pg_4
①Lawrence Lindsey, “U.S.-Japan Relations in the Next Administration,” January 1, 2000 http://www.aei.org/publications/filter.all,pubID.21011/pub_detail.asp
②“阿米蒂奇答记者问,”《朝日新闻》2004 年 2 月 4 日。
③Gerald Curtis,“US Policy Toward Japan in the 1990s,” in The Age of Uncertainty, Ezra F.Vogel eds,Harvard University Asia Center Cambridge,Massachusetts2004.pp.202-203.
④Ralph Cossa and Brad Glosserman, “U.S.-Japan Defense Cooperation: Has Japan Become the Great Britain of Asia?” Issues and Insights Vol 5, no.3 (March 2005)p.v
⑤Funabashi, “From Japan Bashing to Japan Surpassing”in Japan-US Security Relations: A Forward Looking Ten Year Retrospective, pp.26-27.Pacific Forum CSIS, Mar 2004.
①James A.Kelly, “George W. Bush and Asia:An Assessment”, in Robert M.Hathaway and Wilson Lee(eds.),George W. Bush and East Asia :A First Term Assessment (Washington,D.C:Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars,2005)p18.(注:《和平友好公约》即美日《神奈川公约》1854 年 3 月 31 日签订,被认为是美日现代关系史的开端)
②“布什提名鲍威尔任国务卿并强调奉行两党一致的对外政策,”《参考资料》,2000 年12 月 18 日,第 11 页。
③Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review Report (Washington, DC: February 6, 2006),http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/QDR20060203.pdf. p30
④关于两届布什政府对外战略变化的分析,主要参考:王鸣鸣:“‘新布什主义’与转型外交,”李慎明、王逸舟主编:《2007 年:全球政治与安全报告》,社会科学文献出版社2006 年版,第 96-119 页。有关引用不再一一作注,特此说明。
①[德]本德尔著、夏静译:《美国:新的罗马》,中央编译出版社 2005 年版,第 213 页。
②郑永年:“以英日为核心的美国新联盟战略对中国的意义”http://www.stnn.cc:82/china/t20060926_343524.html
③汪伟民著:《联盟理论与美国的联盟战略》,世界知识出版社 2007 年版,第 213 页。
①Christopher Preble, “Two Normal Countries:Rethinking the U.S.-Japan Strategic Relationship” p2,Policy Analysis,No.566,(Cato Institute, April 182006)
②[美]伊肯伯里著、韩召颖译:《美国无敌:均势的未来》,北京大学出版社 2005 年版,第 193 页。
③韩志立:“新自由国际主义与美国大战略的思想转向,”《国际政治研究》2007 年第 4期,第 113 页。
①李少军:“美国新外交:武力与“道德”下的调整”http://www.cass.net.cn/file/2005022844614.html
②张曙光等译:《以军事力量谋求绝对安全》,国防大学出版社 2003 年版,第 7 页。
③李焰:“美日同盟令日本‘光荣孤立’?”《华盛顿观察》,2006 年第 31 期,8/23/2006
④[英]巴瑞?布赞:“中国崛起过程中的中日关系与中美关系,”《世界经济与政治》2006 年第 7 期,第 3-4 页。
①Department of Defense, Quadrennial Defense Review Report(Washington, DC: February 6,2006),http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/pdfs/QDR20060203.pdf. p30
①[日]门仓贵史:“VISTA 五国为何能成为有潜力的国家,”《经济学人》2007 年 7 月 24
②Ikenberry ,and Anne-Marie Slaughter, “Forging a World of Liberty under Law,US Strategic Security inthe21st Century, ”Final Report ofthe Princeton Project on National Strategy, September 27, 2006;p49;J. Przystup and Phillip C. Saunders ,“Visions of Order: Japan and China in U.S. Strategy,” Strategic Forum(INSS), No. 220,June 2006p3.
①[美]扎勒米?哈利勒扎德等著、滕建群等译:《美国与亚洲—美国新战略和兵力态势》新华出版社 2001 年版,第 3 页。
②潜在的地区争端如朝鲜半岛、台海和克什米尔等开始白热化;“不满现状”的中俄印等国家的复兴;印尼、菲律宾等低效治理国家的内乱以及武器扩散、恐怖活动、毒品走私及海盗等跨国问题的涌现。参见:Dennis C. Blair & John T. Hanley, “From Wheels to Webs: Restructuring AsiaPacific Security Arrangements,”The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 24, No.1, Winter 2001, pp.7-8.
③刘胜湘著:《全球化与美国:安全利益的冲突分析》,北京大学出版社 2006 年版,第166 页。
④Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Getting Asia Right through 2020. CSIS, February 2007, p. 12.
⑤ibid, p. 24.
①MortonAbramowitzandStephenBosworth,“Adjusting to the New Asia,”Foreign Affairs,July/Augustl 2003,Volume 82 , Number 4 p119.
③http://news3.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2007-10/15/content_6882412.htm
④“Meeting the China Challenge:The U.S.in Southeast Asian Regional Security Strategies ,” http://www.eastwestcenter.org/fileadmin/stored/pdfs/PS016.pdf; Jane Perlez, ‘Chinese Move to Eclipse U.S. Appeal in Southeast Asia’, New York Times, November 18, 2004
⑥Victor Cha, “Multilateral Security in Asia and the U.S.-Japan Alliance,”G. John Ikenberry andTakashi Inoguchi, Reinventing the Alliance: U.S.-Japan Security Partnership in an Era ofChange, (NY: 2003), pp. 141-162
⑦Christopher R. Hill, ‘Emergence of China in the Asia-Pacific: Economic and Security Consequences for the U.S.’, testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, June 7, 2005, http://www.state.gov/p/eap/rls/rm/2005/47334.htm
①Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Getting Asia Right through 2020. CSIS, February 2007, p. 24.
②ibid, p. 26
③Michael Green, “Why Tokyo will Be a Larger Player in Asia ?” http://www.fpri.org/enotes.aisa.20000727.green.tokyolargeplayer.html
④“The Rise of Japan's Neo-Nationalists: What It Means to the United States,” November 21, 2002,Council on Foreign Relations http://www.cfr.org/publication/5266/rise_of_japans_neonationalists.html
⑤于青:“切莫借尸还魂,”《人民日报》2001 年 05 月 17 日第 3 版。
⑥吴心伯著:《太平洋上不太平—后冷战时代的美国亚太安全战略》,复旦大学出版社2006 版,第 148 页。
①[日]山本一太著、段跃中等译:《如果我是日本首相—日本新生代政治家宣言》,当代世界出版社 2004 年版,第 11 页。
③李建民著:《冷战后日本的“普通国家化”与中日关系的发展》,中国社会科学出版社2005 年版,第 72 页。
④Eugene Matthews, “Japan’s New Nationalism,”Foreign Affairs, vol. 82, no. 6(November/December 2003), p. 75
⑤The United States and Japan:Advancing Toward a Mature Partnership.Richard L.Armitage Joseph S.Nye,INSS Special Report,October 11,2000.Available from http://www.ndu.edu/inss/strforum/SR_01/SR_Japan.html
①Charles W. Kegley JR, Eugene R. Wittlcope, American foreign policy: pattern and process (Houndmills: M acmillan Education Ltd , 1987), pp.11-12.
②Jeremy D. Rosner: The New Tug-of-War: Congress, the Executive Branch, and National Security(New York: Carnegie Endowmentfor International Peace, 1995),pp.31-32.
③[美]伊沃·达尔德尔等著、刘满贵译:《后外交时代:不受约束的美国》,新华出版社2004 年版,第 21-23 页。
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⑤[日]渡部恒雄,“日本和世界安全,”日本《世界周报》2006 年 2 月 7 日
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②David Pilling and Demetri Sevastopulo, “Koizumi has won US trust for a revitalised Japan”, The Financial Times Jun 28, 2006
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④Balbina Hwang, “The Evolution of the U.S-Japan Alliance and Future”, December 21,2004 http://www.heritage.org/Research/AsiaandthePacific/hl861.cfm
⑤“访日期间小泉安排丰富节目看武士表演布什挺兴奋,”《新闻晨报》2002 年 2 月 19
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①Ralph Cossa and Brad Glosserman, “U.S.-Japan Defense Cooperation: Has Japan Become the Great Britain of Asia?” Issues and Insights Vol 5, no.3 (March 2005),p8.
②美国学者对此的经典分析参见: William E. Rapp, “Paths Diverging?The Next Decade in the U.S.-Japan Security Alliance”, p5,Carlisle: Strategic Stud-ies Institute, U.S. Army War College, January 2004.
③新华社:《参考资料》2004 年 4 月 4 日,第 29 页。
①“Christopher Preble, “A Plea for Normalcy ,”2006,09.01 http://www.nationalinterest.org/Article.aspx?id=11906
②日本东京大学东洋文化研究所,田中明彦研究室网站 http://avatoli.ioc.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~worldjpn/documents/texts/docs/19781127.O1E.html
①李焰:“为东亚安全护航美日联盟不是‘独’舰,”《华盛顿观察》2005 年 4 月 6 日。 ②[美]约翰·伊肯伯里著、韩召颖译:《美国无敌:均势的未来》,北京大学出版社 2005年版,第 200 页。
①Victor D. Cha, “Winning AsiaWashington's Untold Success Story”, Foreign Affairs, November/December 2007
②The U.S.-Japan Alliance:Getting Asia Right through 2020.p14.
③陈效卫著:《美国联盟战略研究》,国防大学出版社 2002 年版,第 25 页。
④唐骋华:“马英九‘一中论’凸现两岸深层困境,”《联合早报网》2006-03-30 http://ww.zaobao.com.sg/special/forum/pages3/forum_tw060330b.html
⑤罗会钧:“中美日三角关系中的台湾问题与我国的对策研究,”《文史博览》2007 年第5 期第 36 页。
①“日本《读卖新闻》:麦凯恩看重美日关系,” http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2008-05/30/content_8281632.htm
②李润田、张莉霞:“美日制定对台海作战计划,”《环球时报》2005 年 5 月 16 日第 3 版
③郑永年:“以英日为核心的美国新联盟战略对中国的意义,”http://www.stnn.cc:82/china/t20060926_343524.html
④转引自新华社:《参考资料》,2006 年 1 月 23 日,第 1 页。
⑤“U.S. nuclear forces 2008”, http://thebulletin.metapress.com/content/pr53n270241156n6/fulltext.pdf
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②Joseph Nye,“The Third Coming,”South ChinaMorning Post, June 14, 2007.
③http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20070701faessay86401/barack-obama/renewing-american-leadership.html
④Text of McCain’s speech to the Los Angeles World Affairs Council., March 26, 2008 http://thinkprogress.org/2008/03/26/embargoed-mccains-speech-to-the-los-angeles-world-affairs-council/
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(1)王缉思、倪峰、余万里:《美国在东亚的作用:观点?政策及影响》时事出版社 2008
(2)王缉思、徐辉、倪峰:《冷战后的美国外交》时事出版社 2008
(3)张德广:《变动的世界与中国外交》世界知识出版社 2008
(4)归泳涛:《赖肖尔与美国对日政策—战后日本历史观中的美国因素》重庆出版社 2008
(5)王帆:《美国的亚太联盟》世界知识出版社 2007
(6)汪伟民:《联盟理论与美国的联盟战略》世界知识出版社 2007
(7)刘江永:《中国与日本:变化中的“政冷经热”关系》人民出版社 2007
(8)吴心伯:《太平洋上不太平—后冷战时代的美国亚太安全战略》复旦大学出版社 2006
(9)李广民:《与强者为伍—日本结盟外交比较研究》人民出版社 2006
(10)刘胜湘:《全球化与美国:安全利益的冲突分析》北京大学出版社 2006
(11)金熙德:《21 世纪初的日本政治与外交》世界知识出版社 2006
(12)阎学通、金德湘主编:《东亚和平与安全》时事出版社 2006
(13)李建民:《冷战后日本的“普通国家化”与中日关系的发展》中国社会科学出版社 2005
(14)孙承:《日本与东亚:一个变化的时代》世界知识出版社 2005
(15)周丕启:《合法性与大战略:北约体系内美国的霸权护持》北京大学出版社 2005
(16)现代国际关系研究院编《反恐背景下的美国全球战略》时事出版社2004
(17)张国庆:《一个人的世界—透视布什》,世界知识出版社 2004
(18)吕耀东:《冷战后日本的总体保守化》中国社会科学出版社 2004
(19)刘世龙:《美日关系(1791-2001)》世界知识出版社 2003
(20)周建明、张曙光编译《以军事力量谋求绝对安全》国防大学出版社 2003
(21)吴寄南:《日本新生代政治家》时事出版社 2002
(22)陈效卫:《美国联盟战略研究》国防大学出版社 2002
(23)陈舟编:《美国的国家安全战略与东亚》世界知识出版社 2002
(24)牛军等编《克林顿治下的美国》中国社会科学出版社 1998
(25)[美]罗伯特?罗斯著:《中国崛起:理论与政策的视角》(朱锋译)上海人民出版社 2008
(26)[美]马汉著:《亚洲问题及其对国际政治的影响》(范祥涛译)上海三联书店 2007
(27)[英]肯尼斯?韩歇尔著:《日本小史:从石器时代到超级强权的崛起》 (李忠晋、马昕译,插图第 2 版)世界图书出版公司 2007
(28)[美]国国家情报委员会编:《大趋势 2020 年的世界》相蓝欣译华东师范大学出版社 2007
(29)[美]摩根索著:《国家间政治:权力斗争与和平》(徐昕等译)北京大学出版社 2006
(30)[美]鲁思?本尼迪克特著:《菊与刀: 日本文化的类型》(吕万和等译)商务印书馆 2005
(31)[美]施密特著:《美国政府与政治》(梅然译)北京大学出版社 2005
(32)[德]本德尔著:《美国:新的罗马》(夏静译)中央编译出版社 2005
(33)[美]布热津斯基著:《大抉择—美国站在十字路口》(王振西译)新华出版 2005
(34)[美]约翰·伊肯伯里著:《美国无敌:均势的未来》(韩召颖译)北京大学出版社 2005
(35)[美]阿特著:《美国大战略》(郭树勇译)北京大学出版社 2005
(36)[美]林赛与达尔德尔著:《后外交时代:不受约束的美国》(刘满贵译)新华出版社 2004
(37)[美]詹姆斯·德·代元著:《国际关系理论批判》(秦治来译),浙江人民出版社 2003
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(39)[美]米尔顿·埃兹拉蒂著:《变—日本变局将如何改变世界均势》(沈建译)新华出版社 2003
(40)[新加坡]许通美著:《美国与东亚:冲突与合作》中央编译出版社 2002
(41)[美]哈利勒扎德等著:《美国与亚洲美国新战略和兵力态势》滕建群等译新华出版社 2001
(42)[美] 迈克尔·格林、帕特里克·克罗宁主编:《日美联盟:过去、现在与将来》 新华出版社 2000
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(44)[美] 赫尔姆斯与普里斯特著:《外交与威慑:美国对华战略》(张林宏等译)新华出版 1998
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(51)[英]巴瑞?布赞:《中国崛起过程中的中日关系与中美关系》《世界经济与政治》2006 年第 7 期
(52)王鸣鸣:《“新布什主义”与转型外交》,李慎明、王逸舟主编 《2007 年:全球政治与安全报告》社会科学文献出版社 2006 第 96-119 页
(53)罗会钧:《中美日三角关系中的台湾问题与我国的对策研究》,《文史博览》2007 年第5期
(54)韩志立《:新自由国际主义与美国大战略的思想转向》,《国际政治研究》2007 年第 4 期
(55)赵穗生:《美国在台湾问题上的战略矛盾》,《中国评论》月刊 2006 年10 月号总第 106 期
(56)曹筱阳:《美日同盟:面向 21 世纪的全面调整》,《当代亚太》2006年第 9 期
(57)徐万胜:《论日美同盟的转变:从“冷战后”到“9·11”后》,《国际论坛》2005 第 6 期
(58)张玉国:《新时期的美日关系:回顾与展望》,《日本学论坛》2004 年第 3 期
(59)潘国政《评美国主流学派之美日同盟观》《东北亚论坛》2003 年第 2期
(60)吴寄南:《日本“新国防族”的崛起及其影响》,《日本学刊》2003 年第 5 期
(61)林晓光:《日本国家安全战略与防卫政策的调整》,《世界经济与政治论坛》2003 年第 6 期
(62) 于铁军:《观念与实力:美国“修正主义”对日观的兴衰》,《美国研究》2002 年第1期
(63) 陆国忠:《“9·11”事件后日美关系的走向》,《和平与发展》2002 年第 2 期
(64)孙承:《布什对日政策重估及其影响》,《国际问题研究》2001 年第 6期
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新华社《人民日报》《环球时报》《国际先驱导报》《参考资料》
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美国《华盛顿观察》周刊(中文版)
马来西亚《星洲日报》
Justin McCurry , ‘Rice says sorry for US troop behaviour on Okinawa as crimes shake alliance with Japan ’,The Guardian, Thursday February 28 2008
Joseph Nye, ‘The Third Coming ’South China Morning Post, June 14, 2007 David Pilling and Demetri Sevastopulo, ‘Koizumi has won US trust for a revitalised Japan’, The Financial Times, Jun 28, 2006
Simon Tisdall, ‘Japan emerges as America's deputy sheriff in the Pacific’,The Guardian, April 19 2005
Richard Lowry,”Time for the Sun to Rise,”National Review,July 4,2005 Jane Perlez, ‘Chinese Move to Eclipse U.S. Appeal in Southeast Asia’,New York Times, November 18, 2004
Steven Clemons, ‘Nationalism: Old News or New Worry? ’Daily Yomiuri,December 9,2003
Jane Perlez, ‘Asian Leaders Find China A More Cordial Neighbor’, New York Times, October 18, 2003 Marine , ‘U.S. Troops Must Stay in Japan’, Washington Post, March 27, 1990
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