地区电网运行评价指标体系及评价方法研究
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摘要
随着我国电网的迅猛发展以及智能化电网的建设,建立一套能够科学地评价地区电网运行方式的评价指标体系及方法,对于在保证电网运行的安全可靠性前提下提高电网运行的经济性、灵活方便性具有重要的理论和现实意义。
本文根据地区电网运行特点,结合电力部门的实际需求,提出了评价地区电网运行方式的指标体系,包括对供电可靠性、电能质量、经济性、短路电流、运行操作复杂度以及检修方式特性等七个方面的评价,给出其计算方法,引入模糊隶属函数和层次分析法的基本思想,实现指标量化,运用数据包络法和模糊综合评判技术等方法进行综合评价。
最后将本文所提出的地区电网运行评价指标体系及评价方法应用于某实际变电站的实例计算,验证了该方法的有效性。
With the rapid development of China's grid and smart grid construction, the establishment of the indicator system and method for evaluating the operation mode of the regional power grid scientifically has theoretical and practical significance for improving the economics, flexibility of grid operation under the premise of ensuring the safety and reliability of power grid.
According to regional power grid characteristics and combined with the actual needs of the power sector, This paper give the indicator system of evaluating the operation mode of the regional power grid which contain Ratability, Power Quality, Economics, Short-circuit current, Operation complexity, and Maintenance mode feature. It achieves quantified with giving the calculation method, fuzzy membership function and the basic idea of AHP and getting the comprehensive evaluation which using data envelopment analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation techniques and other methods of evaluation.
At the end of the paper, an example of real transformer substation is simulated and the feasibility of this method is proved.
本文根据地区电网运行特点,结合电力部门的实际需求,提出了评价地区电网运行方式的指标体系,包括对供电可靠性、电能质量、经济性、短路电流、运行操作复杂度以及检修方式特性等七个方面的评价,给出其计算方法,引入模糊隶属函数和层次分析法的基本思想,实现指标量化,运用数据包络法和模糊综合评判技术等方法进行综合评价。
最后将本文所提出的地区电网运行评价指标体系及评价方法应用于某实际变电站的实例计算,验证了该方法的有效性。
With the rapid development of China's grid and smart grid construction, the establishment of the indicator system and method for evaluating the operation mode of the regional power grid scientifically has theoretical and practical significance for improving the economics, flexibility of grid operation under the premise of ensuring the safety and reliability of power grid.
According to regional power grid characteristics and combined with the actual needs of the power sector, This paper give the indicator system of evaluating the operation mode of the regional power grid which contain Ratability, Power Quality, Economics, Short-circuit current, Operation complexity, and Maintenance mode feature. It achieves quantified with giving the calculation method, fuzzy membership function and the basic idea of AHP and getting the comprehensive evaluation which using data envelopment analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation techniques and other methods of evaluation.
At the end of the paper, an example of real transformer substation is simulated and the feasibility of this method is proved.
引文
[1]冯永青,张伯明,吴文传等.基于可信理论的电力系统运行风险评估(一).电力系统自动化2006,30(1):17-23
[2]冯永青,张伯明,吴文传等.基于可信理论的电力系统运行风险评估(二).电力系统自动化.2006,30(2):11-21
[3]冯永青,张伯明,吴文传等.基于可信理论的电力系统运行风险评估(三).电力系统自动化.2006,30(2):11-16
[4]谢君.电网运行方式及设备检修的可靠性评估.硕士学位论文.合肥工业大学.2006
[5]孙元章,刘海涛,程林等.运行可靠性在线短期评估方案.电力系统自化.2008.32(3):4-8
[6]丁明,李生虎,吴红斌.基于充分性和安全性的电力系统运行状态分析和量化评价.中国电机工程学报.2004.24(4):43-49
[7]王君亮.电网运行方式辅助决策的研究.硕士学位论文.郑州大学.2004
[8] Wenyuan Li,J.K.Korczynski.Risk Evaluation of Transmission System Operation Modes:Concept,Method and Application.IEEE Power Engineering Society Winter Meeting.2002:1124-1129
[9] Ma Rui,He Renmu,Wang Peng.A Multiobjective Operation Planning Model with TransmissionConstraints and Load Characteristic of Distribution System.Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exhibition.2006:1102-1107
[10]周宇.地区电网运行分析与优化.硕士学位论文.东南大学.2006
[11]周韩.电力系统安全保障技术中的预警指标及决策研究.硕士学位论文.上海交通大学.2007
[12] Hwang.C,Yoon K.Multiple attribute decision making:methods and applications.New York.Springer Verlag.1981.
[13] E . Czogala,M . Roubens.Approach to multi-criteria decision making problems using probabilistic set theory[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1989,43(3):263-266
[14]王凡.基于多重评价模型的配电网经济性评价[D].燕山大学,2010.
[15]牛东晓,魏亚楠,邢棉.电网运行安全性评价体系分析及应用[J].华东电力,2010,38(2):160-163.
[16]张国华,张建华,彭谦等.电网安全评价的指标体系与方法[J].电网技术,2009,33(8):30-34.
[17]田洪,张焰,张益波.地区电网运行方式评估方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2009,37(20):93-98.
[18]国家电网公司,《城市电力网规划设计导则》(2006).
[19]国家建设部,《城市电力规划规范》(1999)149号.
[20]国家电网公司,《城市中低压配电网改造技术导则》(2005).
[21]上海市电力公司,《上海电网若干技术原则的规定》(2004).
[22]上海市电力公司,《上海中低压电网配置原则及典型设计》及其补充规定(2006).
[23]王平洋,胡兆光.模糊数学在电力系统中的应用.北京:中国电力出版社,1999.
[24]倪明,单渊达.证据理论及其应用.南京:电力系统自动化,1996.
[25]张洪明,廖培鸿,仲建中.电网规划的灰色系统方法.北京:电网技术,1995.
[26]张焰,陈章潮,谈伟.不确定性的电网规划方法研究.北京:电网技术,1999.
[27]叶在福,单渊达.基于信度的不确定性推理-证据理论及其在电力系统规划中的应用.天津:电力系统及其自动化学报,2000.
[28] R R Yager, D P Filev. Including Probabilistic Uncertainty in Fuzzy Logic Controller Modeling Using Dempster -Shafer Theory. IEEE Trans on SMC, 1995,25:1221~1230.
[29] B.Borkowska. Probabilistic load flow. IEEE Transaction on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1974,93(1):752~759.
[30] Mo-yuen Chow, Hahn Tram. Application of Fuzzy Logic Technology for Spatial Load Forecasting. IEEE Transaction on Power Systems,1997,12(3):130~1366.
[31]陈章潮,唐得光.城市电网规划及改造.北京:中国电力出版社,1997.
[32]胡淑礼.模糊数学及其应用.成都:四川大学出版社,1994
[33]刘开第,吴和琴等.不确定性信息数学处理及应用.北京:科学出版社,1999
[34]李洪兴,汪群,段钦治等.工程模糊数学方法及其应用.天津:天津科技出版社,1993.
[35]魏权龄.卢刚.DEA方法与模型的应用.系统工程理论与实践.1989.3
[36]范涌.基于TOPSIS的生态建筑综合评价方法研究.硕士学位论文.上海交通大学.2007
[37]朱建军.层次分析法的若干问题研究及应用.博士学位论文.上海交通大学.2007
[38]崔坤台,王成山,谢莹华.考虑负荷转移限制的配电系统区间可靠性评估.电力系统及其自动化学报.2006.18(4):91-96
[2]冯永青,张伯明,吴文传等.基于可信理论的电力系统运行风险评估(二).电力系统自动化.2006,30(2):11-21
[3]冯永青,张伯明,吴文传等.基于可信理论的电力系统运行风险评估(三).电力系统自动化.2006,30(2):11-16
[4]谢君.电网运行方式及设备检修的可靠性评估.硕士学位论文.合肥工业大学.2006
[5]孙元章,刘海涛,程林等.运行可靠性在线短期评估方案.电力系统自化.2008.32(3):4-8
[6]丁明,李生虎,吴红斌.基于充分性和安全性的电力系统运行状态分析和量化评价.中国电机工程学报.2004.24(4):43-49
[7]王君亮.电网运行方式辅助决策的研究.硕士学位论文.郑州大学.2004
[8] Wenyuan Li,J.K.Korczynski.Risk Evaluation of Transmission System Operation Modes:Concept,Method and Application.IEEE Power Engineering Society Winter Meeting.2002:1124-1129
[9] Ma Rui,He Renmu,Wang Peng.A Multiobjective Operation Planning Model with TransmissionConstraints and Load Characteristic of Distribution System.Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exhibition.2006:1102-1107
[10]周宇.地区电网运行分析与优化.硕士学位论文.东南大学.2006
[11]周韩.电力系统安全保障技术中的预警指标及决策研究.硕士学位论文.上海交通大学.2007
[12] Hwang.C,Yoon K.Multiple attribute decision making:methods and applications.New York.Springer Verlag.1981.
[13] E . Czogala,M . Roubens.Approach to multi-criteria decision making problems using probabilistic set theory[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1989,43(3):263-266
[14]王凡.基于多重评价模型的配电网经济性评价[D].燕山大学,2010.
[15]牛东晓,魏亚楠,邢棉.电网运行安全性评价体系分析及应用[J].华东电力,2010,38(2):160-163.
[16]张国华,张建华,彭谦等.电网安全评价的指标体系与方法[J].电网技术,2009,33(8):30-34.
[17]田洪,张焰,张益波.地区电网运行方式评估方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2009,37(20):93-98.
[18]国家电网公司,《城市电力网规划设计导则》(2006).
[19]国家建设部,《城市电力规划规范》(1999)149号.
[20]国家电网公司,《城市中低压配电网改造技术导则》(2005).
[21]上海市电力公司,《上海电网若干技术原则的规定》(2004).
[22]上海市电力公司,《上海中低压电网配置原则及典型设计》及其补充规定(2006).
[23]王平洋,胡兆光.模糊数学在电力系统中的应用.北京:中国电力出版社,1999.
[24]倪明,单渊达.证据理论及其应用.南京:电力系统自动化,1996.
[25]张洪明,廖培鸿,仲建中.电网规划的灰色系统方法.北京:电网技术,1995.
[26]张焰,陈章潮,谈伟.不确定性的电网规划方法研究.北京:电网技术,1999.
[27]叶在福,单渊达.基于信度的不确定性推理-证据理论及其在电力系统规划中的应用.天津:电力系统及其自动化学报,2000.
[28] R R Yager, D P Filev. Including Probabilistic Uncertainty in Fuzzy Logic Controller Modeling Using Dempster -Shafer Theory. IEEE Trans on SMC, 1995,25:1221~1230.
[29] B.Borkowska. Probabilistic load flow. IEEE Transaction on Power Apparatus and Systems, 1974,93(1):752~759.
[30] Mo-yuen Chow, Hahn Tram. Application of Fuzzy Logic Technology for Spatial Load Forecasting. IEEE Transaction on Power Systems,1997,12(3):130~1366.
[31]陈章潮,唐得光.城市电网规划及改造.北京:中国电力出版社,1997.
[32]胡淑礼.模糊数学及其应用.成都:四川大学出版社,1994
[33]刘开第,吴和琴等.不确定性信息数学处理及应用.北京:科学出版社,1999
[34]李洪兴,汪群,段钦治等.工程模糊数学方法及其应用.天津:天津科技出版社,1993.
[35]魏权龄.卢刚.DEA方法与模型的应用.系统工程理论与实践.1989.3
[36]范涌.基于TOPSIS的生态建筑综合评价方法研究.硕士学位论文.上海交通大学.2007
[37]朱建军.层次分析法的若干问题研究及应用.博士学位论文.上海交通大学.2007
[38]崔坤台,王成山,谢莹华.考虑负荷转移限制的配电系统区间可靠性评估.电力系统及其自动化学报.2006.18(4):91-96