中国与东盟纺织服装贸易竞争性与互补性研究
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摘要
中国与东盟大多数国家的对外贸易在过去十几年来年高速增长,两个经济体的双边贸易也同时高速发展。纺织服装产业在这两个经济体中都扮演了举足轻重的作用,对促进经济增长和就业发挥着重要作用。但是值得关注的是,中国与东盟十国同为发展中国家,在纺织服装产业当中具有相似优势,而且重要的出口市场也同为欧美日等发达国家,这就导致这两个经济体在纺织品服装的出口贸易上存在着激烈竞争。反观双边贸易的发展,虽然近年来纺织品服装贸易规模不断递增,但是贸易规模始终与两个经济体在此产业的经济地位不符,同时各种贸易摩擦也时有发生,所以双边在纺织服装产业的贸易互补性是否得到充分发掘始终是一个值得思考的问题。本文希望通过理论分析法与实证分析法相结合的手段主要解决对比分析中国与东盟在纺织服装产业出口产品结构以及竞争力；分析中国以及东盟具有互补性的前景和具体产品；根据以上数据分析中国和东盟在纺织服装行业双边贸易合作中存在的问题；针对以上问题,为加强双方产业合作、实施中国东盟自由贸易区提出政策建议。
The foreign trade of China and ASEAN countries in the past ten years grows rapidly, also the development of bilateral trade in both textile and garment industries between these two economies grow fast in the last decade. But the concern also becomes greater and greater in these years. On the one hand, China and ASEAN countries are both developing countries, and they share similar advantages in both textile and garment industries. Moreover, their major export markets of textile product and garment product are both developed countries such as the United States, Europe Union and Japan.As a result, the competition of textile industry and garment industry between these two economies are becoming fiercer and fiercer in recent years. On the other hand, although the development of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN countries in these industries increase a lot in recent years, the scale of it does not match with the economic status of both economies, not to mention the high frequency of trade friction events between China and ASEAN countries.As a result, whether the complementary ability of bilateral trade in textile industry and garment industry is fully explored has always been a question which worth considering. This paper aims to use the combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to work out the comparative competitiveness of textile industry and garment industry between both sides. In addition to this, this paper also needs to analyze the prospect of bilateral trade in these industries, and also we expect that we can work out a list of the specific products which have complementary trend between China and ASEAN countries.
Based on the data analysis of China and ASEAN in textile industry and apparel Industry, we can find some problems still existing in bilateral trade cooperation between China and ASEAN countries. To solve these problems and strengthen bilateral industrial cooperation, the paper needs to give policy recommendations in the end.
The foreign trade of China and ASEAN countries in the past ten years grows rapidly, also the development of bilateral trade in both textile and garment industries between these two economies grow fast in the last decade. But the concern also becomes greater and greater in these years. On the one hand, China and ASEAN countries are both developing countries, and they share similar advantages in both textile and garment industries. Moreover, their major export markets of textile product and garment product are both developed countries such as the United States, Europe Union and Japan.As a result, the competition of textile industry and garment industry between these two economies are becoming fiercer and fiercer in recent years. On the other hand, although the development of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN countries in these industries increase a lot in recent years, the scale of it does not match with the economic status of both economies, not to mention the high frequency of trade friction events between China and ASEAN countries.As a result, whether the complementary ability of bilateral trade in textile industry and garment industry is fully explored has always been a question which worth considering. This paper aims to use the combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to work out the comparative competitiveness of textile industry and garment industry between both sides. In addition to this, this paper also needs to analyze the prospect of bilateral trade in these industries, and also we expect that we can work out a list of the specific products which have complementary trend between China and ASEAN countries.
Based on the data analysis of China and ASEAN in textile industry and apparel Industry, we can find some problems still existing in bilateral trade cooperation between China and ASEAN countries. To solve these problems and strengthen bilateral industrial cooperation, the paper needs to give policy recommendations in the end.
引文
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[17]王娟.《中国-东盟产业内贸易的实证研究》(学位论文),广西大学,2004
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[19]许苹,《中国与东盟出口产品结构比较研究》[D].湖南大学.2003.
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[22]张永法,《中国和纺织服装贸易具有互补发展潜力》,2010.
[23]张景新.《中国与东盟纺织品服装贸易的国际竞争力比较》,2005.
[24]郑昭阳.陈漓高.《东亚国家外贸关系竞争与合作的比较分析》[J].世界经济研究,2003(2).
[25]周茂荣,贺春临.《中国东盟自由贸易区建立的效应和前景分析》[J].湖北经济学院学报,2003(4).
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[31]BARRY DESKER, Asian Developing Countries and the Next Round of WTO Negotiations (2001)
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[33]EVELYN GOH, China In The Mekong River Basin:The Regional Security Implications Of Resource Development On The Lancang Jiang (2004)
[34]Keiko Ito, Kyoji Fukao. Vertical intra-industry trade and the Division of labor in East Asia[R].discussion Paper series A No.444, the Fourteenth annual East Asian Seminar on Economics Inter-national Trade,2003.
[35]Michael G. Plummer. An ASEAN customs union? [J]. Journal of Asian Economics, 2006,17:923-938.
[36]R. Upward & P. Wright. Estimating the Wage Costs of Inter-and Intra-Sectoral Adjustment [R]. Center for Research on Globalization and Labour Markets. School of Economics, University of Nottingham. Research Paper 1999,15
[37]Suthiphand Chirathivat. ASEAN-China Free Trade Area:background, implications and future development [J]. Journal of Asian Economics,2002,13: 671-686.
[38]S.M. Shafaeddin.Is China's accession to WTO threatening exports of developing countries?[J].China Economic Review,2004(15).
[39]UNIDO.The global apparel value chacin:what prospects for Upgrading by Developing Countries[R].Vienna,2003.
[40]Yener, Kandogan,2003, "Intra-Industry Trade of Transition Countries:Trends and Determinants", Emerging Markets Review, Vol.4, PP273-286.
[2]高潮.《“后危机时期”：纺织品服装出口还需多管齐下》[J].中国对外贸易,2010,(02)
[3]顾强.《中国与东盟纺织服装领域的竞争分析与合作》[J].中国纺织,2002(9).
[4]贺圣达.《中国-东盟自由贸易区建设与大西南的参与》[J]贵州财经学院学报,2009,(01).
[5]黄青.《中国纺织品服装出口技术性贸易壁垒探析》[J].衡阳师范学院学报,2010,(01)
[6]姜峰.《中国纺织贸易便利化发展前景分析》[J].贵阳经济学院学报,2009,(01)
[7]蒋旭华.《比较优势理论与中国—东盟贸易关系研究》[D].武汉大学,2005.
[8]吉红云.《中国与东盟国家的贸易互补性研究》,2009
[9]黎振强.《产业内贸易及其对我国经济发展的效应分析》(学位论文),湖南大学,2005
[10]刘红晓.《中国—东盟自由贸易区建成对广西纺织服装产业带来的机遇与挑战》[J]广西轻工业,2010,(12).
[11]刘红.《后危机时代江苏纺织服装业的发展困境与突围路径》[J]经济研究导刊,2010,(28).
[12]宋将.《中国与东盟在贸易上的竞争性与互补性研究》[J].内蒙古财经学院学报,2005(3)
[13]史智宇.《中国东盟自由贸易区贸易效应的实证研究》[D].复旦大学,2004.
[14]孙林,宋海英,赵慧娥.《中国与东盟纺织品和服装贸易研究及对策研究》[J].国际经贸探索,2003
[15]陶岸君,孙威.《中国—东盟自由贸易区的建立对我国区域发展格局的影响与对策》[J]经济地理,2010,(05).
[16]王磊.《中国-东盟自由贸易区贸易效应分析》[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2004(4).
[17]王娟.《中国-东盟产业内贸易的实证研究》(学位论文),广西大学,2004
[18]肖晨明.《中国与东盟主要国家贸易竞争性和互补性比较研究：一个对合成谬误论的检验》[D].浙江大学,2004.
[19]许苹,《中国与东盟出口产品结构比较研究》[D].湖南大学.2003.
[20]杨小川,李春梅.《中国与东盟纺织品服装贸易发展前景及对策分析》[J].贵阳学院学报(社会科学版),2006(2).
[21]于津平.《中国与东亚主要国家和地区间的比较优势与贸易互补性》[J].世界经济,2003(5).
[22]张永法,《中国和纺织服装贸易具有互补发展潜力》,2010.
[23]张景新.《中国与东盟纺织品服装贸易的国际竞争力比较》,2005.
[24]郑昭阳.陈漓高.《东亚国家外贸关系竞争与合作的比较分析》[J].世界经济研究,2003(2).
[25]周茂荣,贺春临.《中国东盟自由贸易区建立的效应和前景分析》[J].湖北经济学院学报,2003(4).
[26]AMITAV ACHARYA, Seeking Security in The Dragon's Shadow:China and Southeast Asia In The Emerging Asian Order (2003)
[27]ANDREAS HEINIMANN, Research and Development, Vol.27, No.3 (Aug., 2007), pp.232-241
[28]ASEAN Secretariat. ASEAN Statistical Yearbook[M].2008
[29]ASEAN Secretariat. ASEAN Statistical Yearbook[M].2007
[30]BalassaB. The determinants of intra-industry specialization in United States trade [M].Oxford Economic papers,1986,38(2):220-233
[31]BARRY DESKER, Asian Developing Countries and the Next Round of WTO Negotiations (2001)
[32]Chia Siow Yue."ASEAN-China Economic Competition and Free Trade Area"[J], Asian Economic Papers, Vol.4,2005
[33]EVELYN GOH, China In The Mekong River Basin:The Regional Security Implications Of Resource Development On The Lancang Jiang (2004)
[34]Keiko Ito, Kyoji Fukao. Vertical intra-industry trade and the Division of labor in East Asia[R].discussion Paper series A No.444, the Fourteenth annual East Asian Seminar on Economics Inter-national Trade,2003.
[35]Michael G. Plummer. An ASEAN customs union? [J]. Journal of Asian Economics, 2006,17:923-938.
[36]R. Upward & P. Wright. Estimating the Wage Costs of Inter-and Intra-Sectoral Adjustment [R]. Center for Research on Globalization and Labour Markets. School of Economics, University of Nottingham. Research Paper 1999,15
[37]Suthiphand Chirathivat. ASEAN-China Free Trade Area:background, implications and future development [J]. Journal of Asian Economics,2002,13: 671-686.
[38]S.M. Shafaeddin.Is China's accession to WTO threatening exports of developing countries?[J].China Economic Review,2004(15).
[39]UNIDO.The global apparel value chacin:what prospects for Upgrading by Developing Countries[R].Vienna,2003.
[40]Yener, Kandogan,2003, "Intra-Industry Trade of Transition Countries:Trends and Determinants", Emerging Markets Review, Vol.4, PP273-286.