消费者对3G业务使用意愿影响因素的实证研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
第三代移动通信系统(3G)由于能够提供比2G更好的通信质量、更高的传输速率,更为丰富多彩的移动业务,其发展非常迅速。但是世界大多数3G运营商亏损严重,3G业务市场需求不足。在国内,尽管3G业务的发展序幕刚刚拉开,竞争却异常激烈。因此,如何甄别影响消费者接受3G业务的关键因素,尽快大规模启动客户需求就成为一个极富现实意义的研究课题。
     本研究基于用户的角度,主要探讨了用户对于3G业务的使用意愿及其影响因素。本文以技术接受模型理论(TAM)为基础,选取网络效应、感知娱乐性、主观规范、个人创新性和感知成本变量构建3G业务用户使用意愿的影响因素研究模型,并进一步将网络效应分为用户基础和互补产品,具体研究直接和间接网络效应对消费者使用意愿的影响。利用SPSS13.0对样本进行描述性统计分析、Cronbach’sα信度分析、效度分析和方差分析;运用LISREL8.70来进行验证性因子分析和路径分析,并依据分析结果来验证研究假设。
     实证研究发现:直接影响消费者使用3G业务意愿的因素有感知有用性、感知易用性、感知成本、主观规范、个人创新性和感知娱乐性,用户基础和互补产品对使用意愿的直接影响没有通过检验;感知易用性、主观规范、用户基础、互补产品和个人创新性直接影响消费者对3G业务感知有用性;用户基础、互补产品和个人创新性直接影响消费者对3G业务感知易用性;感知易用性正向影响感知娱乐性;感知有用性、感知易用性和感知娱乐性具有中介作用;不同的人口统计变量在影响3G业务使用意愿各个因素的构面上有显著差异。
     最后,本文在实证研究的基础上,对如何更好开展3G业务,拓宽移动市场提出若干建议和对策。
Because Third-generation mobile communication system (3G)can provide a better communication quality, higher transmission rates,a wider variety of mobile services than 2G, its development is very rapid. However, most of the world 3G operators are suffering heavy losses,3G service market demand is insufficient.In China, despite the prelude to the development of 3G services has just opened, competition is fierce. Therefore, how to identify the key factors affect customers' acceptance of 3G services, and as quickly as possible to start a large scale customers' requirement has become a very realistic study.
     This research based on user's view to probe into users'adoption intentions of 3G services and the factors which influence consumers' intentions.In this paper, based on the theory of technology acceptance model (TAM),the author selected network effects,perceived enjoyment, subjective norms, personal innovativeness and perceived costs to construct behavioral intention research model.And further divided network effects into installed base and complementary products, specifically studied the direct and indirect network effects on consumer intentions.This research used SPSS 13.0 for descriptive statistical analysis, Cronbach's a reliability analysis, validity analysis and variance analysis, used LISREL8.70 for confirmatory factor analysis and path analysis, and based on results of the analysis to verify the hypothesis.
     The thesis came up with these main conclusions as follows: perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, perceived cost, subjective norms, personal innovativeness and perceived enjoyment directly affect the behavioral intention of 3G services,installed base and complementary products have no direct effect on behavioral intention;perceived ease of use, subjective norms, installed base, complementary products and personal innovativeness directly affect perceived usefulness;installed base, complementary products and personal innovativeness directly affect perceived ease of use; perceived ease of use has positive influence on perceived enjoyment; perceived usefulness,perceived ease of use and perceived entertainment have a moderating effect; the different demographic variables function differently in the dimension of factors that affect consumers'adoption intention of 3G services.
     Finally, based on the empirical analysis, we put forward some proposals and suggestions for how to improve the 3G services and to expand the market of mobile market.
引文
[1]Naresh Kumar Agarwal, Zhen Wang, Yunjie Xu, Factors Affecting 3G Adoption:An Empirical Study,11th Pacific-Asia Conference on Information Systems, p256-270
    [2]Christer Carlssonl,Kaarina Hyvonen, Petteri Repo and Pirkko Walden, Adoption of Mobile Services across Different Technologies,18th Bled eConference eIntegration in Action,Bled, Slovenia, June 6-8,2005
    [3]Pagani, M.,(2004):Determinants of Adoption of Third Generation Mobile Multimedia Services, Journal of Interactive Marketing, Vol.18, No.3, pp.46-59.
    [4]郭葆明,国外3G业务发展对中国3G建设的借鉴研究,现代电信科技,2007年2月第2期,p17-23
    [5]陈雁叶凌伟,3G业务价值链分析,中国数据通信,2003年5月,p106-108
    [6]Kenneth C.C.Yang,Exploring factors affecting the adoption of mobile commerce in Singapore, Telematics and Informatics 22 (2005) 257-277
    [7]Saravanan Muthaiyah,Key Success Factors of 3rd Generation Mobile Network Services for M-Commerce in Malaysia,American Journal of Applied Sciences 1(4):261-265,2004
    [8]Dulyalak Phuangthong and Settapong Malisawan, Ph.D,A Study of Behavioral Intention for 3G Mobile Internet Technology:Preliminary Research on Mobile Learning,Proceedings of the Second International Conference on eLearning for Knowledge-Based Society, August 4-7,2005,Bangkok, Thailand
    [9]Chun-Hsiung Liao,Chun-Wang Tsou,Ming-Feng Huang,Factors influencing the usage of 3G mobile services in Taiwan,Online Information Review, Vol.31 No.6,2007, pp.759-774
    [10]Ying-Feng Kuo, Shieh-Neng Yen, Towards an understanding of the behavioral intention to use 3G mobile value-added services,Computers in Human Behavior 25(2009) 103-110
    [11]Yu-LungWu,Yu-HuiTao,Pei-ChiYang,The use of unified theory of acceptance and use of technology to confer the behavioral model of 3G mobile telecommunication users,Journal of Statistics & Management Systems Vol.11(2008), No.5,pp.919-949
    [12]Shin-Yuan Hung, Chia-Ming Chang,User acceptance of WAP services:test of competing theories,Computer Standards & Interfaces 27 (2005) 359-370
    [13]Carolina Lo'pez-Nicola's,Francisco J.Molina-Castillo, Harry Bouwman, An assessment of advanced mobile services acceptance:Contributions from TAM and diffusion theory models,Information& Management,2008,359-364
    [14]Margherita Pagani,Determinants of adoption of High Speed Data Services in the business market:Evidence for a combined technology acceptance model with task technology fit model,Information & Management 43 (2006) 847-860
    [15]Per E.Pedersen and Rich Ling,Agder University College* Telenor R&D, Mobile end-user service adoption studies:A selective review,Positioned for Scandinavian Journal of Information Systems, April,2002
    [16]俞科,彭久生,3G数据业务发展的策略建议——基于技术接受模型的分析,西安电子科技大学学报(社会科学版),2007.9,P39-44
    [17]邓朝华,鲁耀斌,张金隆,基于TAM和网络外部性的移动服务使用行为研究,管理学报,2007年3月,P216-221
    [18]鲁耀斌,徐红梅,技术接受模型的实证研究分析[J],研究与发展管理,2006(3):23-27
    [19]凌鸿,夏力,曾凤焕,内容传递类移动商务的用户接受模型研究,上海管理科学,2008年1月,p31-35
    [20]李文,刘咏梅,移动电子商务采纳行为研究,企业技术开发,2008.12
    [21]Fishbein M, Ajzen I. Belief, attitude, intention and behavior:an introduction to theory and research. Reading, MA:Addison-Wesley; 1975.
    [22]Taylor S,Todd PA. Understanding information technology usage:a test of competing models. Information System Research 1995a;6(2):144-76.
    [23]Dillon A, Morris M. User acceptance of information technology:theories and models. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 1996;31:3-32.
    [24]Sheppard, B.H.,Hartwick, J.,& Warshaw, P.R(1988). The theory of reasoned action:A meta-analysis of past research with recommendations for modifications and future research. Journal of Consumer Research,15,325-343.
    [25]Davis, F. D.,Bagozzi, R. P.,&Warshaw, P. R.(1989):User acceptance of computer technology:a comparison of two theoretical models.
    [26]Ajzen, I. Attitudes.Personality, and Behaviour. Milton Keynes, England: Open University Press.1989.
    [27]Ajzen, I.(1991).The theory of planned behavior. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,50,179-211
    [28]Mathieson, K.(1991),Predicting user intentions:comparing the technology acceptance model with the theory of planned behavior, Information Systems Research, Vol.2 No.3, pp.173-91.
    [29]Ajzen, I(1985), From intentions to actions:a theory of planned behavior, in Jkhul, J.B.(Ed.), Action Control:From Cognition to Behavior, SpringerVerlag, New York, NY, pp.11-39.
    [30]Davis,F.D.Perceived usefulness,pereeived ease of use,and user acceptance of information technology[J] MIS Quarterly.1989.13(3):PP319-339
    [31]彭建平,徐远彬,消费者使用彩铃服务影响因素实证研究,科学决策2009年第4期,22-28
    [32]Gefen,D.,Karhanna,et al.Inexperience and experience with online stores: the importance of TAM and trust [J].IEEE transaction on Engineering management, 2003.50(3):307-321
    [33]Venkatesh.V. Morris.M.G. Davis.GB.Davis.F.D.2003.User acceptance of information technology toward a unified view.MIS Quarterly27(3).425-78.
    [34]Davis,F.D.,Bagozzi,R.p.,and Warshaw,p.R."Extrinsic and Intrinsic Motivation to Use Computers in the WorkPlace,"Journal of APPlied Social Psychology(22:14),1992, PP.1111-1132.
    [35]Venkatesh V.,Determinants of perceived ease of use:integrating control, intrinsic motivation, and emotion into the technology acceptance model, Information Systems Research 11 (4),2000, pp.342-365
    [36]Venkatesh,V,and Davis, ED.A theoretical Extension of Technology Acceptance Model:Four Longitudinal Field Studies[J].Management Seienee,2000, 46(2):186-204
    [37]Venkatesh.V. Morris.M.G Davis.GB. User acceptance of information technology toward a unified view.MIS Quarterly,2003,27(3).425-78.
    [38]Rogers, E.M.Diffusion of innovations [M].New York, Free Press,1983
    [39]Agarwal,R.&Prasad J.Are individual differences germane to the acceptance of new information technologies? [J].Deeision Sciences,1999,30(2):361-391
    [40]Webster, J.,Martochhio J.,1992.Microcomputer playfulness:development of a measure with workplace implications. MIS Quarterly 16 (2),201-226.
    [41]Rogers, Everett M & Shoemaker, Floyd F(1971).Communication of Innovations:A Cross-Cultural Approach (2nd ed.).New York:The Free Press.
    [42]Hirschman, E. C.,1980.Innovativeness, novelty seeking and consumer creativity. Journal of Consumer Research 7, pp.283-295
    [43]Midgley, D.F.(1977) Innovation and new Product Marketing. Routledge, London
    [44]Agarwal, R.,& Prasad, J.(1998).A conceptual and operational definition of personal innovativeness in the domain of information technology. Information Systems Research,9(2),204-215.
    [45]Agarwal & J.Prasad(1999),Are Individual Differences Germane to the Acceptance of New Information Technolgies?,Decision Sciences,30(2), pp.361-391.
    [46]Jiaming Fang, Peiji Shao, George Lan, Effects of innovativeness and trust on web survey participation, Computers in Human Behavior 25 (2009) 144-152
    [47]Lu, J.,Yu, C.S.,Liu, C., Yao, J.,2003b.Technology acceptance model for wireless Internet. Journal of Internet Research 13 (2),206-222.
    [48]June Lu, James E. Yao, Chun-Sheng Yu,Personal innovativeness, social influences and adoption of wireless Internet services via mobile technology,Journal of Strategic Information Systems 14 (2005) 245-268
    [49]Ron Chuen Yeh,Shang-Yu Liu, Chueh-Fay Tseng et al.Examining factors influencing users adoption of internet communication freeware-an empirical study, Graduate Institute of Business & Management, Meiho Institute of Technology,23 Ping Kuang Rd.,Neipu,912 PingTung, Taiwan ROC
    [50]J. Rohlfs(1974), A Theory of Interdependent Demand for a Communications Service, Bell Journal of Economics, Vol.5 pp.16-37.
    [51]Katz, Michael L. and Shapiro, Carl, Network Externalities, Competition, and Compatibility, American Economic Review, June 1985,75,424-40.
    [52]Leibowitz, S.,Margolis, S.The Fable of the Keys [J].Journal of Law & Economics,1990,22:1-26.
    [53]Economides, Nicholas, "The Economics of Network s,"International Journal of Industrial Organization, October 1996,14,669-71.
    [54]Shapiro, C,.and H.Varian.1999.Information Rules:A Strategic Guide to the Network Economy. Boston:Harvard Business School Press.
    [55]Joseph Farrell & Garth Saloner,1985."Standardization, Compatibility, and Innovation,"RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol.16(1), pages 70-83, Spring.
    [56]Liebowitz S.J.and Margolis,S.E. Network Externality:AnUncommon Tragedy [J].Economic Perspectives,1994,8(2):133-150
    [57]Liebowitz S.J. and Margolis,S.E. Are Network Externalities a New Source of Market Failure[J].Research in Law and Economies,1995,17:1-22
    [58]朱彤,网络效应经济理论:文献回顾与评论,教学与研究,2003年第12期,p66-70
    [59]Detlef Schoder,Forecasting the success of telecommunication services in the presence of network effects,Information Economics and Policy 12 (2000) 181-200
    [60]Chian-Son Yu,Yu-Hui Tao,Enterprise e-marketplace adoption:from the perspectives of technology acceptance model, network externalities, and transition costs,2007
    [61]Troy J.Strader,Sridhar N. Ramaswami and Philip A. Houle,Perceived network externalities and communication technology acceptance,European Journal of Information Systems (2007) 16,54-65
    [62]Toker Doganoglu, Lukasz Grzybowski,Estimating network effects in mobile telephony in Germany,Information Economics and Policy xxx (2006)
    [63]Niina Mallat, Exploring consumer adoption of mobile payments-A qualitative study,Journal of Strategic Information Systems 16,2007,413-432
    [64]Per E.Pedersen,Leif B.Methlie,Exploring the relationship between mobile data services business models and end-user adoption,Agder University College, Grooseveien 36,4876 Grimstad, Norway
    [65]Gary Madden, Grant Coble-Neal, Brian Dalzell,A dynamic model of mobile telephony subscription incorporating a network effect,Telecommunications Policy 28 (2004) 133-144
    [66]Lee, Y. and O'Connor, G.C.(2003).New Product Launch Strategy for Network Effects Products.Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science,31: 241-255.
    [67]Gallaugher, J.M. and Wang. Y.M. (2002).Understanding Network Effects in Software Markets:Evidence from Web Server Pricing. MIS Quarterly,26: 303-327.
    [68]Frels, J.K.,Shervani, T. and Srivastave, R.K. (2003).The Integrated Networks Model:Explaining Resource Allocations in Network Markets.Journal of Marketing,67:29-45.
    [69]Dong-Hee Shin,User acceptance of mobile Internet:Implication for convergence technologies,Interacting with Computers 19 (2007) 472-483
    [70]Lieberman,J.N. Playfulness:Its relationship to Imagination and Creativity [M],Academic Press,1977
    [71]Barnett, L.A.,The Playful child:measurement of a disposition to Play, Play and Culture 4(1),1991, PP51-74.
    [72]Csikszentmihalyi,M. Literacy and Intrinsic Motivation[J].Academic Research Library,1990,119(2):115—140
    [73]J.Webster, J.J.Martoechio,Microcomputer Playfulness:development of a measure with workplace implications,MIS Ouarterly 16(2),1992, PP.201-226
    [74]M.Aikinson C.Kydd(1997),Individual characteristics associated with World-Wide-Web use:an empirical studey of Playfulness and motivation,The DATA BASE for Advances inInformation Systems,28(2)
    [75]Moon J,Kim Y.Extending the TAM for a Worldwide-web Context [J]. Information and Management,2001,38(4):217-230.
    [76]T.Teo,V.Lim,R.Lai,Intrinsic and extrinsce motivation in Internet usage, omega 27,1999, PP.25-37.
    [77]鲁耀斌,徐红梅,技术接受模型及其相关理论的比较研究,科技进步与对策,2005年第22卷第10期
    [78]Taylor,S.and Todd, P.A.,Assessing IT Usage:the role of prior Experience, MIS Quarterly,Vol.19.No4,1995c, pp.561-570
    [79]K. Mathieson and W.W Chin, Extending the technology acceptance model: The influence of perceived user resources, Database for Advances in Information Systems 32(3) (2001), pp.86-112
    [80]Goldsmith, R. E. (2000), How innovativeness differentiates online buyers, Quarterly Journal of Electronic Commerce, Vol.1 No.4, pp.323-33.
    [81]Luo, W. and Strong, D.(2003),"Perceived critical mass effect on groupware acceptance", European Journal of Information System, Vol.9 No.2, pp. 91-103.
    [82]WANG C C,HSU Y,FANG W.Acceptance of Technology with Network Externalities:An Empirical Study of Internet Instant Messaging Services[J].Journal of Information Technology Theory and Application,2004,6(4):15—728.
    [83]J.Wu, S.Wang, What drives mobile commerce? An empirical evaluation of the revised technology acceptance model Information and Management 42 (5),2005, pp.719-729.。
    [84]Fishbein, M.and M. J. Manfredo.1992.A theory of behavior change. Pages. 50-50.in M. J.Manfredo, editor. Influencing human behavior:theory and applications in recreation, tourism, and natural resources management. Sagamore Publishing, Champaign, Illinois, USA.
    [85]Per Andersson,Kristina Heinonen,ACCEPTANCE OF MOBILE SERVICES Insights from the Swedish market for mobile telephony,SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration No 2002:16 October 2002
    [86]T.S.H.Teo, Siau Heong Pok,Adoption of WAP-enabled mobile phones among Internet users,the international journal of management science, Omega 31 (2003) 483-498
    [87]Mohamed Khalifa and Kathy Ning Shen,Explaining the adoption of transactional B2C mobile commerce,Journal of Enterprise Information Management Vol.21 No.2,2008 pp.110-124
    [88]J.E. Yu, I.S.Ha, M.K. Choi, J.J. Rho, Extending the TAM for tcommerce,Information & Management 42 (7),2005, pp.965-977.
    [89]Dong Hee Shin,Determinants of customer acceptance of multi-service network:An implication for IP-based technologies,Information & Management 46 (2009)16-22
    [90]Margherita Pagani,Determinants of adoption of third generation mobile multimedia services,Journal of Interactive Marketing; Summer 2004; 18,3; ABI/INFORM Global, pg.46
    [91]Nault,B.&Dexter A.,Adoption, transfers, and incentives in a franchise network with positive externalities, Marketing Science,1994,Vol.13 No.4,412-23.
    [92]Gupta, S.,Jain, D.C.,Sawhney, M.B.(1999).Modeling the Evolution of Markets with Indirect Network Externalities:An Application to Digital Television. Marketing Science,18:396-416.
    [93]Basu, A.,Mazumdar, T. and Raj,S.P. (2003).Indirect Network Effects on Product Attributes. Marketing Science,22:209-221.
    [94]Brynjolfsson, E. and Kemerer, C.F.(1996).Network Externalities in Microcomputer Software An Econometric Analysis of the Spreadsheet Market. Management Science,42:1627-1647.
    [95]A. P.Massey, V. Khatri, and V. Ramesh, From the web to the wireless web: technology readiness and usability, in Proceedings.38th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, Hawaii,2005.
    [96]Farzana Parveen and Ainin Sulaiman, Technology Complexity, Personal Innovativeness And Intention To Use Wireless Internet Using Mobile Devices In Malaysia, International Review of Business Research Papers Vol.4 No.5. October-November 2008. PP.1-10
    [97]Lewis, W.,Agarwal, R.,Sambamurthy, V.,Sources of influence on beliefs about information technology use:an empirical study of knowledge workers.MIS Quarterly 27 (4),2003.657-679.
    [98]黄浩,刘鲁,王建军,基于TAM的移动内容服务采纳分析,南开管理评论,2008年,P42-47
    [99]Imsook Ha, Youngseog Yoon, Munkee Choi,Determinants of adoption of mobile games under mobile broadband wireless access environment,Information & Management 44 (2007) 276-286
    [100]Wan-I Lee, HuiHan Wei, HanChe Wu, LianHua Chen and WanYu Chang, The Exploration of Acceptance and Attitude of Mobile Products and Services, Department of Marketing and Distribution Management, National Kaohsiung First University of Science and Technology
    [101]侯杰泰,温忠麟,成子娟,结构方程模型及其应用,教育科学出版社,2002版
    [102]吴明隆,SPSS统计应用实务,中国铁道出版社,2000年9月第1版
    [103]韩小芸,汪纯孝,服务性企业顾客满意感与忠诚感关系,清华大学出版社,2003

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700