我国生产者服务贸易发展及其自由化的经济增长效应研究
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摘要
随着生产者服务贸易迅速发展,生产者服务贸易自由化趋势不可逆转。面临这种国际形势,我国生产者服务业逐步对外开放。生产者服务业的开放势必对我国经济增长产生重要影响。目前,中国是世界第二大制造国,在相当一段时间内制造业依然是中国经济增长的主要动力。但是中国的制造业一直是以资源能源和廉价劳动力为代价的粗放型发展模式,在全球制造业产业链中处于低附加值产业链下游地位,中国的制造业需要具有知识性与创新性特点的生产者服务业来实现产业升级,而中国的生产者服务业发展又相当滞后,在这种情况下,研究生产者服务贸易自由化对我国经济增长的影响,对于转变我国经济增长方式从而实现经济可持续发展具有重要理论与现实意义。
本文以生产者服务业理论、国际贸易理论与新增长理论为理论基础,在分析我国生产者服务贸易自由化路径的基础上,从理论与实证两方面上论证了生产者服务贸易自由化对我国经济增长的影响。本文首先阐明生产者服务贸易自由化促进我国经济增长的机制并用理论模型加以论证。这些机制主要有：物质资本的积累效应、就业增加效应、生产率提高效应以及促进商品出口效应等四个方面。接着分别从这四个方面实证检验了生产者服务贸易自由化对我国经济增长的影响,并通过实证检验发现我国生产者服务进口与我国经济增长正相关。基于以上分析,并根据我国在生产者服务贸易自由化中存在的主要问题,本文最后从进一步扩大生产者服务贸易开放、健全服务贸易及相关法律法规、提高人力资本质量与大力发展在岸外包、提高生产者服务业与制造业之间产业关联度等方面提出相应政策建议。
With the rapid development of trade in producer services, trade liberalization in producer services has become irreversible. Under this circumstance, China's producer services industry has progressively opened to the outside world. And the opening of the industry will have an important effect on China's economic growth. China, at present the2nd top manufacturing country in the world, will have manufacturing industry as the main impetus of its economic growth for a considerably long period of time. But the extensive development mode of China's manufacturing industry with the over-exploitation of natural resources and cheap labor resources, has kept China in the downstream of the world manufacturing industry chain. Producer services industry, which is crucial for the upgrade of China's manufacturing industry, has experienced slow development in China. Under this circumstance, the study of the impact of trade liberalization in producer services on China's economic growth has an important theoretical and realistic meaning to change the China's economic growth mode and realize the Sustainable development of economy.
On the analysis of the path of China's producer services liberalization, using the theory of producer services and theories of international trade and new growth as its theoretical basis, this paper illustrate the impact of producer services trade liberalization on China's economic growth from the theoretical and empirical aspect.This paper first illustrate mechanism of the promotion of producer services trade to economic growth,then construct a model to explain each mechanism.These mechanism include four aspect:capital accumulation effect、employmen promoting effect、total facter productivity enhancement effect、merchadise export expanding effect.Then we make an empirical study on the impact of producer services trade liberalization on China's economic growth from these four aspect.And we found the relationship between producer services import and China's economic growth.On the bases of the above analysis and in the light of the problem in the China's producer services liberalization,we put forward to some policy advice about the sustaining and heathy development of Chinese economic growth.It mainly includes:steeply opening producer services trade;establishing better law and regulation about producer services;enhance human capital; fully developing on-shore outsourcing; promoting the relevancy of producer services and manufacturing.
本文以生产者服务业理论、国际贸易理论与新增长理论为理论基础,在分析我国生产者服务贸易自由化路径的基础上,从理论与实证两方面上论证了生产者服务贸易自由化对我国经济增长的影响。本文首先阐明生产者服务贸易自由化促进我国经济增长的机制并用理论模型加以论证。这些机制主要有：物质资本的积累效应、就业增加效应、生产率提高效应以及促进商品出口效应等四个方面。接着分别从这四个方面实证检验了生产者服务贸易自由化对我国经济增长的影响,并通过实证检验发现我国生产者服务进口与我国经济增长正相关。基于以上分析,并根据我国在生产者服务贸易自由化中存在的主要问题,本文最后从进一步扩大生产者服务贸易开放、健全服务贸易及相关法律法规、提高人力资本质量与大力发展在岸外包、提高生产者服务业与制造业之间产业关联度等方面提出相应政策建议。
With the rapid development of trade in producer services, trade liberalization in producer services has become irreversible. Under this circumstance, China's producer services industry has progressively opened to the outside world. And the opening of the industry will have an important effect on China's economic growth. China, at present the2nd top manufacturing country in the world, will have manufacturing industry as the main impetus of its economic growth for a considerably long period of time. But the extensive development mode of China's manufacturing industry with the over-exploitation of natural resources and cheap labor resources, has kept China in the downstream of the world manufacturing industry chain. Producer services industry, which is crucial for the upgrade of China's manufacturing industry, has experienced slow development in China. Under this circumstance, the study of the impact of trade liberalization in producer services on China's economic growth has an important theoretical and realistic meaning to change the China's economic growth mode and realize the Sustainable development of economy.
On the analysis of the path of China's producer services liberalization, using the theory of producer services and theories of international trade and new growth as its theoretical basis, this paper illustrate the impact of producer services trade liberalization on China's economic growth from the theoretical and empirical aspect.This paper first illustrate mechanism of the promotion of producer services trade to economic growth,then construct a model to explain each mechanism.These mechanism include four aspect:capital accumulation effect、employmen promoting effect、total facter productivity enhancement effect、merchadise export expanding effect.Then we make an empirical study on the impact of producer services trade liberalization on China's economic growth from these four aspect.And we found the relationship between producer services import and China's economic growth.On the bases of the above analysis and in the light of the problem in the China's producer services liberalization,we put forward to some policy advice about the sustaining and heathy development of Chinese economic growth.It mainly includes:steeply opening producer services trade;establishing better law and regulation about producer services;enhance human capital; fully developing on-shore outsourcing; promoting the relevancy of producer services and manufacturing.
引文
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