国有上市公司经营者行为与资本结构
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摘要
随着国家市场化经济转轨进程的持续推进,体制外经济的发展取得了举世瞩目的成就。与之相比,体制内经济的发展则是稍逊一筹。如何搞活国有经济,使经济主体具备竞争优势、有效发展,是摆在政府、企业界及诸多专家学者面前的一项紧迫任务。鉴于资本结构对于企业价值的重要意义,这个问题的解决是搞活企业,提升企业业绩的关键所在。
     西方资本结构理论以传统资本结构理论为起点,始于20世纪50年代,主要经历了传统资本结构理论、现代资本结构理论、新资本结构理论三个阶段。但我国始于20世纪90年代的资本结构理论及实证研究却表明,国外这些先进的资本结构理论并不能对我国国有企业的融资实践作出很好的解释,很多在西方发达国家已经得到验证的理论在现阶段的中国并不适用。
     前景理论是行为经济学中目前较为成熟的理论之一。它的研究是从现实经济活动出发,考虑人的行为心理特征,它研究“实际发生了什么”,分析在不确定条件下人们决策过程中非理性的本质原因。因此,前景理论更真实地描述和解释了人在面对风险时的行为,这是理性决策研究者没有意识到的行为模式。前景理论认为人们更加看重的是财富的变化量而不是最终量;人们面临条件相当的损失时是风险偏好的;面临条件相当的收益时倾向于规避风险,获取固定收益;盈利带来的快乐与相等量的损失带来的痛苦是不相等,后者大于前者。
     本文以我国转轨经济的特殊制度背景为基点,通过对影响我国国有上市公司经营者行为的效用进行分析,引入前景理论,建立经营者价值模型,并且通过实证证明,经营者价值与资本结构有显著的相关性。当企业业绩激励机制缺乏,内外部控制机制不完善的情况下,经营者在追求自身价值最大化的过程中,会导致其产生股权融资偏好。针对这种由经营者行为所导致的股权融资偏好,本文还提出了相应的建议,以供参考。
With the sustained upgrading of our country's marketed-oriented economic transfer, the non-system economy made great progress, but the economic within the system did not. How to vitalize the national economy by reforming the state owned enterprises and make them become efficiency and own competitive edge is a urgent problem of the government、enterprises and scholars. Owing to the great influence imposed on the market value by the capital structure of the enterprises, the problem is solved good or not is key thing to vitalize the national economy and improve the enterprises' performance.
     With the traditional capital structure being the initial stage, the western capital structure theory started in 1950s and it experienced three stages of traditional capital structure、modern capital structure、new capital structure. But the domestic correlative Theoretical and Empirical Studies which started at 1990s show that these foreign advanced theories about capital structure did not give satisfied expression to the financing actions of the state-owned enterprises of our country. Lots of capital structure theory which have been proved does not fit our country in the current time.
     Prospect theory is one of the most important theories in behavioral economics. Its study focus on the real economy activities and consider the behavioral and psychology characters of people. It studies what happens in real life and analyzed the irrational essential reasons of people' s decision progress under the uncertain condition. So Prospect theory truly describes and explains the action when people face risk, and this the action model that logical decision researcher have realized. Prospect theory says that people pay more attention to the variable quantity of wealth than the quantity of wealth itself; when people face the same loss, they are risk preference; when people face the same profits they always want to get the fixed income and avoid risks; the happiness that comes from profits is not equal to the hurt that comes from loss, and the last one is bigger than the first one.
     Based on the special institutional background of transition economy and analyze the utility which influence the behavior of the state-owned list companies' operators, this article introduces prospect theory into utility function, and makes a new value model of operators. And then it used an empirical proof prove that the value of operators have a remarkable relationship with the capital structure. When When the Performance incentive mechanism doesn' t work and the control mechanism inside and outside the company is not perfect, operators are always equity finance preference to maximize their own value. In the end, the article provides some advice to deal with this equity finance preference.
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