中国转型期制度变迁与经济增长
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摘要
本文研究中国转型期制度变迁中的经济增长,目的是检验制度变迁对经济增长的影响效应。以实证与规范相结合的方法,研究了制度变迁对经济效率的影响,检验了分权财政体制下的地方政府行为与经济增长的关系,并对开放政策作了规范的实证研究。论文的具体内容如下:
第1章阐述本论文的研究背景与研究意义、论文结构与研究方法,并对一些关键概念进行界定,提出本论文的结构与研究方法,并指出主要创新点与不足之处。
第2章回顾了西方经济增长理论的发展历程及各阶段经济增长理论的主要思想及贡献,对中国经济转型的国内外相关研究文献及制度转型中的一些专题研究文献做了简要综述。
第3章界定了制度的定义与内涵,并探讨了作为分析前提的制度变迁的一般理论。在此基础上,分析作为制度变迁的中国市场化改革的构成要素和转型实践,并引出本文的研究主题:制度变迁与经济增长,从制度经济学视角对两者的内在作用机制进行一般阐述。
第4章根据转型期经济增长的制度背景,利用随机前沿函数研究经济增长过程中的效率改进、技术进步与全要素生产率的变化,研究结果表明制度变量是影响效率的重要因素。同时本文从制度变迁的角度解释了效率水平、技术进步所体现出的地域特征及时间特征;并对随机前沿函数下的TFP增长率与传统核算方法下的TFP增长率进行对比分析。在此基础上,本文进一步从效率改进的角度研究了地区经济收敛性,计量检验表明效率改进与资本积累一样,都是地区经济收敛的重要机制。
第5章从Barro模型出发,在财政收支平衡的前提条件下,分析了公共支出与经济增长的Laffer曲线关系,并在此基础上,通过增加模型中公共品的种类,对Barro模型进行了扩展,分析了公共支出结构的调整与经济增长的关系。本章的实证研究部分,运用分省宏观经济数据,在政府收支不平衡、空间上的地区经济差异及制度供给在时间上的不均衡等现实条件下,对Laffer曲线作了全面的实证检验,得出了政府支出过度、宏观税负过高的结论。从支出的角度进一步研究了固定资产投资中政府预算内投资与非预算投资对经济增长的影响,检验结果表明政府预算投资在边际上不利于经济增长,包括外资和民间资本的非预算投资承担起了推动地方经济增长的任务。本章同时对以政府消费占GDP比重为衡量指标的政府最优规模进行了估计,结果表明地方政府规模普遍偏高,因此,降低政府规模有利于经济增长。
The economic growth in the transitional period of China is studied in this thesis , and the purpose is to examine the effect of institutional changes on economic growth. The subjects such as the impact of institutional changes on economic efficiency, the relation of local government's behavior and economic growth under the decentralized fiscal system, and the open policy have been studied with positive and normal methods.The concrete content of the thesis is as follows:Chapter 1 explains the background and significance of this study.Also, some key concepts have been defined and some innovations 'weak points have been put forward in this chapter.Chapter 2 reviews the development, main thought and contribution of the western economic growth theory at every stage.Besides, a brief survey has been made about the domestic and international relevant research documents.The definition of the institution has been defined in chapter 3, in which the general theory of institution has been probed into. On this basis, We draw the theme of this study: Institution changes and economic growth, by analyzing the key elements of the market-oriented reforms of China.The random frontier function is utilized in chapter 4 to study efficiency improvement, technological progress and the total factor productivity in the economic growth. The result indicates that the institutional variable is the important factor to explain the efficiency improvement. Also, the characteristics of efficiency level and technological progress have been explained in terms of institutional changes, and the growth rate of TFP calculated under different methods have been compared .On this basis, this chapter has further studied the convergence of regional economy from efficiency, the results indicate that it is an important mechanism of bringing convergence to regional economy.In chapter 5 the Laffer curve is derived from the Barro model, and the relation of public expenditure and economic growth has been analyzed under the precondition of fiscal balance. Further.the Laffer curve is tested by using the macroeconomic data of all provinces, and the conclusions of excessive expenditure , too high taxation of government have been drawn . Also, the different impacts of government's budgetary investment and non- budgetary investment on economic growth have been studied, and the results indicate that budgetary investment is unfavorable to the economic
第1章阐述本论文的研究背景与研究意义、论文结构与研究方法,并对一些关键概念进行界定,提出本论文的结构与研究方法,并指出主要创新点与不足之处。
第2章回顾了西方经济增长理论的发展历程及各阶段经济增长理论的主要思想及贡献,对中国经济转型的国内外相关研究文献及制度转型中的一些专题研究文献做了简要综述。
第3章界定了制度的定义与内涵,并探讨了作为分析前提的制度变迁的一般理论。在此基础上,分析作为制度变迁的中国市场化改革的构成要素和转型实践,并引出本文的研究主题:制度变迁与经济增长,从制度经济学视角对两者的内在作用机制进行一般阐述。
第4章根据转型期经济增长的制度背景,利用随机前沿函数研究经济增长过程中的效率改进、技术进步与全要素生产率的变化,研究结果表明制度变量是影响效率的重要因素。同时本文从制度变迁的角度解释了效率水平、技术进步所体现出的地域特征及时间特征;并对随机前沿函数下的TFP增长率与传统核算方法下的TFP增长率进行对比分析。在此基础上,本文进一步从效率改进的角度研究了地区经济收敛性,计量检验表明效率改进与资本积累一样,都是地区经济收敛的重要机制。
第5章从Barro模型出发,在财政收支平衡的前提条件下,分析了公共支出与经济增长的Laffer曲线关系,并在此基础上,通过增加模型中公共品的种类,对Barro模型进行了扩展,分析了公共支出结构的调整与经济增长的关系。本章的实证研究部分,运用分省宏观经济数据,在政府收支不平衡、空间上的地区经济差异及制度供给在时间上的不均衡等现实条件下,对Laffer曲线作了全面的实证检验,得出了政府支出过度、宏观税负过高的结论。从支出的角度进一步研究了固定资产投资中政府预算内投资与非预算投资对经济增长的影响,检验结果表明政府预算投资在边际上不利于经济增长,包括外资和民间资本的非预算投资承担起了推动地方经济增长的任务。本章同时对以政府消费占GDP比重为衡量指标的政府最优规模进行了估计,结果表明地方政府规模普遍偏高,因此,降低政府规模有利于经济增长。
The economic growth in the transitional period of China is studied in this thesis , and the purpose is to examine the effect of institutional changes on economic growth. The subjects such as the impact of institutional changes on economic efficiency, the relation of local government's behavior and economic growth under the decentralized fiscal system, and the open policy have been studied with positive and normal methods.The concrete content of the thesis is as follows:Chapter 1 explains the background and significance of this study.Also, some key concepts have been defined and some innovations 'weak points have been put forward in this chapter.Chapter 2 reviews the development, main thought and contribution of the western economic growth theory at every stage.Besides, a brief survey has been made about the domestic and international relevant research documents.The definition of the institution has been defined in chapter 3, in which the general theory of institution has been probed into. On this basis, We draw the theme of this study: Institution changes and economic growth, by analyzing the key elements of the market-oriented reforms of China.The random frontier function is utilized in chapter 4 to study efficiency improvement, technological progress and the total factor productivity in the economic growth. The result indicates that the institutional variable is the important factor to explain the efficiency improvement. Also, the characteristics of efficiency level and technological progress have been explained in terms of institutional changes, and the growth rate of TFP calculated under different methods have been compared .On this basis, this chapter has further studied the convergence of regional economy from efficiency, the results indicate that it is an important mechanism of bringing convergence to regional economy.In chapter 5 the Laffer curve is derived from the Barro model, and the relation of public expenditure and economic growth has been analyzed under the precondition of fiscal balance. Further.the Laffer curve is tested by using the macroeconomic data of all provinces, and the conclusions of excessive expenditure , too high taxation of government have been drawn . Also, the different impacts of government's budgetary investment and non- budgetary investment on economic growth have been studied, and the results indicate that budgetary investment is unfavorable to the economic
引文
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