高等级公路景观对行车安全影响的综合评价与仿真
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
随着高等级公路的发展,道路交通安全越来越受到人们的关注和重视。本文适应国家对交通安全保障技术研究的需求,以吉林省交通科技发展计划项目(3L1057822417)《交通环境对道路安全影响的研究》为依托,研究高等级公路景观对道路行车安全影响的评价方法。
     通过系统分析,本文将高等级公路景观和安全系统分为道路全线和危险路段/点两个层次。为科学评价道路全线景观对行车安全的影响,首先建立了评价指标体系,结合模糊评价与熵权系数方法,提出了一种新的指标权重计算方法——模糊熵权系数法;然后利用专家评价与模糊一致矩阵方法在定性和定量评价方面的优势,通过加权算术平均方法建立了定性与定量结合的综合评价方法。针对高等级公路危险路段/点,在分析各种道路黑点识别模型和方法基础上建立了基于景观影响的危险路段/点识别几何关系模型,结合车辆模型、驾驶员模型、景观模型、道路模型等仿真模型,在明确了仿真流程后,利用Visual Basic语言编写了仿真程序并实现了对高等级公路危险路段/点的仿真。
     利用本文所建立的针对高等级公路景观对道路行车安全影响的两个不同层次的评价方法,对吉林省“安二”公路景观对道路行车安全的影响进行了评价。评价结果表明吉林省“安二”公路道路全线安全等级为“一般”。对一些特殊危险点进行仿真评价后提出了该公路景观安全性改善措施。
     景观对道路安全影响的模糊性、长期性致使其不易识别和判断,本文建立的高等级公路景观对道路行车安全影响的评价方法对道路环境和安全关系领域的研究提供了重要的借鉴意义和理论参考。
With the development of High-grade Highway, more and more road accidents happened, which leads more people’s attention. Transportation workers try to change the actuality of road traffic safety. they focus on the following fields: analyzing the cause of accident, evaluating the safety level of road, proposing the measure of improving driving safety. There are many factors which can leads road accident, some of them are studied separately, and a lot of measures are proposed; but there is few researchers focus on road landscape. For adapting the requirement of traffic safety technology, in this thesis we focus on the evaluation method for the impact of High-grade Highway landscape on driving safety.
     With the help of system engineering methodology, road safety and landscape of High-grade Highway are considered as a system, and this system is divided to two subsystem, they are line-level subsystem and point-level subsystem. Line-level subsystem is composed by the landscape and safety factors of the whole road; and point-level subsystem is someplace where there is potential danger of the landscape and driving safety.
     To evaluate a system, there must have perfect index system and reasonable evaluation method. In this thesis, the way to build the evaluation index system for road landscape impact driving safety is described; a new calculation method to calculate the value of evaluation factors, named fuzzy-entropy-weights method, is developed. Expert evaluation method is a useful qualitative evaluation method, and fuzzy consistent matrix method is a useful quantitative assessment method, full use of the advantages of these two methods, with the help of weighed arithmetic average method, a synthetic evaluation method is built.
     Comprehensive evaluation method which is established in this thesis can evaluate the integrated effect of landscape impacting the road traffic safety along the whole road. But if want to put forward the specific road traffic safety improvement measures, it must be do that evaluating the safety level of dangerous section/point. Identifying methods of the dangerous section/point are analyzed in the thesis.
     Through analyzing the dangerous section/point, we aware that sight distance model is the foundation theory and important tools for put forward the improvement measures. In this thesis, using sight distance theory of vehicle traveling, according the characteristic and geometry relationship of dangerous section/point, sight calculation model was built, which is about the road landscape impact on vehicle traveling.
     The value will be realized when the theoretical model is applied, and simulation method is a feasible and availability way to evaluate the effect of road landscape impact on the vehicle traveling. The following things are all described in this thesis, they are: foundation process of vehicle model, driver model, landscape model and road model, amending method of the model in simulation program, design method of flow of simulation procedure, compile process of simulation procedure. The sight calculation model was established in the former chapter, and it is used in the simulation procedure, which is compiled by Visual Basic, and realized the simulation and evaluation of landscape impact on the vehicle traveling.
     After detailed investigating“An-er”road of Jili province, analyzing the status of the landscape and road safety, built index system used to evaluate landscape impact on vehicle traveling safety; the whole road is divided to 12 parts using the road dividing technology which is built in this thesis, and was evaluated, the result showed that the rank of“An-er”road is“general”. Choose four dangerous section/point which have extrude characteristic in“An-er”road, use the simulation procedure to simulate these four dangerous section/point, compared the simulation result and survey result, provide the measure to decrease the affect of road landscape to safety of“An-er”road.
     Landscape impact on driving safety is faintness, long-term; the comprehensive evaluation method established in this thesis, which is a combination of qualitative and quantitative evaluation methods, can overcome those problems. Simulation evaluation method can transfer a long-term impact to a relatively short time, and get the simulation results to realize the evaluation. Evaluation Method for the Impact of High-grade Highway landscape on driving safety established in this thesis can be as an important reference.
引文
[1] 潘基文. http://www.un.org/chinese/sg/2007/roadsafety.shtml
    [2] NHTSA. Traffic Safety Facts 2005 Data.
    [3] USDOT. http://transit-safety.volpe.dot.gov/Data/samis/default.asp?ReportID=8
    [4] 2006 年美国交通安全事故降到历史最低. http://zhuaxia.com/item/465243530
    [5] 公 安 部 通 报 2005 年 全 国 道 路 交 通 事 故 统 计 分 析 . http://news3.xinhuanet.com/legal/2006-01/12/content_4042310.htm
    [6] 裴玉龙. 道路交通安全[M]. 北京:人民交通出版社,2004:12, 72-78, 87-89, 155-158, 187-201
    [7] 裴玉龙. 道路交通事故成因分析及预防对策研究[D]. 南京:东南大学博士学位论文, 2002:7,77-79
    [8] 秦利燕, 邵春福. 济青高速公路交通事故成因分析[J]. 山东交通学院学报,2003,11(3):23-26
    [9] 谢波华. http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/ce/ceun/chn/xw/t218462.htm
    [10] 李佩成等. 再论景观水资源及其分类[J].水科学进展, 1998,9(2):176-180.
    [11] 王正国等 . 我国 2002 ~ 2003 年的道路交通事故 [J]. 中华创伤杂志,2004,20(11):641-644.
    [12] 刘志远. 2004 年全国道路交通安全形势相对平稳[J].商用汽车杂志,2005,2:99-100.
    [13] 于胜男. 高等级公路景观设计与评价[D]. 北京:北京工业大学硕士学位论文,2002:2-3, 42-43
    [14] 刘珊. 高等级公路建设与生态环境协调发展研究[D]. 西安:西安建筑科技大学硕士学位论文, 2002: 3-5, 53-56
    [15] 董玉梅. 高速公路景观设计研究与方法[D]. 南京:东南大学硕士学位论文,2003:2-3
    [16] 张秀丽. 道路建设与景观协调性研究[D]. 西安:长安大学硕士学位论文,2002:2-3
    [17] 贺志勇. 公路景观环境评价与 3S 技术应用研究[D]. 广州:华南理工大学博士学位论文, 2003: 66-67
    [18] 王红. 道路的环境景观评价分析[J]. 重庆交通学院学报, 1996, 15 (3):55-58
    [19] 朱唯, 刘珊, 朱铭. 高等级公路建设与公路景观[J]. 西安公路交通大学学报, 1999, 19 (2):18-19
    [20] 张阳, 董小林. 公路景观及视觉影响评价方法研究[J]. 西安公路交通大学学报, 1999, 19(4):65-67
    [21] 吴洪涛. 道路景观的模糊综合评价[J]. 公路, 1998, 11:31-34
    [22] 袁国林. 公路与环境景观设计[D]. 南京:东南大学硕士学位论文, 2001: 39-47
    [23] 史文中, 贺志勇, 张肖宁. 浅析公路景观设计与评价[J]. 测绘通报, 2002, 12:28-31
    [24] 贺志勇, 张肖宁, 史文中. 景观生态学在公路景观环境评价中的应用[J]. 城市环境与城市生态, 2003, 16(6):133-135
    [25] 史文中, 贺志勇, 张肖宁. 浅析基于计算机三维可视化的公路景观设计与评价[J]. 公路交通科技, 2003, 20(2):165-168
    [26] 贺志勇, 张肖宁, 史文中. 3S 技术在公路景观环境评价中的应用初探[J]. 测绘通报, 2004, 12:26-28,46
    [27] 曾胜, 陈健, 彭申凯. 全景透视图系统在公路景观设计中的应用[J]. 中南汽车运输, 1999, 3:30-31
    [28] 刘清芳. 公路景观影响评价的物元模型[J]. 公路, 2004, 7:118-119
    [29] 张晓峰. 公路建设项目环境影响计算机辅助评价方法研究及 RoadEIA 软件系统开发[D]. 西安:长安大学硕士学位论文,2003
    [30] 刘志强. 道路交通安全研究方法 [J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2000, 10(6):14-19
    [31] 姜华平, 许洪国, 高立平. 论道路交通安全研究的基本框架体系[J]. 山东交通学院学报, 2004, 12(2):11-14
    [32] 马宗晋, 郑成功. 中国灾害研究丛书——中国交通灾害. 湖南人民出版社, 1998: 11~19
    [33] 刘俊宝. 公路设计因素对交通安全的影响研究[D]. 西安:长安大学硕士学位论文, 2002:3,19-42
    [34] 方守恩, 郭忠印, 陈雨人. 道路安全系统与道路安全工程[J]. 中国公路学报, 2001, 14(12):105-108
    [35] 王学明. 高速公路安全因素分析及预防途径[J]. 交通与道路, 2004, 1:49-50
    [36] 刘 运 通 . 道 路 交 通 安 全 指 南 [M]. 北 京 : 人 民 交 通 出 版 社 ,2004: 1-2,119~126,128~142
    [37] Hyden C. The Development of the method for Traffic Safety Evaluation: the Swedish Traffic Conflict Technique. Journal of Transportation Technology,1987,(5):12-15.
    [38] 张彪. 道路安全评价系统设计及重点问题的理论研究[D]. 北京:北京交通大学硕士学位论文,2004:24-27
    [39] 安梅武. 道路交通安全宏观分析与建模[D]. 北京:北京工业大学硕士学位论文,2002:38-52
    [40] 王建军, 周伟. 道路安全审计研究初探[J]. 华东公路, 1999, 1:52-57
    [41] 丁小平. 高速公路交通安全技术审计的研究[D]. 沈阳:东北大学硕士学位论文, 2003:
    [42] 郭应时, 袁伟, 付锐.道路安全审计及其应用[J]. 长安大学学报(自然科学版), 2005, 25(4):56-58
    [43] 陈荫三, 严宝杰, 王增贤. 高等级公路安全保障体系的分析与评价[J]. 西安公路学院学学报, 1994, 14 (4):42-47
    [44] 魏朗等. 驾驶员道路安全感受模糊评判模型[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2004, 4 (1):102-105
    [45] 陈永胜. 高速公路安全设计基础理论及关键技术研究[D]. 北京:北京工业大学博士学位论文,2001: 85-100
    [46] 丁立, 熊坚, 何玉川. 基于模拟器的道路安全评价方法[J]. 中国公路学报, 2003, 16 (3):90-92, 102
    [47] 罗江涛, 刘小明, 任福田. 道路交通安全灰色评价方法研究[J]. 中国公路学报, 1995, 8 (4):78-83
    [48] 程文, 郭忠印, 孔令旗. 路线线形与道路安全关系的研究[J]. 合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版), 2002, 25 (5):703-706
    [49] 黄进, 方守恩. 交互式道路安全设计模型 IHSDM 与事故预测模型 APM[J]. 交通与计算机, 2002, 5 :32-35
    [50] 黄进. 美国道路安全设计模型介绍[J]. 公路交通科技, 2003, 20(5) :115-117
    [51] Wohlwill, J.F., 1976. Environmental aesthetics: the environment as a source of affect. In: ltman, I., Wohlwill, J.F. (Eds.), Human Behavior and Environment. Plenum, New York, pp. 37–86.
    [52] Berlyne, D.E., 1971. Aesthetics and Psychobiology. Appleton Century Crofts, New York, pp. 1–48.
    [53] Taylor, J.G., Zube, E.H., Sell, J.L., 1987. Landscape assessment and perceptionresearch methods. In: Bechtel, R.B., Marans, R.W., Michelson, W. (Eds.), Methods in Environmental and Behavioral Research. Van Nostrand Reinhold Company, New York, pp. 361–393.
    [54] Topp, H.H., 1990. Traffic safety, usability and streetscape effects of new design principles for major urban roads. Transportation 16, 297–310.
    [55] Bahar, G.B., Naderi, J.R., 1997. An integrated approach to environmental impact mitigation and safety management-case studies in the municipality of metropolitan Toronto. Session: roads/transportation and the environment. In: XIIIthWorld Meeting of the International Road Federation Toronto, Ont., Canada.
    [56] Mok, J., Landphair, H.C., 2003. Parkways and freeways: safety performance linked to corridor landscape type. In: CD-Rom: Transportation Research Board 82nd Annual Meeting.
    [57] Jeong-Hun Mok, Harlow C. Landphair,2003. Parkways or freeways: safety performance linked to corridor landscape type. In: CD-Rom: Transportation Research Board 82nd Annual Meeting.
    [58] Jeong-Hun Mok, Harlow C. Landphair, Jody R. Naceri, 2005. Landscape improvement impacts on roadside safety in Texas. Landscape and Urban Planning , 1-12.
    [59] 毛文永. 建设项目景观影响评价[M]. 北京:中国环境科学出版社,2005:1,194
    [60] 俞孔坚. 景观:文化、生态与感知[M]. 北京:科学出版社,1998:3-19
    [61] 董小林. 公路建设项目环境后评价[M]. 北京:人民交通出版社,2004:224
    [62] 高志亮. 系统工程方法论[M]. 西安:西北工业大学出版社,2004:12-14
    [63] 崔文波. 高速公路景观研究初探[D]. 南京:南京林业大学硕士学位论文,2003:48
    [64] 张生瑞. 公路交通可持续发展系统分析与评价[D]. 西安:长安大学博士学位论文,2002:20-22
    [65] 喻湘存. 系统工程教程[M]. 北京:清华大学出版社,北京交通大学出版,2006:10-11,105-107
    [66] 周华文. 道路交通安全评价研究[D]. 北京:北京工业大学硕士学位论文,2004:7-8
    [67] 叶义成,柯丽华,黄德育. 系统综合评价技术及其应用[M]. 北京:冶金工业出版社,2006:14,29-45
    [68] 裴丽颖, 刘肖岑. 何为“头脑风暴法”. 教育科学研究,2005.1
    [69] 陈卫, 方廷健, 马永军等. 基于Delphi和AHP法的群体决策研究与应用[J].计算机工程.2003, 4
    [70] 雷孝章, 王金锡, 彭沛好, 陈国先, 唐云锦. 中国生态林业工程效益评价指标体系[J].自然资源学报.1999, 4(14)
    [71] 李佩成等. 再论景观水资源及其分类[J]. 水科学进展, 1998, 9(2):176-180.
    [72] 李红镝,邹筑煜. 交通运输可持续发展及其评价指标体系的建立[J].交通环保, 2003, 24(4):17-19.
    [73] 朱唯,朱铭. 高等级公路环境景观评价方法研究[J].西安公路交通大学学报, 1999, 19(7):29-30.
    [74] Gary R. Clay, Robert K. Smidt. Assessing the validity and reliability of descriptor variables used in scenic highway analysis [J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 66(2004):239-255.
    [75] 付毅. 高等级公路景观评价方法研究[D]. 长春:吉林大学交通学院,2005.
    [76] Hyden C. The Development of the method for Traffic Safety Evaluation: the Swedish Traffic Conflict Technique[J]. Journal of Transportation Technology,1987,(5):12-15.
    [77] 邱菀华. 管理决策与应用熵学[M]. 北京:机械工业出版社,2002
    [78] Washington State Department of Transportation. 2002, State Route 97-Pateros to the Canadian Border Scenic Byway Application Visual Analysis Discipline Report.
    [79] Jos′e Froment, G′erald Domon. Viewer Appreciation of Highway Landscapes: The contribution of ecologically managed embankments in Quebec, Canada. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2005
    [80] Washington State Department of Transportation. 2004, Snoqualmie Pass East Visual Impact Assessment Discipline Report.
    [81] 姚敏, 张森. 模糊一致矩阵及其在软科学中的应用[J]. 系统工程, 1997,15(2).
    [82] 张吉军. 模糊层次分析法[J]. 模糊系统与数学,2000,14(2):80-88.
    [83] 王云鹏,杨志发等. 交通环境对道路安全影响的定量评价研究[J].吉林大学学报工学版,2006,36(1):119-122.
    [84] Min Yao, Bin Shen, Jianhua Luo. The construction and combined operation forfuzzy consistent matrixes. Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE. 2005 , 6A(1):27-31.
    [85] 胡永宏,贺思辉. 综合评价方法[M]. 北京:科学出版社,2000:45
    [86] 胡新民,刘涛等. 道路黑点识别与改善[J]. 交通运输工程学报,vol 4(1),2004:106-109
    [87] 郭忠印,方守恩. 新疆国省道干线公路安全审计程序和道路事故黑点鉴别方法[M]. 上海:同济大学出版社,2000.
    [88] 蒋承揩. 道路勘测设计[M]. 北京:人民交通出版社,1997:73-80, 82-83, 86
    [89] Daniel R. Jessen. Operating Speed Prediction on Crest Vertical Curve of Rural Two-Lane Highways in Nebraska, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council.1987
    [90] Said M. Easa. Development of transitioned vertical curve Sight distance, Transportation Research Part A 34. 2000:565-584
    [91] American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, 1990. A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets Washington, D.C.
    [92] American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, 1994. A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets Washington, D.C.
    [93] American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, 2001. A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets Washington, D.C.
    [94] Harwood, D.W., Mason, J.M., Brydia, R.E., Pietrucha, M.T., Gittings, G.L., 1996. Intersection Sight Distance: NCHR Report 383. Transportation Research Board, National Research Council: Washington, D.C.
    [95] Lerner, N.D., et al., 1995. Older Driver Perception-Reaction Time for Intersection Sight Distance and Object Detection: Report No. FHWA-RD-93-168. Federal Highway Administration: Washington, D.C.
    [96] Xuedong Yan, Essam Radwan, Elizabeth Birriel. Geometric Models to Calculate Left-turn Sight Distance for Signalized Intersections on Horizontal Curves. TRB 2005 Annual Meeting CD-ROM
    [97] Joshua, S. C. and Saka, A. A., Mitigation of Sight-distance Problem of unprotected left-turning Traffic at Intersections. Transportation Research Record 1356, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1992, pp. 73-79.
    [98] McCoy, P. T., Navarro U. R., and Witt W. E., Guidelines for Offsetting Opposing Left-turn Lanes on Four-lane Divided Roadways. TransportationResearch Record 1356, TRB, National Research Council, Washington D.C., 1992, pp. 28-36.
    [99] Yan, X. and Radwan, E., 2003. Geometric Models to Calculate Intersection Sight Distance for Unprotected Left-Turn Traffic. TRB 83rd Annual Meeting CD-ROM, Jan 11–15, 2004, Washington, D.C.
    [100] 中华人民共和国交通部.公路路线设计规范(JTJ011-94). 北京:人民交通出版社,1994.
    [101] 张映雪,符锌砂. 平面视距保证的计算方法及程序实现[J]. 长沙交通学院学报,vol 16(3),2000
    [102] 肖葵香. 行车视距在道路设计中的应用[J]. 铁道建筑,2003.12
    [103] 杜博英,石红星. 竖曲线上的车速、视距及设计[J]. 公路交通科技,2006.6
    [104] 杨桐国. 高速公路行车视距的理论求解[J]. 辽宁交通科技,2005.6
    [105] 陈江涛. 高速公路停车视距分析[J]. 湖南交通科技,vol 31(2), 2005
    [106] 孙家驷. 道路勘测设计[M]. 北京:人民交通出版社,2005:68
    [107] 李晓华. 基于可能速度的交通安全评价研究[D]. 哈尔滨工业大学硕士学位论文.2006.6
    [108] C Fildes BN, Rumbold G, LeeningA. Speed behavior and driver sattitude to speeding[R]. Sydney: Monash University, 1991
    [109] LiuG, PoroffAL. Provincia-wide travel speed and traffic safety study in Saskatchewan[R]. 1997:23~31
    [110] 裴玉龙,程国柱. 高速公路车速离散性与交通事故的关系及车速管理研究[J]. 中国公路学报,2004,17(1):74-78
    [111] 交通部公路司. 新理念公路设计指南(2005 版)[M]. 人民交通出版社,2006:47

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700