传统物流企业向现代第三方物流企业转型发展的风险研究
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摘要
随着我国经济的持续快速增长,物流产业在我国获得了长足的发展,作为现代物流发展方向的第三方物流业也取得了很大的进步。这给第三方物流企业提供了广阔的发展空间和机遇,传统物流企业纷纷向现代第三方物流企业转型。同时,变化莫测的市场条件和日益激烈的竞争环境下,也给转型发展的现代第三方物流企业带来了更多的风险。
在这一背景下,本文以现代第三方物流企业的风险为研究对象,首先从第三方物流理论出发,研究传统物流企业向现代第三方物流企业转型的目标、原则和途径；然后详细分析了现代第三方物流企业存在的主要风险,构建了评价指标体系；在对比主要常见方法的基础上,提出运用集值统计的方法来评价企业的风险,并建立了完整的评价模型；接着,研究第三方物流企业风险防范体系的构建,并针对各个风险提出相应防范措施；最后以某个转型发展的现代第三方物流企业为例,对其风险进行识别评价,并有针对性的提出防范策略方法。
With the sustained and rapid growth of economy in our country, the Logistic Industry has made considerable progress. TPL which represents the direction of development in modern logistic has also made great progress. Because of getting broad space and opportunities for the development of TPL corporations, the traditional logistic companies transformed to the modern TPL companies. Meanwhile, the unpredicted market condition and the increasingly intensive competition bring risks to them.
Against this background, this paper takes the business risk of transformed TPL companies as the research subject. Firstly from the TPL theory, it deals with the goals、principles and means of transformation in which the traditional logistic companies shifted to the modern TPL ones. Then after detailed analysis of the primary risk in the modern TPL companies, this paper established the index system. Based on comparing the common methods, we decide to use set-valued statistics method to make the risk evaluation by constructing integrated models. Afterward we study the system construction of risk prevention, and put forward the corresponding precautions. Finally, take a modern TPL company which has transformed for example, we try to identify and evaluate its risks and propose some coping tactics and methods on defending them correspondingly.
在这一背景下,本文以现代第三方物流企业的风险为研究对象,首先从第三方物流理论出发,研究传统物流企业向现代第三方物流企业转型的目标、原则和途径；然后详细分析了现代第三方物流企业存在的主要风险,构建了评价指标体系；在对比主要常见方法的基础上,提出运用集值统计的方法来评价企业的风险,并建立了完整的评价模型；接着,研究第三方物流企业风险防范体系的构建,并针对各个风险提出相应防范措施；最后以某个转型发展的现代第三方物流企业为例,对其风险进行识别评价,并有针对性的提出防范策略方法。
With the sustained and rapid growth of economy in our country, the Logistic Industry has made considerable progress. TPL which represents the direction of development in modern logistic has also made great progress. Because of getting broad space and opportunities for the development of TPL corporations, the traditional logistic companies transformed to the modern TPL companies. Meanwhile, the unpredicted market condition and the increasingly intensive competition bring risks to them.
Against this background, this paper takes the business risk of transformed TPL companies as the research subject. Firstly from the TPL theory, it deals with the goals、principles and means of transformation in which the traditional logistic companies shifted to the modern TPL ones. Then after detailed analysis of the primary risk in the modern TPL companies, this paper established the index system. Based on comparing the common methods, we decide to use set-valued statistics method to make the risk evaluation by constructing integrated models. Afterward we study the system construction of risk prevention, and put forward the corresponding precautions. Finally, take a modern TPL company which has transformed for example, we try to identify and evaluate its risks and propose some coping tactics and methods on defending them correspondingly.
引文
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[14]汪传旭.第三方物流运作的风险分析及其防范措施[J].物流技术,2003(3).
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[16]黄本笑,成祖好.论物流企业风险防范[J].商业时代,2003(18).
[17]黄顺泉,赵大为.第三方物流项目风险的模糊综合评价[J].大连海事大学学报(社会科学版),2008.8：77-79.
[18]傅新平,邹敏.组合赋权法在第三方物流合约风险评价中的应用[J].东南大学学报,2007.1.
[19]杨红恩.构建第三方物流企业动态联盟的研究[D].长安大学.2007,6.
[20]国家发展和改革委员会经济运行局,南开大学现代物流研究中心.中国现代物流业发展报告(2009年)[M].机械工业出版社.2009.
[21]安阳市交通现代物流发展战略规划研究项目研究报告,北京交通大学现代物流研究所.
[22]温宏伟.物流企业风险的内涵分析及评价[J].物流科技,2007.12：8-9.
[23]陈涛焘.物流企业风险评价及对策研究[D].武汉理工大学.2008.12.
[24]曲绍宏,郭玲.企业财务分析[M].天津：南开大学出版社,2006.
[25]顾基发.综合评价方法[M].北京中国科学技术出版社,1990：22-26.
[26]陈衍泰,陈国宏,李美娟.综合评价方法分类及研究进展[J].管理科学学报,2004.7(2)：69-79.
[27]邓聚龙.灰色理论教程.武汉：华中理工大学出版社,1990.
[28]王治祯,柏景方.灰色系统及模糊数学在环境保护中的应用[M].哈尔滨：哈尔滨工业大学出版社,2007.4.
[29]徐维样.一种基于灰色理论和模糊数学的综合集成算法[J].系统理论与实践,2001.4.
[30]汪培庄.模糊集与模糊落影集[M].北京：北京师范大学出版社,1985.
[31]李洪兴,汪群,段钦治等.工程模糊数学方法及应用[M].天津：天津科学技术出版社,1983,10.
[32]冯蔚东,陈剑,赵纯均.虚拟企业中的风险管理与控制研究.管理科学学报.2001年,第4卷第3期：1-8.
[33]解琨,刘凯,周双贵.供应链战略联盟的风险问题研究[J].中国安全科学学报。2003,11：38-41.
[2]D.J.Bowersox. The Strategic Benefits of Logistics Alliances[J]. Harvard Business Review,1990,68(4):36-47.
[3]刘彦平,王述英.西方第三方物流理论述评.http://www. cce365. com/kcnews detail. asp?ID=7897&sPage=3
[4]L.M.Ellram, T.E.Hendrick. Partnering Characteristics:A Dyadic Perspective[J].Journal of Business Logistics,1995,16(1):41-64.
[5]刘彦平,王述英.西方第三方物流理论述评.http://www. cce365. com/kcnews detail. asp?ID=7897&sPage=3
[6]王之泰.现代物流学[M].北京：中国物资出版社,1995：7-9.
[7]邹辉霞.供应链物流管理[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2004：15-16.
[8]陶经辉,李旭宏.公路运输企业向物流企业转型的资质综合评价[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2004.11：76-80.
[9]王彬.中国国际货运代理业向第三方物流的转型[J].中国新技术新产品,2009.20：208.
[10]苗晓坤,王冬梅,卫绍元,陈昕.传统运输企业向现代物流和转型的探索[J].物资采购与研究,2009.2：140-142.
[11]G M Giaglis,I Minis, A Tatarakis. Minimizing logistics risk through real-time vehicle routing and mobile technologies[J].International Journal of Physical Distribution&Logistics Management,2004,34(9):749-764.
[12]G E Appleguist, J F Pekny, G V Reklaitis. Risk and uncertainty in managing chemical manufacturing supply chains[J].Computers and Chemical Engineering,2000,(24):2211-2222.
[13]Ming-Chih Tsai, Ying-So Su. Political risk assessment on air logistics hub developments in Taiwan[J].Journal of Air Transport Management,2002,(8).
[14]汪传旭.第三方物流运作的风险分析及其防范措施[J].物流技术,2003(3).
[15]刘兴富.第三方物流运作中的风险与控制[J].中国物流与采购,2006(4).
[16]黄本笑,成祖好.论物流企业风险防范[J].商业时代,2003(18).
[17]黄顺泉,赵大为.第三方物流项目风险的模糊综合评价[J].大连海事大学学报(社会科学版),2008.8：77-79.
[18]傅新平,邹敏.组合赋权法在第三方物流合约风险评价中的应用[J].东南大学学报,2007.1.
[19]杨红恩.构建第三方物流企业动态联盟的研究[D].长安大学.2007,6.
[20]国家发展和改革委员会经济运行局,南开大学现代物流研究中心.中国现代物流业发展报告(2009年)[M].机械工业出版社.2009.
[21]安阳市交通现代物流发展战略规划研究项目研究报告,北京交通大学现代物流研究所.
[22]温宏伟.物流企业风险的内涵分析及评价[J].物流科技,2007.12：8-9.
[23]陈涛焘.物流企业风险评价及对策研究[D].武汉理工大学.2008.12.
[24]曲绍宏,郭玲.企业财务分析[M].天津：南开大学出版社,2006.
[25]顾基发.综合评价方法[M].北京中国科学技术出版社,1990：22-26.
[26]陈衍泰,陈国宏,李美娟.综合评价方法分类及研究进展[J].管理科学学报,2004.7(2)：69-79.
[27]邓聚龙.灰色理论教程.武汉：华中理工大学出版社,1990.
[28]王治祯,柏景方.灰色系统及模糊数学在环境保护中的应用[M].哈尔滨：哈尔滨工业大学出版社,2007.4.
[29]徐维样.一种基于灰色理论和模糊数学的综合集成算法[J].系统理论与实践,2001.4.
[30]汪培庄.模糊集与模糊落影集[M].北京：北京师范大学出版社,1985.
[31]李洪兴,汪群,段钦治等.工程模糊数学方法及应用[M].天津：天津科学技术出版社,1983,10.
[32]冯蔚东,陈剑,赵纯均.虚拟企业中的风险管理与控制研究.管理科学学报.2001年,第4卷第3期：1-8.
[33]解琨,刘凯,周双贵.供应链战略联盟的风险问题研究[J].中国安全科学学报。2003,11：38-41.