生猪养殖规模及效益分析
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摘要
一、本文研究的主要内容
     1、本文通过查阅以前及现阶段国内外畜牧行业特别是生猪养殖行业关于养殖规模及成本效益相关文献资料,综述了该类研究的各方面成果和最新进展。
     2、对我国生猪养殖规模的分类标准进行了界定和探讨,叙述了我国目前形成的各养殖模式发展历程,重点对比分析了散养和规模化养殖的特点和优缺点,进而剖析了生猪养殖规模化趋势的机理,并且和美国生猪养殖规模进行了对比。
     3、选择我国有代表性的山区农村——重庆市涪陵区江东街道办事处营盘村的近200户不同规模生猪养殖户,进行了近两年四个时间段的生猪养殖成本及效益调查,并且逐步对各规模进行了各项对比分析。
     4、为了选择类似于涪陵地区的我国山区农村生猪养殖合理规模,利用现代管理学中的灰色局势决策模型对各个养殖规模的各目标标进行了决策,得出现阶段及今后一段时期类似于涪陵地区的我国山区农村合理养殖规模。
     5、根据前文分析得出结论从而提出相关的政策建议。
     二、本文研究的结论
     1、我国农村生猪养殖行业农户散养的比例在逐渐缩小,规模化的养殖模式优于散养养殖模式,已成为我国生猪养殖行业的发展趋势,将成为我国农村地区生猪养殖的主导力量。
     2、在规模化养殖中,小规模的养殖模式优于中规模养殖模式,中规模养殖模式优于大规模养殖模式。所以在现阶段和今后一段时期,类似于涪陵地区的我国山区农村生猪养殖模式主要选择小规模养殖比较适宜,但同时中规模养殖模式也是今后的发展方向。
     三、本文的政策建议
     1、加大对山区农村生猪小规模养殖的政策支持和资金投入。2007年以来,生猪养殖行业的规模化不断加快,以前的一些散养农户和一批回家创业的新型农民发展了大量的规模化养殖,应对他们进行政策支持和引导,联合农村金融部门,给予政府贴息的小额贷款优惠,并且联合畜牧加工企业和饲料企业,给予猪场建设管理和养殖技术上的指导,保障他们的销售渠道畅通,保护生猪出栏价格,通过实施能繁母猪补贴与保险、生猪良种补贴、调出大县奖励和发展生猪标准化规模养殖小区建设等扶持政策,保障生猪市场供应稳定。
     2、大力发展山区农村生猪标准化小规模养殖。集中发展原来有实力的散养户和返乡创业的农民工,进一步整合资源、集中财力,实施生猪标准化小规模养殖发展,按照国家统一标准和要求组建标准化的养殖场(小区),按照“政府引导、市场运作、业主自愿、投资多元、各地分级突出重点扶持发展”的原则,重点扶持生猪养殖基地和年存栏30-100头小规模生猪标准化规模养殖场(户)以及原种猪场建设。同时鼓励“龙头企业(公司)+基地+养殖户”组织模式,参与发展生猪标准化规模养殖。
     3、建立山区农村生猪养殖风险管理防范机制。在防范市场价格风险方面,具体措施为:加大生猪市场价格监测力度;加强行业信息引导;制定生猪价格波动调控措施;形成全国统筹的调控措施。在防范病疫风险方面,相关部门应采取如下防范机制:畜牧部门在疫病高发期提前预防诊治,把生猪养殖户的损失降到最低限度;业务部门要加强疫病防疫培训;与保险公司合作,培养养殖户保险意识。
     4、建全完善的山区农村市场体系。着重发展现代物流体系,强化农村市场的统一性,完善农村市场监控体系,健全农产品质量监管机制,维护和健全农村市场秩序,充分发挥国家对重要农产品购销实施必要宏观调控的作用。通过完善市场经济体制,规范农村市场经济秩序,推进流通现代化步伐,提高农村市场流通效率。在农村经济领域实现农村商品市场数量、规模与结构的合理配置,发展多种类型、多级层次、互相促进、互相依存的商品市场有机统一体,形成以期货市场为先导,批发市场为中心,以现代物流带动连锁超市、集贸市场、便民零售店多种业态共存的网络化格局。
     四、本文的创新点
     1、研究视角的新颖性:本文以近两年世界性的金融危机环境下生猪市场少有的较大波动为研究背景,选择生猪养殖有代表性的山区农村一重庆市涪陵区江东营盘村为研究对象,调查研究我国新农村建设下的生猪养殖规模及成本效益情况。
     2、研究方法的新颖性。笔者深入生猪主产区农户进行实地问卷调研,以案例分析法运用成本理论分析生猪各项养殖的成本构成及变化规律,运用现代管理学中的灰色局势决策理论构建生猪养殖的适宜规模模型。
     3、研究结论的新颖性。本文得出小规模的养殖模式是现阶段山区农村地区适合选择的养殖模式,中规模的养殖模式也是今后发展的方向,为近两年已经进入或者即将进入生猪养殖行业的返乡创业者或私人投资商提供借鉴,为山区农村生猪养殖行业发展提供参考。
1. The main content of the research
     1.1 Through access to past and present domestic livestock industry, hog raising industry in particular,I learned hog scale and their costs benefit literature data, grasped the latest developments of the research.
     1.2 The scale of rural hog raising standards were defined and discussed, I described the development history of the formation in our present structure for raising model-Free-range and large-scale breeding, Comparatived analysis the characteristics, the advantages and disadvantages of the backyard and scale raising, Further analysised the current trend of large-scale and mechanism of hog, then analysised and compared the U.S. hog breeding.
     1.3 Chosen representative mountainou rural areas in our country --Yingpan Village in Fuling District of Chongqing, close to 200 hog farmers of different sizes, surveyed the time period of four hog breeding costs and benefits in nearly two years, and the comparative analysis carried out.
     1.4 To choose a reasonable scale hog breeding in Mountainous rural areas in our country, The use of modern management in the model of gray scale of each scale of decision-making for each target. Reached for raising patterns and trends in mountain rural areas in this stage and in the future for our country.
     1.5 Finally, give policy recommendations for China's mountainous areas for the development of hog breeding patterns.
     2. The conclusion of the research
     2.1 Hog raising industry in rural areas in our country's,the proportion of households is in the shrinking backyard, large-scale raising mode is better than free-range raising model, which has become our country's hog breeding industry trends, and will be the dominant force for hog breeding in our national rural areas.
     2.2 In the scale raising, small-scale raising mode is better than the size of the breeding mode, the scale model is better than large-scale aquaculture raising model. So come, at this stage and the next period, similar to the mountainous rural areas in China Fuling District of hog breeding patterns to choose more suitable for small-scale raising, while the large-scale breeding pattern is the future direction of development.
     3. Countermeasures and suggestions
     3.1 Increased policy support and investment to hog raising industry in rural areas. Since 2007, the hog industry in accelerating the speed scale, the original group home backyard farmers and entrepreneurs of the new farmers, developed a number of large-scale raising, the policy should support and guide them, the joint rural financial sector, to give interest-free small loans or government discount offers, and joint livestock feed processing enterprises and enterprises to build farm management and raising techniques, guidance and protect their smooth sales channels, to protect hog slaughter prices. Sows can be complicated by the implementation of insurance subsidies for hog breeding, transfer and development of a county award hog breeding areas of standardized building support policies to ensure a steady supply of live hog market.
     3.2 Vigorously develop the rural small-scale hog raising standards. Focus on the strong backyard and migrant workers who had entrepreneurial households return home and further integration of resources, to concentrate financial resources, the implementation of standardized small-scale hog breeding development, in accordance with the national standard and requires the formation of standardized farm (district), in accordance with the "Government guidance and market operation, the voluntary farmers, investment diversification, all prominent local classification, focusing on supporting development", focusing on hog breeding base support and the annual slaughter of more than 300 standardized scale hog farms (households) and the Boar field construction. While encouraging the "leading enterprise (company)+base+farmers" organizations model, develop standardized scale hog raising.
     3.3 The establishment of risk management in rural hog raising prevention mechanism. Against market price risks in the specific measures:to increase the market price of live hogs monitoring efforts; strengthen trade information guide; to develop control measures fluctuations in hog prices; to form a national co-ordination of control measures. In the prevention of epidemic risk, related departments should take the following preventive mechanisms:the livestock sector should be in the high incidence of disease diagnosis and treatment of early prevention, the hog farmers to minimize losses; business sector to strengthen the disease prevention training; and insurance companies, nurture Hog farmers insurance awareness.
     3.4 Building all sound rural market system. Focus on the development of modern logistics system, and strengthen the unity of the rural market, improve the rural market monitoring system, improve the agricultural quality control mechanism, to maintain and improve the rural market order, and give full play to the national macro-control on the important role of agricultural products. By improving the market economy system, standardize the market economic order, promote the circulation pace of modernization, improve circulation efficiency of rural markets. In the rural economy in the number of the rural commodity markets, size and structure of the rational allocation, developing many types, multi-level, mutual promotion and mutual interdependence of commodity markets, organic unity, To form a futures market as the guide, as the central wholesale market in order to promote modern logistics chains, country markets, convenience store market, the coexistence of a variety of network structure.
     4. Innovations
     4.1 Perspective of the novel:This article mainly is for the global financial crisis nearly two years as the background, the few large fluctuations in the market of live hogs as the background, too. Select the representative mountainous hog raising in rural areas-Yingpan in Fuling District of Chongqing City, research background of the new countryside construction of hog breeding size and cost-effectiveness.
     4.2 Research methods of the novel:I went To the main origin of hogs in the local farmers field to make questionnaire survey with case analysis of cost theory of the cost of breeding hogs in all projects and changes of composition, the use of modern management theory of Grey Decision Making in Construction Scale model suitable for breeding hog.
     4.3 Conclusion of the novel:This article is derived model of small-scale raising in rural areas, mountainous areas of our country at this stage more suitable for the breeding patterns, breeding patterns in the scale is also the direction of future development, which for the past two years have entered or will enter the hog breeding industry, business and investors to provide reference for government departments to develop policies in Rural Hog raising reference.
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