77例直肠癌伴肝转移患者的临床预后分析
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摘要
目的:探讨影响直肠癌伴肝转移患者预后的相关因素。方法:回顾性分析新疆医科大学第一附属医院2002年1月至2008年12月收治的直肠癌伴肝转移患者77例,用Kaplan-Meier法分析本组患者的总生存率,用Log-rank检验和COX模型(SPSS17.0)对影响生存的13项临床病理因素和临床治疗方法进行单因素和多因素分析。结果:该组患者1年,2年,3年,5年总生存率分别为47.70%,28.80%,13.10%,1.50%。单因素分析结果显示原发肿瘤的分化程度、肠壁浸润、淋巴结转移、肝转移灶分布、肝转移灶数目、肝转移灶最大直径、肝外侵犯或转移、确诊时CEA水平、手术性质为预后影响因素,均有统计学意义(P<0.05);多因素分析显示:原发肿瘤的分化程度(P=0.007)、肠壁浸润(P=0.027)、肝转移灶最大直径(P=0.003)、确诊时CEA水平(P=0.000)为独立的预后因素。结论:对于直肠癌伴肝转移患者,原发肿瘤病理分化程度越高、肠壁浸润越浅、肝转移灶最大直径越小及确诊时CEA水平越低,患者的生存率越高,预后越好。
Objective: To explore the prognostic factors for rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases. Methods: Data from a total of 77 rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases treated at Xinjiang Medical University from January 2002 to December 2008 were collected and reviewed. The total survival rate was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method, Log-rank method and Cox regression model with SPSS17.0 software were used to analyze 13 factors including clinical pathological factors and treatment choices. Results: The median survival time of 77 patients with synchronous liver metastases from rectal cancer was 12 months. The 1-, 2-, 3-and 5-year survival rates were 47.70%, 28.80%, 13.10%, and 1.50% respectively. Univariate analysis with Kaplan-Meier methods revealed that the differentiation of the primary tumor, T-stage, N status, the distribution、number and size of liver metastases, extrahepatic disease, serum CEA level at diagnosis and treatment modality were prognostic factors(P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that the differentiation of the primary tumor(P=0.007), T-stage(P=0.027), the size of liver metastases(P=0.003), serum CEA value at diagnosis(P=0.000) were independent prognostic factors for rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases. Conclusion: The factors affecting the prognosis for rectal cancer patients with synchronous liver metastases are the differentiation of the primary tumor, T-stage, N status, the distribution、number and size of liver metastases,extrahepatic disease, serum CEA level at diagnosis and treatment modality; the independent prongostic factors are the differentiation of the primary tumor, T-stage, the size of liver metastases, serum CEA value at diagnosis.
引文
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