基于环境规制中国对“一带一路”火电投资实证分析
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摘要
以火电行业为例,通过2010—2016年"一带一路"沿线64国的面板数据回归及灰色关联度分析,探究基于环境规制条件下,各因素对中国火电对外投资的拉动差异,判别不同国别对中国火电投资主要吸引力。分析结果表明:中国火电对外投资的影响因素具有多样性,环境规制因素具有重要但非决定性作用;"一带一路"沿线国家对火电投资的吸纳能力存在差异,可划分为8大类型驱动因素(环境规制强度、经济开放程度、劳动力数量、基础设施完善程度、资源能源禀赋、政治环境、经济发展差异、地理距离)。最后,根据分析结果提出了相应的对策建议。
The thermal power industry was taken as an example.Through the panel data regression and grey correlation analysis of the 64 countries along"One Belt One Road"(B & R)in the past 2010-2016 years,the pulling differences of various factors on China's thermal power investment were explored under the environmental regulation conditions,and the main attraction degree of different countries to China's thermal power outward foreign direct investment(CTP-OFDI)was discriminated.The analysis results showed that China's thermal power had different external investment factors,and environmental regulation factors had important but non decisive role.There were differences in the absorptive capacity of thermal power investment among B & R countries,which could be divided into 8 types,including relative strictness of environmental regulations,economic openness,labor force number,infrastructure construction,resource and energy endowment,political environment,economic development differences and geographical distance.Finally,according to the analysis results,the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions were put forward.
The thermal power industry was taken as an example.Through the panel data regression and grey correlation analysis of the 64 countries along"One Belt One Road"(B & R)in the past 2010-2016 years,the pulling differences of various factors on China's thermal power investment were explored under the environmental regulation conditions,and the main attraction degree of different countries to China's thermal power outward foreign direct investment(CTP-OFDI)was discriminated.The analysis results showed that China's thermal power had different external investment factors,and environmental regulation factors had important but non decisive role.There were differences in the absorptive capacity of thermal power investment among B & R countries,which could be divided into 8 types,including relative strictness of environmental regulations,economic openness,labor force number,infrastructure construction,resource and energy endowment,political environment,economic development differences and geographical distance.Finally,according to the analysis results,the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions were put forward.
引文
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[2]田盛兰.环境规制对FDI区位选择影响机制研究[D].武汉:武汉理工大学,2007.
[3]HART R.Growth,environment and culture-encompassing competing ideologies in one“new growth”model[J].Ecological Economics,2002,40:253-267.
[4] LIST J A.US county-level determinants of inbound FDI:evidence from a two-step modified count data model[J].International Journal of Industrial Organization,2001,19(6):953-973.
[5]张平,张鹏鹏,蔡国庆.不同类型环境规制对企业技术创新影响比较研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(4):8-13.
[6] RONALD J,SHADBEGIAN G,WAYNE B,et al.Pollution abatement expenditures and plant-level productivity:aproduction function approach[J].Ecological Economics,2005,54:196-208.
[7] DASGUPTA S,LAPLANTE B,MAMINGI N,et al.Inspections,pollution prices,and environmental performance:evidence from China[J].Ecological Economics,2001,36:487-498.
[8] WILSON J K,DAMANIA R.Corruption,political competition and environmental policy[J].Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,2005,49(3):516-535.
[9] NYBORG K,TELLE K.The role of warnings in regulation:keeping control with less punishment[J].Journal of Public Economics,2004,88(20):2801-2816.
[10] ANTWEILER W,COPELAND B R,TAYLOR M S.Is free trade good for the environment?[J].American Economic Review,2001,91(4):877-908.
[11] ESKELAND G S,HARRISON A E.Moving to greener pastures?Multinationals and the pollution haven hypothesis[J].Journal of Development Economics,2003,70:1-23.
[12] ZHOU Q,ZHANG J,FU J,et al.Bio-monitoring:an appealing tool for assessment of metal pollution in the aquatic ecosystem[J].Analytica Chimica Acta,2008,606(2):135-150.
[13] KHEDER S B,ZUGRAVU N.Environmental regulation and French firms location abroad:an economic geography model in an international comparative study[J].Ecological Economics,2012,77:48-61.
[14]徐沛然.东道国环境规制对中国OFDI的影响研究[D].杭州:浙江工商大学,2016.
[15]牛东晓,曹树华.电力负荷预测技术及其应用[M].北京:中国电力出版社,1998.
[16]宋冬雪.政治风险对我国对外直接投资区位选择的影响研究[D].南昌:江西财经大学,2017.
[17]驻乌克兰经商参处.乌克兰能源业简介[EB/OL].(2016-03-04)[2018-11-04].www.mofcom.gov.cn/article/i/dxfw/ae/201603/20160301269031.shtml.
[18]王文良.泰国的劳动力和就业问题[J].东南亚南亚研究,1984(4):33-36.
[19] OSSEIRAN H.The likely winners in the race to rebuild Syria[J].News Deeply,2017,13(2):125-133.
[20]杨丽君.“一带一路”战略下我国对沿线国家直接投资的区位选择———基于引力模型的实证分析[J].新疆社会科学,2017(3):38-46.