摘要
基于贸易有害论、贸易有益论及贸易中性论观点,实证识别我国国际贸易对环境污染的影响及其空间外溢效应。分别采用一般线性回归、空间自回归和空间杜宾回归分析影响的异质性。分析得出:污染在地区间存在正向外部性;国际贸易与环境污染的回归结果显著为负,即贸易程度的提升有利于污染排放地减少,支持贸易有益论观点;技术、规模及其环境规制效应对环境污染存在显著的影响及空间影响;我国经济现状符合EKC曲线。
Based on the trade harmful theory,trade benefit theory and trade neutrality viewpoint,this paper empirically identifies the impact of China's international trade on environmental pollution and its spatial spillover effect.The heterogeneity of the effects was analyzed by general linear regression,spatial autoregression and spatial Dubin regression. The analysis shows that:( 1) there is positive externality between pollutions;( 2) the regression results of international trade and environmental pollution are significantly negative,that is,the increase in trade level is conducive to the reduction of pollution discharge and support the trade-beneficial view;( 3) Technology,scale and environmental regulation effects have significant impacts and spatial impacts on environmental pollution;( 4) China's economic status is in line with the EKC curve.
引文
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