桃蚜种群消长规律预测模型的建立与应用
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摘要
为了科学确定桃蚜的防治适期,提高其防治效果,根据桃蚜在辣椒上的生长发育数据建立了桃蚜种群的消长规律模型。该模型是一个分段函数,其中,第1阶段只有若虫,为常函数;第2阶段是若虫和成虫共存期,为一阶线性微分方程组,主要根据桃蚜在辣椒上的发育时间、羽化率和死亡率构建;第3阶段只有成虫,成虫数量是一个递减的复合函数。将该模型应用于甘蓝上桃蚜种群变化规律的预测,结果显示,桃蚜在甘蓝上的实际消长规律与模型吻合程度较高。表明所建模型可以用于桃蚜种群消长规律的预测预报。
To determine the appropriate control period of Myzus persicae Sulzer, enhance the control efficiency, a population fluctuation model for this aphid was built based on the growth and developmental data of Myzus persicae rearing on pepper. The model was a section function, in which the first phase just containing nymphs was a constant function, the second phase containing both nymphs and adults was a set of linear first-order ordinary differential equations based mainly on the developmental time, emergence rate and mortality rate of the aphid rearing in the laboratory on pepper, and the third phase just containing adults was a decreasing compound function. When the model was applicated to predict the change rule of Myzus persicae population rearing on cabbage, the result found that the real fluctuation rule by experiment matched well with the rule predicted by the model. It suggests that the model established can be used to predict the fluctuation rule of Myzus persicae population rearing on other host plants.
To determine the appropriate control period of Myzus persicae Sulzer, enhance the control efficiency, a population fluctuation model for this aphid was built based on the growth and developmental data of Myzus persicae rearing on pepper. The model was a section function, in which the first phase just containing nymphs was a constant function, the second phase containing both nymphs and adults was a set of linear first-order ordinary differential equations based mainly on the developmental time, emergence rate and mortality rate of the aphid rearing in the laboratory on pepper, and the third phase just containing adults was a decreasing compound function. When the model was applicated to predict the change rule of Myzus persicae population rearing on cabbage, the result found that the real fluctuation rule by experiment matched well with the rule predicted by the model. It suggests that the model established can be used to predict the fluctuation rule of Myzus persicae population rearing on other host plants.
引文
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[3]王圣印.以麦长管蚜为替代寄主饲养短翅蚜小蜂载体植物系统的研究[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2016.
[4]刘艳红.共生菌在提高桃蚜利用寄主植物氮营养及防御能力中的作用[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2016.
[5]张利军,李丫丫,马瑞燕,等.3种寄主上桃蚜的选择性及形态分化研究[J].生态学报,2015,35(5):1547-1553.
[6]杨新根,张健旭,张建珍,等.山西省黄胸鼠种群的分布现状及年龄结构调查[J].山西农业科学,2019,47(1):106-108.
[7]郭春强,张振永,齐双丽,等.影响小麦产量的气象因素分析及产量气象模型研究[J].天津农业科学,2019,25(4):38-41.
[8]魏光钰,胡勇,彭友,等.基于一次性施肥的烤烟协调性预测模型构建[J].天津农业科学,2019,25(5):57-62.
[9]杨艳东,贾方方,刘新源,等.烤烟叶片氯密度高光谱预测模型的建立[J].河南农业科学,2019,48(5):155-160.
[10]孔云,张婷,李刚,等.不同施肥措施对华北潮土区玉米田土壤线虫群落的影响[J].华北农学报,2018,33(6):205-211.
[11]苏晓丹,李学军,王淑贤.蚜虫的生活周期概述[J].黑龙江农业科学,2009(2):74-75.
[12]马亚玲,刘长仲.蚜虫的生态学特性及其防治[J].草业科学,2014,31(3):519-525.
[13]刘树生,孟学多.桃蚜、萝卜蚜发育速率在恒温和变温下的变化规律研究[J].生态学报,1989,9(2):182-190.
[14]李明桃.桃蚜的生物学特性与防治措施[J].农业灾害研究,2013,3(2):1-4.
[15]李姝,王甦,赵静,等.释放异色瓢虫对北京温室甜椒和圆茄上桃蚜的控害效果[J].植物保护学报,2014,41(6):699-704.
[16]刘长仲,裴星琳,杨振翠.辣椒上桃蚜的生物学特性及药剂防治研究[J].甘肃农业大学学报,2000,35(1):47-50.
[17]李明桃.桃蚜在上海地区的发生规律及其防治技术[J].南方农业,2014,8(13):10-11.
[18]刘艳红,马瑞燕,刘同先.不同地区不同寄主植物上孤雌桃蚜及不同蚜型桃蚜共生菌的多样性[J].植物保护学报,2018,45(4):679-688.
[19]陈孝源,俞善贤.基于预测均方误差为最小的梅雨期长度统计预报模型[J].应用气象学报,1988(1):102-106.
[20]杨丽,葛德奎,刘海楠.一类具有混合时滞的捕食被捕食模型的耗散控制[J].生物数学学报,2017,32(2):168-174.
[21]冯孝周,李振邦,马晓丽.具有捕食者饱和与竞争捕食模型解的存在性与唯一性[J].生物数学学报,2017,32(2):27-33.
[22]王定丽,刘兵,康宝林.基于杀虫剂作用函数的一类生育脉冲害虫治理模型的研究[J].生物数学学报,2017,32(1):84-88.
[2]ANDORNO A V,LPEZ S N.Biological control of Myzus persicae(Hemiptera:Aphididae)through banker plant system in protected crops[J].Biol.Control,2014,78(1):9-14.
[3]王圣印.以麦长管蚜为替代寄主饲养短翅蚜小蜂载体植物系统的研究[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2016.
[4]刘艳红.共生菌在提高桃蚜利用寄主植物氮营养及防御能力中的作用[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2016.
[5]张利军,李丫丫,马瑞燕,等.3种寄主上桃蚜的选择性及形态分化研究[J].生态学报,2015,35(5):1547-1553.
[6]杨新根,张健旭,张建珍,等.山西省黄胸鼠种群的分布现状及年龄结构调查[J].山西农业科学,2019,47(1):106-108.
[7]郭春强,张振永,齐双丽,等.影响小麦产量的气象因素分析及产量气象模型研究[J].天津农业科学,2019,25(4):38-41.
[8]魏光钰,胡勇,彭友,等.基于一次性施肥的烤烟协调性预测模型构建[J].天津农业科学,2019,25(5):57-62.
[9]杨艳东,贾方方,刘新源,等.烤烟叶片氯密度高光谱预测模型的建立[J].河南农业科学,2019,48(5):155-160.
[10]孔云,张婷,李刚,等.不同施肥措施对华北潮土区玉米田土壤线虫群落的影响[J].华北农学报,2018,33(6):205-211.
[11]苏晓丹,李学军,王淑贤.蚜虫的生活周期概述[J].黑龙江农业科学,2009(2):74-75.
[12]马亚玲,刘长仲.蚜虫的生态学特性及其防治[J].草业科学,2014,31(3):519-525.
[13]刘树生,孟学多.桃蚜、萝卜蚜发育速率在恒温和变温下的变化规律研究[J].生态学报,1989,9(2):182-190.
[14]李明桃.桃蚜的生物学特性与防治措施[J].农业灾害研究,2013,3(2):1-4.
[15]李姝,王甦,赵静,等.释放异色瓢虫对北京温室甜椒和圆茄上桃蚜的控害效果[J].植物保护学报,2014,41(6):699-704.
[16]刘长仲,裴星琳,杨振翠.辣椒上桃蚜的生物学特性及药剂防治研究[J].甘肃农业大学学报,2000,35(1):47-50.
[17]李明桃.桃蚜在上海地区的发生规律及其防治技术[J].南方农业,2014,8(13):10-11.
[18]刘艳红,马瑞燕,刘同先.不同地区不同寄主植物上孤雌桃蚜及不同蚜型桃蚜共生菌的多样性[J].植物保护学报,2018,45(4):679-688.
[19]陈孝源,俞善贤.基于预测均方误差为最小的梅雨期长度统计预报模型[J].应用气象学报,1988(1):102-106.
[20]杨丽,葛德奎,刘海楠.一类具有混合时滞的捕食被捕食模型的耗散控制[J].生物数学学报,2017,32(2):168-174.
[21]冯孝周,李振邦,马晓丽.具有捕食者饱和与竞争捕食模型解的存在性与唯一性[J].生物数学学报,2017,32(2):27-33.
[22]王定丽,刘兵,康宝林.基于杀虫剂作用函数的一类生育脉冲害虫治理模型的研究[J].生物数学学报,2017,32(1):84-88.