中国与中亚区域贸易竞争性和互补性研究
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摘要
作为丝绸之路经济带的重点建设区域,中国与中亚的经贸联系日益紧密,对中国内陆开放和中亚5国的经济发展意义重大。采用UN COMTRADE数据库,整理了双边1992—2016年的贸易数据,运用ESI指数、TII指数、G-L模型、B-L模型和RCA指数等指标,并且采用趋势线分析中国与中亚5国产品在国际市场上的贸易竞争性和互补性。结论显示,双边贸易互补性在增强,竞争性在减弱;中国出口至中亚的商品优势大于中亚5国出口至中国的商品优势;STIC5、6类商品基本呈现间断性产业内贸易的趋势,其余类目为产业间贸易趋势;中国出口以资本密集型和技术密集型为主,中亚5国出口以资源密集型为主。
China and Central Asia serve as the key areas of the Silk Road Economic Belt. The ties between China and Central Asia are increasingly closer, and it is of great significance to the opening of China's interior and the economic development of the five Central Asian countries. Utilizing the UN Comtrade database, we compiled bilateral trade data for the period 1992 — 2016 and used indicators such as ESI index, TII index,G-L model,B-L model and RCA index. Trend lines were used to analyze the product's competitiveness and complementarity of China and Central Asia in the world market. The conclusions show that bilateral trade complementarity is increasing and competitiveness is weakening; China's commodity advantage to Central Asia is greater than the export of five Central Asian countries to China; STIC5 and 6 commodities basically show intermittent intra-industry trade trends; China's exports are mainly capital-intensive and technology-intensive,as well as the five Central Asian countries' exports are mainly resource-intensive.
China and Central Asia serve as the key areas of the Silk Road Economic Belt. The ties between China and Central Asia are increasingly closer, and it is of great significance to the opening of China's interior and the economic development of the five Central Asian countries. Utilizing the UN Comtrade database, we compiled bilateral trade data for the period 1992 — 2016 and used indicators such as ESI index, TII index,G-L model,B-L model and RCA index. Trend lines were used to analyze the product's competitiveness and complementarity of China and Central Asia in the world market. The conclusions show that bilateral trade complementarity is increasing and competitiveness is weakening; China's commodity advantage to Central Asia is greater than the export of five Central Asian countries to China; STIC5 and 6 commodities basically show intermittent intra-industry trade trends; China's exports are mainly capital-intensive and technology-intensive,as well as the five Central Asian countries' exports are mainly resource-intensive.
引文
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[10]陈俭,布娲鹣·阿布拉,陈彤.中国与中亚五国农产品贸易模式研究[J].国际贸易问题,2014(4):78-89.
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[12]公丕萍,宋周莺.中国与俄罗斯及中亚地区的贸易格局分析[J].地理研究,2015(5):812-824.
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[14]王广宇,张倩肖.中国与中亚五国贸易的竞争性和互补性研究——以“丝绸之路经济带”为背景[J].经济问题探索,2016(3):136-143.