我国农村绿色发展水平与影响因素的实证分析
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摘要
以绿色发展理念推动乡村振兴是加快农村生态文明建设、构建高质量农业现代化经济体系的现实要求。为揭示我国农村绿色发展的影响因素及其发展水平,本研究以绿色发展为理念,在借鉴已有相关成果的基础上,从农业经济绿化度、资源环境承载力、农村社会发展和政府绿色支持四个维度构建我国农村绿色发展评价的层次模型及其测度指标体系,并运用熵值法、TOPSIS和影响度模型的实证分析表明:2011—2016年我国农村绿色发展水平总体上处于上升态势,各子系统绿色发展水平从高到低依次为:农业经济绿化度、农村社会发展、政府绿色支持和资源环境承载力;制约我国农村绿色发展水平的因素依次为农村社会发展、资源与环境承载力、政府绿色支持和农业经济绿化度。以绿色技术构建绿色农业生产体系、完善农村资源环境的绿色治理体系、构建农村绿色生活方式的行动体系和完善农村的绿色财政支持体系是实现乡村绿色振兴的现实选择。
Promoting rural revitalization with the concept of green development is a realistic requirement to speed up the construction of rural ecological civilization and build a modern economic system of high quality agriculture. In order to reveal the influencing factors of China's rural green development and its level of development, this study, taking green development as the concept, builds a hierarchical model and its measurement index system for the evaluation of China's rural green development from four dimensions: the greening degree of agricultural economy, the bearing capacity of resources and environment, rural social development and government green support on the basis of referring to the relevant achievements. The empirical analysis using entropy method, TOPSIS and impact model shows that the level of rural green development in China is generally on the rise from 2011 to 2016. The green development level of each sub-system is from high to low: the degree of agricultural economy greening, rural social development, government green support and the bearing capacity of resources and environment. And the influencing degree, from high to low is rural social development, the bearing capacity of resources and environment, government green support and the degree of agricultural economy greening. Building a green agricultural production system with green technology, improving the green governance system of rural resources and environment, building an action system of rural green lifestyle and improving the green financial support system in rural areas are realistic choices to realize the green revitalization of rural areas.
Promoting rural revitalization with the concept of green development is a realistic requirement to speed up the construction of rural ecological civilization and build a modern economic system of high quality agriculture. In order to reveal the influencing factors of China's rural green development and its level of development, this study, taking green development as the concept, builds a hierarchical model and its measurement index system for the evaluation of China's rural green development from four dimensions: the greening degree of agricultural economy, the bearing capacity of resources and environment, rural social development and government green support on the basis of referring to the relevant achievements. The empirical analysis using entropy method, TOPSIS and impact model shows that the level of rural green development in China is generally on the rise from 2011 to 2016. The green development level of each sub-system is from high to low: the degree of agricultural economy greening, rural social development, government green support and the bearing capacity of resources and environment. And the influencing degree, from high to low is rural social development, the bearing capacity of resources and environment, government green support and the degree of agricultural economy greening. Building a green agricultural production system with green technology, improving the green governance system of rural resources and environment, building an action system of rural green lifestyle and improving the green financial support system in rural areas are realistic choices to realize the green revitalization of rural areas.
引文
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[8] 赵细康,吴大磊,曾云敏.基于区域发展阶段特征的绿色发展评价研究——以广东21地市为例[J].南方经济,2018(3):42.
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[14] 郭永杰,米文宝,赵莹.宁夏县域绿色发展水平空间分异及影响因素[J].经济地理,2015,35(3):46-51.
[15] 朱斌,吴赐联.福建省绿色城市发展评判与影响因素分析[J].地域研究与开发,2016,35(4):74-78.
[16] 刘冰,张磊.山东绿色发展水平评价及对策探析[J].经济问题探索,2017(7):141-152.
[17] 刘明广.中国省域绿色发展水平测量与空间演化[J].华南师范大学报:社会科学版.2017(3):37-44.
[18] 李谷成.中国农业的绿色生产率革命:1978—2008年[J].经济学(季刊),2014,13(2):537-557.
[19] 于法稳.绿色发展理念视域下的农村生态文明建设对策研究[J].中国特色社会主义研究,2018(1):76.
[20] 薛勇民,曹满玉.论绿色发展理念蕴含的生态实践智慧[J].马克思主义研究,2018(3):116-121.
[21] 张辉.建设现代化经济体系的理论与路径初步研究[J].北京大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2018,55(1):106-108.
[22] Hwang C.L,Yoon K.Multiple Attribute Decision Making:Method and Applications [M].Berlin:Springer-Verlag,1981:1-5.
[2] 王玲玲,张艳国.“绿色发展”内涵探微[J].社会主义研究.2012(5):143.
[3] 强连红,贾东奇.绿色发展理念的价值内涵与路径选择[J].人民论坛,2017(1):88-89.
[4] 张乐,顾雨婷.绿色发展理念的价值旨趣与实践逻辑[J].北京师范大学学报:社会科学版.2017(6):105-111.
[5] 黄茂兴,叶琪.马克思主义绿色发展观与当代中国的绿色发展[J].经济研究.2017(6):19-20.
[6] 张涛.新时代中国特色社会主义绿色发展观研究[J].内蒙古社会科学:汉文版,2018,39(1):10.
[7] 李周.用绿色理念领引山区生态经济发展[J].中国农村经济,2018(1):11-21.
[8] 赵细康,吴大磊,曾云敏.基于区域发展阶段特征的绿色发展评价研究——以广东21地市为例[J].南方经济,2018(3):42.
[9] 李晓西,刘一萌,宋涛.人类绿色发展指数的测算[J].中国社会科学,2014(6):69-95.
[10] 蔡绍洪,魏媛,刘明显.西部地区绿色发展水平测度及空间分异研究[J].管理世界,2017(6):174-175.
[11] 张欢,罗畅,成金华,等.湖北省绿色发展水平测度及其空间关系[J].经济地理,2016,36(9):158-165.
[12] 尤玉军,解娟娟.江苏苏中绿色发展的实证研究[J].江苏社会科学,2017(5):263-268.
[13] 戴鹏.青海省绿色发展水平评价体系研究[J].青海社会科学,2015(3):170-177.
[14] 郭永杰,米文宝,赵莹.宁夏县域绿色发展水平空间分异及影响因素[J].经济地理,2015,35(3):46-51.
[15] 朱斌,吴赐联.福建省绿色城市发展评判与影响因素分析[J].地域研究与开发,2016,35(4):74-78.
[16] 刘冰,张磊.山东绿色发展水平评价及对策探析[J].经济问题探索,2017(7):141-152.
[17] 刘明广.中国省域绿色发展水平测量与空间演化[J].华南师范大学报:社会科学版.2017(3):37-44.
[18] 李谷成.中国农业的绿色生产率革命:1978—2008年[J].经济学(季刊),2014,13(2):537-557.
[19] 于法稳.绿色发展理念视域下的农村生态文明建设对策研究[J].中国特色社会主义研究,2018(1):76.
[20] 薛勇民,曹满玉.论绿色发展理念蕴含的生态实践智慧[J].马克思主义研究,2018(3):116-121.
[21] 张辉.建设现代化经济体系的理论与路径初步研究[J].北京大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2018,55(1):106-108.
[22] Hwang C.L,Yoon K.Multiple Attribute Decision Making:Method and Applications [M].Berlin:Springer-Verlag,1981:1-5.