安徽省城镇化对经济发展的作用机制分析
|
摘要
本文在相关研究的基础上,依据1978~2012年的时间序列数据,定量分析了安徽省城镇化与经济增长之间的关系以及城镇化对经济增长的作用机制.研究表明,改革开放30多年来,安徽省城镇化水平与经济增长之间的关系表现为长期动态均衡关系,城镇化在一定程度上促进了经济增长,但并不是促进经济发展的直接动力;城镇化的发展促进了安徽省物质资本和知识资本的快速积累,但目前城镇化推动安徽经济发展的主要途径仍是通过物质资本的集聚,对人力资本、知识资本、产业结构等生产要素的集聚作用还不强.
In this paper,on the basis of relevant research,based on 1978 ~ 2012 time series data,quantitative analysis is implemented to study the relation between urbanization and economic growth of Anhui province,as well as the mechanism of urbanization's effects. This research indicate: over 30 years of reform and opening up,urbanization level and economic growth of Anhui show a relation of long-term dynamic equilibrium; urbanization has certain effects on economic growth,but does not significantly manifest direct effects of driving the growth. The development of urbanization in Anhui province facilitates the rapid accumulation of material capital and intellectual assets,and the former is the principal manner of how urbanization affects economic development in Anhui. Urbanization's effects are not strong on the pooling of such productive factors as human resources,knowledge assets and industrial structures.
In this paper,on the basis of relevant research,based on 1978 ~ 2012 time series data,quantitative analysis is implemented to study the relation between urbanization and economic growth of Anhui province,as well as the mechanism of urbanization's effects. This research indicate: over 30 years of reform and opening up,urbanization level and economic growth of Anhui show a relation of long-term dynamic equilibrium; urbanization has certain effects on economic growth,but does not significantly manifest direct effects of driving the growth. The development of urbanization in Anhui province facilitates the rapid accumulation of material capital and intellectual assets,and the former is the principal manner of how urbanization affects economic development in Anhui. Urbanization's effects are not strong on the pooling of such productive factors as human resources,knowledge assets and industrial structures.
引文
[1]Henderson J V.The urbanization process and economic growth:The so-what question[J].Journal of Economic Growth,2003,8(1):47-71.
[2]Mc Coskey S,Kao C.A residual-based test of the null of cointegration in panel data[J].Econometric Reviews,1998,17(1):57-84.
[3]陈明星,陆大道,查良松.中国城市化与经济发展水平关系的国际比较.地理研究[J],2009,28(2):464-474.
[4]李金昌,程开明.中国城市化与经济增长的动态计量分析.财经研究[J],2006,32(9):19-21.
[5]Northam R M.Urban Geography[M].New York:John Wiley&Sons,1975.
[6]周一星.城市地理学[M].北京:商务印书馆,1995:93-95.
[7]Henderson J V.Urbanization and economic development[J].Annals of Economies and Finance,2003(4):275-341.
[8]沈坤荣,蒋锐.中国城市化对经济增长影响机制的实证研究[J].统计研究,2007(6):9-15.
[9]马兴杰,陈通.城市化影响经济增长作用机制研究.现代管理科学[J],2009(2):56-58.
[2]Mc Coskey S,Kao C.A residual-based test of the null of cointegration in panel data[J].Econometric Reviews,1998,17(1):57-84.
[3]陈明星,陆大道,查良松.中国城市化与经济发展水平关系的国际比较.地理研究[J],2009,28(2):464-474.
[4]李金昌,程开明.中国城市化与经济增长的动态计量分析.财经研究[J],2006,32(9):19-21.
[5]Northam R M.Urban Geography[M].New York:John Wiley&Sons,1975.
[6]周一星.城市地理学[M].北京:商务印书馆,1995:93-95.
[7]Henderson J V.Urbanization and economic development[J].Annals of Economies and Finance,2003(4):275-341.
[8]沈坤荣,蒋锐.中国城市化对经济增长影响机制的实证研究[J].统计研究,2007(6):9-15.
[9]马兴杰,陈通.城市化影响经济增长作用机制研究.现代管理科学[J],2009(2):56-58.
目录