安徽省水资源与社会经济协调发展空间分布研究
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摘要
基于水资源与社会经济协调发展模型,选取平水年份的2005年为例对安徽省水资源与社会经济协调发展空间分布进行分析。研究发现:安徽省地市间水资源与社会经济的协调度差异明显:以高开发利用极不协调(5个城市)和低开发协调(6个城市)两个类型最为突出;其他地市基本以中度开发协调或基本协调为主。人均GDP最高的合肥、芜湖、马鞍山、铜陵和淮南5市是高开发利用极不协调区;人均GDP低的阜阳、亳州和宿州3市正处在低开发协调区;另外处在低开发协调区的宣城、池州和黄山3市是人均水资源量在全省最高的3个区。进一步对比淮北与芜湖发现,两市水资源和人口数量相当,但协调度迥异,其GDP和用水量相差都在2～3倍。可见,社会经济发展水平差异以及由此带来的用水差异是水资源与社会经济协调发展差异的根本原因。与已有的研究成果对比发现,协调度与社会经济干旱指标在度量水资源支持社会可持续发展上结论基本吻合,尤其在经济发展水平较高区域表现出更高的一致性。
The model of coordinated development of water resources and economy was used to investigate the spatial distribution of coordinated development of water resources and economy in Anhui Province using the data in the normal flow year of 2005.The results showed that the regional difference of the coordinated development degree of water resources and economy is significant between different cities in Anhui province.There were two outstanding types: extremely incoordination with high utilization ratio of water resources(five cities) and coordination with low utilization ratio of water resources(six cities),and other cities showed coordination with moderate utilization ratio of water resources.The five cities(Hefei,Wuhu,Maanshan,Tongling,and Huainan) showing incoordination with high utilization ratio of water resources had the highest per capita GDP,whereas the three cities(Fuyang,Bozhou,and Suzhou) showing coordination with low utilization ratio of water resources had the lowest per capita GDP.Moreover,the three cities(Xuanchen,Chizhou,and Huangshan) showing coordination with low utilization ratio of water resources had the highest per capita water resources.Further,Huaibei and Wuhu had similar population and water resources quantity,but the coordination degree was significantly different,and the differences of GDP and water consumption between the two cities were about 2 to 3 times.Consequently,the different level of socio-economic development and the resulting water consumption difference were the basic causes for the difference of coordinated development between water resources and social economy.Compared with previous studies,the results in this study were in good agreement that the coordination degree and the indicator of socio-economic drought are two main indexes to measure the sustainable development of water resources,especially in the area with a higher economic development level.
The model of coordinated development of water resources and economy was used to investigate the spatial distribution of coordinated development of water resources and economy in Anhui Province using the data in the normal flow year of 2005.The results showed that the regional difference of the coordinated development degree of water resources and economy is significant between different cities in Anhui province.There were two outstanding types: extremely incoordination with high utilization ratio of water resources(five cities) and coordination with low utilization ratio of water resources(six cities),and other cities showed coordination with moderate utilization ratio of water resources.The five cities(Hefei,Wuhu,Maanshan,Tongling,and Huainan) showing incoordination with high utilization ratio of water resources had the highest per capita GDP,whereas the three cities(Fuyang,Bozhou,and Suzhou) showing coordination with low utilization ratio of water resources had the lowest per capita GDP.Moreover,the three cities(Xuanchen,Chizhou,and Huangshan) showing coordination with low utilization ratio of water resources had the highest per capita water resources.Further,Huaibei and Wuhu had similar population and water resources quantity,but the coordination degree was significantly different,and the differences of GDP and water consumption between the two cities were about 2 to 3 times.Consequently,the different level of socio-economic development and the resulting water consumption difference were the basic causes for the difference of coordinated development between water resources and social economy.Compared with previous studies,the results in this study were in good agreement that the coordination degree and the indicator of socio-economic drought are two main indexes to measure the sustainable development of water resources,especially in the area with a higher economic development level.
引文
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[8]朱俊成,钟儒刚,杨益明.基于主成分分析法的武汉城市圈区域协调发展研究[J].资源开发与市场,2010,26(2):120-124.(ZHU Jun-cheng,ZHONG Ru-gang,YANG Yi-ming,et al.Re-search on Coordinated Development of Wuhan Urban Agglom-eration Based on Principal Compound Analysis[J].ResourceDevelopment&Market,2010,26(2):120-124.(in Chinese))
[9]朱效明,李旭祥,张静.黄河流域县级城市人居环境与经济协调发展研究[J].安徽农业科学,2010,38(10):5491-5494.(ZHU Xiao-ming,LI Xu-xiang,ZHANG Jing.Coordinated De-velopment of Human Settlement and Economy in County-levelCities in the Yellow River Basin[J].Journal of Anhui Agricul-ture science,2010,38(10):5491-5494.(in Chinese))
[10]廖重斌.环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系—以珠江三角洲城市群为例[J].热带地理,1999,19(2):171-177.(LIAO Chong-bin.Quantitative Judgment and Classification Sys-tem for Coordinated Development of Environment and Economy-ACase Study of the City Group in the Pearl River Delta[J].TropicalGeography,1999,19(2):171-177.(in Chinese))
[11]李瑜,庄会波,宋秀英.山东水资源与环境社会经济协调发展综合评价[J].水文,2003,23(4):37-41.(LI Yu,ZHANG Hui-bo,SONG Xiu-ying,et al.Comprehensive Assessment on Wa-ter Resources Development Coordinate with Environment,So-ciety and Economy for Shandong Province[J].Hydrology,2003,23(4):37-41.(in Chinese))
[12]汪党献,王浩,马静.中国区域发展的水资源支撑能力[J].水利学报,2000,(11):21-26,33.(WANG Dang-xian,WANGHao,MA Jing.Water Resources Supporting Capacity for Re-gional Development in China[J].Journal of Hydraulic Engi-neering,2000,(11):21-26,33.(in Chinese))
[13]张晓东,朱德海.中国区域经济与环境协调度预测分析[J].资源科学,2003,(2):1-6.(ZHANG Xiao-dong,ZHU De-hai.Forecast and Analysis of Coordinated Index Between RegionalEconomic Development and Environment in China[J].Re-source Science,2003,(2):1-6.(in Chinese))
[14]钱正英,张光斗.中国可持续发展水资源战略研究综合报告及各专题报告[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2001:27-30.(QIAN Zheng-ying,ZHANG Guang-dou.Synthetical and SpecialResearch Reports of Water Resource Strategy about SustainableDevelopment of China[M].Beijing:Publishing company of hydrau-lic and hydroelectric Engineering,2001:27-30.(in Chinese))
[15]周亮广,戴仕宝,江玉晶.基于水资源供需平衡评价机制的安徽省干旱时空分布[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(6):1030-1039.(ZHOU Liang-guang,DAI Shi-bao,JIANG yu-jing.Study on the Drought of Temporal and Spatial Distribution ofAnhui Province on the Balance Mechanism of Supply and De-mand of Water Resources[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2011,26(6):1030-1039.(in Chinese))
[2]戴西超,谢守祥,丁玉梅.技术—经济—社会系统可持续发展协调度分析[J].决策参考,2005,(6):29-32.(DAI Xi-chao,XIIEShou-xiang,DING Yu-mei.Analysis on the Coordination DegreeSustainable Development of Technology,Economy and Society Sys-tem[J].Decision Reference,2005,(6):29-32.(in Chinese))
[3]刘耀彬,李仁东,宁学锋.中国区域城市化与生态环境耦合的关联分析[J].地理学报,2005,60(2):237-247.(LIU Yao-bin,LIRen-dong,NING Xue-feng.Grey Associative Analysis of RegionalUrbanization and Eco-environment Coupling in China[J].Acta Geo-graphica sinica,2005,60(2):237-247.(in Chinese))
[4]雷社平,解建仓,黄明聪,等.区域产业用水系统的协调度分析[J].水利学报,2004,(5):1-8.(LEI She-ping,XIE Jian-cang,HUANG Ming-cong,et al.Coordination Degree Analysis of Re-gional Industry Water use System[J].Journal of Hydraulic En-gineering,2004,(5):1-8.(in Chinese))
[5]刘向东,何建敏,江红莉.基于PESR-C的区域协调发展研究—以宁波市为例[J].西安电子科技大学学报(社会科学版),2010,20(1):47-53.(LIU Xiang-dong,HE Jian-ming,JIANGHong-li.Regional Coordinated Development Based on PESR-C—Ningbo City as an Example[J].Journal of Xidian Universi-ty(Social Science Edition),2010,20(1):47-53.(in Chinese))
[6]吕彤,韩文秀.基于协调的区域“经济-资源-环境”系统混沌控制[J].系统工程理论与实践,2002,(3):8-12.(LU Tong,HANWen-xiu.Chaos Control of Ec-R_Ev System Based on Coordi-nation[J].Theory and Practice of Systems Engineering,2002,(3):8-12.(in Chinese))
[7]汤铃,李建平,余乐安.基于距离协调度模型的系统协调发展定量评价方法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2010,30(4):594-602.(TANG Ling,LI Jian-ping,YU Le-an,et al.Quantitative Evalua-tion Methodology for System Coordination Development Based onDistance Coordination Degree model[J].Systems Engineering-The-ory&Practice,2010,30(4):594-602.(in Chinese))
[8]朱俊成,钟儒刚,杨益明.基于主成分分析法的武汉城市圈区域协调发展研究[J].资源开发与市场,2010,26(2):120-124.(ZHU Jun-cheng,ZHONG Ru-gang,YANG Yi-ming,et al.Re-search on Coordinated Development of Wuhan Urban Agglom-eration Based on Principal Compound Analysis[J].ResourceDevelopment&Market,2010,26(2):120-124.(in Chinese))
[9]朱效明,李旭祥,张静.黄河流域县级城市人居环境与经济协调发展研究[J].安徽农业科学,2010,38(10):5491-5494.(ZHU Xiao-ming,LI Xu-xiang,ZHANG Jing.Coordinated De-velopment of Human Settlement and Economy in County-levelCities in the Yellow River Basin[J].Journal of Anhui Agricul-ture science,2010,38(10):5491-5494.(in Chinese))
[10]廖重斌.环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系—以珠江三角洲城市群为例[J].热带地理,1999,19(2):171-177.(LIAO Chong-bin.Quantitative Judgment and Classification Sys-tem for Coordinated Development of Environment and Economy-ACase Study of the City Group in the Pearl River Delta[J].TropicalGeography,1999,19(2):171-177.(in Chinese))
[11]李瑜,庄会波,宋秀英.山东水资源与环境社会经济协调发展综合评价[J].水文,2003,23(4):37-41.(LI Yu,ZHANG Hui-bo,SONG Xiu-ying,et al.Comprehensive Assessment on Wa-ter Resources Development Coordinate with Environment,So-ciety and Economy for Shandong Province[J].Hydrology,2003,23(4):37-41.(in Chinese))
[12]汪党献,王浩,马静.中国区域发展的水资源支撑能力[J].水利学报,2000,(11):21-26,33.(WANG Dang-xian,WANGHao,MA Jing.Water Resources Supporting Capacity for Re-gional Development in China[J].Journal of Hydraulic Engi-neering,2000,(11):21-26,33.(in Chinese))
[13]张晓东,朱德海.中国区域经济与环境协调度预测分析[J].资源科学,2003,(2):1-6.(ZHANG Xiao-dong,ZHU De-hai.Forecast and Analysis of Coordinated Index Between RegionalEconomic Development and Environment in China[J].Re-source Science,2003,(2):1-6.(in Chinese))
[14]钱正英,张光斗.中国可持续发展水资源战略研究综合报告及各专题报告[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2001:27-30.(QIAN Zheng-ying,ZHANG Guang-dou.Synthetical and SpecialResearch Reports of Water Resource Strategy about SustainableDevelopment of China[M].Beijing:Publishing company of hydrau-lic and hydroelectric Engineering,2001:27-30.(in Chinese))
[15]周亮广,戴仕宝,江玉晶.基于水资源供需平衡评价机制的安徽省干旱时空分布[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(6):1030-1039.(ZHOU Liang-guang,DAI Shi-bao,JIANG yu-jing.Study on the Drought of Temporal and Spatial Distribution ofAnhui Province on the Balance Mechanism of Supply and De-mand of Water Resources[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2011,26(6):1030-1039.(in Chinese))
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